Christine Minelli CA Christine Minelli CA • • CBV, CFI CBV, CFI [email protected][email protected](905) 549 (905) 549 - - 8463 or (905)517 8463 or (905)517 - - 3741 3741 www.vine.on.ca www.vine.on.ca Offices in Hamilton, Burlington and Offices in Hamilton, Burlington and Kitchener Kitchener Vine Valuations Inc. Vine Valuations Inc.
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Christine Minelli CAChristine Minelli CA••CBV, CFICBV, [email protected]@vine.on.ca(905) 549(905) 549--8463 or (905)5178463 or (905)517--37413741www.vine.on.cawww.vine.on.ca
Offices in Hamilton, Burlington andOffices in Hamilton, Burlington andKitchenerKitchener
Vine Valuations Inc.Vine Valuations Inc.
Transfer to FamilyTransfer to FamilyMembersMembers
Sell toSell toShareholdersShareholders
Sell toSell toManagementManagement
Sell to EmployeesSell to Employees(Stock Ownership(Stock OwnershipPlan)Plan)
Sell to Third PartySell to Third Party
Refinance orRefinance orRecapitalizeRecapitalize
Go PublicGo Public
Liquidate theLiquidate theBusinessBusiness
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Business needs to be valuedBusiness needs to be valued
Business valuation is a criticalBusiness valuation is a criticalcomponent of a well planned exitcomponent of a well planned exitstrategy:strategy:
For benchmarking/planning exitFor benchmarking/planning exitstrategystrategy
For negotiating the saleFor negotiating the sale
For maximizing wealthFor maximizing wealth
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Independent & objectiveIndependent & objective
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Business Valuation:Business Valuation:
““the act or process of determiningthe act or process of determiningthethe valuevalue of a business enterpriseof a business enterpriseor ownership interest thereinor ownership interest therein””
Value:Value: thethe desirabilitydesirability or worth of a thing; theor worth of a thing; the raterate
at which a commodity is potentially exchangeableat which a commodity is potentially exchangeablefor othersfor others
WebsterWebster’’s International Dictionarys International Dictionary
Business Owner:Business Owner:
““WhatWhat’’s the value of mys the value of mybusiness?business?””
Business Valuator:Business Valuator:
““ It dependsIt depends…”…”
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Price and Value are not the same.Price and Value are not the same. ““Price is whatPrice is whatyou pay. Value is what you getyou pay. Value is what you get””.... Warren BuffettWarren Buffett
Each business is unique and will command aEach business is unique and will command adifferent price for different reasons.different price for different reasons.
Buyer/SellerBuyer/Seller -- different perspectivesdifferent perspectives
To conclude a transaction, both parties must beTo conclude a transaction, both parties must besatisfied with Price and understand how it wassatisfied with Price and understand how it wasdetermineddetermined
Valuation is a starting point in exit planning, notValuation is a starting point in exit planning, notan end unto itselfan end unto itself
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PricePrice = Value + Terms= Value + Termsnegotiated between buyer andnegotiated between buyer andsellerseller
FMVFMV = a notional or intrinsic= a notional or intrinsic
value estimatevalue estimate
Business Valuation = an Art,Business Valuation = an Art,
not a Science!not a Science!
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““TheThe highest pricehighest price, expressed in terms of, expressed in terms of cashcash
equivalents, at which property would change handsequivalents, at which property would change hands
between abetween a hypotheticalhypothetical willing and able buyer and awilling and able buyer and a
hypotheticalhypothetical willing and ablewilling and able seller, acting atseller, acting at armarm’’ss
lengthlength in anin an open and unrestricted marketopen and unrestricted market,, whenwhen
neither is underneither is under compulsioncompulsion to buy or sell and whento buy or sell and when
both have a reasonableboth have a reasonable knowledgeknowledge of the relevantof the relevant
facts.facts.””
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Not the real world, but a starting pointNot the real world, but a starting point
Recent profit historyRecent profit history
General condition of the company (facilities,General condition of the company (facilities,books & records, technology, processes,books & records, technology, processes,employees, proprietary rights, contracts, etc.)employees, proprietary rights, contracts, etc.)
Market demand for particular type of businessMarket demand for particular type of business
Economic conditions (cost/availability of capitalEconomic conditions (cost/availability of capitaland factors directly affecting the business)and factors directly affecting the business)
Ability to transfer goodwill or other intangiblesAbility to transfer goodwill or other intangibles
Future profit/cash flow potential: Cash is KING!Future profit/cash flow potential: Cash is KING!
Transaction Value : Price + Deal TermsTransaction Value : Price + Deal Terms
NegotiatedNegotiated between seller and abetween seller and a specificspecific buyerbuyer
Tradeoff between cash &Tradeoff between cash & termsterms
May not be the same as fair market value butMay not be the same as fair market value butFMV a reasonable starting pointFMV a reasonable starting point
Value unknown until businessValue unknown until business exposed for saleexposed for sale
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Transaction Value is affected by:Transaction Value is affected by:
Timing of sale:Timing of sale: Value is timeValue is time--specific.specific. Price today notPrice today notthe same as Price next year.the same as Price next year.
Economic outlook and outlook for specific industry:Economic outlook and outlook for specific industry: thethemarket dictates investormarket dictates investor’’s required rate of return.s required rate of return.
Earnings capacity.Earnings capacity. Value is prospective, present valueValue is prospective, present valuefuture benefits measured in cash flows.future benefits measured in cash flows. Owner sellingOwner sellingbusiness but the buyer is buying a business opportunity.business but the buyer is buying a business opportunity.Nature and history of business. S.W.O.T. assessmentNature and history of business. S.W.O.T. assessmentpart of buyer due diligence.part of buyer due diligence.
Comparable market transactions/pricesComparable market transactions/prices –– aabenchmark. Pay no more than would pay for similarbenchmark. Pay no more than would pay for similarinvestment.investment.
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Transaction Price is affected by:Transaction Price is affected by:
Liquidity of investmentLiquidity of investment –– size of market/existence ofsize of market/existence of
more than one special purchasermore than one special purchaser
Level of the businessLevel of the business’’ net tangible assetsnet tangible assets. The higher. The higher
the value of net tangible assets, the lower the buyerthe value of net tangible assets, the lower the buyer’’ss
risk, and the higher the price (usually).risk, and the higher the price (usually).
IntangiblesIntangibles: sometimes the only valuable assets: sometimes the only valuable assets
GoodwillGoodwill: Commercial or personal? Transferable?: Commercial or personal? Transferable?
Size of interest being sold:Size of interest being sold: controlling interest orcontrolling interest or
minority interest?minority interest?
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Exit planning tip: Find the right buyers, more than one.Exit planning tip: Find the right buyers, more than one.
Transaction Price is also affected by:Transaction Price is also affected by:
Negotiating strengths of buyer and sellerNegotiating strengths of buyer and seller
Personal reasons (distress or planned)Personal reasons (distress or planned)
Available leverage (wait for proceeds/earnAvailable leverage (wait for proceeds/earn--out)out)
Who the owner is actually prepared to sell to:Who the owner is actually prepared to sell to:
Sale to third partiesSale to third parties
Intergenerational sale to familyIntergenerational sale to family
Sale to managementSale to management
Sale to employeesSale to employees
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Price & Terms may be differentPrice & Terms may be different
Possible Deal TermsPossible Deal Terms --
HoldHold--back of sale proceeds, buyer has recourse if infoback of sale proceeds, buyer has recourse if info
wrongwrong
Seller financing helps close deal, risk on the sellerSeller financing helps close deal, risk on the seller
Performance payouts/earnPerformance payouts/earn--outs can bridge theouts can bridge the ““priceprice
gapgap””, but risk transfers to seller. Timing of cash flow to, but risk transfers to seller. Timing of cash flow to
consider.consider.
NonNon--competition agreements, protect the buyer.competition agreements, protect the buyer.
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Buyer to owner:Buyer to owner: ““You tell me your price, IYou tell me your price, I’’ll tell you the termsll tell you the terms””
Exit Planning : What terms will owner consider? WhatExit Planning : What terms will owner consider? What
terms can owner afford?terms can owner afford?
Buyer to owner:Buyer to owner: ““You tell me your price, IYou tell me your price, I’’ll tell you thell tell you the
Risk free rate of return (GOC longRisk free rate of return (GOC long--term bond)term bond)
Equity risk premium (range 4% to 6%)Equity risk premium (range 4% to 6%)
Small company (size) premium (up to 10%)Small company (size) premium (up to 10%)
Industry risk premium ( +/Industry risk premium ( +/--))
Company specific risk premium ( +/Company specific risk premium ( +/--))
LongLong--term growth in excess of inflation reducesterm growth in excess of inflation reduces
riskrisk
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The higher the capitalization rate, the lower theThe higher the capitalization rate, the lower thePrice. Multiple of earnings/cash flow = 1Price. Multiple of earnings/cash flow = 1 ÷÷capitalization ratecapitalization rate
Economic riskEconomic risk
Business riskBusiness risk
Operating risksOperating risks
Financial risksFinancial risks
Asset risksAsset risks
Product risksProduct risks
Market risksMarket risks
Technological risksTechnological risks
Regulatory risksRegulatory risks
Legal risksLegal risks
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High Risk/Lower Multiple= Lower Price
Low Risk/Higher Multiple=Higher Price
New business, noNew business, nohistoryhistory
Weak balance sheetWeak balance sheet
Weak growth trendWeak growth trend
Weak industry/positionWeak industry/position
Few entry barriersFew entry barriers
Competes on priceCompetes on price
Customer loyalty is toCustomer loyalty is tothe business ownerthe business owner
Share purchaseShare purchase
Established earningsEstablished earningsbasebase
Strong balance sheetStrong balance sheet
Strong growth trendStrong growth trend
Strong industry/positionStrong industry/position
Significant barriersSignificant barriers
Not price dependentNot price dependent
Not tied to personalNot tied to personalgoodwillgoodwill
Asset purchaseAsset purchase24
High Risk/Lower Multiple= Lower Price
Low Risk/Higher Multiple=Higher Price
Seller not staying onSeller not staying on
No vendor take backNo vendor take backfinancingfinancing
Price not tied to postPrice not tied to post--closing, noclosing, no ‘‘earnearn--outout’’
No proprietary assetsNo proprietary assetsor competitiveor competitiveadvantageadvantage
This is not an allThis is not an all--inclusive list of riskinclusive list of riskfactorsfactors
Uses multiples derived from market prices of publicUses multiples derived from market prices of publiccompanies engaged in same or similar lines of businesscompanies engaged in same or similar lines of business
Market prices of public companies reflect minority interestMarket prices of public companies reflect minority interestpositions and high liquiditypositions and high liquidity
Selected companies should share characteristics such asSelected companies should share characteristics such asmarkets, products, growth and cyclical variability to themarkets, products, growth and cyclical variability to thebusinessbusiness
Valuator analyzes financial and operating performance,Valuator analyzes financial and operating performance,compares to the business being valuedcompares to the business being valued
Adjustments are made to multiples for differencesAdjustments are made to multiples for differencesidentified and for private co illiquidity of investmentidentified and for private co illiquidity of investment
Operating Entity ValueOperating Entity Value $ 5,948,565$ 5,948,565
Net NonNet Non--operating assetsoperating assets + 250,000+ 250,000
Total Entity ValueTotal Entity Value $ 6,198,565$ 6,198,565
RoundedRounded $ 6,200,000$ 6,200,000
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Market Approach: Guideline Company Example
A rule of thumb is a mathematical formula developedA rule of thumb is a mathematical formula developedfrom the relationship between price and certainfrom the relationship between price and certainvariables based on experience, observation,variables based on experience, observation,hearsay, or a combination of these; usually industryhearsay, or a combination of these; usually industryspecific.specific.
Rules of thumb arise from observation of marketRules of thumb arise from observation of markettransactionstransactions
Expressed as multiples of revenue, cash flow, etc. AExpressed as multiples of revenue, cash flow, etc. Amultiple of revenues implicitly assumes there is amultiple of revenues implicitly assumes there is areasonably constant relationship between grossreasonably constant relationship between grossrevenues, maintainable earnings (or cash flow) andrevenues, maintainable earnings (or cash flow) andValue.Value.
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Rules of thumb assumesRules of thumb assumes ““one size fits allone size fits all””. But each business is unique.. But each business is unique.Good as a secondary check, not as primary valuation methodGood as a secondary check, not as primary valuation method
Multiples of:Multiples of:
Price/net earningsPrice/net earnings
Price/prePrice/pre--tax earningstax earnings
Price/cash flowPrice/cash flow
Price/revenuesPrice/revenues
Price/gross profitPrice/gross profit
Price/book valuePrice/book value
Price/EBITPrice/EBIT
Price/EBITDAPrice/EBITDA
Price/SDEPrice/SDE
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Restate assets & liabilities to FMV:Restate assets & liabilities to FMV:
Adjusted Book Value MethodAdjusted Book Value Method
•• Going concern basisGoing concern basis
•• FMV is in net assets owned, not in cashFMV is in net assets owned, not in cash
flow (i.e. real estate or other investmentflow (i.e. real estate or other investment
holding co.)holding co.)
Liquidation Value MethodLiquidation Value Method
•• Worth more dead than aliveWorth more dead than alive
•• Forced vs. orderlyForced vs. orderly
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Business Owner:Business Owner:
““WhatWhat’’s the value of mys the value of mybusiness?business?””
Business valuator:Business valuator:
““ It dependsIt depends…”…”
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Successful deal takes time and planning.Successful deal takes time and planning.Usually need 3 to 5 years track record ofUsually need 3 to 5 years track record ofprofits & good FS.profits & good FS.
Takes between 6Takes between 6 –– 18 months to sell18 months to sell
Business Valuator can:Business Valuator can:
◦◦ FindFind ‘‘hidden assetshidden assets’’
◦◦ Provide a baseline value nowProvide a baseline value now
◦◦ Identify weaknesses & areas ofIdentify weaknesses & areas ofimprovementimprovement
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Business Valuator can:Business Valuator can:
◦◦ Identify value drivers to maximize saleIdentify value drivers to maximize salevaluevalue
◦◦ Assess business risks and opportunitiesAssess business risks and opportunities
◦◦ Help target buyers / best sale processHelp target buyers / best sale process
◦◦ Evaluate offers/assist in negotiations andEvaluate offers/assist in negotiations andgive the owner an edge!give the owner an edge!
Integrating a business valuator into exitIntegrating a business valuator into exitplanning team can translate into a higherplanning team can translate into a highervalue when the owner ultimately retires.value when the owner ultimately retires.
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Christine Minelli CAChristine Minelli CA••CBV, CFICBV, [email protected]@vine.on.ca(905) 549(905) 549--8463 or (905)5178463 or (905)517--37413741www.vine.on.cawww.vine.on.ca
Offices in Hamilton, Burlington andOffices in Hamilton, Burlington andKitchenerKitchener