Special Report - Edelman...Special Report PRIMARY ELECTIONS NATIONAL PROVISIONAL RESULTS OF THE PRIMARY ELECTIONS WHAT IS AT STAKE? President Vicepresident 24 National Senators 130

Special ReportPRIMARY ELECTIONS

NATIONAL PROVISIONAL RESULTS OF THE PRIMARY ELECTIONS

WHAT IS AT STAKE?

PresidentVicepresident

24

National Senators

130National Representatives

Provincial ElectionsProvinces of Catamarca, Buenos Aires, and the City of

Buenos Aires held primary elections to governor while Santa Cruz had general election.

2.18%

José Luis Espert– Luis Rosales

Mauricio Macri - Miguel Ángel Pichetto

32.08%

s

Alberto Fernández –Cristina Fernández de Kirchner

47.65%

Roberto Lavagna– Juan Manuel Urtubey

8.22%

Juan J. Gómez Centurión–Cynthia Hotton

2.63%

0.24%

Alejandro Biondini –Enrique Venturino

José Antonio Romero Feris–Guillermo Sueldo

0.13%

Raul Albarracín –Sergio Pastore

0.14%

POLITICAL SUPPORT KEYS

ELECTORAL THRESHOLD 1.5%

Manuela Castañeira –Eduardo Mulhall

0.71%

2.86%

Nicolás del Caño–Romina del Pla

PARTICIPATION: 75,78%

#1 THE CENTER REGION VOTE

The National Government expected to count with greater support in Córdoba and Santa Fe, that along with Mendoza, would provide a number of votes to face the tight scenario in the province of Buenos Aires, but finally it turned the opposite way.

#2 BUENOS AIRES SUPPORT

In the first section of the province of Buenos Aires, bastion of Cambiemos in 2015 and 2017, the officialism got adverse results from expected while in the other two -of an average lower income-, the Frente de Todos prevailed with an even wider difference.

#3 THE REST OF THE COUNTRY

Other provinces, mainly driven by the support of several Peronist governors, also added an important part of votes that summed up in the final result led Alberto Fernández to win with several points ahead.

PROVINCIAL ELECTIONS –COUNTING RESULTS

SANTA CRUZ

• Alicia Kirchner

• Javier Belloni

• Eduardo Costa

The province of Santa Cruz, is governedunder the system of Ley de Lemas (thatgathers votes under a same party). With57.3%, of ballots, the Frente de Todos won theelection over Juntos por el Cambio,establishing the re-election of the currentgovernor, Alicia Kirchner in a districtcharacterized by economic problems andsevere allegations of political corruption.

The primary elections in the City of Buenos Aireshad a participation of almost a 76%, and thevoters seemed to give its approval to the currentMayor Horacio Rodriguez Larreta, who achieveda difference that would bring him closer to aneventual re-election. The victory of Larreta, whowas accompanied by Diego Santilli and thecandidate for Senator for the City MartínLousteau represented the best result obtained byJuntos por el Cambio in these elections. On theother hand, the candidate of the Frente de Todos,Matias Lammens, got a 31.93% of the votes, and inthis way, he managed to break the historicalrecord obtained by Kirchnerism in 2011 withDaniel Filmus, when he reached 27, 4% of thevotes in the City. From the Frente de Todos, thevotes obtained by Lammens are expected toimprove until October so that could even force asecond round with Larreta.

CITY OF BUENOS AIRES

• Horacio R. Larreta• Diego Santilli

• Matías Lammens• Gisela Marzlotta

• Matías Tombolini

46.48%

31.93%

7.22%

BUENOS AIRES PROVINCE

• María Eugenia Vidal• Daniel Salvador

• Axel Kicillof• Verónica Magario

• Eduardo Bucca• Miguel Saredi

32.78%

49.17%

5.81%

The results of the district were not onlysurprising, but also significant. Therepresentative of the Frente de Todos, AxelKicillof, won the primary election by 52.5% ofballots against the 34.7% obtained by the currentgovernor, María Eugenia Vidal. The ballot cutthat was expected by the ruling party did notperformed as much. Although Vidal obtainedalmost 3 points more than President Macri, thestrength of the Frente de Todos in all categoriesresulted more significant. Juntos por el Cambiolost strong support from the agricultural sectorand also in those districts in which they gotstrong support in 2015, loosing current officialintendancies, such as La Plata, Tres de Febreroor Quilmes, however Juntos por el Cambio keptits hegemony in traditional PRO bastions, suchas Vicente López and San Isidro.

0,92%

37%

7,95%

PERFECNTAGE OF THE NATIONAL REGISTER

REPRESENTED

40.8%

34,6%

53.8%

25.87%

POLITICAL KEYS

The Government had been driving a polarization

process that did not worked out as expected, after

economy management of the last 4 years became

highly relevant.

POLARIZATION

If percentages are kept the same by the October generals, the Frente de

Todos would become the first minority in both

Chambers of the National Congress.

CONGRESS

Electoral surveys are once again on the spot,

after the closest scenario predicted only 7 points of difference and an paired definition for the Buenos

Aires province.

POLLSTERS

56.97%

4.13%

CATAMARCA

• Roberto Gómez

• Raú Jalil

• Hugo Ávila

CATAMARCA

• Hugo Ávila

In the Province of Catamarca, none of the partieshave held internal elections, after the possibility ofsuspending them because of the high cost that itrepresented for the local administration wasconsidered. In this order, these primariesrepresented the first measurement for theProvince, The results showed that the candidate ofthe Frente de Todos, Raúl Jalil, imposed himself by awide margin over the candidate of Juntos Por elCambio, Roberto Gómez. Jalil obtained 56.97% ofthe votes, against 25.87% of its competitor. Thisresult seems to set a difficult trend to reversebefore October. Raúl Jalil, who has the support ofthe current Governor, is accompanied by thecurrent Minister of Public Works of the Province,Rubén Dusso, as a candidate for Vice governor.

0,74%

*As a result, the space obtained a total of 57.5% of the ballots

*As a result, the space obtained a total of 32,8% of the ballots