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Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description and Scaling Description and Scaling John Pomeroy John Pomeroy Canada Research Chair in Water Resources & Climate Change, Canada Research Chair in Water Resources & Climate Change, Centre for Hydrology, Univ Saskatchewan, Saskatoon Centre for Hydrology, Univ Saskatchewan, Saskatoon and collaborators and collaborators Tim Link (Univ Idaho), Danny Marks (USDA ARS), Tim Link (Univ Idaho), Danny Marks (USDA ARS), and Centre for Hydrology Researchers and Centre for Hydrology Researchers Tom Brown, Chris de Beer, Pablo Tom Brown, Chris de Beer, Pablo Dornes Dornes , Chad Ellis, Warren Helgason, , Chad Ellis, Warren Helgason, Nicholas Nicholas Kinar Kinar , , Gro Gro Lilbaek Lilbaek , Michael , Michael Solohub Solohub
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Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Aug 30, 2020

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Page 1: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description and ScalingDescription and Scaling

John Pomeroy John Pomeroy Canada Research Chair in Water Resources & Climate Change, Canada Research Chair in Water Resources & Climate Change,

Centre for Hydrology, Univ Saskatchewan, SaskatoonCentre for Hydrology, Univ Saskatchewan, Saskatoonand collaboratorsand collaborators

Tim Link (Univ Idaho), Danny Marks (USDA ARS),Tim Link (Univ Idaho), Danny Marks (USDA ARS),and Centre for Hydrology Researchersand Centre for Hydrology Researchers

Tom Brown, Chris de Beer, Pablo Tom Brown, Chris de Beer, Pablo DornesDornes, Chad Ellis, Warren Helgason, , Chad Ellis, Warren Helgason, Nicholas Nicholas KinarKinar, , GroGro LilbaekLilbaek, Michael , Michael SolohubSolohub

Page 2: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Snow AccumulationSnow Accumulation• Blowing Snow

Redistribution –parameterise inter-basin, inter-tile, intra-tile redistribution

• Intercepted Snow Redistribution – improve description of unloading, wind redistribution

• Snow Sublimation –parameterise and evaluate model representation from blowing, intercepted, & surface snow.

Page 3: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

SnowmeltSnowmelt• Improved Methods to

Estimate Short and Longwave Exchange

• Terrain Effects on Turbulent Transfer

• Forest Canopies –radiation effects

• Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on Energy Balance

Page 4: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Snow Snow -- Atmosphere ExchangeAtmosphere Exchange

SNOWPACK dU/dt

K↓ L↓K↑ L↑

QHQE

QG

Precipitation

Melt

QA

TsTi

• Longwave exchange at surface

• Shortwave penetration

• Windpumpingthrough porous structure

• Polythermal• Multiphase• Macropores

Page 5: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Incoming Longwave in MountainsIncoming Longwave in Mountains

0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1Vf

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Ts (°

C)

Percent increase in longwave irradiance due to terrain emission due to sky view factor (Vf) and surface temperature (Ts).

Air temperature is 0°C and the clear sky emissivity is 0.65

Page 6: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Psychrometric Outgoing Longwave Psychrometric Outgoing Longwave Formulation for SnowFormulation for Snow

-40-35

-30-25

-20-15

-10-5

05

1017-Feb 22-Feb 27-Feb 03-Mar 08-Mar 13-Mar 18-Mar

SST

C

irtcmodel

( ) ( )[ ]apa

asaaaas rLcT

rPTQQLTLWTT/)(

/,3

sat4

ρεσρσε

Δ++−+−↓

+=

Page 7: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

⎟⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛Ψ−⎟⎟

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛=

Lz

zz

uu

mm0

ln1* κ

Roughness & Stability over Roughness & Stability over Mountain SnowMountain Snow

Expected

Page 8: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

61 61.5 62 62.5 63

Day of Year

Flux

(W/m

^2)

Measured QH

Measured QE

Bulk transfer QH

(z0m = 0.001m)

Bulk transfer QE

(z0m = 0.001m)

Problems with Bulk Transfer over Problems with Bulk Transfer over Mountain SnowMountain Snow

Page 9: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

azimuth angle

elev

atio

n an

gle

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9

8570

5540

2510

50 100 200 250 300 350150

South Face Forest

azimuth angle

elev

atio

n an

gle x

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

8570

5540

2510

50 100 200 250 300 350150

North Face Forest

Slope Forest Slope Forest TransmissivityTransmissivity

τ a function of LAI,Foliage inclinationCrown coverageSlope,Aspect, Solar azimuth, Solar elevation

Page 10: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Radiation to Snowmelt Radiation to Snowmelt on 25on 25oo Forest Slopes, Forest Slopes,

Marmot Creek Research Marmot Creek Research Basin, AlbertaBasin, Alberta

Net Shortwave Radiation

Net Longwave Radiation

Net Allwave Radiation

Page 11: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Cold Region Hydrological Model Cold Region Hydrological Model CRHM CRHM

Page 12: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Modelling ApproachModelling Approach

Aggregated vs. Distributed

Page 13: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Granger Creek DischargeGranger Creek Discharge2002

Time [days]

5/01/02 5/09/02 5/17/02 5/25/02 6/02/02 6/10/02

Q [m

3 /s]

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0ObsAggregatedDistributed

2003

Time [days]

4/17/03 4/26/03 5/05/03 5/14/03 5/23/03 6/01/03 Q

[m3 /

s]0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5ObsAggregatedDistributed

Page 14: Snow Processes for Cold Regions Prediction: Description ...€¦ · radiation effects • Combined Forest Canopy and Slope Effect on ... K↓ K↑ L↓ L↑ Q H Q E Q G Precipitation

Next StepsNext Steps• Snow Unloading Study• Blowing snow parameterisation for CLASS• 3-D Blowing Snow – unsteady flow• Multi-layer snow – atmosphere model• Snow-atmosphere exchange parameterisation• Complex Terrain Forest Melt Model• Sub-grid distributions of accumulation, energy,

melt for complex terrain• CRHM basin modelling and interface to MESH