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Electronic copy available at:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=2249872
Short-termism of Institutional Investors and the
Double Agency Problem
Inaugural lecture
Given in abbreviated and modified form during the acceptation of
the
office of professor in Corporate Governance & Capital
Markets at
Nyenrode Business University on 25 June 2012
By
Prof. Dr. Paul Frentrop
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Electronic copy available at:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=2249872
2
Copyright 2012 Paul Frentrop
ISBN/EAN 978-90-8980-039-8
Nothing in this publication may be reproduced without the
written permission of the
author.
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Index of contents
Short-termism of institutional investors and the double agency
problem 1
Index of contents 3
1 Preface 5
2 The publicly traded company 10
3 The advent of the institutional investor 20
4 What does the long term mean? 29
5 The first agency issue 37
6 The second agency issue 43
7 Conclusion 51
Appendix: The long debate on the short term 61
Literature 73
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4
I have always been conscious of the fact that every guilder we
spend as a
government, we take from people, and that we should not spend
their
money lightly. [] One should use public resources as a gentleman
would
handle someone elses money, that is, even more carefully than
his own
money. Willem Drees.1
1 Drees. Zuinigheid. CD 2, no. 4.
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1 Preface
A hundred years ago, in May 1912, the US House of
Representatives
appointed a special committee named the Pujo committee after
its
chairman. Its aim was to investigate the influence of large
financiers, who, it
was feared, controlled the major part of the American business
community.
This Money Trust had to be brought down. And that is precisely
what
happened.2
Do we need a similar committee in the Netherlands? After all,
nowadays
board members of publicly traded companies are complaining that
the
constant pressure from investors who are exclusively focused on
the
quarterly figures is keeping them from making long-term
investments.3 And
in some cases, such opinions from managers reach the world at
large.
This took place, for example, in 2006, when Henk van der Kolk,
the
chairman of Dutch trade union FNV Bondgenoten, said that in
actual
practice he noticed that as a result of the threat of takeovers
companies
were induced to place greater focus on the near term: I hear
this from
captains of industry at Philips, Akzo and Unilever. The power
relations have
drastically changed. Board chairmen allow their policies to be
guided in part
by the possibility that their organisation will become an
acquisition target.
They want to increase shareholder value as quickly as possible.
And before
you know, this has a negative impact on the investments in
innovation and
research, which are precisely what fosters long-term business
continuity.4
Van der Kolks opinion was backed up by Aad Jacobs, a former
investor
and at the time the Chairman of the Supervisory Board of Royal
Dutch
2 The findings of this committee were presented in a series of
articles by Louis Brandeis, which were bundled in a 1914
publication entitled Other Peoples Money and how the bankers use
it. 3 Culpepper (2011) provides insight into the way in which such
topics are introduced into the political debate. 4 NRC Handelsblad,
26 August 2006. FNV Bondgenoten introduced a plan consisting of
seven points that were to stop the practice of stripping,
plundering and demolishing companies. Partnoy and Thomas (2005)
illustrate that this was a period in which American hedge funds
became increasingly active in enforcing changes in corporate
governance.
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6
Shell and VNU. In Jacobss view, the new breed of active investor
placed
too much focus on the near term [..] and the parting with
long-term
shareholders would put prudent entrepreneurship under pressure.
That
said, anyone will react testily when called a short-term
investor. If you ask
fund managers, they all consider themselves to be long-term
investors. But
in the meantime, they only keep shares in their portfolio for a
few months
on average. And they will drop their stake in a company at the
least sign of
adversity. The quarterly performance is sacred. 5
One of the lessons that the Dutch Socialist Party (SP) derived
from the
credit crisis in 2008 was the following: The excessive power
of
shareholders should be drastically curbed. On average, shares
now change
hands within the space of a single year. Shareholders focus too
much on the
near term. The power of shareholders, which was radically
expanded in
2004 as a result of the modification of the Structuurwet [Dutch
Two-Tier
Entity Act], should now be fundamentally limited. 6
In December 2011, Antony Burgmans, the chairman of the Banking
Code
Monitoring Committee, asked the Dutch Central Bank (DNB) to
organize a
debate on the question of whether banks require additional
protection
against shareholders who are focused on the near term. Can we
ignore this
many worries? Do investors represent a liability as a result of
their short-
term inclinations?
At the same time, many people are of the opinion that major
investors
should, on the contrary, interfere more in the policies of
enterprises.7
Perhaps because interfere has pejorative connotations, they use
the term
engagement. Led by their engagement, investors should
encourage
companies to improve their behavior with the regard to the
environment,
social issues and governance.
5 Financieele Dagblad, 15 February 2006. 6 As early as 27
October 2008, the SP presented the report Lessen uit de
Kredietcrisis [What the credit crisis has taught us], written by
Agnes Kant and Ewout Irrgang, then financial chairman and spokesman
for the SP parliamentary fraction, respectively. It is obvious why
the SP was able to derive that many lessons so quickly: the
socialists had been waiting continuously for the predicted crisis
in the capitalist system to occur. 7 On 9 January 2002, in a speech
entitled Institutionele beleggers en corporate governance: belegger
of aandeelhouder? [Institutional investors and corporate
governance: investor or shareholder?] at a symposium of Stichting
Corporate Governance Onderzoek voor Pensioenfondsen [Corporate
Governance Research for Pension Funds Foundation], Dutch Finance
Minister Zalm urged insurers and pension funds to exert their
control rights more actively.
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In the United Kingdom, this obligation has already been laid
down in the
Stewardship Code (2010). In the Netherlands, the investors
platform
Eumedion regards this as a best practice for its participants
(2011). All
around the world, investors are signing agreements stating they
will fulfill
the PRI principles of the United Nations, which were drawn up in
2005. In
doing so, they commit themselves to being an active owner of
the
company rather than a passive shareholder.
It seems there is a certain ambiguity at issue here. Are
investors involved
too much or too little in corporate policymaking? The Dutch
House of
Representatives knows how to handle this type of paradox. For
years, it has
taken the view that short-time investors should be kept at bay,
if not
penalized, while long-term investors should be rewarded.8 Short
term is bad
and long term is good seems to be the political motto.
It is a duty of the academia to put commonly held assumptions to
the test.
In general, shareholders do not have much say at publicly traded
companies,
and so far no clear-cut empirical answer has been given as to
whether they
foster short-term thinking.9 It is also difficult to determine
the nature of the
interaction between the management of companies and
shareholders.
What happens on the stock exchange, however, is visible at a
glance.10
Shares are changing hands much faster than in the past. On
various stock
exchanges worldwide, between 1991 and 2009 turnover increased
from 1.7
to 9.9 times more quickly than the price of the shares.11 This
development
is due in part to their use of new technological capabilities.12
Or can this
perhaps also be attributed to new behaviors of existing
shareholders? In the
1940s, American investors held on to their shares for seven
years on
average, and this term would hardly change until midway through
the 1970s.
From that point onwards, the retention period progressively
decreased. By
the time of the stock market crash of 1987, this period had
already
diminished to less than two years. Around 2000, the threshold of
one year
8 See Appendix. 9 Dent (2010) does not think this is the case;
Haldane (2011) suggests that it is. 10 Although we no longer have a
full view of all the trading on stock changes. Part of it takes
place via private trade exchange platforms and dark pools. 11 OECD
(2012). 12 High Frequency Trading represents an estimated 30 40 %
of the European stock trading market (Haldane, 2010) and more than
half the trade volume in the United States, compared with 26% in
2006. (research by the Tabb Group, cited in Wall Street Journal
Europe, 10 May 2012).
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8
was broken, and in 2007 the average period that a stock would
not change
hands in the United States remained stable at seven
months.13
For Dutch investment funds that publish their turnover figures,
turnover
velocities strongly vary, but on average they retain stocks in
their portfolio
less than a year.14 Pension funds do not publish the retention
periods for
shares, although it seems likely that in the forty years that an
employee
accumulates his pension, the pension funds portfolio will be
completely
change at least eight times.15
Turnover velocity of domestic shares in %
16
1995 2000 2005 2009 2010
NYSE (USA) 55.5 87.7 99.1 158.7 130.2
Nasdaq 228.1 383.9 250.4 492.3 340.4
NYSE (Eur)17 43.5 97.6 112.8 83.9 76.5
London SE 40.5 69.3 110.1 91.1 76.1
Tokyo 26.0 58.5 115.3 119.7 109.6
Hong Kong 34.3 60.9 50.3 79.0 62.2
Small wonder, then, that references to increasingly short-term
thinking find
fertile ground. The directors of listed companies say, what
business do I
have with shareholders who will be gone next year?
But how does stock trading relate to enterprise policy? How does
the
increased stock trade impact companies, institutional investors
and
corporate governance (the interaction between the two)? Is it
true that
institutional investors are increasingly focused on the near
term? And if so,
does this make companies less inclined to make long-term
investments? In
13 Haldane (2010). 14 Looking at more than 50 stock funds of
ING(L), the Invest Europe Opportunities Fund reports turnover of
479 per cent for 2011, while the Japan Fund has a yield of less
than 2 per cent. Approximately half the ING (L) funds have turnover
of over 100 per cent. 15 Slager (2012). 16 Source:
www.world.exchanges.org/statistics. It should be noted that the
data on stock trading requires further analysis. For instance, in
2010 trading at the London Stock Exchange represented 1,976 billion
Pounds Sterling, as compared with 1,952 billion Pounds Sterling
last year. Combined with the trading at the PLUS Market as well as
various Multilateral Trading Facilities, the value of the stock
trading in London represented 3,340 billion Pounds Sterling in that
year. (Source: Trends in UK Financial and Professional Services,
www.thecityuk.com) 17 The data up to and including 2000 apply to
the Amsterdam exchange.
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that case, should policy be created to counter this trend? These
are
questions that will we will delve into in this discussion.
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10
2 The publicly traded company
I recently read about a small Somali town named Harardhere that
features a
exchange where people can buy and sell shares in planned pirate
ventures.
There is a lively trade. The financiers and their political
allies eventually
receive half the ransom, which amounts to between 3 and 5
million Euros
per vessel. The other half of the ransom is divided among the
crew (30 per
cent), the ground troops (10 per cent) and the local warlord.
[..] And there is
a incentive prize in the form of a single passenger car. This is
the usual
reward for the pirate who is the first to board the targeted
ship.18
Those who are surprised to hear that stock trading takes place
in such a
seemingly remote location will know what the king of Hispania
felt four
centuries ago when confronted by the flourishing stock trading
in the
remote city of Amsterdam, where the Dutch East and West
Indies
Companies brought ashore the goods they had seized, for the
benefit of
their shareholders and the local warlord a certain Maurits, the
son of
William of Orange.
What we see happening in Harardhere in 2012 and what has been
going on
in Amsterdam since 1602 is the creation of the publicly traded
company.
The stock market and this company are not separate
phenomena.
Companies (organizations) can spontaneously create a capital
market
(institution), just as the foundation of football clubs results
in a football
league and subsequently a market for players and coaches.
It is a misconception to regard the stock exchange and companies
as
opposites. It is not as if industrious producers in cities and
villages create
long-term value by manufacturing sustainable goods while
speculators on
the exchange floor rush companies to a certain death in their
relentless hunt
18 Elsevier 2 April 2012.
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for short-term profit. On the contrary: listed companies and the
capital
market share as much of a symbiosis as flowers and bees. Stock
exchanges
help listed companies and vice versa.
If stock trading was not possible in Harardhere, the lives of
pirates would
be much more difficult. It would cost would-be pirates
substantially greater
effort to collect the funds required to purchase of a vessel and
weapons
from friends and acquaintances if the latter did not know they
can monetize
their stakes at any given moment, even before the pirates set
sail or while
they are still at sea.
Once a pirate has collected the required funds and starts
looking for a
vessel, a crew and ammunition, the capital market will remain of
use to him.
Lets say that one of his friends has invested a hundred Euros
and suddenly
falls ill or gets hurt (which I presume is a likely risk in a
place like
Harardhere). He now has to buy medication and needs his money
back.
Even a hardened pirate will not refuse such a request, but will
then fall a
hundred Euros short, which may jeopardize his entire expedition.
However,
thanks to the stock market, the company (pirate) does not have
to return
the money. The unfortunate investor can simply sell his share to
another
investor, while the capital invested in the company remains
unchanged and
the pirates venture can continue.
The ability to trade shares allows companies to invest over a
longer term
than the investment horizon of every participating shareholder.
The capital
market offers investors liquidity, without any cost to the
company.
The investment horizons of shareholders are no longer relevant.
There will
be shareholders who quickly sell their shares because they need
the
money for other purposes, or because they have found a better
investment
for their funds. There will be shareholders who will refrain
from buying or
selling for a long period. In short, there are short-term
investors and long-
term-investors among the shareholders. The great thing about
publicly
traded companies is that they cater to both types of investors
through the
capital market. People are free to buy or sell shares, with no
detriment to
the company. The composition of the general meeting of
shareholders may
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12
constantly change, while the company can simply continue to
execute its
strategy.
In this light, it is surprising that people fear the influence
of short-term
shareholders. After all, publicly traded companies are intended
for
shareholders with an investment horizon that is shorter than
that of the
company.
The number of shareholders
In the 21st century, which started off with WorldOnlines IPO and
that
recently bought us that of Facebook, it is only natural that
people should
think companies only go public because the founders, their
inheritors or
private equity parties want to cash in. However, 21st-century
Harardhere
and 17th-century Amsterdam teach us otherwise. Publicly traded
companies
are spontaneously created when a company in this case a family
company
active in the field of piracy attracts a large number of
shareholders. It is
irrelevant whether the company has sought out these investors
because it
needed plenty of capital to buy a ship or that the number of
shareholders has grown because the pirate fathered a great many
sons.
If the number of shareholders exceeds a certain threshold, the
nature of the
company19 will change and its stocks will be traded. After its
foundation in
1602, the Dutch East India Company attracted 1,200 shareholders
in a very
short period, which quickly resulted in the trading of its
shares. The British
East India Company, which was founded in 1600, only had 200
shareholders, as a result of which its shares were not traded in
London.20
It is impossible to exactly determine the critical threshold at
which stock
trading arises. However, at a certain moment there will be
enough
shareholders who want to monetize their stake. We still see this
with family
companies, who will have hundreds of third-generation
shareholders before
their IPO takes place. And in the United States, shares in
high-tech
companies are already traded before the IPO. Oftentimes this is
the case
19 In which supervisory directors will become active, Den
Boogert (2005), and agency issues will arise, which we will discuss
in further detail later. (p. 36) 20 Frentrop (2002), Harris (2004).
London investors had to wait for their money until the fleet
returned and the ships and their cargoes were sold. They could then
decide whether they would invest in a new journey to the East.
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because employees have received shares as a bonus, but are in
need of
cash.21
In the United States, the Exchange Act 1934 requires companies
with more
than 500 shareholders to register as a public company and to
publish their
results each quarter. In March 2012, this threshold was
increased to 2,000
through the new Jobs Act. These numbers remind us of the Dutch
East
India Company from four centuries ago. I dare say that if there
is indeed a
flourishing trade in pirate shares in Harardheere, more than 200
people will
participate in the financing of a single pirate venture.22
In short, if the number of shareholders rises above a certain
threshold, trade
in the companys stock will arise, thus creating an official or
unofficial
capital market. The benefits of such a market are not limited to
the
company, as described above. The market offers anybody who is
interested
and has the necessary resources the possibility to take part in
the
company value creation process.
Social value
In a system of business-centered production, companies create
affluence
in the first instance for the people who work there, but also
for their
shareholders. Without publicly traded companies there would be
few
shareholders. Listed companies, which are characterized by their
large
numbers of shareholders, offer a large part of the population
direct access
to value creation through business-centered production. The
advent of the
publicly traded company in the 20th century disproved the
19th-century
Marxist fear that a small elite of entrepreneurs would
eventually control all
means of production. Publicly traded companies are socializing
machines.
They work even better than regular companies. Through the
capital market,
they voluntarily distribute income and capital in a way that is
at least as
effective as the imposition of taxes by governments.
21 In 2010, American companies financed with venture capital
typically existed 9 years before their IPO, as opposed to 4 years
in 1999 (source: National Venture Capital Association). This longer
period may be the result of bad experiences during the tech-wreck
of 2000-2002. However, it does offer new opportunities for
investors specialising in pre-IPO trade (Wall Street Journal
Europe, 12 April 2012) as well as investment funds, which often
invest 15 per cent of their capital in private companies. That does
in fact result in new issues, as became apparent during Groupons
IPO in 2011. A year earlier, Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, Capital and
Morgan Stanley Investment Management had bought $450 million in
shares, to which each attributed a highly different value in their
accounts. 22 In which case I also assume that people will not
entrust a single pirate with all their money, but rather distribute
their investments among various pirate ventures.
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14
Unfortunately, this process is insufficiently visible. Publicly
traded
companies do report their number of employees, but do not state
the
number of shareholders because they have no way of telling. One
can
observe, however, that the ratio between employees and
shareholders is
changing. Industrial enterprises with hundreds of thousands of
laborers can
be found in China, but are increasingly scarce in the West. As a
result of
technological developments, companies outsource more and more of
their
production process,23 or are able to create major added value
with just a few
employees. During its IPO in 2012, Facebooks value was estimated
to be
over $100 billion, while the company only had 3,000 employees.24
On the
capital market, high-tech companies rank among the most
valuable
organizations, but on the labor market they are very minor
players in
comparison with, say, the service industry.
Number of employees by the end of 2010
Selected stocks Ten largest publicly listed American
employers
Microsoft 93,000 Wal-Mart 2,100,000
Intel 79,800 IBM 436,000
Cisco 65,550 UPS 400,000
Apple 34,300 McDonalds 400,00025
Amazon.com 24,300 Target 355,000
Google 19,385 Kroger 338,000
Total 316,785 Hewlett-Packard 324,000
Sears 312,000
Of which in the US 212,485 PepsiCo 294,000
Bank of America 288,000
In the first place, companies offer their employees affluence in
exchange for
labor. But publicly traded companies do more than that. They not
only
offer their employers a salary, but also and increasingly ensure
the
pensions of other people who are shareholders through their
pension fund:
The fact is, corporations increasingly are vehicles for
providing retirement income. 26
23 Davis (2011) p 1136. With a workforce of 800,000, Hon Hai
Precision Industry is the worlds largest industrial employer. 24 A
month before the IPO, this number had increased with 11 per cent
following the acquisition of Instagram. Facebook paid $1 billion in
(predominantly) shares for this company, which had been founded
just 2.5 years earlier. 25 1.7 million including franchisees. As
far as is known, there are only two organisations in the world who
employ more people than Wal-Mart. These are the American army (3.2
million) and the Chinese army (2.3 million in 2008). 26 Richard J.
Mahony in: Who really owns corporate America?(1996). This quotation
was already included in Corporate Governance in Nederland. De
Veertig Aanbevelingen [Corporate Governance in the Netherlands. The
Forty Recommendations] (1997), the first report on corporate
governance in the Netherlands.
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This observation has lost nothing of its power. For instance, in
February
2012, the Kay Review of UK Equity Markets and Long-Term
Decision
Making prefaced its interim findings with the statement that
Equity markets
are principal means by which savers can contribute to, and share
in, the success of British
business. Many people who know nothing of the stock exchange
participate in equity
markets through their pension funds and other vehicles of long
term investment.27
With the current issue of ageing, in view of the public benefit
we should
wish for an increase in the number of publicly traded companies
in which
employees of other companies can invest through their pension
fund.
However, in these parts this does not seem the case quite on
the
contrary!
Are publicly traded companies in danger of extinction?
Virtually everything you see, hear or read in the news about the
business
sector is related to publicly traded companies, which as a
consequence form
the basis of virtually every political discussion on the
business community.
However, in fact there are only few companies that are at
liberty to trade
their shares, which is a characteristic of publicly traded
companies.
In the Netherlands, in 2010 CBS [Statistics Netherlands] counted
more than
860,000 businesses. Of these companies, over 220,000 were
private limited
liability companies, while less than 800 had the shape of a
public limited
liability company. Approximately 12 per cent of the latter
companies are
publicly traded companies. In the Netherlands, this amounts
to
approximately a hundred companies, or 0.0125 per cent of the
Dutch
business community. Despite all the publicity that publicly
traded
companies generate in terms of headlines, they constitute an
almost
homeopathic part of the business community.28 For the sake
of
comparison: private equity funds alone invest in ten times as
many Dutch
companies as are publicly traded (almost 1,100).29
On a worldwide level, there were 48,744 publicly traded
companies at the
end of 2011. What is striking is that these companies seem to
exist in
27 Kay Review, Interim report, February 2012. 28 Although
publicly traded companies on average are much bigger in size than
their unlisted counterparts. 29 According to the Ondernemend
Vermogen [Entrepreneurial capital] study by the Nederlandse
Vereniging van Participatiemaatschappijen [Dutch Association of
Venture Capital Companies].
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16
colonies: only seven countries accommodate half of all publicly
traded
companies. The top twelve countries represent two thirds of the
total
number of publicly traded companies. The size of these colonies
has little to
do with the size of the economy. For instance, since 2009 India
has had
more publicly traded companies than the United States, while
Pakistan has
more than Germany.30
Number of publicly traded companies at year-end 2011
31
1 India 5,112 7 UK 2,001
2 United States 4,171 8 Australia 1,922
3 Japan 3,961 9 South Korea 1,792
4 Canada 3,932 10 Hong Kong 1,472
5 Spain 3,241 11 Serbia 1,323
6 China 2,342 12 Romania 1,267
If we limit ourselves to companies listed in decent countries
(defined as
countries that offer shareholders adequate legal protection)32,
the worldwide
number of companies that allow shareholders to more or less buy
shares
with peace of mind would amount to 16,689. Considering the fact
that the
number of polar bears in the Arctic is estimated to be 30,000
and that they
are considered by many to be a species threatened with
extinction, we
cannot take the continued existence of the publicly traded
company in the
longer term for granted.
This is all the more so because the number of publicly traded
companies is
decreasing in Europe and the United States. In December 1998,
the Dutch
Monitoring Commissie Corporate Governance [Corporate
Governance
Monitoring Commission] wrote a letter to exactly 208 public
companies for
its first research study. Nowadays, this only requires half the
number of
letters.
30 Davis (2011) p 1135. 31 World Bank, World Development
Indicators, Listed Domestic Companies. 32 Defined as countries with
a score of 7 or higher in Transparency Internationals Corruption
Index (2011) of Transparency and a score of 7 or higher in the
Minority Investor Protection rankings of World Bank and IFC.
-
Development of the number of publicly traded companies33
1988 2000 2011 2000/2011
The Netherlands 232 23434 108 - 54 %
Belgium 186 147 158 - 19 %
France35 646 808 893 + 11 %
Italy 211 654 287 - 56 %
Germany 609 1,022 670 - 37 %
Switzerland 161 252 246 - 2 %
UK 2,054 1,904 2,001 + 5 %
USA 6,680 7,524 4,171 - 45 %
Australia 1,380 1,330 1,922 + 44 %
Japan 1,967 2,561 3,961 + 55 %
Hong Kong 282 779 1,472 + 89 %
China 0 1,068 2,342 +119%
In 1989, Michael Jensen predicted that American public companies
would
become extinct. Following his prediction, their number grew by a
third,
which led him to revise his opinion in 1997.36 However, between
1997 and
2009 the number of publicly traded companies decreased by half.
Jensen
must be scratching himself behind the ears.
In 2002, I concluded my doctoral thesis with the warning that
the continued
existence of publicly traded companies with a distributed share
capital
should definitely not be taken for granted.37 Ten years later,
just before I
finished this document, British magazine The Economist published
a
briefing entitled The endangered public company.38 If the
continued existence
of publicly traded companies will indeed come under threat, this
would
mean a material shift in the economic order that was created in
the latter
half of the 20th century around large enterprises with freely
negotiable
shares. Lets investigate whether this development can be
attributed to
institutional investors who, in their hunt for short-term
profit, may not be
33 World Bank, World Development Indicators. 34 By the end of
2000, CBS counted only 143 public companies active outside of the
financial sector. 35 On 22 September 2000, the exchanges of Paris,
Brussels and Amsterdam merged to create Euronext. This is all the
more striking because since that date, the total number of Belgian
and Dutch public companies has halved in comparison with the number
of French publicly traded companies. 36 Michael C. Jensen (1989)
Eclipse of the public corporation. Harvard Business Review (67) p.
60 70 (Revised, 1997). 37 Frentrop (2002), p 408. 38 The Economist.
(19 May 2012), pp 25 -27.
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18
properly fulfilling their duties as shareholders.39 Because, as
Dutch Finance
Minister Nelissen stated more than century ago in 1910, A
healthy business
community cannot exist without the interest and co-operation,
within the
circle of their competence, of the shareholders proper.
39 And leaving aside the question of whether this is the result
of the increased regulation.
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20
3 The advent of the institutional investor
Today the key agents in the investment chain
are professional asset managers.
Kay Review Interim Report, February 2012
Contrary to publicly traded companies, the number of
institutional investors
is growing exponentially. While there are just over a hundred
public
companies in the Netherlands, there are currently no fewer than
1,472
investment organizations.
One of the most striking developments with regard to the
availability of
resources since the Second World War is the continued shift from
private to
institutional investors, wrote Jaap Koelewijn almost twenty
years ago.40 In
its report on 1997/1998, the Bank for International Settlements
(BIS)
described the collectivization of asset management as one of the
most far-
reaching changes in the capitalist financial system of the last
few decades.
This movement started around 1980 and has lost none of its force
since.
This particularly applies to the Netherlands, where citizens are
feeling the
pressure from fiscally stimulated debts and mortgages, while
the
investments of institutional investors keep growing more quickly
than the
gross national product, particularly with regard to fiscally
stimulated pension
savings.
In 1990, the volume of these investments equaled 119 per cent of
the
Dutch GDP. In 2000, this amounted to 199 per cent, and in 2010
the
40 Koelewijn (1993).
-
investments represented 255 per cent of the GDP, the equivalent
of 1,500
billion Euros.41
The advent of institutional investors in countries such as the
United
Kingdom and the United States since the 1980s has been
exhaustively
documented as well.
So what is an institutional investor? In the framework of the
long-term
approach, it would seem a good idea to first remind ourselves of
a
definition dating back to the time before this phenomenon was
introduced.
In 1981, on the occasion of the 100th anniversary of one of the
oldest
institutional investors in the Netherlands, the
Rijkspostspaarbank, its
director delivered a speech before the attendees which he
entitled Van
institutionele belegger naar rentemargebedrijf [From
institutional investor
to interest margin company]. During this speech, he argued, We
promote
savings through deposit books, which has resulted in the
accumulation of
funds. And these funds, after all, have to be invested.
Therefore, I would
define an institutional investor as follows: an organisation
that regards the
investment of funds on the capital market as a necessary evil
that is
associated with its principal duty.42
Nowadays, investing has grown from a necessary evil to a
commercial
activity that allows a lot of people to make a living. CBS
[Statistics
Netherlands] defines an institutional investor as an
organisation that
disposes of funds that have to be invested. It distinguishes
these
organizations into three types: pension funds, insurers and
investment
organizations.43
According to the Dutch dictionary Van Dale, the phrase dispose
of used
by CBS means to obtain the authority to use something at ones
own
discretion. This power of disposal leaves aside whether the
money that
institutional investors dispose of is also the property of the
investor. In a
strictly legal sense, this is usually the case. For instance,
pension funds are
41 CBS (2011). 42 He continues, And this principal duty in those
days was clearly to promote and facilitate savings through the
ubiquitous apparatus of post offices. The concepts of client and
market share hardly existed at the time. 43 In this connection, it
should be noted that open-end investment funds actually constitute
a different breed of institutional investor. After all, their
capital can be claimed by its shareholders any day. In the United
Kingdom, the public seems to acknowledge this. In that country
institutional investors are regarded as primarily pension funds and
life insurance companies. (Paul Myners, Institutional Investment: a
Consultation Paper, May 2000).
-
22
the owners of the funds they manage.44 Nevertheless, many
entitled parties
regard the pension capital as their money.
This ambiguity is reflected in the definition of institutional
investors used by
the OECD: institutions which collect funds from investors to
invest on their behalf but
in the name of the institution. They are thus an owner but not a
final, beneficial
owner.45 In this framework, I would venture to define
institutional investors
as managers of other peoples money.
What do institutional investors do with other peoples money?
Lets first
return to yesteryears approach: With regard to our investment
policy, we
determined the need to achieve shorter terms [with a view to
increasing the
interest on savings accounts PF], and real estate was the first
thing to go
[..] Stock investments were also seen to offer a suboptimal
match with the
passive operations and kept at a low level. I will not go into
the social and
perception consequences for our organisation, but you can
imagine that the
departments involved still suffered from this despite their
major
understanding, commented the director of the Rijkspostspaarbank
in 1981,
who still simply invested his funds in government bonds.
He was the last institutional investor to think like this. Since
the 1980s, an
increasing portion of this growing institutional capital is
invested in the
shares of publicly traded companies. This growth in
institutional capital,
combined with the shift towards shares, has made institutional
investors the
most important shareholders of public companies. Between 1980
and 1996,
institutional investors doubled their market share in publicly
traded
American shares.46
To the best of my knowledge, no-one disputes the estimation that
80 per
cent of all shares listed at American and European exchanges are
now in the
hands of institutional investors. This implies that in the past
forty years,
shareholders of public companies have changed from affluent
private
individuals who invested their own money into managers of other
peoples
44 Maatman (2004) p 7. 45 OECD (2011). In other words, the OECD
does not consider banks to be institutional investors, but it does
regard the banks asset manager as an institutional investor. 46
Gompers and Metrick (2001).
-
money and who, as mentioned earlier, can be distinguished into
three
subcategories: insurers, investment funds and pension funds.
Depending on the national regulations, insurance companies
traditionally
invested part of their reserves in shares. Stock investment
funds were
introduced approximately 90 years ago, but remained limited in
size for a
long period.47 Their growth took off in the United States and
was
additionally fuelled by a change in tax legislation in 1981,
which allowed
companies to offer their employees 401(k) plans as an addition
to and
eventually replacement of traditional defined benefit pensions.
Private
individuals invested their money in investment funds on a
massive scale.
Whereas in 1983 twenty per cent of all American households
invested their
money in the share market, by 2001 this number had increase to
more than
50% through investment funds.48
In 1989, the investments of American investment funds for the
first time
exceeded the milestone of $1,000 billion. By the end of 2010,
almost 8,000
investment funds had been registered in the United States.
Collectively, they
managed $11,821 billion.49 The United States represent
approximately half
of the capital of investment funds, which, however, can also be
found in
other parts of the world. Just like publicly traded companies,
investment
funds have a tendency towards clustering, albeit in very
different locations.
In Europe, they are predominant in Luxembourg, where by the end
of 2011
almost 4,000 funds managed a total of 2,096 billion Euros.50
Approximately
10,000 investment funds have registered offices in the Cayman
Islands.
Collectively, they managed $1,561 billion.51
Pension funds are latecomers to the share market. It was not
until 1980 that
they substantially expanded their investments in shares.52
Corporate pension
47 As with so many developments in the financial sector, there
is occasion for some Dutch national pride. Adriaan van Ketwich, who
in 1774 invited investors to take part in Eendragt Maakt Magt to
offer investors with limited means the possibility of greater
diversification, can be regarded as the first provider of
investment funds. (Slot, 2004, based on Berghuis, 1967). 48 A
development that, according to Davis (2011), has contributed to a
broad support for thinking in terms of shareholder value creation
as a business objective. 49 2011 Investment Company Fact Book
(www.icg.org). 50 Source: Commission de Surveillance du Secteur
Financier (CSSF) website. 51 At year-end 2009, according to the
Cayman Islands Monetary Authority (CIMA). 52 In 1954, the pension
fund of Imperial Tobacco at the time the largest British pension
fund was the first to decide to invest in shares in addition to
bonds. Gradually, the allocation standard became 60/40 for
bonds/shares.
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24
funds spearheaded this development; the others followed in
their
footsteps.53
In the Dutch context, this group of organizations is of special
importance.
While in other developed countries insurers, investment funds
and pension
funds approximately have the same size in terms of invested
capital54, in the
Netherlands pension funds are the largest institutional
investors. Research
by the Dutch central bank DNB55 shows that in the Euro zone
the
Netherlands has the relatively largest pension sector with 1,200
billion
Euros in pension capital (the same amount as Italy, Spain and
Belgium
together).56 Sixty per cent of this capital is invested abroad.
What is relevant
to our discussion is that towards the end of 2011, Dutch pension
funds had
invested almost half their total capital in shares of national
and (mainly)
foreign public companies.57
A difference between pension funds and other institutional
investors is that
pension funds generally keep very a small stake in a single
company (less
than 2 per cent of the total number of shares). Insurers
traditionally take
larger stakes (5 - 10 per cent). In the United States, as a
result of the large
flow of capital to a limited number of large investment funds,
some of these
funds hold much greater stakes in companies. For instance, at
the end of
the 1990s, Fidelity was the largest shareholder in 1 out of 10
of American
companies, often with a stake of 10 - 15 per cent or
higher.58
Since the beginning of the 1980s, the worldwide stock markets
have been
marked by this shift from private to institutional investors. On
the one
hand, institutional investors took over the role that private
investors had
played in the past. This particularly applies to investment
funds.
Institutional investors also brought new capital to the share
market on
behalf of people who would never have thought of entering that
market.
This is particularly true for pension funds.
53 In his column in Dutch newspaper NRC Handelsblad of 19 July
1997, entitled ABP laat 12,5 miljard liggen [ABP leaves 12.5
billion untouched], Eduard J. Bomhoff still argued it was a shame
that Dutch pension fund ABP only invested 18 per cent of its
capital in shares, while the pension funds of Shell, Unilever and
IBM had already allotted half or more of their capital to shares.
54 Since pension funds also invest in investment funds, a certain
amount of double counting may be involved. 55 Statistisch
nieuwsbericht, 25 August 2011. 56 By the end of March 2011, when
France had amassed 1,980 billion Euros in pension capital and
Germany 1,909 Euros. 57 Dutch pension funds are not the largest
shareholders in Dutch companies. They prefer to invest in
businesses abroad. 58 Davis (2011) p 1131.
-
When the stock market was being institutionalized, however,
other, related
developments took place in this market. Internationalization is
one of those
developments. Institutional investors are more inclined to
invest abroad
than private investors. Added to which, the advent of computers
enabled
larger trading volumes as well as the use of share
derivatives.
The data sets and computational power that computerization
brought also
facilitated the introduction of scientific thinking about stock
trading.
Whereas private investors could still simply pick the companies
they liked,
institutional investors needed convincing argumentation with
regard to their
choices in investing other peoples money. By now, this demand
has been
amply catered for. When the Nobel Prize was awarded to Merton
Miller,
Harry Markowitz and William Sharpe in 1990, this underscored the
fact that
investing had become a scientific endeavor. Investors defined
return
requirements, identified risks and calculated the required level
of
diversification. 59 Partly as a result, institutional investors,
contrary to private
investors, do not primarily focus on the companies in which they
hold
shares. Their principal concern is the development of their
investment
portfolio, in which shares of various different companies have
been brought
together based on predefined criteria.
From a conceptual and emotional point of view, the ties with
public
companies have become looser. This applies all the more to
institutional
investors that seek to achieve their return based on momentum or
quant
strategies, which are in turn based on the behavior of other
investors. To
them, trading volumes and movements in the share price are the
only things
that count. The underlying business performance of the public
company is
as good as irrelevant to them. An anecdote from 1991 will serve
to illustrate
this trend.
In a year in which the role of institutional investors was given
a great deal of
attention as a result of the merger between Nationale
Nederlanden and
NMB-Postbank, Pieter Korteweg, then chairman of the policy
committee
of the Robeco Group, told a reporter of Dutch newspaper NRC
Handelsblad60, With Robeco leading the way, they have been able
to push
59 Bernstein (1992) offers an overview. 60 In casu the
undersigned.
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26
through an improvement in the stock dividend ratio. And little
has been
heard from them since. In some quarters, people expect that
such
institutions will increasingly make their presence felt in
similar scenarios in
the future. However, I do not share this expectation.
Institutional investors
generally have a limited staff who often manage a substantial
range of
individual funds. The possibilities of interfering in the
policies of the
underlying companies, other than exerting a marginal influence,
are simply
lacking. For this reason, people vote with their feet. And if on
top of this
both merger partners are included in the investment portfolio,
the lust for
action becomes even more limited. Scientific investment entails
a
disciplined management of investment risks, in such a way that
the targeted
return is obtained with the lowest possible risk. This implies a
certain
disloyalty with regard to the companies in which they invest. Im
not
making a value judgment here; Im just making an observation.
Others hoped for the opposite. In the future, the ties between
enterprises
and their long-term shareholders will become stronger. In their
capacity of
long-term shareholder, institutional investors will adopt a more
active
approach. This statement is taken from the beginning of the
Minimum
code of conduct van Nederlandse institutionele beleggers
[Minimum code
of conduct of Dutch institutional investors], which was drawn up
in 1992
by the Vereniging van Effectenbezitters (VEB), a Dutch
investors
association that represents individual shareholders in the
Netherlands.
So far, Korteweg has been proven right. As other peoples money
was
invested in stocks rather than ones own money, shareholders
became more
disloyal. By now, easily 80 per cent of the shareholders of
publicly traded
companies are disloyal shareholders. We are not just talking
about the sick
friend of the pirate from Harardhere who is in need of cash in
the short
term. It is more like four fifths of the inhabitants of this
enterprising city
near the Indian Ocean suddenly claim they have fallen ill. Does
this hamper
the outlook for piracy? Is it true that, as a result of the
institutionalization of
share ownership, managers of public companies are less able or
willing to
focus on the long term? And what do we actually mean by the long
term?
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28
-
4 What does the long term mean?
Publicly traded companies were created precisely to enable
companies to
operate for a longer term than shareholders can go without their
money.
The fact that shareholders are nevertheless accused of a
short-term
approach is all the more striking because none of the
stakeholders 61 of a
company are in actual practice as inclined to wait for long-term
success as
shareholders provided the companys shares can be traded. This
was
already true of the Dutch East India Company, and it still is,
as will be
borne out by the following examples.
On 13 March 1986, the day on which Microsofts shares were traded
on
Wall Street for the very first time, the companys market value
amounted to
$780 million. In the years that followed, increases in the share
price turned
four employees into billionaires and made approximately 12,000
other
employees millionaires. However, the investors who bought their
shares did
not receive a penny from the company for seventeen years. In
1990,
Microsoft was able to launch Office, followed by its new version
of
Windows in 1995. In 2000, CEO Bill Gates was able to resign as
a
chairman, and in 2011 the company was able to launch Windows XP.
All
this happened without shareholders asking for a return on their
investment.
Investors who were in need of money were able to find sufficient
other
investors in the capital market who were prepared to buy their
shares in the
hope of a return in the long term. On the stock exchange,
Microsoft
became the company with the highest market value. It was not
until 2003,
no less than 17 years after its IPO, that Microsoft started
paying dividend,
and a modest one at that.
61 I hesitate to use this term, bearing in mind the late Harry
Hone, who, in a footnote to his inaugural speech, finished off this
concept in a few short strokes. He started out with a reference to
Het Foute Woordenboek van de Nederlandse Taal, a dictionary
containing the origin and usage of irritating, scary, ugly and
ridiculous words of today for the Dutch language. For each letter
in the alphabet, the booklet offered a blank page where readers
could write down their own dodgy words. Hone confessed that for the
entry S he wrote down the word stakeholder, with the following
explanatory note: Stakeholders: a term often coined in circles of
the VEUO [Dutch Association of Listed Companies], mainly to bring
shareholders down a peg. [..] Word category: obscuring language;
Usage value: 0. (Hone, 1996).
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30
Turning to the Netherlands, ASML is a similar example. Its
major
shareholder Philips had nearly gone bankrupt, and for this
reason ASML
went public in 1994. It was not because the company needed the
money
itself.62 In the prospectus, ASML emphatically stated that it
had no
intentions to pay out dividends. Nevertheless, the IPO turned
out a success.
For years on end, the company was able to grow in highly
volatile markets,
without shareholders demanding anything in return. It was not
until 14
years later, in February 2008, that ASML paid out very modest
dividends.63
In the meantime, not a single shareholder complained.
On the capital market, these companies found shareholders with a
long-
term vision. A vision, moreover, that was longer than that of
non-family
shareholders of private companies. The average company is owned
by a
private equity fund for a duration of 5 years, according to the
Nederlandse
Vereniging van Participatiemaatschappijen (Dutch Association of
private
equity funds or NVP).64
These examples serve to illustrate that terms such as flash
capital are often
used too casually. It is not just successful companies that have
patient
shareholders. When public companies are not successful, it is
precisely the
shareholders who show themselves prepared to keep an eye on the
long
term. In the past few years, companies that ran into trouble,
such as KPN,
Ahold, ING, Heijmans, TomTom and Wavin, were able to reinforce
their
capital bases through substantial rights offerings when this was
found
necessary. BPs shareholders showed themselves prepared to
forfeit their
dividends until the scope of the environmental damage from an
accident in
the Mexican Gulf was clarified.65
Stakeholders and the long term
Nevertheless, trade unions in particular are convinced that the
lust for
short-term profit of shareholders is detrimental to the
long-term interests of
62 Of the revenues of approximately 300 million Dutch guilders,
220 million went to Philips and 80 million to ASML, which used the
funds, among other things, to pay back a 36 million guilder loan
from Philips. 63 A salacious detail: in December that year, ASML
received government support. As a result of the sudden drop in
demand, the company requested labour time reduction for 1,100 of
its 7,000 employees. They received 70 per cent of their salaries
from UWV, the Dutch Social Insurance Authority. ASML only had to
pay 30 per cent. 64 According to the 2010 edition of the annual
Ondernemend Vermogen [Entrepreneurial Capital] study by NVP. That
said, the same study for 2011 states, On average, venture capital
associations participate in companies for between 5 and 7 years. 65
The company had sufficient funds to pay out dividends, but
temporarily refrained from doing so under pressure from the US
government. Incidentally, BPs then CEO Bob Hayward is the author of
the quotation (from two years earlier) ., I pay taxes so I dont go
to jail. I pay dividends so I dont get fired.
-
the other stakeholders. But are employees in fact more focused
on the long
term than shareholders? This is not evident at all. Shareholders
are often
prepared to go without dividends. On the contrary, employees
insist on
receiving their monthly wages, even when the company is in
turmoil.
Added to which, the notion that employees spend their entire
working lives
at a single organisation no longer matches actual reality.66
Employees are
free to terminate their employment contracts at any given
moment67, and
are increasingly exercising this right. On average, Dutch
employees remain
in service with the same employer for a period of seven years.68
They are
monogamous at each different stage, but switch from social
partner five to
six times in their professional lives.69
Chairmen of Boards of Directors at public companies stay on
board for an
even shorter time.70 In 1995, the CEOs who left the worlds 2,500
largest
enterprises had fulfilled their role for slightly under ten
years on average. In
2000, this period had been reduced to slightly over eight years.
By 2009 the
average period had dropped to six years.71 However, the
long-term
component of the remuneration for board members still has a
safety
margin. This usually consists of an additional period of three
years. Board
members who brush aside critical feedback from shareholders with
the
statement that they are free to sell their shares if they do not
like the
company policy do not always seem to be aware of these periods
or the
respective powers.72
66 Jobs are created and destroyed. The small difference between
the two is what we call prosperity, wrote Holman Jenkins (Wall
Street Journal Europe, 16 January 2012) in reference to studies by
Steven J. Davis and John Haltiwanger, which demonstrated that in
the period from 1977 to 2005, an annual 15 per cent of all jobs in
the United States disappeared, while the total number of jobs
during the same period grew by 2 per cent annually. 67 One of the
most important triumphs of Western society. The only sector in
which this right still cannot be effectively exercised is the most
recently legalised business sector in the Netherlands, namely
prostitution. 68 Since the second quarter of 2004, the number of
Dutch employees with flexible employment contracts has been rising
more sharply than the number of employees with fixed contracts. 69
In Werk maken van baan-baan mobiliteit [Working on job-to-job
mobility](Recommendation no. 2011/05 of 15 April 2011), SER [The
Dutch Social and Economic Council] states that the labour market
has become more dynamic since the 1990s: Job switching has become
more common; the number of career switchers has structurally
increased. According to SER, on an international level the
Netherlands takes up a mid position in terms of job-to-job
mobility. SER was unable to tell whether people changed jobs too
much or too little. 70 As a result of amendment X to the proposal
for the Wet Bestuur en Toezicht [Management and Control Act], which
resulted from the discussion on the compensation of board members
and the redundancy pay in particular, board members are no longer
considered employees. 71 Karston et al. and Favaro et al. via
Haldane (2010). 72 A clever rejoinder is given by Graham (1949) p
2.09, who cites Luke (16:1-2): And he said also unto his disciples,
There was a certain rich man, which had a steward; and the same was
accused unto him that he had wasted his goods. And he called him,
and said unto him, How is it that I hear this of thee? give account
of thy stewardship; for thou mayest be no longer steward.
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32
In general, bankers also tend to adopt a short-term view,
something that
becomes apparent when an interest or installment payment is one
day late.
In emergencies, bankers are sometimes willing to help out their
clients, but
only in the short term. The additional credit will have to be
repaid as quickly
as possible with the shareholders money.73
Suppliers insist on being paid in time, but are sometimes of a
mind to allow
a payment extension in view of the long-term relationship.
Buyers are
sometimes prepared to participate in the investment, but not if
they are
consumers.74
For the time being, we estimate the long term at 7 years for
employees, 6
years for board members and 5 years for shareholders in
non-listed
companies. And it is with some surprise that we observe that in
the
corporate governance debate supervisory directors are no longer
considered
independent if they hold their position for longer than two
4-year terms.
Recently, the same maximum period was recommended to ensure
the
independence of auditors.75
In the midst of so many short-term relations, it is almost a
miracle that
public companies manage to survive in the long term. But how
long do
companies actually exist?
Companies
Originally, public companies were founded for a certain period,
which was
laid down in the articles of association and on average amounted
to over 30
years.76 However, more or less tacitly the idea has taken hold
that
companies should live forever that they should strive for
continuity. It
does not seem unlikely that the advent of permanent employment
contracts
has given rise to this idea.
73 Hilferding (1910) already called this one of the strong
points of listed companies. They are more effective than private
companies in attracting new capital and will therefore be able to
obtain more credit. 74 Something that editorial boards of
newspapers tend to overlook when they assume that one of their
publications can be kept alive through financing from readers. 75
In 2010, when the new British Governance Code proposed annual
reappointments of board members as a best practice in 2010, the
investors Hermes, USS and Railpen sent companies a letter with a
request to deviate from this best practice out of fear that this
would create a short term culture. 76 Frentrop (2002) pp. 198 -
202.
-
That said, companies are organizations with specific objectives.
In a
changing world, neither organisms nor organizations exist
eternally. Of all
the worlds organizations, it is probably the Catholic Church
that holds the
record, and nation states are also organizations with high
longevity (even if
it is often overestimated). On average, companies have a shorter
life
expectancy than people.
Although some small family companies refer to a foundation date
in a
distant past, large corporations seem to have a longer lifespan
than their
smaller counterparts. For instance, from 1930 up to now, the top
five
Dutch companies has remained unchanged: Royal Dutch Shell,
Philips,
Unilever, Akzo and DSM.77
Looking at the largest British, French and German corporations
of the
tumultuous 20th century, which was characterized by World Wars,
one will
observe that the chances of survival of companies are smaller
than those of
soldiers. Between 1907 and 1989, 37, 42 and 19 per cent of
companies
survived respectively, i.e. 24 British companies, 9 French
companies and 10
German companies.78 Of the companies that were founded between
World
War I and 1929, 56%, 46% and 35% survived, respectively.
We should not be surprised that companies go under. After all,
that is how
the market mechanism works. Companies do their utmost to
eradicate the
competition and are surprisingly effective in doing so. During
this struggle,
the customers and society benefit, and afterwards the
legislators must
ensure the oligopolies keep on fighting. To give an example: in
1902 there
were 9,000 telephone companies in the United States, while the
Dutch
regulator OPTA now has to protect the Dutch telecommunication
market.
An interesting study into the lifespan of American companies
concludes
that their life is short and brutal. Large corporations live
longer than small
businesses, but even their lifespans are shorter than that of
the average
person. Of those that manage to survive the first 20 years, only
0.1 per cent
will be able to survive the next 20 years.79
77 AWT (1993). 78 Casis (1997), 104. Survival is defined as
remaining both independent and large in size. 79 Stubbart and
Knight (2006)
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34
If a country anywhere in the world had this type of mortality
rate, large-
scale international aid would be organized immediately.
That said, I am not so much concerned with the question of how
old
companies can become. What is relevant to this discussion is the
more
specific question of how long a company can survive in the shape
of a
publicly traded company, i.e. with a large number of
shareholders.
From this perspective, the outlook becomes rather gloomy. Of the
12
companies that formed the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896,
which
was then published for the first time, only one still forms part
of the index:
General Electric. The developments have been very quick,
particularly in
recent years. Of the 30 companies that were included in the Dow
Jones
average for 1930, six decades later, in 1987, just over half
still formed part
of this elite. And two decades later, in 2009, only three of
these companies
were left: General Electric, Chevron and Exxon.
If we turn to the United Kingdom, of the 30 companies that made
up the
first FT 30 share index in 1935, only six were still in
existence in 1996. In
the same year even before the dot-com bubble typically only one
third
of the 2,700 companies listed at the New York Stock Exchange
were listed
for a period longer than 10 years.80
Incidentally, one should bear in mind that companies have a long
if not
the longest existence before their IPO. In 1996, the average age
of the 30
companies included in the Dow Jones Industrial Index was no less
than 103
years. In the Netherlands, Ahold celebrates its 125th
anniversary in 2012
after Albert Heijn took over his fathers grocery shop in 1887.
During the
first half its existence, the company was able to grow without
being listed. It
was only after the founders death in 1945 that the shares were
publicly sold
on the stock exchange (in 1948).
Perhaps a listing should be regarded as the final stage in the
lifecycle of a
successful business. After all, companies are only suitable for
a listing if they
are able to demonstrate a track record of increasing cash flows
for
consecutive years. This implies that the company operates in a
market with
80 According to NYSEs CEO Richard Grasso. Wall Street Journal,
28 May 1996.
-
moderate competition and/or high market entry thresholds. But
even this
peace and quiet never lasts very long.
If we look at the 30 companies that were active shares on the
Amsterdam
stock exchange at the end of 1985, we see that by now half of
them are no
longer listed.81 If we look at the companies with less actively
traded shares,
the carnage has been considerably greater since 1985.
Twenty-seven years
later, only a few of them are still listed82 (see page 18).
Long term, but no continuity
The fact that listed companies do not live forever makes the
continuity of
the business as a guideline for board members neither reasonable
nor fair,
and, just like the objective of doctors to keep patients alive,
eventually
untenable.
Shareholders know this, but managers act as if the eternal life
is attainable.
As far back as 14 years ago, Rietkerk beautifully formulated
this aspect of
corporate governance, and I will gladly quote him in full:
The objective of continuity is very popular at public limited
companies.
People use the term to indicate that the company should be able
to
continue to exist in the long term. In the 1960s and 1970s, when
profit was
a dirty word, people tended to emphasize the objective of
continuity as a
gesture towards the employees. The preservation of employment
was their
direct interest and, moreover, an aim that was generally
accepted by society.
It implicitly suggested that the continuity of the business
would keep
employment at a regular level. It goes without saying that this
was a false
suggestion. After all, profit was needed to ensure continuity.
Thus, the true
nature of the beast was maintained. With a view to public
acceptation,
profit was promoted from an end in itself to a means to an end.
However,
this transformation does not have a material significance. After
all, it is not
the continuity of the organisation (the company) that is
relevant, but the
continuity of economically profitable activities. From the point
of view of
business economics, continuity is a result of the economic
feasibility of the
business operations. The business activity that creates
affluence is of
81 However, this is not to say that their activities have been
discontinued. In many cases, the number of shareholders has been
reduced to a single shareholder. By way of example, steel is still
being produced in IJmuiden, but by Tata Steel rather than the
original public company Hoogovens. 82 The fact that it is precisely
the less actively traded companies that are more likely to
disappear from the stock exchange is diametrically opposed to the
assumption that the increase in stock trading is detrimental to the
continuity of businesses.
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36
primary importance. For this reason, continuity cannot be
regarded as a
separate company objective.83
According to Rietkerk, continuity, like independence, is in fact
a
management objective, says Rietkerk. He argues that the boards
of directors
of publicly traded companies have become the dominant party, one
that
postulates its own objectives as the company objective.
Our conclusion has to be that the management strives for eternal
life. We
also have tried to demonstrate that a company only has the right
to exist as
a public company as long as it is of use to a large number of
shareholders.
Apparently, the opinions of shareholders and managers differ
when it
comes to defining the optimum long term. This implies that a
corporate
governance issue is at stake: corporate governance involves the
relationship
between a companys board members and shareholders, which is
referred to
as an agency relationship.
83 Rietkerk (1998).
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5 The first agency issue
If the number of shareholders in a company increases, this not
only results in
stock trading (a capital market), but also creates a more
strenuous
relationship between the shareholders and management. As the
number of
shareholders and the distribution of share ownership increases,
individual
shareholders will be less inclined to monitor the managements
performance.
This observation forms the basis for a great portion of the
thinking on
corporate governance since Jensen and Meckling84 defined the
separation
between ownership and control that was signaled by Berle and
Means85 as an
agency issue: the agent (manager) has other interests than the
principal
(shareholder). 86 So how can the general shareholders meeting
nevertheless
ensure that the management achieves an optimum performance? Or,
as
Shleifer and Vishny defined the field of corporate governance as
an agency
issue: Corporate governance deals with the ways in which
suppliers of
finance to corporations assure themselves of getting a return on
their
investment. How do the suppliers of finance get managers to
return some of
the profits to them? How do they make sure that managers do not
steal the
capital or invest it in bad projects? How do suppliers of
finance control
managers? 87
In principle, there are three88 disciplinary mechanisms that
principals can
use to control agents:
- To request information
- To exercise supervision
- To switch agent.
84 Jensen and Meckling (1976). 85 Berle and Means (1932). 86 It
should be noted that this is not a legal definition. In legal
terms, the manager is not an agent and the shareholder is not the
owner. Shareholders cannot give managers instructions. In legal
terms, there is a fiduciary relationship between the management and
shareholders. Consequently, the agency model is not used in a legal
sense to determine rights and obligations, but rather in terms of
maximising the economic benefit. 87 Shleifer and Vishny (1997). 88
Some people argue that the remuneration structure for managers
comprises a fourth disciplinary mechanism, as it can align the
interests of managers with those of shareholders.
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38
To enable the use of these disciplinary mechanisms, publicly
traded
companies have more obligations with regard to information
provision than
non-listed organizations. Added to which, higher demands are
made on
auditors of public companies.
Moreover, once a corporation has more shareholders, a new kind
of
supervision will arise. In the Netherlands, this supervision has
taken the
form of a Supervisory Board, which was originally intended to
promote the
interests of suppliers of capital, but has taken on a broader
responsibility
since the second half of the 20th century.89
To switch agent implies a management change. This is something
the
existing principals can do, but in case of a public company this
can also take
place through a merger or acquisition (the so-called market for
corporate
control), in which case it is often a single party that makes an
offer for all
shares. In this way, the distribution of the share ownership is
undone again,
so that in agency terms there is a single new principal.
Alternately, better regulation is sought for the three
disciplinary
mechanisms. With regard to the corporate governance debate in
the
Netherlands, the initial focus was on a better functioning of
the acquisitions
market (in the Appendix to the annual report of the Vereniging
voor de
Effectenhandel [Association for Stock Trading] for 1986).
Subsequently, the
focus shifted to improving the supervision (in the report De
Veertig
Aanbevelingen [The Forty Recommendations] report by the
Corporate
Governance Commission chaired by Jaap Peters in 1997), and
finally to
activating the role of the shareholder in the Dutch Corporate
Governance
Code, as formulated by the committee led by Morris Tabaksblat in
2004.90
No-one will dispute that shareholders have a certain role to
fulfill at public
companies. The question, however, is what that role is. What is
certain is
that they will not want and will not be able to interfere with
the operational
policy. They lack the required information and expertise.
Investors are also
unwilling to take up a seat on the board. Of all the forms that
a company
can take, the publicly traded company may be the one in which
the supplier
89 Den Boogert (2005), Hone (1996). 90 Frentrop (2004).
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of risk-bearing capital has the least say. They are, as it were,
silent partners.
They trust that the management performs its work in the way it
should.
And that is usually the case:
The typical management is honest, competent and fair-minded. It
does the right thing,
even though it could easily get away with the wrong thing,
comments Graham91 in
his guide for investment professionals. However, he adds, there
are
exceptions. If at one company out of ten either the management
is
incompetent or the shareholders are not treated properly, it is
imperative
that the owners take action.
This is not something that can be expected of private
shareholders.92 In
fact, since the advent of institutional investors as the largest
party in the
stock market, people have been hoping that they will be able to
solve the
agency issue at the company level.93 There is not much that a
private
shareholder can do at a large corporation with a widely
distributed share
capital. Institutional investors conversely do in fact possess
the required
expertise and means.94 Perhaps they have a moral or fiduciary
duty to do so,
as people tend to think in the United Kingdom.95
For the moment, the results that institutional investors achieve
in this field
leave a lot to be desired.96 That said, it is important to bear
in mind the fact
that although institutional investors may be large in terms of
managed
capital, their scope for action is limited. Market competition
is the strong
force that is to keep managers on the right track. Shareholders
are typically
unable to exert anything other than a soft force.97
The natural terrain for shareholder voice is where bankruptcy
and capital markets
constraints are weak for the not too badly run, fairly mature,
public company that can
91 Graham (1949). 92 This even remains difficult when they
combine their forces, as in the case of the VEB [The Dutch
Association of Shareholders], for example. 93 Alfred Berle foresaw
that pension funds would eventually own half the stock market and
as a result would turn into naked power vehicles. Adolf A. Berle
Jr, Economic Power and Free Society (1957), pp. 10-13, cited in
Strine (2010), p 13. 94 Drucker (1991). 95 Walker Review: The role
of institutional shareholders: communication and engagement (2009).
96 Though an exhaustive evaluation goes beyond the scope of this
paper, Sahet et al. (2010) even report adverse effects of
interference by French investors. Mizuno (2010) is of the opinion
that in Japan the general state of corporate governance has
improved since institutional investors became involved, but does
not observe any significant differences in the business
performances of companies. 97 Physics distinguishes strong and weak
forces. The term soft force, I believe, finds its origin in the
Dutch poetess Henritte Roland Holst, who wrote, The soft forces are
sure to prevail; I hear this inside me as an intimate whisper . In
turbulent times, without fail people refer to these soft forces,
hence my use of the term in this connection. (See also footnote
61).
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40
service its debts and generate internally or borrow much of the
cash it needs to fund new
investments, Shareholder monitoring may prevent some companies
from wandering too far
off the profit path. It can be a quicker, lower-cost alternative
to hostile takeovers or
bankruptcy constraints.98
Incidentally, I would also like to reverse this argument: only a
company that
is managed fairly well, that operates in reasonably mature
markets, that is
able to amply pay off its liabilities and that generates
sufficient cash flow to
finance the required investments is worthy of being a publicly
traded
company with a distributed share capital.
This is the only type of company whose shareholders can trust
their soft
force to be sufficient. This entails that only companies with a
strong market
positioning that enables a relatively stable cash flow are
suitable candidates
for a listing. Consequently, there should be high participation
thresholds for
new competitors. This is a requirement that wise investors have
demanded
since the beginning of stock trading. The Dutch East Indies
Company was
attractive to shareholders because of its monopoly in trade via
the Cape of
Good Hope.99
Adam Smith had a sharp eye for the agency issue. He wrote the
following
about publicly traded companies: The directors of such
companies, however, being
the managers rather of other peoples money than of their own, it
cannot be well expected,
that they should watch over it with the same anxious vigilance
with which the partners in
a private co-partner frequently watch over their own.100
Consequently, he was of the opinion that only companies with a
large
capital requirement but with fixed income were suitable
candidates for a
listing. In particular, he referred to banks, insurers, canal
operators and
water suppliers.
What can investors do in such reasonably stable companies?
Winter (2011) distinguishes between three types of action:
98 Black (1992) p 832. 99 Frentrop (2002). 100 Smith (1776)
V.i.e.18.
-
Compliance. Minimal action, blindly following the rules. No
added
value.
Intervention. Incidental. Knowledge of the business required.
The
objective is to create specific value or prevent loss.
Stewardship. A continuous, involved and conscious component of
the
investment strategy, intended to generate long-term value.
Black (1992) compiled a list of specific topics. He argued that
institutional
investors should not engage in micro-management, but rather
focus on a
proper arrangement of processes such as voting, share issuances,
the
implementation of protective constructions, the remuneration
policy,
dividend policy and decisions about acquisitions.
Added to which, in some cases in which managers clearly overstep
the
mark, institutional investors should actively intervene, partly
pour encourager
les autres (to encourage the others). And they should do their
utmost to
ensure an optimal composition of the supervisory board.
In this connection, institutional investors in particular could
contribute
towards a healthy community of public companies, even though
there are
obstacles, particularly with regard to taking action at
individual companies,
especially for institutional investors.101
An example is the free rider issue. Why should a single investor
incur costs
for his intervention if all the shareholders benefit from it?
Also, conflicts of
interest may be involved. For instance, in its capacity of
shareholder, an
insurer will not be keen to kick up a fuss at an existing or
potential client,
while the pension fund of a particular company will not take
action against
another company. Collaboration with other institutional
investors is
required, but difficult to achieve. For starters, there is the
risk that if an
active investor makes known his concerns about a company to a
fellow
investor, the latter might immediately sell his shares in what
is referred to as
a race to the exit. There may also be obstacles in terms of
securities law that
complicate joint action.
101 Coffee and Black (1994) pp. 2055 2072.
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42
The list of objections is not exhaustive and is based on the
assumption that
institutional investors act in a spirit of goodwill. That is to
say that they will
do what they can to tackle the agency issue that is simply
inherent in a
public company. Thus, we assume that institutional investors are
prepared
to make an effort to maximize the long-term performance of the
companies
in which they invest.
But is this really what institutional investors strive for? This
is something we
cannot automatically assume, since a second agency issue is at
stake. The
first issue concerns the relationship between companies and
their
shareholders and has been outlined above. In this context, the
managers of
companies are agents that have to properly manage other peoples
money.
The second agency issue concerns the relationship between
organizations
that invest other peoples money and their clients. In this
context, the
institutional investors are the agents. We will go into the
second agency
issue in the next chapter.
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6 The second agency issue
In the professional investment business we are all agents,
managing
other peoples money.
Jeremy Grantham (2012)
Company law has been set up to ensure that companies are
properly
managed. To this end, it focuses in part on the responsibilities
of the
management with regard to the general shareholders meeting.
However, company law does not take into account the fact that by
now,
this general shareholders meeting for the most part consists of
institutional
investors who have an agency issue of their own, namely
their
responsibility to their client base.102
It cannot be automatically assumed that institutional investors
will fulfill
their role as shareholders in a way that yields optimum results
for their
clients103, since these clients do not specifically ask for this
and because the
interests of institutional investors differ from the interests
of their clients.
Like managers of companies, institutional investors have a
continuity
objective. Their actions are mainly geared towards maintaining
existing
mandates (and, in the case of open-ended investment funds,
towards
avoiding capital flight).
Like managers of companies, institutional investors often have
the wrong
remuneration incentives. If they are rewarded on the basis of
their managed
capital, they will mainly strive to increase this capital rather
than achieving
an optimum return on that capital.
102 Strine (2010) p 4. 103 Used here as an umbrella concept for,
among other things, shareholders in investment funds, participants
in pension funds and policyholders of insurers.
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44
And if they are rewarded based on a relative rather than
absolute return (e.g.
in relation to a stock index or to other investors), they will
not strive for an
optimum return in absolute terms.
Until recently, the academic and public interest in this second
agency issue
was isolated from the debate on corporate governance.104
However, as
institutional investors are attributed a greater role in
corporate governance,
this second agency issue is coming more into focus. For
instance, in 2003
the Dutch Corporate Governance Code still exclusively fo