1 Investor presentation Paris June 2008
Nov 12, 2014
1
Investor presentation
Paris June 2008
Macroeconomics: Sweden
33
Sweden is one of the strongest economies in Europe
Rated Aaa/AAA/AAA
2007 GDP growth was 2.6% 2008 forecast around 2½%
Large budget surplus
Stable housing market underpinned by high employment levels and affluent households
44
Strong government finances
55
Sweden has outperformed Euro Zone
The real domestic economy slowing gradually as the international economy decelerates
Deceleration in private consumption modest thanks to good income growth and high savings
Expected GDP growth of 2.4% this year - close to Sweden’s trend growth rate and stronger than in the Euro Zone
66
Unemployment will fall a bit further and then slowly climb
Inflationary pressures will remain for another six months and then gradually ease
The Swedish Riksbank decided to raise the repo rate to 4.25 in mid February 2008
The large government surplus will shrink on the back of slower growth and expansive fiscal policy
0807060504030201009998979695949392
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Source: Statistics Sweden
UnemploymentPer cent of labour force
Unemployment close to bottoming out, inflation well contained
Overview of the SEB Group
88
SEB of today – an attractive platform
More than 5 million customers
Global top rankings withinseveral areas
21,000 employees
Customer centric organisation
40%
25%
35%
Merchant Banking
Wealth Management
Retail Banking
Life
2,500 large corporates& institutions
•5 million private individuals
400,000 SME’s
Per cent of operating income
Customercentric
99
1800 1900 2000
SEB historySEB history
1972 Stockholms Enskilda Bank and Skandinaviska Banken merge
1982 SEB International 1997 Trygg Hansa1998 Acquisition of three
Baltic banks1999 BfG – Germany
1972 Stockholms Enskilda Bank and Skandinaviska Banken merge
1982 SEB International 1997 Trygg Hansa1998 Acquisition of three
Baltic banks1999 BfG – Germany
1856 Stockholms Enskilda Bankfounded
1864 Skandinaviska Bankenfounded in Gothenburg
1856 Stockholms Enskilda Bankfounded
1864 Skandinaviska Bankenfounded in Gothenburg
2004 Codan – Denmark2004 Bank Agio –
Ukraine2005 Privatbanken
– Norway2006 SEB 150 years2007 Merger SEB BoLån
and SEB AB2007 Factorial Bank -
Ukraine
2004 Codan – Denmark2004 Bank Agio –
Ukraine2005 Privatbanken
– Norway2006 SEB 150 years2007 Merger SEB BoLån
and SEB AB2007 Factorial Bank -
Ukraine 9
1010
Ratings of SEB ABRating target set by SEB Board at AA
Moody’s S&P Fitch DBRS
Bank Senior Rating
Short Term P-1 A-1 F-1 R-1 (middle)
Long Term Aa2 A+ A+ AA (low)
Outlook Positive Stable Positive Stable
Last Action Outlook change Upgrade Outlook change Initial rating
Date Jul-07 Oct-06 Jul-06 Dec-06
1111
SEB’s income mix is different 0 20 40 60 80 100
Net fee income Net financial income Other income Net interest income
12
Share of operating profitJan – Dec 2007
6% 5%
8%8%
5%4%
6%
8%
50%
Germany SwedenOther
37%
38%
10%15%
Retail Banking
Wealth Management
Life Merchant Banking
Geography - Excl. capital gains of Baltic real estate saleDivisions - Adjusted for Other and Eliminations
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Norway
Finland
Denmark
19%
20%
1313
Positive jawsSEB Group*, 12 month rolling SEKm
14.715.8
20.819.3
9.6
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
* Excluding restructuring costs and one-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
Q4-05
Q1-06
Q2-06
Q3-06
Q4-06
Q1-07
Q2-07
Q3-07
Q4-07
Q1-08
Income Expenses Operating profit
* 17.0 excluding one-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005
ROE %Cost/income ratio Cost/income ratio
0.65 0.650.58 0.57
0.69
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
13.2 excluding portfolios
0.62 excluding portfolios
* 0.62 excluding one-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005
1414
62.772.4
2007 2008
Core capitalSEKbn
Hybridcapital
"Bookequity" 55.0 61.6
7.710.9
8.3% 8.9%Core
capital ratio
+9.7
Strong balance sheet
Mar Mar
Key driver: Profit Growth
The strategic valueSupport organic growth
Enable acquisitions
Create financial flexibility
Asset quality
1616
Credit exposure – on and off balanceSEKbn
Mar 2008 Nordic German Baltic Total
Corporates 425 41% 73 19% 84 49% 581 36%
Property Management 104 10% 85 22% 24 14% 213 13%
Households 302 29% 88 23% 56 33% 446 28%
Public Administration 18 2% 74 19% 4 2% 96 6%
Total non-banks 849 320 168 1,336
Banks 199 19% 68 18% 2 1% 269 17%
Total 1,048 387 170 1,605
65% 24% 11%
1717
0,000,100,200,300,400,500,600,70
2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 2007
2007 Q1 2008 *
Germany Baltics Nordics SEB Group
%
Level of Net Credit Losses
* Annualised
Funding
1919
Short and long term funding
CP Programmes– Sweden– France– Global CP
ECP
USCP
US Extendible
CD’s– Yankee CD– London Branch
CD’s– Yankee CD– London Branch
Senior unsecured bonds– Germany – Sweden
Structured bonds
Covered bonds– Germany
Public (Pfandbriefe)Mortgage (Pfandbriefe)
– Sweden (Säkerställda Obligationer)
Subordinated debt/Hybrid Tier 1
Short Term Funding Long Term Funding
2020
Covered bonds – Strategic funding source using two funding centres
Säkerställda Obligationer via Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ)
– On tap domestic SEK issuance Aaa (Moody’s)
– Diversification via EUR benchmark issuance
– Outstanding amounts Mar 2008
Swedish Covered Bonds: SEK 144.4bn (EUR 15.4bn)
Pfandbriefe via SEB AG
– German public Pfandbriefe Aaa (Moody’s)
– German mortgage Pfandbriefe Aaa (Moody’s)
– Outstanding amounts Mar 2008Mortgage Pfandbriefe: EUR 4.1bn (SEK 38.2bn)
Public Sector Pfandbriefe: EUR 11.3bn (SEK 106bn)
Sweden (Stockholm) Germany (Frankfurt)
2121
● Over collateral within the Swedish covered pool 45% (7bn EUR) as of March 2008
● Free eligible asset pledgeable within central banks 22bn EUR after 5 % haircut
Overall funding structureSEB Group, March 2008SEK 1,598bn (~EUR 170bn)
21%
10%
3%3%7%
2%45%
9%
Mortgage covered bonds, Sweden
CPs/CDs
Mortgage covered bonds, GermanyPublic covered bonds, GermanySenior debt
Subordinated debt
Deposits – Financial institutions
Deposits – General public
222222
400600800
1,0001,200
Q12005
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12006
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
Lending to the publicSEKbn Q1 +8% yoy
Deposits from the publicSEKbn Q1 +14% yoy
Deposit Development
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q12008
Deposits to loans ratio
400500600700800
Q12005
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12006
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
2323
7.710.9
Net liquidity position across maturities31 March
0
100
200
300
1 week
2 weeks
4 weeks
2 months
3 months
4 months
5 months
6 months
9 months
12 months
SEKbn EURbn32
22
11
0
The Swedish Housing Market and SEB Cover Pool
25
House prices
House prices in Sweden have risen each year in the past decade
Compared with other countries, Swedish house price inflation has been less dramatic
Riksbank expects house prices continue to rise but at a slower rate
Swedish house price growthYear-on-year precentage change
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
House price growth. 1995 = 100
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Denmark UK USA Sweden
26
The Swedish household sector
In recent months, household borrowing has increased at a slightly slower rate than during the past two yearsLoans from mortgage institutions still account for the largest part of lending to households
The interest ratio is historically still low and amounted to 4.4 per cent of disposable income in December 2007Households’ debt ratio and the interest ratio are expected to rise slightly
Household borrowing (Annual percentage change)
-20
2
46
81012
1416
18
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Mortgage institutions Total
Household debt and post-tax interest expenditures in relation to disposable income (Per cent)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 20070
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Debt ratio (Left) Interest expenditure ratio (Right)
27
Duration of fixed interest periods for new mortgage loans in Sweden 1997-2008Per cent
Source: The Riksbank
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Variable rate Fixed > 3 months - 5 years Fixed > 5 years
28
The Swedish Covered Bond Act, 2004Functional legislation (non-specialist principle)
Eligible collateral– Residential property (75% LTV)– Agricultural property (70% LTV)– Commercial property (60% LTV, max 10% of collateral pool)– Substitute assets max 20% of collateral pool
Holders of covered bonds have a preferential claim on the asset pool, which is monitored by an independent inspector
– Asset pool, covered bonds and derivatives are separated from the bankruptcy estate to allow for uninterrupted payments
Detailed regulations governing cover pool management– Restrictive ALM rules including daily NPV matching and stress tests,
providing robust protection against market risks– Regular valuation of mortgage values required by law, forcing issuer to
replenish pool in case of housing market downturn– According to the law, loans in arrears for more than 60 days will not be
counted towards the value of the cover pool
29
Characteristics of SEB cover pool
Loans originated by Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ)
Pool notional SEK 213bn (EUR 23bn)
Type of loans 100% residential Swedish mortgages
Geographic distribution Across Sweden with a concentration in urban areas
Substitute assets No substitute assets are included
Number of loans 438,047
Average loan balance SEK 486,357 (EUR 52,000)
Average loan balance per property SEK 996,893 (EUR 107,000)
Weighted average LTV Approx 44 %
Weighted average seasoning Approx 40 months
Over Collateral 45%
Rate type Float 55%, Fixed 45%
Pool type Dynamic
Loans in arrears >60 days Will not be included in the matching calculations but will remain in the cover pool
March 2008
30
Distribution of the cover pool
By geography By property type
67%
23%
10%Tenant Owned
Multi Family Single FamilyHouse
4%7%
18%
10%8% 12%
41%
East excl Stockholm
GothenburgStockholm
West exclGothenburg
Malmö
South excl Malmö
North
3131
The Swedish mortgage business displays excellent asset quality
0.00%
0.01%
0.02%
0.03%
0.04%
0.05%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008*
Non-performing amount Losses (Gross)
Non-performing loans and loan losses (Gross) balances less than 1 bp* 2008-03-31
Appendices
Bond Portfolio
3434
Capital Markets and other13%
8%
21%58%
Corporate bonds Financial institutions
Gov't Covered bonds
Credit & Portfolio Management
47%42%
11%Structured credits Financial institutions
Covered bonds etc
Trading Investments
Merchant Banking Bond Portfolios31 March, 2008
Volume SEK 91bn Volume SEK 131bn
3535
Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 AccP/L -779 -990 -872 -2,641MTM (SEKm)
Equity -291 -407 -1,630 -2,328
-1,070 -1,397 -2,502 -4,969
Structured creditsReduced volume: SEK 63bn (71)AAA-rating: 98.3% (99.3)MTM losses highly dependent on seniority, underlying assets and vintage
Financial institutions Unchanged volume: SEK 55bn (55)Rapid credit spread wideningMTM losses on all financial holdings, not only investment banks
Bond investment portfolio – status31 March, 2008
Covered bonds etc. SEK 14bn (5)
3636
CMBS 7%
CMO 13%
RMBS 35%
Sub prime 3%
CLO 17%
CDO 7%
ABS 18%
Direct and indirect
exposure
Distribution of Investment portfolio31 March, 2008
FR 10%
IT 6%NL 7%
Other 8%FI 2%
SE 2%DE 4%
US 25%
UK 18%
ES 18%
Financial institutionsSEK 55bn
Structured creditsSEK 63bn
3737
A high quality investment portfolio initiated 1998 with fixed income securities eligible as central bank collateralTotal volume SEK 63bn (71) - # of positions 740 (748)98.3% of the portfolio is rated Aaa/AAA– 10 rating actions in our tranches since summer 2007 (Q1 08: #7)
by Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s– Well diversified across products, asset classes and geographies– Cash-flow based – only one synthetic transaction ($10.5m)Mark-to-market prices applied to all 740 positions– No level 3 assetsCurrent average remaining maturity ~4 years.Current annual amortisation rate is SEK ~10 bn
Main characteristics of structured credits portfolio (ABS portfolio)31 March, 2008
Baltics
39
The Baltics: Sharp decelerationfrom an extreme level
40
The Baltics: Imports diving in Estonia and Latvia
4141
0,000,200,400,600,80
2006 2007 Q1 2008 *
Baltics SEB Group
Collective provisions drive net credit losses, %
Net credit lossesEstonia and Latvia entering next stage
Credit growth in EstoniaYear-on-year percentage changeRetail sales
0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%6.0%
Jan-07
Mar-07
May-07
Jul-07 Sep-07
Nov-07
Jan-08
Mar-08
* annualised
-100
10203040
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08
Estonia Latvia Loan Growth, % mom
Mortgages, % Growth mom
4242
SEB Estonia SEB Latvia SEB Lithuania
14 17 23 2314 18 21 20 25
35 41 4258
8 7
34 5 5
5
711 11
1014
19 19
710
14 14 9
13
22 23
Dec'05
Dec'06
Dec'07
Mar'08
Dec'05
Dec'06
Dec'07
Mar'08
Dec'05
Dec'06
Dec'07
Mar'08
Banks
PublicAdministrationHouseholds
PropertyManagementCorporate
30,825,0
39,8
56,3
33,641,3 41,4
50,6
78,6
Growth rates adjusted for SEK/EUR changes
51,141,1
76,4
+39% +19% +40% +18% +47% +30% 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
-1% Q1
-1% Q1
+3% Q1
Credit Exposure – on and off balanceSEB Baltic Banks, SEKbn
Other
4444
Share of operating profitJan – Mar 2008
4%
6%8%
1%4%
7%
12%
58%
GermanySweden
32%
40%
12%16%
Retail Banking
Wealth Management
Life Merchant Banking
Geography - Adjusted for OtherDivisions - Adjusted for Other
Lithuania
LatviaEstonia
Norway
Finland
Denmark
20%
18%
4545
Profit and loss accountQ1 2008 vs. Q1 2007SEKm Q1 Q1 Change
2008 2007 %Net interest income 4,223 3,767 12Net fee and commissions 3,801 4,277 -11Net financial income -161 1,311 -112Net life insurance income 713 743 -4Net other income 226 95 138
Total operating income 8,802 10,193 -14Staff costs -3,899 -3,796 3Other expenses -1,756 -1,678 5Depreciation of assets -372 -328 13
Total operating expenses -6,027 -5,802 4Gain/loss tangible/intangible assets 3 -Net credit losses etc -368 -234 57
Operating profit 2,410 4,157 -42Net profit 1,848 3,262 -43
46
Operating profit per divisionQ1 2008 vs. Q1 2007SEKm
0 1,000 2,000
Life
WealthManagement
Retail Banking
MerchantBanking
Q1 2008Q1 2007
Changevs. Q1 2007
-50% (-5%)
-11%
-17%
-20%
ROEQ1 2008
10.8% (20.4%)
15.3%
22.2%
17.3%
Excl. portfolio losses
GTS +1%TCM excl portfolios -12%Corp.Banking - 2%
Sweden -5%Estonia -96%Latvia +3%Lithuania +28%Germany -44%Cards +6%
-42% 9.6%
4747
9%12%
9%
20%4%
28%
18%
Finance and insurance Wholesale and retailTransportation Other service sectorsConstruction ManufacturingOther
Corporate credit exposure - by industry
48
7.9 8.0 7.8 7.5 8.2 8.6 8.9
10.5 10.2 10.3 10.8 11.5 11.0 11.1
Dec2002
Dec2003
Dec2004
Dec2005
Dec2006
Dec2007
Mar2008
Core capital ratio, % Total capital ratio, %
SEKbnCapital base 52.7 54.7 58.7 76.2 85.8 93.0 91.0Risk-w. Assets 503 535 570 704 741 842 817
Basel I 10.0%
Basel I 8.0 %
Basel I 909
Capital adequacy SEB Group
Basel II
49
Improved quality of the capital base
Strategy to improve the quality and loss absorption capacity of the capital base:– LT2 redemption in June 2007
replaced by hybrid tier 1 capital in December 2007
– Hybrid tier 1 capital issued in December 2007 - enhanced loss absorption capacity; cancellation of coupon payments and write down of principal pre-liquidation
61.9 68.27.7
11.214.312.8
21.9 16.9
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
March 2007 March 2008
Equity Hybrid capital UT2 LT2*
* Total equity in the capital adequacy
50
* Over collateral within Swedish covered pool SEK 66 bn (7bn EUR)
Wholesale Funding StructureSEB Group, March 2008SEK 581bn (~EUR 62bn)
Mortgage covered bonds, Sweden*
CPs/CDs
Mortgage covered bonds, Germany
Public covered bonds, Germany
Senior debt
Subordinated debt
Schuldscheine and Reg Bonds
7%
28%7%
8%
18%
7% 25%