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CONTENTS
p2 Are Executive Condominiums Still an
Attractive Investment? (Part 1)
p7 Singapore Property News This Week
p10 Resale Property Transactions
(July 27 – August 4 )
Welcome to the 221st edition of the
Singapore Property Weekly .
Hope you like it!
Mr. Propwise
FROM THE
EDITOR
mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]
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By Gerald Tay (guest contributor)
The Executive Condominium (EC) concept
was an innovative public housing initiative
launched by the Government in 1997 for
Singaporeans and PRs to enjoy “private
property” without the huge price tag that
comes with it. With rising property prices in
recent years, more buyers have taken to ECs
with the government releasing ample land for
such developments.
But is buying an EC as attractive as before?
Or are ECs simply an over-hyped purchase?
Are Executive Condominiums Still an AttractiveInvestment? (Part 1)
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Smaller unit sizes, higher PSF prices
Some EC projects had penthouses that sold
at unrealistically high prices for buyers who
had to have an income ceiling of $12,000.The Government thus decided in January
2013 to limit the maximum allowed apartment
size in ECs to 1,700 square feet.
In the new EC launches, sizes like 860
square feet for a 3-bedroom and 1,200
square feet for a 4-bedroom flat are common.The sizes include an oversized balcony and
A/C ledge, while the bedrooms can be small
as 66 square feet.
Today's unwitting EC buyers will thus pay
higher per square foot prices to compensatefor the developer’s loss of profit margins. It’s
questionable whether buyers of flats with
such high per square foot prices will be able
to earn a reasonable profit when they sell,
unlike previous EC buyers of the early 2000s.
Potential Oversupply of ECs
Owners hoping to sell their EC units in the
future have to contend with the large number of units of both ECs and private property
projects that were launched in the last five
years.
From 1997 to 2004, only 14 ECs were built.
No EC was built between 2005 and 2009, as
the HDB phased out the EC scheme in favour
of the DBSS scheme. EC land sales only
resumed in 2010.
From 2010 to 2015, developers built and
launched a total of 41 Ecs!
In those five years, 23 out of the total 41
launches (56% of total launches) were
located in the Sengkang/Punggol and
Woodlands area.
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2012 and 2014 registered the highest number
of ECs with 11 and 10 new launches
respectively.
Whether with the five year MOP (MinimumOccupation Period) or ten year private
property conversion process, these ECs
entering the future resale property market will
face tough competition. Who’s going to
absorb this supply?
ECs have lost the exclusivity they enjoyed inthe past decade, with so many such
developments sprouting up within a short five
year time span.
Potential oversupply of private properties
As at the end of 2nd Quarter 2015, there wasa total supply of 61,237 uncompleted private
residential units (excluding ECs) in the
pipeline, compared to the 68,201 units in 1st
Quarter 2015. Of this number, 24,435 units
remained unsold as at 2nd Quarter 2015.
After adding the supply of 14,701 EC units in
the pipeline, there were 75,938 units in the
pipeline.
Based on expected completion dates
reported by developers, 13,191 units
(including ECs) will be completed in the
second half of 2015. Another 25,841 units
(including ECs) are expected for completionin 2016. In comparison, 23,298 units
(including ECs) were completed in 2014.
In recent years, plenty of mass market sub-
urban condos and apartments have been
sprouting up all over the Outside Central
Region (OCR). Like it or not, ECs that meetthe 10-year private property conversion status
will be facing tough competition from these
private mass market properties.
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Home buyers will have plenty of choices.
Sellers cannot be choosy then.
Ageing population and low GDP growth
Singapore has enjoyed favourabledemographics for the past five decades, with
a post-war baby boom. Within a generation,
the nation was able to educate baby
boomers, create enough jobs for them and
make them wealthier through rising home
prices. We saw how our parent’s generationprofited from rapidly rising HDB prices since
1965. This wealth was passed on
subsequently to the next generation.
Between 1965 and this year, Singapore’s
population grew from 1.9 million to 5.5 million.
However, the number of citizens aged 65 and
above is increasing rapidly, as population
growth slows. The size of this group of
citizens doubled from 220,000 in 2000 to
440,000 today, and is expected to increase to
900,000 by 2030.
Last year, the total population here grew by1.3 per cent, its slowest pace since 2005,
while the total fertility rate continued to fall
despite the Government’s incentives and
encouragement.
This aging population will eventually have a
profound impact on every segment of theproperty market and society as a whole.
Like private properties, ECs that reach their
10 year private property conversion status
between 2025 and 2030 will potentially
experience the negative impact of an aging
population:low population, consumption and
GDP growth will curb any price appreciation.
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All of these will happen within the next couple
of decades. Notwithstanding any shocks to
the global economy, we shall see what luck
brings to buyers who have overpaid for
properties in recent years.
This is the end of part 1 of this article. In part
2 Gerald will examine further whether ECs
still represent an attractive investment
opportunity.
By guest contributor Gerald Tay, who is thefounder and coach at CREI Academy Group
Pte Ltd , an organization dedicated to
empowering retail property investors with
smarter investing philosophy and strategies.
He is a full-time investor with over 13 years of
solid experience in building his wealth
through Property Investment and is financially
wealthy today.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 221
http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://propertymarketinsights.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/
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Singapore Property This Week
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Residential
July’s pr iv ate c o nd o r es ale p ri c es
inc reased by 0.3%
According to SRX Property, resale prices o
private condominiums have increased by
0.3% in July 2015 from the previous month.However, market experts believe that the
private property resale market continues to
appear weak. Resale prices of condominium
units in the city and suburban areas have
increased by 1.7% and 1% respectively,
hile, resale prices in the city fringe fell by2.2%. Eugene Lim from ERA said that this
could mean that prices are stabilising. He
added that large changes in price levels are
unlikely in the near future, provided there areno economic shocks. Nonetheless, as the
government has made known that property
cooling measures will not be lifted soon, Lim
believes that it is too early to say if resale
prices will continue to rise. Ong Kah Seng
from R’ST Research agreed. He added thatwith the Total Debt Servicing Ratio framework
in placed and with an oversupply of
residential property, buyers’ sentiments may
still remain weak. Year-on-year, resale prices
for condominiums have fallen by 0.9% this
July. Resale volume also fell from 575 units inJune to 515 units in July—a 10.4% fall in
resale volume.
(Source: Business Times)
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July’s r en t a l l e as i n g v o l u m e i n c r ea s e b y
15 %
Data from SRX Property showed that in July,
leasing volumes for private condominium
units have increased by 15% year-on-year. In
the Core Central Region, rentals for private
condos fell less than those in the Outside
Central Region. This was also observed in
the HDB rental market where there was a
smaller drop for flats in mature estates thanthose in the non-mature estates. Tan Tiong
Cheng from Knight Frank said that in mature
estates, fewer HDB flats were put up for
lease. This is likely because flat owners would
rather live in those prime locations than to
lease out the unit. As such, rental demand isstronger for flats in mature estates. According
to SRX Property’s rental index for HDB flats,
rental for flats in mature estates have eased
1.1% year-on-year in July 2015. On the other
hand, rentals for flats in non-mature estates
have fallen 1.4% year-on-year in the same
period of time. Market experts believe that
tenants are relocating from the suburbs
towards the city. This could have contributedto the rise in leasing volumes for HDB flats,
said market experts.
(Source: Business Times)
Commercial
Tw o b lo c ks at Dem p s ey Ro ad to b e
d e v e lo p e d fo r F&B a n d r e ta i l u s e
In a joint announcement by Singapore Land
Authority (SLA) and Singapore Tourism Board
(STB), a tender to develop Blocks 17 and 18
at Dempsey Road for food and beverage andretail use will be conducted. The tender aims
to strengthen the sites’ position as a unique
lifestyle enclave. The tender will be evaluated
according to its price and quality.
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Currently, the asking rents for retail and F&B
units in the surrounding blocks range from
$6.50 to $8 psf. The two sites have a total of
5,268 sqm of land with a gross floor area of 3,086 sqm. Both sites will be tendered as a
single unit.
(Source: Business Times)
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http://www.moneymatters.sg/
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Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Jul 27 – Aug 4
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
3 QUEENS 1,195 1,515,000 1,268 994 THE INTERLACE 1,873 2,391,300 1,277 99
4 THE INTERLACE 2,056 2,476,000 1,204 99
5 BLUE HORIZON 1,163 1,250,000 1,075 99
5 BLUE HORIZON 1,163 1,190,000 1,024 99
7 CONCOURSE SKYLINE 1,130 1,950,000 1,725 99
7 THE PLAZA 840 800,000 953 99
8 CITYLIGHTS 893 1,270,000 1,422 99
8 KENTISH GREEN 1,270 1,230,000 968 99
8 CITIGATE RESIDENCE 753 600,000 796 FH
9 MARTIN PLACE RESIDENCES 592 1,302,400 2,200 FH
9 THE LIGHT @ CAIRNHILL 2,034 3,860,000 1 ,897 FH
9 THE IMPERIAL 2,024 3,440,000 1,700 FH
9 MIRAGE TOWER 1,227 2,030,000 1,654 FH
9 CITYVALE 1,281 1,730,000 1,351 FH
9 CAVENAGH GARDENS 1,163 1,400,000 1,204 FH
10 GARDEN APARTMENT 2,648 3,900,000 1,473 FH
10 BELMOND GREEN 1,399 2,050,000 1,465 FH
10 JEWEL OF BALMORAL 1,345 1,900,000 1,412 FH
10 CORONA VILLE 1,528 1,900,000 1,243 FH
11 BUCKLEY CLASSIQUE 1,410 2,988,000 2,119 FH
11 VIVA 1,959 4,050,000 2,067 FH
11 L'VIV 2,228 3,760,000 1,688 FH
11 CUBE 8 893 1,380,000 1,545 FH
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
11 ROSEVALE 1,518 2,200,000 1,450 FH11 CHANCERY ESQUIRE 1,206 1,580,000 1,311 FH
14 COSMO 398 650,000 1,632 FH
14 VACANZA @ EAST 807 930,000 1,152 FH
14 ASTORIA PARK 850 900,000 1,058 99
14 EUNOS PARK 1,389 1,300,000 936 FH
15 THE MEYERISE 2,056 3,286,000 1,598 FH
15 38 I SUITES 463 690,000 1,491 FH
15 MEIER SUITES 2,228 3,200,000 1,436 FH
15 MELROSE VILLE 592 800,000 1,351 FH
15 EASTERN LAGOON 893 1,160,000 1,298 FH
15 PARC ELEGANCE 721 905,000 1,255 FH
15 SANCTUARY GREEN 850 1,058,000 1,244 99
15 BLU CORAL 1,173 1,220,000 1,040 FH
15 LE M RESIDENCE 969 1,000,000 1,032 FH
15 MARTIA RESIDENCE 1,582 1,315,000 831 FH
15 MANDARIN GARDEN CONDOMINIUM 1,572 1,210,000 770 99
16 LANDBAY CONDOMINIUM 1,238 1,480,000 1,196 FH
16 THE BAYSHORE 980 958,000 978 99
16 LIMAU PARK 1,518 1,420,000 936 FH
16 THE BAYSHORE 1,184 1,065,000 899 99
16 BAYSHORE PARK 936 825,000 881 99
16 STRATFORD COURT 1,507 1,240,000 823 99
17 EDELWEISS PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,055 900,000 853 FH
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NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale property
transactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore Land Authority.Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after a purchasersigns an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
18 OASIS @ ELIAS 980 900,000 919 99
18 EASTPOINT GREEN 958 875,000 913 99
18 MELVILLE PARK 990 765,000 773 99
19 OASIS GARDEN 1,475 1,720,000 1,166 FH
19 ROSALIA PARK 1,119 950,000 849 FH
19 GRAND REGALIA 1,206 1,008,000 836 FH
19 CASA ESPANIA 1,658 1,375,000 829 FH
19 EVERGREEN PARK 1,087 840,000 773 99
19 RIO VISTA 1,249 960,000 769 99
20 GRANDEUR 8 1,227 1,290,000 1,051 99
21 MAPLEWOODS 2,702 3,500,000 1,295 FH
21 SPRINGDALE CONDOMINIUM 1,109 1,080,000 974 999
21 GOODLUCK GARDEN 1,948 1,850,000 950 FH
21 SELANTING GREEN 1,658 1,530,000 923 FH
21 THE CASCADIA 1,970 1,720,000 873 FH
21 SHERWOOD TOWER 1,421 938,000 660 99
22 PARC OASIS 1,076 960,000 892 99
22 LAKEPOINT CONDOMINIUM 1,001 795,000 794 99
22 LAKEPOINT CONDOMINIUM 2,217 1,250,000 564 99
23 FORESQUE RESIDENCES 667 840,000 1,259 99
23 PARK NATURA 1,442 1,612,156 1,118 FH23 TREE HOUSE 1,249 1,335,000 1,069 99
23 HAZEL PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,324 1,250,000 944 999
23 HILLVIEW RESIDENCE 1,259 1,155,000 917 999
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
23 HILLVIEW REGENCY 904 800,000 885 99
23 PALM GARDENS 1,216 920,000 756 99
23 NICON GARDENS 1,938 1,320,000 681 99
23 NORTHVALE 1,798 1,105,000 615 99
25 PARC ROSEWOOD 431 530,000 1,231 99
26 BULLION PARK 807 830,000 1,028 FH
27 YISHUN EMERALD 1,356 968,000 714 99
27 EUPHONY GARDENS 1,163 800,000 688 9 9