Future Jobs Suggestions from the Beyond Current Horizons programme
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Future Jobs
Suggestions from the Beyond Current Horizons programme
Exploring learning• New technologies
• New approaches to learning
Exchange of ideas• Policy, research & practice
• Space for experimentation
Hard evidence & practical advice • Fieldwork & work with teachers
• Communicating recent thinking
• www.beyondcurrenthorizons.org
• 6 Future scenarios – a set of detailed scenarios exploring the future of education
• 60 expert reviews
The challenges we are facing
• Should education continue to be organised around the unit of the individual learner?
• Should ‘the school’ retain its dominant position in assumptions about educational futures?
• Should preparation for competition within a knowledge economy remain a primary goal for education?
There are many possible futures
Futures can be...
ProbablePossible
Preferable
Foreseeable consequences...
• What’s likely to happen• But be wary of predictions...
Machines were supposed to take over...
Vs. The promise of a teleworking paradise
And the reality...
• Technological progress can inform predictions
• But we need to avoid technological determinism
• Technologies reflect society but also shape and modify it
e.g., automation
Technology leads to blurring of sectoral boundaries
However, technology is only one perspective..
What about demographic change?
Social and medical care Pensions and insurance The nature of work
THE future job?
What we wish vs what might happen
The skills we value (according to OECD and PISA)
Innovation-driven
economics
creativity Analytical
skillsability to interpret complex
symbolic systems
The Lisbon strategy
The EU should“… become the most competitive and dynamic knowledge-based economy in the world, capable of sustainable economic growth with more and better jobs and greater social cohesion...”
Is all this slightly utopian?
Some data...
• Between now and 2020 occupational change will not produce any significant reduction of low paid jobs
• Almost a quarter of the entire workforce and about a third of all female workers will remain low paid
Source: IPPR –Institute for Public Policy Research
It’s not all doom and gloom
• The Knowledge economy as a broader cultural and economic movement
• Knowledge is going to be even more important
“advanced” organic farming ?
The UK video game industry
New exciting opportunities can and will arise and STEM knowledge can provide young people with the most relevant resources to see them
Thanks!
And remember
www.futurelab.org.ukwww.beyondcurrenthorizons.org.uk www.visionmapper.org.uk
And some references...
• Cooke, G. and Lawton, K., Institute for Public Policy Research, Working out of poverty: A study of the low-paid and the ‘working poor’, London, 2008. Department for Work and Pensions, In-work poverty: A systematic review, London, 2008. Joseph Rowntree Foundation, Addressing in-work poverty, York, 2008.
• Ewart Keep (2009), Labour market structures and trends, the future of work and the implications for initial E&T. (www.beyondcurrenthorizons.org)
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