Smurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Smurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Key Investment Highlights
Focused market leader
Improving industry with robust outlook
Proven management team
Transformed business
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
IPO MilestonesObjectives Set
Expected FY ’07 EBITDA outcome
Industry leading EBITDA Margins
Defined Synergy Benefits
Increased target of €180 million
Debt Paydown
Net debt EBITDA in 3.25x to 4.25x range
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Smurfit Kappa GroupRe-positioned as a focused, industry leader
Ongoing business transformation
Shar
ehol
der v
alue
Medium-term growth drivers
• Sharpened business and product focus • €1bn of divestments and €0.5bn of acquisitions• Simplified corporate structure
• Created European market leader • Improved asset base• Synergy momentum
• Significant FCF generation• Accelerating debt pay-down• Increasing exposure to
higher growth markets
Time
2002-05:
2005-06:
2007-8:
today
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Focused European Industry LeaderEuropean Containerboard
Recycled containerboard
Balanced market in recycled containerboard
Rising recovered fibre costs +22% year-on-year
Inventories tight and product price momentum
KraftlinerMarket conditions generally good
- but rising input costs
White-top market strengthening
US imports major factor in H1 performance
Volumesm tonnes H1 ‘06 H1 ‘07 Change
Recycled 1,553 1,612 +3.8%
Volumes down 4% including closed facilities
Kraftliner 793 714 (10%)
Includes Facture impact
SKG Containerboard Volumes
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Focused European Industry LeaderEuropean Corrugated
Market leader in Europe
Good demand growth
Corrugated prices increasing
Short-term margin compression
Improved pricing in H2 and into 2008
113.6
100
103.6
112.4108.7
100
104
108
112
116
Dec '05 Jun '06 Dec '06 Jun '07 Jul '07
Volumesm sq metres H1 ‘06 H1 ‘07 Change
Corrugated 4,210 4,264 +1.3%
Excludes closed & sold operations
SKG Corrugated Pricing
Note – Point to point movements
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Solidboard & BoxboardBoxboard improving
Rising input costs – all grades
Competitive market conditions
Closures & rationalisation
Sacks & Sack kraftStrong pricing momentum in paper
Difficult market in converting
Bag-in-BoxContinued growth in bags and taps
Volumesm tonnes H1 ‘06 H1 ‘07 Change
Solidboard 402 367 (8.7%)
Boxboard 145 154 +6.2%
Sackpaper 64 63 (1.6%)
Bag-in-Box Bags 52 65 +25%
SKG Specialties Volumes
Focused European Industry LeaderSpecialties
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Leader in Latin America High growth markets
Strong market positions - high growth markets
Portfolio of businesses and markets
Sustained EBITDA contribution
Key component of SKG’s business model
Ongoing investments in region
67
93 97112
123
H1 '03 H1 '04 H1 '05 H1 '06 H1 '07
Latin American H1 EBITDA (US$m)
Volumesm tonnes H1 ‘06 H1 ‘07 Change
Containerboard 336 359 +6.8%
Corrugated 390 418 +7.2%
SKG H1 Volumes
Colombia (#1)
Mexico (#2)
Venezuela (#1)
Dom RepChile
Argentina
Sales by Country
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Integrated, demand-driven businessMarket Led
Fully integrated
Market led
Demand driven
Earnings qualitySmurfit Kappa Group | A Box Business
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
181
219229
254 254 260
10.4%
12.5%13.2%
14.5% 14.2% 14.2%
Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07
EBITDA Progression…despite significant cost increases
Quarterly EBITDA and Margin Progression (€m)
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
EBITDA ProgressionIndustry leading EBITDA Margins
Note: Quarterly data for Smurfit Kappa and SCA; half yearly data for Mondi GroupSource: Company data, SCA 2007 H1 Report, Mondi Group 2007 H1 Report
Comparative EBITDA Margins
12.4%12.2%
13.2%
14.5%14.2% 14.2%
12.1%11.9%
10.8%
10.2%10.4%
12.5%12.2%
13.7%
13.3%
9%
11%
13%
15%
Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07
SCA Packaging Smurfit Kappa Mondi Packaging
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Financial disciplinesFocus on Cash
Free cash flow generation
Disciplined working capital management
Judicious capital spend
Low cash taxes
Combined public and private equity disciplines
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Synergy ProgrammeAhead of Plan
Synergy Run Rate (€m)
95
180
146
124
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
2006 Target 2006 Run Rate 2007 Run Rate Revised TargetAs at June, 2007 Original Target €160m
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Capital Structure & Debt PaydownDelivering to Plan
€m Net debt to EBITDA
Net debt at December 31, 2006 (4,882) 5.5x
Free cash flow (37)
IPO proceeds 1,495
IPO costs (58)
Refinancing costs (74)
Other (49)
Net debt at June 30, 2007 (3,605) 3.6x
Net debt to total capitalisation 63%
EBITDA to net interest 3.4x
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17
1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10 Yr +
Well structured debt portfolio
High cost debt repaid
Cost of existing debt reduced c. €50 million over the facility’s life
No material near term maturities
Flexible covenant structure
SKG Debt Maturity Profile
€ m
Capital Structure & Debt PaydownDelivering to Plan
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
2007 H1 | SummaryDelivering to plan | IPO Milestones
Strong H1 performance – expected FY ’07 EBITDA outcome
Industry leading EBITDA margins
Sustained synergy progress
Continuing focus on debt paydown
€m Increase Y-on-Y
Revenue 3,625 +4%
Pre-Exceptional EBITDA 514 +28%
EBITDA margin 14.2% +2.7pts
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
European Industry Outlook- Industry Firsts
Creation of clear market leader
Unprecedented and broad-based capacity rationalisation
Step change to price psychology
Product prices and input costs reversing seasonal norms
Increasing barriers to entry
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Robust Industry FundamentalsDemand growth – Market in balance
2.6%2.3%
3.4%
1.9%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E
Con
tain
erbo
ard
dem
and
grow
th
European demand growthExpected demand growth of 10.2% to 2010
Capacity announced from ‘10 onwards
Prowell 650Mondi 470Hamburger 450
Total 1,570
Emerging supply side discipline
Capacity Discipline | ‘05 to ‘07
1.6m tonnes addition2.0m tonnes closures
Source: RISI
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
SKG OutlookDelivering to Plan
Strong demand growth
Balanced capacity
Rising input costs
Positioned to deliver
continued EBITDA growth
7ald1043_Screenshow.pptSmurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan
Key investment highlights
Focused market leader
Improving industry with robust outlook
Proven management team
Transformed business
Smurfit Kappa Group | Delivering to Plan