Natalie Kortum - marketingmathgirl.com Brian Melinat - @BrianMelinat Social Media ROI Measurement “The Good, the Bad & the Ugly” • eMetrics Conference - Toronto • March 2012
May 10, 2015
Natalie Kortum - marketingmathgirl.com Brian Melinat - @BrianMelinat
Social Media ROI Measurement “The Good, the Bad & the Ugly”
• eMetrics Conference - Toronto • March 2012
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First company to hit $1M a day in online revenue
One of the first companies to launch online
support
First to sell complex configurable items
Leader in online frictionless
commerce from order to delivery
Dell’s Online Heritage: Critical Enabler
Early adopter of social media
One of the first to launch online
discussion forums
2 Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing
January 2008 Dell aligns organization for success
August 2006 Blog outreach expanded beyond tech Support
December 2006 Ratings and reviews launched on Dell.com
July 2006 Direct2Dell launched Today Direct2Dell exists in English, Spanish, Norwegian, Japanese and Chinese.
February 2006 Michael Dell asked Why don’t we reach out and help
bloggers with tech support issues?
January 2007 StudioDell launched Dell’s video and podcast site, with helpful tips and tricks. Eventually expanding this into the YouTube channel making sharing easier.
February 2007 IdeaStorm launched A voting based site allowing customers and others to submit ideas for Dell.
June 2007 Dell joined Twitter
EmployeeStorm launched Internal Blogs Launched for Employees.
October 2007 Michael Dell quoted in Business Week In response to Jeff Jarvis question around whether companies want to be part of the online conversation: ”My argument is you absolutely do. You can learn from them. You can improve your reaction time. And you can be a better company by listening and being involved in that conversation.”
November 2007 DellShares launched The first investor relations blog by a public company.
March 2008 Accepted Solutions launched on Community Dell France begins Online Community Outreach
May 2008 Dell Outlet achieved $0.5M in sales via Twitter
April 2008 Inside IT launched Blog focused on business customers, and Cloud Computing.
June 2008 Channel blog launched
January 2009 Dell Organizes into four customer focused business units
Spring 2009 Members of Community and Conversations deployed within each of the new Dell Business units
June 2009 $2M+ Sales via Twitter
2009 Dell TechCenter
June 2009 Global Twitter revenues of $6.5 M
December 2009 Huffington Post Blog
March 2010 Dell joins Sina Weibo in China
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Altimeter recognized Dell
with “Open Leadership Award for Innovation and
Execution”
Social Media & Community University (SMaC U) launched 5,000 team members trained by end of year
B2B pages on Facebook
Dell named the No. 1 most social brand
6 Awards for the Social Media Listening Command Center
June 2010 CAP Days launched In-person events for vocal online customers
December 2010 Social Media
Listening Command
Center launched
Over seven years of social media experience
3
2012
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat 3
KPIs/ Dashboards
Direct Attribution
Neural Net
Modeling
The Good
The Bad
The
Ugly
• Scorecarding/ tracking Social Media progression
• Strategic Modeling to understand Revenue impacts
4
• Comparison of Social Media to non-Social Media customers
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Easier Advanced
Global Marketing
Social Media Analytics usually start with basic tracking metrics
Social Media Analytics Phase I • Convincing the business that Social Media
participation is “valuable” or worthwhile
• Answering Exec question: “Why should we be investing in Social Media?”
• Intuitively, we know there is Business Value in:
– Engaging customers to develop relationships – Providing service/support via social channels – Listening to social for issue early detection – And more…
• As analysts, we need to provide quantified
insights
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http://trackandfieldathletesassociation.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/Track-Starting-Blocks.jpg
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing
These core Social Media metrics often provide the foundation in Social Media analytics
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Number of Fans and
Followers
Conversation Volume
Reach
Sentiment
Engagement
Traffic Delivered to Company
Website
Share of Voice
Trends Over Time
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing
Most companies today recognize the value of Social Media and are familiar with (and likely track) the core metrics
7
http://www.business2community.com/social-media/fortune-500-companies-increase-social-media-use-0275757 *Umass Dartmouth Study:
Corporate Facebook Pages
by Industry*
Number of
Companies
w/Facebook Pages
%
Aerospace and Defense 10/14 71%
Chemicals 9/17 53%
Commercial Banks 14/20 70%
Food Consumer Products 12/14 86%
Insurance: Property and Casualty (Stock) 11/16 69%
Motor Vehicles and Parts 7/16 44%
Specialty Retailers 25/28 89%
Telecommunications 12/15 80%
Utilities: Gas and Electric 11/22 50%
Fortune 500 332/500 66%
Corporate Twitter Accounts
by Industry*
Number of
Companies
w/Twitter
Accounts
%
Aerospace and Defense 12/14 86%
Chemicals 13/17 76%
Commercial Banks 15/20 75%
Food Consumer Products 13/14 93%
Insurance: Property and Casualty (Stock) 13/16 81%
Motor Vehicles and Parts 7/16 44%
Specialty Retailers 24/28 86%
Telecommunications 12/15 80%
Utilities: Gas and Electric 16/22 73%
Fortune 500 365/500 73%
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing 8 http://www.mining-technology.com/projects/platmin/platmin2.html Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing 9
Scorecard Example – Tracking Your Social Media Efforts
Consolidating data
on various core
Social Media metrics
in a regularly
reported “Scorecard”
can help a company
monitor/track its
Social Media activity.
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
KPIs/ Dashboards
Direct Attribution
Neural Net
Modeling
The Good
• Easy, fast and inexpensive
• Customer-centric
The Bad • Difficult to compare with non-Social Media activity
The
Ugly • Not tied to P&L metrics
• Scorecarding/ tracking Social Media progression
• Strategic Modeling to understand Revenue impacts
10
• Comparison of Social Media to non-Social Media customers
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Easier Advanced
Not tied to P&L
Global Marketing
Question Remains: “How does this impact my P&L?”
11
“So What?”
http://www.kpua.net/images/2006hoolaulea/crowd2_full.jpg Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing 12
Social vs Non-Social
Customers
Comparing Social Media Customers with Non-Social Media Customer Can Help Quantify Social Media Value
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
“Traditional” Business KPIs
Conversion Rate
Cost of Acquisition
Spend
Margin %
CLV (Customer Lifetime Value)
Etc…
Global Marketing
Example of measuring the value of a Facebook Fan
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Facebook Fan Not Facebook Fan
Company’s Customers
$1111 $888
$1111 -$888
Incremental Value of Facebook Fan*
Annual Spend *Numbers for illustrative purposes; not actual Dell figures
$223
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing 14
Direct Attribution has a big downfall
• Direct = All or Nothing
14 Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing 15
Direct Attribution has a big downfall
• Direct = All or Nothing
Traditionally Understated Traditionally Overstated
Social Media Coupons
Brand Campaigns Online Promotion/Referral
Events Sales
Corporate Social Responsibility Transactional Actions
15 Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
KPIs/ Dashboards
Direct Attribution
Neural Net
Modeling
The Good
• Easy, fast and inexpensive
• Customer-centric
• Dollarize impact • Easy to explain
The Bad • Difficult to compare with non-Social Media activity
• Overstates and Understates certain levers
The
Ugly • Not tied to P&L metrics
• Misrepresentation sometimes occurs
• Scorecarding/ tracking Social Media progression
• Strategic Modeling to understand Revenue impacts
16
• Comparison of Social Media to non-Social Media customers
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Easier Advanced
Not tied to P&L Easy to Explain
Introducing Neural Net Modeling
17 Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing
Social Media is only one of 400 variables considered.
18 Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Global Marketing
Human Brain Network
19 Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Direct Attribution understates the value of Social Media
$565
$223
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
Neural Net Direct Attribution
• Includes “word of mouth” influence
• More than twice as large as direction attribution
Re
ven
ue
imp
ac
t p
er
fan
pe
r ye
ar
20 Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
*Numbers for illustrative purposes; not actual Dell figures
How does social media compare to other investment options?
Sales Marketing
Demand Gen Pricing
Marketing Brand
Marginal Return on Investment
0.9 X 1.3 X 0.4 X 2.2 X
Social Media
4.1 X
If $1 M additional were available to invest, what’s the marginal ROI?
21 Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
*Numbers for illustrative purposes; not actual Dell figures
Global Marketing
Neural Net: Want to calculate your program’s ROI?
Ensure you are setup to have data that can last 2+ years. • Data retention plan • Categorization that will last over the long-term • Ensure Model-ready data. (Ask your Decisions Sciences org.) • Collect costs associated with your project
Confidential 22 3/25/2013 22 Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
KPIs/ Dashboards
Direct Attribution
Neural Net
Modeling
The Good
• Easy, fast and inexpensive
• Customer-centric
• Dollarize impact • Easy to explain
• Considers full impact (“assists”).
• Comparison against other investments
The Bad • Difficult to compare with non-Social Media activity
• Overstates and Understates certain levers
• Requires over two years of data.
• Difficult to explain
The
Ugly • Not tied to P&L metrics
• Misrepresentation sometimes occurs
• Very time-consuming and costly
• Scorecarding/ tracking Social Media progression
• Strategic Modeling to understand Revenue impacts
23
• Comparison of Social Media to non-Social Media customers
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Easier Advanced
Not tied to P&L Easy to Explain Costly
KPIs/ Dashboards
Direct Attribution
Neural Net
Modeling
The Good
• Easy, fast and inexpensive
• Customer-centric
• Dollarize impact • Easy to explain
• Considers full impact (“assists”).
• Comparison against other investments
The Bad • Difficult to compare with non-Social Media activity
• Overstates and Understates certain levers
• Requires over two years of data.
• Difficult to explain
The
Ugly • Not tied to P&L metrics
• Misrepresentation sometimes occurs
• Very time-consuming and costly
• Scorecarding/ tracking Social Media progression
• Strategic Modeling to understand Revenue impacts
24
• Comparison of Social Media to non-Social Media customers
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat
Easier Advanced
Not tied to P&L Easy to Explain Costly
Global Marketing 25 Confidential 3/25/2013
Questions?
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat 25
Global Marketing
Introducing SNAP Social Net Advocacy Pulse
Aggregated Metric
Drill-down and Uncover insights
Targeted Listening
Natalie Kortum & Brian Melinat 26
Thank You
Natalie Kortum - marketingmathgirl.com Brian Melinat - @BrianMelinat
For more information on Dell’s Social Media Services:
Please visit: www.dell.com/socialmediaservices
Or email: [email protected] (Dir. Social Services Sales)
and/or [email protected]