Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 1 Executive MBA Dissertation “Establishing a Low Cost Sub-Orbital Space Business in the UK” Submitted by: Mark Morley, 0262185 Submitted on: 10 th February 2006 A Dissertation submitted in part-fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Business Administration of the University of Warwick “All the work contained within is my own unaided effort and conforms with the University’s guidelines on plagiarism”
This MBA dissertation was completed in 2006. The aim was to analyse the potential of the low orbit payload delivery market and the emerging space tourism market. A detailed comparison of two space tourism companies, Starchaser Industries and Virgin Galactic was conducted and an in depth survey with over two hundred responses was conducted. The purpose of the survey was to get a detailed understanding of whether such a service, if offered, would be popular in the market. I have decided to post this dissertation now as Virgin Galactic will be launching their space tourism service in the very near future.
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Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 1
Executive MBA Dissertation
“Establishing a Low Cost Sub-Orbital Space Business in the UK”
Submitted by: Mark Morley, 0262185
Submitted on: 10th February 2006
A Dissertation submitted in part-fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Business Administration of the
University of Warwick
“All the work contained within is my own unaided effort and conforms with the University’s guidelines on plagiarism”
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 2
Acknowledgements This dissertation is dedicated to Melanie Carleton-Mills who has provided me with a constant
source of inspiration and support throughout the writing of this dissertation.
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 3
Abstract The purpose of this project is to look at the viability of establishing a low cost sub-orbital
space business in the UK.
In recent years, most space rocket launches have been conducted by government funded
space agencies around the world. These agencies command multi billion dollar budgets to
develop space related equipment and launch services. The high cost of accessing these
launch services restricts the amount of research that can be conducted by the scientific and
university communities. Sub-orbital launch services such as Sounding Rockets provide an
ideal low cost, flexible launch platform however a dedicated launch service for UK universities
does not currently exist.
In recent years, a few high net worth individuals have paid significant amounts of money to fly
aboard Russian space craft. These individuals, or Space Tourists, have ignited the general
public’s interest in the future potential of the space tourism industry. Once again, high costs
and limited launch services will restrict growth of this industry unless a number of non-
government funded commercial space companies are established and are able to compete in
this new and exciting industry sector.
This project will undertake research to establish whether a low cost UK space business can
be established to address these two market requirements, namely a service for launching
scientific based payloads into sub-orbital space and a launch service to meet the needs of the
emerging space tourism market.
The aim will be to see if this low cost venture can be established without the need for
government funding.
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1.1 Background of the study ........................................................................................................ 8 1.2 Project objectives ................................................................................................................. 10 1.3 Methodology ........................................................................................................................ 10 1.4 Organisation of the report .................................................................................................... 11
2 Industry & Company Review ......................................................................................................... 12 2.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 12 2.2 Review of Today’s Global Space Industry ........................................................................... 12 2.3 Overview to the Sub-Orbital Sounding Rocket Industry ....................................................... 13
2.3.1 Review of the Primary Sounding Rocket Launch Providers ....................................... 16 2.3.1.1 European Based Sounding Rocket Programmes ............................................. 16 2.3.1.2 U.S Based Sounding Rocket Programmes ....................................................... 17
2.3.2 Review of Sounding Rocket Launch Sites .................................................................. 18 2.4 Overview to the Emerging Sub-Orbital Space Tourism Industry .......................................... 20
2.4.1 The Ansari XPRIZE Competition ................................................................................ 21 2.4.2 Current Developments in Low Cost Space Craft Design ............................................ 23 2.4.3 Emergence of Commercial Spaceports ...................................................................... 24
2.5 Review of the UK’s Space Strategy ..................................................................................... 26 2.5.1 Enhancing UK’s standing in astronomy, planetary & environmental science ............. 27 2.5.2 Increased productivity through promoting the UK’s use of space ............................... 27 2.5.3 Developing innovative space technologies that improve quality of life ....................... 27 2.5.4 Size and Health of the UK Space Industry ................................................................. 28 2.5.5 UK Involvement with the ESA Programme ................................................................. 29 2.5.6 UK Micro-Gravity Activities ......................................................................................... 29
2.6 An Overview of Starchaser Industries .................................................................................. 30 2.7 Summary ............................................................................................................................. 33
3 Review of Literature....................................................................................................................... 34 3.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 34 3.2 Review of the Sounding Rocket Market Sector .................................................................... 34
3.2.1 Microgravity & Sounding Rocket Industry Analysis .................................................... 34 3.2.2 UK Microgravity Research Policy ............................................................................... 36 3.2.3 Review of Starchaser’s Sounding Rocket Programme ............................................... 39
3.3 Review of the Space Tourism Market Sector ....................................................................... 42 3.3.1 Sub-Orbital Space Tourism Industry Analysis ............................................................ 44 3.3.2 Competitive Analysis of the Space Tourism Market ................................................... 45
3.3.2.1 SWOT Analysis of Virgin Galactic & Starchaser ............................................... 47 3.3.3 Estimating Market Demand for Space Tourism Services ........................................... 48 3.3.4 Financial Investment Issues Associated With Space Tourism .................................... 50
3.4 Review of Starchaser’s Current Business Strategy .............................................................. 53 3.4.1 Company Strategy ...................................................................................................... 53 3.4.2 Marketing Strategy ..................................................................................................... 59
4.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 65 4.2 General Review of the Sounding Rocket Industry ............................................................... 65
4.2.1 Can Starchaser Compete in the Sounding Rocket Market? ....................................... 66 4.3 Analysis of the Results from the Sounding Rocket Survey .................................................. 67
4.3.1 Review of Survey Methodology .................................................................................. 67 4.3.2 Discussion of the Results Obtained ............................................................................ 67
4.4 General Review of the Space Tourism Market.................................................................... 71 4.4.1 Can Starchaser Compete in the Space Tourism Market ? ......................................... 72 4.4.2 Increased Media Interest in the Space Tourism Industry ........................................... 72
4.5 Analysis of the Results from the Space Tourism Survey ..................................................... 73 4.5.1 Review of Survey Methodology .................................................................................. 73 4.5.2 Discussion of the Results Obtained ............................................................................ 73
6.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 84 6.2 Major Recommendations ..................................................................................................... 84 6.3 Limitations of the study ........................................................................................................ 85 6.4 Future research directions ................................................................................................... 85
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List of Figures
Fig. 1 Comparison of Micro Gravity Launch Methods ................................................................................................. 13 Fig. 2 Typical Configuration for a Sounding Rocket ................................................................................................... 14 Fig. 3 Typical Parabolic Flight Path for a Sounding Rocket ........................................................................................ 14 Fig. 4 Current ESA Supported Sounding Rocket Programmes .................................................................................. 17 Fig. 5 U.S Federal, Non-Federal and Proposed New Spaceports .............................................................................. 19 Fig. 6 SpaceShipOne Space Craft & White Knight Launcher ..................................................................................... 22 Fig. 7 Post XPRIZE Contenders Currently in Business, (See Appendix 8-H) ............................................................ 23 Fig. 8 New Entrants to the Privately Funded Space Industry ..................................................................................... 24 Fig. 9 Global Space Tourism Market Opportunity ....................................................................................................... 25 Fig. 10 Economic Value to New Mexico State ............................................................................................................ 25 Fig. 11 New Mexico Spaceport Business Opportunities ............................................................................................. 26 Fig. 12 Key Users of Satellite Technology / Services ................................................................................................. 27 Fig. 13 The Upstream and Downstream Sectors of the UK Space Industry ............................................................... 28 Fig. 14 2003 Turnover by Application, Excluding the Consumer Market .................................................................... 28 Fig. 15 UK Financial Contributions to ESA Programmes ........................................................................................... 29 Fig. 16 Reusable Skybolt Sounding Rocket ............................................................................................................... 31 Fig. 17 ‘Storm’, 7 tonne Bi-Liquid Rocket Engine ....................................................................................................... 32 Fig. 18 Starchaser Range of Rockets ......................................................................................................................... 32 Fig. 19 PEST Analysis of the UK Sounding Rocket Industry ...................................................................................... 35 Fig. 20 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis ......................................................................................................................... 35 Fig. 21 Porter’s Diamond Summary of Potential UK Based Microgravity Industry ..................................................... 38 Fig. 22 SWOT Analysis of Starchaser Industries Sounding Rocket Business ............................................................ 40 Fig. 23 Strategic Focus of Starchaser’s Sounding Rocket Programme ...................................................................... 41 Fig. 24 Competitive Advantage through Product Differentiation ................................................................................. 42 Fig. 25 Space Tourism Market Opportunities by 2030 .............................................................................................. 43 Fig. 26 Sub-Orbital Space Tourism Industry PEST Analysis ...................................................................................... 44 Fig. 27 Sub-Orbital Competitive Positioning Matrix .................................................................................................... 46 Fig. 28 Comparative SWOT Analysis Between Virgin Galactic & Starchaser Industries ............................................ 47 Fig. 29 Estimating the Elasticity of the Space Tourism Industry ................................................................................. 48 Fig. 30 Estimated Ticket Demand Based on World Wealth Report ............................................................................ 50 Fig. 31 Key Information Sought by the Investment Community .................................................................................. 52 Fig. 32 M.O.S.T Method of Analysing Business Growth ............................................................................................. 53 Fig. 33 Representation of Starchaser’s Current Business Strategy ........................................................................... 54 Fig. 34 Starchaser’s Project Lifecycle’s ...................................................................................................................... 55 Fig. 35 Seven Domains of Market Attractiveness ....................................................................................................... 56 Fig. 36 Position of Starchaser with Respect to its own Growth .................................................................................. 57 Fig. 37 Metamorphosis of a Company ........................................................................................................................ 58 Fig. 38 Review of Starchaser’s Marketing Activities ................................................................................................... 60 Fig. 39 Starchaser Brand Characteristics ................................................................................................................... 60 Fig. 40 The Characteristics of a Successful Brand ..................................................................................................... 61 Fig. 41 Starchaser’s Old & New Logos ....................................................................................................................... 62 Fig. 42 Virgin Galactic’s New Image ........................................................................................................................... 62 Fig. 43 NOVA Launch Vehicle .................................................................................................................................... 63 Fig. 44 UK Specific Launch Locations ........................................................................................................................ 68 Fig. 45 Average Launch Budget Per Year ................................................................................................................... 69 Fig. 46 Considerations When Choosing a Launch Partner ......................................................................................... 69 Fig. 47 Factors Preventing Market Entry for New Launch Providers .......................................................................... 70 Fig. 48 Age Range and Gender of Space Tourism Survey ........................................................................................ 74 Fig. 49 Awareness of Space Tourism ......................................................................................................................... 74 Fig. 50 Awareness of the Starchaser Brand Name .................................................................................................... 75 Fig. 51 Those Interested in Taking a Sub-Orbital Flight ............................................................................................. 75 Fig. 52 Reasons for Taking a Sub-Orbital Flight ......................................................................................................... 76 Fig. 53 Reasons for Not Taking a Sub-Orbital Flight .................................................................................................. 77 Fig. 54 Ideal Amount to Pay for a Ticket ...................................................................................................................... 77 Fig. 55 Factors Affecting Choice of Operator ............................................................................................................. 78 Fig. 56 Worldwide Launch Activity, 1980 – 2004 ........................................................................................................ 88 Fig. 57 Commercial Intermediate & Heavy Lift Launches, By Country ....................................................................... 89 Fig. 58 National Origin of Components of Commercial Intermediate & Heavy Lift Launch Vehicles .......................... 90 Fig. 59 ASCENT Market Share Projection of Commercial Launches by Country ..................................................... 91 Fig. 60 Review of Orbital’s Family of Rockets ............................................................................................................ 93 Fig. 61 SpaceX Family of Falcon Rockets .................................................................................................................. 94 Fig. 62 How the Demand for Satellite Launch is Calculated ....................................................................................... 96 Fig. 63 Historical and Forecast Commercial Launch Activity for 2005-2014 .............................................................. 97 Fig. 64 Today’s Commercial Satellite Industry Sectors & Associated 2004 Worldwide Revenues ............................ 97 Fig. 65 Payload Usage (Orbital Launches Only) – April to December 2005 ............................................................... 98 Fig. 66 Payload Mass Class (Orbital Launches Only) – April to December 2005 ...................................................... 99 Fig. 67 Location of Today’s Primary Spaceports ...................................................................................................... 100 Fig. 68 NASA’s Family of Sounding Rockets ............................................................................................................ 103 Fig. 69 Flight Profiles of NASA’s Sounding Rockets ................................................................................................ 104 Fig. 70 List of Global Sounding Rocket Launch Sites ............................................................................................... 105
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Fig. 71 List of Original XPRIZE Entrants .................................................................................................................. 106 Fig. 72 Artists Impression of Virgin Galactic’s Proposed Spaceport in New Mexico ................................................ 109 Fig. 73 SpaceShipOne’s Flight Profile ...................................................................................................................... 110 Fig. 74 View from SpaceShipOne During Apogee – October 2004 .......................................................................... 110 Fig. 75 Starchaser’s Thunderstar Launch Facility & Rocket ..................................................................................... 111 Fig. 76 Flight Profile of Starchaser’s Thunderstar Rocket ........................................................................................ 112 Fig. 77 List of Attributes for Space Tourism Related Consumer Experiment ........................................................... 113 List of Appendices
Appendix 8 - A Review of Today’s Global Orbital Space Industry ............................................................................. 88 Appendix 8 - B Review of Today’s Satellite Industry ................................................................................................. 96 Appendix 8 - C Review of Global Launch Locations ................................................................................................ 100 Appendix 8 - D Review of NASA’s Family of Sounding Rockets ............................................................................. 103 Appendix 8 - E Flight Profiles of NASA’s Sounding Rockets ................................................................................... 104 Appendix 8 - F Current Sounding Rocket Launch Locations ................................................................................... 105 Appendix 8 - G Original List of XPRIZE Contenders ............................................................................................... 106 Appendix 8 - H Update on Current Space Tourism Launch Vehicle Projects .......................................................... 107 Appendix 8 - I New Entrants to the Sub-Orbital Space Craft Market ...................................................................... 108 Appendix 8 - J Virgin Galactic’s Space Port ............................................................................................................ 109 Appendix 8 - K Virgin Galactic’s Sub-Orbital SpaceShipOne Rocket Plane ............................................................ 110 Appendix 8 - L Starchaser’s Sub-Orbital Thunderstar Rocket ................................................................................. 111 Appendix 8 - M Example of Sub-Orbital Space Tourism Attributes ......................................................................... 113 Appendix 8 - N Seven Domains of Attractive Opportunities .................................................................................... 114 Appendix 8 - O Sounding Rocket Survey Contacts ................................................................................................. 116 Appendix 8 - P Sounding Rocket Survey and Associated Results .......................................................................... 118 Appendix 8 - Q Space Tourism Survey and Associated Results ............................................................................. 125
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 8
1 Introduction
The aim of this chapter is to provide an introduction to the subject area being researched,
how the research will be conducted and the methods, tools and supporting materials that will
be used to deliver this dissertation.
1.1 Background of the study
Space exploration has traditionally been associated with well funded, government backed
space agencies. Billion dollar research programmes such as the International Space Station
(ISS) serve as a platform for understanding the origins of space and for conducting research
into the space technologies of the future. Today’s space industry is dominated by a number
of high profile space agencies, namely the U.S National Aeronautics & Space Administration
(NASA), European Space Agency (ESA) and the Russian Space Agency (RSA). In the next
few years the emerging Chinese Space Agency will also become a major player in the launch
market sector.
The ISS provides a rich environment for conducting many scientific experiments in zero
gravity. However many of the world’s universities will never have a chance of having their
experiments conducted on the ISS due to high costs and lack of suitable launch vehicles to
reach the ISS. For this reason many universities use a much cheaper and easier to access
space launch service known as a sounding rocket. Private enterprise has been able to enter
this launch market as sounding rockets are not required to go into orbit (they will normally rise
to just above the earth’s atmosphere) and therefore the technical challenges of designing a
suitable rocket are much easier and cheaper. In the late 1960s the British government started
to fund a sounding rocket service called Skylark and this programme ran successfully for
many years until its final launch in 2005.
The UK has a worldwide reputation for being an innovative country, laying claim to many
world firsts over the years including the design of innovative projects such as the Concorde
supersonic aircraft, Hovercraft and the Jet Engine. It was the Concorde project that led the
British government to reconsider its position of funding expensive high risk projects. This was
due to the fact that Concorde faced significant time and cost over runs during its design
phase. Exploration of space may be considered as one of the most risky projects for a
government to fund and hence this would explain the British government’s reluctance to
assign significant budgets to manned exploration of space.
The British government currently provides very little funding to ESA and for this reason British
universities are at a significant disadvantage when trying to get their experiments aboard an
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 9
ESA rocket or launched up to the ISS. Many of the UK’s leading universities, undertaking
space related research, such as Leicester and the Open University tend to take part in high
profile space programmes which are funded by the Particle Physics & Astronomy Research
Council (PPARC). There still remains a significant amount of research that could be
undertaken if British universities had access to their own dedicated, low cost sounding rocket
service. Therefore one of the main aims of this project will be to look at the current market
demand from British universities and whether a new low cost and dedicated sounding rocket
service could be established.
One company looking to explore the potential of the sounding rocket market is Starchaser
Industries, based in Manchester UK, they are one of the world’s leading privately funded
space rocket companies. Starchaser would like to exploit the gap in the market left by the
Skylark programme and see if a new sounding rocket could be established to target
universities wishing to have access to a low cost space launch system for conducting micro-
gravity based experiments. This project will therefore help Starchaser to identify its potential
new customers, review current British university research projects that could benefit from
such a service and whether or not Starchaser has a long term future in this market without
government funding.
The other area that will be reviewed in this project is Space Tourism. Over the last fifty years
the public’s imagination has been gripped by the possibility of one day being able to take a
trip into space. In recent years a few high net worth individuals have been able to buy their
way into space by way of the Russian space programme. The Russians see this as a
potentially lucrative sideline business which brings millions of dollars into their cash strapped
space programme.
In order to kick start the space tourism industry a global competition known as the Ansari
XPRIZE was launched with the sole aim of encouraging private enterprise to develop a low
cost reusable launch vehicle (RLV) which could be used to fly individuals to the edge of
space. Extensive research has already been undertaken into the area of space tourism, but
the general public’s perception of space tourism is still not widely understood. Competitions
such as the XPRIZE help to capture the public’s imagination to the potential of one day being
able to take a space flight. This project will therefore conduct a survey to see what the British
public’s thoughts are to the potential of space tourism and whether it could offer a company
such as Starchaser a lucrative business opportunity in the near future. Many space tourism
surveys have been conducted in the past, prior to the winning of the XPRIZE, however this
will be one of the first to be conducted on the British public since the XPRIZE was won.
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 10
The author has worked with Starchaser since 1999, in this time the company has shown true
spirit and determination to achieve their dreams of one day establishing a commercial space
business. They have been able to run their business on a minimal budget, primarily through
sponsorship activities, but at the same time they have been able to achieve many goals
including the launch of the largest unmanned rocket from British soil. It is hoped that this
dissertation will provide a number of strategic recommendations and additional information for
Starchaser to be able to secure future funding to help them grow their business.
The author has a close relationship with the management team at Starchaser and hence
there is a personal interest to make this business a success. This project, albeit a small
contribution, to the overall success of the venture will allow Starchaser to understand their
target markets and any potential barriers that may exist to them achieving their future
business objectives.
1.2 Project objectives
There are two fundamental objectives for this project. Firstly a review of the current sounding
rocket market will be conducted to see whether there is enough market demand from British
universities to establish a dedicated sounding rocket service for them. The second objective
of this project is to understand the general public’s thoughts on space tourism and whether
they would be interested in using such a service if it were made available in the near future.
The aim will be to try and understand their requirements and concerns about taking a flight
aboard a reusable space launch vehicle. Starchaser would then be able to tailor their future
space tourism business to meet these requirements.
This research will then allow the author to make a proposal as to how Starchaser should enter
their target markets, what barriers may exist to them achieving their business objectives and
what the potential of the target markets are likely to be.
1.3 Methodology
The area of space flight and space tourism has provided the author with many references on
the current market trends, competitors, issues and future trends for the development of the
space industry. Most of the references were obtained from the government space agencies,
British universities, conference proceedings and websites. Various academic related
reference materials have been obtained directly from the world’s leading authorities in the
subject areas being discussed in this project.
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 11
A number of relevant surveys have been conducted in the past and these provided the
inspiration for the two surveys conducted as part of this project. To meet the needs of the two
objectives of this project, two different surveys will be undertaken. One qualitative and the
other will be quantitative in nature.
The first survey, qualitative in nature, will target British universities who are currently
undertaking space related research and who could benefit from having access to a micro
gravity, sub orbital sounding rocket launch service. The main aim will be to try and
understand current launch requirements, payloads carried and whether they would use a new
low cost launch service if one were made available.
The second survey, quantitative in nature, was targeted at a much wider audience. This
audience would comprise of members of the general public who would be asked questions on
their thoughts on space tourism and whether or not they would be interested in using such a
service in the future. Both of these surveys will be distributed by way of a suitable web based
survey tool.
1.4 Organisation of the report
This dissertation will be split into the following chapter headings :-
Chapter 1 : Provides an introduction to the dissertation, how it will be written, the
objectives to be met and the research to be undertaken
Chapter 2 : Provides an overview to both the sounding rocket and emerging space
tourism markets, competitive analysis of both of these market sectors, an introduction
to Starchaser and how they hope to grow their business over the next few years
Chapter 3 : The literature review will examine the current academic research that can
support this dissertation along with identifying relevant MBA frameworks and
management tools that can support the areas being researched for Starchaser
Chapter 4 : Discusses the results from the surveys conducted for this project and
synthesises the findings from Chapters 2 & 3 to allow a strategy to be defined for
Starchaser
Chapter 5 : Proposes a strategy for Starchaser and a rationale will be developed as
to why Starchaser should follow this strategy and the expected benefits to be
obtained from following this strategy
Chapter 6 : Provides a conclusion to the dissertation and the overall findings and
proposed strategy will once again be highlighted in a simplified manner. Limitations
of the research will be discussed along with proposed future areas for research
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 12
2 Industry & Company Review
2.1 Introduction
The following chapter provides a brief overview of the sounding rocket and emerging space
tourism industries, with a particular emphasis on emerging technologies, companies and
trends which may impact the future growth of Starchaser.
Starchaser currently have a five stage growth plan and in order to derive a strategy, as part of
this dissertation, to execute this plan it was important to review the current orbital launch
market and the industry that they primary serve, namely launching satellites.
This chapter will also include an analysis of the key competitors and challenges that
Starchaser will have to overcome in order to grow their business. It was also necessary to
review the UK’s current space policy in order to understand any barriers that may exist which
could affect the growth of Starchaser. A review of Starchaser will also be carried out,
providing further information about their current business model, technology and company
direction.
2.2 Review of Today’s Global Space Industry
The commercial space sector has seen significant changes in recent years, with the dotcom
period during the late 1990s causing a sharp rise and fall in the number of commercial
launches worldwide. As communications technology has improved, satellites have become
much smaller and there is now a requirement to evaluate designs for new lower cost launch
vehicles. These will be able to launch smaller satellites more economically than the larger
launch vehicles traditionally offered by the government backed space agencies. At the same
time, other low cost launch services are being developed to service other sectors such as the
emerging space tourism industry.
Today’s space industry is dominated by the government backed space agencies such as
NASA and ESA. Over the years NASA has tended to focus on developing their Space Shuttle
programmes to support the International Space Station (ISS) and this has meant that a
number of commercial organisations have emerged to service the ever expanding orbital
launch market. Today’s primary orbital launch providers are discussed in more detail in
Appendix 8-A.
Most of the commercial launch providers are serving the lucrative satellite launch industry and
deploying payloads into earth orbit represents the largest commercial opportunity in today’s
space industry. Today’s satellite industry is discussed in more detail in Appendix 8-B.
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 13
2.3 Overview to the Sub-Orbital Sounding Rocket Industry
Sounding rockets take their name from the nautical term ‘to sound’, which means to take
measurements. Sounding rockets have been in use since the 1950s and the technology used
in their design is relatively simple and based primarily on military missile technology. They
are used as an experimental platform to test instruments on satellites / spacecraft and to
provide scientific information about the sun, stars, galaxies and the earth’s atmosphere. This
type of testing is unique because it is simple, cost-effective and time efficient, also the
payloads used for experimentation can be developed in a short period of time, eg six months.
Sounding rockets are ideal for deploying Micro Gravity based experiments, ie those scientific
experiments that need to be conducted in a near zero effect gravitational environment. It is
possible to conduct micro gravity based experiments in high drop towers or by using a plane
following a parabolic flight curve, (as used for astronaut training). However sounding rockets
provide the ideal means of deploying these payloads as they are able to reach a far greater
height and more importantly the experiments can be conducted for longer periods of time.
The various micro gravity launch methods are compared below in Fig. 1 [1]. It is possible to
also conduct these experiments on either the Space Shuttle or ISS however the country
wishing to launch the payload would have to be a member of either the NASA or ESA space
programmes in order to gain access to these facilities.
Fig. 1 Comparison of Micro Gravity Launch Methods
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Fig.2 [2] below shows a typical layout for a sounding rocket, the rocket is normally split into
two parts, the payload and the rocket motor. This is called a single stage rocket. For greater
height and hence longer experimentation times, multi stage rockets are used. The rockets
are modular in nature meaning that the rockets can be easily configured according to the
weight of payload being carried. In addition to the motor and payload, the rocket will contain
a simple guidance system, telemetry antenna (for transmitting results back to the ground) and
a radar tracking beacon so that the rocket can be tracked during flight.
Fig. 2 Typical Configuration for a Sounding Rocket
After the rocket is launched it follows a parabolic trajectory into space and as the rocket motor
uses its fuel, it separates from the payload and falls back to earth. Meanwhile, the payload
continues into space and when the payload reaches the top of the parabolic flight, ie at it’s
apogee, the experiments are conducted. In most cases, after the payload has re-entered the
atmosphere, it is brought gently down to earth by way of a parachute and is then retrieved. A
typical flight trajectory profile is shown below in Fig.3 [2].
Fig. 3 Typical Parabolic Flight Path for a Sounding Rocket
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Scientific payloads are carried to altitudes of between 30 and 800 miles and although the
overall time spent in space is relatively short, (typically 5 to 20 minutes) the experiment is
perfectly positioned to conduct its mission successfully. As the scientific payload does not go
into orbit, sounding rocket missions do not need expensive booster rockets or extended
telemetry and tracking technology. Significant cost savings are realised as parts and rocket
motors are acquired in large quantities and they utilise tried and tested design configurations
for each launch.
In some cases, namely those missions conducting astronomy, planetary or micro gravity
experiments, the payloads are recoverable which means the costs of experiments and sub-
systems are spread over many missions. Scientists are able to accomplish their research at a
specific time and place because the sounding rockets can potentially be launched from
temporary sites all over the world. Due to the low cost and short lead time, sounding rocket
payload testing is invaluable for University students conducting graduate work in scientific
fields.
Sounding rockets offer one of the most robust, versatile and cost-effective launch systems
and in the case of NASA has provided nearly 40 years of critical scientific, technical and
educational contributions to the nation’s space programme. The reasons for their success
are as follows [3] :-
Quick, low cost and fast access to high altitudes where optical observations of
astronomical, solar and planetary sources can be made of radiation at wavelengths
absorbed by the earth’s lower atmosphere
Direct access to the earth’s mesosphere and lower thermosphere (40-120km)
Ability to fly relatively large payloads (>500kg) masses on inexpensive vehicles
Provision of several minutes of ideal, “vibration free” microgravity
Ability to gather in-situ data in specific geophysical targets such as the aurora, the
equatorial electro jet and thunderstorms
Access to remote geophysical sites and southern hemisphere astronomical objects
Long dwell times at apogee
Ability to fly simultaneous rockets along different trajectories, eg with different
apogees, flight profiles etc
Ability to fly numerous free-flying sub-payloads from a single launch vehicle
Ability to recover and re-launch instruments
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 16
2.3.1 Review of the Primary Sounding Rocket Launch Providers
Today’s sounding rocket launch activities are mainly conducted in the US or Northern Europe.
Both NASA and ESA have active sounding rocket programmes and there are a number of
companies that build sounding rockets on behalf of these space agencies and for
independent research organisations.
These particular regions have been able to develop and sustain a reliable launch record and
for this reason other countries around the world tend to use these services rather than go to
the time and effort of developing their own sounding rocket launch capabilities. Given that
the sounding rocket experiments are relatively expensive and sometimes irreplaceable, many
universities and research establishments prefer to launch their payloads with leading space
agencies such as NASA and ESA. The primary reason is to ensure that their payloads are
launched safely with good quality measurements being taken when the payload reaches
apogee. Commercial companies such as Orbital Sciences Inc. have been successful at
entering this market sector, primarily launching U.S Air Force related sounding rockets,
however their business model is changing to support small satellite related launches. The
following section identifies the key sounding rocket programmes.
2.3.1.1 European Based Sounding Rocket Programmes
Up until 2005, Europe had one of the oldest sounding rocket programmes, the British Skylark
sounding rocket service which was first launched in the 1950s. Skylark was initially flown
from the Woomera launch facility in Australia and was first operated on a commercial basis by
British Aerospace. This programme was then taken over by Matra Marconi Space and finally
Sounding Rocket Services (SRS) Ltd in 1999. Skylark [4] was flown for the last time in April
2005 from the Esrange range in Northern Sweden. Following the demise of the Skylark
programme, SRS now plan to become the European agent for the American built Oriole range
of rockets and a supplier of hardware to the German / Brazilian VSB-30 vehicle. ESA are
currently participating in four different sounding rocket programmes, namely the German
Texus and Mini-Texus programmes, the Swedish Maser programme and the joint German
and Swedish Maxus programmes [5]
The Texus and Mini Texus programmes were initiated in 1976 by the German Ministry for
Research as a preparatory programme to the 1983 Spacelab programme. The Texus
programme was commercialised and is today managed by EADS-ST, Bremen. The Texus
programme employed Skylark VII rocket motors as the basis of its programme. The most
recent Texus rocket, Texus-EML1, was flown on 1st December 2005 and provided 7 minutes
of micro-gravity experimentation time. This particular flight used the Brazilian VSB-30 rocket
engine, the successor to the Skylark rocket motor. The Mini Texus programme was
established to fill the gap in the market for projects requiring microgravity for the range of 3-4
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 17
minutes and employed two stage rockets from surplus military equipment. They are able to
launch 100kg scientific payloads to an altitude of 140km.
The Swedish Maser programme was started in 1986 and is managed by the Swedish Space
Corporation, (SSC), Solna. The Maser programme also used Skylark VII rocket motors. The
first Maser payload was launched in March 1987 with their latest Maser 10 rocket programme
being successfully flown in March 2005. These rockets are relatively large and are able to
carry multiple payloads if required.
The Maxus Programme is a long duration sounding rocket service developed as a joint
development between EADS-ST and the SSC. This programme is capable of launching a
780kg payload to an apogee of 715km which corresponds to about 13 minutes of micro-
gravity time. As the rocket flies above the Esrange’s limit of 300km, the range’s safety
regulations require the Maxus to have a guidance control system and a self destruct system.
The Maxus rocket is ESA’s most powerful sounding rocket. The last Maxus sounding rocket,
number 6, was launched in November 2004, this particular rocket cost $12million to launch
and successfully deployed eight micro gravity experiments. The next European sounding
rockets to be launched will be the Maxus 7 and Texus 43, in May 2006 as part of ESA’s
ELIPS micro gravity programme. The current ESA funded sounding rocket programmes are
summarised in Fig.4 below:-
Fig. 4 Current ESA Supported Sounding Rocket Programmes
2.3.1.2 U.S Based Sounding Rocket Programmes
The U.S sounding rocket industry is centred around the NASA Sounding Rocket Programme
(NSRP). The NSRP is a suborbital space flight programme that primarily supports NASA
sponsored space and earth science research activities, other government agencies and
international sounding rocket groups and scientists. Since NSRP was established in 1959,
nearly 2800 missions have flown with an overall science mission success rate of 86% and
launch vehicle reliability of 96%. The programme is a low cost, quick response effort that
currently provides between 20 and 30 flight opportunities per year. These rockets are
launched from a variety of fixed and mobile launch sites around the world.
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NSRP customers are primarily from the university and government research groups however
some research activities involve the commercial sector. The programme has contributed
major scientific findings and research to the world of suborbital space science and has also
provided a valuable proving ground for space ship / station sub-components. There are
currently eleven operational support launch vehicles in the NSRP and all of these launch
vehicles utilise a solid propellant propulsion system. These rockets typically use surplus 20-
30 year old military rocket motors and all the rockets are unguided. The NSRP uses three
main groups of rockets [6] and these are described overleaf and referenced in more detail in
Appendices 8-D & E [58]
Black Brant, produced by Bristol Aerospace Limited has been in service since 1962 and
provides the main ‘workhorse’ of the NASA sounding rocket fleet. Different versions of the
Black Brant can carry payloads ranging between 70 & 850 kilograms to altitudes from 150 to
1500 kilometres and can provide up to 20 minutes of microgravity time during flight. The
smallest Black Brant rocket is the Black Brant 5 single stage rocket and is used as the basis
of larger multi stage rockets from the Black Brant family. The most powerful rocket the Black
Brant 12 is a four stage vehicle that can launch a 113 kg payload to 1400 kilometres or a 454
kilogram payload to an altitude of at least 400 kilometers.
Oriole, produced by DTI Associates, was developed in the late 1990s to provide launch
services for commercial and scientific payloads. Oriole is significant as it was the first
privately funded sounding rocket in the U.S and the first new sounding rocket for 25 years.
The Oriole, when combined with a Terrier rocket motor can reach an altitude of 385
kilometres providing between 6 to 9 minutes of microgravity time.
Terrier – Orion, produced by DTI Associates, is a two stage spin stabilized sounding rocket.
The Terrier-Orion can launch a payload weighing up to 290kg to an altitude of 190 kilometers.
2.3.2 Review of Sounding Rocket Launch Sites
Most of today’s global sounding rocket launch sites, have been developed from existing
missile test ranges and others have been established due to the restrictions with getting
access to some government owned launch sites. One of the first sounding rocket test
facilities was established in Woomera, Australia and since then numerous sub-orbital launch
facilities have been established to cater for the sounding rocket market sector. The main
sounding rocket launch sites around the world are listed in Appendix 8-F.
From a U.S perspective there are two main launch sites, White Sands Missile Range, New
Mexico & Wallops Island, Virginia. All launches at these facilities are overseen by NASA and
hence it can be difficult to obtain a launch slot outside of the allotted launch programme. The
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 19
locations of these sites and other proposed non-federal launch sites are shown below in
Fig.5. [6] White Sands Missile Range is the Department of Defense’s largest overland
national range and is located in southern New Mexico approximately 35 miles northeast of
Las Cruces. The climate is semi arid with usually unlimited visibility, warm to hot temperatures
and a low humidity. The range covers an area of 8100 square miles making it ideal for the
launch and recovery of high altitude sounding rockets. The facility is operated by the U.S
Army and is also used for missile flight testing, rocket engine development and for conducting
experimental space craft flights.
Fig. 5 U.S Federal, Non-Federal and Proposed New Spaceports
Wallops Island is the location from which the majority of U.S sounding rockets are launched.
The facility was established in 1945 and since then there have been over 14,000 small rocket
launches from this facility. The facility is maintained by NASA and caters for both orbital and
sub-orbital launches. On average there are about 20 sub-orbital sounding rocket launches
per year. Moving forwards, the facility intends to become a centre of excellence for sub-
orbital launches and the facility has been upgraded to include launch facilities for commercial
organisations.
From a European perspective there are two key sounding rocket launch facilities. They are
located in Northern Europe, the Esrange facility in Sweden and the Andoya range in Norway.
The Esrange facility is the operational centre for the Swedish Space Corporation (SSC) and
its location 200km north of the Arctic circle offers several unique advantages, namely
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 20
payloads from sounding rockets have a landing zone of 120 x 75 km in size. This makes it
ideal for easy payload recovery operations (this is the only place in Europe where payloads
can be recovered on land). The location is outstanding for the observation of the boreal
phenomena such as the northern lights and a good launch infrastructure is in place to support
space agencies from across the World. Nearly all of ESA’s sounding rockets are launched
from this facility due to its proximity to the Arctic Circle.
The Andoya range in Norway is unique as it stretches North West from Norway over the
Arctic and provides the most northern location in the World for a permanent rocket launch
facility. The facility was built in 1962 and is owned and operated by the Norwegian Space
Centre. Andoya range has conducted more than 650 rocket launches and has hosted nearly
70 universities and research institutes from around the World. Its location provides
favourable conditions for studying various atmosphere and ionosphere phenomena and as
the launches are conducted over the arctic the airspace is relatively clear and there are hardly
any major shipping lanes to worry about. The facility has a large impact area, permitting a
variety of launch directions and rocket configurations without the need for guidance systems.
2.4 Overview to the Emerging Sub-Orbital Space Tourism Industry
The world’s first commercial orbital space tourism flight took place on April 28th 2001 when a
wealthy Californian investor Dennis Tito boarded a Russian Soyuz rocket to the International
Space Station at a price of $20million [7]. This made him the first individual to personally pay
for a ticket into space. This had two knock on effects for the Russian space industry. Firstly
they could see that there would be huge financial reward to their own space industry if they
supported these space tourism flights. Secondly the Russian space craft was considered to
be a fairly reliable space craft, despite its age, and it helped to improve its public image,
something the Americans were struggling to achieve with its ill-fated Shuttle programme.
Since Tito’s flight in 2001 two other space tourists have taken off on Russian space craft, in
April 2002 Mark Shuttleworth [8] became the second commercial space tourist as a member
of another mission to the ISS. More recently in September 2005 Greg Olsen [9], a U.S
scientist & entrepreneur, became the third space tourist. Both Mark and Greg were thought to
have also paid the Russian Space Agency $20million for the privilege of travelling to the ISS.
The Soyuz space craft is currently the only vehicle which can provide supplies to the ISS and
with there being three seats onboard and only two cosmonauts required to fly the Soyuz craft,
for the moment at least, this spare seat provides the only means for private individuals to
achieve orbital flight. Clearly the $20million cost per ticket of flying into space will have to be
brought down considerably if the orbital space tourism industry is to attract many more private
Warwick Business School – Executive Modular MBA Dissertation – 0262185 21
space travellers. These three privately funded space flights have demonstrated to the public
that space tourism is not only possible but will become more popular in the not too distant
future. According to the Futron Corporation, who conducted a Space Tourism Market Study in
2002 [10], there is a potential sub-orbital market for 15,000 passengers and $700 million in
revenues per year by 2021. The orbital space tourism industry is estimated to have 60
passengers who will help to bring in $300 million per year by 2021. This makes the industry
potentially worth $1 billion by 2021.
In terms of potential market growth, sub-orbital flight, simply due to its cost benefits, would
appear to be the main sector that will drive the space tourism industry. The main problem with
kick starting the sub-orbital space tourism industry is the availability of suitable space craft.
Up until now, nearly all space craft and launch services have been provided by the
government backed agencies such as NASA and ESA. These facilities were developed for
manned exploration, launching payloads into space and constructing the ISS. In order for this
industry to establish itself, a new breed of cheaper, more affordable, space craft and launch
facilities need to be developed. As with any new industry, companies will not invest time and
money in developing these space craft without a suitable incentive.
For this reason and to help kick start the space tourism industry a global competition was
established, and a significant financial prize offered, to the first non-government organisation /
company who could develop a reusable sub-orbital space craft. This competition was known
as the Ansari XPRIZE.
2.4.1 The Ansari XPRIZE Competition
The Ansari XPRIZE [11] is widely regarded as the catalyst for the emerging sub-orbital space
tourism industry and is based on a competition run in the 1920s, won by Charles Lindberg in
his Spirit of St.Louis aircraft, for the first aircraft to successfully cross the Atlantic. Once it was
shown that it was possible to cross the Atlantic by plane, other companies emerged and
started to develop aircraft which would one day help the birth of Atlantic passenger travel. The
Spirit of St.Louis proved that the principal barrier to commercial air travel was not a
technological barrier but more of a psychological one.
It was this competition that gave Peter Diamandis the idea of establishing the XPRIZE
Foundation. The aim of the XPRIZE Foundation was to create a future in which the general
public would personally participate in space travel and its benefits. The Ansari XPRIZE was
the first competition initiated by the XPRIZE Foundation and it offered a $10million prize to
establish the space tourism industry through competition amongst the most talented
entrepreneurs and rocket experts in the world.
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The prize would be awarded to the first team that could :-
Privately finance, build and launch a spaceship, able to carry three people to 100
kilometers , (the official start of space)
Return safely to Earth
Repeat the launch with the same spaceship within 2 weeks
The aim of repeating the launch was to prove that the spaceship could be reused rather than
having to rebuild a new spaceship from scratch each time. Since its inception in May 1996,
(up until the XPRIZE was won in October 2004), 27 teams from seven countries competed in
the prize. The aim of the prize was to :
Create a new generation of aviation heroes in the mould of Lindberg
Provide inspiration and education opportunities for students
Focus public attention and investment capital on this new business opportunity
To challenge explorers and rocket scientists from around the world
From its inception in 1996, many different designs of space craft were entered into the
competition. These ranged from conventional plane style craft which took off on a runway,
traditional multi-stage rockets complete with a three person space capsule, through to
vehicles that were towed or carried aloft to a high altitude before being released to travel to
their final apogee. Further information about the original XPRIZE contenders can be found in
Appendix 8-G. The XPRIZE was won in October 2004 by Scaled Composites and their
SpaceShipOne vehicle [12]. This was carried aloft by a high altitude plane called White
Knight. Once the White Knight had reached a specific altitude the SpaceShipOne rocket
powered plane would be released, its engines would be ignited and it would then continue up
to an altitude of 112 kilometers. It would remain on the edge of space for 5 minutes before
starting its descent. SpaceShipOne then glided back to its original takeoff location.
SpaceShipOne is shown below in Fig.6 underneath its launch carrier, White Knight.
Fig. 6 SpaceShipOne Space Craft & White Knight Launcher
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SpaceShipOne technology is currently owned by the co-founder of Microsoft, Paul Allen and
his company called Mojave Aerospace Ventures (MAV). He bankrolled the $20Million project
and even though the prize was only $10 million, the prestige of winning the XPRIZE combined
with the downstream commercial opportunities that would come along, made the investment
worth while.
2.4.2 Current Developments in Low Cost Space Craft Design
The original Ansari XPRIZE had 27 entrants competing for the $10 million prize. Today, only
7 of the original contenders remain in business and a number of new companies have
entered the low cost space launch industry. Many of the original entrants to the competition
were designing craft which could be used after the XPRIZE, however a few companies
including Starchaser were designing their craft with one goal in mind, to win the XPRIZE.
Starchaser felt that using a single stage rocket would be the simplest and most cost effective
way of winning the XPRIZE. Starchaser were the second favourite entrant to win the XPRIZE
as they were the only other entrant to have actually launched an XPRIZE development rocket
prior to SpaceShipOne winning the prize. The following table lists the original XPRIZE
contenders who are still developing space craft for the space tourism sector. Further
information about these companies can be found in Appendix 8-H [13].
Fig. 7 Post XPRIZE Contenders Currently in Business, (See Appendix 8-H)
The XPRIZE contenders, in most parts, were funded privately from numerous sponsoring
companies and organisations. They were able to develop significant space technology on a
minimal budget and in the case of Starchaser were able to develop a fully working rocket.
Their rocket ‘Nova’ was successfully launched in November 2001 and was subsequently used
to promote the XPRIZE initiative until the prize was claimed by Paul Allen’s company.
Compared to the government space agencies, the XPRIZE contenders were developing their
craft on relatively small budgets. Private enterprise will make or break the future space
tourism industry and during the latter stages of the XPRIZE competition a number of the
World’s most high profile billionaires decided that they wanted to get involved with the
privately funded commercial space industry. Fig.8 overleaf shows the new entrants to the
sub-orbital spacecraft market sector.
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Fig. 8 New Entrants to the Privately Funded Space Industry
Further information about these companies can be found in Appendix 8-I. Virgin Galactic are
currently leading the way in terms of introducing economically viable technology but it won’t
be too long before other companies such as Starchaser develop their own technology to
compete in this market sector.
2.4.3 Emergence of Commercial Spaceports
As of today there are five non federal spaceports licensed in the U.S however due to the
expected growth in the private space sector, eight other locations in the U.S have applied for
a license to operate a space port. For private space companies such as Starchaser this is
important as it will provide them with a gateway into space without fear of imposing on any
government backed space programmes. One of the first new spaceports has been
established in New Mexico with the help of the local government. They realised that the
private space industry could bring significant financial and employment benefits to its region
and with an abundance of wide open space it decided to apply to the Federal Aviation
Authority (FAA) for an official license to operate a non-federal spaceport. The Southwest
Regional Spaceport is located at Las Cruces, New Mexico and as part of its marketing
campaign recently hosted the global XPRIZE Cup, a competition for privately funded space
companies to demonstrate their capabilities.
The primary reasons that Las Cruces was granted an FAA operational license were [14]:-
Its relatively high altitude, where the air is thinner, allowing rockets to be launched
much more easily
Approximately 350 days of sunshine annually, providing near perfect launch and
recovery operations
The availability of large, open, unpopulated land for establishing launch facilities with
unrestricted airspace
The availability of significant infrastructure along with access to a large population of
engineers and scientists that have previously been involved with a distinguished
history in space related research
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The New Mexico Government commissioned Futron Corporation to estimate the potential
space tourism market size [14]. Using a number of quantitative and qualitative survey
methods they were able to estimate the potential total market size (in terms of number of
flights) shown in the first row of Fig.9. The New Mexico market share is shown in the second
row.
Fig. 9 Global Space Tourism Market Opportunity
It is expected that other spaceports will be developed overtime which explains the drop from
75% to 50% market share, however with New Mexico developing the first Spaceport they will
have a significant first mover advantage. Starchaser were the first space tourism company to
establish a base at the spaceport and now with Virgin Galactic wishing to establish a
significant presence in the region, New Mexico has the opportunity to position itself as the
primary destination for those interested in space tourism. Taking into account the space
tourism providers, visitors and spectators to the proposed rocket racing league developed by
XCOR, Futron expect the economic benefits to the region to be very significant, these are
highlighted below in Fig.10.
Fig. 10 Economic Value to New Mexico State
Over time, the Spaceport will expand considerably and will become home to a number of
space tourism operators, service companies and manufacturing operations. These activities
are summarised overleaf in Fig.11 [14].
The combination of Virgin Galactic, Starchaser and New Mexico State has for the first time
shown that space tourism for the masses is not only a reality but will be possible within 2
years. The technology has been demonstrated and proven, Virgin and Starchaser have the
vision that space tourism is economically achievable and the New Mexico State authorities
have the belief that they can lay the foundations for an entirely new industry which will bring
significant economic benefits to it’s region.
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Fig. 11 New Mexico Spaceport Business Opportunities
2.5 Review of the UK’s Space Strategy
Today’s UK space strategy, prepared by the British National Space Committee (BNSC)
focuses on three core areas and is currently supported by the British Government with nearly
£200Million of funding. This is relatively small when compared to France which contributes
nearly £2Billion to its space efforts, making the UK a relatively small partner in the European
space industry. The UK’s space strategy maps out clear scientific and commercial objectives
rather than to develop space technology as an end to itself.
For this reason, the UK’s Vision is [15]:-
“To be the most developed user of space-based systems in Europe for science, enterprise
and the environment. UK citizens will provide and exploit the advanced space-based systems
and services which will stimulate innovation in the knowledge driven society”.
To achieve this vision the government has therefore decided to focus on the following :-
To expand knowledge in astronomy, planetary and environmental sciences
To create opportunities for commercial exploitation of satellite systems
To advance key public services
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2.5.1 Enhancing UK’s standing in astronomy, planetary & environmental science
One of the largest beneficiaries of the Government’s £200Million investment per year is the
Particle Physics and Astronomy Research Council (PPARC). The council provides grants to
University based research programmes which are working towards a greater understanding of
the earth and the universe.
2.5.2 Increased productivity through promoting the UK’s use of space
Today’s space industry is helping to stimulate new opportunities in the economy, in
commerce, public policy, science and for consumers. This is achieved through direct
provision of satellite services. The Government’s main goal is to maximise the exploitation of
these opportunities throughout society. To achieve this it needs to influence the development
of new space systems within the international market and it needs to establish the
downstream services which could exploit them. The number of different projects identified by
the government to support the three key users of satellite technology are shown in Fig.12
Fig. 12 Key Users of Satellite Technology / Services
2.5.3 Developing innovative space technologies that improve quality of life
In order to remain an effective user of space systems across the economy, the UK must
retain a capability to understand end to end systems and produce crucial elements of the
technology. This strengthens the voice of the UK during International negotiations and
underpins the delivery of the other two objectives in the UK space strategy.
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2.5.4 Size and Health of the UK Space Industry
The commercial sector of the British space industry primarily supports the satellite industry.
This particular industry is split into two sectors, those companies providing space technology
for the satellites, the ‘upstream’ industry and those companies that actually exploit the satellite
services, namely the ‘downstream’ industry. In 2004 the BNSC conducted a survey of all UK
companies involved with space related business, 222 organisations were represented in the
findings [16].
The space related turnover of these companies varies over a wide range with only five
companies having a space turnover of £100Million and some 68% of the companies having a
space related turnover of less than £1Million. The total space related turnover of the UK
space industry is estimated to be £4Billion. Compared to the upstream sector the
downstream turnover represents 87%of the total industry turnover. The breakdown of the
upstream and downstream sectors are shown below in Fig.13.
Fig. 13 The Upstream and Downstream Sectors of the UK Space Industry
The application of these activities is dominated by the telecommunications and broadcasting
industry, this application alone represents nearly 80% of all UK space industry turnover. This
investment has paid off as the UK is one of the World leaders in the adoption of digital
television services. Fig.14 below shows the turnover by space application. It is significant that
the space transportation sector represents only 1% of the total turnover.
Fig. 14 2003 Turnover by Application, Excluding the Consumer Market
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2.5.5 UK Involvement with the ESA Programme
The UK is one of the founding members of the ESA programme which is divided into two
categories, optional and mandatory programmes. The UK chooses to take part in most of the
optional programmes, and membership of the mandatory programmes is subscription based
and rates are worked out as a percentage of each European country’s GNP. Fig.15 below
shows the various ESA programmes in 2001 and how the UK subscribes to programmes
which it feels best supports the UK space strategy, namely Navigation, Earth Observation and
Science [1]. Today, the UK contributions to ESA are roughly the same, this is despite the UK
being the second richest country, (behind Germany), in Europe.
Fig. 15 UK Financial Contributions to ESA Programmes
2.5.6 UK Micro-Gravity Activities
The main issue faced by the UK is that it does not have access to a dedicated micro gravity
environment. The UK decided not to be a member of the ISS when it was being discussed in
the 1980s. Similarly the UK has refused to become involved with micro gravity programmes
run by ESA. The UK has decided to not participate in the European Life and Physical
Sciences (ELIPS) research programme and as such will not be able to get access to the
research and data derived from this programme. In 2002 , 102 UK researchers from 33
universities, 5 research institutions and 13 industrial companies were identified as potential
users of the ELIPS programme [1]. These researchers also formed part of the survey
population for this dissertation and the results will be discussed in Chapter 4.
Some UK universities have used sounding rockets for conducting micro gravity experiments
but with the demise of the Skylark programme the UK currently does not have a dedicated
launch facility for these experiments. As mentioned earlier, Sounding Rocket Services Ltd
are looking to re-introduce a new sounding rocket service in the near future.
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2.6 An Overview of Starchaser Industries
Starchaser Industries is a privately held, high technology company that specialises in the
development, operation and commercialisation of space related products and services.
Starchaser enables new space related business opportunities by providing safe, reliable
affordable and reusable access to space for both space tourism and micro-satellite launch
markets. Founded in 1992 by current CEO Steve Bennett, the company is staffed by a highly
skilled, innovative and motivated workforce based at its research & development, assembly
and integration facility in Hyde, Cheshire, UK. Steve Bennett also serves as the Director of
Space Technology at the University of Salford.
Starchaser began life as an experimental rocket test programme set up by Steve in 1992.
The objective had been to develop an inexpensive means of delivering small scientific
payloads to high altitudes. This research was funded through a variety of sponsorship deals
and by the mid-nineties the project had grown into a team effort. In 1996 the team
successfully launched a 21ft rocket, Starchaser 2, which at that time qualified as the largest
private civilian rocket ever to be built and flown in Europe. Starchaser has an enviable record
of successful launches and they have now become internationally recognised as leader’s in
their field and are rapidly becoming a household name.
Starchaser officially entered the Ansari XPRIZE in 1997, one of the original entrants to the
competition and was incorporated as a private limited company in December 1998. On 22nd
November 2001 Starchaser successfully launched Nova, the world’s first privately built
reusable rocket capable of carrying passengers into space. In 2001 Starchaser started the
development of their Churchill range of rocket engines, culminating with the development in
November 2003 of the Churchill Mk3, a large 15 tonne bi-liquid engine. The intention was to
use a pair of these engines to power Starchaser’s official entry to the XPRIZE competition,
the Thunderstar rocket.
Starchaser initiated a very successful educational outreach programme in 2003, an ideal
platform to educate the school children of today into the technology and space tourism
possibilities of tomorrow. This activity along with open days at their facility provided a steady
source of income for the company. Starchaser then transferred its presentation and exhibit
materials to the Spaceport Visitor Centre in Liverpool in July 2005, this was to become the
UK’s leading space related visitor attraction. In 2005 Starchaser opened an office in New
Mexico, the world’s first dedicated commercial spaceport. Starchaser intend to use this
facility as their launch facility for future sub-orbital and orbital space programmes.
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Starchaser spent nearly six years working towards their goal of winning the XPRIZE
competition however they were beaten by Paul Allen’s SpaceShipOne programme. They had
acquired valuable knowledge and experience in developing low cost rocket systems and
rather than disappear, as most other XPRIZE contenders did after the competition, they
decided they wanted to develop Starchaser into a proper commercial space business. As
part of this process, Starchaser began work in 2004 to convert their business into a public
limited company and raise the necessary funding to develop new facilities, rocket
programmes and allow a facility to be opened in the States, potentially Starchaser’s single
largest market. Overtime, Starchaser began to devise a business plan, one which would
allow the business to grow organically and allow the company to one day be able to compete
in the orbital space tourism market.
Starchaser’s primary objectives are :
to provide safe, reliable and affordable access to space for all
to become market leader in non government space access
to be recognised as ‘the’ British space programme
Starchaser realised early on that the investment community was nervous about funding purely
space tourism focused companies and therefore devised a stepping stone business plan that
would allow them to gradually achieve their space tourism dreams.
Starchaser will initially develop a new programme for sub-orbital sounding rockets, Project
Skybolt, shown in Fig.16 below, was conceived to address this market sector. Skybolt is
effectively a reusable sounding rocket providing the capability to launch scientific payloads
into space at a very affordable rate. The reusable nature of Skybolt makes it unique in the
industry and will help drive down launch costs. Skybolt will be 12m tall and will deliver a
100kg payload to a target altitude of 100 miles. Skybolt could be seen as the natural
successor to the British Skylark programme referenced earlier in this chapter.
Fig. 16 Reusable Skybolt Sounding Rocket
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One of the key strengths of Starchaser is its internal design capabilities. Through a
sponsorship agreement with a product development software company they use state of the
art computer aided design systems to design all components of their rockets. As well as the
launch vehicle, Starchaser also design their own engines. Their latest engine, Storm, is a
modified and slightly smaller version of their Churchill 3 engine and this will be used to power
the Skybolt sounding rocket. This engine is shown below in Fig.17.
Fig. 17 ‘Storm’, 7 tonne Bi-Liquid Rocket Engine
The Skybolt programme will allow revenues to be generated which will then contribute
towards their next programme, Project Thunderstar, to enter the new and lucrative sub-orbital
space tourism sector. Thunderstar is a single stage rocket powered by a pair of Churchill 3
engines. The capsule would be capable of carrying three people and after reaching apogee
would return to earth via a GPS guided parachute. The flight profile of Thunderstar is shown
in Appendix 8-L and Starchaser’s range of rockets are shown below in Fig.18.
Fig. 18 Starchaser Range of Rockets
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Despite limited funding, Starchaser have reached many milestones over the last twelve years
and they have remained in business with the aid of creative ways of raising revenue streams.
If they had proper financial and business plans then their dream of being the UK’s space
business will become a reality. The remainder of this dissertation will identify how this can be
achieved.
2.7 Summary
The aim of this chapter has been to understand the shape and make up of the current
sounding rocket and emerging space tourism industries, who the main players are within each
sector, provide an understanding of new business opportunities within the these sectors and
finally to understand the UK government’s strategy for space related activities and research.
The sounding rocket and space tourism industries represent the two opposite ends of
Starchaser’s business strategy and the information researched within this chapter will allow
Starchaser to develop their business plan in order to execute their long term strategy.
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3 Review of Literature
3.1 Introduction
The following chapter will provide a review of academic literature researched for this
dissertation. This review will be split into the two fundamental areas introduced in Chapter 2,
namely the sounding rocket and space tourism market sectors. This dissertation is primarily
focused on marketing, business strategy and entrepreneurship activities and therefore
relevant MBA frameworks and tools will be employed to analyse the industry and company
specific issues faced by Starchaser when they enter these market sectors. The sounding
rocket market sector will be reviewed first.
3.2 Review of the Sounding Rocket Market Sector
As discussed earlier in Chapter 2, the sounding rocket market was initially conceived to
service the demand from research and educational institutions for a microgravity based
research platform. Most of the academic research that has been conducted in recent years
has been to understand the potential ‘uses’ for microgravity and the ‘need’ for microgravity
based research platforms. The microgravity sector has been constrained for a number of
reasons, for example a lack of low cost launch providers and government policies on
providing access to these facilities. Even though Starchaser are hoping to establish a non
government funded business model, most of their market opportunity actually comes from the
scientific and research communities, which are primarily supported by government grants.
3.2.1 Microgravity & Sounding Rocket Industry Analysis
Today’s European sounding rocket industry is dominated by ESA sponsored launches from
Northern Europe. The main competitive advantage that Sweden has is that it has access to a
large area of uninhabited space where sounding rockets can be launched. As a result of
these facilities, the Swedish government has been very supportive of companies wishing to
enter the sounding rocket industry and as such provide favourable grants to help new space
related companies establish themselves in this region. By comparison, the UK government
has a completely different attitude to supporting the microgravity and associated sounding
rocket industry.
Some of these reasons were discussed in Chapter 2, but the following PEST analysis of the
microgravity and sounding rocket industry summarises the issues from a political, economic,
society and technology standpoint.
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Fig. 19 PEST Analysis of the UK Sounding Rocket Industry
Over the years the sounding rocket industry has seen many new entrants into a market which
was once dominated by the larger space agencies such as NASA. Over time, smaller
companies began to emerge who subsequently took over from where the major agencies left
off. Today, NASA sub-contracts out the manufacture of the rockets for its sounding rocket
programme and numerous other companies have emerged, primarily in the U.S and Europe,
to compete in this specialised industry. The PEST analysis in Fig.19 provided a high level
overview to the industry as a whole and the companies competing within this industry are
analysed by way of Porter’s Five Forces [17], illustrated in Fig.20 below.
Fig. 20 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
New Entrants – The space industry has always been perceived as a technically
challenging and high cost industry to enter. For this reason there are relatively few
companies involved in this industry. Government red tape, flight safety and
operational licenses from the respective aviation industry bodies all add to keeping
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the entry barrier high. Space launch system projects are also perceived as offering
risky investment opportunities and so many projects require private investment to
prove capability before investment houses are willing to provide funds for growth
Supplier Power – One of the key components of any sounding rocket is the engine.
Today, both NASA and ESA use rockets powered by ex-military rocket motors.
These motors are in short supply and the industry needs new rocket engines such as
the Brazilian VSB30 to secure the future of the sounding rocket market sector.
Buyer Power – In recent years the buying power has shifted from individual research
groups launching their own rockets to the larger space agencies sub-contracting out
the manufacture of their own sounding rockets to companies such as Orbital
Sciences. Most sounding rocket launches today are carrying scientific payloads
developed by universities which in turn are indirectly funded by various governments.
Government has the ability to control grants awarded to research groups and hence
limit the number of potential launches that can be conducted
Threat of Substitutes – In recent years a number of private companies such as
Orbital Sciences and SpaceX have developed lower cost rocket launch systems. In
addition, the emerging space tourism industry may see companies such as Virgin
Galactic using their space tourism vehicles to not only carry passengers but to also
carry scientific payloads for deployment during apogee.
Competitor Rivalry – As NASA and ESA have largely sub-contracted out most of
their sounding rocket programmes, most of the competition in the market is between
companies such as Orbital and the Swedish Space Corporation. As these
organisations receive significant space agency contracts, they are very well funded.
Sounding rocket manufacturers who have a good safety record and undertake work
on behalf of a space agency tend to win the lucrative high profile launch contracts.
3.2.2 UK Microgravity Research Policy
In order to understand the potential market demand for a UK sounding rocket service it is
important to understand the UK government policy concerning microgravity based research.
In 2002 the UK government wanted to obtain a better understanding of the potential of
microgravity based research and a microgravity review panel was established to examine the
potential opportunities for microgravity based research. The review panel was headed by
Professor Bill Wakeham, Vice Chancellor of Southampton University and Chairman of the
BNSC Life and Physical Sciences Network Group. The review panel subsequently asked the
BNSC and the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory to establish the ‘market demand’ for such a
service.
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The Rutherford / BNSC report [1] noted that from a historical perspective, the life and physical
sciences research areas, (that exploit microgravity conditions), have never been a high
priority in comparison with other UK space related activities. One of the initial academic
research studies, the Pippard Report [18] , was conducted in 1989 by Professor Sir Brian
Pippard on behalf of SERC and it concluded that there was no strong case at that point for
the UK to join the ESA microgravity programme. Whilst many European countries signed up
with the construction of the ISS, the UK declined becoming involved with this project. This
negative attitude to any involvement with microgravity and the ISS continues to this very day,
with the government’s current space policy centred on “putting space to work”, ie needing to
identify clear scientific or commercial benefits from space activities before participating.
The microgravity review panel concluded [19] that there were a number of scientific
opportunities for microgravity based research and these were divided into six disciplines,
namely fundamental physics, fluid and combustion physics, materials science, biology,
physiology and astro/exobiology and planetary exploration. (The leading academics involved
with these areas of research were contacted as part of the research for this dissertation and
the results of the survey are discussed in Chapter 4).
In May 2000, ESA commissioned a strategic marketing study on the potential industrial
opportunities for microgravity based work. This was conducted by Batelle ITM, Cranfield
School of Management and Access-Matrix. The common overall conclusion from these
independently conducted studies was that the tangible commercial returns in the field of
microgravity were far from being mature. They forecasted that the need over the next 5-10
years is for state sponsored basic research to establish a background from which a
partnership between industry and government can proceed to demonstrate potential, and
then for a similar further period before genuine commercially sponsored R&D would be
attainable.
The falling number of students choosing to study science and technology subjects at
university is a matter of widespread and growing concern in UK industry. Subjects which
involve space research are effective at generating interest in young people. One advantage
of having a UK microgravity research programme would be the opportunity to generate more
interest in science and technology amongst the young generation in particular.
At the time of the microgravity review panel research, the UK had a number of options with
respect to establishing a microgravity research programme, namely [19] :-
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Join ESA Programme (ELIPS), which would provide access for UK researchers to
European collaborations and facilities and provide significant commercial space
contracts to UK companies
Collaborate with NASA, this would only be possible if the UK were to become a
member of ELIPS
Collaborate with other U.S Agencies, this would allow UK institutions to make their
own arrangements but they would have to source their own funding rather than
depend on a central funding system
Use facilities of a commercial basis, Individual research groups would be free to
make use of ISS facilities either through ISS partners of one of the commercial
agents. Similarly most other microgravity facilities could be hired commercially from
the operators
Do nothing – Naturally the lowest cost option but there would be no involvement in
research or industrial collaborations, no access to results and more importantly a
poor political impression of the UK as a world-class player
Upon reviewing the available options, the review panel recommended to the UK government
that they should join the ELIPS programme at the minimum membership level. They believed
that while there was no single scientific area where such an investment would lead to a real
breakthrough there were a number of areas where access to this complimentary tool would
be of value. In May 2003 the UK government reviewed the panel’s report and based on the
findings decided not to sign up with the ELIPS programme due to limited budget availability
and lack of demonstrable commercial benefits to be gained [20]. The government also
highlighted the problems with the ISS and the issues associated with getting suitable launch
vehicles, such as the Space Shuttle, up to the ISS. The potential issues faced with
establishing a microgravity industry in the UK can be summarised by way of the Porter’s
Diamond [21] shown below in Fig.21
Fig. 21 Porter’s Diamond Summary of Potential UK Based Microgravity Industry
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Factor Conditions – In terms of location, Starchaser are well positioned to take
advantage of a good network of suppliers, contractors and skilled workforce.
Starchaser have all the required resources to be able to construct their sounding
rockets however the one major drawback is a lack of launch facilities in the UK.
Demand Conditions – The UK demand for sounding rocket services is relatively low
due to limited commercial opportunities and scientific research projects have limited
budget availability to fund microgravity related launch programmes. This will not
change until the government changes its policy towards microgravity research.
Related and Supporting Industries – Even though the UK does not have its own
microgravity programme, it does have a strong presence in other space sectors such
as satellites, deep space exploration probes and participation in other major
European space projects.
Strategy, Structure , Rivalry – As of January 2006 there were no other UK based
manufacturers of sounding rockets. Starchaser have a good opportunity to become
the only major player in this market sector, however key to the growth of this part of
the business is going to be acquiring new microgravity launch customers
Therefore we can conclude from this that the weakest area is related to microgravity demand
conditions in the UK, apart from suitable launch facilities the factor conditions are relatively
high. The remaining two factors, related and supported industries & strategy, structure and
rivalry are the strongest factors relating to microgravity activities in the UK.
Based on these findings the main issue facing the government’s support of microgravity
based research is the lack of funds to support what is perceived as a high cost programme. If
the launch costs could be brought down, thus increasing demand for such launch services,
then there is the possibility that the government would eventually support such a programme
providing that there is no long term tie in. This was the main issue surrounding the ELIPS
programme, namely committing to a five year rolling programme where there was no visible
downstream benefit to the UK from a commercial point of view. If private enterprise
companies such as Starchaser can make this financially viable then this should help to
increase interest and demand for such launch services.
3.2.3 Review of Starchaser’s Sounding Rocket Programme
Since Starchaser was formed in 1992 they have produced and successfully flown numerous
rockets, with each design becoming progressively larger and more technically advanced.
This step by step evolution of their designs has allowed Starchaser to focus on getting each
technical issue resolved before moving onto the next step, eg incorporating telemetry
systems, parachute recovery systems and ensuring that each engine design has suitable
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thrust to lift the rocket to the required altitude. This demonstrates the confidence that they
have to push the boundaries with rocket development and prove that private enterprise is
capable of establishing a business in this market sector.
Starchaser have progressively increased their work force to meet the challenges of
developing more complex rockets and they have defied the odds in terms of raising the
necessary financial security to get the business to where it is today. They have been able to
retain key members of staff and encourage more people to join their operation. Fig.22 below
summarises the current situation at Starchaser and highlights the key strengths, weaknesses,
opportunities and threats facing Starchaser at the moment.
Fig. 22 SWOT Analysis of Starchaser Industries Sounding Rocket Business
As a company, Starchaser has one key advantage over its competitors, namely it’s ability to
manufacture the rocket body and engine in-house, thus allowing Starchaser to retain control
of the entire design process and guarantee rocket motor supply for their Skybolt programme.
Most other sounding rocket manufacturers would traditionally outsource rocket motors rather
than build their own, but the number of off the shelf rocket motors is dwindling very quickly,
thus putting Starchaser in an increased competitive position.
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Starchaser’s sounding rocket programme has been designed to provide significant
advantages over its competitors, namely:
Skybolt will be the industry’s first reusable sounding rocket. Many of today’s
sounding rockets are expendable meaning that new sounding rockets currently have
to be built for each launch. This is both very expensive and a drain on a limited
supply of rocket engines. The other issue associated with today’s sounding rockets is
that they are being designed to carry more than one scientific payload. So for
example the latest MASER rocket carried six different payloads. In order for the
MASER rocket to be economically viable it must carry its full payload capacity
otherwise it will be launched at a significant loss. Having to wait for six payloads to
be ready for launch puts a significant time delay on the launch of the MASER rocket
and hence makes it very inflexible from a launch timing point of view. The reusable
nature of Skybolt will hopefully alleviate this problem and allow payloads to be
launched on a more frequent basis.
Skybolt will also represent one of the lowest cost sounding rocket services.
Starchaser have had to manage for years on a minimal development budget but they
have proven that they are capable of developing high altitude rockets. The lack of
budget has actually worked in Starchaser’s favour as they have been able to design
and build rockets using cheaper materials and manufacturing processes, more
importantly without compromising on safety or performance grounds.
Starchaser’s current strategic position is therefore summarised by way of Fig.23 below [17]
Fig. 23 Strategic Focus of Starchaser’s Sounding Rocket Programme
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In the context of the whole space industry, Starchaser’s Skybolt programme is targeting a
narrow market segment, namely the sounding rocket market sector. Starchaser’s current
strategy is to adopt a significant product differential over its competitors (ie the reusable
nature of Skybolt) which in turn will help to drive down overall launch costs. In terms of
improving a company’s competitive advantage there are three recognised approaches,
adopting either a specific product focus, product differentiation or product cost leadership.
The reusable nature of Skybolt and its uniqueness in the sounding rocket market means that
Starchaser should be following a differentiation strategy which has the characteristics shown
below in Fig.24 [22]. Other more general company related strategies and issues will be
discussed in section 3.4
Fig. 24 Competitive Advantage through Product Differentiation
3.3 Review of the Space Tourism Market Sector
As highlighted in the previous chapter, space tourism potentially represents a lucrative
$1Billion a year industry by 2020. Initially the main area of development will be the sub-orbital
market sector and then as technology is developed and the investment community start to
take an interest then orbital space tourism will develop very quickly. Prior to the winning of
the XPRIZE in late 2004 it has been the orbital space tourism sector which has received most
interest from the academic community. For example predicting what it would be like to orbit
the earth as a space tourist, what business opportunities could evolve, eg orbital space hotels
and space sports centres.
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Fig.25 below tries to predict what the orbital space tourism market and associated
opportunities, could be like by 2030 [23]. Clearly, significant investment and technological
advances will have to be realised before this vision can become a reality and the recent
interest in sub-orbital space tourism ignited by the XPRIZE competition has led the academic
community to re-focus their research into the short term business opportunities rather than
the long term. Orbital space tourism will happen one day and U.S billionaire Robert Bigelow
has established a new $50 million competition [24], similar to the XPRIZE, for the first
company to design a reusable orbital spacecraft which can be used to service his proposed
network of orbital space hotels. It is forward thinking entrepreneurs such as Bigelow and
Branson that will help to kick start the future orbital space tourism industry.
Fig. 25 Space Tourism Market Opportunities by 2030
Today’s academic sub-orbital market research research focusses on :
Trying to establish the potential market demand for what is a completely new and
unknown industry and then trying to predict the likely ticket price per trip into space
Estimating potential economic benefits, eg the Futron study conducted on behalf of
the New Mexico State government
Establishing which of the current sub-orbital space tourism companies are likely to
succeed based on their proposed spacecraft designs, individual business models,
marketing capabilities and proposed methods of financial investment
Trying to work out how to market and position a space tourism company, within an
entirely new industry sector, to a general public that knows little about the industry
The likely human ‘endurance’ implications for passengers wishing to take such flights
The technological barriers which have to be overcome to develop a cost effective
space craft design
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3.3.1 Sub-Orbital Space Tourism Industry Analysis
One of the World’s leading authorities on space tourism is Professor Geoffrey Crouch from La
Trobe University in Australia. Professor Crouch has written a number of space tourism
research papers which address some of the afore-mentioned key areas of the space tourism
market sector. Some of these will be discussed later in this section but first, the following
PEST analysis shown in Fig.26 below, (adapted from one prepared by Professor Crouch,[25])
attempts to highlight the current issues facing the sub-orbital space tourism industry.
Fig. 26 Sub-Orbital Space Tourism Industry PEST Analysis
The future direction of the space industry lies in part with what the major space agencies such
as NASA and ESA will do. They have already started to sub contract work out to companies
such as Orbital Sciences but they will need to do more to help small private firms enter what
is currently a very lucrative market. NASA suffers from two externally controlled forces,
uncertainty concerning its funding because the granting agency, the US congress, changes
elected membership every two years and in addition, members of congress have repeatedly
changed the content of NASA programmes to benefit the private space contractors within
their constituency [25]. This situation has called for privatisation of the space industry [26]
which will open up more commercial opportunities for entrepreneurs to establish new
commercial space companies. The recent success of projects such as the XPRIZE has
helped to highlight what small companies are able to achieve on relatively small budgets.
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A viable commercial space tourism industry will require a clear legal framework to facilitate
and encourage developments in space tourism [24], rather than the existing legal regime
which originated during the cold war era. Legal issues that need addressing include the need
for co-ordination of potentially high frequency space launches (availability and desirability of
insurance for spacecraft / owners / operators / passengers and even the drafting of new
criminal laws to apply in a space context, (eg anti terrorism / hijacking etc). If the space
tourism industry is to flourish then these issues need to be addressed at an international level
rather than have different laws for each country. Although governments may play an
important regulatory role, and the use of government assets may be a part of a space tourism
industry for some time, the real driving force behind space tourism, apart from customer
demand will be the financial returns that arise from new competition and enterprise. (Grouch,
2004)
3.3.2 Competitive Analysis of the Space Tourism Market
The space tourism market today is very much in it’s infancy with some of the original entrants
to the XPRIZE competition trying to transition their projects into commercial sub-orbital space
tourism businesses. As Virgin Galactic [27], in partnership with Burt Rutan, won the XPRIZE
they are perceived for the moment to be the market leaders (in terms of proven technology)
but the true measure of success of the venture will depend upon how quickly they can bring
their SpaceShipTwo craft into service. At the moment this is scheduled for 2008. Since the
XPRIZE competition, Virgin Galactic have used the marketing muscle of the Virgin Group to
help promote and position the company as the world’s only ‘viable’ space tourism company.
Virgin Galactic certainly has the technology and marketing skills in place to help build their
business but there are other companies aiming to take on Virgin Galactic in the future.
The nearest competitor is Starchaser, primarily as they were perceived as the only serious
competitor, other than Virgin Galactic to win the XPRIZE. From an XPRIZE point of view the
‘competition factor’ was measured by how much ‘working & demonstrable’ technology was in
place. Starchaser had completed a number of launches in the past and another 12 months
work could have seen them winning the XPRIZE ahead of Virgin Galactic.
There are many other companies continuing to develop sub-orbital technologies, most of the
XPRIZE teams had conducted engine tests but had never flown a full size version of their
craft. Other companies such as XCOR have developed a rocket plane to be used in the
Rocket Racing League competition, a further development of this craft, called Xerus, will
allow XCOR to enter the sub-orbital tourism market. One other competitor to watch out for
over the next few years will be Blue Origin [28], funded by the Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos, they
currently do not have any demonstrable technology to speak of but they are determined to
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recruit the best rocket engineers in the industry and money will be no object when
establishing their launch facilities in Texas. The marketing experience of Amazon will ensure
that Blue Origin will become a well known global brand, very quickly.
In order to determine a competitive positioning matrix based on today’s main sub-orbital
space tourism competitors the author had to derive two positioning variables based on
measurable variables emerging today. As the market is still developing, some technology has
not been fully flight tested / approved and levels of service offering cannot be measured as
yet. The author therefore decided to base the matrix on the level of demonstrable technology
they currently have in place now and the brand visibility with respect to the competition.
Naturally, potential space tourists will want to fly with a company they have heard of, where
the technology is proven and safety records are at the highest possible levels. The
competitive position matrix shown below in Fig.27 aims to show where today’s key players
Today’s satellites are being used for a number of different purposes, with telecommunications
remaining as the largest user of satellite services. As mentioned on the previous page it is
technological trends and associated consumer demand which will drive the future launch
requirements. If a company is able to tailor their launch service to suit an emerging
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technology trend then that company will have a significant competitive advantage in terms of
targeting those companies with the offer of a launch service. The U.S Federal Aviation
Administration monitors all global payload launches and as can be seen by Fig.65 [49] a
noticeable trend is developing in the type of satellites being placed into orbit. It can be seen
that during 2005 there is a three fold increase in satellite launches, this is due to a significant
increase in demand for Navigation, Scientific and Meteorological services.
Fig. 65 Payload Usage (Orbital Launches Only) – April to December 2005
Global Positioning Systems are used as the basis of Satellite Navigation Systems and as of
2005 this is one of the high growth areas with consumers. In the past, older network of
military satellites were used for this purpose but now the companies behind the satellite
navigation systems are demanding faster and more reliable services which in turn means
there is a demand for new satellites. It is noticeable that one of the other major growth areas
is in the deployment of scientific payloads, a sector that Starchaser will initially be pursuing
with their new sounding rocket service. It is clear to see that if Starchaser can establish their
sounding rocket service then placing scientific payloads into orbit would be the next logical
step and based on the above projections the demand would be there for such a service.
In parallel with the type of payload being launched it is interesting to see in Fig.66 [49]
overleaf that there is a growing trend for the deployment of smaller payloads. As described
earlier, advances in lightweight materials, improved power source (battery/solar) design and
the overall miniaturisation of technology means that much smaller satellites will be produced
by the commercial sector. These so called Micro / Nano sized satellites will form the basis of
most orbital payload launches in the future and once again due to their reduced weight and
compact size means that much cheaper launch technology will be in demand. This means
that new entrants such as Starchaser would be able to enter the micro satellite launch market
at a fraction of the cost of the larger government backed programmes such as NASA.
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Fig. 66 Payload Mass Class (Orbital Launches Only) – April to December 2005
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Appendix 8 - C Review of Global Launch Locations Launch and re-entry sites, often referred to as ‘Spaceports’, are the locations across the world
used as gateways to and from space. Although individual capabilities vary on a site by site
basis, these facilities will typically contain launch pads and runways as well as infrastructure,
equipment and fuels needed to process launch vehicles and their respective payloads before
launch. The U.S was one of the first countries to develop spaceport facilities, the federal
governments of the 1940s began to build and operate space launch facilities, ranges and
bases to meet a variety of national security needs. Many of the original spaceports were
established on secret test facilities for launching military missiles. Whilst U.S military and civil
government agencies were the original and still are the primary users and operators of these
facilities, commercial payload customers have become frequent users of these government
backed spaceports.
Today’s spaceports, as shown below in Fig.67 [50], are scattered across the World and one
of the common characteristics of their locations is that they tend to be in largely uninhabited
areas, in some cases contained within many hundreds of square miles of open space.
Fig. 67 Location of Today’s Primary Spaceports
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In the U.S, many states with areas of open space have seen a significant increase in the
number of applications to establish non-government funded spaceports to service the
commercial space launch sector. Each non government facility in the U.S requires an FAA /
AST license to operate a space launch facility and in order to manage the growth in
spaceports a national space transportation infrastructure plan is being developed. The aim of
the plan is to identify all infrastructure elements necessary to support both the emerging
private enterprise space transportation industry and the new national space exploration
initiative enacted by the President of the United States. In addition to launch facilities the plan
covers other considerations such as space traffic control, and federal R&D assistance to non
federal and private sector space systems efforts.
In Europe there are relatively few launch facilities, primarily due to the lack of wide open
spaces and a heavily congested airspace. A number of sounding rockets are launched from
the Andoya launch facility in Norway, however the bulk of European related launches,
conducted by ESA, actually take place from a dedicated European launch facility in French
Guiana, South America. The Kourou launch site lies just over 500km from the equator, its
nearness to the equator makes it ideally placed for launches into geostationary transfer orbit
as few changes have to be made to a satellite’s trajectory. The Arianne launchers also profit
from the ‘slingshot’ effect , ie the energy created by the speed of the earth’s rotation. This
effect alone can increase the speed of a launcher by 460m per second. These important
factors help to save money on fuel and prolong the active life of satellites. The location of the
Kourou spaceport is so perfect that many other countries including the U.S use this facility on
a regular basis.
Unlike most western countries, Russia does not have an extensive aerospace industry as
they have spent many years establishing a significant rocket and space industry instead.
Many of its launch facilities were constructed during the cold war for launching inter-
continental ballistic missiles (ICBMs). After the fall of the Soviet Union, the Russian Space
Agency was created to manage all of the space facilities across Russia. With the demise of
the cold war, many launch facilities went into dis-repair however some locations such as the
Plesetsk launch facility became one of the busiest space ports in the World during the 1970s
and 1980s. Today this facility is used for the launch of polar orbiting spacecraft and the
Baikonur site is used for manned launches to the International Space Station and for placing
payloads into equatorial orbits.
Another significant launch facility is Woomera, a large missile range in the middle of Australia.
Once again its remote location provides the ideal launch facilities for a number of countries
including Japan and the UK. The UK used the Woomera facility for missile testing and as an
early launch base for their Skylark sounding rocket service. In addition, the European
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Launcher Development Organisation, the predecessor to ESA, began development of a
European launch facility at Woomera in the 1960s before moving to French Guiana in June
1970. Britain ended its operations in Woomera in 1976 and relocated its sounding rocket
programme to the Norwegian Andoya launch facility. The most significant fact about
Woomera is that it had the potential to help Britain become a significant player in the
International Space Race, but new government priorities of the time changed that. Today,
Woomera is still used for experimental tests of rockets but in the future there is the potential
for this to become one of the World’s leading spaceports.
In recent years there has been a limited number of locations that could be used by companies
to access to space, either due to political or for geographical reasons. Given that most of the
World’s surface is covered in water, one enterprising company decided to establish Sea
Launch, a portable floating facility that is currently based in the Pacific Ocean. The Sea
Launch facility was converted from an old Russian self propelled oil rig with private finance
from companies in Norway, U.S and Russia. It has the ability to provide heavy launch
capabilities to match any land based facility around the world and as it is located in the middle
of the Pacific Ocean it does not have any of the restrictions encountered by its land based
competitors. Sea Launch would appear to offer the perfect launch facility, especially for
launching payloads into orbit, however new and emerging markets such as space tourism will
require primarily land based launch facilities. Sea Launch has only been in operation for ten
years but it has become highly successful and could provide the template for how privately
funded organisations could establish similar launch facilities in the future to exploit the
emerging non government funded commercial launch market sector.
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Appendix 8 - D Review of NASA’s Family of Sounding Rockets
Fig. 68 NASA’s Family of Sounding Rockets
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Appendix 8 - E Flight Profiles of NASA’s Sounding Rockets
Fig. 69 Flight Profiles of NASA’s Sounding Rockets
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Appendix 8 - F Current Sounding Rocket Launch Locations
Fig. 70 List of Global Sounding Rocket Launch Sites
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Appendix 8 - G Original List of XPRIZE Contenders
Fig. 71 List of Original XPRIZE Entrants
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Appendix 8 - H Update on Current Space Tourism Launch Vehicle Projects
Sprague Astronautics (US)
Company has re-branded itself three times since the XPRIZE competition, they have even borrowed branding and strapline messaging developed by Starchaser. Currently developing the vertical take off Altaris launch vehicle. First flight scheduled for 2007. They are said to have received significant venture capital funding and signed an agreement with NETunes for primary sponsorship rights. Even though they have the funding in place there is little credible evidence so far that they will actually meet their launch date.
Armadillo Aerospace (US)
Armadillo are said to be making steady progress and they have a long term goal of establishing a space craft. This may be due to the fact that they are supported by a team of volunteers but they do have funding from a computer games millionaire. Development of their vertical take off and landing rocket is progressing well with a number of test firings being carried out already. Armadillo are one of the few companies to actually making something rather than developing glossy computer animations of what their proposed design could be like.
Interorbital Systems (US)
This company predicts that they will be the first to provide regular orbital space tourism flights in late 2008. This is somewhat ambitious considering that they have no prior experience in this industry and constructing a sub-orbital craft would be more beneficial to them in the short term as they would be able to learn from their mistakes before going orbital . They are expecting orbital ticket prices to be $2million. They expect to launch their rocket from a floating ‘Sea Launch’ type of facility, which may give problems in terms of taking off from one location and landing in another. Very few engine tests have been conducted to date.
Mojave Aerospace Ventures / Scaled
Composites (US)
Scaled were responsible for building the XPRIZE winning SpaceShipOne Craft. They are well funded and have a strong history of developing leading edge flying craft. Burt Rutan and Richard Branson have now formed the Spaceship company to exploit the XPRIZE winning technology. This technology will form the basis of Branson’s fleet of sub-orbital craft.
Rocket Place Inc. (US)
There design is based on a heavily modified LearJet and will take off from a conventional runway. The idea is very simple and somewhat obvious, but they have significant issues with redesigning an existing craft to make it more structurally sound in order to carry the heavy engines and fuel tanks. They have stated they will start flight tests in 2006 with a full service to be offered in 2007.
PlanetSpace (Canada)
This team is based on the former Canadian Arrow XPRIZE team, throughout the development of Canadian Arrow rocket the team undertook a number of high profile marketing initiatives to promote their design to the World’s press. They are planning to use a conventional rocket design with a proposed launch date in mid 2007. In December 2005 PlanetSpace also announced plans for a sub-orbital spaceplane, probably as a result of the successful design produced by Rutan and his team.
Da Vinci (US)
This represents one of the most ambitious designs with a rocket being launched from underneath a large air balloon. They have received significant sponsorship from the Goldenpalace.com and have plans to launch a manned craft in late 2006. As with PlanetSpace they have started design evaluations for a plane style launch craft.
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Appendix 8 - I New Entrants to the Sub-Orbital Space Craft Market
Blue Origin (US)
Blue Origin was established early last year by the Billionaire CEO of Amazon, Jeff Bezos. At the moment very little is known about this company except that it is extremely well funded but money alone will not guarantee success. Good funding means that Blue Origin will be able to recruit the best engineers in the business. They intend developing a traditional vertical take off rocket and to assist with the design and development process they have bought their own large ranch in Texas to undertake test flights. In November 2005 they announced the opening of a new HQ in the city of Kent near Washington. Unmanned test flights are scheduled for late 2006.
SpaceDev (US)
SpaceDev are a relatively small private company specialising in the manufacture of small satellites and hybrid rocket propulsion systems. Their propulsion system was used in the XPRIZE winning SpaceShipOne craft. They are taking an existing design produced by NASA and converting it to provide a capability to carry six passengers. This craft was originally designed to provide as a service space vehicle to the ISS, but the design could easily be adapted to serve the sub-orbital launch market.
Virgin Galactic (UK/US)
Virgin Galactic, part of the Virgin Group headed by Richard Branson, is the most significant space tourism company to have emerged in the last few years. Branson, one of the world’s leading entrepreneurs, spotted the potential of the space tourism market and decided to register the name Virgin Galactic in the mid-nineties, knowing that one day the technology would be available to exploit this new market sector. This technology now exists and Branson decided to sponsor Burt Rutan and Paul Allen’s SpaceShipOne during the closing stages of the XPRIZE competition. Branson has now form a joint venture with Rutan called the SpaceShip Company to exploit the technology and the new SpaceShipTwo craft being developed by Rutan will form the basis of Branson’s Virgin Galactic fleet. The marketing muscle of Virgin Group is second to none and they have already started to develop a significant marketing campaign to promote the company and more importantly start to educate the general public about what a sub orbital flight would actually be like. Virgin Galactic expects to launch their service in 2008 and fly 3000 new space tourists within five years at a cost of $115000 per person per sub-orbital flight, which includes three days training. In December 2005 Branson signed a deal with the New Mexico state government to lease facilities which will form the basis of the world’s first space port for the space tourism industry.
XCOR (US)
XCOR have designed a small rocket plane called the EZ-Rocket and this craft has already flown successfully and will form the basis of all craft to be used in the new Rocket Racing League developed by the XPRIZE Foundation. Once revenues start to come in they are planning to develop the EZ-Rocket into a larger craft which can serve the sub-orbital market. This craft will be known as Xerus
SpaceX (US)
Along with Orbital Sciences , this company is significant as they are largely privately funded with strong backing from an internet billionaire who founded the PayPal organisation. He has funded the development of the Falcon range of rockets for deploying orbital payloads, however their designs could be adapted to carry a passenger module above one of their higher powered falcon rockets. This company could be the first to offer orbital space tourism flights. This design would in essence be similar to Starchaser’s Thunderstar.
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Appendix 8 - J Virgin Galactic’s Space Port
Fig. 72 Artists Impression of Virgin Galactic’s Proposed Spaceport in New Mexico
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Appendix 8 - K Virgin Galactic’s Sub-Orbital SpaceShipOne Rocket Plane
Fig. 73 SpaceShipOne’s Flight Profile
Fig. 74 View from SpaceShipOne During Apogee – October 2004
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Appendix 8 - L Starchaser’s Sub-Orbital Thunderstar Rocket