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Succeeding in the Investment Profession
MODERATORS: Will Goodhart, CEO, CFA Society of the UK
Daniel Murray, CFA, Chair, Careers Committee, CFA Society of the
UK
SPEAKERS:Thomas Kalaris, Chief Executive, Barclays Wealth
Johannes Elsner, McKinseyRichard Penny, Fund Manager, Legal and
General Investment Management
Simon Todd, Fund Manager, Majedie Asset ManagementAsif
Jeevanjee, Analyst, JP Morgan Asset Management
Dan Smith, Head of Metals Research, Standard Chartered Bank John
Purkiss, Co-founder, Purkiss & Company
Luke Ellis, Head and CIO for Multi-Manager business, Man
Group
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Thomas KalarisChief Executive Barclays Wealth
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Johannes ElsnerMcKinsey
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Succeeding as a fund manager
Moderator: Will Goodhart, CEO, CFA Society of the UK
Panelists Richard Penny, Fund Manager, Legal and General
Investment Management
Simon Todd, Fund Manager, Majedie Asset Management
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Richard PennyFund Manager
Legal and General Investment Management
-
JANUARY 2012
Richard Penny - Senior Fund Manager
This is not a consumer advertisement. It is intended for
professional financial advisers and should not be relied upon by
private customers or any other persons
Succeeding as a fund manager
-
Fund Manager, Richard Penny Richard is a Senior Fund Manager of
the UK
Smaller Companies team and the manager of the L&G UK Alpha
Trust.
He has over 18 years of investment experience across 3 economic
cycles.
Richard joined LGIM in 2002 having previously worked for five
years as a Fund Manager for M&G Investment Management and four
years as a Fund Manager at Scottish Amicable Investment Management.
Richard began his career in 1992 at Scottish Amicable Investment
Managers.
Richard has a Masters degree in Engineering and Economics,
Oxford University.
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View From the Ivory tower James Montier
Be a stock picker
Be an independent thinker
Run a focus fund : wait for the fat pitch
Know when to sell
Have some skin in the game
Do something different
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How we do something different
Our Philosophy
Owner of businesses
Long term investments
Aggressive stock picking
Fundamental analysis (trust in valuations)
Contrarian
Market behaviour
Trader of shares
Short term
Benchmark hugger
P/E upgrades
Consensus
-
Investment Process Trusted network Company meetings AAA
advantage Refinancing/Rights Issues Third party research Directors
dealing Management owning Cross fertilisation
Typically 30-40 holdings
Deep value and strong growth
Set to double over 2-3 years
Target bottom decile of P&L based: P/E, EV/EBITDA BS based:
P/B, P/Sales EV/FCF%
Management Return on Capital Cash Conversion Predictability
Growth
Price targets continuously reviewed
Automatic review whentarget hit
Momentum factors considered for optimal timing for disposal
Potential triggers: change in management, corporate activity, a
high fair value score
Sell
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What makes a good business
Sales Growth
Cash profit margin
Competitive Advantage period
Working Capital intensity
Fixed Capital intensity
Cost of Capital
Cash tax rate
Organic sales growth
Business franchise
- Cash return on capital
- Competitive advantage
-
Valuation/Risk
Only buy an investment if it has upside! Include a new
investment if it raises your average portfolio upside A good
business is only a good investment at the right price A bad
business can be a good investment at a very cheap price Excessive
debt kills
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Common mistakes/Behavioural finance
I am over optimistic I think investments I own are more valuable
than those I don't I am a bad seller of stock I look for factors
which confirm my point of view
Review lots of investments/ invest in few Set price targets
Write down assumptions when entering an investment Eagerly seek
factors that oppose own point of view.
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Books/Learning from other peoples mistakes and success
Business analysis
Valuation/Finance
Value Growth Investing
Behavioural Finance
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Advice Slide Do something you enjoy for a living In investment
if you get it right 55% of the time you are doing well. Learn from
your own mistakes Learn from the mistakes of others/read Books Work
out the motivations of other people
- Interviews, directors, Brokers, Corporate Finance
Think Global
-
51%51%
78%87%92%
102%108%109%
121%144%147%153%
168%170%
180%195%
212%274%
344%
50%50%
ExillonSmart Metering
DSG3i
Cap-XXTT Electronics
NcipherNord Anglia
XaarRedstone
Endaceiomart
Easydate/CupidEservglobal
RestoreTepnel
Hutchinson China MCoal of AfricaSupergroup*
TanfieldImmunodiagnostics
L&G UK Alpha selected success stories
*Initial IPO purchasePrice increases calculated as per average
prices as at 31st January 2012. All figures represent absolute
returns over holding period and may reflect realised or unrealised
gains.
-
Disclaimer
Important InformationThis presentation, and any information it
contains, has been produced for use by professional managers and
advisors only and should not be distributed without the permission
of Legal & General Investment Management Limited or Legal &
General (Unit Trust Managers) Limited.The UK Alpha Trust (the Fund)
is authorised unit trust, established as UCITS fund, managed by
Legal & General (Unit Trust Managers) Limited. Legal &
General Investment Management Limited has been appointed as the
Investment Advisor and Distributor of the Funds and its main
function is to invest the assets of the Fund. Both companies are
authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.The
Fund is designed to be held for the longer term. The risks
associated with this Fund are set out in the Prospectus and these
should be understood before making any investment decisions.
Additional information in relation to the Risk Management process
is available on request. A copy of the Prospectus can be obtained
from:Legal & General Investment Management Limited - Telephone
number 020 3124 3583All rights in the FTSE All Share (the Index)
vest in FTSE International Limited (FTSE).FTSE is a trade mark of
the London Stock Exchange Plc and The Financial Times Limited and
is used by FTSE under licence. The Legal & General UK Alpha
Trust has been developed solely by Legal & General (Unit Trust
Managers) Limited. The Index is calculated by FTSE or its agent.
FTSE and its licensors do not sponsor, advise, recommend, endorse
or promote this fund and are not in any way connected to it and do
not accept any liability (including in negligence or otherwise) to
any person for any loss arising out of use of the Index by any
person or in relation to the funds issue, operation or trading or
as a result of an investment in the fund. FTSE makes no claim,
prediction, warranty or representation whatsoever, expressly or
impliedly, either as to the results to be obtained from the use of
the fund or as to the fitness or suitability of the Index for the
particular purpose to which it is being put by Legal & General
Investment ManagementThe information in this document and the views
expressed are provided by Legal & General Investment Management
who act as investment adviser to the Legal & General UK Alpha
Trust
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Simon Todd Fund Manager
Majedie Asset Management
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How to fail abjectly in fund management
Simon Todd, Global Fund Manager, MajedieAsset Management
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1. Speculate, dont invest
2. Worry about what everyone else is doing
3. Focus on the trees. Ignore the wood
4. Emphasise linear, scientific models
5. Make rapid, emotional decisions
6. Add, dont multiply
7. Never think about what happens if youre wrong
8. Attribute failure to others
9. Judge success by the outcome, not the process
10.Consider integrity as one of many competing goals
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Succeeding as a research analyst
Moderator: Daniel Murray, Careers Committee Chair, CFA Society
of the UK
Panelists Asif Jeevanjee, Analyst, JP Morgan Asset
Management
Dan Smith, Head of Metals Research, Standard Chartered Bank
-
Asif JeevanjeeAnalyst
JP Morgan Asset Management
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SUCCEEDING AS A BUY-SIDE ANALYST
Asif JeevanjeeJP Morgan Asset Management
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H [ P ] + I => SG
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Working hard work at something you are passionate about coupled
with
goals and a little imagination should yield success!
-
Dan SmithHead of Metals Research Standard Chartered Bank
-
Succeeding as a research analyst the sell-side
Dan Smith Head of Metals ResearchMarch
[email protected]
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28
The bank and the team
Standard Chartered Bank Established over 150 years ago as
Chartered Bank in Asia
Now one of the worlds largest banks currently ranked 13th in the
FTSE100 by market cap
More than 1,600 branches in 70 countries and 85,000
employees
Client-focused business in Asia, Africa and Middle East
Wholesale banking (global)/consumer banking (core footprint)
Pre-tax profit of USD 6.8bn in 2011 up 11% ninth consecutive
year of record profits
Global research team 150 members of staff with major centres
being London, Singapore, HK
Major areas of research macroeconomics, FX, credit, commodities,
Asian equities
Commodities business unit Commodities research analysts in
London, Shanghai and Singapore
Commodities business is expanding rapidly lending, corporate
finance, trading (futures and physical)
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Recognition
#1 in Metals Derivatives Research in 2011 Asia Risk
#1 in Credit Research for Thailand in 2011 Asiamoney
#1 in Rates Research for CNH in 2011 Asiamoney
#1 in Credit and Macroeconomic Research in India in Asset
Magazines Benchmark survey for 2011
#1 forecaster for GBP/USD in 2011 FX Week
Best analyst and Best research coverage for economists in India,
Thailand and Pakistan in 2009 and 2010 The Asset
Research award for Asia 2010 from Euromoney Groups Emerging
Markets magazine
#1 firm in the world for economic forecasting during the two
years ended 30 September 2011
#1 forecaster in 2009 for copper and gold prices #1 forecaster
for Asian currencies overall from April
2010 to September 2011 #1 forecaster for G10 exchange rates in
2009 and
2010 #1 forecaster for USD/KRW, USD/IDR, USD/BRL and
USD/COP in 2009 and for USD/TWD in 2011 #1 forecaster for
EUR/USD in 2008 & 2009
Standard Chartereds Global Research team has been recognised by
leading industry publications as the most accurate forecaster of
economic indices, currencies, credit markets and commodities
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30
My role at Standard Chartered
My responsibilities Global responsibility for market and price
forecasting for metals sector (base, precious and steel)
Build up relevant information sources and industry contacts to
support research process
Produce research reports and market commentary for external
clients and internal stakeholders (sales, trading and other parts
of the bank)
Keep clients and stakeholders updated with relevant news and
market views on fast-moving commodity markets website, printed
reports, chat room comments, client meetings/conference calls or
media channels (TV and radio), speaker bus
How I do it an information web Small team of in-house analysts
plus large team of outside consultants
Draw on wider economics team to provide expert opinion and on
the ground insight (eg China, India)
Build up live spreadsheets and data sources (eg Bloomberg,
Reuters, specialist journals)
Build price-forecasting models using fundamental and technical
analysis
Types of bank research Different types of research commodities
(markets) vs equities (companies)
-
31
My background
Experience Economist at Department of Trade and Industry
Worked for 15 years in consultancy firms covering metals and
mining and oil and gas sector
In-depth knowledge of fundamental and technical analysis and
forecasting
Invited to speak at major international conferences across the
base metals and precious metals spectrum with audiences of up to
1,000 people
Board-level advisor on corporate hedging strategies and market
outlook
Regular commentator on radio and TV networks including CNBC and
Bloomberg
Joined Standard Chartered in 2007 as metals analyst. Promoted to
Head of Metals Research in 2011
Education Graduated from the University of Birmingham in 1990,
with an Honours degree in economics
Became CFA Charter Holder in 2010
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32
Routes into research and analyst skills
Methods of entry Two main areas in our team economist or product
specialist (eg commodities)
Economist strong academic background; MSc or PhD in
economics
Intern, graduate entry and rotation, full position
Product specialist develop relevant experience or skills (eg
FX/credit economics is useful. Commodities industry background such
as mining or consulting)
Senior level hire from other banks or industry
Typical research analysts skills A passion for investigation and
thoughtful economic analysis
Able to write research reports in a clear and interesting
manner
Able to formulate, communicate and sell views to clients and
other members of the team
Comfortable in a fast-moving, pressured market environment
Good analytical skills
-
33
Personal ideas on how to climb the greasy pole
Ways to secure promotions/job offers Become a market guru in a
niche sector and read widely around your subject
Leverage up from a small market to a larger market
Seek out the real experts/see through the newsflow
Dont be afraid to argue against market consensus
Advice for a rookie economist Have a well-argued, clear view
Networking/skills Build your network of contacts (1,000
connections might be needed for one job offer!)
Work closely with press contacts to build a reputation for
quality
Network with other analysts to swap information and views
Learn new skills which are in short supply (eg Excel macros,
technical analysis, presentation skills, Russian, Mandarin)
Stay one step ahead of your boss!
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Global Disclaimer (page 1 of 2)
Analyst Certification Disclosure: The research analyst or
analysts responsible for the content of this research report
certify that: (1) the views expressed and attributed to the
research analyst or analysts in the research report accurately
reflect their personal opinion(s) about the subject securities and
issuers and/or other subject matter as appropriate; and, (2) no
part of his or her compensation was, is or will be directly or
indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views
contained in this research report. On a general basis, the efficacy
of recommendations is a factor in the performance appraisals of
analysts.
Global Disclaimer: Standard Chartered Bank and or its affiliates
("SCB) makes no representation or warranty of any kind, express,
implied or statutory regarding this document or any information
contained or referred to on the document. The information in this
document is provided for information purposes only. It does not
constitute any offer, recommendation or solicitation to any person
to enter into any transaction or adopt any hedging, trading or
investment strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of
likely future movements in rates or prices, or represent that any
such future movements will not exceed those shown in any
illustration. The stated price of the securities mentioned herein,
if any, is as of the date indicated and is not any representation
that any transaction can be effected at this price. While all
reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no
responsibility or liability is accepted for errors of fact or for
any opinion expressed herein. The contents of this document may not
be suitable for all investors as it has not been prepared with
regard to the specific investment objectives or financial situation
of any particular person. Any investments discussed may not be
suitable for all investors. Users of this document should seek
professional advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in
any securities, financial instruments or investment strategies
referred to on this document and should understand that statements
regarding future prospects may not be realised. Opinions,
forecasts, assumptions, estimates, derived valuations, projections
and price target(s), if any, contained in this document are as of
the date indicated and are subject to change at any time without
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value and income of any of the securities or financial instruments
mentioned in this document can fall as well as rise and an investor
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Global Disclaimer (page 2 of 2)
Country-Specific Disclosures - If you are receiving this
document in any of the countries listed below, please note the
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United Kingdom and European Economic Area: SCB is authorised and
regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Services Authority
(FSA). This communication is not directed at Retail Clients in the
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in this document constitutes a personal recommendation or
investment advice as defined by Directive 2004/39/EC. Australia:
The Australian Financial Services License for SCB is License No:
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This research has not been produced in Brazil. The report has been
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MENTIONED IN THIS REPORT HAVE NOT BEEN AND WILL NOT BE REGISTERED
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COMMISSION OF BRAZIL AND MAY NOT BE OFFERED OR SOLD IN BRAZIL
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Copyright 2012 Standard Chartered Bank and its affiliates. All
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transmitted in any way without the prior written permission of
Standard Chartered Bank.
-
John PurkissPartner, Veni Partners, Co-author of Brand You
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012
Managing Your Career: A Strategic Approach
CFA UK SocietyJohn Purkiss, March 16, 2012
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012
38
Im a headhunter and I write books:www.johnpurkiss.com
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012 39
Discover the talents you love to use
Discover your values
Discover your unique combination
Tailor your CV/rsum to your market
Today I will help you to:
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012 40
A talent is a natural ability to do something well
1) Your Talents
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012 41
Make a list of high points, in any area of your life
Make a note of the themes that connect your high points
1) Your Talents
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012 42
Your values are what you believe is important in your life and
work
Your values become apparent in the way you do things
2) Your Values
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012 43
Make a list of the people you admire
Make a list of the qualities you admire in them
Your values are the qualities you see in the people you
admire
2) Your Values
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Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012 44
(If you are writing to a headhunter) I believe I can offer your
clients the following:
(Education/training)(Experience in a particular
function)(Experience in a particular sector)(Experience of a
process)(Languages/international experience)
3) Highlight your unique combination of skills and
experience
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012 45
Two-page CV (which many hiring managers prefer)
One-page CV with a one-page deal list
One-page CV with 3-4 pages of detail (headhunter-friendly)
4) Tailor your CV / rsum to your market, for example:
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012 46
There are still a few copies left. The eBook is available on
Amazon.co.uk
If you would like to be notified when the second edition is
published in September, please go to
http://www.brandyou.info/brand-you/,
join our mailing list and download the free sample chapter. (We
wont send you spam.)
-
Copyright John Purkiss 2012Copyright John Purkiss 2012 47
Lets meet and keep in touch
Meet Julia, Michaela, Joanne
www.johnpurkiss.com: blogs, Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter, etc
Join our mailing list: www.BrandYou.info
-
Luke EllisHead and CIO for Multi-Manager
business Man Group