Singularity University Executive Program - Day 0

Singularity University Exec Program

Day 0 - Orientation

Program Schedule

Day 0 - Orientation

Day 1 - Tech foundations

Day 2 & 3 - Application, Trends & tools

Day 4 - Tools & implications

Day 5 - Call to Action

Intro to exponentials

Salim Ismail

Can you see the dog?

What about now?

Accelerating tech

Drones: 2kg —> 10 km (1 year ago); 4 kg now (doubles each 9 months)

4 processes

Digitise

Disrupt

Demonetize

Democratize

I. Digitise

Dreamcatcher —> storing dreams

Beyond verbal —> decoding human intonation

4-5 years from now —> impossible to lie

II. Disrupt

Photography: from film to memory card

3d printing: 35 years old tech

Why?zero friction to move/copy

zero marginal cost

apply computation

correlation

machine learning

modeling

simulation

Vinod Khosla: rise of mobile phones“Ignore the experts and invent the future you want”

McKinsey failed to predict the popularity of cell phones, estimated in 1986 that the number of cell phones in 2000 would be 1m units. It was off by 108m! The forecast was wrong 10000%! On that basis, AT&T decided to divest itself of its cell phone business

Solar energy

In 23 years solar energy

Poorest countries = sunniest countries —> how that would change political & economic scene?

In 2016 solar energy cheaper than electricity in US

Amygdala

Anything created before you were born - normal

Anything between 15 & 35 —> new & exciting!

Anything after you’re 35 —> against nature of things

III. Demonetize

Newspapers —> google ad sales

Airbnb vs Hyatt

Information enables collaborative consumption

IV. Democratize1 meter resolution video with nanorobot —> Emiliano (grad student of SU)

Neurosky brain scanner - focusatwill.com

Bitcoin’s block chain & decentralised authentication

More examples

VR disrupts reality

Soylent - 1 drink equals 1day food, formula is open sourced; 1.4 version was recently released

“People want to compete to feed the world? That’s good”

Things to consider

Democracy isn’t compatible with making fast decisions, while exponential technologies require such —> democracy might not be the best political system

Practice —> apply exponential tech to wine &

spirits industrySelf driving cars & Uber drive consumption :)

Personalised drinks to avoid hangover

Cities are getting bigger, people lonely —> VR sets & home cocktail sets

Look out for digitising smell & taste

EntrepreneurshipPascal Finette

10 rulesBETTER - 10x times instead of 10%

FASTER - 2 pizza rule of Jeff Bezos for team size

LOUDER - be known or be nothing

EXPLICIT - 8 words or less; Verb. Target. Outcome

FOCUSED

NETWORKED

SMARTER

RESILIENT - OK with failures

IGNORANT - don’t give a damn to bozos

RELAXED - sometimes you have to sharpen your axe

“The future is a renewable resource”

AbundancePeter Diamandis

Linear vs Exponential

Moore’s Law

Technology S-curve & nested S-curves: Relay, Vacuum Tube, Transistor, Integrated Circuit

Where have we seen this in our life?

Wire-line Internet access (Dial-up, DSL, Calbe Modem, Fiber optic)

Hard drives - IBM 350, MicroSD, SanDisk

Digital camera

GPS

“6Ds” Exponential Framework

Digitised

Deceptive

Disruptive

Dematerialise

Demonetise

Democratise

How?

By building platforms to use existing resources (Uber, AirBnb & etc)

Abundance

Global income rises

Lifespan increases

Cost of food, energy, transpiration, telecommunication diminishes

The end of poverty by 2030

Global reduction in children per family

Health

Education

More examples

Life expectancy growth

Annual hours worked per person decreases

Automobile & airline fatality rates decrease

Annual global death rate from natural disaster decrease

Bandwidth cost performance improves

Mindsets & moonshots

Peter Diamandis

Your mindset matters

Moonshot thinkingGoing 10x bigger instead of 10% improvement

When you shoot for 10x improvement you approach the problem in a radically different fashion

Attack a problemas though it is solved

100 times more worth it, but never 100 times harder

Lockheed Skunk Works (143 days for 1st US jet)

Massive transformative purpose (MTP) - win the war

Small team - 2 pizza rule of Bezos

Extreme isolation

Authority & autonomy

Flexibility

Testing & Experimentation

–Reid Hoffman, Founder, LinkedIn

“If you’re not embarrassed by the first version of your product, you’ve

launched too late”

Billionaire Thinking

Passion & purpose

Experimentation

Long-term thinking

Optimistic thinking

Diamandis’s own 3 moonshots

100 years is the new 60s

Asteroids as a resource for humanity

XPrize foundation

Aftertalk with Salim Ismail

Truth FrameworkTrue

Not true

Not justifiable Justifiable

ScientificIntuitive

Value-based (stereotypical)

Absolute (religious)

soulsoul

subconscious

conscious