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windeurope.org Status and O utlook for the W ind Sector Giles Dickson 11/2019
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Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Jul 19, 2020

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Page 1: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

windeurope.org

Status and O utlook for the W ind Sector

Giles Dickson

11/2019

Page 2: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

22 

5

24

5

6

7

3

103

3

6

60

16

4

0.5

2

7

0.5

1.7

28% 

24% 

12% 

10% 

9% 

6% 6% 19% 

18% 

41% 

21% 

7% 

10% 

7% 

9% 

9% 

6% 

GW installed

Wind share of demand 

194 GW

14%of 2018 EU

power demand

0.4

Capacity by H1 2019

W ind energy in Europe

Page 3: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

W ind the cheapest form of new pow er generation

Page 4: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Capacity factors 1983-2018

Source: IRENA (2019)

Page 5: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

W ind the no. 1 pow er source in the EU by 2027

Page 6: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

GW

2018 W indEurope 2030 W indEurope2050 European Com m ission (P2X)

Sources: WindEurope, European Commission

W ind capacity 2018 to 2050

Page 7: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

O ffshore w ind the no. 1 pow er source in the EU by 2040

Page 8: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

NECPs are not sufficient to reach targets

Page 9: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

NECPs are not sufficient to reach targets

Page 10: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Do people w ant w ind?

Page 11: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

75% 80% 86%

A m ajority of people living close to w ind farm s are happy w ith them

Page 12: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

12

Engage com m unities

Page 13: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Grid Transm ission projects under construction

Page 14: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Grid Transm ission projects in perm itting

Page 15: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Grid Transm ission projects planned but not yet perm itted

Page 16: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Grid Transm ission projects under consideration

Page 17: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom

Capa

city (G

W)

0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years 20‐25 years 25‐30 years 30‐35 years N/A

W ind farm s ageing

Page 18: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

The grow th of onshore turbines

Source: BWE

Page 19: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Repow ering potential

Page 20: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Source: Enercon

Repow ering possible

Repow ering m ight be possible in the future

Repow ering not possible

W here it’s possible to repow er w ind farm s in Germ any, Septem ber 2019

Page 21: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

June

 201

9

The w ind value chain is everyw here

Page 22: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Jobs in construction

Page 23: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Eem shaven, NetherlandsLeading O ffshore W ind Logistics and O &M services

Jobs in ports

Page 24: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

24

Jobs in offshore installations

Page 25: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

25

Jobs in logistics

Page 26: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

Jobs in danger

>300,00038,000

Page 27: Status and Outlook for the Wind Sector - EUFORES · Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain United‐Kingdom Capacity (GW) 0‐5 years 5‐10 years 10‐15 years 15‐20 years

WindEurope, Rue d’Arlon 801040 Brussels, Belgium

windeurope.org

THANK YO U