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SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO
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SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

Jul 03, 2020

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Page 1: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

SEB January–June 2016

Annika Falkengren President & CEO

Page 2: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

Highlights Q2 2016

Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity markets

Robust capital position and strong asset quality

Higher customer demand for risk management services in a volatile environment

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Page 3: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

Profit & Loss, (SEK m) H1 2016 H1 2015 % H1 2016 H1 2015 %

Total Operating income 20,838 23,436 -11 21,358 22,534 -5

Total Operating expenses -10,748 -11,002 -2 -16,697 -11,002 52Profit before credit losses 10,090 12,434 -19 4,661 11,532 -60Net credit losses etc. -581 -490 19 -581 -490 19

Operating profit 9,509 11,944 -20 4,080 11,042 -63

Underlying* Reported

Key figures Underlying *H1 2016 H1 2015 Reported H1 2016 H1 2015

Return on Equity, % 10.9 14.2 3.3 12.9

Cost/income ratio 0.52 0.47 0.78 0.49

Earnings per share, SEK 3.46 4.33 1.02 3.92

CET1 ratio B3, % 18.7 17.2

Leverage ratio B3, % 4.7 4.4

Credit loss level, % 0.07 0.06

* Note: Excluding one-off items: income of SEK -0.9bn in H1 2015, income of SEK +0.5bn and costs of SEK -5.9bn in H1 2016

Financial summary

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Page 4: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

Financial summary Excl. one-off items*

* Note: Excluding one-offs of SEK -5.9bn in Q1 and +0.5bn in Q2

4

% Q2-15 %

Total Operating income 10,616 10,222 4 11,898 -11Total Operating expenses -5,332 -5,416 -2 -5,518 -3Profit before credit losses 5,284 4,806 10 6,380 -17Net credit losses etc. -268 -313 -14 -226 19Operating profit 5,016 4,493 12 6,154 -18

Q2-16 Q1-16

Profit and loss (SEK m)

4.6 4.1

1.7

0.2

45%

38%

15% 2%

Operating income by type, Q2 2016 vs. Q1 2016 (SEK bn)

Net interest income

Net fee and commissions

Net financial income

Q1-16 Q2-16 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q1-16 Q2-16

Income distribution 2016

Net other income

Q1-16 Q2-16

Page 5: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

Net interest income development SEK bn, excl. one-off* Net interest income Jan-Jun 2016 vs. Jan-Jun 2015

Net interest income type Q2 2014 – Q2 2016

4.0 4.4 4.6

Q2-14 Q2-15 Q2-16

0.7

0.2 0.5

Q2-14 Q2-15 Q2-16

0.2 0.0

-0.4

Q2-14 Q2-15 Q2-16

Deposits

Funding & other

Lending

* Excluding SEK -82m Swiss withholding tax in Q2 2015.

9.7 9.3

Jan-Jun 2015 Jan-Jun 2016

-4%

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Page 6: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

0.4 0.4 0.4

Q2 -14 Q2 -15 Q2-16

1.8 2.2 1.8

Q2-14 Q2-15 Q2-16

2.6 2.5 2.7

Q2-14 Q2-15 Q2-16

Custody and mutual funds

Payments, cards, lending, deposits & guarantees

Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives

1.3 2.1

0.8

Q2-14 Q2-15 Q2-16

Net fee and commission income development SEK bn Net fee and commissions Jan-Jun 2016 vs. Jan-Jun 2015

Gross fee and commissions by income type Q2 2014 – Q2 2016

-19% 9.9

8.0

Jan-Jun 2015 Jan-Jun 2016

Life insurance fees

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Page 7: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

3.5 3.1

Jan-Jun 2015 Jan-Jun 2016

1.2 1.0 0.8

1.7 1.8

1.2 1.6

1.4 1.7

Q2-14 Q3-14 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16

Net financial income development SEK bn, excl. one-off*

NFI and total Markets result Q1 2013 – Q1 2015 Net financial income Jan-Jun 2016 vs. Jan-Jun 2015

Net financial income development Q2 2014 – Q2 2016

Reduced volatility

10

20

30

40

0

50

100

150

Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16

EUR 5Y CDS

VIX S&P 500 volatility

-12%

* Excluding SEK -820m Swiss withholding tax in Q2 2015.

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Page 8: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

Average quarterly income (SEK bn)

9.2 9.4 9.8 10.4 11.0 11.3 10.4

Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Jan-Jun2016

Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn)

5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4

Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Jan-Jun2016

Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn)

Notes: Excluding one-offs (restructuring in 2010, bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012, sale of MasterCard shares and Euroline in 2014, Swiss withholding tax in 2015, Goodwill impairment, other one-off cost items and SEB Baltic VISA transaction in 2016) . Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010.

3.4 3.5 4.1 4.8 5.5 5.7 5.0

Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Jan-Jun2016

Operating leverage excluding one-offs

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Page 9: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

4.6

3.5

0.8

1.4

Operating profit H1 2016 vs. H1 2015 (SEK bn)

H1 2016

H1 2015

Large Corporates & Financial Institutions

Corporate & Private Customers

Life & Investment Management

Baltic Banking

RoBE 11.5% 14.9% 18.3% 21.2%

Business Equity, SEK bn

61.0 36.5 7.6 11.6

Divisional performance Excluding one-offs

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Page 10: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

Example Growth: Corporate customers and volumes continue to increase

Credit portfolio growth (SEK bn) C&PC: Continued inflow of SMEs

+6,000

11%

12%

13%

14%

15%

16%

80

100

120

140

160

180

2012 2013 2014 2015 Q2 2016

Customers (thousands) Market share (SME)

New customers H1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Dec

'09

Jun

'10

Dec

'10

Jun

'11

Dec

'11

Jun

'12

Dec

'12

Jun

'13

Dec

'13

Jun

'14

Dec

'14

Jun

'15

Dec

'15

Jun

'16

Sector QoQ YTD Corporates 5% 2% (Dotted line FX adjusted)

Households 2% 3% Swedish mortgages

2% 2%

Property mgmt

5% 10%

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Page 11: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

Example Transform: Delivery Highlights Q2 2016

Digitisation Tink

Youth App

Simplification

Channel Transformation

New Private Banking Platform

Annual letters digitised

Payment Infra Centralised

German Customers migrated to

global platform

New Fund Account System

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Page 12: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

(SEK bn) 2009 2015 Jan-Jun 2016

Non-performing loans 28.6bn 8.0bn 8.0bn

NPL coverage ratio 65% 62% 64%

Net credit loss level 0.92% 0.06% 0.07%

Customer deposits 750bn 884bn 944bn

Liquidity resources >10% ~25% ~25%

Liquidity coverage ratio N.A. 128% 129%

CET 1 ratio (Basel 3) 11.7% 18.8% 18.7%

Total capital ratio (Basel 3) 14.7% 23.8% 23.5%

Leverage ratio (Basel 3) N.A. 4.9% 4.7%

Strong asset quality and balance sheet A

sset

qua

lity

Fund

ing

and

liqui

dity

C

apita

l Basel 2.5

Basel 2.5

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Page 13: SEB January–June 2016 · SEB January–June 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO . Highlights Q2 2016 Increased market uncertainty put further pressure on interest rates and equity

Going forward

Continued disciplined execution

Increased emphasis on resilience and long-term perspective in challenging economic climate

Focus on meeting changing customer behaviour

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