Business Cycles: Characteristics and Causes (cont.) • Phases of the business cycle – Recession • Begins when the economy reaches a peak • Ends when the economy reaches a trough Business Cycles
Section 1
Business Cycles: Characteristics and Causes (cont.)
• Phases of the business cycle
– Recession
• Begins when the economy reaches a peak
• Ends when the economy reaches a trough
Business Cycles
Section 1
Business Cycles: Characteristics and Causes (cont.)
– Expansion
• Begins after the declining real GDP bottoms out
• Continues until economy reaches a new peak
Section 1
Business Cycles: Characteristics and Causes (cont.)
• The economy would follow a steady growth path, trend line, if periods of recession and expansion did not occur.
• Severe recessions can turn into a depression.
Section 1
Business Cycles: Characteristics and Causes (cont.)
• Causes of business cycles
– Changes in capital expenditures
– Innovation and imitation
– Monetary policy decisions
– External shocks
Section 2
Inflation
• Inflation—increase in the general level of prices
• Deflation—decline in the general level of prices
• Both are harmful to the economy and should be avoided whenever possible.
Section 2
Measuring Prices and Inflation (cont.)
• Inflationary changes
– Creeping inflation
– Hyperinflation
– Stagflation
Section 2
• Causes for inflation
– Demand-pull inflation
– Cost-push inflation
– Wage-price spiral
– Excessive monetary growth
Causes of Inflation (cont.)
Profiles in Economics:Milton Friedman
A. A
B. B
C. C
D. D
Section 2
A B C D
0% 0%0%0%
When the price level goes up, the purchasing power of the dollar goes
A. Up
B. Down
C. Remains the same
D. Depends
Section 2
• Effects of inflation
– Reduced purchasing power
– Distorted spending patterns
Consequences of Inflation (cont.)
The Purchasing Power of the Dollar
Section 2
– Encourages speculation
– Distorted distribution of income
Consequences of Inflation (cont.)
• Creditors are hurt more than debtors generally.
A. A
B. B
C. C
D. D
Section 2
A B C D
0% 0%0%0%
Which sector of the economy has seen recent years of speculation?
A. Real estate
B. Gold
C. Oil
D. Alternative fuel
A. A
B. B
Section 3
When the government issues that latest monthly unemployment statistic, is it accounting for all individuals who are unemployed?
A. Yes
B. No
A B
0%0%
Section 3
Measuring Unemployment (cont.)
• The civilian labor force or labor force is the sum of all persons aged 16 and above who are either employed or actively seeking employment.
• Unemployed—individuals who are willing, able, and available to work and actively seeking employment
Section 3
Measuring Unemployment (cont.)
• The unemployment rate is equal to the number of unemployed persons divided by the civilian labor force.
The Unemployment Rate
A. A
B. B
C. C
D. D
Section 3
A B C D
0% 0%0%0%
Unemployment rate does not include
A. Labor force dropouts
B. Prisoners
C. Military
D. All of the above
Section 3
Sources of Unemployment (cont.)
• Kinds of unemployment
– Frictional unemployment
– Structural unemployment
• Outsourcing
Section 3
Sources of Unemployment (cont.)
– Technological unemployment
– Cyclical unemployment
– Seasonal unemployment
A. A
B. B
C. C
D. D
Section 3
A B C D
0% 0%0%0%
Which type of unemployment exists when consumers change from buying tapes and cassettes to DVDs and iPods?
A. Frictional
B. Technological
C. Structural
D. Seasonal
Section 3
• Recession, inflation, and unemployment hinder economic growth and have human costs.
• Cost of unemployment and economic instability
Costs of Instability (cont.)
– Opportunity cost like the GDP gap
Section 3
– Misery index or discomfort index
– Uncertainty leads to fewer consumer purchases.
– Political instability
– Crime, poverty, and family instability
Costs of Instability (cont.)
Measuring Consumer Discomfort
Business Cycles Economic growth is typically marked by periods of recession followed by periods of expansion. A business cycle is the period from the beginning of one recession to the beginning of the next.
VS 1
VS 2
Inflation The economy faces inflation when the general level of prices increases. If excessive, inflation can have a disruptive effect on the economy.
VS 3
Unemployment The unemployment rate includes those individuals who are actively looking for a job but work less than one hour a week for pay or profit. It does not include people who are underemployed, working part-time, or have given up the job search.