7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
1/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -1
Chapter 3
The External Assessment
Strategic Management:Concepts & Cases
13th Edition
Fred David
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
2/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -2
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
3/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -3
It is not the strongest of the species thatsurvive, nor the most intelligent, but the onemost responsive to change.
Charles Darwin
External Assessment
Nothing focuses the mind better than the
constant sight of a competitor who wants towipe you off the map.
Wayne Calloway, Former CEO, PepsiCo
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
4/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -4
External StrategicManagement Audit
Environmental Scanning
Industry Analysis
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
5/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -5
Identify & evaluate factors beyond the
control of a single firm Increased foreign competition
Population shifts
Aging society
Fear of traveling
Stock market volatility
External StrategicManagement Audit
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
6/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -6
Purpose of an External Audit
Develop a finite list of
opportunities that could benefit a firm
threats that should be avoided
External StrategicManagement Audit
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
7/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -7
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
8/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -8
Gather competitive intelligence
Assimilate information
Evaluate
Resulting in a list of the most
important key external factors
External Audit
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
9/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -9
Performing External Audit
ExternalFactors
Measurable
Long-term Orientation
Applicable toCompeting Firms
Hierarchical
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
10/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -10
Industrial Organization(I/O) View
Industry factors are more importantthan internal factors
Performance determined by industryforces
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
11/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -11
Economies of Scale
IndustryProperties
Barriers to Market Entry
Product Differentiation
The Economy
I/O Perspective Firm Performance
Level of Competitiveness
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
12/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -12
Economic Forces
GDP
Trends in the dollars value
Unemployment rates
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
13/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -13
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
14/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -14
Social, Cultural, Demographic, andNatural Environmental Forces
Major Impact
Products
Services
Markets
Customers
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
15/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -15
Social, Cultural, Demographic, andNatural Environmental Forces US Facts
Aging population Less White
Widening gap between rich & poor
2025 = 18.5% population > 65 years 2075 = no ethnic or racial majority
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
16/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -16
Social, Cultural, Demographic, andNatural Environmental Forces Facts
World population 7 billion World population = 8 billion by 2028
World population = 9 billion by 2054
U.S. population > 310 million
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
17/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -17
Trends
More American households with
people living alone
Aging Americans affects all
organizations
Social, Cultural, Demographic, andNatural Environmental Forces
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
18/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -18
Political, Governmental, andLegal Forces
Key opportunities & threats Antitrust legislation
Tax rates
Lobbying activities Patent laws
Government Regulation
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
19/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -19
Political, Governmental, andLegal Forces Protectionist policies
Governments taking equity stakes
in companies
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
20/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -20
Technological Forces
Major Impact
Internet
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
21/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -21
Technological Forces
Significance of IT
Chief Information Officer (CIO)
Chief Technology Officer (CTO)
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
22/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -22
Technological Forces
Essential for nearly every
strategic decision
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
23/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -23
Competitive Forces
Collection & evaluation of data on
competitors is essential for successfulstrategy formulation
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
24/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -24
Competitive ForcesStrengths
Weaknesses
Capabilities
Opportunities
Threats
Objectives
Strategies
Identify Rival Firms
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
25/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -25
Competitive Forces
Competition in virtually all
industries can be described asintense
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
26/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -26
Key Questions ConcerningCompetitors
Their strengths
Their weaknesses
Their objectives and strategies Their responses to external variables
Their vulnerability to our alternative
strategies Our vulnerability to strategic counterattack
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
27/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -27
Key Questions ConcerningCompetitors
Our product/service positioning
Entry and exit of firms in the industry
Key factors for our current position in industry
Sales/profit ranking of competitors over time
Nature of supplier and distributorrelationships
The threat of substitute products/services
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
28/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice HallCh 3 -28
Competitive Forces 7 characteristics of most competitive firms
Market share matters
Understanding what business you are in
Broke or not, fix it
Innovate or evaporate
Acquisition is essential to growth
People make a difference
No substitute for quality
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
29/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -29
Competitive Intelligence
A systematic and ethical process for
gathering and analyzing informationabout the competitions activities and
general business trends to further a
businesss own goals
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
30/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -30
Sources of Competitive Intelligence
Internet
Employees
Managers
Suppliers
Distributors
Customers
Creditors
Consultants
Trade journals
Want ads
Newspaper articles
Government filings
Competitors
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
31/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -31
Objectives of Competitive Intelligence
Provide a general understanding of industryand competitors
Identify areas where competitors are
vulnerable and assess impact of actions oncompetitors
Identify potential moves that a competitor
might make
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
32/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -32
Market Commonality
The number and significance of
markets that a firm competes inwith rivals
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
33/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -33
Resource Similarity
Extent to which the type and
amount of a firms internalresources are comparable to arival
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
34/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -34
The Five-Forces Model of Competition
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
35/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -35
Steps to Determine if an Acceptable
Profit Can Be Earned
1. Identify key aspects or elements of eachcompetitive force
2. Evaluate how strong and important eachelement is for the firm
3. Decide whether the collective strength ofthe elements is worth the firm entering or
staying in the industry
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
36/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -36
The Five-Forces Model
Rivalry among competing firms
Most powerful of the five forces Focus on competitive advantage of
strategies over other firms
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
37/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -37
Conditions that Cause High RivalryAmong Competing Firms
High number of competing firms
Similar size of firms competing
Similar capability of firms competing Falling demand for the industrys products
Falling product/service prices in the
industry
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
38/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -38
Conditions that Cause High RivalryAmong Competing Firms
Consumers can switch brands easily
Barriers to leaving the market are high
Barriers to entering the market are low
Fixed costs are high among firmscompeting
The product is perishable
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
39/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -39
Conditions that Cause High RivalryAmong Competing Firms
Rivals have excess capacity
Consumer demand is falling
Rivals have excess inventory
Rivals sell similar products/services
Mergers are common in the industry
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
40/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -40
The Five-Forces Model Potential Entry of New Competitors
Barriers to entry are important
Quality, pricing, and marketing canovercome barriers
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
41/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -41
The Five-Forces Model
Potential development of substituteproducts
Pressure increases when: Prices of substitutes decrease
Consumers switching costs
decrease
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
42/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -42
The Five-Forces Model
Bargaining Power of Suppliers is
increased when there are:
Large numbers of suppliers
Few substitutes
Costs of switching raw materials is high
Backward integration is gaining control orownership of suppliers
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
43/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -43
The Five-Forces Model Bargaining power of consumers
Customers being concentrated or
buying in volume affects intensity ofcompetition
Consumer power is higher where
products are standard orundifferentiated
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
44/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -44
Conditions Where Consumers Gain
Bargaining Power
If buyers can inexpensively switch
If buyers are particularly important
If sellers are struggling in the face of falling
consumer demand
If buyers are informed about sellers
products, prices, and costs
If buyers have discretion in whether andwhen they purchase the product
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
45/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -45
Sources of External Information:Unpublished Sources
Customer surveys
Market research
Speeches at professional or shareholder
meetings
Television programs
Interviews and conversations with
stakeholders
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
46/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -46
Sources of External Information:Published Sources
Periodicals
Journals
Reports
Government documents Abstracts
Books
Directories
Newspapers
Manuals
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
47/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -47
Sources of External Information:Web Sites
http://marketwatch.multexinvestor.com
http://moneycentral.msn.com
http://finance.yahoo.com www.clearstation.com
https://us.etrade.com/e/t/invest/markets
www.hoovers.com
http://marketwatch.multexinvestor.com/http://moneycentral.msn.com/http://finance.yahoo.com/http://www.clearstation.com/https://us.etrade.com/e/t/invest/marketshttp://www.hoovers.com/http://www.hoovers.com/https://us.etrade.com/e/t/invest/marketshttp://www.clearstation.com/http://finance.yahoo.com/http://moneycentral.msn.com/http://marketwatch.multexinvestor.com/7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
48/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -48
Forecasting Tools and Techniques
Forecasts are educated assumptions
about future trends and events
Quantitative techniques most
appropriate when historical data isavailable and there is a constantrelationship
Qualitative techniques
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
49/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -49
Assumptions
Estimates of future events based
upon the best availableinformation in the present
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
50/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -50
Industry Analysis: The ExternalFactor Evaluation (EFE) Matrix
Economic
Social
Cultural
Demographic
Environmental
Political
Governmental
Technological
Competitive
Legal
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
51/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -51
EFE Matrix Steps
1. List key external factors
2. Weight from 0 to 1
3. Rate effectiveness of current strategies
4. Multiply weight * rating
5. Sum weighted scores
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
52/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -52
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
53/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -53
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
54/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -54
Total weighted score of 4.0 Organization response is outstanding to threats
and weaknesses
Industry Analysis EFE
Total weighted score of 1.0
Firms strategies not capitalizing on opportunitiesor avoiding threats
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
55/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -55
Industry Analysis: Competitive ProfileMatrix (CPM) Identifies firms major competitors and
their strengths & weaknesses in
relation to a sample firms strategic
positions
Critical success factors include
internal and external issues
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
56/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -56
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
57/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as Prentice Hall
Ch 3 -57
Industry Analysis CPM
Just because one firm receives a 3.2 ratingand another receives a 2.8 rating, it does notfollow that the first firm is 20 percent better
than the second.
Important
7/29/2019 Strategic Management Chapter 03
58/58
Copyright 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Ch 3 -58
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in aretrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic,
mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior writtenpermission of the publisher. Printed in the United States of America.