STEELHEAD LNG LNG – THE RIGHT REACTION TO ASIAN DEMAND FOR CLEAN ENERGY
Dec 19, 2015
STEELHEAD LNG
LNG – THE RIGHT REACTION TO ASIAN DEMAND FOR CLEAN ENERGY
LNG
Proven, safe – 50+ year-old industry• Plant 1,300 kilometers north of BC operating safely for 42
years• 1969: First exports of LNG from Alaska to Japan now
rejuvenated• 80,000 voyages; 240 M kms. No serious incident
LNG is:
Colourless
Odourless
Non Toxic
Non Explosive
Non Flammable
No residue if spill
Alaska’s Kenai
LNG plant
Steelhead LNG/ 2
Air Quality
GHGs
Professor Muller, University of California Berkeley.
Demand
2010 2025
…and will nearly triple to 67 bcf/d in the next 15 years.
Americas, 10%
Europe, 23%
Japan, 34%
China, 7%
Other Asia, 26%
Americas, 5%
Europe, 22%
Japan, 18%
China, 42%
Other Asia, 13%
Source: BMO Capital Markets, PIRA.
The LNG Market has grown from 0 to ~27 bcf/d over the last 45 years.
Steelhead LNG/ 5
Supply Demand will soon outstrip committed supply.
Competition to fill 2025 demand is happening now.
(mtpa)
4.8% CAGRSupply Gap: ~150 mtpa
Source: BG Group. Steelhead LNG/ 6
0
100
200
300
400
500
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Existing
Under Construction
Barriers destroyed
Upstream Resource & Expertise was a constraint….
Gas Reserves are everywhere now
And expertise is available but
scarce
Old Barrier
New Reality
Steelhead LNG/ 7
Largest LNG plant under construction in the world is….
… being built by a new entrant. Steelhead LNG/ 8
Competition
Estimated Supply Costs (Regional)
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
0 31 60 91 121 152 182 213 244 274 305
$/mmbtu
mtpaME ExpansionNigeria LNGAB Expansion
Iranian LNGTrin/Egypt/YemenPB Expansions
AB other greenfieldAustralia expansionCanada LNG
US BF LNGFLNGEast Africa LNG
Australian GF LNGVenezuela LNGRussian LNG
Canadian projects are generally cost competitive relative to other greenfield global developments.
Each project needs to compete.
Source: BMO Capital Markets, Street Research, Wood Mackenzie. Steelhead LNG/ 9
PROPOSED SITE: SARITA BAY
10
Deep water – no dredging
Easy access to Pacific
Excellent access by land
Naturally protected from tsunamis
Relatively flat
Protected from wind by
surrounding mountains
Stewardship via FN partnership
Summary
Asian Energy demand is growing – especially clean energy:
Globally, 1 person dies every 10 seconds from poor air quality
LNG has 50% less GHG than coal – well/mine to market
LNG from BC is economically sustainable …. Just.
Hishuk tsawak – (everything is connected)
Why are we taking so long to fix it?