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Space: The Startup Frontier Erika Ilves @ Latitude 59 Tallinn, May 31, 2016
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Space - the final startup frontier

Jan 19, 2017

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Page 1: Space - the final startup frontier

Space: The Startup Frontier

Erika Ilves @ Latitude 59Tallinn, May 31, 2016

Page 2: Space - the final startup frontier

NewsWeek, 2015

“Space is the new internet.”

1,000 companies$2.3 B invested in 20158 exits since 20001 unicorn

“Trillionaires will be made in space “

Page 3: Space - the final startup frontier

“Insufficient facts always invite danger.”

Page 4: Space - the final startup frontier

xxx

Page 5: Space - the final startup frontier

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 6: Space - the final startup frontier

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Humans

24 orbited12 walked

6 work544 visited

Machines13 launched2 active

8,000 launched3,000 in orbit1,400 active

77 launched0.5 active

~170Mpieces ofspace debris

Page 7: Space - the final startup frontier

The Perfectly Sane Grownup Zone

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 8: Space - the final startup frontier

The Perfectly Sane Grownup Zone

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

The Certifiably Insane Zone

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 9: Space - the final startup frontier

The Perfectly Sane Grownup Zone

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

The Certifiably Insane Zone

The Totally Bonkers Zone

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 10: Space - the final startup frontier

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Space business today

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 11: Space - the final startup frontier

Actuals

Satellites: GEO birds

Page 12: Space - the final startup frontier

Actuals

Satellites: Non-GEO birds

Page 13: Space - the final startup frontier

Actuals

Data

Fire in the New Valley in EgyptTaken by Planet Labs, on May 12, 2016

Page 14: Space - the final startup frontier

Actuals

Data

Khi Solar One in South AfricaTaken by Planet Labs, on May 11, 2016

Page 15: Space - the final startup frontier

Actuals

Internet

Page 16: Space - the final startup frontier

Actuals

Rockets

Page 17: Space - the final startup frontier

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Space business actuals

“space is the new internet”

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 18: Space - the final startup frontier

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Space business potentials

Micro G research

Trash removal

Mining

Fuel

Factories

Solarfarms

Space trucks

Server farms

Tourism

Agriculture

Health

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 19: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Trash removal

Page 20: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Micro-gravity research

Page 21: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Mining

OffWorld

Page 22: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Fuel

Page 23: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Space trucks

Page 24: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Factories

Page 25: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Solar farms

Mankins Space

Page 26: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Server farms

Page 27: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Solar to Earth

Mankins Space

Page 28: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Tourism

Page 29: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Agriculture

Page 30: Space - the final startup frontier

Potentials

Health

Page 31: Space - the final startup frontier

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Startup frontier

Micro G research

Trash removal

Mining Fuel

Factories

Solarfarms

Space trucks Server farms

Tourism

Agriculture Health

“space is the new internet”

“space is the new infrastructure”

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 32: Space - the final startup frontier

Scenarios 2016-2030

Nothing exciting happensBig new market(s)Destination: MarsBlack swans

Page 33: Space - the final startup frontier

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Nothing exciting happens

Tourism $6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 34: Space - the final startup frontier

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Big new markets

Tourism

Micro G research

Trash removal

Mining

Fuel Factories

Solarfarms

Space trucks

Server farms

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 35: Space - the final startup frontier

Scenarios

Destination: Mars

Page 36: Space - the final startup frontier

Scenarios

Black swans

killer asteroids

aliens

Page 37: Space - the final startup frontier

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Startup frontier

Micro G research

Trash removal

Mining Fuel

Factories

Solarfarms

Space trucks Server farms

Tourism

Agriculture Health

“space is the new internet”

“space is the new infrastructure”

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Page 38: Space - the final startup frontier

Make It So, Number One!