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SYNOPSIS
Shriram City is India's premier
financial services Company
specializing in the retail finance and
the only deposit- accepting non-
banking financial company (NBFC)
to offer a comprehensive range of
loans.
During the quarter ended, the
robust growth of Net Profit is
increased by 42.25% to Rs.834.60
million.
Net Sales and PAT of the company
are expected to grow at a CAGR of
33% and 31% over 2010 to 2013E
respectively.
Shriram City Union Finance Ltd
has allotted 32,000 equity shares to
19 employees at the Allotment
Committee on May 04, 2012.
Shriram City Union Finance Ltd is
certified ISO/IEC 27001:2005.
Years Net sales EBITDA Net Profit EPS P/E
FY 11 13180.00 9565.60 2405.90 48.56 12.87
FY 12E 20182.64 15293.74 3450.69 69.18 9.03
FY 13E 25026.47 18738.10 4337.17 86.95 7.19
Stock Data:
Sector: Financial Services
Face Value Rs. 10.00
52 wk. High/Low (Rs.) 679.95/461.15
Volume (2 wk. Avg.) 259.00
BSE Code 532498
Market Cap (Rs in mn) 31175.00
Share Holding Pattern
1 Year Comparative Graph
BSE SENSEX SHRIRAM CITY UNION FINANCE
C.M.P: Rs. 625.00 Target Price: Rs. 706.00 Date: May 12th 2012
BUY
SHRIRAM CITY UNION FINANCE LTD
Result Update: Q3 FY 12
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Peer Group Comparison
Name of the company CMP(Rs.) Market Cap. (Rs.Mn.) EPS(Rs.)
P/E(x) P/Bv(x) Dividend (%)
Shriram City Union
Finance Ltd 625.00 31175.00 48.56 12.87 2.55 60.00 Power
Finance
Corporation 145.40 191918.10 21.37 6.80 1.21 50.00
Bajaj Finance 860.20 35542.70 89.35 9.63 2.61 100.00 Mahindra
& Mahindra
Financial Services 659.00 68537.80 59.62 11.05 2.20 100.00
Investment Highlights
Q3 FY12 Results Update
Shriram City Union Finance Ltd has reported net profit of Rs
834.60 million for the
quarter ended on December.31, 2011 as against Rs.586.70 million
in the same
quarter last year, an increase of 42.25%. It has reported net
sales of Rs 5365.40
million for the quarter ended on December.31, 2011 as against Rs
3419.50 million
in the same quarter last year, a rise of 56.91%. Total income
grew by 57.27% to Rs
5379.20 million from Rs.3420.40 million in the same quarter last
year. During the
quarter, it reported earnings of Rs 16.73 a share.
Quarterly Results - Standalone (Rs in mn)
As At Dec-11 Dec-10 %change
Net sales 5365.40 3419.50 56.91
PAT 834.60 586.70 42.25
Basic EPS 16.73 11.86 41.06
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� Break up of Expenditure
Company Profile
Shriram City Union Finance Ltd was incorporated in the year
March 27, 1986 as a
private limited company with the name Shriram Hire Purchase
Finance Pvt Ltd. The
company started their operations with truck financing. In
October 29, 1988, the
company became a public limited company and the name was changed
to Shriram
Hire Purchase Finance Ltd. Consequently, the name of the company
was changed to
Shriram City Union Finance Ltd. The company is registered as a
deposit taking asset
financing NBFC with RBI and went public in the year 1994.
The company became the subsidiary of Shriram Enterprise Holdings
Pvt Ltd in the
year April 24, 2007, the company promoted a subsidiary company,
namely Shriram
Non Conventional Energy Ltd. The company decided to set up a
wholly owned
subsidiary company for doing housing finance, mortgage finance,
other related
finances and such other activities as may be decided from time
to time.
It is India's premier financial services company, specializing
in the retail finance. The
company is a part of three decade-old Chennai-based Shriram
Group, India's premier
financial services chain. The range of services offered by the
company is financing for
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consumer durables, two wheelers, three wheelers, four wheeler
finance, both new and
pre-owned, passenger and commercial, personal loans, small
business loans and loan
against gold. They have over 650 business outlets across the
country. The company
has tie-ups with major dealers and top manufacturers across the
country, giving them
the advantage of quick pay-offs and sanction of loans. They
focus on semi urban and
rural areas with products routed through either chit fund
network of Shriram Chits or
non chit fund network including dealers
Shriram City Union Finance Ltd is ISO/IEC 27001:2005
certified.
Groups
Shriram group had its humble beginning in the chit fund business
over the three
decades ago R. Thyagarajan, AVS Raja and T Jayaraman were the
three musketeers
ventured in the three business and also in the financial servies
industry at that time
this small chit funds business in chennai would indeed the
foundation for the
financial conglomerate.
• Commerical Vehicle Financing
• Consumer & Enterprise Finance
• Retail stock broking
• Life Insurance
• General Insurance
• Chit Funds
• Distribution of Invesment & Insurance Products
Products
The company offers the following products:
• Auto Finance
• Two Wheelers Finance
• Personal Finance
• Loan against Gold
• Small Enterprise finance
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� Business Outlets
• Punjab
• Haryana
• Rajasthan
• Gujarat
• Maharastra
• Goa
• Karnataka
• Kerala
• Jammu & Kashmir
• Himachal Pradesh
• Uttar Pradesh
• Delhi
• Jharkhand
• Chattisgarh
• Madhya Pradesh
• Andhra Pradesh
• Tamil Nadu
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Financial Results
12 Months Ended Profit & Loss Account (Standalone)
Value(Rs.in.mn) FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E
Description 12m 12m 12m 12m
Net Sales 10720.50 13180.00 20182.64 25026.47
Other Income 307.90 29.10 185.18 218.51
Total Income 11028.40 13209.10 20367.82 25244.99
Expenditure -2847.20 -3643.50 -5074.09 -6506.88
Operating Profit 8181.20 9565.60 15293.74 18738.10
Interest -5272.20 -5884.80 -10038.42 -12146.49
Gross profit 2909.00 3680.80 5255.32 6591.61
Depreciation -46.50 -74.70 -131.63 -156.64
Profit Before Tax 2862.50 3606.10 5123.69 6434.98
Tax -920.00 -1200.20 -1673.00 -2097.80
Profit After Tax 1942.50 2405.90 3450.69 4337.17
Equity capital 491.50 495.40 498.80 498.80
Reserves 9280.30 11638.20 15088.89 19426.07
Face value 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
EPS 39.52 48.56 69.18 86.95
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Quarterly Ended Profit & Loss Account (Standalone)
Value(Rs.in.mn) 30-Jun-11 30-Sep-11 31-Dec-11 31-Mar-12E
Description 3m 3m 3m 3m
Net sales 4151.30 4764.00 5365.40 5901.94
Other income 131.40 24.80 13.80 15.18
Total Income 4282.70 4788.80 5379.20 5917.12
Expenditure -972.00 -1171.60 -1455.00 -1475.49
Operating profit 3310.70 3617.20 3924.20 4441.64
Interest -2106.30 -2364.60 -2651.20 -2916.32
Gross profit 1204.40 1252.60 1273.00 1525.32
Depreciation -26.30 -27.10 -36.90 -41.33
Profit Before Tax 1178.10 1225.50 1236.10 1483.99
Tax -374.30 -414.90 -401.50 -482.30
Profit After Tax 803.80 810.60 834.60 1001.69
Equity capital 497.30 497.60 498.80 498.80
Face value 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
EPS 16.16 16.29 16.73 20.08
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Key Ratios
Particulars FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E
No. of Shares(in mn) 49.15 49.54 49.88 49.88
EBITDA Margin (%) 76.31% 72.58% 75.78% 74.87%
PBT Margin (%) 26.70% 27.36% 25.39% 25.71%
PAT Margin (%) 18.12% 18.25% 17.10% 17.33%
P/E Ratio (x) 15.81 12.87 9.03 7.19
ROE (%) 19.88% 19.83% 22.14% 21.77%
ROCE (%) 14.58% 11.29% 16.67% 18.76%
Debt Equity Ratio 4.78 6.04 4.94 4.05
EV/EBITDA (x) 3.75 3.24 2.04 1.66
Book Value (Rs.) 198.82 244.93 312.50 399.46
P/BV 3.14 2.55 2.00 1.56
Charts
Net Sales & PAT
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P/E Ratio
Debt Equity Ratio
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EV/EBITDA Ratio
P/BV Ratio
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Outlook and Conclusion
At the current market price of Rs.625.00, the stock is trading
at 9.03 x FY12E
and 7.19 x FY13E respectively.
Earning per share (EPS) of the company for the earnings for
FY12E and FY13E
is seen at Rs.69.18 and Rs.86.95 respectively.
Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR
of 33% and
31% over 2010 to 2013E respectively.
On the basis of EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at 2.04 x for FY12E
and 1.66 x for
FY13E.
Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 2.00 x and
1.56 x
respectively for FY12E and FY13E.
We expect that the company will keep its growth story in the
coming quarters
also. We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target
price of
Rs.706.00 for Medium to Long term investment.
Industry Overview
The Indian financial services industry has a lot of scope for
further penetration, and
thus has immense scope and potential to grow exponentially. The
online genre, mobile
explosion, emergence of social media platforms, technologies
like cloud computing and
increasing pace of convergence and interconnectivity of devices
are intensely driving
the growth of this industry. These are playing pivotal roles in
transforming the way
financial services are delivered to the end-consumer. Further,
financial institutions are
revamping their operational infrastructure and business delivery
models.
Financial services industry mainly comprises the BFSI industry,
that is, banking,
financial services (such as mutual funds) and insurance. Key
developments and
performance pointers pertaining to each of these sub-segments
are discussed in this
overview.
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Insurance Sector
There are 24 life insurers in India with about Rs 15 trillion
(US$ 292.5 billion) in
assets.
According to data released by the Insurance Regulatory and
Development Authority
(IRDA), the life insurance industry collected Rs 89,655.83 crore
(US$ 17.5 billion)
during April 2011-February 2012 by writing new policies while
the insurers sold about
35.12 million policies collectively. Private players sold seven
million policies.
The general insurance industry continued with its growth
trajectory as the gross
written premium grew 24.03 per cent during 2011-12 against the
year-ago period.
Banking Services
According to the world's largest rating agency, Standard &
Poor (S&P)'s Ratings
Services, India's banking system has a high level of stable,
core customer deposits
supported by the system's good franchise, extensive branch
networks, and large, yet
growing, domestic savings.
• According to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)'s 'Quarterly
Statistics on Deposits
and Credit of Scheduled Commercial Banks', September 2011,
Nationalised
Banks, as a group, accounted for 52.2 per cent of the aggregate
deposits, while
State Bank of India (SBI) and its associates accounted for 21.8
per cent. The
share of New private sector banks, Old private sector banks,
Foreign banks and
Regional Rural banks in aggregate deposits was 13.7 per cent,
4.8 per cent, 4.6
per cent and 2.9 per cent, respectively.
• With respect to gross bank credit also, nationalised banks
hold the highest
share of 51.6 per cent in the total bank credit, with SBI and
its associates at
22.1 per cent and New Private sector banks at 13.8 per cent.
Foreign banks,
Old private sector banks and Regional Rural banks held
relatively lower shares
in the total bank credit with 5.2 per cent, 4.8 per cent and 2.5
per cent,
respectively.
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• Another statement released by the RBI stated that bank
deposits grew 13.4 per
cent to Rs 60.72 trillion (US$ 1.18 trillion) in the fiscal
2011-12 (the year to
March 23, 2011) while loans and advances grew 17.08 percent to
Rs 47.54
trillion (US$ 927.16 billion).
Mutual Funds Industry in India
The Rs 6.70 trillion (US$ 130.66 billion) Indian mutual funds
(MF) industry has 44
asset management companies (AMCs). Recent data released by the
Association of
Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) indicated that average assets under
management (AUM)
reported by these fund houses amounted to Rs 6,68,824 crore (US$
130.33 billion) in
2011-12.
HDFC Mutual Fund maintained its top position as the country's
biggest MF with an
average AUM of Rs 89,879 crore (US$ 17.51 billion), followed by
Reliance MF (Rs
78,112 crore [US$ 15.22 billion]), ICICI Prudential MF (Rs
68,718 crore [US$ 13.39
billion]), Birla Sun life MF (Rs 61,143 crore [US$ 11.92
billion]) and UTI MF (Rs 58,922
crore [US$ 11.48 billion]).
Private Equity (PE) and Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) in
India
India Inc witnessed 202 merger and acquisition (M&A) deals
worth US$ 9.4 billion
during the first quarter of 2012. According to Ernst & Young
(E&Y)'s latest
transactions quarterly report, deals in January-March 2012 were
22 per cent higher
than those of October-December 2011 quarter in terms of volume
and 4.5 times higher
in terms of value. Domestic deals dominated the M&A space as
they accounted for 63
per cent of the total number of deals and contributed 88.4 per
cent of the total
disclosed deal value for the quarter.
According to experts, M&A landscape is likely to experience
intense activity in the
coming months, owing to improving stock markets and better
availability of finance
options.
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Private equity (PE) and venture capital (VC) investors infused a
capital of US$ 1.88
billion across 90 deals during the reported period.
Foreign Institutional Investors in India
According to the data released by Securities and Exchange Board
of India (SEBI), net
investment in equities made by foreign institutional investors
(FIIs) stood at Rs 47,935
crore (US$ 9.34 billion) during the financial year ended March
31, 2012. During the
reported fiscal, foreign fund houses injected Rs 49,053 crore
(US$ 9.56 billion) in the
debt market taking the collective net investments by FIIs in
stocks and bonds to Rs
93,725 crore (US$ 18.26 billion).
Recent Developments
• India has launched the country's first domestic payment card
network, RuPay,
to compete with multinational Visa Inc. and MasterCard Inc. The
new
development will not only help banks reduce cost of issuing a
debit card but
will also lead to expansion of payment network in rural areas.
National
Payments Corp of India Ltd (NPCI), the nodal agency to manage
and promote
RuPay, has stated that 200,000 RuPay cards have already been
issued and the
target is to have 10 million debit cards under the brand by
March 2013.
• Stating India as 'extraordinarily attractive investment
destination', PE firm Bain
Capital LLC has announced that it will infuse about US$ 800
million in
appropriate proposals across four investment deals during
2012-16.
• L&T Finance has decided to buy Fidelity Worldwide
Investment's Indian mutual
fund business. The deal would boost L&T's assets to Rs
13,500 crore (US$ 2.63
billion), making it the 13th biggest fund house and the 10th
largest on the basis
of equity.
• In a recent announcement, the RBI has granted FIIs to invest
in primary
issuances of companies' non-convertible debentures (NCDs),
provided these
papers are scheduled to be listed on the stock exchanges within
15 days of
being issued. If the instrument, that is the NCD, does not get
listed within 15
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15
days, the foreign investor concerned would have to sell the
securities to a domestic
investor.
Government Initiatives
In its Budget for 2012-13, the Government has earmarked a
capital of Rs 15,888 crore
(US$ 3.11 billion) to be infused in public sector banks,
regional rural banks and other
financial institutions. Apart from this, the Government is also
planning to set up a
financial holding company that will raise funds for public
sector banks.
Furthermore, the RBI has liberalised regulations pertaining to
FCAs to provide
operational flexibility to Indian entities making overseas
direct investments. After
satisfying stipulated requirements and conditions, Indian
entities can open, hold and
maintain FCAs abroad that would simplify the process of making
overseas direct
investments.
Road Ahead
According to a report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG)
India, prepared in
association with a leading industry organisation and Indian
Banks Associations (IBA),
Indian banking industry would be the world's third largest in
asset size by 2025 and
mobile banking would become the second largest banking mode
after ATMs.
Furthermore, owing to the positive eco-system of the industry
and regulatory and
Government initiatives, mobile banking is anticipated to enhance
from 0.1 per cent of
transactions in a 45 per cent financial inclusion base in 2010
to 34 per cent of the
transactions with 80 per cent rural inclusion base by 2020, as
per the report.
While the Indian Government projects that qualified foreign
investors (QFIs) would
invest US$ 50-75 billion in India's equity and bond markets, G
Chokkalingam,
Executive director and CIO, Centrum Wealth Management, believes
that Indian
markets would witness record inflows, probably to the extent of
US$ 30 billion, by FIIs
in 2012.
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Such positive forecasts are being made owing to monetary
expansions in the West and
considering that India would remain the second-fastest growing
economy in the world.
______________ ____ _________________________ Disclaimer:
This document prepared by our research analysts does not
constitute an offer or solicitation
for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an
official confirmation of any
transaction. The information contained herein is from publicly
available data or other
sources believed to be reliable but do not represent that it is
accurate or complete and it
should not be relied on as such. Firstcall India Equity Advisors
Pvt. Ltd. or any of it’s
affiliates shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or
damage that may arise to any
person from any inadvertent error in the information contained
in this report. This document
is provide for assistance only and is not intended to be and
must not alone be taken as the
basis for an investment decision.
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