Slide 1: Presentation on the Gold Coast Labour . Web viewSlide 1: Presentation on the Gold Coast Labour Market. This is a presentation given by Ivan Neville, Branch Manager Labour

Slide 1: Presentation on the Gold Coast Labour Market.

This is a presentation given by Ivan Neville, Branch Manager Labour Market Research and Analysis Branch on 17th March 2015.

Slide 2: Map of Gold Coast Employment Services Area and Tweed Heads

The Gold Coast ESA is made up of the Gold Coast LGA plus the Scenic Rim - Tamborine-Canungra SLA:

The population of the Gold Coast ESA makes up 97% of the Gold Coast SA4 region and as such this is the region we have used to gather our information.

The Gold coast SA4 is made up of the following 10 SA3s: Broadbeach - Burleigh Coolangatta Gold Coast - North Gold Coast Hinterland Mudgeeraba - Tallebudgera Nerang Ormeau - Oxenford Robina Southport Surfers Paradise

The new Employment region of Gold Coast includes the following- Gold Coast SA4- Kingscliff-Fingal Head SA2 - Tweed Head SA2- Tweed Head south SA2

Slide 3: Regional snapshot

Adult population

Growth 2008 - 2013 Medium age

Gold Coast 343,500 12% 38

Queensland 3,732,500 11% 36

Slide 4: Population growth strong

The population of the Gold Coast has been growing strongly with 12 per cent growth between 2008 and 2013. Growth is projected to increase by an average of 2.3 per cent per annum. According to the Queensland Government Statistical Office, the adult population will grow to 762,000 in that period.

Source: ABS, Estimated Residential Population, 2013; ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011; Qld Government Statistical Office

The Gold Coast population is projected to grow by an average of 2.3% per annum (Queensland 1.9% & Australia 1%).

Adult population expected to be approximately 762,000 by 2036

Slide 5: Population growth across all ages

The population in the Gold Coast region has been growing from 2003 to 2013 in all age groups.

Source: ABS, Estimated Residential Population, 2013

Slide 6: Over one third of new arrivals are from overseas

81,800 people of working age in 2011 in the Gold Coast & Tweed areas had moved to the area over the previous five years. Over the same period, 37,200 people (of working age in 2011) had moved from the area to elsewhere in Australia.

By far the most common origin was overseas (30,800 persons of working age in 2011).

The majority of people came from the following localities:Region WAPOverseas 30,800New South Wales (excluding Tweed) 16,200Brisbane 8,500Victoria 5,800

The majority of people who let moved to the following localities:Region WAPNew South Wales (excluding Tweed) 6,400Brisbane 7,100Victoria 4,600Logan 3,800

Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011

Slide 7: Strong jobs growth over last five years

Full-time employment accounts for 68 per cent of total employment in Gold Coast (69 per cent for Australia). Annual growth in employment was 15,700 (6 per cent) which was high compared with Australia (1 per cent).

The growth in jobs on the Gold Coast over the past 10 years has been predominately full-time. 84 per cent of all male jobs growth and 67 per cent of all female jobs growth was full-time.

Source: ABS, Labour Force, January 2015 (12 month averages)

Slide 8: Gold Coast internet vacancies growing

RegionYearly % change

(December 2013 –December 2014)

Number of vacancies

December 2014

Gold Coast 6.0% 3,000

Queensland 1 1.8% 23,100

Internet vacancies grew by 6 per cent or 3,000 vacancies, in the 12 months to December 2014. This was high when compared to the internet vacancies for Queensland (1.8 per cent).

Source: Department of Employment Vacancy Report, December 2014 (three month moving average)

Slide 9: The labour market is strengthening but is the unemployment rate really 4.6%?

The unemployment rate in January 2015 for the Gold Coast was 4.6 per cent in original terms. However, due to the data volatility often seen in regional statistics, using a 12 month average is recommended when using this data.

The unemployment rate for the Gold Coast using a 12 month average was 6.0 per cent for January 2015. This was an annual increase of 0.4 percentage points. The unemployment rate for Queensland rose by 0.3 percentage points to 6.5 per cent over the same period.

Source: ABS Labour Force, January 2015 (original data)

Slide 10: Labour force participation increasing…

Unemployment Rate Participation Rate

January 2015 Annual change January 2015 Annual

change

Gold Coast 6.0% 0.4% pts 67.3% 2.2% pts

Queensland 6.7%* 0.6% pts 65.9%* -0.4% pts

In January 2015, the unemployment rate in the Gold Coast was 6.0 per cent (12 month average), lower than the state unemployment rate (6.7 per cent (seasonally adjusted)). While the unemployment rate has risen in the past 12 months, participation on the Gold Coast has risen by 2.2 percentage points over the same period to stand at 67.3 per cent, above the state figure of 65.9 per cent.

Source: ABS, Labour Force, January 2015 (12 month average); ABS, Labour Force, February 2015 (seasonally adjusted)

Slide 11: …but so is youth unemployment

Region

Youth (15-24) labour forceEmployment to population

ratioUnemployment rate Annual growth Participation rate

Gold Coast 14.6% 1.8% pts 74.7% 63.8%

Queensland 14.0% 0.8% pts 70.8% 60.5%

Due to their lack of skills and experience, young people can be particularly vulnerable during a labour market downturn.

As at January 2015, the youth unemployment rate for the Gold Coast was 14.6 per cent, which was slightly higher than Queensland, 14.0 per cent. In the 12 months to January 2015, the participation rate for the Gold Coast increased by 7.4 percentage points to 74.7 per cent, which was higher than Queensland (70.8 per cent) and Australia (66.7 per cent).

Source: ABS, Labour Force, January 2015 (12 month averages)

Slide 12: …however, one in five of all unemployed people are out of work more than one year

Despite employment growing in the Gold Coast, long term unemployment is increasing. The number of people who have been unemployed for longer than 52 weeks grew by 68 per cent or by 1,600 to 3,900 individuals and accounts for 21 per cent of all unemployed people an increase from 14 per cent in January 2014.

In addition, it is now taking, on average, 37 weeks for job seekers to find work compared to 26 weeks in January 2014.

Source: ABS, Labour Force, January 2015 (12 month averages)

Slide 13: Major employing industries

The Retail Trade industry is the major employer in the Gold Coast area (13 per cent). This was followed by the Construction and Health Care and Social Assistance industries, both 12 per cent of total employment. Followed by Accommodation 9 per cent, Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 8 per cent, Manufacturing 7 per cent and Education and Training 7 per cent.

Source: ABS Labour Force, November 2014 (4 quarter averages)

Slide 14: Industry growth on the Gold Coast

In the 12 months to November 2014, total employment in the Gold Coast grew by 18,000. The greatest growth was in the Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, (4,900) industry, followed by Accommodation and Food Services, (3,900) and Health Care and Social Assistance (3,500) industries. This was followed by Manufacturing (2,700), Administrative and Support Services (2,300), Construction (1,400) and Education and Training (1,000).

In contrast employment in the Retail Trade industry fell by 2,400, Public Administration and Safety by 600 and Transport, Postal and Warehousing by 200.

Source: ABS Labour Force, November 2014 (4 quarter averages)

Slide 15: Most employment growth is in medium to higher skilled occupations

In November 2014, one quarter of locals were employed in lower skilled occupations, however, most growth over the past 5 years has been in higher skilled occupations. Professional occupations grew by 47 per cent (1,700) and Community and Personal Service Worker occupations grew by 46 per cent (1,100).

Source: ABS Labour Force, November 2014 (4 quarter averages)

Slide 16: The right training is important

There is a strong relationship between educational attainment and employment outcomes. For those aged 25 to 34 years in the Gold Coast, there were high unemployment rates for those who had completed Certificate I & II but did not complete Year 12 (14.1 per cent) and those who did not complete Year 12 without any further post school qualification (11.8 per cent).

Unemployment rates are lower for those who have completed a tertiary education at the Bachelor degree, Advanced Diploma and Diploma Level. This emphasises the importance post school education has in ensuring success in gaining employment. It should also be noted that employment outcomes are vastly better for those who have attained Certificate Levels III or IV than for those who have not completed Year 12 or only attained Certificate Levels I & II.

Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011

What are employers telling usSlide 17: More than one third of all local jobs are not advertised

Over one third (35 per cent) of all local vacancies are not advertised formally. This method of recruitment includes ‘word of mouth’ and a jobseeker approaching an employer directly.

The formal methods most commonly used include the internet and newspapers.

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, Gold Coast July 2014

Slide 18: Less competition when informal recruitment used

Generally there is less competition for job seekers in gaining employment when approaching employers directly and their chance of qualifying for an interview is greatly improved. There are only, on average, 6.6 applicants per vacancy when informal methods of recruitment are used compared with an average of 33.1 applicants per vacancy when an employer uses the internet or newspapers as the method of recruitment.

Average applicants per vacancy

Interviewed

All recruitment methods 24.2 5.6Newspaper or internet 33.1 6.1Informal methods only 6.6 2.1

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, Gold Coast July 2014

Slide 19: Why didn’t applicants get an interview?

In general, 82 per cent of all applicants in the Gold Coast area did not receive an interview when applying for jobs. The main reason was lack of relevant experience. This was regardless of the type or level of skill required for a job, 72 per cent for higher skilled jobs and 60 per cent for lower skilled jobs.

Qualifications are more important in higher skilled occupations, 41 per cent compared to 23 per cent for lower skilled jobs.

The job seeker’s application was more important in the case of lower skilled jobs, 33 per cent compared to 16 per cent for higher skilled jobs.

Soft skills appear to be equally important for all skilled occupations.

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, Gold Coast July 2014

Slide 20: Employability skills are essential

There were was range of general employability skills and personality traits that employers commonly viewed as essential for the position they recently recruited for.

Employability skills commonly considered essential included:- Interpersonal Skills- Basic Computer Skills- Customer Skills- Communication

Personality traits commonly considered essential included:- Attitude and Adaptability- Reliability- Presentation- Work Ethic

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, Gold Coast

Slide 21: Recruitment outlook is positive

One third (33 per cent) of employers in the Other Services industry are expecting to recruit in the next 12 months. This is followed by employers in Retail Trade (28 per cent), Construction (27 per cent), Health Care and Social Assistance (21 per cent), Accommodation and Food Services (20 per cent) and Manufacturing (19 per cent).

In contrast, one in ten (10 per cent) employers in the Retail Trade industry expect to decrease staff in the next 12 months. This is followed the Manufacturing industry (8 per cent).

Over all 21 per cent of all businesses in the Gold Coast region expected to increase staff and 4 per cent expected to reduce staff in the 12 months following the survey.

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, Gold Coast July 2014

Slide 22: Jobs employers are looking to fill

High skilled jobsChefs

Early Childhood (Pre-Primary School) Teachers

Aged and Disability Carers

Registered Nurse

Medium Skilled jobsChild Carers

Metal Fitters and Machinists

Lower skilled jobsWaiters

General Clerks

Sales Assistants (General)

Bar Attendants and Baristas

Checkout Operators and Office Cashiers

Receptionists

Fast Food Cooks

Housekeepers

Nursing Support and Personal Care Workers

Kitchenhands

Pharmacy Sales Assistant

Shelf Fillers

Dental Assistants

Truck Drivers

Source: Department of Employment, Survey of Employers’ Recruitment Experiences, Gold Coast July 2014

Slide 23: The Commonwealth Games are coming sparking construction projects and many other projects in the works.

Other development projects:- Road projects including the Bruce Highway upgrade - Refurbishment of Jupiter’s Casino- Redevelopment of Southport CBD and retail precincts such as Pacific Fair- Broadwater Foreshore stage 3- Construction of Jewel apartment complex- Ongoing Gold Coast health precinct development around new hospital

Source: Queensland Department of State Development, Infrastructure and Planning

Slide 24: Considerations

Labour supply• Will local residents have the required skills and experience in

areas of jobs growth to benefit from new opportunities?

What can the unemployed do to improve their prospects of gaining employment?• Work experience• Complete the right training – match to growth industries such as

Health Care and Social Assistance and Education and Construction• Use lower skilled jobs as a stepping stone • Approach employers directly.

Will jobs keep up with projected population growth?• Ensuring projects are initiated at a steady pace to alleviate

troughs in the labour market.

Slide 25: Further Information

More information on labour market conditions and other research on small areas can be found on these web sites

• LMIP www.employment.gov.au/LMIP

• Skill Shortages www.employment.gov.au/SkillShortages

• Regional Reports www.employment.gov.au/RegionalReports

• Australian Jobs www.employment.gov.au/australianjobs

• Job Outlook www.joboutlook.gov.au

• My Career www.mycareer.com.au

• Go Volunteer www.govolunteer.com.au

If you have any questions about the presentation please contact the Employer Surveys Section or Recruitment Analysis Section on:

Tel: 1800 059 439 or Email [email protected]

Thank you.