STATE OF THE SCIENCE MEETING Youth Transition David Wittenburg and Gina Livermore
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Overview
SSI operates in a fragmented system of supports……..A theme associated with long-term impacts in SSA and other demonstrations is they offered opportunities not available in a youth’s environment.
Context Lessons Learning
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Youth receiving SSI face complicated transitionFamily view of other supports SSI rules
• Eligibility for reporting earnings/assets
• Age 18 redetermination
SSI payment
• Represents half of family income
SOURCE: https://cristinlind.com/care-mapping/; Reprinted with
permission
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Youth Demonstrations grew over time
STETS and TETD (1980s)
• Target population: Youth with intellectual disabilities
• Size: TETD larger version of STETS (n=745 vs. 467)
• Intervention: Transition employment supports
YTD (2006-2012)
• Target population: 5,103 Youth receiving SSI (age 14 to 25)
• Intervention: Work experiences, waivers, and other services
• Service providers: Mix of private and public providers
PROMISE (2013-2022)
• Target population: 13,444 youth receiving SSI (age 14 to 16) and their families
• Intervention: Family services and youth supports
• Service providers: State agencies led the six programs
PROMISE=Promoting Readiness of Minors in SSI; STETS=Structured Training and Employment Transitional Services Program; TETD=Transitional Employment Training
Demonstration; YTD=Youth Transition Demonstration
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SSA demonstrations findings: consistent short-term impacts
STETs and TETD
• Supports improve employment
• Promising alternative (competitive employment) to sheltered options
YTD
• Short-term employment impacts
• Service intensity/focus enhance impacts
• Limited long-term effects
PROMISE
• Interagency collaboration can take many forms
• Short-term employment impacts; long-term impacts forthcoming
• Family service provision has potential to improve youth outcomes
PROMISE=Promoting Readiness of Minors in SSI; STETS=Structured Training and Employment Transitional Services Program; TETD=Transitional Employment Training
Demonstration; YTD=Youth Transition Demonstration
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Other service models hold promise for youth with disabilities
Service models for other populations
• Residential and sectoral training models
for other youth populations
• Employer models for youth with
disabilities
• Population-specific approaches for
adults
• International evidence
Key Findings
• Long-term impacts: Residential and job sectoral models (Job Corps and Year Up)
• Intensive supports: stronger outcomes
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Demonstration lessons
Design: Youth service needs differ from those of adults
Recruitment: Local staff and program incentives enhance
enrollment
Short-term outcomes: Intensive service models generate larger impacts
Long-term outcomes: : Long-term impacts through expansion in training and employment opportunities that address systemic gaps
Interagency collaboration: Formal agreements backed by funding enhance collaboration
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Translating research to policy
SSA Programs: Benefits counseling focus on youth andfamilies
Other agencies: Informed Work Innovation Opportunity Act implementation and policy proposals
WIPA= Work Incentive
Planning and Assistance
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Future demonstration considerations
Build from existing resources
• Referrals to models with strong evidence (e.g., Year-up)
• Expand SSA data usage with other public and private agencies
Intervention and outcome focus
• Improve family outcomes
• Enhance understanding of diversity, equity and inclusion
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Program and service considerations
Waiver-only demonstrations of SSI program rules that affect youth outcomes: earnings, continuing disability reviews, and expanded age 18 redetermination (age 22)
Benefits counseling: Test proactive services
Outreach notices: Testing shortening/alternatives to current 20 page annual notices
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Summary of findings
LessonsShort-term impacts: Common
Long-term impacts: Less frequent
Promising models: Year Up and Job Corps
LearningData: Leverage SSA data to support innovation
Interventions: Referrals to promising programs
Program rules: Waiver-only demonstrations tests
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Wittenburg and LivermoreDiscussant: Manasi Deshpande, University of Chicago
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“Iron triangle” of safety net
Provide
sufficient
income
Encourage
work
Save
money/target
PWD15
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“Iron triangle” of safety net
Provide
sufficient
income
Encourage
work
e.g., high benefit
phase-out
Save
money/target
PWD16
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“Iron triangle” of safety net
Provide
sufficient
income
Encourage
work
e.g., cut SSI
e.g., high benefit
phase-out
Save
money/target
PWD17
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“Iron triangle” of safety net
Provide
sufficient
income
Encourage
work
e.g., cut SSIe.g., work subsidy,
supports
e.g., high benefit
phase-out
Save
money/target
PWD18
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Potential models of youth transition
1. SSI well-targeted on front end, so youth have no or little
work capacity at 18
• Focus on providing sufficient income
2. Youth have work capacity but must demonstrate
disability to stay on SSI
• Focus on encouraging work
3. Youth physically capable of work but lack skills
• Focus on building skills
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1) Youth have little/no work capacity
• Focus on providing sufficient income
• Suggests keeping more youth on SSI (disability or
poverty?), strict income phase-outs
• Demo ideas
• Change age 18 redetermination criteria to emphasize
vocational factors (i.e., higher bar for SGA)
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2) Youth can work but try to stay on
• Focus on encouraging work
• Suggests reducing explicit and implicit work penalties or
subsidizing work; stronger safety net outside of SSI
• Demo ideas
• Raise SGA or include skills in assessment of SGA capacity
• Cut SSI benefits or turn some of it into work supports
• Natural experiments: expanded CTC/Medicaid expansions
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3) Youth phys capable but lack skills
• Focus on building skills early to encourage work later
• Suggests much earlier intervention that previous demos
• Demo ideas
• Eliminate child CDRs to encourage skills
• Sponsor skill-building programs (literacy, intensive tutoring)
• Provide info to families for realistic expectations of SSI receipt
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Which model is correct?
• Heterogeneity in outcomes (Deshpande 2016)
• Vast majority of youth who are removed because deemed
capable of SGA don’t come close to SGA
• Suggests Model (1) or (3)
• About 10% do earn at SGA
• Suggests Model (2)
• But hard to predict who they will be based on SSA characteristics
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Discussant: Lucie Schmidt, Williams College And Nber
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Summary
• Transition to adulthood is a difficult time for children on
SSI and their families
• For youth => employment and educational outcomes
• For families => potential loss of a large share of income
• SSA demonstrations aimed at this group
• Wittenburg & Livermore provide a great overview of the
issues and the lessons learned from the demonstrations
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Primary Lessons Learned
• Easier to increase employment than to generate
sustained increases in income or reductions in benefit
receipt
• Services and supports are important
• More intensive services of longer duration have larger effects
• Children on SSI have different service/support needs
than adults
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Low-Income Families in the US
• Significant challenges/hardships faced by these families
in daily life
• Scarcity affects cognitive function (Mani et al. 2013)
• More waiting/longer waiting times (Holt & Vinopal 2020)
• Administrative burden (Herd & Moynihan 2018)
• Employment not necessarily a cure
• Issues compounded for low-income families with children
with significant physical or mental disabilities
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Low-Income Families in the US
• To what extent should SSA be trying to reduce these
burdens for families of child recipients?
• To what extent is the success of SSI youth demonstrations
dependent on the ability to do so?
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Goals for Children on SSI?
• What would a successful transition to adulthood look like
in terms of education, employment, and/or earnings?
• Are there other outcomes that we should be targeting?
(Cognitive/noncognitive skill development? Parental
investments?)
• What is the optimal timing of interventions?
• Focus on recipient vs focus on family?
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Youth Transition: SSI YouthDiscussant: Jennifer Sheehy, U.S. Department of Labor
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Key Takeaways from Research
Research presented suggests the following strategies:
• Place a strong emphasis on employment services.
Ex: Skill assessments, career aspirations, educational goals, on-the-job training, post-employment services and follow-ups.
• Provide customized supports for youths.
Ex: Health care needs, reasonable accommodations, employment supports, and community and governmental transition supports.
• Focus on providing services to the entire family unit.
Ex: Case management to youth and their family members; benefits counseling; financial education; career training for youth; parental training on available supports for their youth; career resources for parents.
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Key Challenges and Opportunities
• Systems are fragmented, making it difficult to ensure youth have access to everything they need to be successful.
• Some families had difficulty accessing all the services offered under past demonstrations.
• How do we structure programs and systems to ensure all families and youth have access to promising practices?
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America’s Recovery: Powered by Inclusion
• Increasing employment is critical as we recover from the pandemic to avoid simply returning to the status quo, which failed many young people with disabilities.
• Have a unique opportunity to build upon what works to ensure systems are more inclusive and support all youth with disabilities.
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ODEP’s SSI Youth Solution Projects
ODEP's SSI Youth Solution effort is developing knowledge by:
• Engaging SMEs to develop 12 novel policy, program, or service solutions to improve employment outcomes for YWDs who apply for or receive SSI
• Assessing proposals regarding likely effectiveness and estimated cost for demonstration projects.
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Implications and Opportunities for Future SSI Youth Efforts
• Opportunity to develop solutions that can have a meaningful impact on youth and families on SSI through research, demonstrations, and new federal efforts.
• DOL can contribute to this interagency effort.
• Is part of Administration’s commitment to making our country more equitable and inclusive.
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Thank you!Jennifer Sheehy
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