Izdava~: Dr`aven zavod za statistika Skopje, Dame Gruev 4, P.fah 506 Tel. 02/3295-600, Faks 02/3111-336 publikum@stat.gov.mk; www.stat.gov.mk Pri koristewe na podatocite da se navede izvorot Publisher: State Statistical Office Skopje, Dame Gruev 4, P. box 506 Tel. 3892/3295-600, Fax 3892/3111-336 publikum@stat.gov.mk; www.stat.gov.mk When using data state the source 28.01.2008 Godina/Year XLVI Broj/No: 6.1.8.02 1 Vkupnata ekonomska sostojba, spored ocenata na rakovoditelite na pretprijatijata vo dekemvri 2007 godina e oceneta kako popovolna vo odnos na prethodniot mesec. Ocenkata za tekovnata obezbedenost na proizvodstvoto so pora~ki e malku popesimisti~ka vo odnos na prethodniot mesec. Obemot na proizvodstvoto na pretprijatijata vo izminatite tri do ~etiri meseci go zadr`uva istoto tempo, a ocenkata za o~ekuvaniot obem na proizvodstvoto za naredniot period e ponepovolna, kako i ocenkata za o~ekuvaniot broj na vraboteni. Zalihite na surovini i repromaterijali, tekovnite nabavki na surovini i repromaterijali, kako i zalihite na gotovi proizvodi, vo dekemvri 2007 godina, se bez pogolemi promeni i se pod i okolu normalata. Vo naredniot period prose~nite nabavni ceni na inputite se o~ekuva da porasnat, kako i prose~nite proda`ni ceni na gotovite proizvodi. Prose~noto iskoristuvawe na kapacitetite na pretprijatijata vo dekemvri 2007 godina, vo odnos na prethodniot mesec, e zgolemeno i iznesuva 62.5% od normalnoto iskoristuvawe. Najgolemo vlijanie na ograni~uvaweto na obemot na proizvodstvoto vo dekemvri 2007 godina imaat slednive faktori: nedovolnata doma{na pobaruva~ka so 16.0%, nedovolnata stranska pobaruva~ka so 12.0% i finansiskite problemi so 11.8%. Vkupnata ekonomska sostojba, spored ocenata na rakovoditelite na pretprijatijata vo dekemvri 2007 godina e oceneta kako popovolna vo odnos na prethodniot mesec The total business situation of enterprises according to the managers of the enterprises in December 2007 is more satisfactory than in the previuous month The total business situation according to the managers of the enterprises in December 2007 is more satisfactory than in the previous month. The situation with the present production orders supplying is less satisfactory than in the previous month. In the past three-four months the volume of production of the enterprises keep the same level, but the expected production volume, and the expectations of the number of the employees are less satisfactory. The stocks of the raw materials and intermediate goods, present supplies of the production with raw materials and intermediate goods, in December 2007, are not with big changes and are around normal level. In the next period the average purchasing prices of the inputs are expected to increase as well as the average selling prices of the finished goods. The enterprises average capacity utilization level in December 2007 is increased compared to the previous month by 62.5% of normal utilization. The most important influence limiting the production development in December 2007 reffers to the following factors: insufficient domestic demand with 16.0%, insufficient foreign demand with 12.0% and financial problems with 11.8%. DELOVNI TENDENCII - BUSINESS TENDENCY SOOP[TENIE - NEWS RELEASE Za podetalni informacii javete se kaj: Ketrin Strezovska For further information please call: Ketrin Strezovska & +389 2 3295 847 e-mail: [email protected]
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SOOP[TENIE - NEWS RELEASE Vkupnata ekonomska sostojba, … · 2008. 1. 28. · [email protected]; When using data state the source 28.01.2008 Godina/Year XLVI Broj/No: 6.1.8.02
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Publisher: State Statistical OfficeSkopje, Dame Gruev 4, P. box 506Tel. 3892/3295-600, Fax 3892/3111-336 [email protected]; www.stat.gov.mk
When using data state the source
28.01.2008Godina/Year XLVI
Broj/No: 6.1.8.021
Vkupnata ekonomska sostojba, spored ocenata na rakovoditelite na pretprijatijata vo dekemvri 2007 godina e oceneta kako popovolna vo odnos na prethodniot mesec. Ocenkata za tekovnata obezbedenost na proizvodstvoto so pora~ki e malku popesimisti~ka vo odnos na prethodniot mesec. Obemot na proizvodstvoto na pretprijatijata vo izminatite tri do ~etiri meseci go zadr`uva istoto tempo, a ocenkata za o~ekuvaniot obem na proizvodstvoto za naredniot period e ponepovolna, kako i ocenkata za o~ekuvaniot broj na vraboteni. Zalihite na surovini i repromaterijali, tekovnite nabavki na surovini i repromaterijali, kako i zalihite na gotovi proizvodi, vo dekemvri 2007 godina, se bez pogolemi promeni i se pod i okolu normalata. Vo naredniot period prose~nite nabavni ceni na inputite se o~ekuva da porasnat, kako i prose~nite proda`ni ceni na gotovite proizvodi.
Prose~noto iskoristuvawe na kapacitetite na pretprijatijata vo dekemvri 2007 godina, vo odnos na prethodniot mesec, e zgolemeno i iznesuva 62.5% od normalnoto iskoristuvawe. Najgolemo vlijanie na ograni~uvaweto na obemot na proizvodstvoto vo dekemvri 2007 godina imaat slednive faktori: nedovolnata doma{na pobaruva~ka so 16.0%, nedovolnata stranska pobaruva~ka so 12.0% i finansiskite problemi so 11.8%.
Vkupnata ekonomska sostojba, spored ocenata na rakovoditelite na pretprijatijata vo dekemvri 2007 godina e oceneta kako popovolna vo odnos na prethodniot mesec
The total business situation of enterprises according to the managers of the enterprises in December 2007 is more satisfactory than in the previuous monthThe total business situation according to the managers of the enterprises in December 2007 is more satisfactory than in the previous month. The situation with the present production orders supplying is less satisfactory than in the previous month. In the past three-four months the volume of production of the enterprises keep the same level, but the expected production volume, and the expectations of the number of the employees are less satisfactory. The stocks of the raw materials and intermediate goods, present supplies of the production with raw materials and intermediate goods, in December 2007, are not with big changes and are around normal level. In the next period the average purchasing prices of the inputs are expected to increase as well as the average selling prices of the finished goods.The enterprises average capacity utilization level in December 2007 is increased compared to the previous month by 62.5% of normal utilization. The most important influence limiting the production development in December 2007 reffers to the following factors: insufficient domestic demand with 16.0%, insufficient foreign demand with 12.0% and financial problems with 11.8%.
DELOVNI TENDENCII - BUSINESS TENDENCYSOOP[TENIE - NEWS RELEASE
Za podetalni informacii javete se kaj: Ketrin Strezovska
For further information please call: Ketrin Strezovska & +389 2 3295 847 e-mail: [email protected]
Publisher: State Statistical OfficeSkopje, Dame Gruev 4, P. box 506Tel. 3892/3295-600, Fax 3892/3111-336 [email protected]; www.stat.gov.mk
When using data state the source
28.01.2008Godina/Year XLVI
Broj/No: 6.1.8.025
Ocena na tekovnata sostojba so zalihi na surovini i repromaterijali, nabavkata na surovini i repromaterijali i zalihite na gotovi proizvodi
Assessment of the present level of stocks of raw materials and intermediate goods, supply of the raw materials and intermediate goods and stocks of finished goods
Expectation of the movements of the average purchasing prices of inputs and of the average selling prices of finished goods during the next 3-4 months
O~ekuvawa za dvi`ewata na prose~nite nabavni ceni na inputite i prose~nite proda`ni ceni na gotovite proizvodi vo narednite 3-4 meseci
Ocenka na tekovnata sostojba so zalihi na surovini i repromaterijali, nabavkata na surovini i repromaterijali i zalihite na gotovi proizvodi
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
XII,2006 I, 2007 II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
Tekovna sostojba so zalihite na surovini i repromaterijali - vkupno
Tekovni nabavki na surovini i repromaterijali - vkupno
Tekovna sostojba so zalihite na gotovi proizvodi
Assessment of the present level of stocks of raw materials and intermediate goods, supply of the raw materials and intermediate goods and stocks of finished goods
Tekovna sostojba so zalihite na surovini i repromaterijali - vkupno
Current level of stocks of raw materials and intermediate goodse - total
Tekovni nabavki na surovini i repromaterijali - vkupno
Current level supply of raw materials and intermediate goodse - total
Tekovna sostojba so zalihite na gotovi proizvodi / Pressent stocks of finished products
O~ekuvawa za dvi`ewata na prose~nite nabavni ceni na inputite i prose~nite proda`ni ceni na gotovite proizvodi vo narednite 3-4 meseci
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
XII,2006 I, 2007 II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
Prose~ni nabavni ceni na inputite
Prose~ni proda`ni ceni na gotovite proizvodi
Expectation of the movements of the average purchasing prices of inputs and of the average selling prices of finished goods during the next 3-4 months
Prose~ni nabavni ceni na inputite / Average purchasing prices of inputs
Prose~ni proda`ni ceni na gotovite proizvodi / Average selling prices of finished goods
Publisher: State Statistical OfficeSkopje, Dame Gruev 4, P. box 506Tel. 3892/3295-600, Fax 3892/3111-336 [email protected]; www.stat.gov.mk
When using data state the source
28.01.2008Godina/Year XLVI
Broj/No: 6.1.8.027
Prose~no iskoristuvawe na kapacitetite na pretprijatijata (vo%)Average level of the present capacity utilization in the enterprices (in%)
Limitation factors for the increase of the production (in%)
Ograni~uva~ki faktori za zgolemuvawe na proizvodstvoto vo %
Prose~no iskoristuvawe na kapacitetite na pretprijatijata (vo%)
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
XII,2006 I, 2007 II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
Average level of the present capacity utilization in the enterprices (in%)
Ograni~uva~ki faktori za zgolemuvawe na proizvodstvoto vo %
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
neizvesnoekonom.
opkru`uvawe
nedovolnadoma{na
pobaruva~ka
nedovolnastranska
pobaruva~ka
finansiskiproblemi
drugo konkurenten uvoz nedostig nasurovini
IX,2007XXIXII
Limitation factors for the increase of the production (in%)
uncertainty i
ns
uff
ici
ent
dom
finan
cia
l pro
ble
o t h ecom
pet
iti
ve mi
n
suf
fic
ien
t fo
shortageofraw
neizvesno nedovolna nedovolna finansiski drugo konkurenten nedostig na ekonomsko doma{na stranska problemi uvoz surovini opkru`uvawe pobaruva~ka pobaruva~ka
uncertainty of insulfficient insufficient financial other competitive shortage of the economic domestic foreign problems imports raw materials environment demand demand
Publisher: State Statistical OfficeSkopje, Dame Gruev 4, P. box 506Tel. 3892/3295-600, Fax 3892/3111-336 [email protected]; www.stat.gov.mk
When using data state the source
28.01.2008Godina/Year XLVI
Broj/No: 6.1.8.027
METODOLO[KI OBJASNUVAWA
Cel na istra`uvaweto
Osnovnata cel na istra`uvaweto za delovnite tendencii vo prerabotuva~kata industrija e da se dobijat brzi podatoci za tekovnata sostojba i o~ekuvanite dvi`ewa na glavnite ekonomski pokazateli vo pretprijatijata, a so toa i vo posebnite oddeli na dejnosti i prerabotuva~kata industrija vo celina.
Ovie podatoci mo`at da se koristat pri donesuvaweto na kratkoro~nite delovni odluki na pretprijatijata, kako i vodeweto na kratkoro~nata ekonomska politika na zemjata.
Statisti~kite serii {to se dobivaat od ova istra`uvawe se osobeno povolni za nabquduvawe na delovniot ciklus i za prognozirawe.
Mese~noto statisti~ko istra`uvawe za delovnite tendencii vo prerabotuva~kata industrija, Dr`avniot zavod za statistika zapo~na da go sproveduva od april 2001 godina. Metodologijata i pra{alnikot za ova istra`uvawe se podgotveni spored preporakite na OECD za harmonizirawe na ovie istra`uvawa, so {to se ovozmo`uva i direktna sporedlivost na podatocite.
Vid na istra`uvaweto
Istra`uvaweto za delovnite tendencii vo prerabotuva~kata industrija e kvalitativno istra`uvawe koe ja koristi tehnikata na ispituvawe na mislewata. Toa obezbeduva kvalitativni (dobra, zadovolitelna, lo{a, zgolemen, nepromenet, namalen i sl.), a ne
METHODOLOGICAL EXPLANATION
Purpose of the SurveyThe main purpose of the Business Tendency Survey in Manufacturing industry is to obtain quick information on the current situation and expectations about further movements of the main economic indicators in enterprises, divisions of the National Classifications of Activities and Manufacturing industry as a whole. This data can be used for the short-term business decisions in the enterprises as well as for the creating of the short-term economic policy of the country.The statistical series derived from business survey are very suitable for business cycle monitoring and forecasting.The State Statistical Office of the Republic of Macedonia has been conducting the monthly Business Tendency Survey in Manufacturing industry since April 2001. Methodology and questionnaire for this survey are prepared in accordance with the recommendations of OECD for harmonization of these surveys, in which way the direct comparability of the data its enabled.
Type of SurveyBusiness Tendency Survey in Manufacturing industry is qualitative survey that uses opinion-testing techniques. It collects qualitative (good, satisfactory, bad, up, unchanged, down etc.), not quantitative (numerical) data from business managers on their assessment of the current situation of the main economic indicators in their enterprises and their expectations for the directions of movements of those indicators in the near future.
Publisher: State Statistical OfficeSkopje, Dame Gruev 4, P. box 506Tel. 3892/3295-600, Fax 3892/3111-336 [email protected]; www.stat.gov.mk
When using data state the source
28.01.2008Godina/Year XLVI
Broj/No: 6.1.8.02
The sampleThe sample for the Business Tendency Survey in Manufacturing industry includes 200 enterprises classified in the division No 15 to 36 of the National Classification of Activities (NACE), from which 109 enterprises are purposively selected and 91 enterprises are randomly selected.The purposive selection of the 109 enterprises was done by the criteria of including enterprises with largest turnover in the appropriate division of the NACE. The random selection of the 91 enterprises was done accordingly to the proportion of the number of enterprises in the appropriate division of the NACE.
WeightingEach individual answer is weighte during the processing, which means that each individual answer receives appropriate significance according to the size of each enterprise. The number of employees in the enterprise and the value of the turnover are used as weighting variables. The data are generally presented in the form of balances. The balance is obtained by taking the difference between weighted positive and negative answers expressed in percent. The balance shows the movement of the observed economic indicators and not their real size.The percentage of factors limiting production is calculated as proportion of weighted answers for appropriate factor in the total number of weighted answers for all factors.
kvantitativni (numeri~ki) podatoci od rakovoditelite (menaxeri, direktori ili drugi ~lenovi na rakovodniot tim) na pretprijatijata. Tie vo svoite odgovori davaat ocena za tekovnata sostojba na glavnite ekonomski pokazateli vo nivnite pretprijatija i gi iska`uvaat svoite o~ekuvawa za dvi`ewata na tie pokazateli vo bliska idnina.
Primerok
Istra`uvaweto za delovnite tendencii vo prerabotuva~kata industrija se sproveduva na primerok od 200 pretprijatija klasificirani vo oddelite 15-36 od Nacionalnata klasifikacija na dejnosti (NKD), od koi 109 pretprijatija se namerno izbrani, a 91 slu~ajno.
Namerniot izbor na 109-te pretprijatija e izvr{en spored kriteriumot da bidat opfateni pretprijatijata so najgolema realizirana vrednost vo soodvetniot oddel na dejnosti od NKD, a pak slu~ajniot izbor na ostanatite 91 pretprijatie e napraven proporcionalno spored brojot na pretprijatijata vo soodvetniot oddel na dejnosti od NKD.
Ponderirawe
Sekoj individualen odgovor vo obrabotkite se ponderira {to zna~i mu se dava soodvetna te`ina {to ja odrazuva va`nosta, odnosno goleminata na sekoe pretprijatie. Ponderiraweto na sekoj odgovor se vr{i so brojot na vrabotenite vo pretprijatieto i negovata realizirana vrednost.
Rezultatite od obrabotkite na odgovorite na sekoe pra{awe se prika`uvaat vo forma na balansi. Balansot pretstavuva razlika pome|u ponderiranite pozitivni i negativni odgovori, izrazena vo procenti. Balansot go poka`uva dvi`eweto na nabquduvaniot ekonomski pokazatel, a ne negovata vistinska golemina.Strukturata (izrazena vo procenti) na ograni~uva~kite faktori na proizvodstvoto se presmetuva kako u~estvo na ponderiranite odgovori za soodvetniot faktor vo vkupniot broj na ponderiranite odgovori za site faktori.