Searching for Sustainability: Army Environmental …proceedings.ndia.org/JSEM2006/Wednesday/Fittipaldi1.pdf22 March 2006 Sustain the Mission — Secure the Future 1 Searching for Sustainability:

22 March 2006 1Sustain the Mission — Secure the Future

Searching for Sustainability: Army Environmental Foresight

John J. Fittipaldi, CEPSenior Fellow

Army Environmental Policy Institute (AEPI)

2006 Joint Services Environmental Management ConferenceDenver, Colorado

22 March 2006


Purpose

Describe AEPI’s foresight process:meet charter responsibilitiesposition the Army to anticipate emerging environmental issuesachieve sustainability


Take Away

AEPI is developing a unique capability to take a hard look at future issues leading the Army towards sustainability.

Foresight includes partnership opportunities for other organizations to engage in the process and shape our future.


Agenda

• AEPI Charter• Background on emerging issues analysis• AEPI issue scanning, trends analysis and

foresight process• Status• Partnership opportunities


AEPI Charter

The AEPI mission is to assist the Secretariat in the development of proactive policies and strategies to address environmental issues that may have significant future impacts on the Army.

P A G E 5


Issues Management Curve

ManagementManagementStagesStages

MaintenanceMaintenanceStagesStages

EarlyEarlyAwareness &Awareness &ExpectationsExpectations

Societal &Societal &PoliticalPolitical

DevelopmentsDevelopments

Lobbying &Lobbying &LegislativeLegislative

ActionsActions

RegulationRegulation&&

LitigationLitigation

TimeTime

Publ

ic A

war

enes

sPu

blic

Aw

aren

ess


Issues Management CurvePu

blic

Aw

aren

ess

Publ

ic A

war

enes

s

TimeTime

Global Water ScarcityGlobal Water Scarcity

Control Resistant PathogensControl Resistant Pathogens

Light PollutionLight Pollution

ZeroZero--Point EnergyPoint Energy

EMFEMF

Environmental SecurityEnvironmental Security

Chlorinated CompoundsChlorinated Compounds

ISO 14000ISO 14000

Endocrine DisruptorsEndocrine Disruptors

SustainabilitySustainability

ZeroZero--DischargeDischarge

Noise PollutionNoise Pollution

ParticulatesParticulates

Chemical DemilitarizationChemical Demilitarization

Depleted UraniumDepleted Uranium

Environmental EquityEnvironmental Equity

Pollution PreventionPollution Prevention

Early AwarenessEarly Awareness

Societal/Political Societal/Political DevelopmentsDevelopments

Lobbying &Lobbying &LegislationLegislation

Regulation & LitigationRegulation & Litigation


Emerging Issues Continuum

Issue scanningTrends analysisForesight

• Forecasting• Scenario building• Futures


Issue Scanning

• AEPI Fellows regularly track research interests and thrust area relevance

• Contract efforts to support systematic scanning:– American Council of UN Universities trends

monitoring and monthly scanning report analyzing topics with military implications

– LMI systematic scanning to support foresight process with regular topical brochures via AEPI website


Emerging Issues Monthly Report


Foresight PurposeMechanism for building, improving and focusing an organization on key environment, safety, and occupational health (ESOH) issues.

Regular information shapes thinking and actions


What is Foresight?

• Intelligence gathering for emerging issues• Directions, not predictions• Looking to the future: the Army “strategic

scout”• A charter responsibility of AEPI

Foresight Goal: Sustainability through improved policy decisions today, preventing trends from becoming tomorrow’s issues


Foresight MethodologySystematic—scanning trendscollecting trend data and analyzing for ESOH policy implications, leveraging previous AEPI efforts

Regular cross-group working and Consultative Team sessions to discuss research, identify trends and confirm directions

Participatory—shaping topicsilluminating intersection where trends overlap with current Army ESOH policy/doctrine, from many perspectives

Vision-building—leading policy improvementidentifying policy gaps and need for improvement; crafting recommendations

Facilitated annual foresight workshop with wider Army and scientific community to discuss emerging issues, possible scenarios, and policy implications

Regular topical papers to stimulate discussion in wider Army community


Foresight Consultative Team

• Purpose:– Assist in refining the foresight process to accomplish objectives

and ensure Army relevance– Provide perspectives from individual organizations, extensive

background research, and wealth of experience to clearly identify topics

– Shape topics and prepare for the annual workshop to wider audience

• Membership:– Mr. Bill Goran, ERDC/CERL– Dr. Rebecca Johnson, Army Engineer School– COL Chris King, US Military Academy, West Point– Mr. Michael Kingsley, HQ USACE, Strategic Planning– Dr. Kurt Preston, Army Research Office– Mr. John Fittipaldi, Army Environmental Policy Institute


Evaluative Criteria for Topical Relevance

• Relevance to mission, community and environment

• 3-7 years into the future• Army relevance• Help the Army achieve sustainability• Supported by defensible analytics• Actionable


Topical Foresight Brochures


Foresight Status

Foresight Brochure Edition #1 released November 2005: Nanotechnology

How will a sustainable Army harness the potential of

nanotechnology while ensuring compatibility with natural and

human systems?

* Dave Sheets, AEPI, presents Nanotechnology military applications and ESOH policy issues on Thursday, 1:30pm, Room 301


Emerging Topics

• ESOH implications of stability, security, transition, and Reconstruction (SSTR) operations on the Army

• Systematic approach to natural resources management

• Military responsibility in natural disaster response and recovery

• Military response to resource-related conflicts• Market-based strategies to manage carbon

emissions • Military role as a leader in policy, strategy,

technology and practice


Communication Plan

• Regular release on AEPI website• Publicize via existing email distribution• Publish paper copies for wide distribution

and discussion• Roundtables and workshop to shape and

disseminate


Partnership Opportunities

• Roundtable or working group to address specific topics

• Annual foresight workshop participation• Feedback via AEPI website or POC to

continue to shape topics and process


Summary

• Foresight process is essential AEPI activity• Process is continuously refined to ensure strategic

relevance • Foresight presents organizational opportunity to

support the Soldier, search for sustainability, and shape our future


Acknowledgements

• LMI– Ms Nancy Natoli– Mr. Matt Phillip– Mr. Chris Werle– Mr. Lisa Powell – Mr. Fred Boecher– Ms. Erica Rohr– Ms. Roja Kolachina– Mr. Steve Stone


Questions and Comments

John J. Fittipaldi, CEPSenior Fellow, Army Environmental Policy Institute (AEPI)

[email protected]


Backups


Emerging Issues Analysis

Searching for Sustainability: Army Environmental …proceedings.ndia.org/JSEM2006/Wednesday/Fittipaldi1.pdf22 March 2006 Sustain the Mission — Secure the Future 1 Searching for Sustainability:

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