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SME Capital Structure the Dominance of Demand Factors

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  • 7/25/2019 SME Capital Structure the Dominance of Demand Factors

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    SME Capital Structure: The Dominance of Demand Factors

    By Kenny Bell and Ed Vos*

    Abstract

    SME capital structure behaviour is found typically to follow pecking order behaviour. However, the

    theoretical underpinnings of the pecking order theory are doubted in the case of SMEs as SME

    managers highly value financial freedom, independence, and control while the pecking order theoryassumes firms desire financial wealth and suffer from severe adverse selection costs in accessing

    external finance. Alternatively, the contentment hypothesis of Vos, et al (2007) contends the reason

    SMEs exhibit pecking order behaviour is the aversion to loss of control to outside financiers and the

    preference for financial freedom. This paper develops the capital structure predictions of thecontentment hypothesis, reviews the predictions of the tradeoff and pecking order theories for relevant

    variables, reviews the findings of existing SME capital structure studies, and provides originalempirical support for the contentment hypothesis using a survey of over 2,000 firms from Germany,

    Greece, Ireland, South Korea, Portugal, Spain, and Vietnam.

    Kenny Bell, Department of Finance, University of Waikato. Private Bag 3104, Hamilton, New

    Zealand. [email protected]

    *Correspondence to: Ed Vos, Department of Finance, University of Waikato. Private Bag 3104,Hamilton, New Zealand. [email protected]

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    SME Capital Structure: The Dominance of Demand Factors

    Introduction

    The dominant capital structure theories have presupposed firms act in such a way as to maximise the

    financial wealth of their shareholders. The pecking order theory assumes adverse selection costs are

    dominant in capital structure decisions and, due to information asymmetry, firms maximise value by

    choosing to finance investment internally, given available funds (Myers and Majluf (1984)). Theories

    predicting an optimal target capital structure balance the financial wealth enhancing aspects of debt,

    such as tax advantages (Modigliani and Miller (1958, 1963), and Kraus and Litzenberger (1973)), and

    control of agency costs to shareholders (Jensen and Meckling (1976)), against the financial wealth

    reducing aspects of debt, such as financial distress costs and agency costs to debtholders. Within these

    theories, financial wealth is the primary concern.

    However, it is doubted that the objective functions of small and medium sized enterprises

    (SMEs) are dominated by financial wealth maximisation. The reluctance to relinquish control and the

    desire for independence are oft cited examples of attitudes small firm owners exhibit (Bolton (1971),

    and Ang (1992)). Lifestyle factors are also considered important motivation for SME behaviour

    (LeCornu et al. (1996)). Diener & Seligman (2004) show relationships to be a primary determinant of

    ones happiness, while wealth only aids happiness up till basic needs are met. This suggests SME

    managers may be, in general, averse to substantial growth (Wiklund et al. (2003)) as maintaining a

    low, natural growth rate, or staying at a certain optimal size both allows them to meet their basic

    needs financially and maintain close relationships with customers and suppliers (Vos et al. (2007)).

    Thus, the aforementioned capital structure theories are likely to be unsuitable to explain the behaviour

    of SMEs.

    Previous studies of general small firm capital structure have presupposed small and medium

    sized enterprises to (predominantly) act in such a way as to maximise their financial wealth. A

    consequence of this presupposition is these studies have assumed that SMEs, in general, desire

    substantial growth and consequently have a desire for external finance (Beck et al. (2008), Cassar and

    Holmes (2003), Chittenden et al. (1996), Ramalho and da Silva (2009), Sogorb-Mira (2005), Hall et al.

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    (2004), and Michaelas et al. (1999)). The only exceptions to this we know of are Lucey and Mac an

    Bhaird (2006) and, to a far lesser extent, Degryse et al. (2009), and Psillaki and Daskalakis (2008).

    Lucey and Mac an Bhaird examine 299 Irish SMEs and find the desire for independence and control

    to be important in SME capital structure decisions while Degryse et al. (2009), and Psillaki and

    Daskalakis (2008) mention independence and control as a possible explanation of their finding related

    to profitability.

    As in Lucey and Mac and Bhaird (2006) we use a survey of over 2,000 SMEs covering 7

    countries, we examine the borrowing behaviour of privately held SMEs and aim to determine what

    factors, both behavioural and financial, influence the use of external debt financing for SMEs. The

    findings show SMEs prefer internal funds over debt, firm age is an important determinant of

    borrowing decisions, growth oriented firms use more debt to fund their growth, higher educated

    firms owners use less debt, and the effect firm size has on borrowing behaviour is predominantly

    related to demand factors, and not supply factors.

    This paper differs from Lucey and Mac an Bhaird (2006) in several important respects. Firstly,

    these authors utilise a relatively small and geographically concentrated sample (n=299), while this

    study uses over 2,000 SMEs from 7 different countries. Secondly, this study utilises the nonlinear

    tobit regression method which acknowledges the limited nature of the dependent variable in question.

    That is, conventional measures of leverage or financing lie in the interval [0, 1], with many firms

    showing nil debt, making the use of the standard linear regression model inappropriate. Thirdly, this

    study uses both profitability and reported obstacles to accessing financing as independent variables in

    the analysis, both of which are found to be important and are not included in Lucey and Mac an

    Bhairds (2006) paper.

    The theory in this paper is primarily based on the contentment hypothesis of SME financing

    offered in Vos et al. (2007). This hypothesis argues SMEs, in general, place a greater utility value on

    connections and relationships than financial wealth and exhibit financially content behaviour. The

    central prediction of this hypothesis relating to the capital structure of SMEs is, if given the

    unconstrained choice between external debt and internal funds, SMEs will, in general, choose not to

    utilise debt due to the preference for independence and control. As in Berggren et al. (2000), Lucey

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    and Mac an Bhaird (2006), and Vos et al. (2007), we relax the restrictive presumption that SMEs

    desire growth and allow growth orientation to be a determinant of the capital structure choices of

    SMEs in the development of a new capital structure theory.

    This paper reviews the findings of previous SME capital structure studies and reinterprets the

    results to show that, while SMEs tend to exhibit pecking order behaviour with respect to their capital

    structures, the theoretical underpinnings of the pecking order theory are unlikely to hold. The

    predictions of the contentment hypothesis (Vos et al. (2007)) are used as the basis of the development

    of a capital structure theory for SMEs.

    Using data on over 2,000 firms across 7 countries from the EBRD-World Bank Business

    Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey (BEEPS) 2004 survey, small firms are shown to

    exhibit financial contentment, a reluctance to relinquish control to outside financiers and,

    consequently, an aversion to debt. Within this survey, firm size is shown to proxy for differences in

    demand factors for debt, and not supply factors as the finance-gap hypothesis predicts. The data

    suggests SMEs follow a borrowing life cycle of around 30 years. Firms initially show signs of growth

    early in their life and subsequently show signs of financial contentment, presumably as the firm

    owners age and accumulate their desired amount of funds.

    We next further motivate the study in the literature and develop hypotheses relating the

    important explanatory variables to borrowing behaviour. Then we describe the data used in this study

    and the variables utilised or constructed from this dataset. After we briefly examine the univariate

    relations in this dataset, we discuss the regression methods used in this paper. Finally the results are

    presented to support the conclusions.

    Motivation

    Most prior studies of SME financing have concluded SMEs exhibit pecking order behaviour with

    regards to their financing (e.g. Cassar and Holmes (2003), Ramalho and da Silva (2009), Psillaki and

    Daskalakis (2008), Sogorb-Mira (2005), Berggren et al. (2000), Lucey and Mac an Bhaird (2006), and

    Michaelas et al. (1999)). However, the traditional pecking order theory relies on adverse selection

    costs, or asymmetric information, as the primary assumption underlying the theory (Myers and Majluf

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    (1984)). Further, this theory relies on firms desire for financial wealth maximisation as the primary

    driver behind their financial behaviour. This view ignores behavioural aspects and is highly unlikely

    to apply in the SME situation as SME managers are concerned with independence, control, and

    financial freedom (Bolton (1971), and Cressy (1995)), and are averse to significant growth (Vos et al.

    (2007), and Wiklund et al. (2003)). Further, it is doubted that information asymmetry is a problem for

    SMEs in the debt markets (Hyytinen and Pajarinen (2008), Vos et al. (2007), and Lucey and Mac an

    Bhaird (2006)). Thus, we believe, the assumptions underlying the traditional pecking order theory do

    not apply to the vast majority of SMEs. A new theory is required to explain this phenomenon.

    The contentment hypothesis, first offered by Vos et al (2007), stems from the assumption that

    those in small firms aim for utility or happiness maximisation, often at the expense of gaining wealth.

    The typical small firm is not painted as growth-cycle oriented (Beck and Demirguc-Kunt (2006)),

    where firms aim to grow ultimately to an IPO level (Berger and Udell (1998)), but as content with

    modest sustainable growth (Vos et al. (2007)). Those firms who desire substantial growth are the

    exception, rather than the rule. The central prediction of this hypothesis relating to the capital

    structure of SMEs is, if given the unconstrained choice between external debt and internal funds,

    SMEs will, in general, choose not to utilise debt due to the preference for independence, control, and

    financial freedom. The added value of this paper is that we empirically test this prediction of the

    contentment hypothesis of Vos, et al (2007).

    That happiness is important to SME managers has been examined in the economics literature

    and touched on in the psychology literature. Levesque et al. (2002) develop a dynamic utility

    maximising model to explain why some people choose to be self-employed or be in employment.

    Their paper was based on ideas from Douglas and Shepherd (1999) who, following Baumol (1990),

    Gifford (1993), and Eisenhauer (1995), characterise entrepreneurship (a term they use to be

    synonymous with the control of a privately held firm) to be a utility-maximising response. This is in

    stark contrast to the classical economic view that an entrepreneur is one who assembles factors of

    production to satisfy the needs and wants of others for a financial profit. Indeed, Schindehutte, Morris,

    and Allen (2006) show, using in-depth psychological interviews, entrepreneurs are more concerned

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    with psychological aspects of entrepreneurship such as peak performance, peak experience, and flow,

    compared with extrinsic rewards such as money. Their results suggest we should place less emphasis

    on small business as a mode of wealth generation and economic growth and more emphasis on

    entrepreneurship as a mode of happiness generation.

    In the conceptual framework employed for this paper, we assume there is typically disutility

    of debt for the managers of small firms. Small business managers should value the option to manage

    their operations and debt limits the ability to do this. Debt could be viewed as a nuisance and a limit to

    the financial flexibility and control of the firm (Cressy (1995)). Due to tax advantages of debt in

    almost all countries, the use of debt is conventionally viewed as a path to value creation in a firm.

    However, the tax benefits to debt are outweighed by the wealth and non-wealth related utility costs

    of debt (Vos and Forlong (1996)). An implication of the contentment hypothesis is debt carries a

    disutility value and this disutility comes from both financial and nonfinancial aspects of applying for

    and carrying debt. Debt is viewed by SME managers as a necessary lesser evil, required to fund new

    investment or regular operations only when internal funds are limited. A generalisation of the

    hypothesis is: SME managers who perceive other utility benefits as an indirect result of utilising debt

    will be more inclined to make use of debt. These managers are more willing to sacrifice control and

    freedom (usually temporarily) to fund regular operation and new investment; a growth-oriented

    creative entrepreneur would, for example, take on debt to fund product development. Further, some

    managers, such as aging family firm owners, will be more averse to debt than others, as they will

    place a higher utility value on financial freedom. This provides the framework for the hypothesised

    effects of the relevant variables discussed below. Table I shows the findings of 10 previous SME

    capital structure studies and our hypotheses are motivated by the results contained within. The

    dependent variable of interest in this paper is external debt as a proportion of total financing of new

    investment. Thus, the results relating to the most comparable dependent variable from each of the

    previous studies are reported.

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    Table I

    Summary of Previous SME Finance Studies

    This table shows the signs of the reported relationships in the multivariate regression results from Ramalho and da Silva

    (2009), Degryse et al. (2009), Sogorb-Mira (2005), Hall et al. (2004), Chittenden et al. (1996), Michaelas et al. (1999),

    Lucey and Mac an Bhaird (2006), Beck et al. (2008), Psillaki and Daskalakis (2008), and Cassar and Holmes (2003)

    respectively. Independent variables not included in a specific study are left blank. The primary focus of this paper is on the

    use of external debt for new investment. Thus, the most comparable dependent variables from these studies are reported. *

    denotes significant at the 10% level, ** denotes significant at the 5% level, *** denotes significant at the 1% level.

    Author(s)

    Ramalho

    and da Silva

    (2009)

    Degryse et

    al. (2009)

    Sogorb-Mira

    (2005)

    Hall et al.

    (2004)

    Chittenden et

    al. (1996)

    Countries

    Studied Portugal

    The

    Netherlands Spain

    Belgium,Germany,

    Spain, Ireland,

    Italy, TheNetherlands,

    Portugal, UK UK

    Dependent

    Variable

    Long term

    debt ratio

    Long term

    debt ratio

    Long term debt

    ratio

    Long term

    debt ratio

    Long term

    debt ratio

    Non-debt tax

    shields

    Negative Positive*** Negative***

    Tax Rate Negative*** Negative***

    Collateral or

    Asset

    Structure

    Positive* Positive*** Positive*** Positive*** Positive***

    Firm Size Positive *** Positive*** Positive*** Positive*** Positive**

    Profitability Negative*** Negative*** Negative*** Negative Negative***

    Growth Positive* Positive*** Positive*** Positive Positive

    Age Negative Positive Negative***

    Liquidity Negative***

    Reported

    financing

    accessobstacles

    Closely helddummy

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    Author(s)

    Michaelas etal. (1999)

    Lucey and

    Mac an

    Bhaird(2006)

    Beck et al.(2008)

    Psillaki and

    Daskalakis(2008)

    Cassar andHolmes (2003)

    Countries

    Studied UK Ireland 48 countries

    Greece,

    France, Italy,

    Portugal AustraliaDependent

    Variable

    Long term

    debt ratio

    Long term

    debt ratio

    Bank financing

    ratio Debt ratio

    Long term

    debt ratio

    Non-debt tax

    shields

    Negative

    Tax Rate Negative

    Collateral or

    Asset

    Structure

    Positive*** Negative*** Positive***

    Firm Size Positive*** Positive Positive*** Positive** Positive***

    Profitability Negative*** Negative*** Negative***

    Growth Positive*** Negative Positive Positive Positive

    Age Negative*** Negative*

    Liquidity

    Reported

    financingaccessobstacles

    Positive***

    Closely helddummy

    Negative

    Firm size and manager/owner separation

    In all previous SME capital structure studies, firm size has been found to be positively related to the

    leverage of small firms. The tradeoff theory predicts a positive relationship between leverage and firm

    size as larger firms tend to be more diversified and incur lower financial distress costs (Warner

    (1977)). Conventionally, firm size has been assumed to be negatively related to information opacity

    (Berger and Udell (1998)). Thus, the traditional pecking order theory predicts a positive relationship

    between firm size and leverage as larger firms incur less adverse selection costs. However, there is

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    some doubt in the literature that firm size is related to informational opacity amongst SMEs. Hyytinen

    and Pajarinen (2008) examine credit rating disagreements using the method of Morgan (2002) and

    show information asymmetry is unrelated to the size of Finnish SMEs, when controlling for firm age.

    Further it is arguable that, due to increased complexity of the operations of larger firms, financiers

    incur higher assessment costs when considering financing large firms. Any relative gains from

    financing large firms over small, for a given creditworthiness, would then have to come from

    economies of scale. It is unclear if the gains from economies of scale do in fact outweigh the higher

    assessment costs and no study we have encountered directly addresses this issue. Note that both the

    expected effects related to the tradeoff and pecking order theories rely on size as a proxy for

    financiers perceived creditworthiness of a firm. Thus, if creditworthiness is controlled for in a capital

    structure study, these theories would be silent on the predicted effect of firm size on leverage.

    We provide an alternative explanation for the role of size. In a firm where managers and

    owners are separate, the objective function of the firm is likely to be better approximated by the

    maximisation of owners wealth compared with closely held firms. The objective function of closely

    held firms is more complicated as managers and owners are the same people (LeCornu et al. (1996)).

    Other personal benefits are considered in formulating the goals of closely held firms. Due to higher

    manager/owner separation, larger firms should typically utilise more debt to maximise owners utility

    via wealth maximisation while smaller, more closely held, firms will be less inclined to utilise debt

    due to the undesirable personal effects debt has. Closely held firms will have lower levels of growth

    desire (Wiklund et al. (2003)) and require less financing, causing them to make less use of debt. Thus,

    our first two hypotheses:

    H1:Firm size is positively related to the use of external debt and leverage.

    H2:

    The level of manager/owner separation (closeness) is positively (negatively) related to the

    use of external debt and leverage.

    Curiously, the only study reported in Table I that does not find a significant positive

    relationship between firm size and leverage is Lucey and Mac an Bhaird (2006) which includes a

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    dummy variable indicating whether or not a firm is closely held, showing that the idea that size is a

    proxy for manager/owner separation, and this is turn affects leverage, is worthy of investigation.

    Profitability

    Profitability has been found to be negatively related to leverage in previous SME financing studies. In

    the tradeoff framework, higher profitability improves the creditworthiness of a firm (lowers financial

    distress costs) and thus a positive relationship between profitability and leverage is predicted (Jensen

    and Meckling (1976)). This effect is clearly not dominant. The traditional pecking order theory

    predicts a preference for internal funds over debt. More profitable firms have higher levels of retained

    earnings and are better able to fund investment out of internal funds and thus will utilise lower levels

    of leverage.

    The prediction of the contentment hypothesis related to profitability is identical to that of the

    pecking order theory. However, the preference for internal funds over debt derives from the idea that

    debt reduces firms financial flexibility and the happiness of the decision makers, rather than the

    selection of lower cost financing. Thus, we present the hypothesis:

    H3:

    Profitability is negatively related to leverage and the use of external debt.

    Owner age and firm age

    Table I

    shows previous capital structure studies which include firm age as an independent variable

    typically find a negative relationship. Firm age is often thought of as a proxy for creditworthiness in

    the literature (Hyytinen and Pajarinen (2008), and Wiklund, Baker, and Shepherd (2008)). Older firms

    are more likely to have developed relationships with banks which are important in lending

    assessments (Petersen and Rajan (1994), Cole, Goldberg, and White (2004), and Cole (1998)). Thus,

    as financial distress costs are lower for older firms, the tradeoff theory would predict a positive

    relationship between firm age and leverage. Likewise, the pecking order theory would predict a

    positive relationship as longer, improved lending relationships reduces adverse selection costs.

    Wiklund et al. (2008) show the odds of firm survival increase with firm age for the first 7 years of

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    operation, but at a decreasing rate, suggesting most of the creditworthiness gains are received early in

    the life of the firm. Also, older firms have a longer opportunity to accumulate retained earnings,

    reducing the need for debt if internal funds are preferred. Under this aspect, the pecking order theory

    would predict a nonlinear relationship between firm age and debt. Note that neither the pecking order

    nor the tradeoff theory predict any relationship between owner age and leverage, when controlling for

    firm age, as these theories assume financial wealth maximisation to be the objective function of the

    firm and owner age has no bearing on this.

    The contentment hypothesis presents a different story. Again, the hypothesis makes a similar

    prediction to that of the pecking order theory with different underlying assumptions. As firm owners

    age, they are likely to more highly value financial freedom. Older, wiser, individuals are more likely

    to be less concerned with gaining wealth and more concerned with financial independence and control

    (Vos et al. (2007)). Thus, our hypothesis relating to owner age is:

    H4:SME owner age is negatively related to the use of external debt and leverage.

    The relationship between firm age and external leverage is, as with the pecking order theory,

    initially positive. As firms improve their credit reputation and lending relationships those seeking debt

    are better able to obtain financing on favourable terms. The relationship subsequently becomes

    negative as firms accumulate internal funds.

    H5:Firm age is positively related to the use of external debt and leverage up till a certain age.

    Firm age is subsequently negatively related to the use of external debt. This suggests

    empirical studies should investigate a quadratic relationship.

    When data is only provided on the age of the firm, we encounter the confounding effects of

    omitted variable bias, as firm age and owner age are interrelated. Firm age can be used as a proxy for

    owner age but care must be taken with interpretation.

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    Growth

    Past firm growth has typically been found to be positively related to leverage in previous SME studies.

    Financial distress costs are greater for firms with growth opportunities as growth opportunities

    represent an intangible asset. Thus the tradeoff theory predicts a negative relationship between growth

    opportunities and leverage. The pecking order theory is somewhat ambiguous on its predictions

    relating to growth. Firms with a higher potential for growth, requiring new investment, are more

    likely to exhaust internal funds, suggesting a positive relationship between growth and leverage

    (Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999)). However, growth opportunities are very difficult to value for

    outsiders, causing informational asymmetries to be more severe which would suggest a negative

    relationship between growth and leverage.

    However, neither of these theories make any mention of firms attitudes towards growth as

    important. Within conventional theories, growth is implicitly assumed to be desirable as this typically

    increases wealth. Further, there has been much empirical research which suggests a substantial

    proportion of small firms are content with modest growth (Davidsson (1989), Kolvereid (1992), Cliff

    (1998), Wiklund et al. (2003), and Vos et al. (2007)). Wiklund et al. (2003) suggest growth aversion is

    prevalent amongst SMEs as the positive atmosphere of the small firm may be lost in growth. The

    classical economic view would label this as irrational and presume that wealth maximization is the

    goal of the firm. We label this as evidence of utility based decision making worthy of praise. These

    ideas imply managers of those firms who are growth oriented are likely to be less concerned with the

    freedom limiting aspects of debt compared with the managers of non-growth firms. Growth oriented

    firms will view debt as a necessary means to finance the growth of their firm. Thus, our hypothesis:

    H6:Growth orientation is positively related to the use of external debt and leverage.

    If no relationship is found between growth orientation and the use of debt, this may provide

    evidence of poor access to finance for small, growth oriented firms. The indications from previous

    SME studies are that there is no evidence to suggest the existence of a finance gap with the exception

    of Beck et al. (2008) who examine 48 both developing and developed countries. These authors found

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    financing access to be related to the level of institutional development suggesting the hypothesised

    finance gap may only exist in less developed countries.

    Education

    Previous SME capital structure papers have been silent on the potential effects of education on the use

    of debt. This is one of the contributions of this paper. More educated SME managers are likely to be

    better able to recognise the tax advantages to debt and thus the tradeoff theory would predict a

    positive relationship between education levels and the use of debt. It is arguable that more educated

    SME managers would be able to reduce informational asymmetries or may appear to be more

    creditworthy to potential financiers, causing a reduction in adverse selection costs. Thus, the pecking

    order theory would also predict a positive relationship.

    However, more educated individuals may show more signs of financial contentment as they

    are wiser and better able to recognise what is valuable to them in the long term (Diener and

    Seligman (2004), and Vos et al. (2007)). They would gain higher utility from financial freedom,

    relationship building, and exercising caution in decision making and consequently would make less

    use of debt. Thus, our hypothesis:

    H7:Education is negatively related to the use of external debt and leverage.

    Financing access obstacles

    Beck et al. (2008) use the World Business Environment Survey (WBES) to examine the financing

    behaviour of small firms across 48 countries. A distinctive characteristic of this survey was its

    inclusion of a question asking firms to report how severe access to financing was to the operation and

    growth of their firm. Given all firms desire external financing equally, this would predict a negative

    relationship between the level of the financing obstacle and the use of external debt as firms reporting

    access to financing as an obstacle are likely to have experienced a denial of financing. Those not

    reporting financing as an obstacle would not have experienced such a denial and would show a higher

    use of financing. This relationship applies both to the pecking order and the tradeoff theories.

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    However, the contentment hypothesis predicts that a large proportion of firms do not desire

    external financing. Indeed, Beck et al (2008) find a positive relationship between the reported level of

    financing obstacles and the use of bank financing. If firms desire debt financing, they are obviously

    more inclined to report problems accessing financing. Thus we offer the hypothesis:

    H8:

    Reported obstacles to the access to financing are positively related to the use of external

    debt and leverage.

    Gender

    Gender is largely irrelevant to the conventional capital structure theories. We leave the reader to

    hypothesise relationships between gender and the level of financial distress costs, agency costs to debt,

    or adverse selection costs.

    We are motivated, within the contentment framework, by work by Barber and Odean (2001)

    who find men to exhibit overconfident behaviour, compared with women, in common stock investing.

    Males, in their study, have shown signs of lower desire for peace and contentment, compared with

    women. We hypothesise a similar relationship may be true in the small business arena. A higher

    proportion of male SME managers may have an overzealous growth orientation (funded with debt)

    and thus our hypothesis:

    H9:Female SME managers make less use of external debt than male SME managers.

    Note that several studies have shown women to be discriminated against in credit markets

    (Coleman (2000), Verheul and Thurik (2001), and Orser, Riding, and Manley (2006)) A close

    examination of the econometric methods employed in these studies is required to assess if this

    observed gender effect is related to demand or supply factors. Our hypothesis is based on a lower

    demand from women but future research should aim to make a distinction between demand and

    supply factors relating to gender.

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    Data

    5.1

    Survey used

    This study utilises data from the EBRD-World Bank Business Environment and Enterprise

    Performance Survey (BEEPS) 2004 covering 4,453 firms across Germany, Greece, Ireland, Portugal,

    South Korea, Spain, and Vietnam.

    This survey is conducted by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD)

    and the World Bank. The primary purpose of the survey is to provide information as to the constraints

    on business development and operation, especially for small firms; ninety percent of the surveyed

    firms had less than 250 employees. The survey has been conducted in 1999, 2002, 2004 and 2005.

    Regularly, the survey covers countries in the Eastern European Bloc; however, the 2004 survey was

    conducted for these non-transition (developed) countries for direct comparison of the business

    environments between developing and developed countries. In this paper, however, we utilise the

    survey to test the validity of the contentment hypothesis for small firm borrowing behaviour in

    developed countries. Valid tests of the contentment hypothesis require an examination of a business

    environment where firms have substantial financial choice and an industrialised setting is the most

    appropriate for this task. As this hypothesis is most applicable to privately held SMEs, government

    owned firms, foreign owned firms, publicly listed firms, bank owned firms, privatised (ex state owned)

    firms, subsidiaries, firms with sales or fixed assets greater than 50,000,000, firms with more than

    250 employees, and firms operating for more than 75 years are excluded from the analysis. After

    these exclusions, 3,458 observations remain.

    The sample structure for this survey is designed to be self-weighted, thus we utilise equal

    weightings of observations in our analysis (Synovate (2005a)).

    The survey is limited in that it does not include accounting data. Interviewees are asked to

    estimate the levels of some accounting data, such as the value of sales and fixed assets, but the level

    of debt is not included and thus a leverage ratio cannot be calculated. However, firms were asked

    what proportion of their past years new investment was financed from each of a variety of sources.

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    The dependent variable utilised in this study is thus the share (percentage) of a firms financing for

    new investment from borrowings from local private commercial banks, borrowings from foreign

    banks, borrowings from state-owned banks, borrowings from money lenders, and credit card

    borrowing. This sum is referred to as external debt. A limitation of this variable is it only

    encompasses increases in leverage; it does not allow any observations of reductions in leverage. Of

    the 3458 included firms, 2,054 firms reported on the variables included in this paper. Thus, 2,054 is

    the number of observations included in the multivariate regression analysis in this paper. Table II

    shows number of included observations in each country and descriptive statistics.

    Table II

    Descriptive Statistics

    The sample includes 3455 firms from Germany, Greece, Ireland, Portugal, South Korea, Spain and Vietnam in 2004. External debt is the

    sum of borrowing from local private commercial banks, borrowing from foreign banks, borrowing from state-owned banks (including

    development banks), borrowing from money lenders or other informal sources other than family and friends, and credit card borrowing.

    Other variable definitions are provided in

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    TableA 1. Government owned firms, foreign owned firms, publicly listed firms, bank owned firms, privatised (ex state owned) firms,

    subsidiaries, firms with sales or fixed assets greater than 50,000,000, firms with more than 250 employees, and firms operating for more

    than 75 years are excluded. The statistics calculated in this table utilise 2,054 observations with non-missing data for all variables included

    in the regression analysis in this paper.

    Panel A: Selected Statistics by Country

    Country Germany Greece Ireland PortugalSouth

    KoreaSpain Vietnam

    Total /Sample

    Average

    Number of

    observations837 241 182 87 71 338 298 2054

    Mean proportionof external debt

    for new

    investment

    21.47% 10.81% 32.59% 17.01% 20.80% 21.56% 11.40% 19.54%

    Estimated Sales(000)

    2,568 2,059 3,722 956 4,108 3,496 571 2,458

    Growth Firm

    Index0.64 0.84 1.16 0.33 1.58 0.66 0.63 0.73

    EducationMeasure

    127.4 173.6 212.8 149.1 231.8 123.8 166.4 150.0

    Panel B: Full Sample Statistics

    Variable

    Proportion

    of externaldebt for

    newinvestment

    EstimatedSales

    (000)

    GrowthFirm

    IndexClose ROA

    Firm

    Age(Years)

    EducationMeasure

    Female

    Mean 19.54% 2,458 0.73 0.879 3.374 14.7 150.0 0.26

    Median 0% 750 0 0 1 11 140 0

    Maximum 100% 35,000 4 1 495 75 300 1

    Minimum 0% 15,000 0 0 -19 3 0 0

    StandardDeviation 31.88% 5,351 0.939 0.33 17.486 12.0 71.3 0.44

    Table A1 shows a list of the variables utilised in this study with definitions. The survey is

    publicly available and this list is both intended to inform the reader as to the variables used in this

    paper and for potential future research ideas.

    Important variables not included in the survey include intangibles, proportion of liquid assets,

    age of the primary owner, leverage and any credit rating.

    Non-response bias is a very real possibility for studies using this survey. Other potential

    biases include:

    The interview typically takes an arduous ninety minutes of time. Firm decision makers who

    view debt as a nuisance possibly also view a ninety minute survey as a nuisance and may be

    underrepresented. Our hypotheses predict typical SME decision makers to view debt as a

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    nuisance and consequently use less debt. Thus this effect is likely to bias the results against

    our hypotheses.

    The stated purpose of the survey is to better understand constraints that hinder the growth of

    business and, as a consequence, owners that feel financially hindered may be overrepresented.

    Our hypotheses are most relevant to those firms that have financial freedom, or are not

    financially hindered so this effect is also likely to bias the results against our hypotheses.

    Decision makers of rapidly growing firms may be too busy for a survey and may be

    underrepresented. Our hypotheses are most relevant for those firms that are not growth-

    oriented and thus this effect may bias the results in favour of our hypotheses. However, as

    discussed in section Error! Reference source not found., a substantial proportion of small

    firms are not growth-oriented. Indeed, Vos et al (2007) show less than 10% of SMEs in the

    UK aim for rapid growth; further, firms that opt for rapid growth are the most likely to feel

    financially hindered and thus have a desire to participate in this survey. Thus we expect the

    effect of this bias to be small.

    The survey only includes firms currently operating that were in business at the time of the

    survey and had been in business for at least three years. Thus, our results may suffer from

    survivorship bias. For example, managers of firms initially founded to be a temporary

    operation that subsequently did not survive may have a different attitude to debt than

    managers of firms founded as a going concern.

    Variables included in this study

    Firm size

    The three common measures of firm size, number of employees, total assets and total sales are, in

    some way, measured in the BEEPS 2004 survey. The survey provides classifications into three size

    categories based on the number of employees. Small firms are defined to be those with less than 50

    employees, medium firms are defined to be those with 50-249 employees, and large firms are those

    with 250 to 10,000 employees (however, firms with 250 or more employees are excluded from this

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    study). Respondents were asked to estimate their firms total sales. The data is provided in 13 size

    categories (10,000 20,000 for example) and the midpoint of the given category is taken to gain an

    estimate of total sales in this analysis. Total assets is a more difficult variable to obtain from this

    survey. Respondents were asked to estimate the replacement value of their fixed assets (land,

    buildings, and equipment). Like total sales, this measure is provided in size categories and the

    midpoint of the given category is taken to gain an estimate of total assets in this analysis. This

    measure is somewhat weak in that it does not include the value of intangible assets and this problem is

    particularly acute for firms with growth opportunities which are substantial intangible assets. As the

    assets measure does not include intangibles and the employees measure is provided in just two

    categories, we use estimated sales as our primary measure of firm size.

    Manager/owner separation

    Respondents were asked to state if the primary owners of their firm were also the managers. A

    dummy variable, , is constructed to indicate if a firm is closely held or not.

    Profitability

    Two measures of profitability are available in the survey. The percentage margin that a firms sales

    price exceeds material inputs and labour costs is provided. Clearly this is not a complete measure ofprofitability, however, a firm with higher margins is likely to be more profitable. An estimate ofoperating costs is provided, categorised in the same fashion as fixed assets and total sales. This allows

    the more commonly used measure, return on assets (ROA), to be estimated. Profit is estimated as thedifference of the estimate of sales and the estimate of operating costs. The estimated replacement

    value of fixed assets is used as the value of assets in the calculation of ROA. Using only fixed assets

    in these calculations yields many extreme values of ROA due to the exclusion of intangible assets. To

    control for these extreme values the variable is split into three groupings (see

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    Table A 1 for definitions of these variables): ROA (negative), ROA (Core), and ROA (High). These

    variables allow us to effectively estimate a piecewise linear function of ROA. As ROA is more

    commonly used in the literature, we employ this (in piecewise groupings) as the primary measure of

    profitability in this study.

    Age

    Firm age is provided in the survey; however, this survey does not provide information as to the age of

    the primary owners. Thus, it is difficult to separate the negative effect on the use of debt due to aging

    owners and the positive effect on the use of debt due to better creditworthiness. The effect of aging

    owners is likely to be strongest later in the life of the owner and, presumably, later in the life of the

    firm. The effect of developing creditworthiness is likely to be strongest early in the life of the firm, as

    the firm gains a credit history and a reputation (Wiklund, Baker, and Shepherd (2008)). Thus a

    quadratic relationship between the use of debt and firm age can be investigated. To avoid the

    confounding effect of extreme values of firm age which almost certainly do not coincide with owner

    age, firms that have been in operation for more than 75 years are excluded (40 observations were

    excluded after other sample exclusions).

    Creditworthiness

    Creditworthiness is an important control variable as it aids in controlling for a firms access to

    external debt financing. However, the BEEPS 2004 survey has little direct information on

    creditworthiness. Respondents were asked if their firms financial statements are checked and

    certified by an external auditor. Firms choosing to have their financial statements audited are likely to

    do so knowing their financial statements will show strong creditworthiness. This self-selection effect

    allows us some measure of creditworthiness from this survey.

    Firms were asked to report if they have any payments overdue (by more than 90 days) to

    utilities, taxes, employees or material input suppliers. A variable, , is constructed as the

    amount overdue to all of these creditors as a percentage of sales. Although this variable gives us a

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    21

    direct measure of creditworthiness (or lack thereof), it has limitations. Firstly the survey responses are,

    by nature, self-reported. There may be some managers who are too embarrassed to admit, even in an

    anonymous interview, to having payments overdue. Secondly, the given categories do not include

    lending delinquencies, which are a better indicator of lending creditworthiness. And thirdly, having

    payments overdue to utilities, taxes, employees or material input suppliers is likely to increase the

    desire for bank or other lending financing. Firms with overdue short term debt payments are likely to

    attempt to take on longer term loans to fund the short term overdue payments. As the presence of

    overdue payments to utilities, taxes, employees or material input suppliers may increase the desire for

    borrowing, it is unclear what the dominant relationship (if any) between the variable and the

    use of external debt.

    Growth

    Several variables in the survey are indicators of growth orientation. A growth firm index is created

    from four characteristics indicating a firm to be growth oriented. Respondents were asked if they had

    undertaken one of the following initiatives over the last 36 months: developed successfully a major

    new product line/service, upgraded an existing product line/service, agreed to a new joint venture with

    a foreign partner, and obtained a new product licensing agreement. The index is the number of yes

    responses out of the possible four. Clearly over any 36 month period a substantial number of non-

    growth firms will answer yes to some of these questions. Even non-growth firms develop new

    products and upgrade existing products in ever changing market places. Product development is often

    necessary to simply keep up with competition and maintain a level of sales. Despite a number of non-

    growth firms being captured by this index, this variable still provides a proxy for growth orientation

    as it will capture a much larger proportion of growth oriented firms compared with non-growth firms.

    Respondents were asked if they were members of a business association or a chamber of

    commerce. If a firm is a member of a business association they are likely to be both growth oriented

    and have more connections to financial institutions. This variable is thus a combined measure of

    growth orientation and financing access.

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    Growth in sales is a commonly used measure of firm growth in the literature. This is included

    in the BEEPS 2004 survey. However, the growth firm index measure is preferred for two reasons.

    Firstly, the growth in sales measure was not reported for a substantial number of firms, resulting in a

    loss of included observations. Secondly, the growth firm index better captures growth intention, rather

    than simply historical growth success. Firms developing or upgrading products are demonstrating the

    intent to grow, while firms with growth in sales simply demonstrate success in achieving growth. The

    intent to grow is what we wish to observe when examining capital structure behaviour.

    Financing access as an obstacle to operation and growth

    In the BEEPS 2004 survey, respondents were queried on their perception of access to financing as an

    obstacle to the operation and growth of their firm. The included options were no obstacle, a minor

    obstacle, a moderate obstacle, and a major obstacle. A scale variable from 1-4 is used in this study.

    Education levels

    Data on the education levels of the primary decision makers are not directly available in the BEEPS

    2004 survey. However, firms were queried on the proportions of their workforce that have gained

    various levels of education. To the extent that decision makers education levels are related to the

    education levels of their firms workforces, this will provide a proxy for the level of education of the

    primary decision makers. An education index is created as a weighted average of the proportions of

    employees gaining a vocational qualification, a secondary school qualification and university

    education (weights are detailed inTable A1).

    New investment

    The level of new investment is an important control variable as it controls for the need for financing.

    The best proxy provided in the dataset is the amount spent on new fixed assets. To remove the size

    effect from this variable, the amount spent on new fixed assets is divided by firm size (estimated

    sales). Using this variable strengthens any conclusions relating to growth orientation. Growth oriented

    firms may simply use more external debt as they must make higher levels of investment. Thus

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    23

    controlling for the level of investment allows us to investigate more clearly the relationship between

    growth orientation and the use of external debt. Furthermore, as the included variable is fixed assets,

    this variable also controls for the presence of potential collateral.

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    Univariate relations

    Table III

    Correlation Matrix of Variables

    The sample includes 3455 firms from Germany, Greece, Ireland, Portugal, South Korea, Spain and Vietnam in 2004. External debt is the

    sum of borrowing from local private commercial banks, borrowing from foreign banks, borrowing from state-owned banks (including

    development banks), borrowing from money lenders or other informal sources other than family and friends, and credit card borrowing.

    Other variable definitions are provided in

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    TableA 1. Government owned firms, foreign owned firms, publicly listed firms, bank owned firms, privatised (ex state owned) firms,

    subsidiaries, firms with sales or fixed assets greater than 50,000,000, firms with more than 250 employees, and firms operating for more

    than 75 years are excluded. Correlations are calculated using all observations with non-missing data for both variables of concern. *=

    Significant at 10%. **= Significant at 5%. ***= Significant at 1%.

    Auditor

    Business

    Association Closely Held Education Sales

    ROA

    (Core) Female

    Growth

    Firm

    FinancingAccess

    Obstacles External DebtFirm Age 0.187*** 0.233*** 0.049*** -0.169*** 0.201*** -0.053*** -0.038** 0.040** -0.081*** 0.079***

    Auditor 0.136*** -0.001 0.004 0.249*** -0.045** 0.075*** 0.121*** -0.004 0.115***

    Business Association 0.008 -0.061*** 0.165*** 0.062*** -0.067*** 0.081*** 0.022 0.108***

    Closely Held -0.105*** -0.064*** -0.010 0.010 -0.027 -0.037** -0.010

    Education 0.008 -0.004 0.041** 0.137*** -0.052*** -0.037*

    Sales 0.007 -0 .058*** 0.149*** -0.014 0.123***

    ROA (Core) -0.006 -0.036* 0.046** -0.084***

    Female-0.016 -0.006 -0.003

    Growth Firm 0.093*** 0.111***

    Financing Access

    Obstalces

    0.056***

    Table III shows the linear correlations amongst the main variables used in this paper. The univariate

    relationships with external debt are generally found to be as predicted by the contentment hypothesis.

    Higher educated firms use less debt, larger firms use more debt, more profitable firms use less debt,

    growth firms use more debt, and firms reporting access to financing as an obstacle use more debt. The

    expected signs are found for the correlations between our measure of female presence and external

    debt, and between closely held firms and external debt. However, these relations are not shown to be

    statistically significant. Larger firms are, however, found to be less likely to be closely held, providing

    support for the explanation behind H1 and H2. Firm age is found to be significantly positively related

    to external debt, suggesting the creditworthiness advantages to firm aging are dominant in this dataset.

    Multivariate analysis is, of course, required to confirm the suggested relationships.

    Multivariate method

    In our regression analysis, the effects of relevant explanatory variables on the use of external debt for

    new investment are investigated. The dependent variable, external debt, is by nature censored below

    by 0 and censored above by 100. That is, a firm cannot fund any less than 0% of its new investment

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    with external debt or any more than 100% of its new investment with external debt. Some firms who

    fund 0% of their new investment with external debt will have a lower propensity to borrow than

    others. In this dataset, firms sitting on the fence regarding whether or not to use debt will appear to

    have the same propensity to borrow as those firms who strongly dislike debt. We wish to investigate

    the relationship between this propensity and the explanatory variables. Tobit regressions allow

    consistent estimation of this relationship. That is, we assume there is a latent (unobservable) variable

    such that,

    0, 0

    , 0 100

    100, 100

    and,

    (1)

    where is the country and industry specific intercept, are coefficients to be estimated, is a

    vector of the characteristics of firm , and is a normally distributed error term. Country and industry

    dummy variables are included to control for country and industry level fixed effects. Initially, linear

    relations are investigated, with two exceptions. The variable is estimated in a piecewise manner

    in order to control for, but still include, extreme values of return on assets, and a quadratic term of the

    variable is also included. The initial regression equation estimated is thus,

    log

    .

    Next the same regression is estimated with interaction terms added.

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    We wish to investigate how the desire for growth affects the aversion to debt. To do this, the

    index variable is interacted with the variable. This interaction is

    used to investigate how profitable growth oriented firms utilise debt relative to profitable non-

    growth firms. If growth firms less strongly reduce their use of debt as they become more

    profitable, compared with non-growth firms, this will provide evidence to suggest growth

    oriented firms are less averse to debt than non-growth oriented firms.

    An interaction between size and financing access obstacles is investigated. This allows us to

    examine how size affects the external debt use of firms for differing levels of reported

    financing obstacles. If the access to finance is related to the size of a firm, we would expect

    larger firms, who also report financing obstacles, to be better able to expand their external

    debt than smaller firms. Beck et al. (2008) find this interactive relationship to be significant

    using a dataset containing many developing countries, however, this study investigates if the

    same relationship holds in the developed business environment.

    Robustness tests are performed using the available alternative measures of the explanatory

    variables.

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    Results

    Table IV

    Determinants of the Use of External Debt

    The sample includes 3455 firms from Germany, Greece, Ireland, Portugal, South Korea, Spain and Vietnam in 2004. Government owned

    firms, foreign owned firms, publicly listed firms, bank owned firms, privatised (ex state owned) firms, subsidiaries, firms with sales or fixed

    assets greater than 50,000,000, firms with more than 250 employees, and firms operating for more than 75 years are excluded. Proportion

    of external debt for new investment is the sum of borrowing from local private commercial banks, borrowing from foreign banks, borrowing

    from state-owned banks (including development banks), borrowing from money lenders or other informal sources other than family and

    friends, and credit card borrowing. Other variable definitions are provided in Error! Reference source not found..

    Observations with missing values for any included variables are omitted; 2054 observations remain after these exclusions. All regressions

    are tobit regressions, with left censor value 0 and right censor value 100, and include country and industry fixed effects. Huber/White robust

    standard errors are used in all regressions. p-values are reported in parentheses. *= Significant at 10%. **= Significant at 5%. ***=

    Significant at 1%.

    (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)

    log 9.402***(0.000)

    9.263***(0.000)

    9.229***(0.000)

    11.897***(0.001)

    1.520(0.818)

    0.911

    (0.890)

    0.788

    (0.905)

    0.530

    (0.936)

    2.032

    (0.760)

    -2.502(0.662)

    -2.332

    (0.684)

    -2.350

    (0.680)

    -2.354

    (0.683)

    -1.770

    (0.754)

    -3.449**(0.017)

    -3.417**

    (0.018)

    -3.874**

    (0.029)

    -3.434**

    (0.017)

    -3.649**

    (0.012)

    -0.021(0.819)

    -0.023

    (0.799)

    -0.022

    (0.806)

    -0.021

    (0.822)

    -0.041

    (0.649)

    0.770(0.194)

    5.002**(0.040)

    5.021**(0.040)

    5.008**(0.040)

    4.919**(0.044)

    -0.011

    (0.304)

    -0.317**

    (0.041)

    -0.319**

    (0.040)

    -0.316**

    (0.041)

    -0.301**

    (0.052) 0.0076**

    (0.034)0.0076**(0.033)

    0.0075**(0.035)

    0.0071**(0.046)

    -5.8E-05**(0.028)

    -5.8E-05**

    (0.027)

    -5.7E-05**

    (0.030)

    -5.4E-05**

    (0.039)

    5.571**(0.026)

    5.613**

    (0.024)

    4.891

    (0.112)

    5.656**

    (0.023)

    5.848**

    (0.019)

    19.475***(0.002)

    19.291***(0.002)

    19.427***(0.002)

    19.120***(0.002)

    19.831***(0.001)

    -0.086**(0.026)

    -0.087**

    (0.026)

    -0.087**

    (0.026)

    -0.087**

    (0.025)

    -0.087**

    (0.026)

    6.732***(0.001)

    6.787***

    (0.001)

    6.756***

    (0.001)

    23.462

    (0.215)

    -1.732(0.759) -1.898(0.737) -1.928(0.733) -1.720(0.761) -1.767(0.754)

    94.769***

    (0.005)

    93.105***

    (0.005)

    92.929***

    (0.005)

    91.665***

    (0.005)

    91.611***

    (0.005)

    9.176*(0.065)

    9.281*

    (0.063)

    9.273*

    (0.063)

    9.145*

    (0.067)

    6.903

    (0.173)

    0.134(0.759)

    0.138

    (0.751)

    0.136

    (0.754)

    0.134

    (0.757)

    0.193

    (0.653)

    0.628(0.662)

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    log

    -1.220

    (0.371)

    35.173(0.492)

    17.332(0.739)

    111.212*

    (0.086)

    log

    10.019***

    (0.000)

    log

    9.267***

    (0.001)

    log

    10.618***

    (0.000)

    log

    3.019

    (0.455)

    Number of Observations 2054 2054 2054 2054 2054

    Country and Industry Fixed Effects

    Included?

    Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

    Table IV reports tobit regressions showing how firm characteristics affect the level of use of external

    debt. Specification (1) shows the initial specification discussed in the previous section. When omitting

    any interactions between the explanatory variables we find broad support for our hypotheses. Firm

    size is positively related to the use of debt. It is, however, unclear whether the size effect is due to

    higher levels of manager/owner separation for larger firms or the conventionally expected lower

    levels of creditworthiness for smaller firms. As the level of manager/owner separation is somewhat

    controlled for with the dummy variable, we are inclined to conclude larger SMEs are indeed

    more creditworthy. Another possibility, however, is firm size proxies for an unobserved dimension of

    growth orientation. Support is found for H1, however little support is found for H2.

    External debt is significantly negatively related to the core measure of profitability:

    . Firms with more internal funds available, or more financial freedom, will choose to

    utilise less external debt for financing, providing support for H3. This finding contradicts the

    prediction of the tradeoff theory which would predict more profitable firms to have better

    creditworthiness, lower financial distress costs and thus utilise higher levels of debt.

    The expected quadratic relationship between firm age and external debt is observed however

    insignificant. As previous studies had found an age effect (Michaelas et al. (1999), Lucey and Mac an

    Bhaird (1999), and Chittenden et al. (1996)) we were motivated to investigate higher order

    polynomial relationships between firm age and the use of external debt. A significant quartic

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    30

    relationship between firm age and external debt was discovered. The implied univariate relationship

    between firm age and the use of external debt (ignoring censoring effects), for the relevant sample

    range, is graphed below.

    Figure 1

    The hypotheses in section Error! Reference source not found. relating to firm age and

    owner age were formulated on the assumption that both firm age and owner age were observed.

    However, in this survey, owner age is not available. As firm age and owner age are related, this must

    be kept in mind when interpreting the observed effects in this dataset.

    The observed relationship shows firms increasing their use of external debt up till age 14,

    moderately decreasing their use of external debt from age 14 to age 28, moderately increasing their

    use of external debt from age 28 to age 56, and strongly decreasing their use of external debt from age

    56 onwards. Figure 1 shows two distinct up-down cycles in this relationship. What is observed, we

    believe, is two separate small business life cycles. In the first cycle firms initially increase their use of

    debt as they develop creditworthiness and a reputation. Subsequently, as the owners age and become

    more financially content they make less use of debt. After around 30 years in business, the firm is sold

    to younger owners, or perhaps passed down to the next generation, and the cycle repeats. Clearly a

    more direct test of this relationship would be required for any conclusive finding, however, the

    observed result in this study certainly indicates this effect is worthy of further investigation. If the life

    cycle explanation holds, we find support for H5 and suggestive support for H4.

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    External debt

    Firm Age

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    A significant positive relationship between the index and external debt is

    observed. Those who show signs of growth orientation do indeed make higher use of debt, providing

    no evidence to support the finance gap hypothesis. The result shows growth oriented firms managers

    are happy to choose to utilise external debt to finance their growth, supporting H6. Conversely, it

    shows those firms that do not show signs of growth intention do not choose to utilise debt. This effect

    may simply be due to a lack of access to external debt for non-growth firms, causing them not to grow.

    The literature on growth intention has shown otherwise in the past (Wiklund et al. (2003)) and we

    wish to confirm this with this dataset. To do so, the following tobit regression is run:

    .

    Tobit regression is used as the growth firm variable is censored below by 0. Control variables

    included are firm size, profitability, a dummy indicating whether or not the firm is closely held, firm

    age, education, and a dummy variable indicating whether or not the firms financial statements are

    audited. The estimated equation is:

    5.42 0.234

    0.000.00

    P-values are given below the estimates in parentheses. If non-growing firms were not growing

    due to a lack of access to external finance, we would expect non-growth firms to report higher levels

    of financing obstacles. The opposite is found. Non-growth firms are found to report significantly

    lower levels of financing access obstacles than growth firms showing it is not a lack of access to

    external debt that causes firms (in general) not to grow, it is the growth orientation of the firm, further

    confirming findings in the literature.

    Firms that are members of business associations or chambers of commerce show significantly

    higher use of external debt. This effect is likely due to a combination of improved access to external

    debt, improved access to favourable borrowing terms and an increased desire for debt.

    Firms with higher educated employees (and presumably managers) are found to utilise

    significantly less external debt. A tradeoff theory prediction would state that higher educated

    individuals would be better able to recognise tax benefits of debt and consequently make higher use of

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    debt. However, the observed result suggests more educated individuals better recognise what truly is

    valuable, such as financial freedom, and, as a result, use less external debt. We find support for H7.

    As in Beck et al (2008), we find financing access obstacles to be significantly positively

    related to the use of external debt, supporting H8. The interpretation of this result provided in Beck et

    al (2008) is those who make use of external debt feel more financially constrained as a result. No in

    depth explanation is provided in their paper but we offer a simple one. Those firms who have

    problems relating to gaining access to financing are also those who have a desire for financing. A

    substantial proportion of the firms not reporting access to financing as an obstacle are those that also

    do not desire external financing. Thus, those who report access to financing as a problem tend to

    borrow more.

    No significant relationship is found between gender and the use of external debt. However,

    the sign of the coefficient is as predicted by H9.

    The

    variable simply acts as a control for the need for debt and shows

    statistical significance and the expected sign.

    The coefficient on the variable is positive and significant. SMEs with audited

    financial statements have lower levels of informational opacity (Hyttinen & Pajarinen (2008)) and,

    thus, lenders are better able to assess their creditworthiness. The observed relationship shows, due to

    self-selection of auditing in many cases, those with audited financial statements are indeed more

    creditworthy, and more likely to make higher use of external debt. The coefficient on the

    variable is unhelpful in explaining the level of external debt use and shows the unexpected sign

    showing this may be a poor measure of creditworthiness in this dataset.

    In regression (3), the interaction term between profitability and the growth firm index variable

    is found to be unhelpful in explaining the level of external debt use. The negative effect of increasing

    profitability is no different for growth firms and non-growth firms. What this suggests is growth firms

    have similar level of aversion to debt compared with non-growth firms. Growth firms, thus, utilise

    debt when in need of finance and, when they have the choice (they are profitable), they are just as

    inclined to choose internal funds over debt, compared with non-growth firms. The sign of the variable,

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    if we were to interpret it, suggests growth firms are less averse to debt compared with non-growth

    firms.

    In regression (4), an interaction term is included between firm size and reported financing

    access obstacles. The sign on this interaction term suggests the size effect reduces as firms report

    higher levels of financing obstacles. This term however, is unable to separate the size effect due to

    increasing levels of manager/owner separation and increases in growth orientation, from the classical

    finance-gap size effect which says larger firms are more creditworthy. Furthermore, this interaction

    term does not show statistical significance in this regression equation. Thus, regression (5), interacts

    firm size with dummy variables representing the four possible responses to the question relating to

    access to financing. Firms either reported access to financing as no obstacle, a minor obstacle, a

    moderate obstacle, or a major obstacle, to the operation and growth of their business. These

    interaction terms measure the effect firm size has on the use of external debt for the firms included in

    each of the four financing obstacle categories separately.

    Firstly, the size effect is positive and highly significant for those firms who report access to

    financing as no obstacle. Those firms who report financing access as no obstacle to the operation and

    growth of their business can reasonably be assumed to have borrowed their desired amount of debt.

    That is, supply side problems are not relevant for these firms and any differences in the use of debt are

    due to demand differences. The observed magnitude of the coefficient then indicates the magnitude of

    the size effect due to demand differences across firms of different sizes. Firms who report access to

    financing as a minor or moderate obstacle show a positive and statistically significant size effect of a

    similar magnitude to that found for firms who report access to financing as no obstacle. There are

    clearly some financing supply constraints placed on these firms and differences in the use of financing

    across different firm sizes may not simply be due to demand differences. If, however, larger SMEs

    were less subject to these supply constraints we should observe a larger size effect for those firms who

    report access to financing problems, compared with the size effect for those firms who report no

    obstacle. The only assumption we need to make here is that demand differences across firms of

    different sizes do not differ across the access to finance obstacles categories. Finally, and perhaps

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    most interestingly, the size effect for those firms reporting access to financing as a major obstacle is

    statistically insignificant. This finding shows, amongst the firms with the most severe problems

    accessing finance, being larger does not allow better access to external debt. Further, this finding does

    not need to be qualified by the assumption that demand differences across firms of different sizes do

    not differ across the access to finance obstacles categories.

    Unreported robustness tests are summarised as follows:

    Using firm size as measured by the estimate of fixed assets or the employee size

    categories produce similar results to those obtained using estimated sales. However, the

    statistical significance on the ROA variable disappears due to the endogeneity between

    the ROA variable and the fixed assets variable.

    Using percentage margin as the measure of profitability produces similar results to those

    obtained using ROA.

    Using growth in sales over the past 36 months produces insignificant results relating to

    this variable. However, as discussed earlier, the growth firm index is considered a better

    measure of growth orientation which we wish to measure.

    Conclusions

    This paper has shown SMEs exhibit pecking order behaviour, consistent with previous studies on

    small firm capital structure. However, the assumption of adverse selection costs being dominant in

    capital structure decisions is shrouded in doubt. The contentment hypothesis contends the preference

    for internal funds over external funds, in the SME case, is due to the reluctance to relinquish control

    over the firm to outside financiers and contentment with sustainable, organic growth. While this

    theory makes some similar predictions to that of the traditional pecking order theory, some notable

    differences are present, and empirically supported.

    Firstly, the pecking order theory is somewhat ambiguous on its predictions relating to

    indicators of firm growth. On the one hand, growing firms require more funds for new investment and

    are more likely to exhaust internal funds and require debt financing (demand factor). On the other

    hand, growth opportunities are difficult to value for potential external financiers, increasing

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    information asymmetry and adverse selection costs, and thus predicting growing firms to be less able

    to access debt financing (supply factor). The contentment hypothesis, however, posits that adverse

    selection costs are not dominant and it is demand factors that are most important in capital structure

    decisions. Those who chooseproduct development and expansion, and exhaust internal funds, choose

    to utilise higher levels of external debt which, for the majority of firms in the developed environment,

    is readily available.

    More educated individuals should be better able to overcome information asymmetry,

    reducing adverse selection costs, and reducing the aversion to external financing. Thus the traditional

    pecking order theory predicts a positive relationship between education and the level of external debt.

    This paper shows education levels to be negatively related to external debt levels on a statistically

    significant basis. The contentment hypothesis explanation of this relationship is more educated SME

    owners are wiser, less concerned with financial wealth, and more concerned with retaining control of

    their businesses. This relationship requires education to proxy for personal values and a future SME

    study should query respondents on their personal values relating to financial wealth, as well as their

    education, to better understand this relationship.

    Our results concerning reported access to financing obstacles confirm demand factors are

    dominant in borrowing decisions. We find those reporting higher access to financing obstacles (those

    who desire financing) to use more debt, showing those who demand financing do indeed make more

    use of financing, even when they perceive problems accessing financing. The pecking order theory is,

    alternatively, based on supply factors being dominant in borrowing decisions.

    Finally, the pecking order theory predicts supply constraints are worse for smaller firms. We

    find the size effect to be statistically insignificant for those firms reporting access to financing as a

    major obstacle. We also find the size effect for those reporting access to financing as minor or

    moderate obstacle to be no larger than the size effect for those reporting access to financing no

    obstacle. These results indicate that supply constraints for smaller SMEs are no worse than the supply

    constraints for larger SMEs.

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    The findings in this paper call for a change in the way SMEs are studied in general. The

    intentions and objectives of small firms being studied must be considered to be heterogeneous in

    future research. Surveys of small business should, by default, include questions on the growth

    intentions and objectives of surveyed firms. Surveys of small business finance should include

    questions relating to the perception of external debt and equity, and how these perceptions relate to

    the control of the business. Owner age should also be examined as important in future surveys.

    The findings in this paper suggest that debt carries disutility for SME managers. A future

    study should aim to separate the disutility of debt due to increases in financial risk from the disutility

    of debt due to non-financial factors, such as loss of control.

    An investigation into supply constraints is required that differs between those growth-oriented

    firms who deserve to grow and those growth-oriented firms that do not deserve to grow and

    examines the differences in their access to finance. That is, one should examine how firms with

    genuinely positive NPV investment projects differ in their access to external finance compared with

    firms with negative or ambiguous NPV investment projects. An apparent finance gap reported by

    managers overconfident in the quality of their investments may simply be a result of financiers

    correctly assessing the quality of SME investment prospects.

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