Scenario Planning

Scenario PlanningCraig Conte

Lorraine MiguelJune 30, 2009

WORST CASESCENARIO

Timeline

• 2009 The economy gets worst in California• 2010 California goes into bankruptcy. A state

of chaos exist in California & school is cancelled for the year.

• 2011 School is still cancelled in public schools, but most private schools continue and private school enrollment increases tenfold.

Con’t

• 2012 The fall of the United States causes a ripple effect and many nations of the world also collapse or feel the effect.

Economic Collapse

World Currency• 2013 The leaders of the

world gather together and come up with a new world currency to avoid another economic collapse. Within 7 years old currencies will be fazed out, and all nations of the world will use the new World Currency.

Con’t

• 2014 Public education restarts in the United States and California. A new policy begins in California (e-books, paperless, online transactions)

• 2015 Home schooling expands & private education becomes more popular for the rich and middle class.

Con’t

• 2016 Home schooling and Web instruction increases at an alarming rate & traditional public education suffers.

• 2017 Almost half of the students in the State of California & the United States are being home schooled in the K-12 levels.

• 2018 At colleges and universities online education is becoming the norm.

Con’t

• 2019-2020 The U.S. economy is still limping along.

• 2021 Old currencies no longer hold any value• 2022 The Chip is introduced to replace

currency. People are using either the Chip or the World Currency to buy or sell. World currencies will be fazed out in 7 years.

The CHIP

Con’t

• 2023 The economy is getting better. The Chip is making things easier and simpler.

• 2024 Education is now starting to invest in these new hand held computers called Tri-corders.

• 2025-2028 Tri-corder computers and Tri-corder desks are becoming the wave of the future.

Tri-corders

SPOK USING A TRI-CORDER

TRI-CORDER USES

• 1000 GB Hard Drive• Size of a modern day cell phone• Video game capabilities• Internet connection• MP3 player• Plays games• Scans for life (security)

• Can plug into any computer & Tri-corder desks• Phone/texting• Holds ALL your files (MP3s, Videos, pics, & any

other files)• Etc…

Con’t

• 2029 The Chip replaces the World Currency. Paper money no longer holds any value and people are not able to buy or sell without the Chip.

Worst Case Scenario• Tri corder

computers• Human chip

• Nations of the world gather to solve the economic crisis

• Home schooling and online education

• World currency• Cancellation of public

schools

Technological Political

SocialEconomic

STATUS QUOSCENARIO

Timeline

• 2009 Status Quo. The economy in California and the United States is still in a recession.

• 2010-2012 The recession continues for another 3 years. The technology in the classroom becomes stagnant because school districts are not investing in technology. Private education get stronger while public education gets weaker.

Con’t

• 2013 The recession ends. The leaders of the world gather together and come up with a new world currency to avoid another economic collapse. Within 7 years old currencies will be fazed out, and all nations of the world will use the new World Currency

Con’t

• 2014 A new policy begins in California (e-books, paperless, online transactions) Leaders in California start to go paperless to save money and our natural resources.

• 2015 Home schooling expands & private education becomes more popular for the rich and middle class.

Con’t

• 2016-2017 Online education and hybrid classes increase immensely, and smaller, faster, hand-held computers are being manufactured.

• 2018-2019 The new Tri-corder is introduced, and it revolutionizes the way we educate our children.

• 2020 Nations are working together economically and financially. Wars are decreasing across the globe.

Con’t

• 2021 Old currencies no longer hold any value, and English is becoming the international language. Tri-corder computers & desks are the new wave in education & the State of California starts investing in Tri-corder desks.

• 2022 The Chip is introduced to replace the World Currency. People are using either the Chip or the World Currency to buy or sell. World currencies will be fazed out in 7 years.

Con’t

• 2023-2028 The economy is getting better. The Chip is making things easier and simpler. Online social networks are the norm.

• 2029 The Chip replaces the World Currency. Paper money no longer holds any value and people are not able to buy or sell without the Chip.

Status Quo Case Scenario

Political

Social

Economic

Natural

Technological

Cultural

Distance learningHome schoolingSocial networking

Private education gets strongerGlobal financial crisis

World leader collaborationGlobal currency

PaperlessOnline transactions

Human chipTri-corderE-books

Technology-based education

Timeline

• 2009 Status Quo. The economy in California and the United States is still in a recession.

• 2010 The stock market goes up and oil prices decrease.

• 2011 The recession ends. • 2012 The State of California starts to get more

money for technology and public education.

BEST CASESCENARIO

Con’t

• 2013 The leaders of the world gather together and come up with a new world currency to avoid another economic collapse. Within 7 years old currencies will be fazed out, and all nations of the world will use the new World Currency.

• 2014 Leaders in California start to go paperless to save money and our natural resources.

Con’t

• 2015 Home schooling expands & private education becomes more popular for the rich and poor.

• 2016-2017 Online education and hybrid classes increase immensely, and smaller, faster, hand-held computers are being manufactured.

Con’t

• 2018-2019 The new Tri-corder is introduced, and it revolutionizes the way we educate our children.

• 2020 Nations are working together economically and financially and world peace appears to be within reach.

Con’t

• 2021 Old currencies no longer hold any value, and English is becoming the international language. Tri-corder computers & desks are the new wave in education & the State of California starts investing in Tri-corder desks.

• 2022 The Chip is introduced to replace the World Currency. People are using either the Chip or the World Currency to buy or sell. World currencies will be fazed out in 7 years.

Con’t

• 2023-2028 The economy is getting better. The Chip is making things easier and simpler. Online social networks are the norm.

• 2029 The Chip replaces the World Currency. Paper money no longer holds any value and people are not able to buy or sell without the Chip.

Best Case Scenario

• Human chip• Tri-corder computers• Tri-corder desks

• Paperless• Electronic

submission

• Online education• Home schooling is a

trend• Social networking

• Nations are working hand in hand

• New global currency• Recession ended

Technological Natural

Cultural & Social

Political & Economic