- 1. SUMMER TRAINING PROJECT REPORT UNDERPRABATH FINANCIAL
SERVICES LIMITED ON Study of Fluctuations of Indian Stock Market
SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULLFILMENT OF THE REQUIRMENT FOR THE AWARDOF
THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION OF THE
RAJASTHANTECHNICAL UNIVERSITY, KOTA.SUPERVISED BY:- SUBMITTED BY
:-Mr. S. P. Kabra Rahul JajooFACITLITY SUPERVISOR:-Ms. Shilpi
Kuntal SUBMITTED TO :-DEPARTMENT OF MANAGENENT STUDIES, SWAMI
KESHVANAND INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY, MANAGEMENT & GRAMOTHAN.
JAIPUR 2008-20101
2. Certificate 2 3. AcknowledgementThe completion of any project
depends upon the co-operation, coordination and combinedefforts of
several resources of knowledge, inspiration & energy.Words fall
short acknowledging immense support lent to me yet I will try to
give full credit tothe deservers.My sincere thanks goes to Mr.
Vikas Shrotriya (HOD DMS) giving me an opportunity todiscover more
knowledge. I am also thankful to Mr. S. P. Kabra (Director,Prabhat
financialservices) for his support, guidance and cooperation
throughout to accomplish this project alsoexpressing deep sense of
gratitude to my Project guide, Ms. Shilpi Kuntal (Lecturer) for
hervaluable guidance, continuous encouragement and tremendous
patience in discussing myproblems, have been of the greatest help
in bringing out my task in present shape. I am equallygrateful to
all my other teachers for their complete support.It would be unfair
on my part if I do not thank my colleagues for their continuous
help withoutwhich this work could never have been accomplished.
They made me realize the importance ofteamwork and also the
leadership skills. I am grateful to all of them standing with me
andsupporting me in this project.( Rahul Jajoo )Preface 3 4. In the
present situation where stock market is going up and down, it is
necessary to investconsciously in the market whatever it is, this
is the study about the last two year fluctuation instock market
which enables the investor in taking decision regarding investment.
This study tellsthe factor which directly or indirectly affects the
market and some basic information not onlyshare market but also
other market such as derivatives or commodity market for the
newinvestors or the students who have some interest in stock
market. The objective of selecting thetopic is to know about the
market trends of the stock market and the information related to
theinvestment for the future investor. The study of fluctuations of
stock market makes the investoraquatinted with the factor affecting
the investment and Stock prices can be volatile and someanalysts
argue that this volatility is excessive. This is not easy to prove,
since it is difficult toassess certainty about future earnings and
dividends. Companies tend to smooth dividends, sothey will be less
volatile than stock prices. Volatile stock prices do not have a
major impact onconsumption and capital spending since there is a
good chance that price movements in onedirection may be
reversed.Contents 4 5. 1. Abstract2. Research Methodology2.1 Title
of the Study2.2 Duration of the Project2.3 Objective of Study2.4
Type of Research2.5 Scope of Study2.6 Limitation of Study3. Core
Study4. SWOT5. Conclusion6. BibliographyExecutive summary5 6. A
market is an environment that allows buyers and sellers to trade or
exchange goods, services,and information. These interactions define
demand and supply characteristics and are thereforefundamental to
economies. A market can be defined as a place where any type of
trade takesplace. Markets are dependent on two major participants
buyers and sellers. Buyers and sellerstypically trade goods,
services and/ or information. Historically, markets were physical
meetingplaces where buyers and sellers gathered together to trade.
Although physical markets are stillvital, virtual marketplaces
supported by IT networks such as the internet have become the
largestand most liquid. Some markets are very competitive, with a
number of vendors selling the samekinds of products or services.
Conversely, some markets have low or no competition,particularlyif
theindustry isprotectedbygovernmentlegislation.The number of buyers
and sellers involved will have a direct bearing on the price of the
good orservice to be sold, and has become known as the law of
supply and demand. Where there aremore sellers than buyers, the
availability of supply will push down prices. If there are
morebuyers thansellers, theincreased demandwill push up
prices.Markets can appear spontaneously when there are goods or
services to be exchanged, or they canbe planned and regulated .Free
markets operate under laissez-fare conditions, in that
thegovernment does not intervene in how the market operates. These
markets may be distorted if aseller gains monopoly power by
managing the majority of supply (or indeed if a buyer
developsmonophony power by managing demand). Governments or trade
bodies often step in when suchdistortions undermine the smooth
functioning of free markets. The currency markets are thelargest
continuously traded markets in the world. Twenty four hours a day,
seven days a week,governments, banks, investors and consumers are
buying and selling every currency, leading tomassive money flows
constantly changing hands. Stock markets have become highly
complexmarkets that allow investors to buy shares in companies or
in funds that aggregate companies orindustries together. Most stock
markets today are primarily electronic networks, although theyoften
maintain a physical location for buyers, sellers and market makers
to interact directly.Markets originally started as marketplaces
usually in the center of villages and towns, for thesale or barter
of farm produce, clothing and tools. These kinds of street markets
developed into awhole variety of consumer-oriented markets, such as
specialist markets, shopping centers,supermarkets, or even virtual
markets such as eBay. With the rising price of oil and food, 6 7.
commodity markets are once again under the spotlight. Commodities
underpin economicactivity. Commodity markets include: energy (oil,
gas, coal and increasingly renewable energysources such as
biodiesel), soft commodities and grains (wheat, oat, corn, rice,
soya beans,coffee, cocoa, sugar, cotton, frozen orange juice, etc),
meat, and financial commodities such asbonds. Capital goods markets
help businesses to buy durable goods to be used in industrial
andmanufacturing processes. A number of services can also be
associated with these goods.Transactions tend to be wholesale with
large quantities of goods being transacted at low prices.Everyone
has seen it and everyone is wishing if he should have buy stocks
before this rally.Albeit it could have been a gamble buying stocks
before declaration of election results, it paidoff for those who
bought. Now thats history. Stock markets are going to be volatile
for next fewdays. Today, i.e. on Tuesday, markets opened in red,
went till 3oo points down, then recoveredand went up to 500 points
up and finally settled for flat closing. So what should a small
investordo now? Should he buy stocks or should be selling stocks
that he holds.This article is aCOMPLETE guide to the basics of
making money in the stock market! If you are consideringinvesting
in the stock market, you MUST read this article! We have explained
all the conceptsand talked about all the "myths" that people have
about the stock market!INTRODUCTION TO THE ORGANIZATION7 8.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGYTITLE OF THE STUDY:-8 9. Study of fluctuations
of Indian stock marketDURATION OF THE PROJECT:- 45 daysOBJECTIVE OF
STUDY To know the basic terminology of stock market. To make the
investor aware about the factors which may affect their investment.
To get the knowledge of other markets such as commodity market and
derivatives. To know the ups and downs of stock market of last two
years. To forecast or predict the future trend of stock market
which helps in investment. To know the effect of these fluctuation
on the Indian economy.TYPE OF RESEARCHResearchResearch is defined
as human activity based on intellectual application in the
investigationof matter. The primary purposefor applied research is
discovering, interpreting, andthe development of methods and
systems for the advancement of human knowledge on a widevariety of
scientific matters of our world and the universe. Research can use
the scientificmethod, but need not do so. Scientific research
relies on the application of the scientific method,a harnessing of
curiosity. This research provides scientific information and
theories for theexplanation of the nature and the properties of the
world around us. It makes practicalapplications possible.
Scientific research is funded by public authorities, by
charitableorganizations and by private groups, including many
companies. Scientific research can besubdivided into different
classifications according to their academic and application
disciplines. 9 10. In this project the research type used is
descriptive because this research is the most commonlyused and the
basic reason for carrying out descriptive research is to identify
the cause ofsomething that is happening. For instance, this
research could be used in order to find out whatage group is buying
a particular brand of cola, whether a companys market share
differsbetween geographical regions or to discover how many
competitors a company has in theirmarketplace. However, if the
research is to return useful results, whoever is conducting
theresearch must comply with strict research requirements in order
to obtain the most accuratefigures/results possible.DESCRIPTIVE
RESEARCHDescriptive research is used to obtain information
concerning the current status of thephenomena to describe "what
exists" with respect to variables or conditions in a situation.
Themethods involved range from the survey which describes the
status quo, the correlation studywhich investigates the
relationship between variables, to developmental studies which seek
todetermine changes over time.Descriptive research can be of two
types:i.Quantitative descriptive research emphasizes on what is,
and makes use of quantitativemethods to describe, record, analyze
and interpret the present conditions.Qualitative descriptive
research also emphasizes on what is, but makes use of
non-quantitativeresearch methods in describing the conditions of
the present.SCOPE OF STUDY Derivatives Sebi Stock exchange
Commodity market Stock market10 11. Securities Day trading Factor
affecting Indian stock market Effect on Indian
economyLIMITATIONSLimitations are the limiting lines that restrict
the work in some way or other. In this researchstudy also their
were some limiting factors, some of them are as under: 1. Data
Collection: The most important constraint in this study was data
collection as Secondary data was selected for study. Secondary data
means data that are already available i.e. they refer to the data
which have already been collected and analysed by someone else. 2.
Time Period: Time period was one of the main factor as only one
month was allotted and the topic covered in research has a wide
scope. So, it was not possible to cover it in a short span of time.
3. Reliability: The data collected in research work was secondary
data, So, this puts a question mark on the reliability of this
data, which a very important factor of this study as conclusion has
been derived from this secondary data only. 4. Accuracy: The facts
and findings of the data cannot be accepted as accurate to some
extent as firstly, secondary data was collected. Secondly, for
doing descriptive research time needed to be more, because in short
period you cannot cover each point accurately. 11 12. Core
studyStock marketA stock market is a public market for the trading
of company stock and derivatives at an agreedprice; these are
securities listed on a stock exchange as well as those only traded
privately.The size of the world stock market was estimated at about
$36.6 trillion US at the beginning ofOctober 2008 . The total world
derivatives market has been estimated at about $791 trillion faceor
nominal value, 11 times the size of the entire world economy. The
value of the derivativesmarket, because it is stated in terms of
notional values, cannot be directly compared to a stock ora fixed
income security, which traditionally refers to an actual value.
Moreover, the vast majorityof derivatives cancel each other out
(i.e., a derivative bet on an event occurring is offset by
acomparable derivative bet on the event not occurring.). Many such
relatively illiquid securitiesare valued as marked to model, rather
than an actual market price.)The stocks are listed and traded on
stock exchanges which are entities a corporation or
mutualorganization specialized in the business of bringing buyers
and sellers of the organizations to alisting of stocks and
securities together. The stock market in the United States includes
thetrading of all securities listed on the NYSE, the NASDAQ, the
Amex, as well as on the manyregional exchanges, e.g. OTCBB and Pink
Sheets. European examples of stock exchangesinclude the London
Stock Exchange, the Deutsche Brse and the Paris Bourse, now part
ofEuronext.Function and purposeThe stock market is one of the most
important sources for companies to raise money. Thisallows
businesses to be publicly traded, or raise additional capital for
expansion by selling sharesof ownership of the company in a public
market. The liquidity that an exchange provides affordsinvestors
the ability to quickly and easily sell securities. This is an
attractive feature of investingin stocks, compared to other less
liquid investments such as real estate.12 13. History has shown
that the price of shares and other assets is an important part of
the dynamicsof economic activity, and can influence or be an
indicator of social mood. An economy wherethe stock market is on
the rise is considered to be an up and coming economy. In fact, the
stockmarket is often considered the primary indicator of a countrys
economic strength anddevelopment. Rising share prices, for
instance, tend to be associated with increased businessinvestment
and vice versa. Share prices also affect the wealth of households
and theirconsumption. Therefore, central banks tend to keep an eye
on the control and behavior of thestock market and, in general, on
the smooth operation of financial system functions.
Financialstability is the raison dtre of central banks.Exchanges
also act as the clearinghouse for each transaction, meaning that
they collect anddeliver the shares, and guarantee payment to the
seller of a security. This eliminates the risk toan individual
buyer or seller that the counterparty could default on the
transaction.The smooth functioning of all these activities
facilitates economic growth in that lower costs andenterprise risks
promote the production of goods and services as well as employment.
In thisway the financial system contributes to increased
prosperity.Relation of the stock market to the modern financial
systemThe financial system in most western countries has undergone
a remarkable transformation. Onefeature of this development is
disintermediation. A portion of the funds involved in saving
andfinancing flows directly to the financial markets instead of
being routed via the traditional banklending and deposit
operations. The general publics heightened interest in investing in
the stockmarket, either directly or through mutual funds, has been
an important component of thisprocess. Statistics show that in
recent decades shares have made up an increasingly largeproportion
of households financial assets in many countries. In the 1970s, in
Sweden, depositaccounts and other very liquid assets with little
risk made up almost 60 percent of householdsfinancial wealth,
compared to less than 20 percent in the 2000s. The major part of
thisadjustment in financial portfolios has gone directly to shares
but a good deal now takes the formof various kinds of institutional
investment for groups of individuals, e.g., pension funds,
mutualfunds, hedge funds, insurance investment of premiums, etc.
The trend towards forms of savingwith a higher risk has been
accentuated by new rules for most funds and insurance, permitting a
13 14. higher proportion of shares to bonds. Similar tendencies are
to be found in other industrializedcountries. In all developed
economic systems, such as the European Union, the United
States,Japan and other developed nations, the trend has been the
same: saving has moved away fromtraditional (government insured)
bank deposits to more risky securities of one sort or another.The
stock market, individual investors, and financial riskRiskier
long-term saving requires that an individual possess the ability to
manage the associatedincreased risks. Stock prices fluctuate
widely, in marked contrast to the stability of (governmentinsured)
bank deposits or bonds. This is something that could affect not
only the individualinvestor or household, but also the economy on a
large scale. The following deals with some ofthe risks of the
financial sector in general and the stock market in particular.
This is certainlymore important now that so many newcomers have
entered the stock market, or have acquiredother risky investments
(such as investment property, i.e., real estate and
collectables).With each passing year, the noise level in the stock
market rises. Television commentators,financial writers, analysts,
and market strategists are all overtaking each other to get
investorsattention. At the same time, individual investors,
immersed in chat rooms and message boards,are exchanging
questionable and often misleading tips. Yet, despite all this
availableinformation, investors find it increasingly difficult to
profit. Stock prices skyrocket with littlereason, then plummet just
as quickly, and people who have turned to investing for
theirchildrens education and their own retirement become
frightened. Sometimes there appears to beno rhyme or reason to the
market, only folly.This is a quote from the preface to a published
biography about the long-term value-orientedstock investor Warren
Buffett.[4] Buffett began his career with $100, and $105,000 from
sevenlimited partners consisting of Buffetts family and friends.
Over the years he has built himself amulti-billion-dollar fortune.
The quote illustrates some of what has been happening in the
stockmarket during the end of the 20th century and the beginning of
the 21st century.14 15. Securities and Exchange Board of IndiaSEBI
Bhavan, Mumbai Headquarters of SEBIOrganization DetailsHeadquarters
Mumbai, Maharashtra, IndiaEstablished1992Jurisdiction IndiaHead
ChairmanChairman C B BhaveTerm February 16, 2008 -Total Staff[1]
525Official WebsiteWebsitewww.sebi.gov.inSEBI is the Regulator for
the Securities Market in India. Originally set up by the Government
ofIndia in 1988, it acquired statutory form in 1992 with SEBI Act
1992 being passed by the IndianParliament.Chaired by C B Bhave,
SEBI is headquartered in the popular business district
ofBandra-Kurla complex in Mumbai, and has Northern, Eastern,
Southern and Western regionaloffices in New Delhi, Kolkata, Chennai
and Ahmedabad.Organization StructureChandrasekhar Bhaskar Bhave is
the sixth chairman of the Securities Market Regulator. Prior
totaking charge as Chairman SEBI, he had been the chairman of NSDL
(National SecuritiesDepository Limited) ushering in paperless
securities. Prior to his stint at NSDL, he had servedSEBI as a
Senior Executive Director. He is a former Indian Administrative
Service officer of the1975 batch. The Board comprises[2]Name
Designation As perMr CB BhaveChairman SEBI CHAIRMAN (S.4(1)(a) of
the SEBI Act,15 16. 1992)Member (S.4(1)(b) of the SEBI Act,Mr KP
Krishnan Joint Secretary, Ministry of Finance1992) Secretary,
Ministry of Corporate Member (S.4(1)(b) of the SEBI Act,Mr Anurag
Goel Affairs1992)Dr G Mohan Director, National Judicial Academy,
Member (S.4(1)(d) of the SEBI Act,GopalBhopal 1992)Member
(S.4(1)(d) of the SEBI Act,Mr MS SahooWhole Time Member,
SEBI1992)Member (S.4(1)(d) of the SEBI Act,Dr KM Abraham Whole Time
Member, SEBI1992)Member (S.4(1)(d) of the SEBI Act,Mr Mohandas Pai
Director, Infosys1992)Functions and ResponsibilitiesSEBI has to be
responsive to the needs of three groups, which constitute the
market: the issuers of securities the investors the market
intermediaries.SEBI has three functions rolled into one body
quasi-legislative, quasi-judicial and quasi-executive. It drafts
regulations in its legislative capacity, it conducts investigation
andenforcement action in its executive function and it passes
rulings and orders in its judicialcapacity. Though this makes it
very powerful, there is an appeals process to createaccountability.
There is a Securities Appellate Tribunal which is a three member
tribunal and ispresently headed by a former Chief Justice of a High
court - Mr. Justice NK Sodhi. A secondappeal lies directly to the
Supreme Court. 16 17. SEBI has enjoyed success as a regulator by
pushing systemic reforms aggressively andsuccessively (e.g. the
quick movement towards making the markets electronic and
paperlessrolling settlement on T+2 basis). SEBI has been active in
setting up the regulations as requiredunder law.Stock exchangeA
stock exchange, (formerly a securities exchange) is a corporation
or mutual organizationwhich provides "trading" facilities for stock
brokers and traders, to trade stocks and othersecurities. Stock
exchanges also provide facilities for the issue and redemption of
securities aswell as other financial instruments and capital events
including the payment of income anddividends. The securities traded
on a stock exchange include: shares issued by companies,
unittrusts, derivatives, pooled investment products and bonds. To
be able to trade a security on acertain stock exchange, it has to
be listed there. Usually there is a central location at least
forrecordkeeping, but trade is less and less linked to such a
physical place, as modern markets areelectronic networks, which
gives them advantages of speed and cost of transactions. Trade on
anexchange is by members only. The initial offering of stocks and
bonds to investors is bydefinition done in the primary market and
subsequent trading is done in the secondary market. Astock exchange
is often the most important component of a stock market. Supply and
demand instock markets is driven by various factors which, as in
all free markets, affect the price of stocks(see stock
valuation).There is usually no compulsion to issue stock via the
stock exchange itself, nor must stock besubsequently traded on the
exchange. Such trading is said to be off exchange or
over-the-counter.This is the usual way that derivatives and bonds
are traded. Increasingly, stock exchanges arepart of a global
market for securities.The role of stock exchangesStock exchanges
have multiple roles in the economy, this may include the
following:1. Raising capital for businesses17 18. The Stock
Exchange provide companies with the facility to raise capital for
expansion throughselling shares to the investing
public.2.Mobilizing savings for investmentWhen people draw their
savings and invest in shares, it leads to a more rational
allocation ofresources because funds, which could have been
consumed, or kept in idle deposits with banks,are mobilized and
redirected to promote business activity with benefits for several
economicsectors such as agriculture, commerce and industry,
resulting in stronger economic growth andhigher productivity levels
and firms.3.Facilitating company growthCompanies view acquisitions
as an opportunity to expand product lines, increase
distributionchannels, hedge against volatility, increase its market
share, or acquire other necessary businessassets. A takeover bid or
a merger agreement through the stock market is one of the simplest
andmost common ways for a company to grow by acquisition or
fusion.4.Redistribution of wealthStock exchanges do not exist to
redistribute wealth. However, both casual and professional
stockinvestors, through dividends and stock price increases that
may result in capital gains, will sharein the wealth of profitable
businesses.5.Corporate governanceBy having a wide and varied scope
of owners, companies generally tend to improve on theirmanagement
standards and efficiency in order to satisfy the demands of these
shareholders andthe more stringent rules for public corporations
imposed by public stock exchanges and thegovernment. Consequently,
it is alleged that public companies (companies that are owned
byshareholders who are members of the general public and trade
shares on public exchanges) tendto have better management records
than privately-held companies (those companies whereshares are not
publicly traded, often owned by the company founders and/or their
families and18 19. heirs, or otherwise by a small group of
investors). However, some well-documented cases areknown where it
is alleged that there has been considerable slippage in corporate
governance onthe part of some public companies. The dot-com bubble
in the early 2000s, and the subprimemortgage crisis in 2007-08, are
classical examples of corporate mismanagement. Companies
likePets.com (2000), Enron Corporation (2001), One.Tel (2001),
Sunbeam (2001), Webvan (2001),Adelphia (2002), MCI WorldCom (2002),
Parmalat (2003), American International Group(2008), Lehman
Brothers (2008), and Satyam Computer Services (2009) were among the
mostwidely scrutinized by the media.7.Creating investment
opportunities for small investorsAs opposed to other businesses
that require huge capital outlay, investing in shares is open
toboth the large and small stock investors because a person buys
the number of shares they canafford. Therefore the Stock Exchange
provides the opportunity for small investors to own sharesof the
same companies as large investors.8.Government capital-raising for
development projectsGovernments at various levels may decide to
borrow money in order to finance infrastructureprojects such as
sewage and water treatment works or housing estates by selling
anothercategory of securities known as bonds. These bonds can be
raised through the Stock Exchangewhereby members of the public buy
them, thus loaning money to the government. The issuanceof such
bonds can obviate the need to directly tax the citizens in order to
finance development,although by securing such bonds with the full
faith and credit of the government instead of withcollateral, the
result is that the government must tax the citizens or otherwise
raise additionalfunds to make any regular coupon payments and
refund the principal when the bonds mature.9.Barometer of the
economyAt the stock exchange, share prices rise and fall depending,
largely, on market forces. Shareprices tend to rise or remain
stable when companies and the economy in general show signs
ofstability and growth. An economic recession, depression, or
financial crisis could eventually leadto a stock market crash.
Therefore the movement of share prices and in general of the
stockindexes can be an indicator of the general trend in the
economy. 19 20. Bombay Stock ExchangeIntroductionBombay Stock
Exchange is the oldest stock exchange in Asia with a rich heritage,
now spanningthree centuries in its 133 years of existence. What is
now popularly known as BSE wasestablishedas"The Native Share &
StockBrokersAssociation"in1875.BSE is the first stock exchange in
the country which obtained permanent recognition (in 1956)from the
Government of India under the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act
1956. BSEspivotal and pre-eminent role in the development of the
Indian capital market is widelyrecognized. It migrated from the
open outcry system to an online screen-based order driventrading
system in 1995. Earlier an Association Of Persons (AOP), BSE is now
a corporatisedand demutualised entity incorporated under the
provisions of the Companies Act, 1956, pursuantto the BSE
(Corporatisation and Demutualisation) Scheme, 2005 notified by the
Securities andExchange Board of India (SEBI). With demutualisation,
BSE has two of worlds best exchanges,Deutsche Brseand Singapore
Exchange, asits strategicpartners.Over the past 133 years, BSE has
facilitated the growth of the Indian corporate sector byproviding
it with an efficient access to resources. There is perhaps no major
corporate in Indiawhich has not sourced BSEs services in raising
resources from the capital market.Today, BSE is the worlds number 1
exchange in terms of the number of listed companies andthe worlds
5th in transaction numbers. The market capitalization as on
December 31, 2007 stoodat USD 1.79 trillion . An investor can
choose from more than 4,700 listed companies, which
foreasyreference, areclassified intoA,B,S, TandZ groups.The BSE
Index, SENSEX, is Indias first stock market index that enjoys an
iconic stature , and istracked worldwide. It is an index of 30
stocks representing 12 major sectors. The SENSEX isconstructed on a
free-float methodology, and is sensitive to market sentiments and
marketrealities. Apart from the SENSEX, BSE offers 21 indices,
including 12 sectoral indices. BSE hasentered into an index
cooperation agreement with Deutsche Brse. This agreement has made20
21. SENSEX and other BSE indices available to investors in Europe
and America. Moreover,Barclays Global Investors (BGI), the global
leader in ETFs through its iShares brand, hascreated the iShares
BSE SENSEX India Tracker which tracks the SENSEX. The ETFenables
investors in Hong Kong to take an exposure to the Indian equity
market.The first Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) on SENSEX, called
"SPIcE" is listed on BSE. It bringsto the investors a trading tool
that can be easily used for the purposes of investment,
trading,hedging and arbitrage. SPIcE allows small investors to take
a long-term view of the market.BSE provides an efficient and
transparent market for trading in equity, debt instruments
andderivatives. It has a nation-wide reach with a presence in more
than 359 cities and towns ofIndia. BSE has always been at par with
the international standards. The systems and processesare designed
to safeguard market integrity and enhance transparency in
operations. BSE is thefirst exchange in India and the second in the
world to obtain an ISO 9001:2000 certification. It isalso the first
exchange in the country and second in the world to receive
Information SecurityManagement System Standard BS 7799-2-2002
certification for its BSE On-line Trading System(BOLT).BSE
continues to innovate. In recent times, it has become the first
national level stock exchangeto launch its website in Gujarati and
Hindi to reach out to a larger number of investors. It
hassuccessfully launched a reporting platform for corporate bonds
in India christened the ICDM orIndian Corporate Debt Market and a
unique ticker-cum-screen aptly named BSE Broadcastwhich enables
information disseminationto the commonmanonthe street.In 2006, BSE
launched the Directors Database and ICERS (Indian Corporate
ElectronicReporting System) to facilitate information flow and
increase transparency in the Indian capitalmarket. While the
Directors Database provides a single-point access to information on
theboards of directors of listed companies, the ICERS facilitates
the corporates in sharing with BSEtheir corporate announcements.BSE
also has a wide range of services to empower investors and
facilitate smooth transactions:21 22. Investor Services: The
Department of Investor Services redresses grievances of investors.
BSE was the first exchange in the country to provide an amount of
Rs.1 million towards the investor protection fund; it is an amount
higher than that of any exchange in the country. BSE launched a
nationwide investor awareness programme- Safe Investing in the
Stock Market under which 264 programmeswere held inmore than200
cities. The BSE On-line Trading (BOLT): BSE On-line Trading (BOLT)
facilitates on-line screen based trading in securities. BOLT is
currently operating in 25,000 Trader Workstations located
acrossover 359 cities in India. BSEWEBX.com: In February 2001, BSE
introduced the worlds first centralized exchange- based Internet
trading system, BSEWEBX.com. This initiative enables investors
anywhere in the worldtotradeontheBSEplatform. Surveillance: BSEs
On-Line Surveillance System (BOSS) monitors on a real-time basis
the price movements, volume positions and members positions and
real-time measurement of default risk,
marketreconstructionandgeneration ofcrossmarketalerts. BSE Training
Institute: BTI imparts capital market training and certification,
in collaboration with reputed management institutes and
universities. It offers over 40 courses on various aspects of the
capital market and financial sector. More than 20,000 people have
attended the BTI programmesAwardsThe World Council of Corporate
Governance has awarded the Golden Peacock Global CSRAward for BSEs
initiatives in Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). The Annual
Reports and Accounts of BSE for the year ended March 31, 2006 and
March31 2007 have been awarded the ICAI awards for excellence in
financial reporting. 22 23. The Human Resource Management at BSE
has won the Asia - Pacific HRM awards for its efforts in employer
branding through talent management at work, health management at
work and excellence in HR through technologyDrawing from its rich
past and its equally robust performance in the recent times, BSE
willcontinue to remain an icon in the Indian capital
market.HistoryFor the premier stock exchange that pioneered the
securities transaction business in India, over acentury of
experience is a proud achievement. A lot has changed since 1875
when 318 personsby paying a then princely amount of Re. 1, became
members of what today is called BombayStockExchange
Limited(BSE).Over the decades, the stock market in the country has
passed through good and bad periods. Thejourney in the 20th century
has not been an easy one. Till the decade of eighties, there was
nomeasure or scale that could precisely measure the various ups and
downs in the Indian stockmarket. BSE, in 1986, came out with a
Stock Index-SENSEX- that subsequently became thebarometer
oftheIndian stock market.The launch of SENSEX in 1986 was later
followed up in January 1989 by introduction of BSENational Index
(Base: 1983-84 = 100). It comprised 100 stocks listed at five major
stockexchanges in India - Mumbai, Calcutta, Delhi, Ahmedabad and
Madras. The BSE National Indexwas renamed BSE-100 Index from
October 14, 1996 and since then, it is being calculated takinginto
consideration only the prices of stocks listed at BSE. BSE launched
the dollar-linked versionofBSE-100indexon May22, 2006.With a view
to provide a better representation of the increasing number of
listed companies,larger market capitalization and the new industry
sectors, BSE launched on 27th May, 1994 twonew index series viz.,
the BSE-200 and the DOLLEX-200. Since then, BSE has come a longway
in attuning itself to the varied needs of investors and market
participants. In order to fulfillthe need for still broader,
segment-specific and sector-specific indices, BSE has
continuously23 24. been increasing the range of its indices.
BSE-500 Index and 5 sectoral indices were launched in1999. In 2001,
BSE launched BSE-PSU Index, DOLLEX-30 and the countrys first
free-floatbased index - the BSE TECk Index. Over the years, BSE
shifted all its indices to the free-floatmethodologyNational Stock
Exchange of IndiaNational Stock Exchange LimitedTypeStock
ExchangeLocationMumbai, India19337N
725135E/19.06028NCoordinates72.85972E/19.06028; 72.85972Owner
National Stock Exchange of India LimitedKey peopleMr. Ravi Narain
(Managing Director & CEO)CurrencyINRNo. of listings
1587MarketCap US$ 1.46 trillion (2006)S&P CNX NiftyIndexes CNX
Nifty JuniorS&P CNX 500Website http://www.nse-india.com/24 25.
NSE is mutually-owned by a set of leading financial institutions,
banks, insurance companiesand The National Stock Exchange of India
Limited (NSE), is a Mumbai-based stockexchange. It is the largest
stock exchange in India in terms of daily turnover and number
oftrades, for both equities and derivative trading.[1]. Though a
number of other exchanges exist,NSE and the Bombay Stock Exchange
are the two most significant stock exchanges in India, andbetween
them are responsible for the vast majority of share transactions.
The NSEs key index isthe S&P CNX Nifty, known as the Nifty, an
index of fifty major stocks weighted by marketcapitalisation.other
financial intermediaries in India but its ownership and management
operate as separateentities. There are at least 2 foreign investors
NYSE Euronext and Goldman Sachs who havetaken a stake in the NSE.
As of 2006[update], the NSE VSAT terminals, 2799 in total,
covermore than 1500 cities across India . In October 2007, the
equity market capitalization of thecompanies listed on the NSE was
US$ 1.46 trillion, making it the second largest stock exchangein
South Asia. NSE is the third largest Stock Exchange in the world in
terms of the number oftrades in equities. It is the second fastest
growing stock exchange in the world with a recordedgrowth of
16.6%.OriginsNSE building at BKCThe National Stock Exchange of
India was promoted by leadingFinancial institutions at the behest
of the Government of India, andwas incorporated in November 1992 as
a tax-paying company. InApril 1993, it was recognized as a stock
exchange under theSecurities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956. NSE
commenced operations in the Wholesale DebtMarket (WDM) segment in
June 1994. The Capital Market (Equities) segment of the
NSEcommenced operations in November 1994, while operations in the
Derivatives segmentcommenced in June 2000.Innovations 25 26. NSE
has remained in the forefront of modernization of Indias capital
and financial markets, andits pioneering efforts include: Being the
first national, anonymous, electronic limit order book (LOB)
exchange to tradesecurities in India. Since the success of the NSE,
existent market and new marketstructures have followed the "NSE"
model. Setting up the first clearing corporation "National
Securities Clearing Corporation Ltd."in India. NSCCL was a landmark
in providing innovation on all spot equity market (andlater,
derivatives market) trades in India. Co-promoting and setting up of
National Securities Depository Limited, first depositoryin
India[2]. Setting up of S&P CNX Nifty. NSE pioneered
commencement of Internet Trading in February 2000, which led to
thewide popularization of the NSE in the broker community. Being
the first exchange that, in 1996, proposed exchange traded
derivatives, particularlyon an equity index, in India. After four
years of policy and regulatory debate andformulation, the NSE was
permitted to start trading equity derivatives Being the first and
the only exchange to trade GOLD ETFs (exchange traded funds)
inIndia. NSE has also launched the NSE-CNBC-TV18 media centre in
association with CNBC-TV18, it is the one of the most important
stock exchange in the world.S&P CNX NiftyS&P CNX Nifty is a
well diversified 50 stock index accounting for 21 sectors of the
economy. Itis used for a variety of purposes such as benchmarking
fund portfolios, index based derivativesandindex funds.S&P CNX
Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products
Ltd. (IISL), which26 27. is a joint venture between NSE and CRISIL.
IISL is Indias first specialised company focusedupon the index as a
core product. IISL has a Marketing and licensing agreement with
Standard &Poors (S&P), who are world leaders in index
services. The total traded value for the last six months of all
Nifty stocks is approximately 65.68%of the traded value of all
stocks on the NSE Nifty stocks represent about 65.34% of the total
market capitalization as on Mar 31,2009. Impact cost of the S&P
CNX Nifty for a portfolio size of Rs.2 crore is 0.16% S&P CNX
Nifty is professionally maintained and is ideal for derivatives
tradingSensex & the NiftyThe Sensex is an "index". What is an
index? An index is basically an indicator. It gives you ageneral
idea about whether most of the stocks have gone up or most of the
stocks have gonedown.The Sensex isan indicatorof all
themajorcompanies of the BSE.The Niftyisan indicator of all
themajorcompanies ofthe NSE.If the Sensex goes up, it means that
the prices of the stocks of most of the major companies onthe BSE
have gone up. If the Sensex goes down, this tells you that the
stock price of most of themajor stocksonthe BSEhave gonedown.Just
like the Sensex represents the top stocks of the BSE, the Nifty
represents the top stocks ofthe NSE.Just in case you are confused,
the BSE, is the Bombay Stock Exchange and the NSE is theNational
Stock Exchange. The BSE is situated at Bombay and the NSE is
situated at Delhi.These are the major stock exchanges in the
country. There are other stock exchanges like theCalcutta Stock
Exchange etc. but they are not as popular as the BSE and the
NSE.Most of thestocktradinginthecountryis done though theBSE&
the NSE.27 28. Besides Sensex and the Nifty there are many other
indexes. There is an index that gives you anidea about whether the
mid-cap stocks go up and down. This is called the BSE Mid-cap
Index.The reasons for stock prices going "up" and "down"Stock
prices change every day because of market forces. By this we mean
that stock priceschange because of supply and demand. If more
people want to buy a stock (demand) than sellit (supply),then
thepricemoves up!Conversely, if more people wanted to sell a stock
than buy it, there would be greater supply
thandemand,andthepricewouldfall.(Basicsofeconomics!)Understanding
supply and demand is easy. What is difficult to understand is what
makes peoplelike a particular stock and dislike another stock. If
you understand this, you will know whatpeople are buying and what
people are selling. If you know this you will know what prices go
upandwhatpricesgo down!To figure out the likes and dislikes of
people, you have to figure out what news is positive for acompany
and what news is negative and how any news about a company will be
interpreted bythepeople.The most important factor that affects the
value of a company is its earnings. Earnings are theprofit a
company makes, and in the long run no company can survive without
them. It makessense when you think about it. If a company never
makes money, it isnt going to stay inbusiness. Public companies are
required to report their earnings four times a year (once
eachquarter).Dalal Street watches with great attention at these
times, which are referred to as earningsseasons. The reason behind
this is that analysts base their future value of a company on
theirearnings projection.If a companys results are better than
expected, the price jumps up. If a companys resultsdisappoint and
areworsethan expected,then the price will fall. 28 29. Of course,
its not just earnings that can change the feeling people have about
a stock. It wouldbe a rather simple world if this were the case!
During the dotcom bubble, for example, thestock price of dozens of
internet companies rose without ever making even the smallest
profit.As we all know, these high stock prices did not hold, and
most internet companies saw theirvalues shrink to a fraction of
their highs. Still, this fact demonstrates that there are factors
otherthancurrent earningsthat influence stocks.So, what are "all
the factors" that affect the stocks price? The best answer is that
nobody reallyknows for sure. Some believe that it isnt possible to
predict how stock prices will change, whileothers think that by
drawing charts and looking at past price movements, you can
determinewhen to buy and sell. The only thing we do know is that
stocks are volatile and can change inprice very very rapidly.The
reasons for which companies issue stocksWhy would the founders
share the profits with thousands of people when they could keep
profits to themselves? The reason is that at some point every
company needs to "raise money". To do this, companies can either
borrow it from somebody or raise it by selling part of the company,
which is knownas issuing stock. A company can borrow by taking a
loan from a bank or by issuing bonds. Both methods come under "debt
financing". On the other hand, issuing stock is called equity
financing. Issuing stock is advantageous for the company because it
does not require the company to pay backthe money
ormakeinterestpaymentsalong the way. All that the shareholders get
in return for their money is the hope that the shares will someday
be worth more than what they paid for them. The first sale of a
stock, which is issued by the private company itself, is called the
initial public offering (IPO). It is important that you understand
the distinction between a company financing through29 30. debt and
financing through equity. When you buy a debt investment such as a
bond, you areguaranteed the return of your money (the principal)
along with promised interest payments.This isnt the case with an
equity investment. By becoming an owner, you assume the risk ofthe
company not being successful - just as a small business owner isnt
guaranteed a return,neither is a shareholder. Shareholders earn a
lot if a company is successful, but they alsostand to lose their
entire investment if the company isnt successful.Stock Picking
Having understood all the basics of the stock market and the risk
involved, nowwe will go into stock picking and how to pick the
right stock. Before picking the right stockyou need to do some
analysis.There are two major types of analysis:1. Fundamental
Analysis2. Technical AnalysisFundamental analysis is the analysis
of a stock on the basis of core financial and economicanalysis to
predict the movement of stocks price.On the other hand, technical
analysis is the study of prices and volume, for forecasting of
futurestock price or financial price movements.Simply put,
fundamental analysis looks at the actual company and tries to
figure out what thecompany price is going to be like in the future.
On the other hand technical analysis look atthe stocks chart,
peoples buying behavior etc. to try and figure out what the stock
price isgoing to be like in the future.In this article we will go
into the basics of fundamental analysis. Technical analysis is a
littlemore complicated. It is much more of an "art" than a science.
It depends more on experienceand involves some statistics and
mathematics, so explaining technical analysis is out of thescope of
this article.Calculation of BSE SENSEX30 31. This article explains
how the value of the BSE Sensex or sensitive index is calculated.
If youare not sure what we mean by the Sensex or what the Sensex is
all about, you can find thisout by reading our How to make money in
the stock market? article.The Sensex has a very important function.
The Sensex is supposed to be an indicator of thestocks in the BSE.
It is supposed to show whether the stocks are generally going up,
orgenerally going down.To show this accurately, the Sensex is
calculated taking into consideration stock prices of 30different
BSE listed companies. It is calculated using the free-float market
capitalizationmethod. This is a world wide accepted method as one
of the best methods for calculating astockmarketindex.Please note:
The method used for calculating the Sensex and the 30 companies
that are takeninto consideration are changed from time to time.
This is done to make the Sensex anaccurate index and so that it
represents the BSE stocks properly.3 important things you must know
and follow as an new investor!You need to KNOW some unforgettable
basics before you enter the world of investing instocks. The stock
market is a field dominated by savvy investors who know the
ins-and-outs ofthe market. For people who are not on the inside,
the stock market can be a VERY dangerousplace. :Dont even consider
"tips" that tell you about "hot stocks". Consider the source: There
are manypeople in the market who put in all their time and effort
in promoting certain stocks. They dothis because they have their
money invested in those stocks. If they can get enough people tobuy
the stock and they can get the stock price to rise, they will sell
the stock for a huge price,the stock price will crash and they will
walk off to promote another stock.Always use your own brain: Its
extremely important. You must always use your own brain.Relying on
the advice of others, no matter how well intentioned it may be, is
almost always acomplete disaster. Make sure you dig in and really
examine the "facts about the companies"31 32. before you invest.
Ignore press releases which have very little substance, and rely on
"hype" totell the companys story.And finally the most important
tip!!!Only invest money you can afford to lose!! Sure this is a
basic point, but many many peoplemiss it. You should only invest
money that you can honestly afford to lose!! Everyone entersinto
investments with the idea of earning big profits, but in many
cases, this never works.(Especially if you are new to investing in
the stock market!)Please understand that the above tips are tips
for beginners. Once you really get into the stockmarket you do not
need to follow these rules anymore. But if you are a new investor,
you MUSTfollow these rules. They are for your own safety.But then
again, nothing comes free. Everything has a price. You will have to
loose some money,make some bad decisions and then only will you
really understand the market. You cannotunderstand the market by
just looking at it from far. By following these rules, you will
basicallynot loose too much!DerivativesCommodities whose value is
derived from the price of some underlying asset like
securities,commodities, bullion, currency, interest level, stock
market index or anything else are known asDerivatives.In more
simpler form, derivatives are financial security such as an option
or future whose valueis derived in part from the value and
characteristics of another security, the underlying asset.It is a
generic term for a variety of financial instruments. Essentially,
this means you buy apromise to convey ownership of the asset,
rather than the asset itself. The legal terms of acontract are much
more varied and flexible than the terms of property ownership. In
fact, its thisflexibility that appeals to investors32 33. .When a
person invests in derivative, the underlying asset is usually a
commodity, bond, stock, orcurrency. He bet that the value derived
from the underlying asset will increase or decrease by acertain
amountwithin acertainfixedperiod of time.Futures and options are
two commodity traded types of derivatives. An options contractgives
the owner the right to buy or sell an asset at a set price on or
before a given date. On theother hand, the owner of a futures
contract is obligated to buy or sell the asset.The other examples
of derivatives are warrants and convertible bonds (similar to
shares in thatthey are assets). But derivatives are usually
contracts. Beyond this, the derivatives range is onlylimited by the
imagination of investment banks. It is likely that any person who
has fundsinvested, an insurance policy or a pension fund, that they
are investing in, and exposed to,derivatives wittingly or
unwittingly.Shares or bonds are financial assets where one can
claim on another person or corporation; theywill be usually be
fairly standardised and governed by the property of securities laws
in anappropriate country.On the other hand, a contract is merely an
agreement between two parties, where thecontract details may not be
standardized.Derivatives securities or derivatives products are in
real terms contracts rather than solid as itfairly sounds. India
Commodity Market 33 34. The vast geographical extent of India and
her huge population is aptly complemented by the sizeof her market.
The broadest classification of the Indian Market can be made in
terms of thecommodity market and the bond market. Here, we shall
deal with the former in a little detail.The commodity market in
India comprises of all palpable markets that we come across in
ourdaily lives. Such markets are social institutions that
facilitate exchange of goods for money. Thecost of goods is
estimated in terms of domestic currency . India Commodity Market
can besubdivided into the following two categories: Wholesale
Market Retail MarketLet us now take a look at what the present
scenario of each of the above markets is like.The traditional
wholesale market in India dealt with whole sellers who bought goods
from thefarmers and manufacturers and then sold them to the
retailers after making a profit in theprocess. It was the retailers
who finally sold the goods to the consumers. With the passage
oftime the importance of whole sellers began to fade out for the
following reasons: The whole sellers in most situations, acted as
mere parasites who did not add any value to the product but raised
its price which was eventually faced by the consumers. The
improvement in transport facilities made the retailers directly
interact with the producers and hence the need for whole sellers
was not felt.In recent years,the extent of the retail market (both
organized and unorganized) has evolved inleaps and bounds. In fact,
the success stories of the commodity market of India in recent
yearshas mainly centered around the growth generated by the Retail
Sector. Almost everycommodity under the sun both agricultural and
industrial are now being provided at welldistributed retail outlets
throughout the country.Moreover, the retail outlets belong to both
the organized as well as the unorganized sector. Theunorganized
retail outlets of the yesteryears consist of small shop owners who
are price takerswhere consumers face a highly competitive price
structure. The organized sector on the otherhand are owned by
various business houses like Pantaloons, Reliance, Tata and others.
Such 34 35. markets are usually sell a wide range of articles both
agricultural and manufactured, edible andinedible, perishable and
durable. Modern marketing strategies and other techniques of
salespromotion enable such markets to draw customers from every
section of the society. Howeverthe growth of such markets has still
centered around the urban areas primarily due toinfrastructural
limitations.Considering the present growth rate, the total
valuation of the Indian Retail Market isestimated to cross Rs.
10,000 billion by the year 2010. Demand for commodities is likely
tobecome four times by 2010 than what it presently is. Money
MarketWhen the stock prices show a downward trend , then it becomes
risky to keep savings there.Although the stock market is associated
with high risks and high returns , many are risk averseand prefer
to invest in the more secure money market .The money market deals
with very short term debt securities that mature in less than a
year.Since the money market is extremely safe, it yields very low
returns unlike the bond market.The money market securities that are
issued by the government or financial institutions or
largecorporations are very liquid. Since the money market
securities trade at very high denominationsit becomes very
difficult for the individual investors to have access to it.The
money market is a type of a dealer market where firms purchase
securities in their ownaccount by assuming the risks themselves.
Unlike the stock exchanges the money marketsecurities do not
operate in exchanges or through brokers. Transactions take place
over phone orthe electronic system.One may browse through the
following links to have a more detailed information about
moneymarket.Money Market DefinitionMoney Market Definition is
simply meant as the short-term debt market. Treasury Bills and 35
36. certificate of deposits are regarded as the instruments in the
money market.World Money MarketWorld Money Market has been
providing origination, trading and the distribution of
short-termdebt instruments across different regions over the world.
Find detailed on the world moneymarket.Money Market Index Money
Market Index is a true indicator of the prevailing money
market,which renders a clear-cut idea on making investment.Money
Market RatesMoney Market Rates can be simply defined as the market
rates including the broker call loan rate,federal funds rate, rates
on bankers acceptance etc. Get the method of finding the money
marketrates.Major Factors That Affect Stock Price in stock market
globallyWhen you wish to invest in the stock market, then you
should always make a good survey of thewhole market. As you know
that you cannot predict the stock market, so in that case you need
toknow the functioning of the market. There are some major factors
that affect stock price. Solet us discuss about the different
factors affecting the stock price in this article.Demand AND
SUPPLYOne of the major factors affecting stock price is demand and
supply. The trend of the stockmarket trading directly affects the
price. When people are buying more stocks, then the price ofthat
particular stock increases. On the other hand if people are selling
more stocks, then the priceof that stock falls. So, you should be
very careful when you decide to invest in the Indian
stockmarket.Market Cap36 37. Never try to guess the worth of a
company simply by comparing the price of the stock. Youshould
always keep in mind that it is not the stock but the market
capitalization of the companythat determines the worth of the
company. So market cap is another factor that affects
stockprice."Market Capitalization"?You probably think that you have
never heard of the term market capitalization before. Youhave! When
you are talking about mid-cap, small-cap and large-cap stocks, you
aretalking about market capitalization!Market cap or market
capitalization is simply the worth of a company in terms of its
shares! Toput it in a simple way, if you were to buy all the shares
of a particular company, what is theamount you would have to pay?
That amount is called the market capitalization!To calculate the
market cap of a particular company, simply multiply the current
share priceby the number of shares issued by the company! Just to
give you an idea, ONGC, has a marketcapof Rs.170,705.21 Cr(when
this articlewas written)Depending on the value of the market cap,
the company will either be a mid-cap or large-cap or small-cap
company! Now the question is, how do YOU calculate the market cap
of aparticular company? You dont! Just go to a website like
MoneyControl.com and look up thecompany whose market cap you are
interested in finding out! The figure in front of Mkt. Capwill be
the market cap value.NewsWhen you get positive news about a company
then it can increase the buying interest in themarket. On the other
hand, when there is a negative press release, it can ruin the
prospect of astock. In this case you should remember that news
should not matter much but the overallperformance of the company
matters more. So, news is another factor affecting stock
price.Earning/Price Ratio37 38. Another important factor affecting
stock price is the earning/price ratio. This gives you a fairidea
of a companys share price when it is compared to its earnings. The
stock becomesundervalued if the price of the share is much lower
than the earnings of a company. But if this isthe case, then it has
the potential to rise in the near future. The stock becomes
overvalued if theprice is much higher than the actual earning.So,
these are the major factors that affect stock price.Day TradingDay
trading (and trading in general) is the buying and selling of
various financial instruments,such as futures, options, currencies,
and stocks, with the goal of making a profit from thedifference
between the buying price and the selling price. Day trading differs
slightly from otherstyles of trading in that positions are rarely
(if ever) held overnight or when the market beingtraded is
closed.Day trading was originally only available to financial
companies (such as banks), because onlythey had access to the
exchanges and market data. But with recent technology such as
theInternet, individual traders now have direct access to the same
exchanges and market data, andcan make the same trades at very low
cost.Trading StylesThere are several different styles of day
trading, suited to different day trader personalities. Thestyles
range from short term trading such as scalping where positions are
only held for a fewseconds or minutes, to longer term swing and
position trading where a position may be heldthroughout the trading
day. Most day trading systems have a lot of flexibility, and can
have openpositions for anywhere from a few minutes to a few hours,
depending upon how the trade isdoing (whether it is in profit).
Some day traders will trade multiple styles, but most traders
willchoose a single style and only take that type of trade.38 39.
Day trading also has different types of trade, such as trend
trades, counter-trend trades, andranging trades. Trend trades are
trades in the direction of the current price movement (i.e.
buyingif the price is moving up), and counter-trend trades are
trades against the direction of the currentprice movement (i.e.
selling if the price is moving up). Ranging trades are trades that
go backand forth between two prices, and are used when the market
is moving sideways. Most daytraders will choose a single type of
trade, but some traders will take different types, and choosewhich
one to trade depending upon the current condition of the market.In
addition to the style and type of day trading, there are other
variances between day traders.Some day traders like to make many
trades throughout the trading day, while others prefer towait for
what they consider the best conditions for their trade, and perhaps
only make one tradeper day. However many trades are made, the
trading process that is used, and the desired goal ofmaking a
profit, are the same. Current State of the Indian Economy: Capital
Inflows During the April-January period of 2008-09, India attracted
total foreign investments of US $ 15,545 million. The foreign
direct investment (FDI) stood at US $ 27,426 million, while the
portfolio investment stood at US $ -11,881 million. Monthly trends
in foreign investments ($ million) Foreign directTotal
foreignMonths Portfolio investmentsinvestmentsinvestments
2007-2007-08(P) 2008-09(P) 2007-08(P) 2008-09(P) 2008-09(P)
08(P)April164337491974-880 3617 2869May 2120 39321852-288 3972
364439 40. June1238 23923664 -30104902-618July7052247 6713-492
74181755August8312328-2875 593-20442921September 71325627081
-140377941159October 2027 14979564-524311591-3746November1864 1083
-107-574 1757509December1558 13625294 30 68521392January 1767
27336739 -614 85062119February5670 - -8904- -3234-March 4438 -
-1600-2838-April- - 27426 - -11881- 15545January Source: Reserve
Bank of India (RBI)Stock Market Trends* NSE - 50, i.e., Nifty has
been rechristened asS & P CNX Nifty with effectBSE Sensitive
Index BSE - 100 S & P CNX Nifty *(Base : 1978 - 79 = 100) (Base
: 1983 - 84 = 100)(Base : November 3, 1995 =
1000)AveragHighLowAverage HighLow Aver- HighLoweage1234 5 6 7891040
41. Jan-08 19325.6 20873.33 16729.94 10526.54 11509.96 8895.64
5756.35 6287.85 4899.305Feb-08 17727.5 18663.16 16608.01 9435.60
9969.59 8785.88 5201.56 5483.90 4838.254Mar- 15838.3 16677.88
14809.49 8363.58 8907.23 7828.01 4769.50 4953.00
4503.10088Apr-0816290.9 17378.46 15343.12 8627.59 9240.57 8095.02
4901.91 5195.50 4647.009May- 16945.6 17600.12 16275.59 8982.20
9348.64 8621.84 5028.66 5228.20 4835.30085June- 14997.2 16063.18
13461.60 7909.28 8488.62 7029.74 4463.79 4739.60 4040.55088July-
13716.1 14942.28 12575.80 7143.71 7760.32 6580.67 4124.60 4476.80
3816.70088Aug-0814722.1 15503.92 14048.34 7704.75 8101.48 7362.49
4417.12 4620.40 4214.003Sept- 13942.8 15049.86 12595.75 7276.35
7860.87 6564.06 4206.69 4504.00 3850.05081Oct-08 10549.6 13055.67
8509.56 5432.92 6776.87 4343.21 3210.22 3950.75
2524.205Nov-089453.96 10631.12 8451.01 4823.36 5396.09 4332.17
2834.79 3148.25 2553.15Dec-08 9513.58 10099.91 8739.24 4864.55
5181.94 4443.50 2895.80 3077.50 2656.45Jan-09 9350.42 10335.93
8674.35 4802.01 5328.95 4441.84 2854.36 3121.45 2678.5541 42. Full
Market52 Week TurnoverCapitalisation INDICES% to % to Total
CloseHigh Low (Rs. crore)Total(Rs. crore) TurnoverMkt CapSENSEX
14,060.66 17,293.34
7,697.392,120,875.4647.082,622.9331.17MIDCAP4,673.777,162.60
2,547.91 623,990.54 13.852,638.6531.36SMLCAP5,208.188,802.18
2,864.24 211,367.384.69906.6810.77BSE-100 7,285.259,186.01
3,949.133,450,102.1376.595,528.2865.69BSE-200
1,692.432,157.02921.75 3,897,398.1886.526,917.4282.20BSE-500
5,240.706,890.08 2,899.284,262,866.2494.648,019.1295.29BSE Sectoral
IndicesAUTO4,516.634,888.65 2,127.86 137,683.583.06184.56
2.19BANKEX7,919.538,688.54 3,598.92 407,161.959.04663.40
7.88CD2,516.144,774.05 1,428.75 12,251.27 0.27 48.02 0.57CG
11,411.90 13,744.98 5,393.91 284,809.366.32735.60
8.74FMCG2,112.102,505.60 1,549.27 182,863.454.06128.70
1.53HC3,330.604,602.15 2,490.86 123,485.992.74202.39
2.41IT2,853.964,746.59 1,987.81 253,874.535.64272.77 3.24METAL
9,907.46 17,408.60 3,806.79 373,805.718.30660.86 7.85OIL&GAS
9,607.54 11,472.37 4,569.45 807,925.77 17.94977.7711.62POWER
2,741.623,312.77 1,274.88 533,748.38 11.85756.38 8.99PSU
7,427.207,750.93 3,853.281,346,803.0429.90668.18
7.94REALTY3,361.438,001.23 1,297.82 104,081.662.311,042.1612.3842
43. TECk 2,472.723,664.41 1,618.77570,638.9912.67750.158.91BSE
Dollex IndicesDOLLEX-302,423.643,328.130.00 -- -- -- --DOLLEX-
1,582.322,227.590.00 -- -- -- --100DOLLEX- 591.58841.820.00 -- --
-- --200Note : The market capitalisation of all the indices is free
float market capitalisation except for BSEPSU.Trends in Inflation
43 44. (1) Index Numbers Of Wholesale Prices in India ( Monthly
Averages) (Base: 1993-94 = 100) Year MonthAllPrimary Fuel, Power,
Manufactured CommoditiesArticlesLight &ProductsLubricants 2006
January196.30 194.78310.80 171.28 February196.43 192.88314.10
171.40 March 196.75 191.90315.50 171.90 April 199.02 195.84317.00
173.76 May 201.30 200.63320.08 175.05 June203.10 205.05324.73
175.30 July204.02 202.76326.94 177.00 August205.28 204.93328.80
177.83 September 207.76 211.72330.32 179.08 44 45. ForexAn overview
of the Forex marketThe Forex market is a non-stop cash market where
currencies of nations are traded, typically viabrokers. Foreign
currencies are constantly and simultaneously bought and sold across
local andglobal markets and traders investments increase or
decrease in value based upon currencymovements. Foreign exchange
market conditions can change at any time in response to
real-timeevents.The main enticements of currency dealing to private
investors and attractions for short-termForex trading are: 24-hour
trading, 5 days a week with non-stop access to global Forex
dealers. An enormous liquid market making it easy to trade most
currencies. Volatile markets offering profit opportunities.
Standard instruments for controlling risk exposure. The ability to
profit in rising or falling markets. Leveraged trading with low
margin requirements. Many options for zero commission trading.Forex
tradingThe investors goal in Forex trading is to profit from
foreign currency movements. Forex tradingor currency trading is
always done in currency pairs. For example, the exchange rate
ofEUR/USD on Aug 26th, 2003 was 1.0857. This number is also
referred to as a "Forex rate" orjust "rate" for short. If the
investor had bought 1000 euros on that date, he would have
paid1085.70 U.S. dollars. One year later, the Forex rate was
1.2083, which means that the value ofthe euro (the numerator of the
EUR/USD ratio) increased in relation to the U.S. dollar. The45 46.
investor could now sell the 1000 euros in order to receive 1208.30
dollars. Therefore, theinvestor would have USD 122.60 more than
what he had started one year earlier. However, toknow if the
investor made a good investment, one needs to compare this
investment option toalternative investments. At the very minimum,
the return on investment (ROI) should becompared to the return on a
"risk-free" investment. One example of a risk-free investment
islong-term U.S. government bonds since there is practically no
chance for a default, i.e. the U.S.government going bankrupt or
being unable or unwilling to pay its debt obligation.When trading
currencies, trade only when you expect the currency you are buying
to increase invalue relative to the currency you are selling. If
the currency you are buying does increase invalue, you must sell
back the other currency in order to lock in a profit. An open trade
(alsocalled an open position) is a trade in which a trader has
bought or sold a particular currency pairand has not yet sold or
bought back the equivalent amount to close the position.However, it
is estimated that anywhere from 70%-90% of the FX market is
speculative. In otherwords, the person or institution that bought
or sold the currency has no plan to actually takedelivery of the
currency in the end; rather, they were solely speculating on the
movement of thatparticular currency.Forex-ForecastingThis article
provides insight into the two major methods of analysis used to
forecast the behaviorof the Forex market. Technical analysis and
fundamental analysis differ greatly, but both canbe useful forecast
tools for the Forex trader. They have the same goal - to predict a
price ormovement. The technician studies the effect while the
fundamentalist studies the cause ofmarket movement. Many successful
traders combine a mixture of both approaches forsuperior
results.AnalysisTechnical analysis is a method of predicting price
movements and future market trends bystudying charts of past market
action. Technical analysis is concerned with what has actually46
47. happened in the market, rather than what should happen and
takes into account the price ofinstruments and the volume of
trading, and creates charts from that data to use as the
primarytool. One major advantage of technical analysis is that
experienced analysts can follow manymarkets and market instruments
simultaneously.Technical analysis is built on three essential
principles:1. Market action discounts everything! This means that
the actual price is a reflection ofeverything that is known to the
market that could affect it, for example, supply and
demand,political factors and market sentiment. However, the pure
technical analyst is only concernedwith price movements, not with
the reasons for any changes.2. Prices move in trends Technical
analysis is used to identify patterns of market behavior thathave
long been recognized as significant. For many given patterns there
is a high probability thatthey will produce the expected results.
Also, there are recognized patterns that repeat themselveson a
consistent basis.3. History repeats itself Forex chart patterns
have been recognized and categorized for over 100years and the
manner in which many patterns are repeated leads to the conclusion
that humanpsychology changes little over time.Forex charts are
based on market action involving price. There are five categories
in Forextechnical analysis theory:Indicators (oscillators, e.g.:
Relative Strength Index (RSI)Number theory (Fibonacci numbers, Gann
numbers)Waves (Elliott wave theory)Gaps (high-low,
open-closing)Trends (following moving average).Some major technical
analysis tools are described below:Relative Strength Index (RSI):
47 48. The RSI measures the ratio of up-moves to down-moves and
normalizes the calculation so thatthe index is expressed in a range
of 0-100. If the RSI is 70 or greater, then the instrument
isassumed to be overbought (a situation in which prices have risen
more than marketexpectations). An RSI of 30 or less is taken as a
signal that the instrument may be oversold (asituation in which
prices have fallen more than the market expectations).Stochastic
oscillator:This is used to indicate overbought/oversold conditions
on a scale of 0-100%. The indicator isbased on the observation that
in a strong up trend, period closing prices tend to concentrate in
thehigher part of the periods range. Conversely, as prices fall in
a strong down trend, closing pricestend to be near to the extreme
low of the period range. Stochastic calculations produce two
lines,%K and %D that are used to indicate overbought/oversold areas
of a chart. Divergence betweenthe stochastic lines and the price
action of the underlying instrument gives a powerful
tradingsignal.Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):This
indicator involves plotting two momentum lines. The MACD line is
the difference betweentwo exponential moving averages and the
signal or trigger line, which is an exponential movingaverage of
the difference. If the MACD and trigger lines cross, then this is
taken as a signal thata change in the trend is likely.Number
theory:Fibonacci numbers: The Fibonacci number sequence
(1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34...) is constructed byadding the first two
numbers to arrive at the third. The ratio of any number to the next
largernumber is 62%, which is a popular Fibonacci retracement
number. The inverse of 62%, which is38%, is also used as a
Fibonacci retracement number.48 49. Gann numbers:W.D. Gann was a
stock and a commodity trader working in the 50s who reputedly made
overmillion in the markets. He made his fortune using methods that
he developed for tradinginstruments based on relationships between
price movement and time, known as time/priceequivalents. There is
no easy explanation for Ganns methods, but in essence he used
angles incharts to determine support and resistance areas and
predict the times of future trend changes. Healso used lines in
charts to predict support and resistance areas.WavesElliott wave
theory: The Elliott wave theory is an approach to market analysis
that is based onrepetitive wave patterns and the Fibonacci number
sequence. An ideal Elliott wave patternsshows a five-wave advance
followed by a three-wave decline.GapsGaps are spaces left on the
bar chart where no trading has taken place. An up gap is formedwhen
the lowest price on a trading day is higher than the highest high
of the previous day. Adown gap is formed when the highest price of
the day is lower than the lowest price of the priorday. An up gap
is usually a sign of market strength, while a down gap is a sign of
marketweakness. A breakaway gap is a price gap that forms on the
completion of an important pricepattern. It usually signals the
beginning of an important price move. A runaway gap is a pricegap
that usually occurs around the mid-point of an important market
trend. For that reason, it isalso called a measuring gap. An
exhaustion gap is a price gap that occurs at the end of animportant
trend and signals that the trend is ending.TrendsA trend refers to
the direction of prices. Rising peaks and troughs constitute an up
trend; fallingpeaks and troughs constitute a downtrend that
determines the steepness of the current trend. Thebreaking of a
trend line usually signals a trend reversal. Horizontal peaks and
troughscharacterize a trading range.Moving averages are used to
smooth price information in order to confirm trends and supportand
resistance levels. They are also useful in deciding on a trading
strategy, particularly infutures trading or a market with a strong
up or down trend. 49 50. The most common technical tools:Coppock
Curve is an investment tool used in technical analysis for
predicting bear market lows.DMI (Directional Movement Indicator) is
a popular technical indicator used to determinewhether or not a
currency pair is trending.Unlike the fundamental analyst, the
technical analyst is not much concerned with any of the"bigger
picture" factors affecting the market, but concentrates on the
activity of that instrumentsmarket.Fundamental analysisFundamental
analysis is a method of forecasting the future price movements of a
financialinstrument based on economic, political, environmental and
other relevant factors and statisticsthat will affect the basic
supply and demand of whatever underlies the financial instrument.
Inpractice, many market players use technical analysis in
conjunction with fundamental analysis todetermine their trading
strategy. Fundamental analysis focuses on what ought to happen in
amarket. Factors involved in price analysis: Supply and demand,
seasonal cycles, weather andgovernment policy.Fundamental analysis
is a macro or strategic assessment of where a currency should be
tradingbased on any criteria but the movement of the currencys
price itself. These criteria often includethe economic condition of
the country that the currency represents, monetary policy, and
other"fundamental" elements.Many profitable trades are made moments
prior to or shortly after major economicannouncements.50 51. What
happened in 2008?Sensex was crossed 21,000 levels in January and
analysts predicted 25,000 levels but Sensex fellto 7,800 in
October. Experts are now talking about 7,000 targets in 2009. But
todays it has beentouch the point 14000 due to government
stability.2. Rupee strengthened to 39 against dollar and analysts
like ICICI Kamat predicted 35 levels butrupee fell to 50 levels.
Experts are now talking about 55 against dollar in 2009.3. Crude
Oil prices touched $147 per barrel and Goldman Sachs talked about
$200 per barrelbut crude oil in now trading around $45 levels.
Experts are now talking about $30 per barrel in20094. Inflation
moved to 13% and analysts talked about 15% but inflation fell to 8%
inDecember. Experts are now talking about 4% levels in 2009. They
are actually now talkingabout deflation.5. Indian GDP grew at 9% in
2007-08 and analysts predicted about 10% growth in 2009.Experts are
now talking about 7% GDP growth in 2008-09 and 5% GDP growth in
2009-10.6. Commodities traded around all time high levels in June,
2008 but they collapsed to 2003levels in December, 2008. Companies
are now shutting down plants and are removingemployees due to lack
of demand and piling up of inventories.7. Investment banking is the
most sought after industry in early 2008. They are now
eitherdisappeared or merged with banks.51 52. 8. Real Estate prices
reached stratospheric levels in early 2008 but investors bought
them as ifthere will be no land available for purchase in 2009.
They are now announcing bonuses and freeoffers to attract buyers.
Many real estate stocks were corrected by 70-90% in this year
alone. Wewill hear some bankruptcies in 2009 in this sector. DLF
and Unitech will cut prices by 30% in2009.Investment lessons from
2008:1. Unlike in past, stock markets now become more dynamic, more
volatile and moreunpredictable due to more global integration of
economy and money flows.2. Stock market investors will never react
normally they will either overreact or under react tothe economic
or political events. One should take into consideration this
psychological aspectalong with business fundamentals in arriving at
price target.3. As I said in my previous posts, stock markets
always move much ahead of real economy. Ifreal economy will suffer
in early 2009, stocks fell by October, 2008. If economic conditions
willimprove by early 2010, stocks will rise by late 2009.4. Timing:
It is very difficult to time the stock market investments. 80% of
price variations occurin 20% of days time of maximum profits and
losses. On 18 May we have been seen morevariation in recession time
market has been touched the level of 14000 with growth of
2100points5. Significant falls or rises do not occur in slow
motion. They are steep and severe.6. Never follow herds. Believe in
your research and gut feeling. Just see what happened toinvestors
in Reliance Power IPO.7. Biggest investment lesson: When investors
are in panic mood, even good companies withstrong growth prospects
also fall along with bad overvalued stocks.Significant
statements:1. RBI Governor: The global economic crisis is turning
out to be deeper and longer than wehad earlier expected, the impact
on India is also turning out to be stronger than we had
earlierexpected. This is the frank statement from Subbarao. How
long Government will deceivepeople on this unmanageable issue?
Biggest problem with this crisis is no one in the world52 53. knows
about magnitude and duration of financial crisis. According to RBI
Governor, 2009-10may be a more difficult year.2. Commerce Minister:
Government will announce second stimulus package in the next
week.Textiles, Agriculture and Construction are the priority
sectors for Government in the nextpackage.3. Jack Welch (former GE
Chairman): The terror strike in Mumbai could well tilt the focusof
foreign investors towards neighboring China. This is the perception
of foreigners about India.Many investors will be thinking about
tilting the balance to China. How Indias leaders respondto the
Mumbai attacks will tell the business world what it wants and needs
to know. Not justwhether to pull back from India but how risky
pushing forward will be.4. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala: India will see the
mother of all bull runs in the next 4 or 5 years,boosted by
double-digit economic growth and increased investment by domestic
investors,including pension and insurance funds.5. World Bank: The
financial crisis is now likely to result in the most serious
recession sincethe 1930s.6. International Energy Agency (IEA): for
the first time in 25 years, demand for crude falls.This is the
first drop for crude oil demand since 1983.Significant
statistics:1.Reuters poll: Indias economy is expected to grow at
its slowest pace in six years in the fiscalyear to March 2009.
Indian GDP growth will be around 6.8% in 2008-09 and 6.2% in
2009-10.Indian economy never grew less than 7.5% in the last 5
years. According to World Bank, Indiawill grow by 5.8% in 2009.It
estimates for Indian GDP: 6.2% in 2008-09, 5% in 2009-10 and will
be around 7% in2010-11.53 54. 2. New claims for unemployment
benefits reached their highest level (5,73,000) in 26 years inUSA.
These job losses will have cascading effect on real economy. More
than 20 lakhAmericans will lose jobs in 2009 and unemployment rate
will touch 9% level in 2009.3. McKinsey report: United States
credit losses may top $3 trillion. These losses will increase
ifanother major asset class will collapse4. Goldman Sachs: China
GDP growth for 2009 is around 6%. Shocking! China will grow at9% in
2010 if Government takes proper simulative decisions. India will be
in election moodwhen we need these measures.5. World Bank: Global
trade will fall for the first time since 1982. World economy will
growby 0.9% in 2009 and inflows to developing countries will fall
by 50%.6. Asian Development Bank (ADB): Growth rates of China and
India will be at 8.2% and 6.5%respectively in 2009. India needs
particular attention, given its weaker fiscal position.7. China:
Exports fell by 2.2% in November, the first decline since June 2001
- the largest year-over-year monthly decline since April 1999.8.
DLF and Unitech may lower property prices by 30% in mid-2009 to
stimulate buyers.Positive Stock market news:1. Government stability
is big positive reason for sensex.2. Global Telecom Companies are
planning to buy 20-25% stake in Reliance Communications.R-Com stock
lost 70% of value in 2008. Anil Ambani family holds 67% stake in
the company.This deal is beneficial for investors as only 12% of
shares are available for trading after thispurchase in the
secondary market. Promoter will not reduce his holding.3. Manpower
survey: India is the second most optimistic employment market in
the world butthere will freezing in hiring in the next 3 months. IT
and Hospitality sectors are the worstaffected while Telecom is the
most optimistic one.54 55. FCCB shocks: Foreign currency
convertible bonds (FCCBs?) of many companies will be duefor
repayment in the next 3 years. As stock markets are unlikely to
recover in the next 12-15months, it is interesting to see how
promoters will clear their dues. We may hear some shockingnews on
this front in the next 2 years.NPA shocks:Many people are
underestimating the impact of Non Performing Assets (NPAs). NPAs
willaffect in 2 ways. NPAs will not only propel the negative
sentiment but increase the banksreluctance to give loans which will
once again destroy the positive aspects of the bailoutpackages.
Only positive aspect is many PSU banks reported fall in NPAs in
2008 over 2007except SBI and IOB.NPA statistics: NPAs of ICICI Bank
in 2007: Rs 5,930 crore. NPAs of ICICI Bank in 2008: Rs 9,500
crore..Interesting statistics about Asian and World economies:1.
World Bank estimates: A. November, 2008: World economy will grow by
2.2% in 2009. B. December, 2008: World economy will grow by 0.9% in
2009.2. ADB estimates about Asian economy in 2009: A. September,
2008: Asian economy will grow by 7.2% in 2009. B. December, 2008:
Asian economy will grow by 5.8% in 2009.3. ADB estimates about
Asian economy in 2008: A. September, 2008: Asian economy will grow
by 7.5% in 2008. B. December, 2008: Asian economy will grow by 6.9%
in 2008.55 56. 4. Current P/E of Sensex: 10.P/E of Sensex in 2008
economic slowdown: 9.5This is a much severe crisis than 2001
slowdown. Effect of fluctuation on Indian stock marketNothing
actually. The economy is as sound as it was in the boom time. The
companies are asprofitable as they were a few days ago. Yet, the
market crashed because the Government tried toinstill some sort of
regulation in it.Let me explain it a bit : As I wrote in my last
article that a major portion of the money beinginvested into the
share market is coming from FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors).
The cause ofconcern for the Government was that in this major share
of FIIs, more than half was in the formof hot money being invested
into the market by anonymous investors who pump money into
themarket by utilizing the Participatory Note (PN) facility. All
those foreign investors who are notregistered with the SEBI (Stock
Exchange Board of India), the regulatory body for stocks inIndia,
can not directly deal in buying/selling of sticks. So they took a
sort of permission fromregistered FIIs by buying Participatory
Notes (PN) from them in exchange of dollars, whichultimately allows
them trade in the market.Though, this concept of allowing anonymous
investors in the market broaden the reach of themarket, it also
ensure free entry of dollars into Indian economy as well as
increase thepercentage of hot money in the market. The hot money is
that kind of money which is investedonly for a short time to make
some quick buck. It is not invested with a long term mindset.
Sincethe continuous inflow of dollar into Indian economy is making
the Indian currency (Rupee)stronger and thus making the export
costlier, the Government was looking for someway to curbthis inflow
of dollars. Making the availability of Participatory Notes some
difficult for foreigninvestors was one step Government thought
would help control the inflow of dollars. So a fewdays ago the SEBI
contemplated on a draft policy to make the issuing of PN difficult
for FIIs. 56 57. This was the step which gave a jolt to the buying
spree of FIIs. As people found that it would bedifficult to trade
in the market in future owing to non-availability of PN, they
started exitingform the market by selling their stock.Result- the
market fell more than a 1000 point in a few hours and had to shut
down for sometime. Ultimately the Government had to rush in to
alleviate the growing concern of Investors bystating that it would
not control the issuing of PN to investors. This news will from the
Businessstandard give you some detail of this exercise done by the
Government.As of now the market is still fluctuating and is yet to
be stabilized. However, I think that in allprobability, it will
continue its upward swing despite such momentary crash. The
mainreason of my belief is that the Indian economy as a whole is
performing very well Same is thecase with most Indian companies
listed in the market.With the above note, here are some of my
observations on what can happen if the stock marketboom continues
for lone in India:First some positive oneFirst of all if this boom
continues for long, soon the richest person in the world will be an
Indian.On the last count (as per a leading newspaper report) Mukesh
Ambani, the chairman of Reliancegroup was earning Rs 40 Lakhs ($
100000) per minute. Yes you read it write. $100000 perminute !
Though it has much to do with his huge and expanding empire of
Reliance industries, itis also because of the appreciation in the
price of the shares of Reliance industries.Secondly most investors,
who are in the market for quite sometime, are going to become
reallyrich. The word crorepati (multimillionaire) can soon become a
common thing in India all thanksto share market.However, there is a
word of caution here. As this boom is being driven by FIIs
(ForeignInstitutional Investors), we must not forget that these
people are here only till they find a newmarket more profitable
than India. Once they find a place which offer better return on
theirinvestment than India, they will immediately shift there.
Though, there is only a remotepossibility of that as of now, you
never know what can happen in future. Thats why most expert 57 58.
are advising people to stick to their long-term investment plan and
dont make any move inhaste.Owing to stock market boom, there is
another very interesting situation being faced byReserve Bank of
India(RBI) (the leading central bank which decides various economic
policieshere just like