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Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research, & Improvement November 14, 2002
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Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

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Page 1: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Seamless Education for Quality of Life

presentation to Leadership Jacksonville

by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive DirectorCouncil for Education Policy, Research, & Improvement

November 14, 2002

Page 2: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

PER-CAPITA INCOME AND

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

Percent of Population with Bachelor Degree or Higher, 2000

40302010

2000 P

er-

Capita

Inco

me

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

US

WV

VA

UT

OHNC

NY

NJ

MS

MA

MD

FL

CT

CA

AL

Page 3: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

VT RI

ND

UT IA MA

NE

NH

MT

NM

DE

SD PA

MO

KS IN WI

WV

NY

AL

ME

MN

OK

CO M

IC

T

OH VA

LA

OR IL

NC HI

MD

TN

WA

SC

MS

KY

WY ID AR TX

AZ

FL

CA

NJ

GA

AK

NV

Bachelor’s Degrees Granted per 100,000 Target Age

Population

1999-2000

FL=847FL=847

U.S. Avg = U.S. Avg = 1,2351,235

……andand was ranked 45th

in the production of bachelor’s degrees from public and private 4-year institutions

• and 7th among the 10 largest states.

SOURCE: NCES (IPEDS) and U.S. Census.

Page 4: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

The K-20 Pipeline Concept

Page 5: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Credential OutputsMajor Pipeline Outputs

Doctoral Degrees

Professional Degrees

Master’s Degrees

Bachelor’s Degrees

Associate Degrees

One-year PS Cert.

HS Diplomas

Students Exiting/EnteringAdditional Pipeline Inputs

18-24Age Group

Students Entering from Out of State

Page 6: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

The Pipeline SchematicBachelor’s Degree

High School Diploma/GED

Full-time Work

Part-time Work

Universities

Colleges

SchoolsVoc Tech

Community College

Working Students 17-24

Working Adult Students 24+

Traditional Students

Page 7: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

High School Diploma 62%

•10 years after graduating from high school, most of those who acquired a high school diploma in 1991 had not earned a higher-level credential.

•The subsequent earning of a postsecondary credential was less pronounced for males and minorities.

Source: FETPIP Longitudinal

1990-1991 High School Graduates Highest

Educational Attainment Level as of Fall 2000

79,928 Students

High School Diploma 61.8%

Bachelors14.4%

Associate of Arts 7.8%

Vocational Certificate 5.9%

College Credit Vocational 2.6%

Masters1.7%

Outside* 5%

More than Masters** ~1%

*

* This is an illustrative estimate of out-of-state postsecondary attainment of any kind. It based on thenotion that 70% of those enrolledout of state attained something.About 7% of the recent HS gradxswent out of state in 2000. These are the data that figured into this estimate.

** Any type of degree or specialization past masters...

Page 8: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Highest Educational Attainment Level of

Dropouts as of Fall 2000

13,742 High School Dropouts from 1990-1991

Attainment Status unchanged 68.2%*

GEDs 20.8%

Adult High School Diplomas 5%

Vocational Certificates 4.4%

Associate of Arts ~1%

Bachelors ~1%

College Credit Vocational <1%

Masters <1%

* Does not include any out-of state credentials.

•Dropouts who would have graduated with the class of 1991 attained education credentials, including high school diplomas or equivalencies at much lower rates than their HS grad counterparts.

Source: FETPIP Longitudinal

Page 9: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

120,000

130,000

140,000

150,000

1998 2008 2018 2028

Th

ousa

nds

Jobs requiring some postsecondary experience

Workers with some postsecondary experience

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau and National Alliance of Business

Projected Growth in Supply and Demand of Workers With Some Postsecondary Education, 1998 to 2028

Page 10: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Florida’s Annual Job Growth Ranked it Number 1 in the Nation in 2001

Both in the Number of new Jobs and in percent change

Source: Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation, Labor Market Statistics in cooperation with the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

In Numbers In Percent Change

Page 11: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Based on Number of Openings

Projected Florida Employment in 2009 byEducational Attainment Requirements

Source: Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation

Doctorate or Professional

Masters

Bachelors

Associate

Psec Vocational

High School

Less than high school

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Millions

194,097

74,811

1,084,722

386,669

347,592

1,467,886

4,987,515

Associate Degree Requirements, about 4.5%

Page 12: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Based on Percent growth

2009 Florida Employment in the 25 Fastest Growing Jobs by Educational Attainment Requirements

Source: Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation

Post Graduate

Bachelors

Associate

Psec Vocational

High School

Less than high school

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Thousands of Filled Jobs in 2009

Accounts for 410,283 Employees in 2009

Growth in these jobs, ranges from 49% to 127% Between 1999 and 2009

Page 13: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Top 25 Florida Jobs Requiring a Bachelor’s Degree in 2009 By Projected #

Employed

Source: Agency for Workforce Innovation

Employer Demands

Note: Several classifications were removed from these lists due to their non-specific nature. These included occupational titles identified as “all other…” In some cases such classifications were retained as the title reflected something of their nature...

OES TITLE 2009 % ChangeComputer Scientists 14,747 127Health Diagnosing Occupations 2,311 80Computer Engineer 21,004 72Database Administrator 6,233 62Instructional Coordinator 8,840 60Physician Assistant 6,485 58Leisure and Fitness Studies Teacher 190 56Computer Science Teacher 2,353 56Health Diagnostics Teacher 1,372 50Health Specialties Teacher 2,385 49Securities, Financial Service Sales 31,566 49Residential Counselor 6,425 47Social Worker, Medical and Psychiatric 19,301 47Director, Religious Activities/Education 10,795 45Teacher, Special Education 26,090 45Engineering, Science, Comp. Systems Manager 18,772 44Communications Teacher 725 44Technical Writer 5,706 43Medicine and Health Service Manager 18,237 42Occupational Therapist 6,525 39Speech Pathologist, Audiologist 5,447 39Life Science Teacher 2,311 38Geologist, Geophysicist, Oceanographer 1,625 37Physical Therapist 9,455 37Designer, (not Interior Designer) 22,743 35.54

OES TITLE 2009 % ChangeGeneral Manager and Top Executive 236,047 21.56Teacher, Secondary School 81,664 32.28Teacher, Elementary 90,555 20.46Accountant and Auditor 67,463 19.44Computer Programmer 33,036 22.87Financial Manager 46,920 20.89Teacher, Preschool and Kindergarten 35,902 22.85Personnel, Training, Labor Rel. Specialist 28,977 30.82Insurance Sales Worker 38,527 15.13Securities, Financial Service Sales 31,566 48.89Marketing, Adv., Public Relations Manager 32,120 26.97Artist and Commercial Artist 24,447 31.38Computer Engineer 21,004 72.49Teacher, Special Education 26,090 44.69Electrical and Electronic Engineer 23,816 28.76Administrative Service Manager 25,636 26.9Social Worker, Exc. Medical and Psychiatric 25,213 34.81Engineers NEC 20,300 27.27Education Administrator 23,392 19.68Computer Scientists 14,747 126.84Designer, (Not Interior Designer) 22,743 35.54Engineering, Science, Comp. Systems 18,772 44.21Financial Specialists 20,105 28.22Social Worker, Medical and Psychiatric 19,301 46.65Recreation Worker 17,833 29.71Medicine and Health Service Manager 18,237 42.39Loan Officer and Counselor 19,254 24.82

Fastest Growing Top 25 Florida Jobs Requiring a Bachelor’s

Degree in 2009

Page 14: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

ICUF Bachelors degree production in 1999-2000 in Descending order. The top five disciplines in terms of number of graduates are highlighted.

Student Demands

Note: According to data reported by ICUF institutions to FETPIP, ICUF institutions awarded 12,069 bachelors degrees in 644 discipline areas. This table displays the top 15 in number of degrees awarded

Program Title Graduated Employed Avg. Annual Wage

ELEMENTARY EDUCATION 587 423 29,045PSYCHOLOGY 566 301 19,479ORGANIZATIONAL MANAGEMENT 421 306 37,728BIOLOGY 393 188 18,890NURSING 350 284 40,512PROFESSIONAL MANAGEMENT 329 225 54,105MANAGEMENT 286 196 35,389AERONAUTICAL SCIENCE 249 59 16,781ACCOUNTING 244 153 28,209BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION 208 147 35,575LIBERAL STUDIES 204 137 30,217ENGLISH 201 105 17,312ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR STUDIES 197 159 28,487MARKETING 185 86 25,447PROFESSIONAL STUDIES 164 133 50,497

Page 15: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Public University Bachelors degree production in 1999-2000 in Descending order. The top five disciplines in terms of number of graduates are

highlighted.

Student Demands

Program Title Graduated Employed Avg. Annual Wage

Psychology, General 2,185 1,332 25,852Elementary Teacher Ed 2,168 1,756 32,236Busi Admin & Mgmt 1,756 1,151 34,904Finance, General 1,650 1,093 33,660Criminal Justice Studies 1,407 967 29,448Accounting 1,281 905 37,604Nursing 1,164 960 41,564English, General 1,044 630 28,468Communication (Mass) 1,042 685 27,764Business Marketing Mgmt 993 671 30,764Computer & Information Science 787 521 44,084Biology, General 756 386 25,088Political Science & Government 704 345 28,884Management Science 555 366 39,292Social Work, General 536 394 25,812

Note: According to data reported by the Division of Colleges and Universities to FETPIP, public institutions awarded 34,568 bachelors degrees in 180 discipline areas. This table displays the top 15 in number of degrees awarded.

Page 16: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

“Measuring Up” – Florida’s Grades

Preparation C C+

Participation D+ D+

Affordability D D-

Completion B+ B+

Benefits C- C

Learning I I

Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education.

20022000

Page 17: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Preparation

Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education.

• High School Completion– High School Credential

• K-12 Course Taking– Math and Science Course Taking– Algebra in 8th Grade– Math Course Taking in 12th Grade

• K-12 Student Achievement– Proficiency in Math, Reading, Science, and Writing– Math Proficiency among Low-Income– College Entrance Exams– Advanced Placement Exams

Page 18: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Participation

Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education.

• Young Adults– High School to College Rate

– Young Adult Enrollment

• Working-Age Adults– Working-Age Adult Enrollment

Page 19: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Affordability

Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education.

• Family Ability to Pay– At Community Colleges– At Public 4-Year Colleges– At Private 4-Year Colleges

• State Strategies for Affordability– Need-Based Financial Aid– Low-Priced Colleges

• Reliance on Loans– Low Student Debt

Page 20: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Completion

Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education.

• Persistence– Students Returning for 2nd Year at 2-Year Colleges

– Students Returning for 2nd Year at 4-Year Colleges

• Completion– Bachelor’s Degree Completion in 5 Years

– Bachelor’s Degree Completion in 6 Years

– All Degree Completion

Page 21: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

Benefits

Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education.

• Educational Achievement– Adults with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

• Economic Benefits– Increased Income from Bachelor’s Degree– Increased Income from Some College

• Civic Benefits– Population Voting– Charitable Contributions

• Adult Skill Levels– Quantitative Literacy– Prose Literacy– Document Literacy

Page 22: Seamless Education for Quality of Life presentation to Leadership Jacksonville by Dr. Bill Proctor, Executive Director Council for Education Policy, Research,

LearningAll states received an “incomplete.”

Here are some possibilities:

Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education.

• Population Assessments– National Assessment of Adult Literacy– Census data on educational attainment

• College Graduate Assessments– Needed: a higher ed counterpart to the NAEP

• Licensure and Admissions Exams• Indirect Measures

– National Survey of Student Engagement and Community College Survey of Student Engagement tap the “good practices” known to promote better college-level learning