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Singapore Property Weekly Issue 221

Aug 07, 2018

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  • 8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 221

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    Issue 221Copyright © 2011-2014 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.

    http://www.propwise.sg/http://www.propwise.sg/

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    CONTENTS

    p2 Are Executive Condominiums Still an

    Attractive Investment? (Part 1)

    p7 Singapore Property News This Week

    p10 Resale Property Transactions

    (July 27 – August 4 )

    Welcome to the 221st edition of the

    Singapore Property Weekly .

    Hope you like it!

    Mr. Propwise

    FROM THE

    EDITOR

    mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]

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    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 221

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    By Gerald Tay (guest contributor)

    The Executive Condominium (EC) concept

    was an innovative public housing initiative

    launched by the Government in 1997 for 

    Singaporeans and PRs to enjoy   “private

    property”   without the huge price tag that

    comes with it. With rising property prices in

    recent years, more buyers have taken to ECs

    with the government releasing ample land for 

    such developments.

    But is buying an EC as attractive as before?

    Or are ECs simply an over-hyped purchase?

     Are Executive Condominiums Still an AttractiveInvestment? (Part 1)

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    Smaller unit sizes, higher PSF prices

    Some EC projects had penthouses that sold

    at unrealistically high prices for buyers who

    had to have an income ceiling of $12,000.The Government thus decided in January

    2013 to limit the maximum allowed apartment

    size in ECs to 1,700 square feet.

    In the new EC launches, sizes like 860

    square feet for a 3-bedroom and 1,200

    square feet for a 4-bedroom flat are common.The sizes include an oversized balcony and

     A/C ledge, while the bedrooms can be small

    as 66 square feet.

    Today's unwitting EC buyers will thus pay

    higher per square foot prices to compensatefor the  developer’s loss of profit margins.   It’s

    questionable whether buyers of flats with

    such high per square foot prices will be able

    to earn a reasonable profit when they sell,

    unlike previous EC buyers of the early 2000s.

    Potential Oversupply of ECs

    Owners hoping to sell their EC units in the

    future have to contend with the large number of units of both ECs and private property

    projects that were launched in the last five

    years.

    From 1997 to 2004, only 14 ECs were built.

    No EC was built between 2005 and 2009, as

    the HDB phased out the EC scheme in favour 

    of the DBSS scheme. EC land sales only

    resumed in 2010.

    From 2010 to 2015, developers built and

    launched a total of 41 Ecs!

    In those five years, 23 out of the total 41

    launches (56% of total launches) were

    located in the Sengkang/Punggol and

    Woodlands area.

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    2012 and 2014 registered the highest number 

    of ECs with 11 and 10 new launches

    respectively.

    Whether with the five year MOP (MinimumOccupation Period) or ten year private

    property conversion process, these ECs

    entering the future resale property market will

    face tough competition.   Who’s   going to

    absorb this supply?

    ECs have lost the exclusivity they enjoyed inthe past decade, with so many such

    developments sprouting up within a short five

    year time span.

    Potential oversupply of private properties

     As at the end of 2nd Quarter 2015, there wasa total supply of 61,237 uncompleted private

    residential units (excluding ECs) in the

    pipeline, compared to the 68,201 units in 1st

    Quarter 2015. Of this number, 24,435 units

    remained unsold as at 2nd Quarter 2015.

     After adding the supply of 14,701 EC units in

    the pipeline, there were 75,938 units in the

    pipeline.

    Based on expected completion dates

    reported by developers, 13,191 units

    (including ECs) will be completed in the

    second half of 2015. Another 25,841 units

    (including ECs) are expected for completionin 2016. In comparison, 23,298 units

    (including ECs) were completed in 2014.

    In recent years, plenty of mass market sub-

    urban condos and apartments have been

    sprouting up all over the Outside Central

    Region (OCR). Like it or not, ECs that meetthe 10-year private property conversion status

    will be facing tough competition from these

    private mass market properties.

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    Home buyers will have plenty of choices.

    Sellers cannot be choosy then.

    Ageing population and low GDP growth

    Singapore has enjoyed favourabledemographics for the past five decades, with

    a post-war baby boom. Within a generation,

    the nation was able to educate baby

    boomers, create enough jobs for them and

    make them wealthier through rising home

    prices. We saw how our   parent’s  generationprofited from rapidly rising HDB prices since

    1965. This wealth was passed on

    subsequently to the next generation.

    Between 1965 and this year,   Singapore’s

    population grew from 1.9 million to 5.5 million.

    However, the number of citizens aged 65 and

    above is increasing rapidly, as population

    growth slows. The size of this group of 

    citizens doubled from 220,000 in 2000 to

    440,000 today, and is expected to increase to

    900,000 by 2030.

    Last year, the total population here grew by1.3 per cent, its slowest pace since 2005,

    while the total fertility rate continued to fall

    despite the   Government’s   incentives and

    encouragement.

    This aging population will eventually have a

    profound impact on every segment of theproperty market and society as a whole.

    Like private properties, ECs that reach their 

    10 year private property conversion status

    between 2025 and 2030 will potentially

    experience the negative impact of an aging

    population:low population, consumption and

    GDP growth will curb any price appreciation.

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     All of these will happen within the next couple

    of decades. Notwithstanding any shocks to

    the global economy, we shall see what luck

    brings to buyers who have overpaid for 

    properties in recent years.

    This is the end of part 1 of this article. In part 

    2 Gerald will examine further whether ECs

    still represent an attractive investment 

    opportunity.

    By guest contributor Gerald Tay, who is thefounder and coach at  CREI Academy Group

    Pte Ltd , an organization dedicated to

    empowering retail property investors with

    smarter investing philosophy and strategies.

    He is a full-time investor with over 13 years of 

    solid experience in building his wealth

    through Property Investment and is financially 

    wealthy today.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 221

    http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://propertymarketinsights.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/

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    Singapore Property This Week

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    Residential

    July’s   pr iv ate c o nd o r es ale p ri c es  

    inc reased by 0.3%

     According to SRX Property, resale prices o

    private condominiums have increased by

    0.3% in July 2015 from the previous month.However, market experts believe that the

    private property resale market continues to

    appear weak. Resale prices of condominium

    units in the city and suburban areas have

    increased by 1.7% and 1% respectively,

    hile, resale prices in the city fringe fell by2.2%. Eugene Lim from ERA said that this

    could mean that prices are stabilising. He

    added that large changes in price levels are

    unlikely in the near future, provided there areno economic shocks. Nonetheless, as the

    government has made known that property

    cooling measures will not be lifted soon, Lim

    believes that it is too early to say if resale

    prices will continue to rise. Ong Kah Seng

    from  R’ST Research agreed. He added thatwith the Total Debt Servicing Ratio framework

    in placed and with an oversupply of 

    residential property,   buyers’   sentiments may

    still remain weak. Year-on-year, resale prices

    for condominiums have fallen by 0.9% this

    July. Resale volume also fell from 575 units inJune to 515 units in July—a 10.4% fall in

    resale volume.

    (Source: Business Times)

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 221

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    July’s   r en t a l l e as i n g v o l u m e i n c r ea s e b y  

    15 %

    Data from SRX Property showed that in July,

    leasing volumes for private condominium

    units have increased by 15% year-on-year. In

    the Core Central Region, rentals for private

    condos fell less than those in the Outside

    Central Region. This was also observed in

    the HDB rental market where there was a

    smaller drop for flats in mature estates thanthose in the non-mature estates. Tan Tiong

    Cheng from Knight Frank said that in mature

    estates, fewer HDB flats were put up for 

    lease. This is likely because flat owners would

    rather live in those prime locations than to

    lease out the unit. As such, rental demand isstronger for flats in mature estates. According

    to SRX  Property’s rental index for HDB flats,

    rental for flats in mature estates have eased

    1.1% year-on-year in July 2015. On the other 

    hand, rentals for flats in non-mature estates

    have fallen 1.4% year-on-year in the same

    period of time. Market experts believe that

    tenants are relocating from the suburbs

    towards the city. This could have contributedto the rise in leasing volumes for HDB flats,

    said market experts.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Commercial

    Tw o b lo c ks at Dem p s ey Ro ad to b e  

    d e v e lo p e d fo r F&B a n d r e ta i l u s e  

    In a joint announcement by Singapore Land

     Authority (SLA) and Singapore Tourism Board

    (STB), a tender to develop Blocks 17 and 18

    at Dempsey Road for food and beverage andretail use will be conducted. The tender aims

    to strengthen the   sites’ position as a unique

    lifestyle enclave. The tender will be evaluated

    according to its price and quality.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Iss e 221

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    Currently, the asking rents for retail and F&B

    units in the surrounding blocks range from

    $6.50 to $8 psf. The two sites have a total of 

    5,268 sqm of land with a gross floor area of 3,086 sqm. Both sites will be tendered as a

    single unit.

    (Source: Business Times)

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 221

    http://www.moneymatters.sg/

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    Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Jul 27  – Aug 4

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    3 QUEENS 1,195 1,515,000 1,268 994 THE INTERLACE 1,873 2,391,300 1,277 99

    4 THE INTERLACE 2,056 2,476,000 1,204 99

    5 BLUE HORIZON 1,163 1,250,000 1,075 99

    5 BLUE HORIZON 1,163 1,190,000 1,024 99

    7 CONCOURSE SKYLINE 1,130 1,950,000 1,725 99

    7 THE PLAZA 840 800,000 953 99

    8 CITYLIGHTS 893 1,270,000 1,422 99

    8 KENTISH GREEN 1,270 1,230,000 968 99

    8 CITIGATE RESIDENCE 753 600,000 796 FH

    9 MARTIN PLACE RESIDENCES 592 1,302,400 2,200 FH

    9 THE LIGHT @ CAIRNHILL 2,034 3,860,000 1 ,897 FH

    9 THE IMPERIAL 2,024 3,440,000 1,700 FH

    9 MIRAGE TOWER 1,227 2,030,000 1,654 FH

    9 CITYVALE 1,281 1,730,000 1,351 FH

    9 CAVENAGH GARDENS 1,163 1,400,000 1,204 FH

    10 GARDEN APARTMENT 2,648 3,900,000 1,473 FH

    10 BELMOND GREEN 1,399 2,050,000 1,465 FH

    10 JEWEL OF BALMORAL 1,345 1,900,000 1,412 FH

    10 CORONA VILLE 1,528 1,900,000 1,243 FH

    11 BUCKLEY CLASSIQUE 1,410 2,988,000 2,119 FH

    11 VIVA 1,959 4,050,000 2,067 FH

    11 L'VIV   2,228 3,760,000 1,688 FH

    11 CUBE 8   893 1,380,000 1,545 FH

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    11 ROSEVALE 1,518 2,200,000 1,450 FH11 CHANCERY ESQUIRE 1,206 1,580,000 1,311 FH

    14 COSMO 398 650,000 1,632 FH

    14 VACANZA @ EAST 807 930,000 1,152 FH

    14 ASTORIA PARK 850 900,000 1,058 99

    14 EUNOS PARK 1,389 1,300,000 936 FH

    15 THE MEYERISE 2,056 3,286,000 1,598 FH

    15 38 I SUITES 463 690,000 1,491 FH

    15 MEIER SUITES 2,228 3,200,000 1,436 FH

    15 MELROSE VILLE 592 800,000 1,351 FH

    15 EASTERN LAGOON 893 1,160,000 1,298 FH

    15 PARC ELEGANCE 721 905,000 1,255 FH

    15 SANCTUARY GREEN 850 1,058,000 1,244 99

    15 BLU CORAL 1,173 1,220,000 1,040 FH

    15 LE M RESIDENCE 969 1,000,000 1,032 FH

    15 MARTIA RESIDENCE 1,582 1,315,000 831 FH

    15 MANDARIN GARDEN CONDOMINIUM 1,572 1,210,000 770 99

    16 LANDBAY CONDOMINIUM 1,238 1,480,000 1,196 FH

    16 THE BAYSHORE 980 958,000 978 99

    16 LIMAU PARK 1,518 1,420,000 936 FH

    16 THE BAYSHORE 1,184 1,065,000 899 99

    16 BAYSHORE PARK 936 825,000 881 99

    16 STRATFORD COURT   1,507 1,240,000 823 99

    17 EDELWEISS PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,055 900,000 853 FH

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 221

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    NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale property

    transactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore Land Authority.Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after a purchasersigns an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    18 OASIS @ ELIAS 980 900,000 919 99

    18 EASTPOINT GREEN 958 875,000 913 99

    18 MELVILLE PARK 990 765,000 773 99

    19 OASIS GARDEN 1,475 1,720,000 1,166 FH

    19 ROSALIA PARK 1,119 950,000 849 FH

    19 GRAND REGALIA 1,206 1,008,000 836 FH

    19 CASA ESPANIA 1,658 1,375,000 829 FH

    19 EVERGREEN PARK 1,087 840,000 773 99

    19 RIO VISTA 1,249 960,000 769 99

    20 GRANDEUR 8 1,227 1,290,000 1,051 99

    21 MAPLEWOODS 2,702 3,500,000 1,295 FH

    21 SPRINGDALE CONDOMINIUM 1,109 1,080,000 974 999

    21 GOODLUCK GARDEN 1,948 1,850,000 950 FH

    21 SELANTING GREEN 1,658 1,530,000 923 FH

    21 THE CASCADIA 1,970 1,720,000 873 FH

    21 SHERWOOD TOWER 1,421 938,000 660 99

    22 PARC OASIS 1,076 960,000 892 99

    22 LAKEPOINT CONDOMINIUM 1,001 795,000 794 99

    22 LAKEPOINT CONDOMINIUM 2,217 1,250,000 564 99

    23 FORESQUE RESIDENCES 667 840,000 1,259 99

    23 PARK NATURA 1,442 1,612,156 1,118 FH23 TREE HOUSE 1,249 1,335,000 1,069 99

    23 HAZEL PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,324 1,250,000 944 999

    23 HILLVIEW RESIDENCE   1,259 1,155,000 917 999

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    23 HILLVIEW REGENCY 904 800,000 885 99

    23 PALM GARDENS 1,216 920,000 756 99

    23 NICON GARDENS 1,938 1,320,000 681 99

    23 NORTHVALE 1,798 1,105,000 615 99

    25 PARC ROSEWOOD 431 530,000 1,231 99

    26 BULLION PARK 807 830,000 1,028 FH

    27 YISHUN EMERALD   1,356 968,000 714 99

    27 EUPHONY GARDENS   1,163 800,000 688 9 9