South Carolina Primary

SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARYAmber Lawyer

PRIMARY HISTORY Founded in 1980

1 of 13 open Republican primaries in the US

The Republican nominee has never lost South Carolina

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&sugexp

PAST REPUBLICAN WINNERS 2008 John McCain

147,733 Votes - 33.15%

2004 George W. Bush Uncontested

2000 George W. Bush 53%

1996 Bob Dole - 45%

1992 George H. W. Bush 68%

1988 George H. W. Bush - 49%

1984Ronald Reagan - Uncontested

1980 Ronald Reagan - 55%

THE BUILD UP

Mitt Romney (1)

Rick Santorum (1)

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Romney- leading nominee. Gains support of

Governor Nikki Haley.

Huntsman endorses

Gingrich gains endorsement of Rick Perry

Remaining Nominees Support

BUILD UP CONT.

Romney’s financial situation

Gingrich’s ex-wife

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Citizens United Supreme Court decision in 2010 allows for the funneling of money into political action committees.

Most money had been spent by super PACs for South Carolina

Romney has the largest super PAC (Restore Our Future)

Gingrich (Winning Our Future) Rick Santorum (The Red, White

and Blue Fund) Ron Paul (Endorse Liberty)

Conflict Super PACs

SUPER PACS CONT. Spent to vilify

other candidates through advertisements

Romney spent the most per vote $30

Gingrich spent much less but his Super PAC made up the difference $20.56

http://www.google.com/imgres?q=Super+PACS+for+the+4+republican+

http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/01/ad-war-update-5.html

HUGE FACTORS IN SOUTH CAROLINA

Super PAC spendingTwo Debates

53% of Primary voters made their decision in the last few days

Media swings toward Gingrich after debates

White EvangelicalsMake up 63% of the electorate

WHAT IS THE ELECTORATE LOOKING FOR?To beat President

Obama in November

To fix the economy

Independents (25%)

49% Gingrich 41% Romney.

Out of 61%:39%Gingrich 35% Romney

Gingrich 31%Paul 26%Romney 25%

RESULTS South Carolina 100% reporting Newt Gingrich 243,172 40.4% 23 Mitt Romney 167,297 27.8% 2 Rick Santorum 102,061 17.0% Ron Paul 78,000 13.0% Others 10,685 1.8%

RESULTS CONT.

RESULTS CONT.

Middle of the pack Affair scandal

handled well at the debates

Rick Perry Super PAC provided

advertising money

Leader Scrutiny of his

personal finances Pulls him away from

middle class Does poorly in

debates

Newt Gingrich Mitt Romney

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?Standings

http://race42012.com/

Questions?

On to Florida