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Stochastic Calculus Main Results- Jaimungal

Apr 05, 2018

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  • 7/31/2019 Stochastic Calculus Main Results- Jaimungal

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    MMF1952Y:Stochastic Calculus Main

    Results

    2006 Prof. S. Jaimungal

    Department of Statistics and

    Mathematical Finance Program

    University of Toronto

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 2

    Probability Spaces

    | A probability space is a triple ( , , ) where

    z is the set of all possible outcomes

    z P is a probability measure

    z is a sigma-algebra telling us which

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 3

    Stochastic Integration

    | A diffusion or Ito process Xt can be approximated by its local

    dynamics through a driving Brownian motion Wt:

    | tX denotes the information generated by the process Xs on the

    interval [0,t]

    Adapted drift process

    Adapted volatility process

    fluctuations

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 4

    Stochastic Integration

    | If a random variable Z is known given tX then one says, Z t

    X

    and Z is said to be measurable w.r.t. tX

    | If for every t 0 a stochastic processYt is known given tX then,

    Yt is said to be adapted to the filtrationX { t

    X}t 0

    | The formula

    is an intuitive construction of a general diffusion process from a

    Brownian motion process

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 5

    Stochastic Integration

    | Stochastic differential equations are generated by taking thelimit as t 0

    | A natural integral representation of this expression is

    | The first integral can be interpreted as an ordinary Riemann-

    Stieltjes integral

    | The second term cannot be treated as such, since path-wise Wtis nowhere differentiable!

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 6

    Stochastic Integration

    | Instead define the integral as the limit of approximating sums

    | Given a simple process g(s) [ piecewise-constant with jumps at

    a < t0 < t1 < < tn < b] the stochastic integral is defined as

    | Idea

    z Create a sequence of approximating simple processes which

    converge to the given process in the L2 sense

    z Define the stochastic integral as the limit of the approximating

    processes

    Left end valuation

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 7

    Martingales

    | Glimpses ofMartingales appeared in the discrete-time setting

    | The expectation of a random variable Y on a probability space

    ( , , )

    | Given a stochastic variableY the symbol

    represents the conditional expectation ofY given tX , i.e. the

    information available from time to 0 up to time t

    | This expectation is itself, in general, a random variable

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 8

    Martingales

    | Glimpses ofMartingales appeared in the discrete-time setting

    | First define conditional expectations with respect to a filtration

    { tX }t 0

    | Given a stochastic variableY the symbol

    represents the conditional expectation ofY given tX , i.e. the

    information available from time to 0 up to time t

    | This expectation is itself, in general, a random variable

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 9

    Martingales

    | Two important properties of conditional expectations

    | Iterated expectations: for s < t

    z double expectation where the inner expectation is on a larger

    information set reduces to conditioning on the smaller

    information set

    | Factorization of measurable random variables : ifZ tX

    z If Z is known given the information set, it factors out of the

    expectation

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 10

    Martingales

    | A stochastic process Xt is called an t-martingale if

    1. Xt is adapted to the filtration { t }t 0

    2. For every t 0

    3. For every s and t such that 0 t < s

    This last condition states that the expected future value is

    its value now

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 11

    Martingales : Examples

    | Standard Brownian motion is a Martingale

    | Stochastic integrals are Martingales

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 12

    Martingales : Examples

    | A stochastic process satisfying an SDE with no drift term is a

    Martingale

    | A class ofGeometric Brownian motions are Martingales:

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 13

    Itos Lemma

    | Itos Lemma: If a stochastic variable Xt satisfies the SDE

    then given any function f(Xt, t) of the stochastic variable Xt which

    is twice differentiable in its first argument and once in its second,

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 14

    Itos Lemma

    | Can be obtained heuristically by performing a Taylor expansion in

    Xt and t, keeping terms of orderdt and (dWt)2 and replacing

    | Quadratic variation of the pure diffusion is O(dt)!

    | Cross variation of dt and dWt is O(dt3/2)

    | Quadratic variation of dt terms is O(dt2)

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 15

    Itos Lemma

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 16

    Itos Lemma : Examples

    | Suppose St satisfies the geometric Brownian motion SDE

    then Itos lemma gives

    Therefore ln St

    satisfies a Brownian motion SDE and we have

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 17

    Itos Lemma : Examples

    | Suppose St satisfies the geometric Brownian motion SDE

    | What SDE does St satisfy?

    | Therefore, S(t) is also a GBM with new parameters:

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 18

    Dolean-Dades exponential

    | The Dolean-Dades exponential (Yt) of a stochastic processYtis the solution to the SDE:

    | If we write

    | Then,

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 19

    Quadratic Variation

    | In Finance we often encounter relative changes

    | The quadratic variation of the increments of X and Y can be

    computed by calculating the expected value of the product

    of course, this is just a fudge, and to compute it correctly you

    must show that

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 20

    Itos Product and Quotient Rules

    | Itos product rule is the analog of the Leibniz product rule for

    standard calculus

    | Itos quotient rule is the analog of the Leibniz quotient rule for

    standard calculus

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 21

    Itos Product and Quotient Rules

    | We often encounter the inverse of a process

    | Itos quotient rule implies

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 22

    Multidimensional Ito Processes

    | Given a set of diffusion processes Xt(i) ( i = 1,,n)

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 23

    Multidimensional Ito Processes

    where (i) and (i) are Ft adapted processes and

    In this representation the Wiener processes Wt(i) are all

    independent

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 24

    Multidimensional Ito Processes

    | Notice that the quadratic variation of between any pair of Xs is:

    | Consequently, the correlation coefficient ij between the two

    processes and the volatilities of the processes are

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 25

    Multidimensional Ito Processes

    | The diffusions X(i) may also be written in terms of correlated

    diffusions as follows:

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 26

    Multidimensional Itos Lemma

    | Given any function f(Xt(1), , Xt(n), t) that is twice differentiable in

    its first n-arguments and once in its last,

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 27

    Multidimensional Itos Lemma

    | Alternatively, one can write,

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 28

    Multidimensional Ito rules

    | Product rule:

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 29

    Multidimensional Ito rules

    | Quotient rule:

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 30

    Feynman Kac Formula

    | Suppose that a function f({X1,,Xn}, t) which is twice

    differentiable in all first n-arguments and once in t satisfies

    then the Feynman-Kac formula provides a solution as :

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 31

    Feynman Kac Formula

    | In the previous equation the stochastic process Y1(t),, Y2(t)

    satisfy the SDEs

    and W(t) are Wiener processes.

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 32

    Self-Financing Strategies

    | A self-financing strategy is one in which no money is added or

    removed from the portfolio at any point in time.

    | All changes in the weights of the portfolio must net to zero value

    | Given a portfolio with (i) units of asset X(i), the Value process is

    | The total change is:

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 33

    Self-Financing Strategies

    | If the strategy is self-financing then,

    | So that self-financing requires,

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 34

    Measure Changes

    | The Radon-Nikodym derivative connects probabilities in onemeasure to probabilities in an equivalent measure

    | This random variable has -expected value of 1

    | Its conditional expectation is a martingale process

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    S. Jaimungal, 2006 35

    Measure Changes

    | Given an event which is T-measurable, then,

    For Ito processes there exists an Ft-adapted process s.t. the

    Radon-Nikodym derivative can be written

    S. Jaimungal, 2006 36

    Girsanovs Theorem

    | Girsanovs Theorem says that

    z if Wt(i) are standard Brownian processes under

    z then the Wt(i)* are standard Brownian processes under

    where