SMART 2020 ICT and climate change - opportunity or threat? Chris Tuppen Chief Sustainability Officer
SMART2020: ICT & Climate Change. Opportunities or Threat? Chris Tuppen, BT
Nov 19, 2014
This is Chris Tuppen\'s presentation at the it@cork Green IT - Reduce CO2 Raise Profits Conference on Nov 26, 2008. Chris is the Director of Sustainable Development for BT
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SMART 2020
ICT and climate change
- opportunity or threat?
Chris TuppenChief Sustainability Officer
Carbon budget for
avoiding max temp rise of 2oC (ie preventing dangerous climate change) = 450ppm CO2
= 50% reduction
= 80% reduction UK= - 3.5% pa= - 8.5% pa / £ GDP
Cumulative CO2 Concentrations
Carbon budget for 50% chance of avoiding max temp rise of 2oC (ie preventing dangerous climate change) = 450ppm CO2
= 50% reduction
= 80% reduction UK= - 3.5% pa= - 8.5% pa / £ GDP
+ 3.5% pa
Irreversible non-linear tipping point
“…. a great movie and lousy science.”George Monbiot
www.smart2020.org
SMART 2020 Objectives
STUDY AIM:
What is the ICT sector’s role in the transition to a low carbon economy, in terms of its own footprint and its ability to enable emissions reductions across the economy?
THREE KEY QUESTIONS:
1. What is the impact of the products and services of the ICT sector?
2. What is the potential impact if ICT were applied to reduce emissions in other sectors such as transport or power?
3. What are the market opportunities for the ICT industry and other high-tech sectors in enabling the low carbon economy?
SMART 2020: ENABLING THE LOW CARBON ECONOMY IN THE INFORMATION AGE
www.smart2020.org
ICT PLAYS A FUNDAMENTAL ROLE IN DRIVING GROWTH BY:
Enabling trade and commerce
Enabling travel and global
connectivity
Enabling productivity
Enabling value
creation
OVERVIEW
www.smart2020.org
SUPPORTING COMPANIES
SMART 2020: PARTICIPANTSSMART 2020 PARTICIPANTS
www.smart2020.org
OUT OF SCOPE: GAMING, AUDIO, VIDEO, MEDICAL EQUIPMENT
WITHIN SCOPE: PATHWAYS TO 2020
SCOPE
www.smart2020.org
ICT IMPACT: THE GLOBAL FOOTPRINT AND THE ENABLING EFFECT
SMART 2020 identified savings of 7.8 Gt CO2e that could be delivered
by ICT solutions in 2020 – FIVE times the sector’s footprint and 15% of global emissions.
www.smart2020.org
ICT’s DIRECT FOOTPRINT
> 2% global emissions - 830 Mt C02e (2007)
> Set to grow 6% each year until 2020
www.smart2020.org
PROJECTIONS TO 2020
The global ICT footprint by geography
Responsible for largest footprint share in 2020
www.smart2020.org
PROJECTIONS TO 2020
PCs remain largest contributor to emissions
The global footprint by sub-sector
www.smart2020.org
THE ENABLING EFFECT
IN 2020, ICT could enable reductions of 7.8 Gt CO2e
www.smart2020.org
DEMATERIALISATION
The substitution of high carbon products and activities with low carbon alternatives:
> Replacing face-to-face meetings with tele- and videoconferencing
> Remote working
> Paper with email/online billing
> CDs with online music
Total abatement potential of dematerialisation in 2020: 460 Mt CO2e
www.smart2020.org
SMART MOTORS
Total abatement potential of SMART motors in 2020: 970 Mt CO2e
Value: €68b
www.smart2020.org
SMART LOGISTICS Total abatement potential of SMART logistics in 2020: 1.52 Gt CO2eValue: €280b
www.smart2020.org
SMART BUILDINGS
Total abatement potential of SMART buildings in 2020: 1.68 Gt CO2e
Value: €216b
www.smart2020.org
SMART GRIDS
Total abatement potential of SMART grids in 2020: 2.03 Gt CO2e
Value: €79b
www.smart2020.org
SMART 2020 TRANSFORMATION
www.smart2020.org
> ICT is a high-impact sector in the global fight to tackle climate change
> The sector’s current contribution to GHG emissions of around 2% of the global total is set to double (0.83 Gt CO2e to 1.4 Gt) by 2020
> ICT could reduce global emissions by a significant amount through enabling reductions in other sectors (7.8 Gt out of 52 Gt business as usual in 2020, or 15% of total emissions)
> ICT’s pivotal role in monitoring, optimising and managing domestic and industrial energy usage could save nearly €600 billion in 2020
SMART 2020: KEY FINDINGS
An ICT Sector Target
2008
0.8 Gt
2020
BAU efficiency
BAU growth
Opportunity take up
1.4 Gt
2020
? Gt
The 2020 ICT
challenge
Bali Action Plan Decision 1/CP.13
….. launch a comprehensive process to enable the full, effective and sustainedimplementation of the Convention through ….. Cooperative sectoral approaches and sector-specific actions
http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2007/cop13/eng/06a01.pdf
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