1 ¯ÍÝÒ ÖÀÀÑÍÛ ÀÐÈËÆÀÀ ¯ÍÝÒ ÖÀÀÑÍÛ ÀÐÈËÆÀÀ 2009 2009
2
Ñýäâèéí àãóóëãà
1. Õºðºíãèéí çàõ, ò¿¿íèé á¿òýö, îíöëîã
2. ¯íýò öààñíû àðèëæàà
3. ¯íýò öààñíû èíäåêñ
4. Õºãæëèéí õàíäëàãà
4
Ñàíõ¿¿ãèéí çàõûí á¿òýö
Ñàíõ¿¿ãèéí çàõÑàíõ¿¿ãèéí çàõ
Õºðºíãèéí çàõÕºðºíãèéí çàõ
Áîíä Áîíä
̺íãºíèé çàõ̺íãºíèé çàõ
Õàäãàëàìæ,çýýë
Õàäãàëàìæ,çýýëÇÃÁÕ¯ÖÇÃÁÕ¯Ö
Øóóä ñàíõ¿¿æèëò
Øóóä áóñ ñàíõ¿¿æèëò
Óðò õóãàöààò
Áîãèíî õóãàöààò
ÕóâüöààÕóâüöàà
¯¿ñìýë ¿íýò öààñ¯¿ñìýë ¿íýò öààñ
5
Õºðºíãèéí çàõ íü òîäîðõîé ñóáüåêò¿¿ä äàõü õºðºíãèéí èë¿¿äëèéã õºðºí㺠øààðäëàãàòàé áóñàä õýñýãò ºðòºã áàãàòàéãààð, óðò õóãàöààíä, ¿ð àøèãòàé äàõèí õóâààðèëàõ áîëîìæèéã á¿ðä¿¿ëäýã ñàíõ¿¿ãèéí çóóчëàëûí îíöãîé ñåêòîð þì.
Õºðºíãèéí çàõ ãýæ þó âý?
77
Õºðºí㺠îðóóëàëòûí ºðòºã õÿìä Õºðºí㺠îðóóëàëòûí õóãàöàà óðò Ýðñäëèéã õóâààðèëàõ, áóóðóóëàõ áîëîìæ
ºíäºð Èõ õýìæýýíèé õºðºí㺠òºâëºð¿¿ëýõ áîëîìæ
ºíäºð Õºðâºõ ÷àäâàð ºíäºð
Õºðºíãèéí çàõûí äàâóó òàë
8
• Ñàíõ¿¿ãèéí çàõ çýýëèéí òîãòâîðæèëòûã õàíãàæ, ýíý óòãààðàà íèéò ýäèéí çàñãèéí ºñºëòºä ýåðýãýýð íºëººëäºã
• Àæ àõóéí íýãæ, áàéãóóëëàãóóäûí ¿íý öýíèéã òîãòîîæ, òýäíèéã ýðýìáýëäýã
Õºðºíãèéí çàõûí íèéò ýäèéí
çàñàãò ¿ç¿¿ëýõ àч õîëáîãäîë
99
Çàõ çýýëèéí ¿íýëãýý Àðèëæààíû ä¿í Àðèëæààíû ýðãýëò Àþóëã¿é, íàéäâàðòàé áàéäàë Á¿òýýãäýõ¿¿í ¿éë÷èëãýýíèé ºðòºã
Õºðºíãèéí çàõûí ¿ç¿¿ëýëò¿¿ä
1010
Çǯ-íèé ÄÍÁ-ä ýçëýõ õóâü
ÄÍÁ 2007(òýðáóì USD)
Çǯ - 2007(òýðáóì USD)
Çǯ/ÄÍÁ (%)
ÀÍÓ 13 843.8 19 922.3 143.91
ßïîí 4 383.7 4 330.9 98.79
Èõ áðèòàíè 2 772.6 3 851.7 138.92
Õÿòàä 3 250.8 4 478.9 137.77
Ñîëîíãîñ 957.0 1 157.8 120.98
Ïîëüø 420.3 211.6 50.31
Ìîíãîë 3.9 0.68 17.41Ýõ ñóðâàëæ: www.imf.org, www.world-exchanges.com,
1111
Àðèëæààíû ýðãýëòÀðèëæàà-
2007 (òýðáóì USD)
Çǯ - 2007(òýðáóì USD)
Ýðãýëò(%)
Íüþ-Èîðê ÕÁ 29 909.9 15 650.8 191.1
Tîêèî ÕÁ 6 476.1 4 330.9 149.6
Ñîëîíãîñ ÕÁ 2 005.9 1157.6 173.2
Ãîíêîíã ÕÁ 2 136.9 2654.4 80.5
Ñèíãàïóð ÕÁ 381.3 539.1 70.7
Øàíõàé ÕÁ 4069.4 3694.3 110.1
MSE 0.052 0.68 7.8
Ýõ ñóðâàëæ: www. www.world-exchanges.com,
13
¯íýò öààñíû àðèëæàà
1. Àíõäàã÷ çàõ çýýë (Primary market)1. Õààëòòàé õ¿ðýýíä ãàðãàõ (Private
placement)2. Íèéòýä ñàíàë áîëãîõ (Initial public offering)
2. Õî¸ðäîã÷ çàõ çýýë (Secondary market)
14
Àðèëæàà ýðõëýõ áàéãóóëëàãà
1. ¯íýò öààñûã õààíà àðèëæèæ áîëîõ âý?• Õºðºíãèéí áèðæ äýýð (Stock exchanges)• Ëàíãóóíû àðûí çàõ çýýë äýýð (Over the
counter market)• Òàëóóä øóóä õîîðîíäîî (Direct trading
between two parties)
15
Àðèëæààíû çàõ çýýëèéí òºðºë
• Quote driven system (çàõ çýýë ¿¿ñãýã÷òýé)
• Order driven system (çàõ çýýë ¿¿ñãýã÷ã¿é)
16
Àðèëæààíû àðãà
• Äóóäëàãà àðèëæàà (call auction )• ¯ðãýëæèëñýí äóóäëàãà àðèëæàà (continues
auction)
17
Àðèëæààíû ¿íäñýí çàð÷ìóóä• Øóäàðãà• Íýýëòòýé, èë òîä• Øóóðõàé• Òîãòâîðòîé
• ¯íèéí àõëàõ äàðààëàë• Õóäàëäàõàä õàìãèéí áàãà ¿íýýð • Õóäàëäàí àâàõàä õàìãèéí ºíäºð ¿íýýð
• Öàã õóãàöààíû äàðààëàë• ¯íý òýíöñýí òîõèîëäîëä çàõèàëãûí äàðààëëààð
18
Äóóäëàãà àðèëæàà
Àâàõ çàõèàëãûí
çàäàðãààÍèéòÀâàõ
¯íý Íèéò çàðàõ
Çàðàõ çàõèàëãûí çàäàðãàà
30, 40, 45, 5 120 352
390 300, 50, 40
50, 20, 100, 30 200 351
120 20, 40, 50, 10
30, 50, 50, 80 210 350
170 100, 20, 50
60, 50, 10, 100 220 349
180 120, 50, 10
30, 40, 120 190 348
90 10, 30, 30, 20
200, 50, 60 310 347
70 30, 40
352 òºã – 120, 351 òºã – 320, 350 òºã – 510, 349 òºã – 340, 348 òºã – 160, 347 òºã - 70
19
Äóóäëàãà àðèëæàà
Àâàõ çàõèàëãûí
çàäàðãààÍèéòÀâàõ
¯íý Íèéò çàðàõ
Çàðàõ çàõèàëãûí çàäàðãàà
30, 40, 45, 5 120 352
390 300, 50, 40
50, 20, 100, 30 200 351
120 20, 40, 50, 10
30, 50, 50 60 +20
210 350
170 100, 20, 50
60, 50, 10, 100 220 349
180 120, 50, 10
30, 40, 120 190 348
90 10, 30, 30, 20
200, 50, 60 310 347
70 30, 40
Õýëöýë: 350 òºãðºãººð – 510 øèðõýã
20
¯ðãýëæèëñýí äóóäëàãà àðèëæàà
Àâàõ çàõèàëãûí
çàäàðãààÍèéòÀâàõ
¯íý Íèéò çàðàõ
Çàðàõ çàõèàëãûí çàäàðãàà
352
390 300, 50, 40
351
120 20, 40, 50, 10
20 20 350
60, 50, 10, 100 220 349
30, 40, 120 190 348
200, 50, 60 310 347
Àâàõ äýýä ¿íý: 350 òºã – 20 øèðõýã, Çàðàõ äîîä ¿íý: 351 òºã – 120 øèðõýã
21
¯ðãýëæèëñýí äóóäëàãà àðèëæàà
Àâàõ çàõèàëãûí
çàäàðãààÍèéòÀâàõ
¯íý Íèéò çàðàõ
Çàðàõ çàõèàëãûí çàäàðãàà
352
390 300, 50, 40
20, 40 60 351
100 40, 50, 10
20 20 350
60, 50, 10, 100 220 349
30, 40, 120 190 348
200, 50, 60 310 347
Àâàõ äýýä ¿íý: 351 òºã – 60 øèðõýã, Çàðàõ äîîä ¿íý: 351 òºã – 120 øèðõýã
22
¯ðãýëæèëñýí äóóäëàãà àðèëæàà
Àâàõ çàõèàëãûí
çàäàðãààÍèéòÀâàõ
¯íý Íèéò çàðàõ
Çàðàõ çàõèàëãûí çàäàðãàà
352 390 300, 50, 40
10, 50 60 351 100 40, 20 + 30, 10
20 20 350
60, 50, 10, 100
220 349
30, 40, 120 190 348
200, 50, 60 310 347 Õýëöýë: 351 òºãðºãººð 60 øèðõýã
23
¯ðãýëæèëñýí äóóäëàãà àðèëæàà
Àâàõ çàõèàëãûí
çàäàðãààÍèéòÀâàõ
¯íý Íèéò çàðàõ
Çàðàõ çàõèàëãûí çàäàðãàà
352
390 300, 50, 40
351
40 30, 10
20 20 350
60, 50, 10, 100 220 349
30, 40, 120 190 348
200, 50, 60 310 347
Àâàõ äýýä ¿íý: 350 òºã – 20 øèðõýã, Çàðàõ äîîä ¿íý: 351 òºã – 40 øèðõýã
24
Çàõèàëãûí òºðºë
• Çàõ çýýëèéí çàõèàëãà (Market orders)• Õÿçãààðòàé íºõöºëò çàõèàëãà (Limit orders)
• Õóäàëäàí àâàõ õÿçãààðò íºõöºëò çàõèàëãà• Õóäàëäàõ õÿçãààðò íºõöºëò çàõèàëãà
25
Àðèëæààíû ¿íäñýí ñõåì
Çàõèàëã
à
Çàõèàëãà
Àðèëæàà
ÕýëöýëÕýëöýë
Òºëáºð òîîöîî
Ìýäýýëýë äàìæóóë
àõ
Àðèëæààíû õÿíàëò
Õýëöýë
Àðèë-íû ìýäýýëýë
Õýëöýë
ÁðîêåðÕàðèëöàãч Õºð.áèðæ
26
Ñîëîíãîñûí áèðæèéí àðèëæàà òºëáºð òîîöîîíû ñõåì
Page 09
o Submitting Quotationso Execution
o Trade confirmationo Correction of the Erroneous Tradingo Taking Obligationo Nettingo Settlement Instructiono Settlement Guarantyo Disposing Default
o Securities Settlemento Money Settlement
•In practice, settlement procedures don’t comply with the legal framework. The KRX is taking efforts to comply with the legal framework discussing with the relevant institutions.
27
Ñîëîíãîñûí áèðæèéí àðèëæààíû õóãàöàà
Trading hours
Trading Unit · Minimum trading quantities (10 shares) (Stock price, over 50,000won → 1 share)
Quote
Receipt
After-hours Session
Closing Single Price Price Auction
Continuous Auction
Call Auction(opening price)
Regular Session
07:30 08:30 09:00 14:50 15:00 15:10 15:30 18:00Opening Closing Opening Closing Opening Closing
Pre-hours Session
Call Auction(closing price)
28
¯íèéí õýìæýýñ
Õóâüöààíû ¿íý Õýìæýý (Tick)P < 5,000
5,000 P < 10,00010,000 P < 50,00050,000 P < 100,000100,000 P < 500,000
500,000 P
51050100500
1,000
(Unit: KRW)
30
1. ¯íýò öààñíû àðèëæàà Ìàðæèí àðèëæààíû æèøýý:
¯ç¿¿ëýëò¿¿ä ªãººæ
Àíõíû õºðºí㺠îðóóëàëò 10 000.00
Õàíøèéí ºñºëòººñ 4 000.00
Çýýëñýí ìºí㺠10 000.00
Íîãäîë àøèã 200.00
Õóâüöàà àâñàí àíõíû ¿íý 50.00
Çýýëèéí õ¿¿ 400.00
Õóâüöààíû òîî 400
Íèéò îðëîãî 3 800.00
Õóâüöààíû øèíý ¿íý 60.00
Àíõíû õ.îðóóëàëò 10 000.00
Íîãäîë àøèã 0.5 ÕÎ-ûí ºãººæ 38.00%
Ìàðæèíãèéí õóâü 50.00%
Çýýëèéí õ¿¿ãèéí õóâü 8.00%
Õóãàöàà (ñàð)
6
31
ÀÍÓ-ûí ÇÃ-ûí áîíäûí àðèëæààíû ìýäýý Security Type Issue Maturity Interest Yield Price
Date Date Rate % % per $100 2-year Note 01.31.2007 01.31.2009 4.875 4.930 99.8964585-year Note 01.31.2007 01.31.2012 4.750 4.855 99.538790 20-year Bond 01.31.2007 01.31.2027 2.375 2.420 99.21348510-year Note 01.16.2007 01.15.2017 2.375 2.449 99.3422802-year Note 01.02.2007 12.31.2008 4.750 4.765 99.9711755-year Note 01.02.2007 12.31.2011 4.625 4.704 99.651392
Ýõ ñóðâàëæ: http://www.treasurydirect.gov/RI/OFNtebnd ...
32
NYSE-èéí 2007.02.26-íû õóâüöààíû àðèëæààíû ìýäýý
52 weeksHi Low
Stock Sym
DivYld % PE
Vol100s
Hi Low Clo NetCnge
37.24 19.00
GeneralMotors
GM 1.00 2.9 - 72244
34.76
33.78
33.97
+0.02
11.58 5.53
IvenhoeMines
IVN - - -0.53
3038
10.44
10.21
10.26
-0.05
37.82 22.76
HiltonHotel
HLT 0.16 0.4 26.5
42565
37.00
35.89
36.13
-0.58
Ýõ ñóðâàëæ: http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=HLT …
33
Àðèëæààíä òàâèõ õÿíàëò
• ¯íèéí õýëáýëçýë (Price fluctuation)• 7%, 15%,
• Äîòîîä ìýäýýëýë ýçýìøèã÷ (Insider)
35
¯íýò öààñíû èíäåêñ
• ¯íýò öààñíû èíäåêñ íü òóõàéí áèðæ äýýð àðèëæèãäàæ áóé òîäîðõîé áàãö õóâüöààíû ¿íý õàíøèéí ººð÷ëºëòººð èëýðõèéëýãäýõ çàõ çýýëèéí ¿íèéí åðºíõèé ÷èã õàíäëàãà þì.
37
¯íèéí àðãà
Êîìïàíèéí íýð
Õóâüöààíû òîî
Õààëòûí õàíø
Ìîíãîë øààçàí 1 000 000 410
Ìîíãîë ñàâõè 2 000 000 110
Áàãàíóóð 3 000 000 500
d = 3, I = (410 + 110 + 500)/3 = 340
d – õóâààã÷, I - èíäåêñ
38
¯íèéí àðãà (¿ðãýëæëýë)
Êîìïàíèéí íýð
Õóâüöààíû òîî
Õààëòûí õàíø
Ìîíãîë øààçàí 1 000 000 413
Ìîíãîë ñàâõè 4 000 000 58
Áàãàíóóð 3 000 000 505
d = 3, I = (413 + 58*2 + 505)/3 = 344.7
d - õóâààã÷, I - èíäåêñ
39
¯íèéí àðãà (¿ðãýëæëýë)
Êîìïàíèéí íýð
Õóâüöààíû òîî
Õààëòûí õàíø
Ìîíãîë øààçàí 1 000 000 415
Ìîíãîë ñàâõè 4 000 000 60
Áàãàíóóð 3 000 000 505
d = (58 + 413 + 505) / 344.7 = 2.83
I = (415 + 60 + 505)/2.83 = 346.3
40
¯íýëãýýíèé àðãà
I = P/C x 100
I - Òóõàéí ºäðèéí èíäåêñ Ð - Òóõàéí ºäðèéí çàõ çýýëèéí ¿íýëãýý Ñ - Çàõ çýýëèéí ñóóðü ¿íýëãýý
41
¯íýëãýýíèé àðãà (¿ðãýëæëýë)
Êîìïàíèéí íýð
Õóâüöààíû òîî
Õààëòûí õàíø
Ìîíãîë øààçàí 1 000 000 410
Ìîíãîë ñàâõè 2 000 000 110
Áàãàíóóð 3 000 000 500
P = 410 õ 1 000 000 + 110 õ 2 000 000 + + 500 õ 3 000 000 = 2 130 000 000 òºã I = 100, Ñ = 2 130 000 000 òºã
42
¯íýëãýýíèé àðãà (¿ðãýëæëýë)
Êîìïàíèéí íýð
Õóâüöààíû òîî
Õààëòûí õàíø
Ìîíãîë øààçàí 1 000 000 413
Ìîíãîë ñàâõè 4 000 000 58
Áàãàíóóð 3 000 000 505
Ð = 413 x 1 000 000 + 58 x 4 000 000 + + 505 x 3 000 000 = 2 160 000 000 òºãÑ = 2 130 000 000 I = 2 160 000 000 / 2 130 000 000 x 100 = 101.4
43
Çàðèì òîìîîõîí èíäåêñ¿¿ä
• Dow Jones Averages (since 1896)• Standard & Poor’s Composite 500• Nikkei 225, Nikkei 300 • FTSE 100
44
1995.08.28-íààñ òîîöîæ ýõýëñýí 1995.08.28 – 100 (ñóóðü òºâøèí) 2009.01.20 – 5252.28 20 êîìïàíèéí çàõ çýýëèéí ¿íýëãýýãýýð õýìæèíý Ýäãýýð íü ÌÕÁ-èéí íèéò çàõ çýýëèéí
¿íýëãýýíèé 80-90 õóâèéã ýçýëäýã
ÌÕÁ-èéí ÒÎÐ-20 èíäåêñ
45
TOP - 20 èíäåêñ
5252.28
5583.22
12712.45
2030.811019.2585.7895.9
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
.01.20
TOP-20
47
Õºãæëèéí ÷èã õàíäëàãóóä
1. Äàÿàð÷ëàë (Globalization)2. ¯íýò öààñæèõ ¿éë ÿâö (Securitization)3. Ñàíõ¿¿ãèéí èíæåíåð÷ëýë (Financial
engineering)4. Ìýäýýëýë, õàðèëöàà ñ¿ëæýýíèé
õóâüñãàë (Revolution in information and communication networks)
48
Globalization
• Õºðºíãèéí áèðæ¿¿äèéí íýãäýëò:• Euronext (Amsterdam, Brussels, Lisbon,
Paris)• NYSE + TSE + Euronext• Nasdaq + LSE• TSEC + GTSM + TFE
49
Globalization
• Õºðºí㺠îðóóëàëò äàÿàð÷ëàëûí ¿åä:• Depository receipts àøèãëàí• Ãàäààä âàëþòààð øóóä• Îëîí óëñûí õýìæýýíèé õàìòûí ñàíãóóäààð• Ãàäààäûí çàõ çýýëä ¿¿ñìýë ¿íýò öààñààð
50
Securitization
• Mortgage backed securities• Asset backed securities• Index futures• Credit card receivables (CCR)• Student loans• Interest rate option (IRO) • Convertible bond asset swap (CBAS)• Bond forward • Bond option
51
Financial engineering
• Convertible, exchangeable, preferred stock
• Principal payment + Interest payment