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Strategic Management Session 2 1 Slides by Bobby Hajjaj
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Session 2 Vision

Apr 13, 2015

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Page 1: Session 2 Vision

Strategic Management

Session 2

1Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 2: Session 2 Vision

Week 1: Introduction + Strategy, Vision, & Value

Week 2: History of Strategic Management + Game

theory

Week 3: Competitive Advantage

Week 4: Industry analysis

Week 5: Macro environment & Uncertainty

Week 6: Corporate strategy & Diversification

Week 7: Global Strategy

Week 8: Managing the Multibusiness Company

Week 9: Strategic planning

Week 10: Review

Course Structure

2Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 3: Session 2 Vision

Session1: i) Defining strategy

ii) Scope of strategy

iii) Vision, mission, goals

iv) NPV & EVA – measure of value

Today’s agenda

3Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 4: Session 2 Vision

What is strategy?

4Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 5: Session 2 Vision

STRATEGY is . . .

The determination of the long-term goals of an enterprise, the adoption of courses of action, and the allocation of resources for achieving these goals

The pattern or plan that integrates an organization’s major goals,policies and actions into a cohesive whole

A plan of action

Textbook definitions

5Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 6: Session 2 Vision

"You can become a master of strategy by training alone with a sword, so that you can understand the enemy's stratagems, his strength and resources, and come to appreciate how to apply strategy to beat ten thousand enemies."

-Miyamoto Musashi {Book of Five Rings}“Know the other and know yourself:Triumph without peril.Know nature and know the situation:Triumph completely.”

- Sun Tzu {The Art of War}

The Masters

6Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 7: Session 2 Vision

Domain of Strategy

• The organization as a whole - Integrates finance, marketing, research, operations

• The organization’s general direction - Vision, mission, goals, objectives, broad courses of action

• Performance for all measures and time horizons - Shareholder returns, profits, market share, community

• Stakeholder interests - Investors, employees, customers, communities, regulators

• Competition - Competitive advantage, innovation, imitation, resources, skills

7Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 8: Session 2 Vision

The Strategist

Strategist as GENERAL - Battle plans, troops, weapons, enemies, tactics, positioning

Strategist as ARCHITECT - Design, creativity, function, blueprints, negotiation, execution

Strategist as CHESSMASTER - Analysis, problem-solving, moves, advantages, contingencies

Strategist as ORCHESTRA CONDUCTOR - Coordination, improvisation, fit, harmony in diversity

Strategist as EXPEDITION LEADER - Map, destination, compass, milestones, adversity, experience

8Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 9: Session 2 Vision

Multiple Audiences Multiple InterestsInvestors Financial returnsEmployees Challenge, Security, Training Customers Quality, Price, Access, FeaturesSuppliers Terms, Reliability, PartnershipConsultants Relationships, Learning, ProfitCompetitors Predictability, Stability, RespectRegulators Compliance, InformationCommunity Contribution, Citizenship

Stakeholder interests

9Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 10: Session 2 Vision

“The best way to maximise shareholder value is not to shoot for it directly: if you go out to be happy, you probably won't be. I think the way Whole Foods does it is going to be the way everyone does it in 20 years." John MacKey, Founder and CEO, Whole Foods Market, Financial Times, 29 December, 2004

10Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 11: Session 2 Vision

Multiple Audiences Multiple ObjectivesInvestors Perform, Inform, RetainEmployees Direct, Develop, EncourageCustomers Attract, Assist, Retain, PartnerSuppliers Develop, Negotiate, PartnerConsultants Inform, Learn, InfluenceCompetitors Monitor, Signal, MisdirectRegulators Learn, Communicate, InfluenceCommunity Contribute, Exchange resources

Stakeholders and organizational objectives

11Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 12: Session 2 Vision

Strategy as Content

• Vision, mission, goals• Products and services• Customer groups

• Geographic coverage

• Price, cost, quality positions

• Resources• Competitors• Key issues and how to address them 12Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 13: Session 2 Vision

THE FIRM

•Goals and values

•Resources and capabilities

•Structure and systems

THE FIRM

•Goals and values

•Resources and capabilities

•Structure and systems

THE INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT

•Competitors

•Customers

•Suppliers

THE INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT

•Competitors

•Customers

•Suppliers

StrategyStrategy

The Big Picture

Strategy: link between the firm and its

environment13Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 14: Session 2 Vision

Successful strategy

Successful strategy

Long-term simple and

agreed objectives

Long-term simple and

agreed objectives

Profound understanding of the competitive

environment

Profound understanding of the competitive

environment

Objective appraisal of resources

Objective appraisal of resources

The Process:

Simplified

EFFECTIVE IMPLEMENTATIONEFFECTIVE IMPLEMENTATION

14Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 15: Session 2 Vision

VisionVision GoalsGoals AnalysisAnalysis DecisionDecision ActionAction

ExternalExternal InternalInternal

SynthesisSynthesis

• Values• Purposes

• Mission• Goals• Objectives

• Industry analysis• Key success factors• Competitive position• Opportunities & threats

• Resources and capabilities• Functional area analysis• Financial analysis• Strengths & weaknesses

• Risk analysis• Negotiation• Strategic choice

• Structure• Culture• Processes• Systems• Deployments

• Competitive advantage• Strategic alternatives

DATADATA

Strategy as ProcessFormulation Implementation

15Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 16: Session 2 Vision

VisionVision

IdeologyIdeologyIntentionIntention

Core purposeCore purposeCore valuesCore valuesStrategic intentStrategic intentMissionMission

- guiding principles- few in number (3 to 5)

- reason for being- outlives strategies

- definition of the business- inspiring stretch goals

- vivid description- a success word-picture

Defining Strategic Vision

16Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 17: Session 2 Vision

Strategic intent Definition of the organization• We produce and distribute chocolates and confectionaries globally (Hershey, 1965)• We are an integrated global food provider (Hershey, 1985)

Large, inspiring stretch goals • Become the Harvard Business School of Australia (AGSM)• Become number one or two in every market we serve (GE)

Mission Vivid description of achieving the goal• We will be the first Japanese company to enter the U.S. market. We will succeed with innovations where U.S. companies have failed, such as the transistor radio. Our brand will be known around the world, and will signify innovation and quality that rival the world’s best. Made in Japan will mean something fine, not shoddy. (Sony, 1950s)

Intention

17Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 18: Session 2 Vision

Core ValuesA few (3 to 5) enduring, guiding principles• Being a pioneer; elevating Japanese culture; doing the impossible (Sony)• Freedom of choice; winning a good fight; individual initiative (Philip Morris)• Sincerity; imagination and dreams; fanatical attention to detail (Disney)• Social responsibility; science-based innovation; honesty and integrity (Merck)

Core Purpose The organization’s (non-financial) reason for being• To solve problems innovatively (3M)• To preserve and improve human life (Merck)• To make people happy (Disney)• To experience the emotion of winning and crushing competitors (Nike)

Ideology

18Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 19: Session 2 Vision

VisionWe will provide knowledge and take action to ensure the national security of the United States and the preservation of American life and ideals.

MissionWe are the eyes and ears of the nation and at times its hidden hand. We accomplish this mission by:

• Collecting intelligence that matters

• Providing relevant, timely, and objective all-source analysis

• Conducting covert action at the direction of the President to preempt threats or achieve United States policy objectives

http://www.cia.gov/cia/information/mission.html

The CIA

19Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 20: Session 2 Vision

http://www.aiub.edu/HtmlViewer2.aspx?FileName=/staticpages/aiub/introduction.htm

AIUB

20Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

VisionAMERICAN INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY-BANGLADESH (AIUB) envisions promoting professionals and excellent leadership catering to the technological progress and development needs of the country.

MissionAMERICAN INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY-BANGLADESH (AIUB) is committed to provide quality and excellent computer-based academic programs responsive to the emerging challenges of the time. It is dedicated to nurture and produce competent world class professional imbued with strong sense of ethical values ready to face the competitive world of arts, business, science, social science and technology.

Page 21: Session 2 Vision

Intention IdeologyThe “what” (products, markets, resources) -----The “why” Market-responsive ---------------------------------------------------- Motivationally compellingEconomically sound -------------------------------------------------- Emotionally inspiringBased on competitive advantages ---------------------------------- Based on core beliefs Changing --------------------------------------------------------------- EnduringCreated ----------------------------------------------------------------- DiscoveredImplemented ----------------------------------------------------------- Lived What you intend to do ---------------------------------------------- Who you areUnique, differentiated ----------------------------------------------- Inspiring, but not uniqueAbandoned under adversity ---------------------------------------- Maintained under adversityAchievable -------------------------------------------------------------- Never realized - only pursuedThe organization’s brain -------------------------------------------- The organization’s soul

Intention vs. Ideology

21Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 22: Session 2 Vision

Do we remember the basics?

Which investments should the firm make?– Business entry/exit decisions– Resource allocation• How should the firm finance its decisions?– Debt, Equity, Convertible bonds, etcWhen capital is scarce, where should it be allocated?• How does one value a new investment?– Does it have the appropriate risk/return characteristics?• How should one evaluate project risk?• What sort of return should we demand for a given level of Risk?

22Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 23: Session 2 Vision

• Interest rates are always quoted for one year• If deposit at R% for t years with compounding frequency f,

• As f gets very large (f → ), return and DF approach:∝

Net Present Value

In general:

Investment rule: Accept positive NPV investments 23Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 24: Session 2 Vision

FCF = Revenue – Cost – CAPEX – ΔWC – Tax

– CAPEX = capital expenditure– ΔWC = changes in working capital

• In accounts you often find Earnings before Interest andafter Tax (EBIAT) (after tax ‘profit’)

• FCF = EBIAT – CAPEX – ΔWC + DEP

– DEP = depreciation

Future cash flows

24Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 25: Session 2 Vision

Implications for NPV

– If markets reflect information then there is no point in attempting to fool them.

– You are rewarded for making good investments and punished for making bad investments

– NPV calculation tells you how to find the good ones

More of the basics

25Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 26: Session 2 Vision

CAPM: relating risk to return

26Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 27: Session 2 Vision

Current market value

Value as is

Total potential

value

Value with internal

improvements

Value with internal

improvements and disposals

Value with growth, internal improvements and disposals

Maximum opportunityPerceptions

gap

Operating improvement

Disposal/ new owners

New growth opportunities

Financial engineering

Company value for Industrial Inquirer

27Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 28: Session 2 Vision

Equity value (market cap)

Market value of

debt

Minority interest

Pension provisions

Other claims

Sum of all values on enterprise profit or clash flow equals

Total enterprise value

Core enterprise value

Non-core assets

Equity Value vs. Enterprise Value

28Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 29: Session 2 Vision

Accounting profit to Economic profit

EVA (economic value added) is a measure of economic profit, which is the pure surplus available after all inputs have been paid for.

EVA = Net operating profits after tax - Weighted average cost of capital

EVA = NOPAT – WACC

29Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 30: Session 2 Vision

Enterprise value = Present value of future cash flows

Or

EV = invested capital + present value of future EVAs

From Economic profit to Enterprise value

30Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 31: Session 2 Vision

Accounting profit to Economic profit

31Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 32: Session 2 Vision

Valuing the Firm’s options

When a company invests in a implementing new strategy: view each phase in that implementation as acquiring an option on

investing on the next phase.

Merck: “When you make an initial investment in a research project, you are playing an entry fee for a right, but you are not

obligated to continue that research at a later time.”

32Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Page 33: Session 2 Vision

A value metrics framework

33Slides by Bobby Hajjaj

Source: Adapted from T. Copeland, et.al., Valuation, 3rd edition, New York: Wiley, 2000

Page 34: Session 2 Vision

That’s it for today folks.

34Slides by Bobby Hajjaj