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Stopping Rule Use During Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Information Search in Design Tasks Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis
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Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Jan 11, 2016

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Page 1: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Stopping Rule Use During Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Information Search in

Design TasksDesign Tasks

Glenn J. Browne

Texas Tech University

Mitzi G. Pitts

University of Memphis

Page 2: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

OutlineOutline

Introduction: Aims of the StudyBackgroundSetting and MethodResultsConclusion

Page 3: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Introduction: Aims of the Introduction: Aims of the StudyStudy

Improving requirements determination for systems development

Understanding how analysts decide when to stop gathering information

Understanding role of experience in that decision

Page 4: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Background:Background:The Decision-Making ProcessThe Decision-Making Process

Simon’s Model– Intelligence– Design– Choice

Page 5: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Information SearchInformation Search

Why we might expect information search in different stages of the decision-making process to differ.

“Stopping Rules”

Page 6: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Information AcquisitionInformation Acquisition

Problems in acquisition– Underacquiring– Overacquiring

Page 7: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

HeuristicsHeuristics

Defined – rules of thumb for taking actions in various situations

Examples– “80-20 Rule”– “Feed a cold, starve a fever”

Page 8: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Heuristics for Assessing Heuristics for Assessing LikelihoodLikelihood

Normative – Relative FrequencyDescriptive

– E.g., availability, representativeness, anchoring and adjustment

Page 9: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Heuristics for ChoiceHeuristics for Choice

Normative– E.g., expected value of information, expected

value of additional information, expected loss from terminating information acquisition.

Descriptive– E.g., Dominance, Conjunctive, Disjunctive,

“The Minimalist,” “Take the Best.”

Page 10: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Heuristics for Intelligence Heuristics for Intelligence Gathering and DesignGathering and Design

?

Page 11: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Heuristics for Intelligence Gathering Heuristics for Intelligence Gathering and Design:and Design:Some IdeasSome Ideas

Nickles, Curley, and Benson (1995)– Difference Threshold– Magnitude Threshold– Mental List– Representational Stability

Page 12: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Difference Threshold Stopping Rule

Page 13: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Magnitude Threshold Stopping Rule

Page 14: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Mental List Stopping Rule

Page 15: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Representational Stability Stopping RuleRepresentational Stability Stopping Rule

Page 16: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Impact of Analyst ExperienceImpact of Analyst Experience

On information gatheredOn stopping rules used

Page 17: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

The ContextThe Context

Requirements gathering for information systems development

Application for grocery shopping on world wide web

54 practicing systems analysts in the Baltimore-Washington metro area

Participants asked to gather requirements until they felt they had enough information to draw diagrams representing requirements and proceed with system design.

Page 18: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Measuring Information Measuring Information RequirementsRequirements

Requirements TaxonomyTotal requirements (Quantity)BreadthDepth

Page 19: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

HypothesesHypotheses

H1a: The use of some stopping rules will result in different quantities of requirements than the use of others.

H1b: The use of some stopping rules will result in different breadth of requirements than the use of others.

H1c: The use of some stopping rules will result in different depth of requirements than the use of others.

Page 20: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Hypotheses (cont.)Hypotheses (cont.) H2a: A greater number of experienced analysts will

use the mental list rule than will use the representational stability rule.

H2b: A greater number of experienced analysts will use the mental list rule than will use the difference threshold rule.

H2c: A greater number of experienced analysts will use the magnitude threshold rule than will use the representational stability rule.

H2d: A greater number of experienced analysts will use the magnitude threshold rule than will use the difference threshold rule.

Page 21: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Hypotheses (cont.)Hypotheses (cont.)

H3a: There will be no relationship between the experience of the analyst and the quantity of requirements elicited.

H3b: There will be no relationship between the experience of the analyst and the quality of requirements elicited.

Page 22: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Data AnalysisData Analysis

Verbal protocols and questionnairesCodingInterrater reliabilityStopping rule identification

Page 23: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

ResultsResults

Stopping Rule Use– Difference Threshold – 22– Representational Stability – 13– Mental List - 10– Magnitude Threshold – 9

Page 24: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Results (cont.)Results (cont.)

Requirements Elicited by Stopping Rule– Quantity – F(3,50) = 2.72; p = .05– Breadth - F(3,50) = 1.72; p = .17

– Depth - 2(3) = 8.98; p = .03

Page 25: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Results (cont.)Results (cont.)

Impact of Experience on Stopping Rule Use– Mental List = 14.30 years– Magnitude Threshold = 14.06 years– Difference Threshold = 11.11 years– Representational Stability = 7.65 years

Page 26: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Results (cont.)Results (cont.)

Impact of Experience on Stopping Rule Use– Mental List rule users were more experienced than

users of the Representational Stability rule (t(21) = 2.27; p = .019), supporting Hypothesis 2a.

– Users of the Magnitude Threshold rule were also more experienced than users of the Representational Stability rule (t(20) = 2.00; p = .03), supporting Hypothesis 2c.

– Other two hypotheses were not supported.

Page 27: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

Results (cont.)Results (cont.)

Impact of Experience on Requirements Elicited– Analysts’ years of experience were unrelated to

the total number of requirements elicited (Pearson’s r2 = .08; p = .59), supporting H3a.

– Breadth of requirements (r2 = .15; p = .27) and depth of requirements (r2 = .02; p = .91) were also unrelated to analysts’ years of experience, supporting H3b.

Page 28: Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis.

ConclusionConclusion

Identification of stopping rules during information search

Impacts of analyst experienceImpact on information systems

development process