1 SPACE TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH & ORGANIZATION THEORY RESEARCH ENGAGING DISPARATE COMMUNITIES FOR BUSINESS & ECONOMIC RESEARCH IN THE SPACE INDUSTRY Ken Davidian, FAA AST Director of Research, presentation to the HBS Working Group on Business and Economics of Space, 3-4 November 2017 Ken is the sole author and owner of content pertaining to his doctoral research. 1
18
Embed
SPACE TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH …...Satellite Navigation Human Spaceflight Space Manufacturing Debris Removal INDUSTRY RISK MATRIX Chakravarthy, B. S. (1985). Busi ness-government
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
1
SPACE TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH&ORGANIZATION THEORY RESEARCHENGAGING DISPARATE COMMUNITIES FOR BUSINESS & ECONOMIC RESEARCH IN THE SPACE INDUSTRY
Ken Davidian, FAA AST Director of Research, presentation to the HBS Working Group on Business and Economics of Space, 3-4 November 2017Ken is the sole author and owner of content pertaining to his doctoral research.
1
2
FIRST OF ALL: THE “SPACE” INDUSTRY
Earth Observation Satellite Communications Space Science Launch Services Security Satellite Navigation Human Spaceflight Space Manufacturing Debris Removal INDUSTRY RISK MATRIX
Chakravarthy, B. S. (1985). Business-government partnership in emerging industries: Lessons from the American synfuelsexperience. Advances in Strategic Management, 3, 257–275.
Euroconsult, & GIFAS. (2015). Perspectives Spatiales 2015. Paris, France. Retrieved from http://www.perspectives-spatiales.com/sites/default/files/ckeditor_ files/perspectives_spatiales_2015_-_proceedings.pdf.
3
PART 1
4
TEN UNIVERSITIES, ASSOCIATE & AFFILIATE MEMBERS
5
FOUR RESEARCH AREAS & RESEARCH ROAD MAP
6
INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITIES IN INDUSTRY VIABILITY RESEARCH
COE CST “ESIL” Workshops – Game Theory “PARTS” Analysis “$pace is Business” (started in 2012) Winning Papers
Najam, A. (2012). Game theory analysis for the suborbital reusable launch vehicle research market. Yeh, J., & Revay, D. (2014). Price per pound: A poor predictor for future growth in the Commercial satellite
and launch industries. Belingheri, P., & Leone, M. I. (2015). Licensing as a tool to encourage technology transfer from space. Entrena, E.-U. C. M. (2016). Asteroid-COTS: developing the cislunar economy with private-public partnerships.
7
INDUSTRY VIABILITY RESEARCH IN THE NEW SPACE JOURNAL
Official Journal of the COE CST
Volume 6 starts in 2018 Editor: Scott Hubbard Editorial Board and
Authors: Many in the room
~28 articles about IP, insurance, market structure, economic impact, banking, etc.
8
PART 2
INDUSTRY-LEVEL ACCUMULATION MODEL PROCESSES OF INDUSTRY EMERGENCE
9
PHENOMENON
Q: Why do new industries emerge? (A: Certain types of innovation)
Q: What defines a “new” industry? (A: No incumbents)
Q: How (by what processes) do industries emerge?Q: Why do industries take so long to emerge?
Q: How can industry emergence be accelerated?
THIS RESEARCH PROPOSESINDUSTRY-LEVEL PROCESSES TO THE
Van de Ven, A. H., & Garud, R. B. (1989). A framework for understanding the emergence of new industries. In Research on Technological Innovation, Management and Policy (Vol. 4, pp. 195–225). Greenwich, CT: JAI Press.
11
CONTRIBUTING LITERATURE
12
RESEARCH CONTEXT: HUMAN SUBORBITAL SPACE TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY
13
HSSTI COMMUNITY NETWORK
14
SOLUTIONMethodology Research paradigm:
Scientific realism Qualitative methods Process (not variance) study Inductive reasoning Grounded theory extension Longitudinal case study Historic event analysis Unit of analysis: “event” Level of analysis:
population (industry)
Data Secondary sources Non-gov’t space news aggregator sites ~28,000 space entries (26 April 1999-now)~8,400 suborbital space “incidents” ~600 events
Archival data Press releases, publicly available government documents, conference presentations, news media reports, editorials and commentaries, etc.
Van de Ven, A. H., & Garud, R. B. (1989). A framework for understanding the emergence of new industries. In Research on Technological Innovation, Management and Policy (Vol. 4, pp. 195–225). Greenwich, CT: JAI Press.
16
FINDINGS
17
INDUSTRY-LEVEL ACCUMULATION MODEL PROCESSES OF INDUSTRY EMERGENCE