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Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch
11

Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Dec 22, 2015

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Page 1: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Snapshot of the Western Ontario DistrictDemographic overview 2015Prepared by: Tanya Couch

Page 2: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Age range of WOD credential holders in 2015

The average and median age of all WOD credential holders is 55.

The average age of non-retired credential holders is 51 (median age 52).

The average age of a Senior Pastor is 53 (median age 52).

62% of our credential holders are over 50 and 28% are over 65.

Under age 29

Age 30 - 39 Age 40 - 49 Age 50 - 59 Age 60 - 69 Age 70 - 79 Age 80 - 89 Over age 90

0

50

100

150

200

250

42

140

203

235

170

66

8

4%

14%

20%

23%

18%

13%

7%

1%

PercentAll Cre-dentials

Page 3: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Age of new WOD credential holdersBased on the age of new credential holders between 2010 and 2014

Since 2010: The average age of a new

WOD credential holder is 39 (median 37).

The average age of a reinstated credential holder is 48 (median 47).

The average age of those who Transfer in to the PAOC is 44 (median 46).

Under age 29

Age 30 - 39 Age 40 - 49 Age 50 - 59 Age 60 - 69 Over age 700

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

31%

24%23%

13%

7%

1%

Percent of new creds

Transferred in

Reinstated

Page 4: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

MCS FTE enrollement history Based on 1993 – 2014 statistics

1993-1

994

1994-1

995

1995-1

996

1996-1

997

1997-1

998

1998-1

999

1999-2

000

2000-2

001

2001-2

002

2002-2

003

2003-2

004

2004-2

005

2005-2

006

2006-2

007

2007-2

008

2008-2

009

2009-2

010

2010-2

011

2011-2

012

2012-2

013

2013-2

014

2014-2

015

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

463

506498

337

317

159

227

According to the 2014 Survey of cre-dential holders, 65% of respondents hold a 3 year diploma or bache-lor’s degree from a PAOC Bible Col-lege.

However, since 2007, only 51% of new credential holders have gone through a PAOC Bible College.

Page 5: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Age of credential holders leaving WODBased on the age of credential holders between 2010 and 2014

Since 2010:

The average & median age of those leaving WOD is 44.

The average age of those who pass into the presence of the Lord is 84

(median age 87.5).

Under age 29

Age 30 - 39 Age 40 - 49 Age 50 - 59 Age 60 - 69 Over age 700

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50Deceased

Dismissed

Non-renewed

Resigned

Transfer out

Page 6: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Growth of the PAOC since 1920Based on available PAOC records since 1920 and district conference reports

19

20

19

24

19

30

19

34

19

38

19

42

19

46

19

50

19

54

19

58

19

62

19

66

19

70

19

74

19

78

19

82

19

86

19

90

19

92

19

94

19

96

19

98

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

20

14

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

3,584

1172

1,0001,116 1,064

167 141

No. of Credential Holders

No. of Preaching Points, Satellites, Church Plants & Missional Initiatives

No. of Affiliated As-semblies

Ave. Attendance Size

Page 7: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Attendance size of a WOD churchBased on 316 Churches 2015

Under 5035%

51-9926%

100-19919%

200-3499%

350-4993%

500-9996%

Over 10002% 80% of WOD churches have

fewer than 200 people in their main worship service.

The average church attendance is 85, which falls within the median range of 51 – 99.

34% (108) of WOD’s 316 churches meet in a language other than English. 7 of those are over 200.

78% of new WOD churches affiliated since 2010 were founded by cultural language pastors.

Page 8: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Very effective39

14%

Moderately effective18870%

Not very effective44

16%

Leadership Discernment – 2013 ACLRBased on 265-270 responses

The state of the church and its effectiveness of reaching people in the community as reported on the 2013 ACLRs from WOD:

75% report thriving or growing84% report being very or moderately effective at reaching their community

Thriving31

12%

Growing16763%

Plateaued55

21%

In decline125%

Page 9: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Average Attendance and Population of CanadaBased on available attendance records since 1920 (includes estimates)

1920

1924

1930

1934

1938

1942

1946

1950

1954

1958

1962

1966

1970

1974

1978

1982

1986

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

Average Attendance

Canadian Population x 100

Page 10: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

WOD conversion and baptism trendsBased on 2002– 2013 reported ACLR statistics

The 11 trend shows a drop of 36% in the number of reported conversions in WOD since 2002.

PAOC experienced a 49% decrease nationally.

79% of WOD churches reported new believers in 2013.

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000Conversions

Water Baptism

Baptism in the Spirit

Page 11: Snapshot of the Western Ontario District Demographic overview 2015 Prepared by: Tanya Couch.

Spiritual & Theological Vitality – 2013 ACLR

Based on 272 responses

In WOD, over 16,000 volunteers (32% of regular attenders) serve alongside our pastoral leadership to make these ministries happen.

l According to the Barna Group, nearly 85% of people who make a decision for Christ do so between the ages of 4 and 14.

l Only 14% (about 1 in 7) of Canadian Christians read their Bible at least once a week.

Alpha

Financial Teaching

Sunday evening service

Senior's meetings

New believer's class

Other

Sunday School

Small Groups

Children's ministries

Youth ministry

Bible study

Prayer meeting

37

39

73

86

86

133

155

180

198

210

210

223

14%

14%

27%

32%

32%

49%

57%

66%

73%

77%

77%

82%