SHORT VERSION: A New Green Economy

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

A New Green Economy



The power of our vision




than the power of our fears



Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Smithore Dreamstime.com


Burning fossil fuels anddestroying Earth’s forests



Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com


Wake up everybody!400 ppm in February 2015

“Such CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have likely not been seen since at least the end of the

Oligocene, 23 million years ago.” – Scientific American



A: Burning Earth’s fossil fuels

B: Destroying Earth’s forests





GDP =GrossDepletion of the

Planet





70%OF CANADIANS SUPPORT MOVING TO A

SYSTEM OF PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION








The Race to Zero Carbon

The Race to Zero Carbon


is the Race to 100% Renewable

Energy

is the Race to 100% Renewable

Energy








$10 SpecialPrice


Building a Sustainable Energy Future for British Columbia

BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org


Our vision is a sustainable future in which

all of BC’s energy

is green and renewable.


We don’t need to vilify fossil fuels. We can praise them, and

then say “Enough!”


For 300,000 years, we harvested the Sun’s energy through firewood


For 300 years, we have harvestedit from fossil fuels


It was fossil fuelsthat launched the Industrial Age

and the modern world.


It is fossil fuels that have made advanced engineering, solar PV and electric vehicles possible.


The Age of Fossil Fuels is the necessary

LAUNCH RAMPfor the Solar Age

30,000 yearsFirewood

300 yearsFossil Fuels

A billion yearsSolar Energy


The Age of Firewood

The Age of Fossil Fuels

The Solar Age


Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com

A billion years

The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.


Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com

The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.

And with every passing year, solar technology will improve

and fall in price.



So what is our vision of a beautiful, desirable future?



Sunmine, Kimberley, BC. 1.05 MW, 4,000 solar modules www.sunmine.ca


SALT SPRING’S SOLAR PRIDE

84 PV panels, 21 kw system installed on Gulf Islands Secondary School, Salt Spring


1977: $77

1997: $7

2013: $0.7

Price of Solar PVper Watt

A hundredfold fall in the price of solar PV

since 1977


Mass production = falling prices


Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comKagoshima Nanatsujima 70 MW Solar, Japan


More solar energy reaches Earth in an hour than humans use in a year.



10 kw system, $2.60 a watt


Solar railwayParis to

Amsterdam

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com Solar Stadium, Taiwan


$100B invested in wind or solar will produce more energy than oil - Kepler Chevreux, French investment bank,

September 2014


Bear Mountain Wind Farm, Tumbler Ridge, BC.


The Proposed Site C Dam on the Peace River

Big hydro – or wind, solar and geothermal?



For local transportation, we can have

Transportation without Oil and the economy will keep going

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comMake walking fun and joyful


Istanbul,Turkey


Seoul, South Korea


In Holland, cycling is the main mode of transport for 31% of the people

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com San Francisco Bike Lane

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com Vancouver Bike Lane




Electric Bikes

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comSolar electric bike, top speed 48 km/hr

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comSolar Bike Lane in Korea – 32 kilometres





Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com Better Local Transit


OLEVOn-Line Electric Vehicle, South Korea


Cisco Systems

Four people in Ottawa

Five people in Kelowna


More Safe Community Ride-Sharing


See

More Car Sharing

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com Peer-to-Peer Car-Sharing

Vehicle owners can earn up to $300 a month

www.relayrides.com


Sustainable urban design for walking, cycling and transit

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com More Electric Vehicles


Top

Hiroko EV


Top



Nissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range


Tesla Model X: 300-400 km range


Hybrid Trucks

VIA Motors V-Trux


More Hybrid Trucks

GM Silverado

GM Sierra



Honda solar electric car charging



No tax, saving $4,000.Annual driving fee 7 x cheaper than a regular car.No parking charges anywhere in Norway.

No ferry charges, no road tolls around Oslo.Allowed to drive in the bus lanes.Free municipal EV recharging.

Electricity $10 a week vs $55 for a regular car.Overall savings $369 a month.21 models to choose from.


$5,000 for a new EV

+ $3,250 for a clunker trade-in


The Falling Price of EV Lithium Batteries


Falling prices for battery packs may cause a surge in electric car sales

TechExplore.com


Siemens ZeroCat all-electric car ferry, Norway 120 cars +360 passengers

10 minutes recharge, 30-minute trip800 kw, 400 kw battery bank. 10 knots


WE CAN ACHIEVE

90% HEAT ENERGY

REDUCTIONIN NEW HOMES


Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Victoria, BC www.bernhardtpassive.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comUp to $600 for low-income attic insulation

Rolling in the Pink


Saving Energy – Happy to be a HERO

Up to $1,000 for basement insulation



Solar Air Source Heat Pump


GeothermalGround-sourceGeo-exchange

Heat Pump



Solar, Wind, Wave100% RenewablesGreen BuildingsGreen CitiesCyclingElectric TransitElectric CarsCarsharingOrganic FarmingEcoForestry

Green ChemistryBiomimicrySmart TechEducationInnovationSoftwareRobotics3-D PrintingSoul & Eco-TourismHolistic Healthcare

Saying YES to a New Green Economy




September 2014


Canada, population 35 million

500

6.6 73,000 26,000

Canada-wide

1.75

A very approximate sense of Canada’s gain

blog.floridaenergycenter.org



Natural gas:5 jobs per $1 million

Solar: 14.5 jobs per

$1 million

Building Retrofits:17 jobs per $1 million

Mass Transit:22 jobs per $1 million


Canada supports 18 million jobs

4.4% are via fossil fuels95% are not via fossil fuels


Jobs related to fossil fuels

All other jobs


The BEST future economy will be a green sustainable economy

with far less use of fossil fuels.

Leaving 80% of the fossil fuels in the ground will create

a better economy.

In a nutshell…



9.4m

2011

4.5m

NDP LIB

2.8m

OTHER1.6M

CON

5.8m



70%OF CANADIANS SUPPORT MOVING TO A

SYSTEM OF PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION





Dream itWish itDo it





If you want to make a difference, now would be a great time to do so.


The visions we offer our

children shape the future.

It matters what those visions

are. Carl Sagan


The whole future of the Earth seems to depend on the awakening of

our faith in the future.

- Pierre Teilhard de Chardin



www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey


Building a Sustainable Energy Future for British Columbia


www.bcsea.org



Why not join us, and become a Member? www.bcsea.org/join

SHORT VERSION: A New Green Economy

Environment

guy dauncey

age of fossil fuels

years fossil fuels

earths fossil fuels

years solar energy

solar age

age of firewood

years firewood