1 www.sebgroup.com Facts & Figures January – March 2008
Nov 12, 2014
1
www.sebgroup.com
Facts & FiguresJanuary – March 2008
2
PageSEB Group 3 – 27Asset quality 29 – 39Bond portfolios 40 – 46Divisions 47 – 53Merchant Banking 54 – 63Retail Banking 64 – 89Wealth Management 90 – 101Life 102 – 117Macro update 118 – 125
Contents
3
SEB has…an attractive platformhigh customer satisfactionstable profit growthseveral leading positions
...a strong customer base2,500 customers are large companies and financial institutions400,000 SME customers5 million private customers
3
SEB – the key to North-European markets
4
Business Support/Group StaffPer-Arne Blomquist / Ingrid Engström / Hans Larsson
Internal Audit
Agneta Brevenhag
Group Credits & Group Risk Control
Johan Andersson
President & CEO
Annika Falkengren
Merchant Banking
Magnus Carlsson
Retail Banking
Bo Magnusson
Life
Anders Mossberg
WealthManagementFredrik Boheman
SEB's organisation
5
Share of operating profitJan – Mar 2008
4%
6%8%
1%4%
7%
12%
58%
GermanySweden
32%
40%
12%16%
Retail Banking
Wealth Management
Life Merchant Banking
Geography - Adjusted for OtherDivisions - Adjusted for Other
LithuaniaLatvia
Estonia
Norway
Finland
Denmark
6
Ratings of SEB ABRating target set by SEB Board at AA
Moody’s S&P Fitch DBRS
Bank Senior Rating
Short Term P-1 A-1 F-1 R-1 (middle)
Long Term Aa2 A+ A+ AA (low)
Outlook Positive Stable Positive Stable
Last Action Outlook change Upgrade Outlook change Initial rating
Date Jul-07 Oct-06 Jul-06 Dec-06
7
Key figuresSEB Group
Q1 Q1 portfolios2008 2007 Q1 – Q1
Operating income 8,802 -14% -5%Operating expenses -6,027 4%Operating profit 2,410 - 42% -20%Net profit 1,848 - 43%Return on Equity, % 9.6 19.0 13.2Cost / income ratio 0.69 0.57 0.62Credit loss level, % 0.13 0.10Core capital ratio, Basel II, %* 8.85 8.33Core capital ratio, Basel I, % 7.96 7.87RWA, Basel II, SEKbn 817 753
ChangeSEKm Excluding
* Basel II including transitional rules
8
Key figuresSEB Group
Q1 Q4 Jan – Dec2008 2007 2007
Operating income 8,802 -12% 40,440Operating expenses -6,027 2% -23,194Operating profit 2,410 -47% 17,01Net profit 1,848 -51% 13,642Return on Equity, % 9.6 20.2 19.3Cost / income ratio 0.69 0.59 0.57Credit loss level, % 0.13 0.13 0.11Core capital ratio, Basel II, %* 8.85 892 8.63Core capital ratio, Basel I, % 7.96 8.15 8.15RWA, Basel II, SEKbn 817 8.63 842
SEKm
* Basel II including transitional rules
Change
9
Profit and loss accountQ1 2008 vs. Q1 2007SEKm Q1 Q1 Change
2008 2007 %Net interest income 4,223 3,767 12Net fee and commissions 3,801 4,277 -11Net financial income -161 1,311 -112Net life insurance income 713 743 -4Net other income 226 95 138
Total operating income 8,802 10,193 -14Staff costs -3,899 -3,796 3Other expenses -1,756 -1,678 5Depreciation of assets -372 -328 13
Total operating expenses -6,027 -5,802 4Gain/loss tangible/intangible assets 3 -Net credit losses etc -368 -234 57
Operating profit 2,410 4,157 -42Net profit 1,848 3,262 -43
10
Profit and loss accountQ1 2008 vs. Q4 2007SEKm Q1 Q4 Change Jan – Dec
2008 2007 % 2007Net interest income 4,223 4,375 -3 15,998Net fee and commissions 3,801 4,129 -8 17,051Net financial income -161 420 -138 3,239Net life insurance income 713 766 -7 2,933Net other income 226 345 -34 1,219
Total operating income 8,802 10,035 -12 40,440Staff costs -3,899 -3,787 3 -14,921Other expenses -1,756 -1,782 -1 -6,919Depreciation of assets -372 -359 4 -1,354
Total operating expenses -6,027 -5,928 2 -23,194Gain/loss tangible/intangible assets 3 787 -100 788Net credit losses etc -368 -313 18 -1,016
Operating profit 2,410 4,581 -47 17,018Net profit 1,848 3,757 -51 13,642
11
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
Q4-05
Q1-06
Q2-06
Q3-06
Q4-06
Q1-07
Q2-07
Q3-07
Q4-07
Q1-08
Income Expenses
Operating profit
01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
Q4-05
Q1-06
Q2-06
Q3-06
Q4-06
Q1-07
Q2-07
Q3-07
Q4-07
Q1-08
SEB GroupIncome, Expenses and Operating profit, SEKm
*
*
* One-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005 ** Including sales of Baltic properties in Q4 2007 of SEK 785m
**
12
3,7674,223
1614283353
-138
Q1 2007 Lendingmargin
Lendingvolume
Depositmargin
Depositvolume
Funding &other
Q1 2008
Net interest income analysisSEB Group Q1 2007 vs. Q1 2008SEKm
13
4,375 4,223
-27386-713472
Q4 2007 Lendingmargin
Lendingvolume
Depositmargin
Depositvolume
Funding &other
Q1 2008
Net interest income analysisSEB Group Q4 2007 vs. Q1 2008SEKm
14
Net interest and Net fee and commission incomeSEB Group, SEKm
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
Q4-05
Q1-06
Q2-06
Q3-06
Q4-06
Q1-07
Q2-07
Q3-07
Q4-07
Q1-08
Net interest income Net fee and commissions
15
Fee and commission incomeGross quarterly development Q1 2004 – Q1 2008 SEB Group, SEKm
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
New issues &advisory
Secondarymarket &
derivatives
Custody &mutual funds
Payment, cards,structuredlending,
deposits,guarantees
Other
Deal driven
Securitiestransaction
driven
Value driven –performance
driven
Non-capital market driven
Capital market driven
*
* Q2 2006 adjusted for gross commission on security lending, SEK 200m
16
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Net financial income Net life insurance income Net other income
Net financial, Other and Life insurance incomeQuarterly development Q1 2004 – Q1 2008 SEB Group, SEKm
17
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Staff costs Other expenses Restructuring costs
Cost development per quarterQuarterly development Q1 2004 – Q1 2008* SEB Group, SEKm
* Include capitalisation of acquisition cost in Life from Q1 2005 – onwards** One-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005
**
18
5,8026,027
177
308 33
26046
79
Q1 2007 Inflation Investments Depreciation Variablesalaries
Cost beforeefficiency
gains
Efficiencygains
Redundancycost
Q1 2008
SEK 625m from the start
of 2007
Cost managementTotal expenses, Q1 2008 vs. Q1 2007
19
14.715.8
20.819.3
9.6
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
*
* 17.0 excluding one-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005
Return on equitySEB Group, per cent
13.2 excluding portfolios
20
0.65 0.650.58 0.57
0.69
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
Cost/income ratioSEB Group
*
* 0.62 excluding one-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005
0.62 excluding portfolios
21
Basic earnings per shareSEB Group, SEK
10.8312.58
18.7219.97
2.70
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
*
* 13.54 excluding one-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005
22
12 month rolling SEB Group*, SEKm
* Excluding restructuring costs and one-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
Q4-05
Q1-06
Q2-06
Q3-06
Q4-06
Q1-07
Q2-07
Q3-07
Q4-07
Q1-08
Income
Expenses
Operatingprofit
23
Assets under managementSEB Group, SEKbn
Assets under management year-end 2007 1,370Inflow 69 (5%)Outflow -62 (-5%)Acquisition/disposal net 17Change in value -63 (-5%)
Assets under management March 2008 1,331 *
* Of which:Retail Banking 85Wealth Management 1,256Life 443
24
SEB Group net inflow AuM Jan – Mar 2008, SEKbn
7.2
-2.5-0.50.32.6
Sweden OtherNordic
Germany Balticcountries& Poland
Other &Elim
Group
7.3
25
Balance sheet Mar 2008 Dec 2007 Mar 2007
Cash and balances with central banks 17,728 96,871 11,866Loans to credit institutions 308,822 263,012 232,935Loans to the public 1,098,597 1,067,341 1,016,519Financial assets at fair value 694,111 661,223 684,290Available-for-sale financial assets 196,848 170,137 125,166Held-to-maturity investments 1,868 1,798 2,053Asset held for sale / Discontinued operations 952Investment in associates 1,314 1,257 1,134Tangible and intangible assets 25,452 24,697 23,328Other assets 53,823 58,126 37,879
Total assets 2,398,563 2,344,462 2,136,122Deposits by credit institutions 455,707 421,348 427,367Deposits and borrowings from the public 764,567 750,481 669,646Liabilities to policyholders 213,046 225,916 213,289Debt securities 499,622 510,564 457,442Financial liabilities at fair value 256,961 216,390 174,757Other liabilities 87,273 97,519 80,419Provisions 1,338 1,536 1,863Subordinated liabilities 42,990 43,989 45,325Total equity 77,059 76,719 66,014
Total liabilities and equity 2,398,563 2,344,462 2,136,122
26
Relationship Deposits from and Lending to the public 2001 – 2008
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q12008
Deposits to loans ratio
27
* Over collateral within covered pools SEK 60bn
Deposits – Interbank22%
Subordinated debt3%
Senior debt3%
Public covered bonds, Sweden7%
Mortgage covered bonds, Germany2%
Mortgage covered bonds, Sweden9%
CPs/CDs10%
Schuldscheins and Reg Bonds
2%
Deposits – General Public
42%
Funding structureSEB Group, March 2008SEK 1,598bn
28
7.9 8.0 7.8 7.5 8.2 8.6 8.9
10.5 10.2 10.3 10.8 11.5 11.0 11.1
Dec2002
Dec2003
Dec2004
Dec2005
Dec2006
Dec2007
Mar2008
Core capital ratio, % Total capital ratio, %
SEKbnCapital base 52.7 54.7 58.7 76.2 85.8 93.0 91.0Risk-w. Assets 503 535 570 704 741 842 817
Basel I 10.0%
Basel I 8.0 %
Basel I 909
Capital adequacy SEB Group
Basel II
29
Asset quality
30
Credit exposure – on and off balanceSEKbn
Mar 2008 (Dec 2007) Nordic German Baltic Total
Corporates 425 (416) 73 (72) 84 (85) 581 (572)
Property Management 104 (100) 85 (87) 24 (24) 213 (210)
Households 302 (292) 88 (87) 56 (55) 446 (434)
Public Administration 18 (18) 74 (66) 4 (3) 96 (88)
Total non-banks 849 (826) 320 (312) 168 (166) 1,336 (1,304)
Banks 199 (187) 68 (58) 2 (3) 269 (248)
Total 1,048 (1,013) 387 (369) 170 (169) 1,605 (1,552)
31
Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Mar-08Corporates 494 485 572 581
Property Management 192 191 210 213
Households 319 374 434 446
Public Administration 125 97 88 96
Total non-banks 1,130 1,146 1,304 1,336Banks 198 169 248 269
Total 1,328 1,315 1,552 1,605
Credit exposure – on and off balanceSEKbn
32
SEB Estonia SEB Latvia SEB Lithuania
14 17 23 2314 18 21 20 25
35 41 425
88 7
34 5 5
5
711 11
1014
19 19
710
14 14 9
13
22 23
Dec'05
Dec'06
Dec'07
Mar'08
Dec'05
Dec'06
Dec'07
Mar'08
Dec'05
Dec'06
Dec'07
Mar'08
Banks
PublicAdministrationHouseholds
PropertyManagementCorporate
30,825,0
39,8
56,3
33,641,3
41,450,6
78,6
Growth rates adjusted for SEK/EUR changes
51,141,1
76,4
+39% +19% +40% +18% +47% +30% 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
-1% Q1
-1% Q1
+3% Q1
Credit Exposure – on and off balanceSEB Baltic Banks, SEKbn
33
240 269 330 34079 105
104 106
Dec 2005 Dec 2006 Dec 2007 Mar 2008
Mortgage Other434
319 374446
Credit exposure – HouseholdsSEKbn
34
101 110 135 139
91 81 75 74
Dec 2005 Dec 2006 Dec 2007 Mar 2008
Commercial Multi-family
192 210191213
Credit exposure– Property management SEKbn
35
Note: SEB subsidiaries domiciled in emerging market countries, the domestic (i.e. non cross-border) exposure is excluded from the above figures.
Credit exposure – Emerging marketsSEKbn Dec 2005 Dec 2006 Dec 2007 Mar 2008Asia 9.4 8.2 10.0 10.8China 3.0 3.0 3.9 4.7Hong Kong 2.7 2.1 2.2 1.8Korea 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.4India 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.2Latin America 1.7 1.4 1.9 1.8Brazil 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.2Eastern and Central Europe 4.7 5.2 9.2 8.6Russia 2.9 2.6 5.2 4.5Africa and Middle East 4.2 4.0 2.5 4.4Saudi Arabia 0.5 0.6 0.4 1.3Total – Gross 20.0 18.8 23.6 25.5Reserves 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1Total – Net 19.6 18.5 23.4 25.4% of Total Credit Portfolio 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6%
36
Impaired loans and reservesSEKm
Dec 2005 Dec 2006 Dec 2007 Mar 2008Impaired loansNon-performing, gross (60 days) 7,957 7,123 7,619 7,775Performing, gross 1,144 1,403 772 778Impaired loans, gross 9,101 8,526 8,391 8,553Specific reserves 4,787 4,234 3,787 3,669Collective reserves 2,283 2,170 2,602 2,703Off-balance sheet reserves 268 215 209 202Total reserves 7,338 6,619 6,598 6,574Reserve ratio 77.7% 75.1% 76.1% 74.5%Specific reserve ratio 52.6% 49.7% 45.1% 42.9%
37
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.70
2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep2007
2007 Q1 2008*
Germany Baltics Nordics SEB Group
%
Level of Net Credit Losses
* Annualised
Increased collective provisions
Increased collective provisions
38
Credit losses and build up of reserves SEKm
Sum Average/ Jan – Mar Jan – Mar Change8 quarters quarter 2007 2008
Net credit losses, quarterly 2006 – 2008ProvisionsNet collective provisions -485 -61 - 114 -112 2Specific provisions -1,621 -203 - 245 -190 55Reversals of specificprovisions no longer required 910 114 75 44 -31Net provisions for contingent liabilities 29 4 31 1 -30Net provisions (build-up of reserve) -1,167 -146 - 253 -257 -4Write-offsTotal write-offs -2,810 -351 - 243 -332 -89Reversal of specific provisionsutilized for write-offs 1,510 189 124 201 77Write-offs not previously provided for -1,300 -163 - 119 -131 -12Recovered from previous write-offs 562 70 135 24 -111Net write-offs -738 -92 16 -107 -123Total credit losses net -1,905 -238 - 237 -364 -127
Baltics:
Collective provisions -166
Specific provisions -52
39
Credit losses and build up of reserves quarterly developmentSEKm
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1Net credit losses, quarterly 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008
ProvisionsNet collective provisions -125 -106 -89 212 -114 -220 -71 15 -112Specific provisions -110 -198 -124 -455 -245 -77 -100 -231 -190Reversals of specific provisions no longer required 83 155 133 173 75 87 80 163 44Net provisions for contingent liabilities 11 9 1 10 31 -7 8 -24 1
Net provisions (build-up of reserve) -141 -140 -80 -60 -253 -217 -83 -77 -257
Write-offsTotal write-offs -225 -305 -334 -444 -243 -240 -350 -562 -332Reversal of specific provisionsutilized for write-offs 106 181 196 221 124 131 214 242 201
Write-offs not previously provided for -119 -124 -138 -223 -119 -109 -136 -320 -131Recovered from previous write-offs 77 102 81 62 135 43 30 85 24
Net write-offs -42 -22 -57 -161 16 -66 -106 -235 -107
Total credit losses net -183 -162 -137 -221 -237 -283 -189 -312 -364
40
Bond portfolios
41
*Net of short and fully matched positions; excluding holdings in the insurance business
ABS18%
Financials22%
Covered bonds21%
Cover pool21%
Corp, Gov't etc
18%
Merchant Banking 222Group Treasury 120
Other divisions 18
Total 360
SEB Bond Portfolio*31 March, 2008, SEK bn
42
Capital Markets and other13%
8%
21%58%
Corporate bonds Financial institutions
Gov't Covered bonds
Credit & Portfolio Management
47%42%
11%Structured credits Financial institutions
Covered bonds etc
Trading Investments
Merchant Banking Bond Portfolios31 March, 2008
Volume SEK 91bn Volume SEK 131bn
43
Q3 07 Q4 07-779 -990
-407
-1,397
MTM (SEKm)
Equity -291 -1,630 -2,328
-1,070
Q1 08 AccP/L -872 -2,641
-2,502 -4,969
Structured creditsReduced volume: SEK 63bn (71)AAA-rating: 98.3% (99.3)MTM losses highly dependent on seniority, underlying assets and vintage
Financial institutions Unchanged volume: SEK 55bn (55)Rapid credit spread wideningMTM losses on all financial holdings, not only investment banks
Bond investment portfolio – status31 March, 2008
Covered bonds etc. SEK 14bn (5)
44
Limit P/L volatility by increasing AFS portfolios and reducing HFT portfolios
Reduce subprime holdings, primarily in the HFT portfolio
Reduce the credit spread risk through partial hedging (ITRAXX)
30 29
0
26
41
5
ABS Financialinstitutions
Coveredbonds etc.
Q4 07 Q1 08
Held for trading (MTM over income)
Available for sale (MTM over equity)
SEK bn
Bond investment portfolio – strategy31 March, 2008, SEKbn
43
29
11
2620
3
ABS Financialinstitutions
Coveredbonds etc.
45
CMBS 7%
CMO 13%
RMBS 35%
Sub prime 3%
CLO 17%
CDO 7%
ABS 18%
Direct and indirect
exposure
Distribution of Investment portfolio31 March, 2008
FR 10%
IT 6%NL 7%
Other 8%FI 2%
SE 2%DE 4%
US 25%
UK 18%
ES 18%
Financial institutionsSEK 55bn
Structured creditsSEK 63bn
46
A high quality investment portfolio initiated 1998 with fixed income securities eligible as central bank collateralTotal volume SEK 63bn (71) - # of positions 740 (748)98.3% of the portfolio is rated Aaa/AAA– 10 rating actions in our tranches since summer 2007 (Q1 08: #7)
by Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s– Well diversified across products, asset classes and geographies– Cash-flow based – only one synthetic transaction ($10.5m)Mark-to-market prices applied to all 740 positions– No level 3 assetsCurrent average remaining maturity ~4 years.Current annual amortisation rate is SEK ~10 bn
Main characteristics of structured credits portfolio (ABS portfolio)31 March, 2008
47
Divisions
Please note:A restatement of the divisional financial reporting has been carried out in conjunction with the Q1 2008 report as previously announced.Please consult www.sebgroup.com for more information.
48
0 1,000 2,000
Life
WealthManagement
Retail Banking
MerchantBanking
Q1 2008Q1 2007
Changevs. Q1 2007
-50% (-5%)
-11%
-17%
-20%
ROEQ1 2008
10.8% (20.4%)
15.3%
22.2%
17.3%
Operating profit per divisionQ1 2008 vs. Q1 2007SEKm
Fina
ncia
l per
form
ance
Excl. portfolio losses
49
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007 2007 2007 2007 2008
MB 465 492 459 483 526Retail Banking 468 483 493 513 518RB Sweden 256 264 271 279 286RB Estonia 37 39 40 42 42RB Latvia 31 35 34 36 35RB Lithuania 46 50 54 59 60RB Germany 85 81 80 81 81RB Cards 13 14 14 14 14Wealth Management 30 31 33 32 31Life - - - - -Other/Elim 54 42 36 39 24SEB Group 1,017 1,048 1,021 1,067 1,099
VolumesPublic lendingSEKbn
50
VolumesPublic depositSEKbn
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007 2007 2007 2007 2008
MB 371 384 364 389 409Retail Banking 231 249 249 262 257RB Sweden 130 139 139 145 145RB Estonia 18 20 20 22 20RB Latvia 16 17 17 18 17RB Lithuania 25 26 26 30 28RB Germany 43 46 46 48 47RB Cards - - - - -Wealth Management 47 54 51 53 54Life - - - - -Other/Elim 20 28 43 46 45SEB Group 670 715 707 750 765
51
FTEs, end of quarter
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007 2007 2007 2007 2008
MB 2,540 2,568 2,550 2,672 2,742Retail Banking 8,655 8,912 8,807 8,925 8,995RB Sweden 2,742 2,812 2,660 2,736 2,733RB Estonia 1,011 1,095 1,061 1,061 1,048RB Latvia 1,052 1,089 1,117 1,118 1,108RB Lithuania 1,333 1,387 1,428 1,492 1,520RB Germany 1,668 1,699 1,728 1,733 1,802RB Cards 849 830 813 785 784Wealth Management 1,099 1,050 1,064 1,073 1,160Life 1,194 1,203 1,199 1,218 1,222Other/Elim 5,842 5,886 5,820 5,906 7,091*SEB Group 19,330 19,619 19,440 19,794 21,210
* Whereof 1,075 encompasses the consolidated acquisitions of Factorial bank in Ukraine Key Asset Management
52
Summary per division Jan – Mar 2008
Merchant Banking
RetailBanking
WealthManagement Life Other Group
Operating profit, SEKm 1,008 1,254 509 368 -729 2,410
Business equity, SEKbn 27.0 25.3 ** 6.6 7.5 76.6 *
Return on equity, % 10.8 15.3 22.2 17.3 9.6
Cost / income ratio 0.65 0.62 0.57 0.61 0.69
RWA, SEKbn, Basel II 372 361 38 46 817
RWA, SEKbn, Basel I 441 395 27 46 909
Tax Rate 28% 23% 28% 12%
* Average shareholders' equity
** Where of Sweden 7.4bn Estonia 3.3bn, Latvia 3.1bn, Lithuania 4.4bn, Germany 4.5bn and Cards 2.6bn.
53
01020304050
MerchantBanking
Retail Banking WealthManagement
Life* Group
Jan – Mar 2007 Jan – Mar 2008Cost/income ratio per division
Return on Equity per division, per cent
* Based on operating result
0.000.200.400.600.801.00
MerchantBanking
Retail Banking WealthManagement
Life Group
Jan – Mar 2007 Jan – Mar 2008
RoE and Cost/Income ratio per division
54
Magnus CarlssonHead of Merchant Banking
Merchant Banking
SEKm Jan – Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 2,929 -29%Interest, net 1,525 15%Commission, net 1,241 -20%Financial, net 119 -90%
Total expenses -1,895 -4%Credit losses, net -29 -73%Operating profit 1,008 -50%
RoE, % 10.8 22.0C/I 0.65 0.48
Highlights
Operating profit of SEK 1,008m in spite of weaker capital markets and investment portfolio mark-to-market losses of SEK 872m
Increased volatility and lower risk appetite but some recovery in margins
After a very strong start to the year, the worsened conditions in the second part of the quarter eventually had some chilling effect on investor activity
Focus on growth investments through internal efficiencies
55
Operating profit
0500
10001500
20002500
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
0500
100015002000250030003500400045005000
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
Income Expenses
Merchant Banking SEKm
2007 and 2008 including Baltics
56
Operating profit
0
300
600
900
1,200
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
Income Expenses
Trading and Capital MarketsSEKm
2007 and 2008 including Baltics
57
Developing products to meet customer needs
26% 28% 33% 38% 41%
44% 46% 64%46%
49%
22% 15%11%3%
6%
11%8% 5%
4%
Q1 - 07 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 - 08
Trading and Capital Markets income by main product cluster, excl. investment portfolios
FX
Structured Derivatives and other TCM
Equities
Capital Markets
●Credit market turbulence effecting income composition
●Based on customer flows●Product innovation●Product manufacturer for
other divisions (structured products, alpha products, beta products)
58
Operating profit
0200400600800
1,000
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,600
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
Income Expenses
Corporate banking SEKm
2007 and 2008 including Baltics
59
Operating profit
0
100
200
300
400
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
0100200300400500600700800900
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
Income Expenses
Global Transaction Services SEKm
2007 and 2008 including Baltics
60
Custody volume development
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 20080
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000Assets under custody, SEKbn No of transactions/day
61
*Source: The Nordic Stock exchanges
2.5%
3.1%
4.4%
6.0%
8.5%
Danske
Evli
Carnegie
Glitnir
SEBEnskilda
Merchant BankingMarket shares Nordic & Baltic Stock Exchanges Q1 2008*
62
Source: Dealogic Analytics
Swedish syndicated loans league (and bookrunner %) Apr 2007 – Mar 2008
5,6%
17,6%
10.9%
9.5%
6,1%
5,7%
0 4 8 12 16
Nordea
Citi
DnB NOR
RBS
SHB
SEB
EURbn
Nordic syndicated loans league (and bookrunner %) Apr 2007 – Mar 2008
Merchant BankingSyndicated loans, 12-months rolling
2.0%
18.5%
17.1%
13.7%
13.6%
4.1%
0 2 4 6
SEB
SHB
Citi
RBS
Nordea
BNP
EUR bn
63
Merchant Banking– Recent rankingsApril 2008
World’s Best Developed Market Banks 2008, no. 1 in SwedenWorld’s Best Emerging Market Banks 2008 Central and Eastern Europe, no. 1 in Latvia and Lithuania
February 2008 Best Arranger Structured Products, Sweden
Euroweek February 2008 Best Arranger Nordic Loans, Syndicated Loans and Leveraged Finance Awards 2007
Prospera January 2008 No.1 stockbroker in the Nordic region
FX Week January 2008 Best bank for international currency forecasts in 2007
Global Custodian November 2007October 2007
Top rated in Central and Eastern Europe (2007 Emerging Markets Agent Bank Review)Top rated in all four Nordic markets (2007 Major Market Agent Bank Review )
Global FinanceJanuary 2008
Best Bank for Cash,Best Trade Finance bank,Best Foreign Exchange Bank and Pr
Liquidity and Risk Management, Nordic Region Nordic Region, Sweden and Lithuania
ovider in the Nordic countries and Lithuania TMI January 2008 Best bank for Cash Management, Nordic Region
Best Bank for supply Chain Finance, Nordic Region
EuromoneyOctober 2007
No. 1 for Overall Customer Satisfaction in Europe (No.2 globally)No. 1 Globally in level of commitment to Cash Management BusinessNo. 9 Globally in market share for International Cash Management
Euromoney September 2007 Best at commercial real estate banking, Nordic and Baltic regionBest at commercial real estate investment banking, Nordic and Baltic region
Prospera September 2007 No.1 for corporate finance in the Nordic region
Euromoney July 2007Best for cash management in Nordic-Baltic regionBest for investor services in Nordic-Baltic regionBest equities house in Nordic-Baltic regionBest for FX in Nordic-Baltic Region
Extel June 2007 Best research house in the Nordic countries
Risk Magazine March 2007 Best derivatives dealer in Sweden
64
Retail Banking
SEKm Jan – Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 4,100 5%Interest, net 2,551 12%Commission, net 1,431 -6%
Total expenses -2,535 6%Credit losses, net -311 155%Operating profit 1,254 -11%
RoE, % 15.3 17.5C/I 0.62 0.61
Highlights
Strong net interest income across all business areas offsets lower security-related fees, income +5%
Profit before credit losses +3%
Decrease in operating profit due to higher credit losses, mainly driven by increased provisions in Estonia
Re-branding to SEB completed in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
SEB Way ongoing across division, further increased sales focus going forward
Bo MagnussonHead of Retail Banking
65
Retail BankingSEKm
Operating profit
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,000
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
Income Expenses
66
Share of income and result by areaJan – Mar 2008, per cent of total
37%
20%8%
8%
13%
14%
Germany
Latvia
Estonia
SwedenLithuania
Cards
Income
15%
24%
11% 1%3%
46%
Germany
Latvia
Sweden
Lithuania
Cards
Estonia
Operating profit
67
Business volume development by areaSEKbn Q1 2008 change vs. Q1 2007 (local currency)
48
25
28
22
59
13
10
14
61
227
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Germany
Sweden 12%
-2%
19%
15%
59%
11%
4%
12%
8%
26%
Mortgages Other lending
30
17
20
45
145
Deposits
12%
15%
10%
10%
10%
Note: Figures for Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania include SEB:s large corporate business volumes
68
41%13%25%21%
Transaction account privateTransaction account corporate & publicSavings account privateSavings account corporate & public
Deposit breakdownPercent of total deposits
42%
26%
24%
8%
Retail Total
Estonia
Sweden Germany
Latvia Lithuania
51%
8%
24%
17%36%
2%
4%58%
19%
17%
44%
20%
24%
20%
36%
20%
31%
9%
36%
24%
69
Estonia* Latvia Lithuania
Development of lending market shares – Baltics Per cent, Dec 2004 – Feb 2008
SEBSwedbankDnB NordParex BankaSampoNordea
* Hansabank & Sampo as per Dec 2007
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
70
Retail SwedenSEKm Jan – Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 1,545 1%Interest, net 1,085 8%Commission, net 393 -15%
Total expenses -962 6%Credit losses, net -10 -62%Operating profit 573 -5%
RoE, % 22.3 24.0 C/I 0.62 0.59
Total lending 285,862 +12%Total deposits 144,657 +12%
Highlights
Strong net interest income offsets decreasing security-related feesStable mortgage margins and continued volume growth1,900 new SME customers (1,300 Q1 2007)Insurance sales +20% compared to Q1 2007Expenses affected by increased pension cost
71
Business volume developmentRetail Sweden, SEKbn
Mortgages
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
CorporatePrivate
Other lending
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Deposits
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
72
Market share development Sweden, per cent
Note: Other lending and deposits=SEB Parent Bank Sweden, i.e. not only Retail Sweden
CorporatePrivate
Mortgages
0
5
10
15
20
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Other lending
0
5
10
15
20
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Deposits
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
73
Mortgages private marketRetail SwedenMarket share, per cent
02468
101214161820
Q105
Q205
Q305
Q405
Q106
Q206
Q306
Q406
Q107
Q207
Q307
Q407
Q108
Sales Volume
* New measurement method from Q4 2007. Lowers the volume market share with approximately 0.2 percentage points
*
74
Mortgages private marketTotal SwedenVolumes and margins
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q105
Q205
Q305
Q405
Q106
Q206
Q306
Q406
Q107
Q207
Q307
Q407
Q108
0.00%
0.25%
0.50%
0.75%
1.00%
1.25%Outstanding volume, SEKbn Average margin
75
Mortgages private marketSwedenCustomers’ choice of fixed / floating interest rates
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Q12005
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12006
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
FixedFloating
76
Retail GermanySEKm Jan – Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 824 -3%Interest, net 480 2%Commission, net 340 -9%
Total expenses -759 1%Credit losses, net -27 -13%Operating profit 38 -44%
RoE, % 2.7 5.1C/I 0.92 0.88
Total lending 80,906 -4%Total deposits 46,829 10%
Highlights
Reduced profitability due to lower customer activity within securities-related-areasHigher sales of mortgages (+25%) and consumer lending (+5%) vs. Q1 2007Successful campaign for custody account attracting 5,000 new accounts (+35% vs. year-end 2007)New account product launched receiving significant media attention
77
Business volume developmentRetail Germany, EURbn
Mortgages*
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Other lending
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Deposits
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Q1-05
Q2Q3 Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Figures above present Mortgage, lending and deposits from private individuals and SME
* Effected by amortizations on large historical sales volumes, partly sold through external sales organizations
78
New mortgage*
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Customer appointments*
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Insurance
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
* by Callcenter
EURm EURm
* incl prolongation
Sales developmentRetail Germany
79
Retail EstoniaSEKm Jan – Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 309 3%Interest, net 211 4%Commission, net 86 6%
Total expenses -136 25%Credit losses, net -166 1300%Operating profit 7 -96%
RoE, % 0.7 17.3 C/I 0.44 0.36
Total lending 42,282 +14%Total deposits 20,325 +11%
Highlights
Lower business activity than precedent quartersCredit growth -1% during quarter, decreasing lending market shareHigher loan losses due to collective credit provisionsStrong focus on credit quality, including increase of loans overdueCost increase affected by real estate sale Q4 2007, continued investments in sales capacity, and high salary inflationRe-branding to SEB completedSEB Way ongoing
80
Business volume developmentRetail Estonia, EURbn Corporate
Private
Mortgages
0
1
2
3
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-07
Q2Q3 Q4Q1-08
Other lending
0
1
2
3
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Deposits
0
1
2
3
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-07
Q2Q3 Q4Q1-08
Mortgages defined as home loans to private individualsNote: Figures include SEB:s large corporate business volumes
81
Market share developmentRetail Estonia, per cent Corporate
Private
Mortgages
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Deposits
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Mortgage market share for home loans to private individuals
82
Retail Latvia
HighlightsHighlightsSEKm Jan – Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 327 23%Interest, net 273 43%Commission, net 44 -41%
Total expenses -150 22%Credit losses, net -38 376%Operating profit 139 4%
RoE, % 15.3 14.3C/I 0.46 0.46
Total lending 35,604 +13%Total deposits 17,484 +12%
Lower business activity than precedent quartersCredit growth -1% during quarter, decreasing lending market shareStrong focus on credit quality, including increase of loans overdueContinued strong focus on long-term savings, structured deposit volumes +30% during Q1Cost increase affected by real estate sale Q4 2007, continued investments in sales capacity, and high salary inflationRe-branding to SEB completedSEB Way ongoing
83
CorporatePrivate
Business volume developmentRetail Latvia, EURbn
Mortgages
0
1
2
3
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Other lending
0
1
2
3
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Deposits
0
1
2
3
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-07
Q2Q3 Q4Q1-08
Mortgages defined as home loans to private individuals
Note: Figures include SEB:s large corporate business volumes
84
Market share developmentRetail Latvia February, per cent
Mortgage market share for home loans to private individuals
CorporatePrivate
Mortgages
0
5
10
15
20
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Deposits
0
5
10
15
20
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
85
Retail LithuaniaSEKm Jan – Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 528 24%Interest, net 412 31%Commission, net 91 4%
Total expenses -201 18%Credit losses, net -19 25%Operating profit 308 28%
RoE, % 23.7 18.2C/I 0.38 0.40
Total lending 60,980 +32%Total deposits 27,957 +11%
Highlights
Controlled credit growth continued, +3% during quarter
Lower activity in commission area compared to precedent quarter
Continued expansion of distribution capacity
Cost increase affected by real estate sale Q4 2007, continued investments in sales capacity, and high salary inflation
Re-branding to SEB completed
SEB Way ongoing
86
Business volume developmentRetail Lithuania, EURbn Corporate
Private
Mortgages
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Q1-05
Q2 Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3 Q4Q1-08
Other lending
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2 Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Deposits
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-07
Q2Q3 Q4Q1-08
Mortgages defined as home loans to private individualsNote: Figures include SEB:s large corporate business volumes
87
Market share developmentRetail Lithuania February, per cent
Mortgage market share for home loans to private individuals
CorporatePrivate
Mortgages
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Q1-05
Q2Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3Q4Q1-08
Deposits
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Q1-05
Q2 Q3Q4 Q1-06
Q2Q3Q4Q1-07
Q2Q3 Q4Q1-08
88
CardsSEKm Jan – Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 567 6%Interest, net 90 1%Commission, net 469 8%
Total expenses -327 1%Credit losses, net -51 66%Operating profit 189 6%
RoE, % 21.0 24.6C/I 0.58 0.61
Highlights
Continued underlying business growth, turnover +6%Several new large customers gained across countries, e.g. Statoil Sweden Strong cost discipline, cost +1%Increased losses due to higher levels of fraud
89
Cards
Turnover cards
203040506070
Q12005
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12006
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
SEKbn
Number of cards
2.62.83.03.23.4
Q12005
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12006
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
Millions
90
Fredrik BohemanHead of Wealth Management
Wealth Management
SEKm Jan – Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 1,229 0%Interest, net 242 30%Commission, net 958 -6%
Total expenses -695 14%
Operating profit 509 -17%
RoE, % 22.2 32.2C/I 0.57 0.50
HighlightsGood income given the market
Good net sales in PB, SEK +6bn (4)
Assets under management SEK 1,256bn, -2% since year end
SEB kept capturing volumes, incl. shift to alternative products, on a continued weak net sales market for Swedish mutual funds, SEK +1,5bn vs. total market of SEK -19,7bn.
Cost increased due to consolidation of Key Asset Management and other investments in alternative products
91
Share of income and result by areaJan – Mar 2008; percent of total
68%
32%
Private Banking
Institutional Clients
Income
18%
82%
Private Banking
Institutional Clients
Operating result
92
Operating profit
0
200
400
600
800
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,400
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
Income Costs
Wealth ManagementSEKm
93
Institutional ClientsSEKm
Operating profit
0
200
400
600
800
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
0100200300400500600700800900
1,000
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
Income Expenses
9494
Private BankingSEKm
Operating profit
050
100150200250
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
0
100
200
300
400
500
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
Income Expenses
95
1,2851,256
-27 -9
7
Dec 2007 Value Fx Net sales Q1 2008
Assets under managementWealth Management, SEKbn
96
Assets under managementper product typeWealth Management, SEKbn
Q1 2006 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2007 Q2 Q3 Q4
Institutional portf incl Stiftelser & Ftg (excl MF) Mutual Funds Private Clients
48%
39%
1,107
13%
48%
1,079
38%
47%
1,147
14%
38%
47%
1,192
15%
39% 39%
14%15%
46%
1,266 1,320
15%
39%
46%
1,300
15%
40%
45%
1,285
15%
40%
45%
97
Total net sales per quarterSEKbn
19.7
9.413.6
7.6
16.4 15.5
6.32.0
3.0
2.31.0
0.8
4.1
2.92.6
3.5
5.810.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q1-06 Q2-06 Q3-06 Q4-06 Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
IC PBThe figures are not eliminated. Restated for transfer of Foundations & Companies from PB to IC. Finland is split between IC and PB as of Q1 2008.
98
Mutual funds per product type Wealth Management, Mar 2008 (Dec 2007)
35.8%
27.6%
11.8%
24.8%
Equity funds 35.8% (42.4%)
Fixed income funds 24.8% (24.2%)
Balanced funds 11.8% (12.3%)
Alternative funds 27.6% (21.1%)
Total amount SEK 497bn (SEK 514bn)
Note: Key Asset Mgmt is included from Q1-08 but not restated 2007
99
Swedish Mutual Funds MarketNet sales and SEB market share
-25
-5
15
35
55
75
95
115
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q12008 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Total Net Sales, SEKbn SEB share, %
%N/A
Source: Svensk Fondstatistik
SEK -19,7bn
SEBSEK +1,5bn
100
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Jan-05
Maj Sep Jan-06
May Sep Jan-07
May Sep Jan-08
SEBSHBRoburNordea
Mutual Funds Net Sales SwedenCumulative Jan 2005 – Mar 2008, including PPMSEKm
Distribution per type of fundJan – Mar 2008
-80%-60%-40%-20%
0%20%40%60%
SEB TotalEquity funds Mixed fundsShort bond funds Long bond fundsFund in fund Alternative funds
Activity level – Wealth
Source: Svensk Fondstatistik
101
6149
33
79
54
29
0
20
40
60
80
100
2006 2007 Q1 20080
20
40
60
80
100
AuMexceeding benchmark
No. of portfoliosexceeding benchmark
Performance vs. benchmark 2008
102
LifeAnders MossbergHead of Life
SEKm Jan–Mar 2008 Δ 2007
Total income 938 -3%Total expenses -570 11%
Operating profit 368 -20%Change in surplusvalues, net 250 2%
Business result 618 -12%
ROE, %* 29.0 32.9C/I ratio 0.61 0.53
Highlights
Strong sales volume – up 11%
Lower income due to decrease in unit-linked fund values
Unit-linked fund values down 8% from start of year to SEK 125bn.Total assets under management down 5% to SEK 384bn.
Costs up due to– higher sales volumes– higher amortisation of deferred
acquisition costs
* Based on business result
103
1
2
2
1
2
SEBRank
Skandia (13)
Hansa (46)
Sampo (27)
Hansa (48)
Main competitor
Strong market position in all marketsMarket shares, gross premium income, unit-linked insurance (%, 2007)
Danica (32)
* unit-linked (Sweden new sales)
37
43
28
17
22
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Denmark
Sweden*
SEB Market share Competitors
104
Results – LifeSEKm
Jan – Mar Jan – Mar Change2008 2007 %
Income unit-linked 484 503 -4Income other insurance 295 325 -9Other income 159 144 10Total income 938 972 -3
Operating expenses -608 -578 5Other expenses -2 -7 -71Change in deferred acquisition costs 40 71 -44Total expenses -570 -514 11
Operating profit 368 458 -20Change in surplus values, net 250 244 2Business result 618 702 -12 Financial effects due to market fluctuations -1,819 343 -Change in assumptions -25 -
Total result -1,226 1,045 -
105
Share of income and profit by areaLife, Jan–Mar 2008 – percent of total
8%
34%58%
Sweden
Denmark
International
Income Operating profit
52%43%
5%
Sweden
Denmark
International
Sweden including central functions etc
106
368
-263 -177 -121 -47
1817316
570
968
1,520
1,802
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q12008
Operating profit developmentLife, SEKm
107
LifeSEKm
Operating profit
0100200300400500
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
Q4-05
Q1-06
Q2-06
Q3-06
Q4-06
Q1-07
Q2-07
Q3-07
Q4-07
Q1-08
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
Q4-05
Q1-06
Q2-06
Q3-06
Q4-06
Q1-07
Q2-07
Q3-07
Q4-07
Q1-08
Income Expenses
108
Jan – Mar 2008 Jan – Mar 2007 Change
Unit linked 10,296 9,850 5%
Traditional andSickness/health 3,018 2,136 41%
13,314 11,986 11%
Note: SPE = Single premiums plus regular premiums times ten
Sales (SPE) Life, SEKm
109
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q12008
Traditional andsickness/health
Unit Linked
Note: SPE = Single premiums plus regular premiums times ten
Sales SPE – traditional vs. unit-linkedLife including SEB Pension from 2005 and the Baltics from 2006
110
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q12008
Individual
Corporate
Note: SPE = Single premiums plus regular premiums times ten
Sales SPE – individual vs. corporateLife including SEB Pension from 2005 and the Baltics from 2006
111
27.1
34.931.6
26.7
8.4
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008Market ShareSweden, % 34.6 32.4 29.1 22.1 -
Unit-linked insurance sales growthSwedish* sales volumes weighted, SEKbn
*Including Swedish customers of the Irish subsidiary.
112
Apr 2007- Full year Full year Full yearMar 2008 2007 2006 2005
New sales (single/10+regular) 3,741 3,689 3,345 3,678
Net present value 1,704 1,775 1,788 1,924Acquisition cost -910 -901 -970 -1,116
New business profit 794 874 818 808
Margin*, % 21.2 23.7 24.5 22.0Swedish market 20.4 22.9
New business profitLife (2005-2006 only Swedish market), SEKm
* Rolling 12-months comparison
113
SEB Trygg Liv, 22
Skandia, 33LF, 8
Swedbank, 10
Folksam, 4
Nordea, 2
SHB, 16
Danica, 4Other, 2
* SPE = Single Premium Equivalent = single + regular x 10
2002 2007
Market shares, Sweden Unit-linked new business*Full year 2002 vs. full year 2007
Other, 0
Nordea, 4
Folksam, 8
SHB, 8
LF, 13
Swedbank, 10 Moderna, 13
Skandia, 14
SEB Trygg Liv, 22
AMF, 3
Danica, 4
114
Mar Dec Dec Dec2008 2007 2006 2005
Equity * 9,148 8,836 8,450 7,696
Surplus value ** 12,896 14,496 12,872 10,765
* Dividend paid; 2007: SEK -1,150 and 2006: SEK -400m.
** Value of in-force business; Net of DAC, including SEB Link (Denmark) from 2005
Embedded valueLife Holding group, SEKm
115
Life, assets under management(net assets)SEKbn
215
311
368395 408
384
0
100
200
300
400
500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1
Traditional and Risk Unit-linked
116
Life, premium income grossSEKbn
13
17
31 31
26
7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1
Traditional and Risk Unit-linked
117
-16,000
-12,000
-8,000
-4,000
0
4,000
8,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20Year
Income/Costs& CF, SEK
Cost Income Accum cash flow
Net present value after sales costs is 11,000 SEK
Acc op result -592 -540 977* SEK 35,000
Profits generated over timeExample: Occupational pension – regular premium*Total duration of 20 years and premium duration of 15 years
118
Macro update
119
Sweden: Broader-based weakening
Exports continuing to lose momentum
Asset prices will squeeze consumption
Inflation will fall below 2 per cent
Key interest rate cuts by summer
Sharply lower government budget surplus
Exports and market growth
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07Imports to Sweden's 10 largests export marketsExports of goods
Volume, year-on-year percentage change
Sources: Statistics Sweden, SEB
120
Norway: Deceleration from a high level
Weaker global demand slowing export growth
Household buying spree fading
Continued tight labour market
Key interest rate has peaked − cuts in 2009
Mainland GDP and employment
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08
Employment GDP
Year-on-year percentage change
Source: Statistics Norway
121
Finland: Calmer phase on the way
Rapid decline in confidence for the construction, manufacturing and service sectors
Exports and capital spending decelerate
Falling jobless rate, accelerating pay hikes
Temporarily high inflation this year
Leading indicators
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08Manufacturing sector Service sectorConstruction industry
Index
Source: Reuters EcoWin
122
Denmark: Further slowdown
Unemployment will level off during the first half of 2008, the turn upward
Consumption will slow further
Exports being squeezed from several directions
Expansive fiscal policy despite inflation upturn
Unemployment
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08
Household expectations 12 months ahead, net balance(LHS)Unemployment, percent (RHS)
Sources: DG ECFIN, Statistics Denmark
123
Euro zone: Below trend for two years
Exports now losing momentum
No consumer upturn in sight
Deceleration squeezing core inflation
ECB will cut refi rate to 3.25 per cent this year
GDP growth and indicator
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.0
Q1-96
Q1-97
Q1-98
Q1-99
Q1-00
Q1-01
Q1-02
Q1-03
Q1-04
Q1-05
Q1-06
Q1-07
Q1-08
SEB indicator Actual GDP
Year-on-year percentage change
Sources: Eurostat, SEB
124
CEE incl. the Baltics: SummaryCredit squeeze and US recession will dampen global growth 08-09 – Western Europe will grow below trend Central and Eastern Europe will show good resistance: GDP +6.1% 08, +5.6% 09High inflationary pressure will ease slowlyThe Baltics: Overheated Estonia and Latvia decelerate sharply – Lithuania to a lesser extent. Continued dampened credit growth. Exports perform rather well, but weakened competitiveness a threatLarge Baltic imbalances diminish only slightlyRussia: Continued dynamic domestic demand – high inflation a challengeUkraine: Strong growth, high inflation. Economic catch-up process
Baltic Retail sales
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08
Estonia Latvia Lithuania
Year-on-year percentage change
Source: Reuters EcoWin
125
SEB Forecasts GDP (%) Inflation (%)2006 2007 2008 2009 2006 2007 2008 2009
Denmark* 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.7 1.9 1.7 3.0 2.5Finland * 4.9 4.4 2.4 1.9 1.3 1.6 3.3 2.6Norway 4.8 6.0 3.2 1.9 2.3 0.8 3.2 2.4Sweden 4.4 2.8 2.1 1.3 1.4 2.2 3.4 2.6Germany 2.9 2.5 1.6 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.5 1.9Euro zone * 2.6 2.6 1.4 1.1 2.2 2.1 3.4 2.1Estonia 11.2 7.1 3.0 3.0 4.4 6.6 8.0 4.0Latvia 12.2 10.3 3.0 3.0 6.7 10.1 13.8 7.0Lithuania 7.7 8.8 5.5 5.0 3.8 5.8 8.5 7.0Russia 7.4 8.1 7.3 6.5 9.7 9.0 13.0 10.0Ukraine 7.0 7.3 6.0 5.5 9.1 12.8 20.6 13.4
Economic forecasts
Source: Nordic Outlook May 2008* Denmark, Finland and Euro zone, harmonised consumer prices