1 South Africa Macro Economy Overview Market Information National Income 2004 GDP (US$ bn) 212.6 2004 GDP/Capita (US$) 4,592 2004 Population (mm) 45.7 Currency ZAR Current Exchange rate (US$) 6.11 2004 Total Mobile Subscribers ('000s) 18,708 2004 Mobile Penetration (%) 43.8 No. of Mobile Players 3 3.6 2.8 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.1 4,590 4 , 6 4 2 4 , 7 1 1 4 , 8 4 7 5 , 0 2 8 4 , 5 9 2 3 , 6 2 4 2 , 4 6 1 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 2002A 2003A 2004E 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E R e a l G D P G r o w t h ( % ) 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 G D P/Ca p ita (U S$)Source: Economic Intelligence Unit (EIU), ITU Source: Economic Intelligence Unit (EIU) Exchange Rate (US$) Share of Regional Economy10.5 8.6 8.1 7.5 6.2 6.9 7.6 6.5 0 5 10 15 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 E x c h a n g e R a t e ( U S $ ) South Africa 38.7% Nigeria 11.3% Sudan 5.6% Ethiopia 4.0% Ghana 3.7% Uganda 2.7% Cameroon 2.7% Kenya 2.6% Angola 2.5% Others 26.2% Source: Economic Intelligence Unit (EIU) Source: Goldman Sachs Economic Research
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Independent Communications Authority South Africa - www.icasa.org.za
Department of Communications - www.gov.za
ICASA's key functions are to implement regulations and policies, issue licenses, monitor the environment and enforce compliance withrules, regulations and policies. It also acts as an adjudicator in disputes and for complaints brought by the industry or members of thepublic against licensees, and is responsible for the planning and control of the frequency spectrum and protecting consumers from unfair business practices
It promotes the attainment of universal service and access by issuing licenses requiring operator to roll out services in under-servicedareas and ensuring that they contribute to the Universal Service Fund
In May/June 2004 ICASA awarded temporary 3G concessions to Vodacom and MTN. Vodacom may convert this to a permanent license
for ZAR 6 million per annum, while MTN is for now testing, evaluating and demonstrating UMTS and EDGE on a live pilot network
Political Overview
South Africa is a republic with a bicameral parliament and an indirectly elected president as its executive. The constitution of 1997established a parliamentary political system with three tiers of government: national, provincial and local. Each of the nine provinces hasits own government, separate executive, judiciary and legislature
In the latest elections of April 2004, Mbeki was re-elected for a second five-year term following a landslide victory for the ANC. He haspromised to continue the state's market-oriented policies and has begun to introduce more concrete plans for privatization, public sector
restructuring and economic growth
South Africa has the largest economy in Africa and has an abundance of natural resources, well-developed financial, legal, commercialand communications sectors, and a modern infrastructure which, though at capacity, supports the efficient distribution of goods andservices throughout the country