Strategic Marketing for the 21 st Century Filipino Chemical Engineer 21 st Century Filipino Chemical Engineer (Survive and Thrive the Typhoons of Change) Prof. Remigio Joseph De Ungria Jr., ChE, ME, MBA Ateneo Graduate School of Business www.josephdeungria.com http://strategicpinoyengineer.blogspot.com
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Strategic Marketing
for the 21st Century Filipino Chemical Engineer21st Century Filipino Chemical Engineer
(Survive and Thrive
the Typhoons of Change)
Prof. Remigio Joseph De Ungria Jr., ChE, ME, MBA
Ateneo Graduate School of Business
www.josephdeungria.com
http://strategicpinoyengineer.blogspot.com
Strategic Marketing
for the 21st Century Filipino Chemical Engineer
This This This This
IsIsIsIs
OurOurOurOur
StoryStoryStoryStory
21st Century Filipino Chemical Engineer
(Survive and Thrive
the Typhoons of Change)
Prof. Remigio Joseph A. De Ungria Jr., ChE, ME, MBA
Ateneo Graduate School of Business
www.josephdeungria.com
http://strategicpinoyengineer.blogspot.com
What will OUR story tell?
A. Past disasters
B. Major ChE changes for last 24 years
C. 4 Fearless Predictions for ChE
D. 4 Strategic Recommendations to D. 4 Strategic Recommendations to
Survive and Thrive
3www.josephdeungria.com
Smart ChE define disorder as
ENTROPY
Disaster
Catastrophe
Cataclysmic Change
Bad Luck
Bad things that
happen to us
Bad= something Bad Luck
KarmaBad= something
we don’t want
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A + BC AC + B
Until a temporary equilibrium
Direction of change is to
create more disorder
Until a temporary equilibrium
is reached,
Then, change happens again
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1. Worse off after it happens
2. Often unexpected
3. Life changes as we know it
4 Characteristics of a disaster:
3. Life changes as we know it
4. Affects us & our loved ones
6www.josephdeungria.com
Greater. Wider.
Faster.
More survivable.
Me- 2 feet of water- P15,000 damage
A relative and 2 officemates- lost 200k
to 2 M worth of property
accumulated over many years;
How did Typhoons Ondoy and
Pepeng affect you?
to 2 M worth of property
accumulated over many years;
flooding of 2 days to 2 months
7www.josephdeungria.com
P 212 Billion to repair
and rehabilitate
- Dr. Yumul (90 minutes ago)
How did Typhoons Ondoy and
Pepeng affect you?
- Dr. Yumul (90 minutes ago)
8www.josephdeungria.com
Just because it did not happen in the last 25
years, does not mean it won’t.
Disasters happen when we least expect it &
at worst possible time.
Personal lessons from Ondoy
at worst possible time.
Past performance does not guarantee future
results (typical financial planning advise)
9www.josephdeungria.com
An inactive volcano for hundreds of
years
After its eruption
Remember Mt. Pinatubo?
After its eruption
1. Ash clouds that caused global COOLING
2. Drove out the US bases
3. Instantly wiped out villages
4. Continued destruction years after
10www.josephdeungria.com
“Disasters” also happen in
business..
1. Lay-offs
2. Downsizing
3. Rightsizing
4. Outsourcing
5. Sub-contracting
Why disasters?
Lost jobs
Lost income5. Sub-contracting
6. Regionalization
7. Globalization
8. Recession
9. Deregulation
Lost income
Affected workers
and their families
www.josephdeungria.com 11
“Disasters” also happen in
business..
1. Lay-offs
2. Downsizing
3. Rightsizing
4. Outsourcing
5. Sub-contracting
Why disasters?
Lost jobs
Lost incomeWhat’s the Difference
5. Sub-contracting
6. Regionalization
7. Globalization
8. Recession
9. Deregulation
Lost income
Affected workers
and their families
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DifferenceBetween
A RECESSION And
A DEPRESSION?
“Disasters” also happen in
business..
1. Lay-offs
2. Downsizing
3. Rightsizing
4. Outsourcing
5. Sub-contracting
Why disasters?
Lost jobs
Lost income
RECESSION Is when
Your neighborLoses his Job.
DEPRESSION?5. Sub-contracting
6. Regionalization
7. Globalization
8. Recession
9. Deregulation
Lost income
Affected workers
and their families
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DEPRESSION?Is when
I lose my Job.
My strategic marketing perspective:
16 of Ateneo’s 150 years
14www.josephdeungria.com
Since 1994,
Industry by day, Academe at night
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1. Shutdown/ sub-contracted
2. Shutdown/ imported
3. Downsized/ competed globally
What I saw as a ChE…
3. Downsized/ competed globally
4. Sold to multinationals/ rightsized
5. Shutdown/ regionalized
16www.josephdeungria.com
Compare Top 10 corporations
revenues/ profits in 10 years
19961.NPC 75B/ 6B
2.Meralco 58B/ 5B
3.Petron 55B/ 4B
4.Shell 48B/ 3B
5.San Miguel 37B/ 6B
20061.San Miguel 250B/ 10B
2.Petron 213B/ 6B
3.Meralco 190B/ 13B
4.TI 170B/ 5B
5.Shell 157B/ 4B5.San Miguel 37B/ 6B
6.Caltex 34B/ 1B
7.PAL 31B/ -3B
8.PLDT 29B/ 7B
9.Nestle 28B/ 2B
10.Texas Ins 25B/ 0B
5.Shell 157B/ 4B
6.PASAR 81B/ 3B
7.Chevron 77B/ 3B
8.PLDT 73B/ 24B
9.SMART 68B/ 22B
10.Nestle 67B/ 6B
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Source: Philippines Top 7000 Corporations
2 Players dropped out of Top
70 & replaced by non-top 70
19961.NPC 75B/ 6B
2.Meralco 58B/ 5B
3.Petron 55B/ 4B
4.Shell 48B/ 3B
5.San Miguel 37B/ 6B
20061.San Miguel 250B/ 10B
2.Petron 213B/ 6B
3.Meralco 190B/ 13B
4.TI 170B/ 5B
5.Shell 157B/ 4B5.San Miguel 37B/ 6B
6.Caltex 34B/ 1B
7.PAL 31B/ -3B
8.PLDT 29B/ 7B
9.Nestle 28B/ 2B
10.Texas Ins 25B/ 0B
5.Shell 157B/ 4B
6.PASAR 81B/ 3B
7.Chevron 77B/ 3B
8.PLDT 73B/ 24B
9.SMART 68B/ 22B
10.Nestle 67B/ 6B
18
NPC and PAL dropped out of the Top 70 Corporations in 2006.SMART and PASAR were not part of the Top 70 Corporations in 1996.
Source: Philippines Top 7000 Corporations
Double digit revenue growth
but single digit profit increase
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3 of 8 Top Corporations had
>50% decline in profit %
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Interestingly, Chevron which shutdown its refinery
doubled its profitability and beat Petron & Shell
In profits as % of revenues. (4% vs. 3%)
1. 20% fell off Top 10 & off of Top 70
– NPC (#1), PAL (#7)
2. 30% had profits decreased by 50%
– SMC, Petron, Shell,
3. 10%: profits decreased despite
Entropy of Top 10
Corporations (1996 vs. 2006)
3. 10%: profits decreased despite
double digit revenue growth
– MERALCO
4. Two newcomers came out of
nowhere to land in Top 10
– SMART, PASAR21www.josephdeungria.com
1. Change will happen
2. Cant stop change
– Earthquake, flood
– Globalization, Regionalization, Technology
3. Can prepare for change
What I’ve learned from past
3. Can prepare for change
4. Must convert threat to opportunity
22www.josephdeungria.com
1. Strategic Marketing Plan (5-20 year)
2. Financial Plan (5 - 30 year)
2 Things chemical engineers need to survive whatever future