Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010.

Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments

Denise Patrick

Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division

25th May 2010

Employment rate (working age), 2008-2010

60.0

62.0

64.0

66.0

68.0

70.0

72.0

74.0

76.0

78.0

Jan-Mar 2008 Jan-Mar 2009 Jan-Mar 2010

% o

f w

ork

ing

ag

e

Scotland England Wales Northern Ireland UK

Unemployment rate (16+), 2008-2010

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

Jan-Mar 2008 Jan-Mar 2009 Jan-Mar 2010

% o

f al

l eco

no

mic

ally

act

ive

Scotland England Wales Northern Ireland UK

Unemployment rate (16+) by government office

region – change on previous 3 months

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8S

outh

Wes

t

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Lond

on

Eas

t

Eas

t Mid

land

s

Nor

th W

est

Sou

th E

ast

Nor

th E

ast

Sco

tland

Yor

kshi

re &

the

Hum

ber

Nor

ther

n Ir

elan

d

Wal

es

% p

oin

t ch

ang

e in

un

emp

loym

ent

rate

Unemployment rate (16+) by government office

region - change over year

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5W

est M

idla

nds

Eas

t Mid

land

s

Sou

th W

est

Nor

ther

n Ir

elan

d

Eas

t

Nor

th W

est

Lond

on

Sou

th E

ast

Nor

th E

ast

Wal

es

Yor

kshi

re &

the

Hum

ber

Sco

tland

% p

oin

t ch

ang

e in

un

emp

loym

ent

rate

Unemployment rate by gender (16+), Scotland,

2008-2010

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

Jan-Mar 2008 Jan-Mar 2009 Jan-Mar 2010

% o

f al

l eco

no

mic

ally

act

ive

Male Female

Impact across age groups

• Youth unemployment (18-24 year olds) in Scotland up 0.1 percentage points– lowest increase over the past year– considerably lower than UK increase (up 1.7 percentage points)

• Youth unemployment still remains lower in Scotland at 14.0% (compared to 17.8% in the UK)

• In Scotland, 48,000 young people unemployed, making up 22.2% of all people unemployed – In the UK this is higher with 28.5% of all those unemployed aged

18-24 years

Unemployment rate by age, 2007- 2010

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

Jan-Mar 2007 Jul-Sep 2007 Jan-Mar 2008 Jul-Sep 2008 Jan-Mar 2009 Jul-Sep 2009 Jan-Mar 2010

% o

f al

l ec

on

om

ical

ly a

ctiv

e

16-24 25-49 50-59/64 All

Percentage change in employee jobs,

Dec 2008 - Dec 2009, Scotland and UK

-14%-12%-10%

-8%-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%

Ag

ricu

lture

an

d fi

shin

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erg

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wa

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nu

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ote

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rest

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ts

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ort

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un

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ad

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alth

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er

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s

Scotland UK

Some good news

• Claimant count unemployment decreased by 1,000 over the month to April 2010

• Third consecutive monthly decrease

• Claimant count rate in Scotland is now 4.9%,

compared to 4.7% in the UK

Percentage change in numbers on Claimant

Count over Month and Year by Local Authority

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Ab

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& G

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% In

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ase

in C

laim

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mb

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% Change Over Previous Month % Change Over 1 Year

Annual percentage point increase in claimant count rate 18-24 yr olds by Local Authority

-1.5%

-1.0%

-0.5%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

Mid

loth

ian

No

rth

Ayr

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So

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Ab

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Hig

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Sco

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Online resources

• Nomis https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/Default.asp• Labour Market Statistics website

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Labour-Market

• Scottish Neighbourhood Statisticshttp://www.sns.gov.uk/

• DWP Tab Tool http://www.dwp.gov.uk/asd/tabtool.asp

• Future Skills Scotland – Key Indicatorshttp://www.keyindicators.org.uk/

NOMIS

https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/Default.asp• APS (labour force), ASHE (earnings), Claimant Count

(unemployment), DWP benefits, Jobcentre Plus vacancies, Population estimates, ABI (employees by industry - need permission)

☺User friendly interface to get some detailed statistics

☺Up to date

Labour Market Statistics Website

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Labour-Market

Publications – Annual Population SurveyPublic Sector Employment

Economic profiles – Local Authority, Parliamentary Constituency

- updated monthly

Datasets – Employment, unemployment, earnings - some data for LAs - some historical data

SNS – Labour Market Data

Economic Activity, Benefits and Tax Credits

Labour Market

Employment Economic Activity

New Deal

Age and sex based unemployment

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

SNS – Labour Market Data

Economic Activity, Benefits and Tax Credits

Earnings

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

SNS – Labour Market Data

Economic Activity, Benefits and Tax Credits

Combination of Key Benefits

Workless Client Group

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

SNS – Labour Market Data

Education, Skills and Training

Skills and training

Job related training

Highest qualification (working age)

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

SNS – Labour Market Data

Business

Employees by Industry Group

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

SNS – Labour Market Data

• Review of content and update frequency

• Aims – to align better with user needs

– to improve frequency of updates

– to investigate automation of some of the update process

DWP Tabtool

Questions?