Sum-product and related algorithms for inference

Factor GraphsAlgorithms

Motivation

JPDF

Factorizationof JPDF

Graphicalmodels

Sum-ProductAlgorithm

Sum-product and related algorithms forinference

Manuel Yguel1

Person in charge: Olivier Aycard2

[email protected]

1Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble2Université Joseph Fourier, Grenoble

Master II, IVR, 3I, I.C.A.

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels


Outline

1 Motivation

2 JPDFDefinitionsDefinitions and rules for JPDF

3 Factorization of JPDFProduct ruleIndependencies

4 Graphical modelsBayesian networksFactor Graphs

5 Sum-Product AlgorithmSingle marginal function

Marginal for a chainMarginal for a tree

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels


Probabilistic modelling

The modelling of phenomenons is almost surely uncertain:• communication between entities is subject to random

perturbations,• records of sensors are uncertain:

pixels of an image, range measurements of a laserrange-finder, etc.

• knowledge are approximative:camera extrinsec and intrinsec parameters, sensor orrobot localization, goals of people, etc.

• algorithms are approximative:approximations for real-time, first-order approximationsfor optimization and control, numerical precision, etc.

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Motivation

JPDFDefinitions

Definitions and rulesfor JPDF


Graphicalmodels


Outline

1 Motivation






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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels


Framework

• x1, x2, . . . , xn is a set of variables,• ∀i , xi takes on values in some (usually finite) domain (or

alphabet) Ai ,• let g(x1, . . . , xn) be a [0; 1]-valued function of x1, . . . , xn,

g is called the joint probabilistic distribution function(JPDF).

• the domain of g is S = A1 × A2 × . . .× An and is calledthe configuration space,

• each element of S is a particular configuration of thevariables, also called an event.

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels


Example: the robot start problem

The robot does not start. The possible causes are:1 the battery is down,2 a wire is disconnected,

Furthermore observation can be made on the batteryvoltage. 4 variables can be defined:

Variable Alphabet or domainStart? {yes, no}

Power State? {up, down}Connected? {connected, disconnected}

Voltage Measure {[iV ; (i + 1)V [|i = 0, · · · , 199}.e = (no, up, disconnected, [24V ; 25V [) is a configuration ofthe 4 variables.g(e) ∈ [0; 1] is defined for all possible event it is also calledP(e) as a probability.

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Outline

1 Motivation






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Motivation

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Variable partition

For each problem: the set of variables is partitionned intothree subsets:

1 the set of questionned variables Q,2 the set of known variables K, (possibly empty),3 the set of unknown variables U , (possibly empty).

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Motivation

JPDFDefinitions



Graphicalmodels



Power State evaluation:1 questionned variables Q = { Power State? },2 known variables K = {Start? , Voltage Measure },3 unknown variables U = {Connected? }.

Connection evaluation:1 questionned variables Q = { Connected? },2 known variables K = {Start? , Voltage Measure },3 unknown variables U = { Power State? }.

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels


Goal

The goal of a probabilistic model is to calculate theconditional jpdf

B := P(xq(1), . . . , xq(p)|xk(1), . . . , xk(q))

where ∀(i , j), xq(i) ∈ Q and xk(j) ∈ KIt is a set of functions, each one indexed by one differentconfiguration of the known variables:

(ak(1), . . . , ak(q)) 7−→ (pdf : Sq(1) × . . .× Sq(p) −→ [0; 1])

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels



Power State evaluation:

B1 := P(PS|St, VM)

The variables Start? , Power State? , Connected? , VoltageMeasure are abreviated St , PS , C , VM respectively.

For each Start? and Voltage Measure configuration(∈ {yes, no} × [0.0V ; 200V ]) it defines a probabilisticfunction over the possible values of Power State? .

(no, 24V ) 7−→

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

up down

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Motivation

JPDFDefinitions



Graphicalmodels


Use of probabilistic definitions

brown hair blond hair red hair light brown hairbrown eyes 22% 5% 3% 15%blue eyes 8% 11% 9% 7%

green eyes 6% 2% 6% 6%

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Marginal probability: calculating the probability of having blondhair.

P(blond hair) =∑

eye colorP(blond hair, eye color) = 18%



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Conditional probability on eyes having blond hair:P(eye color|blond hair).

blond hairbrown eyes 5%

18%

blue eyes 11%18%

green eyes 2%18%

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels


Probabilistic definitions

Conditional probability:P(xq(1), . . . , xq(p)|xk(1), . . . , xk(q)) =

P(xq(1),...,xq(p),xk(1),...,xk(q))

P(xk(1),...,xk(q))

Marginalization (also called sum rule):• P(xq(1), . . . , xq(p), xk(1), . . . , xk(q))

=∑

(au(1),...,au(r))∈

Au(1)×...×Au(r)

g(x1, . . . , xn)

• P(xk(1), . . . , xk(q))

=∑

(aq(1),...,aq(p))∈

Aq(1)×...×Aq(p)

∑(au(1),...,au(r))∈

Au(1)×...×Au(r)

g(x1, . . . , xn)

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Expanded expression of the goal function

Following conditional and marginal probability definitions Bequal: ∑

(au(1),...,au(r))

g(x1, . . . , xn)∑(aq(1),...,aq(p))

∑(au(1),...,au(r))

g(x1, . . . , xn)

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Power State evaluation:

B1 := P(PS|St, VM)

=

∑c∈{connected,disconnected}

g(St, PS, c, VM)

∑ps∈{up,down}

∑c∈{connected,disconnected}

g(St, ps, c, VM)

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Motivation

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Worst inference complexity

Each variable takes values in a finite alphabet of size K ,K p+r sums are required,p and r variables in the questionned and unknown sets(resp.).

EXPONENTIAL COMPLEXITY in the number of variables.

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Motivation

JPDF

Factorizationof JPDFProduct rule

Independencies

Graphicalmodels


Outline

1 Motivation






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Motivation

JPDF


Independencies

Graphicalmodels


Product rule

Let o(i), i ∈ {1, . . . , n} any permutation of the variablesindices,

g(x1, . . . , xn) = P(xo(1))n∏

i=2

P(xo(i)|xo(1), . . . , xo(i−1))

(easy to demonstrate by recursion: just replace conditionalprobabilities by their definition)

Example: the robot start problemg(St, PS, C, VM)= P(PS)P(C|PS)P(VM|PS, C)P(St|PS, C, VM)

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Motivation

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Independencies

Graphicalmodels


Outline

1 Motivation






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Motivation

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Independencies

Graphicalmodels


Probabilistic independence and conditionalindependence

Two variables xi and xj are said independent if and only if:

∀(ai , aj) ∈ Ai × Aj , p(ai , aj) = p(ai)p(aj)

Two variables xi and xj are said conditionnaly independentgiven xk if and only if:∀(ai , aj , ak ) ∈ Ai × Aj × Ak , p(ai , aj |ak ) = p(ai |ak )p(aj |ak )

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Motivation

JPDF


Independencies

Graphicalmodels



Most of the case, a lot of independencies or conditionalindependencies arise as reasonable hyptothesis in aprobabilistic modelling.Reasonable hypothesis:• Power State? and Connected? are independent• Voltage Measure and Connected? are conditionnally

independent given Power State?• Start? and Voltage Measure are conditionnally

independent given Power State? and Connected? .

g(St, PS, C, VM)

= P(PS)P(C|PS/////////////////)P(VM|PS, C/////////)P(St|PS, C, VM///////////////////)

= P(PS)P(C)P(VM|PS)P(St|PS, C)

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Independencies

Graphicalmodels


the robot start problem

Simple substitutions gives this simplifications from thehypothesis:

1 Power State? and Connected? are independent:P(PS, C) = P(PS)P(C).

P(C|PS) =P(C, PS)

P(PS)=

P(PS)//////////////////////////////////P(C)

P(PS)//////////////////////////////////

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Motivation

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Independencies

Graphicalmodels




2 Voltage Measure and Connected? are conditionnallyindependent given Power State? :P(VM, C|PS) = P(VM|PS)P(C|PS).

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Independencies

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2 Voltage Measure and Connected? are conditionnallyindependent given Power State? :P(VM, C|PS) = P(VM|PS)P(C|PS).Use of conditional probability definition:

P(VM|PS, C) =P(VM, PS, C)

P(PS, C)

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Motivation

JPDF


Independencies

Graphicalmodels






P(PS, C)

Use of product rule:

P(VM, PS, C) = P(PS)P(VM, C|PS)

= P(PS)P(VM|PS)P(C|PS)

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Independencies

Graphicalmodels






P(PS, C)

P(VM|PS, C) =P(PS)P(VM|PS)P(C|PS)

P(PS, C)

P(VM|PS, C) =

P(PS)//////////////////////////////////P(VM|PS)

P(PS, C)/////////////////////////////////////////////////

P(C, PS)/////////////////////////////////////////////////

P(PS)//////////////////////////////////

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Motivation

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Independencies

Graphicalmodels




2 Voltage Measure and Connected? are conditionnallyindependent given Power State? :P(VM, C|PS) = P(VM|PS)P(C|PS).

P(VM|PS, C) = P(VM|PS)

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Motivation

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Independencies

Graphicalmodels




3 Start? and Voltage Measure are conditionnallyindependent given Power State? and Connected? :P(St, VM|PS, C) = P(St|PS, C)P(VM|PS, C).Same as for hypothesis (2) by replacing St by C andthe group PS, C by PS.

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Motivation

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Independencies

Graphicalmodels


Independencies immediate utility: memory gain

If each variable takes values in a finite alphabet of size Kand no independence assumption is made:g(x1, . . . , xn) required a grid of size K n.The memory size of P(xi |x1, . . . , xi−1) is K × K i−1 = K i .If p conditional indepence assumptions are made thememory size reduced to: K × K i−1−p = K i−p

no independencies with independenciesg(St, PS, C, VM) P(PS)P(C)P(VM|PS)P(St|PS, C)

23 ∗ 200 = 1600 2 + 2 + 200× 2 + 2 ∗ 4 = 412

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Motivation

JPDF


GraphicalmodelsBayesian networks

Factor Graphs


Outline

1 Motivation






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Motivation

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Factor Graphs



P(PS)P(C|PS)

Power State?

VoltageMeasure

Start?

Connected?

1

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Motivation

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Factor Graphs



P(PS)P(C|PS)P(VM|PS, C)

Power State?

VoltageMeasure

Start?

Connected?

1

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Motivation

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Factor Graphs



Full graph:

P(PS)P(C|PS)P(VM|PS, C)P(St|PS, C, VM)

Power State?

VoltageMeasure

Start?

Connected?

1

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Motivation

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Factor Graphs



P(PS)P(C|PS/////////////////)P(VM|PS, C)P(St|PS, C, VM)

Power State?

VoltageMeasure

Start?

Connected?

1

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Motivation

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Factor Graphs



P(PS)P(C)P(VM|PS, C/////////)P(St|PS, C, VM)

Power State?

VoltageMeasure

Start?

Connected?

1

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Motivation

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Factor Graphs



P(PS)P(C)P(VM|PS, )P(St|PS, C, VM///////////////////)

Power State?

VoltageMeasure

Start?

Connected?

1

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Motivation

JPDF



Factor Graphs


Bayesian networks (BN): definition (1)

• BN are Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) that expressesa certain factorization of a JPDF.

• The graph as a polytree structure: it is possible todefine an order o over the nodes.If there is a directed path from xi to xj in the graph theno(j) > o(i).Let’s x1, . . . , xn ordered following o.

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JPDF



Factor Graphs


Bayesian networks: definition (2)

• o is used in the factorization of the JPDF induced bythe product rule:

g(x1, . . . , xn) = P(x1)n∏

i=2

P(xi |x1, . . . , xi−1)

If there is no edge from xk to xj then in the factorP(xj |x1, . . . , xj−1) xk can be simplified at the right handside:

P(xj |x1, . . . , xk , . . . , xj−1) := P(xj |x1, . . . , xk////////////, . . . , xj−1)

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Motivation

JPDF



Factor Graphs


Bayesian networks: definition (3)

• The JPDF is equivalently defined by the BN or thefollowing factorization:

g(x1, . . . , xn) :=n∏

j=1

P(xj |paj)

where paj is the set of parents of xj . It is the set ofvariables xi such that there exists an edge from xi to xjin the BN.

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Motivation

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Factor Graphs


Interests and drawbacks of Bayesian networks

+ each term of the factorization is a probabilitydistribution:

1 clear semantic,2 normalized;

− does not represent each possible decomposition withprobability distributions:

P(A, B, C, D, E) = P(C)P(D|C)P(A, B|C, D)P(E |C, B);

− does not represent each possible factorization of theJPDF.

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Motivation

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Factor Graphs


Outline

1 Motivation






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Factor Graphs


Factor Graphs

Hypothesis: g(x1, . . . , xn) factors into a product of severallocal functions, each having some subset of {x1, . . . , xn} asarguments:

g(x1, . . . , xn) =∏j∈J

fj(Xj)

where J is a discrete index set, Xj is a subset of {x1, . . . , xn}and fj(Xj) is a function that depends only on the variables inXj .If Xj = {v1, . . . , vp}, fj(Xj) = fj(v1, . . . , vp).

Factor graphs represent all possible factorizations of theJPDF.

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Motivation

JPDF



Factor Graphs


Factor Graphs

Hypothesis: g(x1, . . . , xn) factors into a product of severallocal functions, each having some subset of {x1, . . . , xn} asarguments:

g(x1, . . . , xn) =∏j∈J

fj(Xj)

where J is a discrete index set, Xj is a subset of {x1, . . . , xn}and fj(Xj) is a function that depends only on the variables inXj .If Xj = {v1, . . . , vp}, fj(Xj) = fj(v1, . . . , vp).

Factor graphs represent all possible factorizations of theJPDF.

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Motivation

JPDF



Factor Graphs


Factor Graphs

Sometimes factor graphs for JPDF are expressed asfollows:

g(x1, . . . , xn) =1Z

∏j∈J

fj(Xj)

where Z =∑

(x1,··· ,xn)

∏j∈J fj(Xj), such that g is normalized.

It is possible to consider a special factor node: f0 = 1Z with

X0 = ∅ so that f0 is not linked to any variable node.

In those cases: factors are not necessarily normalizedanymore and thus are not necessarily probabilisticdistributions.

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Motivation

JPDF



Factor Graphs


Factor Graphs

Sometimes factor graphs for JPDF are expressed asfollows:

g(x1, . . . , xn) =1Z

∏j∈J

fj(Xj)

where Z =∑

(x1,··· ,xn)

∏j∈J fj(Xj), such that g is normalized.

It is possible to consider a special factor node: f0 = 1Z with

X0 = ∅ so that f0 is not linked to any variable node.

In those cases: factors are not necessarily normalizedanymore and thus are not necessarily probabilisticdistributions.

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Motivation

JPDF



Factor Graphs


Factor Graphs

Definition: a factor graph is a bipartite graph that expressesthe structure of the factorization hypothesis. A factor graph

has a variable node xi for each variable xi and factor

node fjfor each local function fj . The nodes of the

graph only connect a variable node to a factor node(bipartite property). A variable node xi is edge-connected toa factor node fj if and only if xi is an argument of fj or xi ∈ Xj .

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Motivation

JPDF



Factor Graphs



VoltageMeasure

Power State? Start? Connected?

P(VM |PS ) P(PS ) P(St |PS ,C ) P(C )

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Graphicalmodels

Sum-ProductAlgorithmSingle marginalfunction

Marginal for a chain

Marginal for a tree

Bayesian inference for factor graphs: thesum-product algorithm

Reminder: the goal of a probabilistic model is to calculatethe conditional jpdf

B := P(xq(1), . . . , xq(p)|xk(1), . . . , xk(q))

NOW: exploit factorization of the JPDF to speed upbayesian inference.

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Factorization property

Idea: reorganize sums of products into products of sumsfollowing the distributive law:

ab + ac = a(b + c)

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Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree



ab + ac = a(b + c)

2 MULT, 1 ADD become 1 MULT, 1 ADD

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Marginal for a tree



ab + ac + ad + ae + · · ·+ az = a(b + c + · · ·+ z)

25 MULT, 25 ADD become 1 MULT, 25 ADD

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Marginal for a tree

Outline

1 Motivation






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Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainChain definition (1)

A path without cycle or a chain describes a JPDF in whicheach variable has at most one parent and at most one child,in a BN point of view. It leads to the following factor graph:

g(x1, . . . , xn) = P(x1)n∏

j=2

P(xj |xj−1)

= f1(x1)f2(x1, x2) · · · fn(xn, xn−1)

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Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainChain definition (2)

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6

Definition: a chain without cycle is a sequence of verticesand edges in a graph:

c = v0, e1, v1, e2, · · · , vn−1, en, vn

such that the edge ei joins the vertices vi−1 and vi and thateach vertex appears only one time.

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Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainSum rearrangements and message definition (1)

Example: g(x1, . . . , x6) = f1(x1)∏6

j=2 fj(xj , xj−1).

Marginal for x4:

P(x4) =∑

x1,x2,x3,x5,x6

g(x1, . . . , x6) =∑∼{x4}

g(x1, . . . , x6)

where the notation ∼ {xi} stands forx1, · · · , xi−1, xi+1, · · · , xn i.e. all variables except xi .

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainx4 is a pivot for factorization

P∼ {x4}

g(x1, . . . , x6) =

Px1, x2, x3

f1(x1)f2(x2, x1)f3(x3, x2)f4(x4, x3)

8<: Px5, x6

f5(x5, x4)f6(x6, x5)

9=;

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


P∼ {x4}

g(x1, . . . , x6) =

8<: Px1, x2, x3

f1(x1)f2(x2, x1)f3(x3, x2)f4(x4, x3)

9=;8<: P

x5, x6

f5(x5, x4)f6(x6, x5)

9=;

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


P∼ {x4}

g(x1, . . . , x6) =8<: Px1, x2, x3

f1(x1)f2(x2, x1)f3(x3, x2)f4(x4, x3)

9=; ×

8<: Px5, x6

f5(x5, x4)f6(x6, x5)

9=;µα(x4) × µβ(x4)

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6

µα(x4) µβ(x4)

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainx4 is a pivot for factorizationP

∼ {x4}g(x1, . . . , x6) =8<: P

x3

f4(x4, x3)

8<: Px1, x2

f3(x3, x2)f1(x1)f2(x2, x1)

9=;9=;

×

8<: Px5, x6

f5(x5, x4)f6(x6, x5)

9=;

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6

µα(x4) µβ(x4)

µα(x3)

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


∼ {x4}g(x1, . . . , x6) =8<: P

x3

f4(x4, x3)

8<: Px1, x2

f3(x3, x2)f1(x1)f2(x2, x1)

9=;9=;

×

8<: Px5

f5(x5, x4)

8<: Px6

f6(x6, x5)

9=;9=;

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6

µα(x4) µβ(x4)

µα(x3) µβ(x5)

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


∼ {x4}g(x1, . . . , x6) =8<: P

x3

f4(x4, x3)

8<: Px2

f3(x3, x2)

8<: Px1

f1(x1)f2(x2, x1)

9=;9=;

9=;×

8<: Px5

f5(x5, x4)

8<: Px6

f6(x6, x5)

9=;9=;

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6

µα(x4) µβ(x4)

µα(x3) µβ(x5)

µα(x2)

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainGraphical definition of messages using recursionP

∼ {x4}g(x1, . . . , x6) =8<: P

x3

f4(x4, x3)

8<: Px2

f3(x3, x2)

8<: Px1

f1(x1)f2(x2, x1)

9=;9=;

9=;×

8<: Px5

f5(x5, x4)

8<: Px6

f6(x6, x5)

9=;9=;

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6

µα(x4) µβ(x4)µα(x3) µβ(x5)µα(x2)

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainMathematical insight of the message operations (1)

•∑

∼ {x4}g(x1, . . . , x6) = µα(x4)× µβ(x4)

• x4 can take K values: {a14, . . . , aK

4 }• the product of two messages is a vector: µα(x4)

1 × µβ(x4)1

...µα(x4)

K × µβ(x4)K

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


• µβ(x4) =

∑x5

f5(x5, x4)

∑x6

f6(x6, x5)

• x5 can take P values: {a15, . . . , aP

5 }• (f5(x5, x4) is discretized) the next message is obtained

by a matrix vector operation:

26664µβ(x4)

1

...µβ(x4)

K

37775=

26666664f5(a1

5, a14) f5(a2

5, a14) . . . f5(aP

5 , a14)

f5(a15, a2

4) . . . f5(aP5 , a2

4)...

. . ....

f5(a15, aK

4 ) f5(a25, aK

4 ) . . . f5(aP5 , aK

4 )

37777775

26666664µβ(x5)

1

µβ(x5)2

...µβ(x5)

P

37777775

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


• µβ(x4) =

∑x5

f5(x5, x4)µβ(x5)

• x5 can take P values: {a1

5, . . . , aP5 }

• (f5(x5, x4) is discretized) the next message is obtainedby a matrix vector operation:

26664µβ(x4)

1

...µβ(x4)

K

37775=

26666664f5(a1

5, a14) f5(a2

5, a14) . . . f5(aP

5 , a14)

f5(a15, a2

4) . . . f5(aP5 , a2

4)...

. . ....

f5(a15, aK

4 ) f5(a25, aK

4 ) . . . f5(aP5 , aK

4 )

37777775

26666664µβ(x5)

1

µβ(x5)2

...µβ(x5)

P

37777775

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Motivation

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Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


• µβ(x4) =

∑x5

f5(x5, x4)µβ(x5)


5, . . . , aP5 }


26664µβ(x4)

1

...µβ(x4)

K

37775=

26666664f5(a1

5, a14) f5(a2

5, a14) . . . f5(aP

5 , a14)

f5(a15, a2

4) . . . f5(aP5 , a2

4)...

. . ....

f5(a15, aK

4 ) f5(a25, aK

4 ) . . . f5(aP5 , aK

4 )

37777775

26666664µβ(x5)

1

µβ(x5)2

...µβ(x5)

P

37777775

44 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


• µβ(x4) =

∑x5

f5(x5, x4)µβ(x5)


5, . . . , aP5 }


26664µβ(x4)

1

...µβ(x4)

K

37775=

26666664f5(a1

5, a14) f5(a2

5, a14) . . . f5(aP

5 , a14)

f5(a15, a2

4) . . . f5(aP5 , a2

4)...

. . ....

f5(a15, aK

4 ) f5(a25, aK

4 ) . . . f5(aP5 , aK

4 )

37777775

26666664µβ(x5)

1

µβ(x5)2

...µβ(x5)

P

37777775

44 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainFactor node information representation

In a discretized factor node: the matrix f5(x5, x4) is stored.

K

f5(a15, a1

4) f5(a25, a1

4) . . . f5(aP5 , a1

4)f5(a1

5, a24) . . . f5(aP

5 , a24)

.... . .

...f5(a1

5, aK4 ) f5(a2

5, aK4 ) . . . f5(aP

5 , aK4 )

︸︷︷︸

P

45 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainInference complexity

For discretized variables (all with K cases):26666664µβ(x4)

1

µβ(x4)2

...µβ(x4)

K

37777775=

26666664f5(a1

5, a14) f5(a2

5, a14) . . . f5(aK

5 , a14)

f5(a15, a2

4) . . . f5(aK5 , a2

4)...

. . ....

f5(a15, aK

4 ) f5(a25, aK

4 ) . . . f5(aK5 , aK

4 )

37777775

26666664µβ(x5)

1

µβ(x5)2

...µβ(x5)

K

37777775

• for a message: K 2 sums and K 2 products,• marginalizing over one variable among N: N − 1

messages,inference for a chain:

O((N − 1)K 2) operations

to compare with O(K N−1) in the general case.

46 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a chainContinuous factor nodes

Where a variable is continuous, sums becomes integrals.

−→ computational overhead

BUT only the definition of the functional f5(x5, x4) is needed(instead of matrices).

Example: f5(x5, x4) = N (x4, σ4)(x5) = 1σ4√

2πe

12 (

x5−x4σ4

)2

Warning: at factor nodestorage = function code definition + parameters (here σ4)

47 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a treeSum rearrangements (1)

Extension of the chain algorithm to a tree is possible.Let the graph of g(x1, · · · , xn) =

∏j fj(Xj) be a tree.

For a marginal over xi :

P(xi) =∑

∼ {xi}

∏j

fj(Xj)

pick up a variable node, xi , as the root of the tree (that’salways possible with trees).

48 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a treeExample: the robot start problem

For a marginal calculation over Start?:

VoltageMeasure



49 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


For a marginal calculation over Start?:

VoltageMeasure



49 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


For a marginal calculation over Start?:VoltageMeasure



VoltageMeasure

Power State?

Start? Connected?

P(VM |PS )

P(PS )

P(St |PS ,C )

P(C )

49 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


Let st(xi) the set of all the subtrees connected to xi .They are disjoint subtrees and then:

P(xi) =∑

∼ {xi}

∏j

fj(Xj) =∑

∼ {xi}

∏s∈st(xi )

Fs(xi , Ys)

• Ys is the set of all the variables in the subtree s,• Fs(xi , Ys) is the product of all the factors in the subtree

s,• in a tree there is at most one path that link one node to

another, so

∀(s1, s2) ∈ st(xi)2, Xs1 ∩ Xs2 = ∅

the factors of different subtree work on disjointvariables.

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


Let st(xi) the set of all the subtrees connected to xi .They are disjoint subtrees and then:

P(xi) =∑

∼ {xi}

∏j

fj(Xj) =∑

∼ {xi}

∏s∈st(xi )

Fs(xi , Ys)

• Ys is the set of all the variables in the subtree s,• Fs(xi , Ys) is the product of all the factors in the subtree

s,• in a tree there is at most one path that link one node to

another, so

∀(s1, s2) ∈ st(xi)2, Xs1 ∩ Xs2 = ∅

the factors of different subtree work on disjointvariables.

50 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


VoltageMeasure

Power State?

Start? Connected?

P(VM |PS )

P(PS )

P(St |PS ,C )

P(C )

∑∼{St}

g(St,PS,C,VM)=∑

∼{St}{P(VM|PS)}{P(C)P(St|PS,C)}{P(PS)}

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


VoltageMeasure

Power State?

Start? Connected?

P(VM |PS )

P(PS )

P(St |PS ,C )

P(C )

∑∼{St}

g(St,PS,C,VM)=∑

∼{St}Fj (VM,PS)Fb(St,PS,C)Fg(PS)

51 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


VoltageMeasure

Power State?

Start? Connected?

P(VM |PS )

P(PS )

P(St |PS ,C )

P(C )

∑∼{St}

g(St,PS,C,VM)=∑

∼{St}fj (VM,PS)fb2(C)fb1(St,PS,C)fg(PS)

51 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


VoltageMeasure

Power State?

Start? Connected?

P(VM |PS )

P(PS )

P(St |PS ,C )

P(C )

∑∼{St}

g(St,PS,C,VM)=∑

∼{St}{P(VM|PS)}{P(C)P(St|PS,C)}{P(PS)}

51 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


As the factors of different subtree work on disjoint variables,it is possible to exchange sums and product locally:

P(xi) =∑

∼ {xi}

∏j

fj(Xj) (1)

=∑

∼ {xi}

∏s∈st(xi )

Fs(xi , Ys) (2)

=∏

s∈st(xi )

∑Ys

Fs(xi , Ys) (3)

=∏

s∈st(xi )

µFs→xi (4)

where µFs→xi :=∑Ys

Fs(xi , Ys).

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a treeFactor to node messages definition (1)

And each subtree s is connected to the node variablethrough a unique factor node fs due to the bipartite propertyof factor graphs such as the message from factor s to node iis defined as:

µfs→xi := µFs→xi .

VoltageMeasure

Power State?

Start? Connected?

P(VM |PS )

P(PS )

P(St |PS ,C )

P(C )

µfj→PS

µfb→PS

µfv→PS

53 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a treeNode to factor messages definition (1)

For each subtree, the processus of pushing the sumsdeeper is continued:

µfs→xi :=∑Ys

Fs(xi , Ys)

=∑Ys

fs(xi , Xs)∏

m∈st(fs)

Fm(Ym)

where:• st(fs) is the set of all the subtrees connected to the

factor node fs;• each subtree m is connected to fs through a unique

variable node xm;• Fm(Ym) is the product of all the factors in the subtree m;• Ym is the set of all the variables in the subtree m.

54 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


µfs→xi :=∑Ys

Fs(xi , Ys)

=∑Ys

fs(xi , Xs)∏

m∈st(fs)

Fm(Ym)

=∑

Xs\{xi}fs(xi , Xs)

∏m∈st(fs)

∑Xm\Xs

Fm(Ym)

=∑

Xs\{xi}fs(xi , Xs)

∏m∈st(fs)

µxm→fs

µxm→fs :=∑

Ym\Xs

Fm(Ym) is the message from node m to

factor s.

55 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


µfs→xi :=∑Ys

Fs(xi , Ys)

=∑Ys

fs(xi , Xs)∏

m∈st(fs)

Fm(Ym)

=∑

Xs \ {xi}fs(xi , Xs)

∏m∈st(fs)

∑Ym\Xs

Fm(Ym)

=∑


∏m∈st(fs)

µxm→fs

µxm→fs :=∑

Ym\Xs

Fm(Ym) is the message from node m to

factor s.

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


Ys =⋃

m∈st(fs) Ym et Ym \ Xs = Ym \ {xm}

xa xb xt

f1

f2 f3 fi fj

56 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a treeFactor to node messages definition (2)

Finally:from the previous expansion, factor to node messages fromfs to xi can be written completely recursively from xi , Xs andthe messages from other nodes than xi to fs.

µfs→xi :=∑Ys

Fs(xi , Ys)

=∑


∏m∈Xs\{xi}

µxm→fs

57 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


It is possible to expand the messages from node to factor asdone previously.

µxm→fs :=∑

Ym\{xm}Fm(Ym)

As:• Fm(Ym) =

∏k∈st(xm) Fk (Yk ) considering all subtrees

attached to the variable node xm• Ym \ {xm} =

⋃k Yk

• all the set of variables of the subtrees are disjoint

∑Ym\{xm}

Fm(Ym) =∏

k∈st(xm)

∑Yk

Fk (Yk )

=∏

k∈st(xm)

µfk→xm

58 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


As:• Fm(Ym) =

∏k∈st(xm) Fk (Yk ) considering all subtrees

attached to the variable node xm

• Ym \ {xm} =⋃

k Yk

• all the set of variables of the subtrees are disjoint

µxm→fs =∏

k∈st(xm)

µfk→xm

The recursion is done, node to factor messages are productof factor to node messages.

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree


It is worth noticing that the factors in the subtrees attachedto xm are all the factors attached to xm except the precedentone in the path: fs.In general we note ne(v) the set of all the neighbour nodesof the node v in the factor graph.So that:

µxm→fs =∏

fk∈ne(xm)\fs

µfk→xm

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Marginal for a treeFactor graph messages formulae: update rules

FACTOR TO NODE MESSAGE FORMULA:

µfs→xi =∑

xm∈ne(fs)\{xi}fs(xi , Xs)

∏xm∈ne(fs)\{xi}

µxm→fs

NODE TO FACTOR MESSAGE FORMULA:

µxm→fs =∏

fk∈ne(xm)\fs

µfk→xm

60 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Factor graph messages definitionEnd messages

Definition of end messages:

• for node to factor message:

a vector of one

1...1

x f

µx→f (x) = 1

• for factor to node message:

a vector of function values

fi(a1l )

...fi(aK

l )

xf

µf→x(x) = f(x)

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Sum-Product algorithm for trees

1 start from leaves: brodcast end messages to therespective neighbours,

2 apply message update rule recursively,3 in the root: multiply each incomming message.

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Exercise: factor graph message definition for achain

Chain example:

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6

µαf1→x1

µαf2→x2

µαf3→x3

µαf4→x4 µβ

f6→x5µβ

f5→x4

µαx1→f2

µαx2→f3

µαx3→f4 µβ

x6→f6µβ

x5→f5

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Solution: factor graph message definition for achain

Factor to node message for a chain:

µβfi→xi−1

:=∑xi

fi(xi , xi−1)µβxi→fi

It is a sum of product, no real simplification. Except, there isonly no product with all the differents children of fi .Node to factor message for a chain:

µβxi→fi−1

:= µβfi+1→xi

In this case there is a big simplification: the message isexactly that send by the unique child. Again: there is only noproduct with all the differents children of xi .

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Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Solution: factor graph message definition for achain

Factor to node message for a chain:

µβfi→xi−1

:=∑xi

fi(xi , xi−1)µβxi→fi

It is a sum of product, no real simplification. Except, there isonly no product with all the differents children of fi .Node to factor message for a chain:

µβxi→fi−1

:= µβfi+1→xi

In this case there is a big simplification: the message isexactly that send by the unique child. Again: there is only noproduct with all the differents children of xi .

Same remarks hold for α messages.64 / 64


Motivation

JPDF


Graphicalmodels



Marginal for a tree

Bibliography I

• Kschischang, Frey, Loeliger, Factor Graphs and theSum-Product Algorithm (2001)http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/kschischang01factor.html

• Christopher M. Bishop, Pattern Recognition andMachine Learning, chapter 8, Springer (2006)http://research.microsoft.com/ cmbishop/PRML/Bishop-PRML-sample.pdf

• David J.C. MacKay (2003). Message Passing andExact Marginalization in Graphs. In David J.C. MacKay,Information Theory, Inference, and LearningAlgorithms, pp. 241-247, pp. 334-340. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press.

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Sum-product and related algorithms for inference

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