Solar Development in the Southern California Desert: Public Opinion Polling "#$ %&'( )&*+, -.-"-/"-%$ 01210340
Solar Development in the Southern California Desert:
Public Opinion Polling !!!!"#$!
%&'(!)&*+,!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
-.-"-/"-%$!
01210340!
%&'(!)&*+,!
!"#$#%&#"$'(
567!8++9:!;<*6'=>)?+*(!)&*+,!@&*6?=!A6,(?'&,!!
%&'(!)&*+,!
5BC<D!E+**6D:!FGG!!@,&H&*C9=!I(C(+,?J!
86**!@(,(K:!$L(?B<M(!)(?,('+,=!)+D!8(,D+,N6D&!+DN!I6M(,C6N(!F&BD<(C!!8B6*N6DO!P!F&DC',B?<&D!",+N(C!F&BD?6*!
)*+&,$(-"./.%0(123.&4567+3#(683+"(-#/#389:#%&(.%(;<=(
@&*6?=!Q&+*CR!!F&7H+'!?*67+'(!?J+DO(!8B6*N!?*(+D!(D(,O=!(?&D&7=!F,(+'(!*&?+*!S&HC!-7T,&M(!TBH*6?!J(+*'J!-7T,&M(!(D(,O=!C(?B,6'=!I(*6+H*=!P!?&C'!(U(?<M(*=!7(('!,6C6DO!T&V(,!D((NC!
@&*6?=!W(?J+D6C7R!I(D(V+H*(C!@&,X&*6&!)'+DN+,N!YI@)Z![!\\]!I(D(V+H*(!$*(?',6?6'=!H=!0303!
%&'(!)&*+,!
^3>_3]!*&CC!6D!)6(,,+!CD&V!T+?9!4`>00!6D?J(C!&a!C(+!*(M(*!,6C(!01b![!`!<7(C!7&,(!J(+'V+M(!N+=C!0>c!<7(C!7&,(!J(+'>,(*+'(N!N(+'JC!^b>_b]!6D?,(+C(!6D!*69(*=!&K&D(!a&,76DO!N+=C!0>01b!<7(C!7&,(!?,6<?+**=!N,=!=(+,C!44]!6D?,(+C(!6D!(*(?',6?6'=!N(7+DN!\3]!N(?,(+C(!a&,(C'!=6(*NC!bb]!6D?,(+C(!6D!(LT(?'(N!,6C9!&a!*+,O(!d,(C!
4!)((!;D6&D!&a!F&D?(,D(N!)?6(D<C'C:!JeTRffVVV1B?CBC+1&,OfO*&H+*gV+,76DOfC?6(D?(g+DNg67T+?'Cf67T+?'Cf?+>O*&H+*>V+,76DO>67T+?'C1J'7*h!)&B,?(R!F+=+D:!A1:!iB(,C:!/1:!#+D(7+DD:W1!:!j,+D?&:!Q1!!+DN!F,&(C:!81!033c1!F*67+'(!FJ+DO(!)?(D+,6&C!a&,!F+*6a&,D6+R!+D!GM(,M6(V1!!F+*6a&,D6+!$D(,O=!F&776CC6&D!@-$I!V&,96DO!T+T(,1!
F*67+'(!FJ+DO(!@,&S(?'(N!-7T+?'C!a&,!F/!YW(N6B7>#6OJ!$76CC6&DC!-@FF!)?(D+,6&Z4!
123.&4567+3#(683+"(!"80"#$$(.%(;<(
b0`!WE!6D!&T(,+<&D!\:0\^!WE!BDN(,!?&DC',B?<&D!
A(?*6D6DO!F&C'CR!!`1`!QE!&a!C&*+,!?&D',+?'(N!+'!T,6?(C!!"#$%&D(V!D+'B,+*!O+C!O(D(,+<&D!
F,(+<DO!5&HCR!`:333!?&DC',B?<&D!S&HC!?,(+'(N!H=!'J(!C'+'(kC!c!H6OO(C'!T,&S(?'C!
)&B,?(CR!)&*+,!$D(,O=!-DNBC',6(C!/CC&?6+<&D:!%&'(!)&*+,!+D+*=C6C:!AG$!
%&'(!)&*+,!
‘10 ‘09 Utility MWAC 1 1 Southern California Edison (CA) 578.3 2 2 Pacific Gas & Electric (CA) 476.5 3 6 Public Service Electric & Gas Co. (NJ) 117.4 4 7 Florida Power & Light Co. (FL) 117.3 5 3 NV Energy (NV) 90.0 6 4 San Diego Gas & Electric (CA) 89.5 7 5 Xcel Energy-CO (CO) 85.6 8 8 Arizona Public Service (AZ) 52.5 9 NR Jersey Central Power & Light (NJ) 51.1
10 NR Atlantic City Electric Co. (NJ) 35.1 Other Utilities 434.3
;+3.>8"%.+(?#+@$(&*#(A+28%(.%(123.&4(683+"(!8B#"(
)&B,?(R!)&*+,!$*(?',6?!@&V(,!/CC&?6+<&D:!0343!)$@/!;<*6'=!)&*+,!I+D96DOC!
%&'(!)&*+,!
C8B(@8(387+3(78::D%.2#$(/.#B(D23.&4($83+"(@#/#389:#%&=((
JOBS AND THE ECONOMY!IS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE TO VOTERS!
Question: What is the most important issue facing your community today?
8 8!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
9.3%
9.6%
9.8%
1.4%
6.4%
5.5%
3.4%
8.9%
52.3%
Don't Know/Refused
Other
Government
Affordable housing
Education/schools/higher education
Environmental issues
Transportation
Public safety
Jobs and the economy
A MAJORITY (56.6%) IS CONCERNED!ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING!
Question: In general, how concerned are you about global warming, otherwise known as climate change? Would you say you are very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned or not at all concerned?
9!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
56.6%
42.2%
1.2%
Concerned 56.6%
Unconcerned 42.2%
Unsure/refused 1.2%
Question: Which would you rather have in your community? Choose as many as you like, or none at all.
10 10!
SOLAR POWER FIELDS!ARE THE ENERGY SOURCES VOTERS ARE MOST RECEPTIVE TO HOSTING IN THEIR COMMUNITIES!
Probolsky Research LLC!3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!
Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!www.probolskyresearch.com !
13.8%
23.7%
9.7%
21.8%
60.0%
46.5%
Unsure/refused
Natural gas fracking
Coal mining
Oil exploration
Solar power fields
Windmills
78.6% AGREE THAT PARTS OF THE CALIFORNIA DESERT SHOULD BE USED TO DEVELOP RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS!
Question: California’s deserts are a great resource. We should use parts of them to develop renewable energy projects. [RECORD] [IF AGREE OR DISAGREE>>>] And would you say that you strongly or somewhat [agree/disagree]?
11!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
DRAFT ONLY – CONFIDENTIAL!DISTRIBUTION RESTRICTED BY BRIGHTSOURCE ENERGY!
78.6%
15.6%
5.8%
Agree 78.6%
Disagree 15.6%
Unsure/refused 5.8%
75.1% SUPPORT!DEVELOPING LARGE-SCALE SOLAR-POWERED ELECTRIC GENERATING SYSTEMS IN THE SO CAL PAN-DESERT!
Question: In general, do you support or oppose developing large-scale solar-powered electric generating systems in the Riverside/San Bernardino/ Imperial/Inyo/Kern County desert? [RECORD] [IF SUPPORT OR OPPOSE>>>] And would you say that you strongly or somewhat [support/oppose]? [IF UNSURE] Would you say that you lean one way or another?
12!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
75.1%
21.0%
3.9%
Support Oppose Unsure/refused
THE INTENSITY OF VOTER SUPPORT !IS SIGNIFICANTLY GREATER THAN THAT OF THE OPPOSITION!
Initial Informed
13!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
49.4%
12.7%
22.2%
5.5%
3.5%
2.8%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Support Oppose
Lean support
Probably support
Definitely support Lean oppose
Probably oppose
Definitely oppose
Question: A large-scale solar-powered electric generating plant would create thousands of local construction jobs for two to three years, and provide between 80 to 150 permanent operations and maintenance jobs in Imperial County after the project is completed. Does knowing this make you more likely or less likely to support the idea of developing solar energy in Riverside/San Bernardino/ Imperial/Inyo/Kern County? [RECORD] [IF MORE LIKELY OR LESS LIKELY>>>] And would you say that you are much [more likely/less likely] or somewhat [more likely/less likely]?
73.4% BECOME MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT !KNOWING IT WOULD CREATE JOBS!
14!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
73.4%
8.6%
10.5%
7.5%
More likely to support 73.4%
Makes no difference 8.6%
Less likely to support 10.5%
Unsure/Refused 7.5%
Question: Aging power plants along the California coast are reducing the air quality throughout the region of Imperial County. Developing solar-powered electric generating plants in the Imperial County desert will help to reduce the dependence on California’s aging, polluting power plants and will help improve the quality of air in Imperial County. Does knowing this make you more likely or less likely to support the idea of developing solar energy in Riverside/San Bernardino/ Imperial/Inyo/Kern County? [RECORD] [IF MORE LIKELY OR LESS LIKELY>>>] And would you say that you are much [more likely/less likely] or somewhat [more likely/less likely]?
67.6% BECOME MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT !KNOWING THEY WOULD HELP IMPROVE REGIONAL AIR QUALITY!
15!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
67.6%
8.4%
14.4%
9.6%
More likely to support 67.6%
Makes no difference 8.4%
Less likely to support 14.4%
Unsure/Refused 9.6%
66.1% AGREE WITH JONES!WHO SAYS HE SUPPORTS DEVELOPING SOLAR ENERGY!Question: PARKER says: “There is no way I support developing solar-powered electric plants in the Riverside/San Bernardino/ Imperial/Inyo/Kern County desert. These renewable energy projects are just taxpayer subsidized boondoggles. I want no part of government subsidizing private businesses like this.” JONES says: “We should consider supporting large-scale solar-powered electric plants in the High Desert. Renewable energy is an important part of our state’s future. The state and federal government is right to provide financial support and tax incentives for renewable energy projects.” With whom do you agree more, PARKER or JONES?
16!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
23.2%
66.1%
10.7%
PARKER, who says he does not support developing solar energy
JONES, who says he supports developing solar energy
Unsure/refused
INFORMED SUPPORT REMAINS STRONG FOR !DEVELOPING LARGE-SCALE SOLAR-POWERED ELECTRIC GENERATING SYSTEMS IN THE SO CAL PAN-DESERT!
Question: After hearing all of this, would you say that you support developing large-scale solar-powered electric generating systems in the Riverside/San Bernardino/ Imperial/Inyo/Kern l County desert? [RECORD] [IF SUPPORT OR OPPOSE>>>] And would you say that you strongly or somewhat [support/oppose]? [IF UNSURE] Would you say that you lean one way or another?
17!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
75.1%
21.0%
3.9%
75.3%
17.0%
7.7%
Support Oppose Unsure/refused
Informed Informed Informed Initial Initial Initial
THE INTENSITY OF VOTER SUPPORT !REMAINS SIGNIFICANTLY GREATER THAN THAT OF THE OPPOSITION!
Initial Informed
18!Probolsky Research LLC!
3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach CA 92660!Newport Beach: +1 (949) 855 6400 Sacramento: +1 (916) 256 4040 Washington DC: +1 (202) 559 0270!
www.probolskyresearch.com !
50.4%
11.1%
21.0%
5.5%
3.9%
0.4%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Support Oppose
Lean support
Probably support
Definitely support
Lean oppose
Probably oppose
Definitely oppose
%&'(!)&*+,!
%&'(!)&*+,!
l"J(,(!6C!+!JBO(!S&H!?,(+<&D!H(D(d'!'&!C&*+,!T,&S(?'C1!-'mC!+D!(?&D&76?!6CCB(!+DN!+!C&?6+*!SBC<?(!6CCB(:!+DN!+!T,6&,6'=!a&,!'J(!?&BD'=1n!
5((E"#0(-#/#"#+DFG(;HI(8>(6+%(J#"%+"@.%8(;8D%&4(
l"J6C!CB,M(=!N(7&DC',+'(C!'J(!C',&DO!CBTT&,'!a&,!*+,O(!C?+*(!C&*+,!T,&S(?'C!+C!+!V+=!'&!67T,&M(!&B,!+6,!oB+*6'=1!!"J(C(!T,&S(?'C!V6**!,(NB?(!+6,!T&**B<&D:!?&7H+'!?*67+'(!?J+DO(!+DN!*(CC(D!&B,!N(T(DN(D?(!&D!'J(!a&CC6*!aB(*C!'J+'!J+M(!?+BC(N!CB?J!O,(+'!J+,7!'&!TBH*6?!J(+*'J1n!!!
5(K+%#()+"%#"G(!"#$.@#%&(L(;HIG(<:#".7+%(?D%0(<$$87.+28%(.%(;<(
pI(D(V+H*(!(D(,O=!V6**!67T,&M(!'J(!+6,!oB+*6'=!6D!'J(!,(O6&D!+DN!V6'J!H(e(,!+6,!oB+*6'=:!+!H(e(,!oB+*6'=!&a!*6a(1n!
5(<%D98:(E+%0D3.G(!C-G(<$$.$&+%&(-#9D&4(HF#7D2/#(IM7#"G((68D&*(;8+$&(<."(ND+3.&4(O+%+0#:#%&(-.$&".7&(
%&'(!)&*+,!
P*+%Q(48D((
O#@.+(;8%&+7&'((R8$+3.%@(K+7Q$8%((
S8&#(683+"(("8$+3.%@T/8&#$83+"U8"0(
VWX5YWZ5X[\W!
%&'(!)&*+,!
q(=!dDN6DOCR!!
W(7H(,C!&a!'J(!)&B'J(,D!F+*6a&,D6+!N(C(,'!?&77BD6<(C!&M(,VJ(*76DO*=!CBTT&,'!C&*+,!N(M(*&T7(D'R!
• .(+,*=!a&B,!&B'!&a!dM(!H(*6(M(!'J+'!'J(!F+*6a&,D6+!N(C(,'!CJ&B*N!H(!BC(N!'&!N(M(*&T!C&*+,!T&V(,!T,&S(?'C1!!
• "V&!&B'!&a!'J,((!+O,((!'J+'!'J(!C'+'(!+DN!a(N(,+*!O&M(,D7(D'!CJ&B*N!T,&M6N(!6D?(D<M(C!a&,!,(D(V+H*(!(D(,O=!T,&S(?'C1!
• "J(!7+S&,6'=!&a!,(CT&DN(D'C!+,(!?&D?(,D(N!+H&B'!O*&H+*!V+,76DO1!
• 5&HC!+DN!'J(!(?&D&7=!+,(!H=!a+,!'J(!7&C'!67T&,'+D'!6CCB(C!?&D?(,D6DO!F+*6a&,D6+!N(C(,'!?&BD<(C1!!
• )BTT&,'!a&,!C&*+,!N(M(*&T7(D'!6C!+*C&!?*&C(*=!<(N!'&!?&D?(,DC!+H&B'!+6,!oB+*6'=1!
%&'(!)&*+,!
jBDN6DO!+DN!W('J&N&*&O=R!!
"J(!CB,M(=!V+C!BDN(,V,6e(D!H=!8,6OJ')&B,?(!$D(,O=!6D!&,N(,!'&!+CC(CC!?&77BD6'=!M6(VC:!H&'J!T&C6<M(!+DN!D(O+<M(:!+H&B'!B<*6'=>C?+*(!C&*+,!6D!F+*6a&,D6+kC!N(C(,'C1!!
@,&H&*C9=!I(C(+,?J!N(C6OD(N!'J(!oB(C<&DD+6,(!+DN!CB,M(=(N!M&'(,C!6D!'J(!)&B'J(,D!F+*6a&,D6+!T+D>A(C(,'!?&BD<(C!&a!I6M(,C6N(:!)+D!8(,D+,N6D&:!-7T(,6+*:!-D=&!+DN!q(,D1!!
/!'&'+*!&a!4342!'(*(TJ&D(!CB,M(=C!V(,(!?&**(?'(N1!!/!C'BN=!&a!'J6C!C6K(!=6(*NC!+!7+,O6D!&a!(,,&,!&a!rf>!\]!V6'J!+!2b]!N(O,((!&a!?&DdN(D?(!Yrf>!c12]!6D!(+?J!?&BD'=Z1!!!
-D'(,M6(VC!V(,(!?&DNB?'(N!6D!H&'J!$DO*6CJ!+DN!)T+D6CJ!V6'J!M&'(,C!&D!H&'J!*+DN*6D(!+DN!?(**!TJ&D(C1!!
"J(!CB,M(=!'&&9!T*+?(!H('V((D!A(?(7H(,!4b!'J,&BOJ!A(?(7H(,!4_:!0344!+DN!+O+6D!a,&7!5+DB+,=:!40!'J,&BOJ!5+DB+,=!4b:!03401!