Top Banner
Structured Investing In An Unstructured World
24

Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Nov 22, 2014

Download

Business

Balbitz

 
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured Investing

In An Unstructured World

Page 2: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11
Page 3: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured Investing is based on:

80+ years of financial market data

Nobel Prize-winning economic research

In-depth studies of investor psychology and behavior

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Page 4: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Efficient Markets Hypothesis — 1965Eugene F. Fama, University of Chicago

• Currentpricesincorporateallavailableinformationandexpectationsandarethebestapproximationofintrinsicvalue

• Pricechangesareduetounforeseenevents• Mis-pricingsdooccurbutnotin

predictablepatterns

Behavior of Securities Prices — 1965Paul Samuelson, MIT 1970 Nobel Prize in Economics

• Marketpricesarethebestestimatesofvalue• Pricechangesarerandom• Futuresharepricesareunpredictable

Structured Investing Approach

Don’t Try to Beat the Market

• Activemanagementcannotconsistentlyaddvaluethroughsecurityselectionandmarkettiming

Capture Market Rates of Return

• Weseektocapturemarketratesofreturnbyinvestinginlargenumbersofstocksinselectedassetclasses,resultinginportfolioswiththousandsofstocks

Exclude Certain Groups of Stocks with Heightened Risk or Inefficiency

• Weexcludenewstocks(IPOs),financiallydistressedandbankruptcompanies,andilliquidstocks

Minimize Trading Costs

• Weownrepresentationintheselectedassetclassesandholdontothem,ratherthanfrequentlybuyingandselling

• Wedon’tattempttotrackindexesasthiscanresultinsignificanttradingcosts• Ourportfoliomanagershaveflexibilityonwhentoaddorremoveindividualstocksfromassetclasses

Accept Market Efficiency

2 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

Page 5: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Active Money Managers Have Difficulty Beating the Market

Mutual Fund Manager Underperformance from 2005 – 2009

61% of large-cap managers

underperformed the S&P 500 Index

67%of small-cap managers

underperformed the S&P SmallCap 600

Index

89%of international

managers underperformed the

S&P700 Index

71%of intermediate fixed income managers

underperformed the Barclays Intermediate

Government/Credit Bond Index

STRUCTURED INVESTING — 3

Source:StandardandPoor’sIndexVersusActiveGroup,March2010

Page 6: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

*Cross Section of Expected Stock Returns,EugeneF.FamaandKennethR.French,Journal of Finance 47 (1992)

Structured Investing Approach

Take 3 risks identified by academic research as worth taking

1. Investinstocks2.Emphasizesmallcompanies3.Emphasizevaluecompanies

Therisksassociatedwithinvestinginstocksandoverweightingsmallcompanyandvaluestockspotentiallyincludeincreasedvolatility(upanddownmovementinthevalueofyourassets)andlossofprincipal.Investorswithtimehorizonsoflessthanfiveyears,shouldconsiderminimizingoravoidinginvestingincommonstocks.AlthoughtheFama/Frenchresearchfindingsidentifiedtheabovethreerisksasworthtaking,thatdoesnotnecessarilymeanthesearetheonlyrisksworthtaking.

Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Model* — 1992Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, University of Chicago

• Stockshavehigherexpectedreturnsandriskthanfixedincome

•Smallcompanystockshavehigherexpectedreturnsandriskthanlargecompanystocks

•Lower-priced“value”stockshavehigherexpectedreturnsandriskthanhigher-priced“growth”stocks

•Theresearchidentifiedbenefitsofassumingtheadditionalriskassociatedwiththesethreefactorsoverlonginvestingperiods

Value(High BtM)

Growth(Low BtM)

Total Stock Market

Small

Large

Increased Expected Return

[

Take 3 Risks Worth Taking

4 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

Page 7: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Risksassociatedwithinvestinginstockspotentiallyincludeincreasedvolatility(upanddownmovementinthevalueofyourassets)andlossofprincipal.Indexesareunman-agedbasketsofsecuritiesthatinvestorscannotdirectlyinvestin.Pastperformanceisnoguaranteeoffutureresults.Hypotheticalvalueof$1investedatthebeginningof1927andkeptinvestedthroughDecember31,2009.Assumesreinvestmentofincomeandnotransactioncostsortaxes.Thisisforillustrativepurposesonlyandnotindicativeofanyinvestment.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.TotalreturnsinU.S.dollars.Long-TermGovernmentBonds,One-MonthU.S.TreasuryBills,andU.S.ConsumerPriceIndex(inflation),source:Morningstar’s2009Stocks,Bonds,Bills,AndInflationYearbook(2008);Fama/FrenchTotalU.S.MarketIndexprovidedbyFama/FrenchfromCenterforResearchinSecurityPrices(CRSP)data.IncludesallNYSEsecurities(plusAmexequivalentssinceJuly1962andNASDAQequivalentssince1973),includingutilities.

Invest in Stocks

Growth of $1 Jan. 1, 1927 – Dec. 31, 2009

1926 1996198619761966195619461936 2007 ’09

$2,188

$79

$12$20

$0

$1

$10

$100

$1,000

$10,000

Fama/French Total U.S. Market Index 9.7%Long-Term Government Bonds 5.4%

One-Month U.S. Treasury Bills 3.7%

U.S. Consumer Price Index 3.1%

Compound Annual Return

STRUCTURED INVESTING — 5

Page 8: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

Indexesareunmanagedbasketsofsecuritiesthatinvestorscannotdirectlyinvestin.Pastperformanceisnoguaranteeoffutureresults.Hypotheticalvalueof$1investedatthebeginningof1927andkeptinvestedthroughDecember31,2009.Assumesreinvestmentofincomeandnotransactioncostsortaxes.Thisisforillustrativepurposesonlyandnotindicativeofanyinvestment.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.TotalreturnsinU.S.dollars.Fama/FrenchTotalU.S.MarketIndexprovidedbyFama/FrenchfromCenterforResearchinSecurityPrices(CRSP)data.IncludesallNYSEsecurities(plusAmexequivalentssinceJuly1962andNASDAQequivalentssince1973),includingutilities.TheCenterforResearchinSecurityPrices(CRSP)ranksallNYSEcompaniesbymarketcapitalizationanddividestheminto10equally-populatedportfolios.AMEXandNASDAQNationalMarketstocksarethenplacedintodecilesaccordingtotheirrespectivecapitalizations,determinedbytheNYSEbreakpoints.CRSPPortfolios1-5representlargecaps.CRSPPortfolios6-10representsmallcaps.Standarddeviationisastatisticalmeasurementofhowfarthereturnofasecurity(orindex)movesaboveorbelowitsaveragevalue.Thegreaterthestandarddeviation,theriskieraninvestmentisconsideredtobe.

Take 3 Risks Worth Taking

Emphasize Small Companies

Growth of $1 Jan. 1, 1927 – Dec. 31, 2009

U.S. Large Cap Total U.S. Market U.S. Small Cap CRSP Deciles 1-5 Index Fama/French Total CRSP Deciles 6-10 Index U.S. Market Index

Annualized Compound Return 9.5% 9.7% 11.5%

Annualized Standard Deviation 18.6% 18.8% 27.6%

Small company stocks have higher expected returns and risk than larger company stocks

$1,858 $2,188

$8,320

6 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

$10,000

$8,000

$6,000

$4,000

$2,000

$0

Page 9: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Indexesareunmanagedbasketsofsecuritiesthatinvestorscannotdirectlyinvestin.Pastperformanceisnoguaranteeoffutureresults.Hypotheticalvalueof$1investedatthebeginningof1927andkeptinvestedthroughDecember31,2009.Assumesreinvestmentofincomeandnotransactioncostsortaxes.Thisisforillustrativepurposesonlyandnotindicativeofanyinvestment.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.TotalreturnsinU.S.dollars.CRSPistheCenterforResearchinSecurityPrices.CRSPranksallNYSEcompaniesbymarketcapitalizationanddividestheminto10equally-populatedportfolios.AMEXandNASDAQNationalMarketstocksarethenplacedintodecilesaccordingtotheirrespectivecapitalizations,determinedbytheNYSEbreakpoints.Valueisrepresentedbycompanieswithabook-to-marketratiointhetop30%ofallcompanies.Growthisrepresentedbycompanieswithabook-to-marketratiointhebottom30%ofallcompanies.TheCRSPValueandGrowthdivisionswithintheCRSP1-5PortfoliosareemployedtoformulatetheFama/FrenchU.SLargeValueIndexandFama/FrenchU.SLargeGrowthIndex.Fama/FrenchTotalU.S.MarketIndexprovidedbyFama/FrenchfromCenterforResearchinSecurityPrices(CRSP)data.IncludesallNYSEsecurities(plusAmexequivalentssinceJuly1962andNASDAQequivalentssince1973),includingutilities.Fama/FrenchU.S.LargeGrowthIndexprovidedbyFama/FrenchfromCenterforResearchinSecurityPrices(CRSP)data.Includestheupper-halfrangeinmarketcapandthelower30%inbook-to-marketofNYSEsecurities(plusAmexequivalentssinceJuly1962andNASDAQequivalentssince1973),excludingutilities.Fama/FrenchU.S.LargeValueIndexprovidedbyFama/FrenchfromCRSPdata.Includestheupper-halfrangeinmarketcapandthehigher30%inbook-to-marketofNYSEsecurities(plusAmexequivalentssinceJuly1962andNASDAQequivalentssince1973),excludingutilities.Standarddeviationisastatisticalmeasurementofhowfarthereturnofasecurity(orindex)movesaboveorbelowitsaveragevalue.Thegreaterthestandarddeviation,theriskieraninvestmentisconsideredtobe.

Emphasize Value Companies

Growth of $1 Jan. 1, 1927 – Dec. 31, 2009

U.S. Large Growth U.S. Total Market U.S. Large Value Fama/French Fama/French Total Fama/French U.S. Large Growth Index U.S. Market Index U.S. Large Value Index

Annualized Compound Return 9.0% 9.7% 10.3%

Annualized Standard Deviation 18.9% 18.8% 26.3%

“Value” stocks have higher expected returns and risk than “Growth” stocks

STRUCTURED INVESTING — 7

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$1,230

$2,188

$3,518$4,000

$3,000

$2,000

$1,000

$0

Page 10: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Diversification and Portfolio Risk – 1952Harry Markowitz, University of Chicago1990 Nobel Prize in Economics

• Diversificationreducesrisk• Assetsshouldbeevaluatednotbyindividualcharacteristicsbutbytheireffectonaportfolio• Anoptimalportfoliocanbeconstructedtomaximizereturnforagivenrisklevel

Structured Investing Approach

Combine Multiple Asset Classes

• Seektocombinemultipleassetclassesthathavehistoricallyexperienceddissimilarreturnpatternsacrossvariousfinancialandeconomicenvironments.Diversificationdoesnotguaranteeaprofitorprotectagainstaloss

Diversify Globally

• Morethan53%ofglobalstockmarketvalueisnon-U.S.,andinternationalstockmarketsasawholehavehistoricallyexperienceddissimilarreturnpatternstotheU.S.

Invest in Thousands of Securities

• Comparedtoaportfolioconcentratedinasmallnumberofsecurities,investinginthousandsofsecuritiesaroundtheworldcanlimitportfoliolossesduringaseveremarketdeclinebyreducingcompany-specificrisk

Invest in High-Quality, Short-Term Fixed Income

• Fixedincome’sroleinourportfoliosistoreducevolatility.Weseektoaccomplishthisbyemploying: –Shortermaturitiesthathavelowcorrelationshistoricallywithstocks –High-qualityinstrumentstolowerdefaultrisk

Past performance is no guarantee of future results

Effectively Diversify

8 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

Page 11: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

The Need for Diversification

Asset Class Index Performance 1995 – 2009

DataSources:CenterforResearchinSecurityPrices(CRSP),BARRAInc.andMorganStanleyCapitalInternational,January2010.Allinvestmentsinvolverisk.Foreignsecuritiesinvolveaddi-tionalrisks,includingforeigncurrencychanges,politicalrisks,foreigntaxes,anddifferentmethodsofaccountingandfinancialreporting.Pastperformanceisnotindicativeoffutureperformance.TreasurybillsareguaranteedastorepaymentofprincipalandinterestbytheU.S.government.Thisinformationdoesnotconstituteasolicitationforsaleofanysecurities.CRSPranksallNYSEcompaniesbymarketcapitalizationanddividestheminto10equally-populatedportfolios.AMEXandNASDAQNationalMarketstocksarethenplacedintodecilesaccordingtotheirrespectivecapitalizations,determinedbytheNYSEbreakpoints.CRSPPortfolios1-5representlarge-capstocks;Portfolios6-10representsmallcaps;Valueisrepresentedbycompanieswithabook-to-marketratiointhetop30%ofallcompanies.Growthisrepresentedbycompanieswithabook-to-marketratiointhebottom30%ofallcompanies.S&P500IndexistheStandard&Poor’s500Index.TheS&P500Indexmeasurestheperformanceoflarge-capitalizationU.S.stocks.TheS&P500isanunmanagedmarketvalue-weightedindexof500stocksthataretradedontheNYSE,AMEXandNASDAQ.Theweightingsmakeeachcompany’sinfluenceontheindexperformancedirectlyproportionaltothatcompany’smarketvalue.TheMSCIEAFEIndex(MorganStanleyCapitalInternationalEurope,Australasia,FarEastIndex)iscomprisedofover1,000companiesrepresentingthestockmarketsofEurope,Australia,NewZealandandtheFarEast,andisanunmanagedindex.EAFErepresentsnon-U.S.largestocks.Foreignsecuritiesinvolveadditionalrisks,includingforeigncurrencychanges,politicalrisks,foreigntaxesanddifferentmethodsofaccountingandfinancialreporting.ConsumerPriceIndex(CPI)isameasureofinflation.REITs,representedbytheNAREITEquityREITIndex,isanunmanagedmarketcap-weightedindexcomprisedof151equityREITS.EmergingMarketsindexrepresentssecuritiesincountrieswithdevelopingeconomiesandprovidepotentiallyhighreturns.ManyLatinAmerican,EasternEuropeanandAsiancountriesareconsideredemergingmarkets.Indexesareunmanagedbasketsofsecuritieswithoutthefeesandexpensesassociatedwithmutualfundsandotherinvestments.Investorscannotdirectlyinvestinanindex.Althoughindexesdonothavefeesandexpenses,theaverageoperatingexpenseratioforeachcategory,ascontainedinMorningstar’sdatabaseofmutualfunds(asofFebruary2010),wasdeducted.

Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss

STRUCTURED INVESTING — 9

Highest Return

Lowest Return

Asset Class Performance

High

Low

Small Value

70.19%Large

Growth38.09%

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Large Value

REITs Small Value

Large Growth

Emerging Markets

REITs Small Value

5 Year Gov't

Small Value

REITs Emerging Markets

REITs Emerging Markets

40.10% 35.27% 36.94% 36.65% 65.82% 26.37% 40.59% 12.95% 74.48% 31.58% 29.32% 35.06% 36.87%S&P 500

IndexS&P 500

IndexLarge Value

S&P 500 Index

Small Growth

5 Year Gov't

REITs REITs Emerging Markets

Emerging Markets

EAFE Emerging Markets

Large Growth

37.58% 22.96% 33.75% 28.58% 54.06% 12.60% 13.93% 3.82% 70.66% 28.01% 13.54% 31.83% 15.70%Large

GrowthSmall Value

S&P 500 Index

EAFE Large Growth

Inflation (CPI)

5 Year Gov't

Inflation (CPI)

Small Growth

Small Value

REITs EAFE EAFE

36.84% 22.36% 33.36% 20.00% 30.16% 3.38% 7.61% 2.39% 54.72% 27.33% 12.16% 26.34% 11.17%Small

GrowthLarge

GrowthLarge

GrowthLarge Value

EAFE Small Value

Inflation (CPI)

Emerging Markets

EAFE EAFE Large Value

Large Value

5 Year Gov't

35.72% 21.27% 31.67% 11.95% 26.96% -3.08% 1.55% -9.68% 38.59% 20.25% 9.70% 21.87% 10.05%Small Value

Large Value

REITs 5 Year Gov't

S&P 500 Index

Large Value

Large Value

Small Value

REITs Large Value

Small Growth

Small Value

S&P 500 Index

26.66% 19.97% 20.26% 10.22% 21.04% -6.41% -2.71% -11.72% 37.13% 17.74% 6.02% 21.70% 5.49%5 Year Gov't

Small Growth

Small Growth

Small Growth

Large Value

S&P 500 Index

Emerging Markets

EAFE Large Value

Small Growth

S&P 500 Index

S&P 500 Index

Small Growth

16.11% 13.22% 14.88% 4.08% 6.99% -9.10% -3.64% -15.94% 36.43% 11.16% 4.91% 15.80% 4.99%REITs Emerging

Markets5 Year Gov't

Inflation (CPI)

Small Value

EAFE Small Growth

Large Growth

S&P 500 Index

S&P 500 Index

Small Value

Small Growth

Inflation (CPI)

15.27% 10.83% 8.38% 1.60% 4.37% -14.17% -4.13% -21.93% 28.69% 10.88% 4.46% 9.26% 4.09%EAFE EAFE EAFE Emerging

MarketsInflation (CPI)

Large Growth

S&P 500 Index

S&P 500 Index

Large Growth

Large Growth

Inflation (CPI)

Large Growth

Large Value

11.21% 6.05% 1.78% -3.32% 2.68% -14.33% -11.89% -22.10% 17.77% 5.27% 3.42% 5.97% -12.24%Inflation (CPI)

Inflation (CPI)

Inflation (CPI)

Small Value

5 Year Gov't

Small Growth

Large Growth

Large Value

5 Year Gov't

Inflation (CPI)

Large Growth

5 Year Gov't

REITs

2.67% 3.33% 1.70% -10.04% -1.76% -24.50% -21.05% -30.28% 2.40% 3.25% 3.39% 3.15% -15.69%Emerging Markets

5 Year Gov't

Emerging Markets

REITs REITs Emerging Markets

EAFE Small Growth

Inflation (CPI)

5 Year Gov't

5 Year Gov't

Inflation (CPI)

Small Value

-1.00% 2.09% -24.26% -17.50% -4.62% -30.40% -21.44% -34.63% 1.88% 2.26% 1.35% 2.55% -18.38%

13.11%

0.09%

-37.00%

-37.73%

-39.12%EAFE

-43.38%

-43.41%

-44.50%

-52.67%

-53.14%

11.65% REITs 9.77%

8.91%

8.04%

6.88%

6.39%

Large Value4.99%

4.92%Inflation (CPI) 2.48%

5 Year Gov't

Inflation (CPI)

S&P 500 Index

REITs

Large Growth

Large Growth

Small Growth

Small Value

Emerging Markets

Large Value

2008 2009

5.36%

Annualized Returns

EAFE

31.78%REITs

27.99%

Inflation (CPI)2.72%

S&P 500 Index

26.46%

Large Value

37.51%

5 Year Gov't

-2.40%

Emerging Markets84.74%

Small Growth38.09%

*Data Sources: Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP), BARRA Inc. and Morgan Stanley Capital International, January 2010. All investments involve risk. Foreign securities involve additional risks, including foreign currency changes, political risks, foreign taxes, and different methods of accounting and financial reporting. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Treasury bills are guaranteed as to repayment of principal and interest by the U.S. government. This information does not constitute a solicitation for sale of any securities. CRSP ranks all NYSE companies by market capitalization and divides them into 10 equally-populated portfolios. AMEX and NASDAQ National Market stocks are then placed into deciles according to their respective capitalizations, determined by the NYSE breakpoints. CRSP Portfolios 1-5 represent large-cap stocks; Portfolios 6-10 represent small caps; Value is represented by companies with a book-to-market ratio in the top 30% of all companies. Growth is represented by companies with a book-to-market ratio in the bottom 30% of all companies. S&P 500 Index is the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. The S&P 500 Index measures the performance of large-capitalization U.S. stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged market value-weighted index of 500 stocks that are traded on the NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ. The weightings make each company’s influence on the index performance directly proportional to that company’s market value. The MSCI EAFE Index (Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, Australasia, Far East Index) is comprised of over 1,000 companies representing the stock markets of Europe, Australia, New Zealand and the Far East, and is an unmanaged index. EAFE represents non-U.S. large stocks. Foreign securities involve additional risks, including foreign currency changes, political risks, foreign taxes and different methods of accounting and financial reporting. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of inflation. REITs, represented by the NAREIT Equity REIT Index, is an unmanaged market cap-weighted index comprised of 151 equity REITS. Emerging Markets index represents securities in countries with developing economies and provide potentially high returns. Many Latin American, Eastern European and Asian countries are considered emerging markets. Indexes are unmanaged baskets of securities without the fees and expenses associated with mutual funds and other investments. Investors cannot directly invest in an index. Although indexes do not have fees and expenses, the average operating expense ratio for each category, as contained in Morningstar’s database of mutual funds (as of February 2010), was deducted.

Small Value

S&P 500 Index

Emerging Markets

Small Growth

5 Year Gov't

EAFE

Page 12: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

U.S. and International Markets Perform DifferentlyRolling 12-month Variance

(Jan. 1972 – Dec. 2009)

*Source:Impact of an Aging Population on the Global EconomyJeremyJ.SiegelCFA Institute Conference Proceedings Quarterly (09/07)

PastPerformanceisnotindicativeoffutureresults.Allinvestmentsinvolverisk.Foreignsecuritiesinvolveadditionalrisksincludingforeigncurrencychanges,taxesanddifferentaccountingandfinancialreportingmethods.InternationalmarketperformancerepresentedbytheMSCIEAFEIndex(MorganStanleyCapitalInternationalEurope,Australasia,FarEastIndex),comprisedofover1,000companiesrepresentingthestockmarketsofEurope,Australia,NewZealandandtheFarEast,andisanunmanagedindex.EAFErepresentsnon-U.S.largestocks.U.S.marketperformancerepresentedbytheStandard&Poor’s500Index,anunmanagedmarketvalue-weightedindexof500stocksthataretradedontheNYSE,AMEXandNASDAQ.Theweightingsmakeeachcompany’sinfluenceontheindexperformancedirectlyproportionaltothatcompany’smarketvalue.

1970 U.S. 66% International 34%

2009 U.S. 47% International 53%

2050 (Projected)* U.S. 17% International 83%

Source:CenterforResearchinSecurityPrices(CRSP)January,2010

Effectively Diversify

Invest Internationally

Global Market Capitalization

1972

1977

1982

1987

1992

1997

2002

20072009

80% 40% 0% 40% 80%

InternationalOutperforms

10 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

U.S.Outperforms

Page 13: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Invest in High-Quality, Short-Term Fixed Income

• Generally,longermaturitybondsentailmorerisk• Investorsaretypicallynotproperlycompensatedforthatadditionalrisk(seechartbelow)• However,higher-quality,shortermaturitiescanhelpdampenportfoliovolatility

Risk and Rewards Examined for Bonds

1964 – 2009

One-Month U.S. Six-Month U.S. One-Year U.S. Five-Year U.S. Twenty-Year U.S.Maturity Treasury Bills Treasury Bills Treasury Notes Treasury Notes Government Bonds

Annualized Compound Return (%) 5.57 6.33 6.53 7.27 7.31

Annualized Standard Deviation (%) 1.38 1.74 2.33 6.24 11.20

12%10%

8%6%4%2%0%

Annualized Standard DeviationAnnualized Total Return

Source:One-MonthU.S.TreasuryBills,Five-YearU.S.TreasuryNotes,andTwenty-Year(Long-Term)U.S.GovernmentBondsprovidedbyIbbotsonAssociates.Six-MonthU.S.TreasuryBillsprovidedbyCRSP(1964-1977)andMerrillLynch(1978-present).One-YearU.S.TreasuryNotesprovidedbytheCenterforResearchinSecurityPrices(1964-May1991)andMerrillLynch(June1991-present).Morningstardata©2009Stocks,Bonds,Bills,andInflationYearbook(2009),Morningstar.TheMerrillLynchIndicesareusedwithpermission;copyright2010MerrillLynch,Pierce,Fenner&SmithIncorporated;allrightsreserved.Assumesreinvestmentofdividends.Pastperformanceisnotindicativeoffutureresults.Allinvestmentsinvolverisk.Standarddeviationannualizedfromquarterlydata.Standarddeviationisastatisticalmeasurementofhowfarthereturnofasecurity(orindex)movesaboveorbelowitsaveragevalue.Thegreaterthestandarddeviation,theriskieraninvestmentisconsideredtobe.

STRUCTURED INVESTING — 11

U.S.Outperforms

Page 14: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

9Materials Provided by LWI Financial Inc., (“Loring Ward”).Securities offered through Loring Ward Securities Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. 07-037 (3/08)

7. Small Company Investing

Investing in the stocks of smaller, lesser-known companies can also affect long-term returns. Generally, “small” company stocks have a market value that falls within the smallest 10% of the market universe. “Large” company stocks are typically represented by the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) and include well-established companies with relatively high stock market value.

Historical data suggests the expected returns of small company stocks are higher than those of large company stocks in both U.S. and international markets. However, there are higher risks associated with less-established companies, and such investments may under perform the market for certain periods of time. Historical data indicates that a combination of large and small company investments tends to increase returns while reducing risk due to the different movements among the two asset classes. The chart below shows the years when small company stocks outperformed large company stocks and when large company stocks outperformed small company stocks.

How comfortable are you with including small company investments in your portfolio?

q I am comfortable with small company investments.

q I am somewhat comfortable with small company investments.

q I am not very comfortable with small company investments.

Past performance is not indicative of future performance. All investments involve risk, including loss of principal.

Data Source: CRPS, January 2008. Note: Performance results do not represent actual trading, but were achieved using backtesting with the benefit of hindsight; actual results may vary. Hypothetical portfolios may not reflect the impact material economic and market factors might have had on an advisor’s decision-making if an advisor were actually managing client’s money at that time. Assumes dividend and capital gain reinvestment. Returns are before fees. All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. Foreign and small company securities involve additional risks. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Asset allocation models may not be suitable for all investors.

12-Month Rolling Returns1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007

Large and Small Company Investing

60%

40%

20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Large stocks outperform small stocks

Small stocks outperform large stocks

Perc

ent O

utpe

rfrom

ance

Customize Your Portfolio

Your Portfolio Should Reflect Your Unique Situation • Whatisyourtimehorizon?

• Whatisyourtoleranceforrisk?

• Doyouneedincomeorliquidity?

• Howcomfortableareyouwith:

– Internationalinvesting?

– Smallcompanystocks?

– Valuestocks?

• Otherconsiderations?

Using our Investor Profile Questionnaire we will work with you to answer these questions

6Materials Provided by LWI Financial Inc., (“Loring Ward”).Securities offered through Loring Ward Securities Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. 07-037 (3/08)

3. Liquidity Requirements

Beyond stated income requirements, will you require a significant withdrawal of principal from this portfolio in the next five years? If yes, please indicate the estimated amount of the withdrawal as a percentage of your portfolio:

q No q 1-20% q 20-40%q 40-60% q 60-80% q 80-100%

4. Risk Tolerance

Below is a series of hypothetical portfolios. The best potential gains, worst potential losses and average returns are presented. Note that the portfolio with the best potential gain and average return also had the largest potential loss. Which portfolio would you be most comfortable owning?

q Defensive q Conservativeq Balancedq Moderate q Aggressiveq Very Aggressive

Past performance is not indicative of future performance. All investments involve risk, including loss of principal.

For illustrative purposes only.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%-30%-40% -20% -10%

55%

50%

45%

40%

35%

30%

13%

12%

11%

10%

9%

8%

-35%

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

Worst Returns Average Returns Best Returns

5Materials Provided by LWI Financial Inc., (“Loring Ward”).Securities offered through Loring Ward Securities Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. 07-037 (3/08)

Goals

What is (are) your goal(s) for this portfolio?

q Retirement q Major Purchase/Expense q Education Fundingq Gift/Donationsq Other: _______________________

This section will help assess investment objectives, liquidity preferences, time horizon, risk tolerance, and investment attitudes to determine an appropriate portfolio allocation.

The suggested model portfolio in Investment Planning Center can be fully customized based on other planning factors not assessed in this profile. A custom allocation can be written in the Investment Policy Statement information section on page 10 for later entry into Investment Planning Center.

Risk Tolerance

1. Time Horizon

An important consideration is your investment time horizon, or the length of time these funds will remain in-vested. For how long do you plan to invest before you begin making substantial withdrawals from this portfolio?

q Less than 1 year q 1-5 year q 5-10 yearsq 10-15 yearsq 15-20 yearsq 20 years or more

2. Income Requirements

Your need for current income from your portfolio is an important factor in determining asset allocation. What are your current income requirements from this portfolio per year?

q 0%q 0-2%q 2-4% q 4-5%q 5-6% q 6% plus*

*Historical data indicates that distribution rates in excess of 6% per year are typically difficult to sustain over time. Source: Center for Research of Security Prices, January 2008.

1Materials Provided by LWI Financial Inc., (“Loring Ward”).Securities offered through Loring Ward Securities Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. 07-037 (3/08)

Investor Profile Questionnaire

The following information is necessary to conduct portfolio analysis, formulate recommendations, and generate an Investment Policy Statement. All information will be kept confidential.

Table of Contents Page

• Personal Information ...........................................................1

• Current Investments .............................................................2

• Portfolio Strategy Profile .....................................................5

• Investment Policy Statement Information ..................... 10

• Appendix (additional forms and fund list) ..................... 11

Personal Information

Today’s Date: ___________

Client Name: Co-Client Name:_______________________________________ _______________________________________Gender: q Male q Female q Male q Female Social Security #: _________________________ Social Security #: _________________________Date of Birth: ___________________________ Date of Birth: ___________________________

q Married q Single q Divorced q Widowed q Married q Single q Divorced q WidowedEmail Address: ___________________________ _______________________________________

Employment Status/Occupation: q Employed q Business Owner q Employed q Business Owner q Unemployed q Retired q Unemployed q Retired

Annual Income: __________________________ Annual Income: _________________________Tax Rate: ______________________________ _ Tax Rate (if different) ____________________Net Worth: ______________________________ Net Worth (if different) ___________________Primary Address for Account: _______________ Secondary Address for Account ____________________________________________________ ______________________________________ Dependent Information (attach separate sheet if necessary)

First Middle Last Name Relationship Gender Date of Birth_________________ ________________ _________________ ____________ ______ _____ _________________ ________________ _________________ ____________ ______ _____ _________________ ________________ _________________ ____________ ______ _____ _________________ ________________ _________________ ____________ ______ _____

Structured Investing

In An Unstructured World

Investor Profile Questionnaire

Materials Provided by LWI Financial Inc., (“Loring Ward”).Securities offered through Loring Ward Securities Inc., member FINRA/SIPC.

12 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

Page 15: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Constructing Your Portfolio • Thereare270Structured Investingportfolios,coveringawiderangeofinvestorgoalsandrisktolerances.

Alloftheseportfoliosareconstructedusingourinvestmentphilosophyandmethodology

• BasedonyouranswerstotheInvestorProfileQuestionnaire,wewillidentifywhichofthe270portfoliossuitsyouandyourinvestmentobjectives,comfortwithriskandtimehorizon

• Structured Investingportfoliosvaryintermsofcompositionandassetclassweighting,buttheyallsharethegoalofcapturingmarketreturnswhileminimizingvolatilityfortheselectedlevelofrisk

Once your portfolio is constructed, we will work with you to keep aligned with your long-term goals

TheextensivediversificationachievedthroughtheStructured Investingapproachdoesnotguaranteeaprofitorprotectagainstaloss.Theinvestmentreturnandtheprincipalvalueofyourportfoliowillfluctuate,andatanypoint,maybeworthmoreorlessthanyouroriginalinvestment

Equity Portfolio Cash 2%Fixed Income 13%U.S. Market 18%U.S. Value 15%U.S. Small 13% International Large Value 22%International Small 9% Emerging Markets 3% REITs 5%

15% Cash & Fixed Income, 85% Equity

74% Cash & Fixed Income, 26% Equity Cash 4%Fixed Income 69%U.S. Market 5%U.S. Value 5%U.S. Small 3% International Large Value 8%International Small 3%REITs 3%

Defensive Portfolio

Your Portfolio

?

STRUCTURED INVESTING — 13

Page 16: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured Investing Approach

Stay focused on the long term

• Lackofdiscipline,emotionandtryingtotimethemarketcanaffectyourlong-terminvestingsuccess• MakesureyouareguidedbyaninvestmentpolicyRegularly review your portfolio

• Makeadjustmentsdependingonchangesinyourlife• RebalanceperiodicallytokeepyourportfolioalignedwithyourgoalsDon’t go it alone

• AnindependentFinancialAdvisorcanhelpyoustayontrackandfocusedonyourlong-termgoals

Behavioral FinanceDaniel Kahneman, PrincetonNobel Prize in Economics, 2002

• Appliesscientificresearchonhumanandsocialcognitiveandemotionalbiasestobetterunderstandeconomicdecisionsandhowtheyaffectmarketprices,investmentreturns,allocationofresources

• Concernedwiththeeconomicrationality/irrationalityofhumanpsychology.Themoreemotionalanevent,thelesssensiblepeopleare

Exercise Patience & Discipline

14 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

Page 17: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

OPTIMISTIC

EXCITED

ELATED

CONCERNED

NERVOUS

ALARMED

FRIGHTENED

RELIEVED

OPTIMISTIC

Greatest Potential Risk

Greatest Potential Opportunity

“Time to buy”

“Time to re-evaluate”“Time to sell”

“Time is only temporary”

Forillustrationpurposesonly

The Cycle of Market Emotions

Emotion often leads to trying to time markets

STRUCTURED INVESTING — 15

Page 18: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

$54,118$49,604

$40,194

$25,217

$16,993

TotalPeriod

Missed 1Best Day

Missed 5Best Days

Missed 15Best Days

Missed 15Best Days

Missed 25Best Days

“Time in” vs. “Timing” the Market

Performance of the S&P 500 Index 1970 – 2009

Annualized Compound Return 9.81% 9.57% 8.64% 8.02% 3.66%

Exercise Patience & Discipline

16 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

PerformancedataforJanuary1970-August2009providedbyCRSP;performancedataforSeptember2008-December2009providedbyBloomberg.TheS&PdataareprovidedbyStandard&Poor’sIndexServicesGroup.CRSPdataprovidedbytheCenterforResearchinSecurityPrices,UniversityofChicago.USbondsandbillsdata©Stocks,Bonds,Bills,andInflationYearbook™,IbbotsonAssociates,Chicago(annuallyupdatedworkbyRogerG.IbbotsonandRexA.Sinquefield).Indexesarenotavailablefordirectinvestment.Theirperformancedoesnotreflecttheexpensesassociatedwiththemanagementofanactualportfolio.Pastperformanceisnotaguaranteeoffutureresults.Valueschangefrequentlyandpastperformancemaynotberepeated.Thereisalwaystheriskthataninvestormaylosemoney.

TotalPeriod

Missed 1Best Day

Missed 5Best Day

Missed 10Best Day

One-Month T-Bills

$4,311,873$5,000,000

$4,500,000

$4,000,000

$3,500,000

$3,000,000

$2,500,000

$2,000,000

$1,500,000

$1,000,000

$500,000

$0

$917,580

$2,186,801$2,749,882

$3,875,875

Growth of $100,000

Page 19: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

14%

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%Barclay’s

Bond IndexAverage EquityFund Investor

Inflation Average FixedIncome Investor

S&P 500Index

Annualized Compound Return 9.81% 9.57% 8.64% 8.02% 3.66%

Stay the Course

Average Investor vs. Major Indices 1989 – 2008

STRUCTURED INVESTING — 17

AveragestockinvestorandaveragebondinvestorperformanceswereusedfromaDALBARstudy,QuantitativeAnalysisofInvestorBehavior(QAIB),12/2008.QAIBcalculatesinvestorreturnsasthechangeinassetsafterexcludingsales,redemptions,andexchanges.Thismethodofcalculationcapturesrealizedandunrealizedcapitalgains,dividends,interest,tradingcosts,salescharges,fees,expenses,andanyothercosts.Aftercalculatinginvestorreturnsindollarterms(above),twopercentagesarecalculated:Totalinvestorreturnratefortheperiodandannualizedinvestorreturnrate.Totalreturnrateisdeterminedbycalculatingtheinvestorreturndollarsasapercentageofthenetofthesales,redemptions,andexchangesfortheperiod.Thefactthatbuy-and-holdhasbeenasuccessfulstrategyinthepastdoesnotguaranteethatitwillcontinuetobesuccessfulinthefuture.

8.35%7.4%

1.9%2.9%

.77%

S&P 500Index

Barclay’s Bond Index

Average EquityFund Investor

Inflation Average Fixed Income Investor

14%

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%

Page 20: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

exercise patience & Discipline

Rebalance to Maintain Selected Asset Class Ranges

• Helpsensurethatyourportfolioremainsalignedwithyourgoals,risktoleranceandtimehorizon• Designedtopreventportfolio“drift”• Withoutrebalancing,changesinvalueofaportfolio’sassetsovertimecanimpactportfolio’s

assetallocation

Stocks 50%

1989 2009

Stocks 44%

Bonds 50% Bonds 56%

DataSource:CenterforResearchinSecurityPrices(CRSP)(January2009).

18 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

Rebalance to Maintain Selected Asset Class Ranges

Page 21: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

ABC Advisors Quarterly StatementMarch 31, 2008

Monitor Regularly

• Helpsanswer:“HowamIdoing?”• Designedtoensurechangesinyourlifeorfinancialsituationarereflectedinyourinvestmentplan• Includesregularcommunicationsandclearandconcisereporting

18 — STRUCTURED INVESTING STRUCTURED INVESTING — 19

Page 22: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Work with an Independent Financial Advisor

• Providesyouwithadvice,guidance,monitoringanddiscipline

• Canhelpyouaddressawiderangeofinvestmentandfinancialneeds

• IndependentFinancialAdvisorswhooffertheStructured Investingapproachhavealegalresponsibilityto:

1.Actineachclient’sbestinterestswiththeskill,careanddiligenceofaprudentexpert

2.Providequalificationsandcompensationinwriting

3.Discloseconflictsofinterest

Independent Financial Advisors who offer the

Structured Investing approach have a

duty of loyalty, care and competence and

are held to a high standard of trust

Structured Investing

Structured InvestingIn An Unstructured World

20 — STRUCTURED INVESTING

Page 23: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11
Page 24: Si Brochure 3 10 8 5x11

Structured Investing

In An Unstructured World

LWI Financial Inc. (“Loring Ward”). Securities offered through Loring Ward Securities Inc. (or your advisor’s affiliates), member FINRA/SIPC

10-071 (03/10)