Sergey Kakareka Anna Malchykhina Institute for Problems of Natural Resources Use & Ecology Minsk, Belarus 7 th JOINT UNECE TFEIP & EIONET Workshop on Emission Inventories and Projections 31 October - 2 November 2006, Thessaloniki, Greece PM emission data for the PM emission data for the NIS: current state NIS: current state
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Sergey Kakareka Anna Malchykhina Institute for Problems of Natural Resources Use & Ecology Minsk, Belarus 7 th JOINT UNECE TFEIP & EIONET Workshop on Emission.
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Sergey KakarekaAnna Malchykhina
Institute for Problems of Natural Resources Use & Ecology
Minsk, Belarus
7th JOINT UNECE TFEIP & EIONET Workshop on Emission Inventories and Projections
31 October - 2 November 2006, Thessaloniki, Greece
PM emission data for the NIS: PM emission data for the NIS: current statecurrent state
Presentation contains draft results of analysis of PM emission
data available now for some NIS countries made as a task of
national contribution “in-kind” of the Republic of Belarus
into EMEP for 2006.
Purpose:
- assessment of the quality (completeness, consistency,
transparency etc.) of PM emission data available for the
NIS, prioritization of sectors and determination of ways for
its improvement.
Data sets on emission analized:
1. Emission statistics (from National Reports on the State of
Environment, Statistical Yearbooks and other official
edition);
2. Official PM data reported to EMEP from EMEP database
(Webdap);
3. Expert estimates of EMEP (Webdap);
4. RAINS model estimates;
5. CEPMEIP dataset;
6. MSC-W by country reports.
Countries analyzed: Belarus, Moldova, the Ukraine, Russian Federation (the European part).
Years:2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004
Methodology of analysis:А) Comparison of emission estimates:
by totals;by key sectors (SNAP 1);by years (trends);
B) Comparison with activity data
Data sources on activity: national statistics.
Compilation of analized data for PM national totals by countries
is shown on the charts below.
Explanation of notations on the charts:
Statistics – statistical data on emissions (generally for
stationary sources only; domestic sector and some others not
accounted);
Official – data reported to EMEP (Webdap);
Expert – emission estimates by EMEP (Webdap);
RAINS – estimation by RAINS model (for 2000 and 2005).
By the data EMEP database contains scarce official information on PM10 or PM2.5. Only for Moldova there is a whole set of PM10 data. For other NIS it available for 1-3 last years. Statistics do not contain it at all. So mainly TSP emission data can be used for in-deep analysis.
TSP official data available for most of years: 2000-2004 for Moldova, 2002-2004 for other countries. Generally it is rather smooth though some jumps present.Statistics available for all years except the European part of the Russian Federation for which mainly emission data for total Russia available. Emission on the European part can be estimated using known share of the European part of Russia in total emissions for 2003 (about 31%).
PM emission data for Belarus
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20
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60
80
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120
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
tho
us
. to
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s Statistical TSP
Official TSP
Official PM10
Expert PM10
RAINS TSP
RAINS PM10
PM emission data for the Ukraine
0
100
200
300
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1000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
tho
us
. to
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s Statistical TSP
Official TSP
Official PM10
Expert PM10
RAINS TSP
RAINS PM10
To compare expert and official estimates we can accept that
roughly PM10 comprises 50-60% of TSP.
Expert estimates and RAINS data are generally higher then
official and statistical. Thus for Belarus expert estimates are
higher than official (about 20%). For Moldova expert emissions
for 2000-2001 are higher than for 2002-2003 7-8 times. For
2000-2001 they are closer to official and close to RAINS, for
2002-2003 – to statistics and differ from RAINS.
For the European part of Russia official emission values in 2004