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  • Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • nllk

    AUGUST 1986 / VOLUME 66 NUMBER &

    _^-f OF5% .CONTENTS

    - , , ; > , - ' ' . ' , / , - . Business Situation 1

    ' ' , National Income and Product Accounts Tables 6

    ". T, ei33 488 Bt,?JU Miami 331351 aw. First Ave. S50426T 'CA,1805 Peachtree St, RE. 8814000

    nalt 3140127 1. Bay-St 944-4204HI,300 Ala Moaaa Blvd. 546-86941A, 'lies210 Walnut St.IL,-55 E, MOBFOS St 353-4450IN, IiidiamapC'Ils4615. Ohio St 2111-6214KYi L^nlwiile!XS. P.O. & Courthouse Bl%. 82-3066

    . LA, Mw Orleans 70130432 International Trade MartMA, 82116441 Stuart St 223-2312 -

    ' HP, Baltimore '2I202415 U.S. Customhouse 962-3500MI, Betrcstt 4832$231 W. Lafayette 2264650

    MN, Mfttsesipolls110 8, 4t!i St 34S-3SSSMO, Kansas City 64106601 S. 12th St, 374-3142MO, St Louis120 S, Central Ays. 42S-3392-4

    300 ?/oodrow Wilson Blvd. 9604388NC, Greensboro 27402324 W. Market Si. 378-6845ME, OmahaSOO & 19th St 22145664

    ,

    240 W, State St. 989-2100MM. Albuquerque S7!'5517 Gold, S.W. 766-23S6NV, Beno g>521755 S. Plans Lane 784-5203NY, Biiffa!* 14202111 W. Huron St. 840-4191

    NY, New York26 Federal Plaza 264-0634OH, Gncfnaati550 U&m St. 684-2044 /OHt 44114816 Euclid A, ^2-4760OK* O&iahosig& City 73105

    ' 4024 Lincoln Blvd 231-6302Ol, Portland1220 S.W: 3rd Aye, 2214001FA, 1070600 Arch StPA, Pittsburgh mm1000 Liberty "Ave.PS, Sasi Juan ilJflS

    ,Rm: 659-FsderaI 758-4556SC, ColiiinMa1835 Assembly Sfc. 765-5345

    TN> Memphis BSlil3876 Centra! Ave. 621-4826TN, NashvilleOne Commerce HaceTX:1100 Commerce St. 767-0542'1% EeM@E515 St, .UT, Sal! City350 S. Mala St 5244116VA,400 N. 8th St 771-2240WA,1700 West Lake Aw,, N.WL Milwaukee517 1. Wise, Ave, 291-3473WV, 2530s500 Quamer St. 347-5128

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  • the BUSINESS SITUATION

    (45-day) estimates showthat real GNP increased at an annualrate of l/2 percent in the second quar-ter of 1986; preliminary (15-day) esti-mates had shown a 1-percent increase(table 1). The downward revision wasmore than accounted by inventory in-vestment and net exports; personalconsumption expenditures and Feder-al Government purchases of goodsand services were revised up. Revi-sions in other components of GNPwere small. The GNP price index(fixed weights) was essentially unre-vised at a 2-percent annual -rate of in-crease.1

    Generally, the revisions reinforcethe changes in individual componentsreported in the preliminary estimates.Inventory investment and net ex-ports, which had declined accordingto the preliminary estimates, declinedmore in the revised estimates. Person-al consumption expenditures and Fed-eral Government purchases, whichhad increased, increased more. Over-all, the revisions do not alter the pic-ture of sharp, largely offsettingchanges in several components ofGNP that was presented in the July"Business Situation."

    Corporate profitsProfits from current production

    profits before tax with inventory valu-ation adjustment (IVA) and capitalconsumption adjustment (CCAdj)de-clined $5 billion in the second quar-ter, following an $11 billion increasein the first.

    Domestic profits of nonfinancialcorporations declined $7 billion, fol-lowing an increase of $2 billion, re-flecting declines both in real grosscorporate product and in profits perunit of product. The decline in unitprofits resulted from a larger increase

    Table 1.Revisions in Selected Component Series of the NIPA's, Second Quarter of 1986

    GNPPersonal consumption expendituresNonresidential fixed investmentResidential investment .Change in business inventoriesNet exports

    Compensation of employeesCorporate profits with inventory valuation and capital

    consumption adjustmentsOther

    Personal income

    GNP

    Nonresidential fixed investment . .Residential investment .Change in business inventoriesNet exportsGovernment purchases

    GNP price index (fixed weights)GNP price index (chained weights)GNP implicit price deflator

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates

    15-dayestimate

    45-dayestimate Revision

    Billions of current dollars

    4,182.32,730.1

    457.3214.6

    19.5-96.4857.2

    2,478.8

    602.2

    3,480.0

    4,179.82,735.3

    456.5215.7

    12.5-100.2

    860.03,379.52,480.1

    291.2608.1

    3,486.5

    2.55.2-.81.1

    -7.03.82.8

    1.3

    5.96.5

    Billions of constant (1982) dollars

    3,665.72,407.0

    454.8193.1

    19.6-146.3

    737.5

    3,661.52,410.4

    455.2192.3

    11.6-150.5

    742.4

    4.23.4

    .4

    .8-8.0-4.2

    4.9

    Index numbers, 1982=100 *

    115.0114.1

    115.0114.2

    0

    .1

    Percent change frompreceding quarter at

    annual rates

    15-dayestimate

    3.24.91.6

    19.4

    10.2

    2.8

    13.8

    5.6

    1.15.92.6

    15.4

    7.0

    1.81.52.1

    45-dayestimate

    3.05.72.3

    21.9

    11.64.73.16.8

    18.4

    6.4

    .66.52.3

    13.5

    9.8

    1.91.62.5

    1. Not at annual rates.NOTE.For the second quarter of 1986, the following revised or additional major source data were incorporated: For personal

    consumption expenditures, revised retail sales for May and June; for nonresidential fixed investment, manufacturers' shipments ofequipment for May (revised) and June, construction put in place for May (revised) and June, and partial information on actualplant and equipment expenditures for the quarter; for residential investment, construction put in place for May (revised) andJune; for change in business inventories, book values for manufacturing and trade for May (revised) and June; for net exports ofgoods and services, revised statistical month merchandise trade for May and statistical month exports for June; for governmentpurchases of goods and services, Federal unified budget outlays for June, and State and local construction put in place for May(revised) and June; for wages and salaries, revised employment, average hourly earnings, and average weekly hours for May andJune; for corporate profits, domestic book profits for the quarter; for GNP prices, the Consumer Price Index and the ProducerPrice Index for June, unit-value indexes for exports and imports for June, export and import price indexes for June, andresidential housing prices for the quarter.

    1. Quarterly estimates in the national income andproduct accounts are expressed at seasonally adjustedannual rates, and quarterly changes in them are dif-ferences between these rates. Quarter-to-quarter per-cent changes are annualized. Real, or constant-dollar,estimates are expressed in 1982 dollars.

    . 0

    Foreign Transactions, An introduction to the concepts, sources, andmethods of foreign transactions in the national income and product ac-counts will appear as an article in a fall issue of the SURVEY. A paperabout foreign transactions, including this introduction, will appear short-ly thereafter as part of the BEA methodology series.

    Plant and Equipment Expenditures, Revised estimates of plant andequipment expenditures in current and constant (1982) dollars from thefirst quarter of 1983 to date will be included in the quarterly plant andequipment article in the September SURVEY. The revised estimates willincorporate revised implicit price deflators from the revised nationalincome and product accounts and new seasonal factors.

    Local Area Personal Income. The nine-volume Local Area PersonalIncome, 1979-84 will be available soon. See page 22 for more information.

    Multinational Companies. Financial, operating, employment, and for-eign trade data for 1984 for U.S. multinational companies and their for-eign affiliates and for U.S. affiliates of foreign multinational companieswill be presented in two SURVEY articles in the fall.

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  • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1986

    in unit labor cost than in unit price;unit nonlabor costs were unchanged.

    Domestic profits of financial corpo-rations increased $3 billion, followingan increase of $5% billion, and profitsfrom the rest of the world declined $1billion, following an increase of $3%billion.

    Profits before tax.Profits beforetax (PBT) increased $7% billion in thesecond quarter, following a decline of$11% billion in the first. The contrastbetween the increase in PBT and thedecline in profits from current pro-duction is due to the CCAdj, which de-clined $4 billion, and to the IVA,which declined $8% billion. Both ofthese adjustments are reflected in thecurrent production measure but notin PBT.

    The CCAdj is the difference be-tween depreciation based (like PBT)largely on tax accounting, on the onehand, and economic depreciation as

    defined by BEA, on the other. In thesecond quarter, as in the first, tax-based depreciation declined slightlywhile economic depreciation contin-ued to increase; as a result, the CCAdjdeclined. The decline in tax-based de-preciation reflected the provisions ofthe Economic Recovery Tax Act of1981, under which new assets are de-preciated in 1986 at a lower rate than5-year-old assets that drop out of thedepreciation base.

    The IVA removes the capital-gains-like element from profits based on taxaccounting when inventory prices in-crease; likewise, it removes the cap-ital-loss-like element when inventoryprices decline. In the second quarter,the IVA was positiveindicatinglossesbut smaller than in the first,as overall inventory prices continuedto decline but by less than in thefirst. In manufacturing, inventoryprices dropped more than in the first

    Table 2.Government Sector Receipts and Expenditures: Change from Preceding Quarter[Billions of dollars, based on seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    Government sectorReceiptsExpenditures ....

    Federal Government

    Personal tax and nontax receiptsIndirect business tax and nontax accrualsContributions for social insurance

    National defense Of which: Commodity Credit Corporation inventory change

    Transfer paymentsTo persons

    Crants-in aid to State and local eovernmentsNet interest paid

    SubsidiesOf which' Agricultural subsidies

    Less' Current surplus of government enterprises

    Surplus or deficit ( )State and local governments

    ReceiptsPersonal tax and nontax receiptsCorporate profits tax accrualsIndirect business tax and nontax accruals . ...Contributions for social insurance . .Federal grants-in-aid

    Of which' StructuresTransfer payments to personsLess' Dividends received by government

    Subsidies .. ..Less' Current surplus of government enterprises

    Less' Wage accruals less disbursements . . . .Surplus or deficit ( )

    Social insurance fundsOther

    1985II

    -29.529.6

    -59.1

    -37.5-44.7

    64.13.1

    15.27.16.21.0

    -.53.01.61.32.63.3

    -2.00-.52.01 1

    -52.7

    10.62.9-.14.4.8

    2.617.014.66.22.4.6.43

    0.3

    0-6.4

    .872

    III

    47.329.517.7

    36.832.96.9

    -5.32.2

    19.520.010.49.69.16.94.82.12.01.173

    -9.19.31.81.0

    17.3

    12.41.81.86.2

    .72.0

    12.110.73.11.6.5.4

    -.40

    .40.3.7

    -.3

    IV

    20.337.5

    -17.1

    13.26.5

    .42.04.8

    33.320.02.6

    17.417.31.8.9.9

    1.44.16.02.42.13.60

    -20.1

    8.53.4

    .23.0

    .61.45.55.9

    -2.61.0.2.4

    1 201.302.9

    .62.3

    1986I

    8.015.523.5

    -5.85.3

    -6.1-3.3

    8.8-21.9-25.2-1.6

    -23.6-23.1

    3.48.45.01.91.131.1.1

    3.20

    16.0

    15.72.2

    -1.212.3

    .61.98.26.2

    .42.2.3.4

    -.20

    .207.5

    .66.9

    II

    5.550.9

    -45.4

    5.95.11.5

    -2.11.4

    41.211.411.6-.2-.25.12.72.43.42.9

    18.419.118.9

    .70

    35.3

    3.02.1

    .6-3.8

    .73.4

    13.111.96.71.5.3.32

    0.3

    010 1

    .7-10.8

    NOTE.Dollar levels are found in the National Income and Product Accounts Tables, tables 3.2 and 3.3.

    quarter, while in trade, inventoryprices generally increased after de-clining in the first quarter.

    Profits with IVA but withoutCCAdj.The quarterly measure ofprofits available by industry declined$1 billion, following an increase of$14V2 billion. A $3 billion decline inthe profits of nonfinancial corpora-tions was more than accounted for bytrade; profits in manufacturing and intransportation and public utilities in-creased.

    In both wholesale and retail trade,the increases in inventory prices men-tioned above contributed to drops inprofits. In retail trade, the drop wasintensified by declines in the prices ofgoods sold.

    Manufacturing profits increasedafter two quarters of decline. The in-crease was concentrated in durablesmanufacturing, especially electric andnonelectric machinery. In nondura-bles, petroleum profits increased butthe increase represented only a par-tial rebound from a very low first-quarter level that reflected the pay-ment of a large fine to the U.S. De-partment of Energy by a major corpo-ration; in the absence of the fine,profits would have declined in bothquarters, reflecting the path of petro-leum prices. In transportation andpublic utilities, lower petroleumprices contributed to increased prof-its.

    Government sectorThe fiscal position of the govern-

    ment sector in the national incomeand product accounts deterioratedconsiderably in the second quarter of1986, as the combined deficit of theFederal Government and of State andlocal governments increased $45x/2 bil-lion (table 2). The deterioration wasthe result of an increase in the Feder-al deficit and a decrease in the Stateand local surplus.

    The Federal sector.The FederalGovernment deficit increased $35 %billion in the second quarter to $237billion, as expenditures increasedmore than receipts.

    Receipts increased $6 billion after adecline of the same amount in thefirst quarter, when only contributionsfor social insurance increased. In thesecond quarter, indirect business taxand nontax accruals continued to de-cline, and all other categories of re-ceipts increased. In recent quarters,

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  • August 1986 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    the movement of indirect businesstaxes has been influenced by a rathersteady decline, reflecting crude oilprices, in windfall profit taxes. Thewindfall profit tax was enacted inApril 1980 as a temporary excise taxon domestically produced crude oil.Receipts from this tax reached a peakof $26x/2 billion in the second quarterof 1981; these receipts were only $0.1billion in the second quarter of 1986.

    Expenditures increased $41 billionafter a decline of $22 billion in thefirst quarter. Over two-thirds of thisswing was accounted for by the effectof farm programs operated by theCommodity Credit Corporation (CCC)on nondefense purchases of goods andservices and on subsidies less the cur-rent surplus of government enter-prises.

    Nondefense purchases were essen-tially unchanged after a $23x/2 billiondecline in the first quarter. The pur-chases of agricultural commodities bythe CCC accounted for almost all ofthe first-quarter decline, and theywere unchanged at $5x/2 billion in thesecond. Subsidies less the current sur-plus increased $18V2 billion after a $3billion decline in the first quarter; theswing was due to the CCC. The CCCdeficit, which had declined $3 billionin the first quarter, declined only $*/2billion in the second. Agriculturalsubsidies increased $19 billion in thesecond quartermainly for advancedeficiency paymentsafter no changein the first.

    The advance deficiency paymentsamounted to over $15 billion andwere paid in two forms-cash ($11 bil-lion) and payment-in-kind (PIK) cer-tificates ($4 billion). The cash pay-ments were made to producers of feedgrains ($6y2 billion), wheat ($2V2 bil-lion), upland cotton ($iy2 billion), andrice (over $V2 billion). The PIK certifi-cates are generic; that is, they can beredeemed at face value for any com-modity. The certificates can also besoldto other farmers or to, for ex-ample, grain storage operatorsorthey can be redeemed for cash fromthe CCC beginning October 1. If theyare redeemed for cash, the CCC willdiscount the value of the certificatesby 4.3 percent under the Gramm-Rudman deficit-reduction require-ments. In addition, $1 billion of ad-vance diversion payments were alsopaid in the form of certificates. (See"Federal Farm Programs for 1986-90"

    in the April 1986 SURVEY fdr the defi-nitions of these payments.)

    Although programs of the CCC ac-counted for the bulk of the swing inexpenditures, there were also swingsfrom decline to increase in nationaldefense purchases of goods and serv-ices and in transfer payments to for-eigners. National defense purchasesincreased $11% billion after a $1%billion decline in the first quarter.The increase was concentrated inmilitary hardwareespecially air-craft and missiles, which included thedelivery of two additional B-l bomb-ers and the first two MX missiles-and in research and development. Theonly major declineover $2 billion-was for purchases of petroleum prod-ucts, reflecting declining prices.Transfer payments to foreigners in-creased $2*/2 billion after a $5 billiondecline in the first quarter. The first-quarter decline was the result of afourth-quarter payment of the entireamount of the fiscal year 1986 eco-nomic assistance to Israel. Thesecond-quarter increase was in bothmilitary and economic assistance.

    Among other expenditures, grants-in-aid to State and local governmentsincreased $3x/2 billion. The increasewas accounted for by payments to fiveStates for settlement of a dispute be-tween the Federal and State govern-ments over revenue from leases of theOuter Continental Shelf and fromroyalties paid on discovered oil. Thelargest payments$1V2 billion eachwere to Texas and California.

    Cyclically adjusted surplus or defi-citWhen measured using cyclicaladjustments based on middle-expan-sion trend GNP, the Federal fiscal po-sition moved from a deficit of $214 bil-lion in the first quarter to a deficit of$244 billion in the second (see table 2on page xx). The cyclically adjusteddeficit as a percentage of middle-ex-pansion trend GNP increased from5.2 percent in the first quarter to 5.9percent in the second.

    The State and local sector.TheState and local government surplusdeclined $10 billion in the secondquarter to $60 billion, as expendituresincreased more than receipts. A de-cline in the surplus of other thansocial insurance funds more than ac-counted for the total decline.

    Receipts increased $3 billion, com-pared with $15x/2 billion in the firstquarter, when receipts were boosted

    by the payment of a fine ($8 billion atan annual rate) by a major petroleumcorporation as a result of a SupremeCourt ruling on pricing violations. Ex-cluding the effects of this fine, re-ceipts increased $11 billion in thesecond quarter compared with $7 %billion in the first; the accelerationwas due to Federal grants-in-aid andcorporate profits tax accruals.

    Expenditures increased $13 billion,compared with $8 billion in the firstquarter. The acceleration was largelyin purchases of goods and services;they increased $12 billion in thesecond quarter, compared with $6 bil-lion in the first. The stronger pace ofpurchases was largely in purchases ofstructures; highway construction in-creased $5% billion after declining $2billion in the first quarter. Amongother types of purchases, a $2 billiondecline in nondurable goods wasoffset by increases in durable goodsand services. The decline in nondura-ble goods was more than accountedfor by a drop in purchases of petrole-um products, reflecting decliningprices.

    Inventory-Sales RatiosInventory-sales ratios are often ana-

    lyzed to help predict inventory behav-ior. If a ratio is "low", it may suggestthe need to rebuild inventories; if it is"high," it may suggest the need to liq-uidate inventories. In recent years,rapid growth of imports and largetransactions of the Commodity CreditCorporation (CCC) have been suspect-ed of reducing the predictive value ofthe aggregate ratios calculated withinthe national income and product ac-count (NIPA) framework. The follow-ing discussion compares one of theseratiosthe constant-dollar ratio ofbusiness inventories to business finalsaleswith two variants of it to ex-amine whether the usefulness of theratio has been reduced.

    The import-adjusted variantThe first variant, as indicated in

    line 10 of table 3, is derived by addingimports of merchandise and nonfactorservices to business final sales, the de-nominator of the published ratio. (Im-ports of factor servicesthat is, oflabor and propertyare not added,consistent with the general exclusionof nonbusiness factor services fromthe denominator.) The rationale for

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  • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1986

    Table 3.Business Inventories and Business Final Sales in Constant Dollars: Published and Adjusted for Commodity Credit CorporationInventories and Imports

    [Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Line

    123

    456

    78

    91011

    12

    Inventories 1

    Business inventoriesCCC inventories.CCC-adjusted business inventories (line 1 plus line

    2).Final sales 2

    Business final salesCCC inventory changeCCC-adjusted business final sales (line 4 minus

    line 5).Imports of merchandise and nonf actor servicesImport-adjusted business final sales (line 4 plus

    line 7).Ratios

    Business inventories to business final sales (line 1divided by line 4).

    Import-adjusted variant (line 1 divided by line 8)CCC-adjusted variant (line 3 divided by line 6)Addendum: CCC inventory change (at annual

    rates, as published in NIPA table 3.8B).

    Seasonally adjusted1982

    III

    783.316.6

    799.9

    221.3.7

    220.6

    25.6246.9

    3.543.173.637.9

    IV

    768.420.9

    789.3

    226.11.4

    224.7

    24.1250.2

    3.40

    3.073.5117.2

    1983I

    757.921.9

    779.8

    226.8.3

    226.5

    24.4251.2

    3.34

    3.023.443.8

    II

    755.521.9

    777.4

    230.10

    230.1

    26.7256.8

    3.282.943.38

    -.1

    III

    755.321.1

    776.4

    233.0-.3

    233.3

    29.0262.0

    3.24

    2.883.33

    -3.1

    IV

    762.016.8

    778.8

    235.5-1.4236.9

    30.2265.7

    3.24

    2.873.29

    -17.2

    1984I

    783.312.8

    796.1

    237.4-1.3238.7

    32.1269.5

    3.30

    2.913.33

    -15.9

    II

    797.613.6

    811.2

    243.4.3

    243.1

    33.6277.0

    3.282.883.34

    3.1

    III

    812.714.4

    827.1

    244.5.3

    244.2

    34.1278.6

    3.32

    2.923.393.4

    IV

    821.214.6

    835.8

    247.7.1

    247.6

    35.0282.7

    3.32

    2.903.38

    .8

    1985I

    827.015.4

    842.4

    251.0.3

    250.7

    33.7284.7

    3.30

    2.913.363.2

    II

    831.415.9

    847.3

    253.1.2

    252.9

    35.4288.5

    3.28

    2.883.352.0

    III

    831.518.8

    850.3

    257.51.0

    256.5

    35.5293.0

    3.232.843.3111.5

    IV

    830.226.8

    857.0

    259.22.7

    256.5

    37.6296.8

    3.20

    2.803.34

    32.3

    1986I

    840.228.5

    868.7

    258.0.5

    257.5

    37.6295.6

    3.262.843.37

    6.4

    II

    843.129.6

    872.7

    260.9.4

    260.5

    39.2300.1

    3.23

    2.813.354.4

    1. Inventories are as of the end of the quarter; quarter-to-quarter changes calculated from these estimates are at quarterly rates.2. Final sales are quarterly totals at monthly rates.NOTE.Lines 1, 4, and 9 are from NIPA table 5.11. Line 2 is the stock figure associated with line 5, which is derived from NIPA table 3.8B. Line 7 is derived from NIPA table 4.2

    this modification follows from an im-plicit assumption-necessary becauseof data limitationsabout imports inthe denominator. Data are not avail-able to split imports between finalsales and inventories, and the implicitassumption is made that all importsare final sales to consumers, business-es, or governments in the quarter inwhich they take place. The assump-tion is apparent in that, in derivingGNPa measure of U.S.-producedgoods and servicesas the sum offinal sales and change in business in-ventories, all imports are deductedfrom final sales. In reality, however,some imports go into inventories andnot into final sales in the quarter ofimport. (The numerator, in fact, in-cludes inventories of imported goods.)To the extent that imports go into in-ventories in the quarter of import,final sales of GNP and business finalsales, which is derived from finalsales of GNP, are understated. On theother hand, when imports are addedback into the denominator, on the as-sumption that all imports go into in-ventories, business final sales areprobably overstated. The ratio andthe import-adjusted variant thereforeprovidewith respect to treatment ofimportsupper and lower estimates,respectively, of the "true" ratio.

    The import-adjusted variant liesbelow the published ratio, reflectingthe larger denominator of the variant

    (chart 1). From the first quarter of1972 to the second quarter of 1986,the variant and the ratio registeredgenerally similar quarter-to-quarterchanges. The differences in movementwere as much as 0.04 in only twoquarters. The ratio and the variantmoved in opposite directions in onlythree isolated quarters, and even inthese instances, the differences inmovement were small.

    During the economic expansionfrom the third quarter of 1982, theratio and the variant registered quitesimilar changes except in the fourthquarter of 1982, when the ratio fellmore sharply than the variant, and inthe first quarter of 1985, when theratio fell and the variant increased.These two quarters are the only quar-ters in the expansion when imports ofmerchandise and nonfactor servicesdeclined. However, the ratio and thevariant slowly drifted further apart:From its peak in the third quarter of1982 to the second quarter of 1986,the ratio dropped from 3.54 to 3.213,while the variant declined slightlymorefrom 3.17 to 2.81. A strong in-crease in imports gave rise to thisslow drift; constant-dollar imports ofmerchandise and nonfactor servicesincreased at an annual rate of over 12percent.

    Because the ratio and the variantrepresent the upper and lower esti-mates of the "true" ratio with respect

    to the effect of imports, this slow driftmay suggest a slight increase in un-certainty about the level of the trueratio. Nevertheless, in the historicalcontext, both the ratio and the vari-ant yield similar insights into thelikely course of inventory investment.For example, for the period shown inchart 1, both the ratio and the vari-ant reached their lowest levels in thefourth quarter of 1985. Prior to that,both had been declining for severalquarters and were at levels thatappear low by historical standards.Thus, to the extent that such lowlevels presage increases in invento-ries, both would have provided thesame signal as of that quarter. Theslight increases in the ratio and thevariant since then, although smallerfor the variant, would not have clear-ly changed that signal.

    The CCC-adjusted'variantThe second variant, as indicated in

    line 11 of the table, is derived byadding the stock of inventories heldby the CCC to the stock of businessinventories in the numerator of theratio and subtracting CCC inventorychanges from business final sales inthe denominator. The purpose of thevariant is to abstract from the effecton the inventory-sales ratio of theNIPA treatment of CCC inventories,in which the CCC commodity loan

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • August 1986 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    Constant-Dollar Total Business Inventories-Business Final Sales RatiosRatio3.8

    3.7

    3.6

    3.5

    3.4

    3.3

    3.2

    3.1

    3.0

    2.9

    2.8

    x--"\_-Xx-/ x-'

    Imports-Adjusted Variant:

    1972 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85

    Note.Based on seasonally adjusted end-of-quarter inventoriesand seasonally adjusted final sales expressed at monthly rates.

    U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

    program has been the major source ofrecent quarter-to-quarter volatility.(CCC programs and their treatmentin the NIPA's were summarized inthe April 1986 SURVEY OF CURRENTBUSINESS, pp. 34-35.) In the NIPA's,new CCC loans to farmers are record-ed as Federal Government purchasesin business final sales, and farmers'redemptionswhich can be made atany time during the loan periodarerecorded as negative purchases. Ac-cordingly, when a crop is placedunder loan, farm inventories are re-duced below, and CCC inventories areincreased above, what they otherwisewould have been. Thus, in the quarterwhen a farmer places his crop underloan with CCC, economy-wide invento-ries are not changed but both the nu-merator and denominator of the in-ventory-sales ratio are affectedthenumerator decreases, the denomina-tor increases, and the ratio, conse-

    quently, declines. (Total CCC invento-ries are used in calculating both thenumerator and denominator for thisvariant because the portion of CCC in-ventories not associated with the com-modity loan program is relativelysmall and can be safely ignored forthe purpose at hand.)

    When the two are distinguishablein the chart, the CCC-adjusted variantlies above the published ratio. Fromthe first quarter of 1972 to the secondquarter of 1986, this variant and theratio registered generally similarquarter-to-quarter changes. The dif-ferences in movement were 0.04 ormore in only two quarters. The ratioand the variant moved in opposite di-rections in only two isolated quarters.Both of these instances-the secondquarter of 1984 and the fourth of1985were during the present expan-sion.

    The difference in the movement ofthe ratio and the variant in thefourth quarter of 1985 was the largerof the two instances of movement inthe opposite direction and also thelargest without regard to sign. Theratio declined from 3.23 to 3.20, whilethe variant increased from 3.31 to3.34. The decline in the ratio occurredas inventories fell and final sales in-creased, and the increase in the vari-ant occurred as inventories increasedwhile final sales were flat. For CCC-adjusted inventories, the change re-flected an unusually large addition toCCC inventories$8.0 billion at aquarterly rate (or $32.3 billion at anannual rate, as shown in the adden-dum to table 3). For CCC-adjustedfinal sales, the change excluded an in-crease in CCC inventory changefrom $1.0 billion at a monthly rate inthe third quarter to $2.7 billion in thefourth (or, at an annual rate, from$11.5 billion to $32.3 billion).

    In both instances in which the ratioand the variant moved in opposite di-rections (and only in those instances),two conditions were, satisfied. First,the change in CCC inventoriestheadjustment to the numeratorandthe change in the ratio were in oppo-site directions; second, the change inthe change in CCC inventoriestheadjustment to the denominatorwasmore than $15 billion (annual rate)and was in the direction opposite tothe change in the ratio. More general-ly, if the change in the change in CCCinventories is larger than about $10billion, then changes in the ratio andthe variant are likely to be dissimilarin direction or magnitude. Althoughthe signals sent by the ratio and vari-ant have not been substantially differ-ent in the past, the variant may pro-vide useful perspective when theseconditions occur.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 6 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    National Income and Product Accounts Tables

    August 1986

    New estimates in this issue: Second quarter 1986, revised (0-The full set of National Income and Product Accounts estimates shown regularly in this part of the SURVEY are now available on diskette

    for $240 per year (12 updates). For more information, write to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BE-54), U.S. Department of Commerce, Wash-ington, DC 20230.

    Table 1.1.Gross National Product[Billions of dollars]

    Table 1,2,Gross National Product in Constant Dollars[Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Gross national productPersonal consumption

    expendituresDurable goodsNondurable goodsServices

    Gross private domesticinvestmentFixed investment

    NonresidentialStructuresProducers' durable

    equipmentResidential

    Change in businessinventoriesNonfarmFarm

    Net exports of goods andservicesExportsImports

    Government purchases of goodsand services ,Federal

    National defenseNondefense

    State and local

    1984

    3,765.0

    2,428.2331.2870.1

    1,227.0

    662.1598.0416.5139.3277.3181.4

    64.156.67.5

    -58.7382.7441.4

    733.4311.3235.076.2

    422.2

    1985

    3,998.1

    2,600.5359.3905.1

    1,336.1

    661.1650.0458.2154.8303.4191.811.112.21 1

    -78.9369.8448.6

    815.4354.1259.494.7

    461.3

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    3,909.3

    2,530.9347.7888.2

    1,294.9

    650.6625.2439.8150.7289.1185.425.418.56.9

    -49.4378.4427.9

    777.3333.7248.984.8

    443.5

    II

    3,965.0

    2,576.0354.0902.3

    1,319.7

    667.1648.0459.2156.1303.1188.8

    19.110.48.6

    -77.1370.0447.1

    799.0340.9255.185.8

    458.1

    III

    4,030.5

    2,627.1373.3907.4

    1,346.4

    657.4654.3459.8155.0304.7194.5

    3.13.2-.1

    -83.7362.3446.0

    829.7360.9265.595.5

    468.8

    IV

    4,087.7

    2,667.9362.0922.6

    1,383.2

    669.5672.6474.0157.2316.8198.6-3.116.7

    -19.9

    -105.3368.2473.6

    855.6380.9268.0112.9474.7

    1986I

    4,149.2

    2,697.9360.8929.7

    1,407.4

    708.3664.4459.2154.6304.6205.343.841.22.7

    -93.7374.8468.5

    836.7355.7266.489.3

    480.9

    II r

    4,179.8

    2,735.3375.7929.1

    1,430.5

    684.7672.2456.5140.3316.1215.712.59.23.3

    -100.2367.9468.1

    860.0367.1278.089.1

    492.9

    NOTE.Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown intable 8.1.

    Table 1.3.Gross National Product by Major Type of Product[Billions of dollars]

    Gross national productFinal salesChange in business

    inventoriesGoods

    Final salesChange in business

    inventories ...Durable goods

    Final sales .Change in business

    inventoriesNondurable goods

    Final salesChange in business

    inventoriesServicesStructures

    1984

    3,765.03,700.9

    64.11,576.71,512.6

    64.1675.0635.939.2

    901.7876.725.0

    1,813.2375.1

    1985

    3,998.13,987.0

    11.11,630.21,619.1

    11.1700.2693.6

    6.6930.0925.5

    4.51,959.8

    408.1

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    3,909.33,883.9

    25.41,611.61,586.2

    25.4688.4671.117.3

    923.2915.2

    8.11,906.3

    391.4

    II

    3,965.03,945.9

    19.11,622.41,603.3

    19.1693.1690.8

    2.3929.3912.616.7

    1,935.4407.2

    III

    4,030.54,027.4

    3.11,642.71,639.7

    3.1710.3713.0-2.7932.5926.7

    5.81,971.9

    415.9

    IV

    4,087.74,090.8

    -3.11,644.11,647.2

    -3.1709.1699.6

    9.5935.0947.712.7

    2,025.5418.1

    1986I

    4,149.24,105.4

    43.81,669.01,625.2

    43.8710.6682.028.6

    958.4943.115.3

    2,057.7422.6

    II r

    4,179.84,167.3

    12.51,663.11,650.6

    12.5710.4708.5

    1.8952.8942.1

    10.72,090.5

    426.2

    Gross national productPersonal consumption

    expenditures .. .Durable goodsNondurable goodsServices

    Gross private domesticinvestmentFixed investment

    NonresidentialStructuresProducers' durable

    equipmentResidential

    Change in businessinventoriesNonfarmFarm

    Net exports of goods andservicesExportsImports

    Government purchases of goodsand servicesFederal

    National defenseNondefense

    State and local

    1984

    3,489.9

    2,246.3318.9828.6

    1,098.7

    652.0592.8422.2141.3280.9170.659.254.34.9

    -83.6369.7453.2

    675.2291.7219.472.3

    383.5

    1985

    3,585.2

    2,324.5343.9841.6

    1,139.0

    647.7638.6461.4152.2309.2177.2

    9.010.9

    -1.9

    -108.2362.3470.5

    721.2323.6235.787.8

    397.6

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    3,547.0

    2,292.3332.3834.3

    1,125.8

    638.2615.0442.7149.9292.8172.4

    23.216.76.4

    -78.8369.4448.2

    695.3305.8228.077.8

    389.5

    II

    3,567.6

    2,311.9338.8841.3

    1,131.8

    655.6638.1463.0154.1308.9175.117.49.67.8

    108.1361.2469.3

    708.3311.4233.577.9

    396.9

    III

    3,603.8

    2,342.0357.4843.8

    1,140.8

    643.8643.1463.1152.3310.9180.0

    .71.4-.7

    113.8355.8469.6

    731.8329.9242.287.6

    401.9

    IV

    3,622.3

    2,351.7347.0847.2

    1,157.5

    653.2658.4476.9152.4324.5181.5-5.216.1

    -21.3

    -132.0362.9494.8

    749.4347.2239.3107.9402.2

    1986I

    3,655.9

    2,372.7345.4860.6

    1,166.6

    684.0644.1457.8148.1309.7186.339.937.02.9

    125.9369.2495.1

    725.2320.4238.781.7

    404.8

    II r

    3,661.5

    2,410.4358.8878.1

    1,173.5

    659.2647.5455.2131.1324.1192.311.68.23.4

    -150.5363.9514.4

    742.4329.5250.079.4

    413.0

    NOTE.Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown intable 8.1.

    Table 1.4.Gross National Product by Major Type of Product inConstant Dollars[Billions of 1982 dollars]

    NOTE.Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown intable 8.1.

    Gross national productFinal salesChange in business

    inventories...Goods

    Final salesChange in business

    inventoriesDurable goods

    Final salesChange in business

    inventoriesNondurable goods

    Final salesChange in business

    inventoriesServicesStructures

    1984

    3,489.93,430.7

    59.21,503.11,443.9

    59.2653.4615.937.5

    849.7828.0

    21.71,623.0

    363.9

    1985

    3,585.23,576.2

    9.01,533.21,524.2

    9.0675.8670.0

    5.9857.4854.2

    3.21,667.6

    384.4

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    L_ l

    3,547.03,523.9

    23.21,521.11,497.9

    23.2660.0643.816.2

    861.1854.1

    7.01,653.0

    373.0

    II

    3,567.63,550.2

    17.41,526.01,508.6

    17.4668.3666.6

    1.7857.7841.915.7

    1,656.5385.1

    HI

    3,603.83,603.1

    .71,544.21,543.6

    .7686.5689.3-2.9857.8854.2

    3.51,668.7

    390.9

    IV

    3,622.33,627.5

    -5.21,541.71,546.9

    -5.2688.7680.2

    8.4853.0866.7

    -13.61,692.1

    388.5

    1986I

    3,655.93,616.1

    39.91,563.61,523.7

    39.9688.6662.6

    26.0875.0861.113.9

    1,703.0389.4

    U r

    3,661.53,649.8

    11.61,563.61,551.9

    11.6695.8694.8

    1.0867.8857.110.6

    1,713.1384.8

    NOTE.Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown intable 8.1.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • August 1986 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    Table 1.5.Relation of Gross National Product, Gross DomesticPurchases, and Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers

    [Billions of dollars]

    Gross national productLess: Exports of goods and

    servicesPlus: Imports of goods and

    servicesEquals: Gross domestic

    purchases l

    Less: Change in businessinventories

    Equals: Final sales to domesticpurchasers 2

    1984

    3,765.0

    382.7

    441.4

    3,823.7

    64.1

    3,759.6

    1985

    3,998.1

    369.8

    448.6

    4,077.0

    11.1

    4,065.9

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    3,909.3

    378.4

    427.9

    3,958.7

    25.4

    3,933.4

    II

    3,965.0

    370.0

    447.1

    4,042.1

    19.1

    4,023.0

    III

    4,030.5

    362.3

    446.0

    4,114.2

    3.1

    4,111.1

    IV

    4,087.7

    368.2

    473.6

    4,193.0

    -3.1

    4,196.1

    1986

    I

    4,149.2

    374.8

    468.5

    4,242.9

    43.8

    4,199.0

    II r

    4,179.8

    367.9

    468.1

    4,280.0

    12.5

    4,267.5

    1. Purchases in the United States of goods and services wherever produced.2. Final sales in the United States of goods and services wherever produced.NOTE.Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in

    table 8.1.

    Table 1.7.Gross National Product by Sector[Billions of dollars]

    Gross national productGross domestic product

    BusinessNonfarm .

    Nonfarm less housingHousing

    FarmStatistical discrepancy

    Households and institutionsPrivate householdsNonprofit institutions

    GovernmentFederalState and local

    Rest of the worldAddendum:

    Gross domestic businessproduct less housing

    1984

    3,765.03,717.53,194.33,117.22,830.1

    287.179.0

    -1.9132.3

    9.1123.2390.9132.0258.947.5

    2,897.5

    1985

    3,998.13,957.03,394.03,324.03,010.9

    313.175.5

    -5.5142.1

    9.3132.8420.9140.7280.141.2

    3,072.2

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    3,909.33,866.83,317.23,247.42,945.0

    302.476.1

    -6.4138.2

    9.3128.9411.5139.1272.442.5

    II

    3,965.03,923.83,365.73,301.32,992.1

    309.276.1

    -11.7140.5

    9.3131.3417.6140.0277.641.2

    III

    4,030.53,991.43,424.73,357.83,040.9

    316.972.4

    -5.5143.4

    9.3134.1423.3140.5282.839.1

    IV

    4,087.74,045.83,468.43,389.43,065.4

    323.977.51.6

    146.29.4

    136.8431.2143.4287.841.9

    1986

    I

    4,149.24,106.03,519.93,451.73,121.5

    330.271.8

    -3.6149.5

    9.5140.0436.7144.0292.643.2

    II r

    4,179.84,139.53,545.03,466.63,128.9

    337.773.25.3

    152.09.6

    142.3442.5144.7297.840.3

    NOTE.Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown intable 8.1.

    Table 1.8.Gross National Product by Sector in Constant Dollars[Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Gross national productGross domestic product

    BusinessNonfarm

    Nonfarm less housing ....Housing

    Farm

    Households and institutionsPrivate householdsNonprofit institutions

    GovernmentFederalState and local

    Rest of the worldAddendum:

    Gross domestic businessproduct less housing

    1984

    3,489.93,446.02,978.32,910.42,653.7

    256.769.61 7

    117.79.0

    108.8350.0120.7229.343.9

    2,712.0

    1985

    3,585.23,548.33,071.52,998.92,735.3

    263.677.6

    -5.0121.2

    9.1112.2355.5122.6232.937.0

    2,798.1

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    3,547.03,508.53,034.82,965.62,704.3

    261.475.0

    -5.8119.7

    9.1110.6354.0122.5231.638.5

    II

    3,567.63,530.53,054.82,988.02,725.1

    262.977.5107

    120.69.0

    111.6355.1122.6232.537.1

    III

    3,603.83,568.83,090.83,016.92,752.5

    264.478.9

    -4.9121.8

    9.1112.7356.2122.8233.435.1

    IV

    3,622.33,585.23,105.43,025.02,759.2

    265.779.0

    1.4122.9

    9.1113.7356.9122.6234.337.1

    1986I

    3,655.93,617.93,135.83,061.62,794.2

    267.477.4

    -3.2124.1

    9.2114.9357.9122.9235.038.1

    II r

    3,661.53,626.13,142.33,060.72,791.4

    269.377.04.7

    125.09.3

    115.7358.7123.0235.735.4

    Table 1.6.Relation of Gross National Product, Gross DomesticPurchases, and Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers in Constant Dollars

    [Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Gross national productLess: Exports of goods and

    servicesPlus: Imports of goods and

    servicesEquals: Gross domestic

    purchases 1

    Less: Change in businessinventories

    Equals: Final sales to domesticpurchasers 2

    1984

    3,489.9

    369.7

    453.2

    3,573.5

    59.2

    3,514.3

    1985

    3,585.2

    362.3

    470.5

    3,693.4

    9.0

    3,684.4

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    3,547.0

    369.4

    448.2

    3,625.9

    23.2

    3,602.7

    II

    3,567.6

    361.2

    469.3

    3,675.7

    17.4

    3,658.3

    III

    3,603.8

    355.8

    469.6

    3,717.6

    .7

    3,716.9

    IV

    3,622.3

    362.9

    494.8

    3,754.3

    52

    3,759.5

    1986

    I

    3,655.9

    369.2

    495.1

    3,781.9

    39.9

    3,742.0

    II r

    3,661.5

    363.9

    514.4

    3,812.0

    11.6

    3,800.3

    1. Purchases in the United States of goods and services wherever produced.2. Final sales in the United States of goods and services wherever produced.NOTE.Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown in

    table 8.1.

    Table 1.9.Relation of Gross National Product, Net National Product,National Income, and Personal Income

    [Billions of dollars]

    Gross national productLess: Capital consumption

    allowances with capitalconsumption adjustment

    Capital consumptionallowances withoutcapital consumptionadjustment

    Less: Capitalconsumptionadjustment

    Equals: Net national productLess: Indirect business tax and

    nontax liabilityBusiness transfer

    paymentsStatistical discrepancy

    Plus: Subsidies less currentsurplus of governmententerprises

    Equals: National incomeLess: Corporate profits with

    inventory valuation andcapital consumptionadjustments

    Net interestContributions for social

    insuranceWage accruals less

    disbursementsPlus: Government transfer

    payments to personsPersonal interest income....Personal dividend income ..Business transfer

    paymentsEquals: Personal income

    3,765.0

    415.1

    4126

    -2.53,349.9

    312.0

    18.3-1.9

    10.53,032.0

    264.7307.4

    326.72

    437.3446.974.7

    18.33,110.2

    3,998.1

    437.2

    4673

    30.13,560.9

    331.4

    20.9-5.5

    8.23,222.3

    2807311.4

    355.72

    4662476.276.4

    20.93,314.5

    3,909.3

    427.8

    451.2

    23.43,481.5

    323.3

    20.0-6.4

    12.53,157.0

    266.4316.8

    350.01

    459.4473.876.3

    20.03,253.1

    3,965.0

    433.1

    464.9

    31.93,531.9

    331.9

    20.6-11.7

    10.23,201.4

    274.3311.4

    353.9

    10

    463.5475.376.4

    20.63,298.7

    4,030.5

    441.3

    474.7

    33.43,589.3

    332.7

    21.2-5.5

    2.63,243.4

    296.3309.7

    356.8o

    469.9475.276.3

    21.23,323.2

    4,087.7

    446.7

    478.5

    31.93,641.0

    337.7

    21.71.6

    7.43,287.3

    285.6307.6

    362.1

    o

    471.8480.676.7

    21.73,382.9

    4,149.2

    447.1

    477.9

    30.83,702.1

    346.7

    22.3-3.6

    4.13,340.7

    296.4304.9

    371.5

    0

    482.4480.879.1

    22.33,432.6

    4,179.8

    453.5

    479.2

    25.73,726.3

    340.9

    22.95.3

    22.33,379.5

    291.2300.8

    373.5

    0

    486.5482.081.1

    22.93,486.5

    Table 1.10.Relation of Gross National Product, Net National Product,and National Income in Constant Dollars

    [Billions of 1982 dollars]

    NOTE.Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown intable 8.1.

    Gross national productLess: Capital consumption

    allowances with capitalconsumption adjustment

    Equals: Net national productLess: Indirect business tax and

    nontax liability plus businesstransfer payments lesssubsidies plus current surplusof government enterprises

    Statistical discrepancyEquals: National income

    3,489.9

    407.13,082.8

    289.6-1.7

    2,794.8

    3,585.2

    425.63,159.6

    297.7-5.0

    2,866.8

    3,547.0

    417.53,129.5

    295.0-5.8

    2,840.3

    3,567.6

    421.93,145.7

    295.9-10.7

    2,860.5

    3,603.8

    429.43,174.4

    299.3-4.9

    2,880.0

    3,622.3

    433.73,188.6

    300.61.4

    2,886.5

    3,655.9

    434.83,221.1

    303.3-3.2

    2,920.9

    3,661.5

    439.13,222.4

    313.14.7

    2,904.7

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 8 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1986

    Table 1.11 is on the next page. Table 1.16.Gross Domestic Product of Corporate Business in CurrentDollars and Gross Domestic Product of Nonfinancial CorporateBusiness in Current and Constant Dollars

    Table 1.14.National Income by Type of Income[Billions of dollars]

    National incomeCompensation of employees

    Wages and salariesGovernment and

    government enterprisesOther

    Supplements to wages andsalariesEmployer contributions for

    social insuranceOther labor income

    Proprietors' income withinventory valuation andcapital consumptionadjustmentsFarm

    Proprietors' income withinventory valuationadjustment

    Capital consumptionadj ustment

    NonfarmProprietors' incomeInventory valuation

    adj ustmentCapital consumption

    adjustment .Rental income of persons with

    capital consumptionadjustmentRental income of personsCapital consumption

    adj ustmentCorporate profits with

    inventory valuation andcapital consumptionadjustments ,Corporate profits with

    inventory valuationadjustmentProfits before tax

    Profits tax liabilityProfits after tax

    Dividends ....Undistributed profits

    Inventory valuationadj ustment

    Capital consumptionadjustment

    Net interestAddenda:

    Corporate profits after taxwith inventory valuationand capital consumptionadjustmentsNet cash flow with

    inventory valuation andcapital consumptionadjustmentsUndistributed profits with

    inventory valuation andcapital consumptionadj ustments

    Capital consumptionallowances with capitalconsumptionadjustment

    Less: Inventory valuationadjustment

    Equals' Net cash flow .

    1984

    3,032.02,214.71,837.0

    346.41,490.6

    377.7

    193.1184.5

    236.931.5

    40.8

    -9.3205.3183.9

    4

    21.8

    8.351.7

    -43.4

    264.7

    230.2235.795.4

    140.378.362.0

    -5.5

    34.5307.4

    169.3

    344.9

    91.0

    253.9

    -5.5350.4

    1985

    3,222.32,368.21,965.8

    371.91,593.9

    402.4

    205.5196.9

    254.429.2

    38.0

    -8.8225.2193.5

    2

    31.9

    7.652.4

    -44.8

    280.7

    222.6223.291.8

    131.481.649.8

    -.6

    58.1311.4

    188.9

    375.4

    107.3

    268.2

    -.6376.0

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    3,157.02,316.31,922.4

    363.31,559.1

    393.9

    202.2191.7

    250.732.9

    41.8

    -8.9217.8189.0

    3

    29.0

    6.850.4

    -43.6

    266.4

    213.3213.887.8

    126.080.945.1

    -.5

    53.2316.8

    178.7

    360.6

    97.8

    262.8

    -.5361.0

    II

    3,201.42,352.11,952.2

    368.61,583.6

    399.8

    204.5195.3

    255.533.0

    41.9

    -8.8222.5191.2

    -.3

    31.5

    8.151.5

    -43.4

    274.3

    215.4213.887.1

    126.781.445.3

    1.6

    58.9311.4

    187.2

    372.3

    105.8

    266.6

    1.6370.8

    III

    3,243.42,380.91,976.0

    374.21,601.8

    404.9

    206.1198.8

    249.321.6

    30.3

    -8.7227.7194.4

    .1

    33.2

    7.353.0

    -45.7

    296.3

    235.3229.295.8

    133.481.651.8

    6.1

    61.0309.7

    200.5

    388.9

    118.8

    270.1

    6.1382.8

    IV

    3,287.32,423.62,012.8

    381.61,631.1

    410.9

    209.1201.7

    262.129.4

    37.9

    -8.5232.7199.1

    3

    34.0

    8.354.7

    -46.4

    285.6

    226.4235.896.4

    139.482.5-57.0

    94

    59.2307.6

    189.2

    380.0

    106.8

    273.3

    -9.4389.4

    1986

    I

    3,340.72,461.52,044.1

    387.21,656.8

    417.4

    212.9204.5

    265.324.4

    32.7

    84240.9206.9

    -.4

    34.4

    12.857.2

    -44.4

    296.4

    240.8224.389.1

    135.285.250.0

    16.5

    55.6304.9

    207.3

    397.4

    122.1

    275.3

    16.5380.9

    II r

    3,379.52,480.12,058.8

    392.51,666.3

    421.3

    214.1207.3

    290.740.9

    49.2

    -8.3249.8216.4

    -1.1

    34.4

    16.662.0

    454

    291.2

    239.8231.991.2

    140.887.553.2

    7.9

    51.4300.8

    200.1

    391.3

    112.5

    278.8

    7.9383.4

    Gross domestic productof corporate business

    Capital consumption allowanceswith capital consumptionadjustment

    Net domestic productIndirect business tax and

    nontax liability plusbusiness transfer paymentsless subsidies

    Domestic incomeCompensation of employees...

    Wages and salariesSupplements to wages

    and salariesCorporate profits with

    inventory valuation andcapital consumptionadj ustmentsProfits before tax

    Profits tax liabilityProfits after tax

    DividendsUndistributed profits...

    Inventory valuationadj ustment

    Capital consumptionadjustment ,

    Net interestGross domestic product

    of financial corporatebusiness

    Gross domestic productof nonfinancialcorporate business

    Capital consumption allowanceswith capital consumptionadjustment

    Net domestic productIndirect business tax and

    nontax liability plusbusiness transfer paymentsless subsidies

    Domestic incomeCompensation of employees-

    Wages and salariesSupplements to wages

    and salariesCorporate profits with

    inventory valuation andcapital consumptionadjustmentsProfits before tax

    Profits tax liabilityProfits after tax

    Dividends.....Undistributed profits..

    Inventory valuationadj ustment

    Capital consumptionadjustment

    Net interest

    Gross domestic productof nonfinancialcorporate business

    Capital consumption allowanceswith capital consumptionadj ustment

    Net domestic productIndirect business tax and

    nontax liability plusbusiness transfer paymentsless subsidies

    Domestic income

    1984 1985

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I II III IV

    1986

    I II r

    Billions of dollars

    2,276.5

    253.92,022.6

    215.81,806.91,503.51,251.6

    251.9

    233.7204.795.4

    109.267.042.3

    -5.5

    34.569.6

    132.9

    2,143.7

    239.51,904.1

    203.71,700.41,401.11,166.6

    234.5

    216.7189.374.4

    114.972.942.0

    55

    32.982.6

    2,414.1

    268.22,145.9

    230.21,915.71,602.81,336.7

    266.1

    248.8191.391.899.569.430.2

    -.6

    58.164.1

    138.9

    2,275.1

    252.22,023.0

    216.81,806.11,491.51,244.1

    247.4

    224.2170.366.5

    103.874.329.5

    6

    54.590.4

    2,359.1

    262.82,096.3

    223.61,872.71,569.21,308.4

    260.8

    235.8183.187.895.363.232.2

    5

    53.267.6

    133.1

    2,226.0

    247.31,978.7

    210.91,767.81,461.81,219.1

    242.7

    214.6164.963.6

    101.369.132.1

    -.5

    50.291.4

    2,396.6

    266.62,130.1

    230.41,899.61,592.51,328.6

    263.9

    242.7182.287.195.176.119.1

    1.6

    58.964.4

    137.5

    2,259.1

    250.72,008.4

    217.11,791.31,482.21,236.9

    245.4

    218.2161.161.599.680.619.1

    1.6

    55.590.9

    2,441.5

    270.12,171.5

    231.81,939.71,611.01,343.0

    268.0

    266.3199.295.8

    103.468.335.1

    6.1

    61.062.4

    140.2

    2,301.3

    253.92,047.4

    218.21,829.21,498.41,249.4

    249.1

    240.8177.570.5

    107.072.834.1

    6.1

    57.289.9

    2,459.0

    273.32,185.8

    235.01,950.81,638.41,366.7

    271.7

    250.5200.796.4

    104.369.934.3

    -9.4

    59.261.9

    144.9

    2,314.1

    256.82,057.3

    221.11,836.21,523.51,271.0

    252.5

    223.3177.570.3

    107.274.632.6

    -9.4

    55.289.3

    2,501.5

    275.32,226.2

    241.81,984.41,664.71,388.9

    275.8

    257.9185.989.196.870.426.4

    16.5

    55.661.8

    157.9

    2,343.6

    258.72,084.9

    227.61,857.41,542.81,287.4

    255.4

    225.5157.562.495.174.820.3

    16.5

    51.589.1

    2,499.0

    278.82,220.2

    233.11,987.11,672.01,394.4

    277.6

    253.7194.491.2

    103.271.032.3

    7.9

    51.461.3

    164.8

    2,334.1

    261.82,072.3

    220.01,852.41,545.61,289.1

    256.5

    218.3163.063.399.775.324.4

    7.9

    47.388.5

    Billions of 1982 dollars

    2,030.8

    238.31,792.4

    184.51,608.0

    2,105.5

    249.11,856.4

    189.61,666.7

    2,075.7

    244.91,830.7

    187.51,643.2

    2,094.4

    247.71,846.7

    188.31,658.3

    2,124.6

    250.61,874.0

    190.81,683.3

    2,127.3

    253.31,874.0

    191.91,682.2

    2,141.0

    255.71,885.3

    192.91,692.4

    2,124.8

    258.21,866.6

    199.51,667.1

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • August 1986 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    Table 1.11.Command-Basis Gross National Product in ConstantDollars

    [Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Table 1.17.Auto Output[Billions of dollars]

    Gross national productLess: Net exports of goods and

    ExportsImports

    Equals: Gross domesticpurchases

    Plus: Command-basis netexports of goods and services ....

    Command-basisexports l

    ImportsEquals: Command-basis gross

    national productAddendum:

    Terms of trade 2

    1984

    3,489.9

    -83.6369.7453.2

    3,573.5

    -60.3393.0453.2

    3,513.2

    106.3

    1985

    3,585.2

    -108.2362.3470.5

    3,693.4

    -82.7387.8470.5

    3,610.6

    107.0

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    3,547.0

    -78.8369.4448.2

    3,625.9

    -51.8396.4448.2

    3,574.1

    107.2

    II

    3,567.6

    -108.1361.2469.3

    3,675.7

    -80.9388.4469.3

    3,594.8

    107.5

    III

    3,603.8

    1138355.8469.6

    3,717.6

    -88.1381.5469.6

    3,629.5

    107.2

    IV

    3,622.3

    -132.0362.9494.8

    3,754.3

    -110.1384.8494.8

    3,644.2

    106.1

    1986I

    3,655.9

    -125.9369.2495.1

    3,781.9

    -99.0396.1495.1

    3,682.9

    107.3

    II r

    3,661.5

    -150.5363.9514.4

    3,812.0

    -110.2404.3514.4

    3,701.8

    111.1

    1. Exports of goods and services deflated by the implicit price deflator for imports of goods andservices.

    2. Ratio of the implicit price deflator for exports of goods and services to the implicit pricedeflator for imports of goods and services with the decimal point shifted two places to the right.

    NOTE. Percent changes from preceding period for selected items in this table are shown intable 8.1.

    Table 1.19. Track Output[Billions of dollars]

    Truck output 1

    Final salesPersonal consumption

    expenditures. . .Producers' durable equipment..Net exports of goods and

    servicesExportsImports

    Government purchases ofgoods and services....

    Change in business inventories...

    1984

    51.148.619.530.1

    -5.82.48.24.72.6

    1985

    54.254.022.632.3672.79.45.8.1

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    51.052.221.731.06 52.48.96.0

    -1.2

    II

    52.451.921.131.86 52.79.25.5.5

    III

    55.555.124.231.46 32.89.25.7.4

    IV

    57.857.023.235.27 43.0

    10.56.1.8

    1986I

    54.749.621.229.97 62.8

    10.46.15.1

    II r

    56.756.025.132.67 13.3

    10.45.5.7

    1. Includes new trucks only.

    Table 1.20.Truck Output in Constant Dollars[Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Truck output 1

    Final salesPersonal consumption

    expendituresProducers' durable equipment..Net exports of goods and

    servicesExportsImports

    Government purchases ofgoods and services

    Change in business inventories...

    1984

    47.645.218.427.8

    -5.42.37.7

    4.42.4

    1985

    49.249.120.729.3

    -6.12.58.65.3.1

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    47.148.220.128.5

    -6.02.28.25.5

    -1.1

    II

    47.947.4

    19.428.9

    -6.02.48.45.0.5

    III

    50.450.022.228.4

    -5.82.68.35.2.4

    IV

    51.650.921.031.2

    -6.72.79.45.4.7

    1986

    I

    48.444.019.026.4

    -6.82.59.35.44.4

    11 r

    49.749.122.228.5

    -6.32.89.14.8.6

    Auto outputFinal sales

    Personal consumptionexpendituresNew autosNet purchases of used autos..

    Producers' durable equipment..New autosNet purchases of used autos..

    Net exports of goods andservicesExportsImports

    Government purchases ofgoods and services

    Change in business inventoriesof new and used autosNewUsed

    Addenda:Domestic output of new

    autos 1Sales of imported new autos 2...

    1984

    103.5101.2105.777.827.919.839.3

    -19.52584.9

    30.7

    1.6

    2.22.0

    .2

    86.437.9

    1985

    114.1110.1115.387.228.123.242.7

    -19.53006.1

    36.11.6

    4.04.1

    1

    95.345.0

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    114.8107.8110.281.928.321.041.3

    -20.32525.9

    31.11.8

    7.06.7.3

    98.537.7

    II

    111.4108.8112.884.828.122.842.4

    -19.6-28.5

    5.834.31.6

    2.62.5

    .2

    91.542.9

    III

    116.9123.1126.499.526.926.647.5

    -21.0

    -31.36.4

    37.71.4

    -6.2-9.0

    2.8

    96.349.7

    IV

    113.3100.6111.682.728.922.639.7

    -17.1

    -35.36.2

    41.4

    1.6

    12.716.4

    -3.7

    94.849.5

    1986I

    113.2105.3111.185.725.424.141.7

    -17.6-32.1

    6.638.72.2

    7.97.8.1

    98.844.7

    II r

    112.0109.0116.891.725.126.045.0

    -19.0-35.3

    6.541.7

    1.4

    3.0.9

    2.1

    95.049.0

    1. Consists of final sales and change in business inventories of new autos assembled in theUnited States.

    2. Consists of personal consumption expenditures, producers' durable equipment, and govern-ment purchases.

    Table 1.18.Auto Output in Constant Dollars[Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Auto outputFinal sales

    Personal consumptionexpendituresNew autosNet purchases of used autos..

    Producers' durable equipment..New autosNet purchases of used autos..

    Net exports of goods andservicesExportsImports

    Government purchases ofgoods and services

    Change in business inventoriesof new and used autosNewUsed

    Addenda:Domestic output of new

    autos 1Sales of imported new autos 2...

    1984

    97.395.696.773.723.021.937.2

    -15.32444.6

    29.01.5

    1.71.5.2

    81.535.9

    1985

    104.6101.5103.380.123.224.139.2

    -15.127 55.4

    32.91.5

    3.13.2

    _ i

    87.041.3

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    105.7100.098.876.022.822.938.3

    -15.423 45.3

    28.81.7

    5.75.5

    .2

    90.834.9

    II

    102.3100.4101.278.123.124.139.0

    -15.026 35.2

    31.51.5

    1.81.7.1

    83.739.5

    III

    107.6113.4113.991.222.726.943.6

    -16.628 85.7

    34.51.4

    -5.8-8.0

    2.3

    88.545.6

    IV

    102.792.099.475.024.322.536.0

    -13.5-31.4

    5.536.91.5

    10.713.630

    85.145.0

    1986I

    103.297.198.777.221.523.737.5

    -13.8-27.4

    5.833.2

    2.1

    6.16.0.1

    88.640.3

    II r

    101.799.9

    102.881.321.624.539.9

    -15.4-28.8

    5.834.71.3

    1.8.1

    1.7

    83.843.5

    1. Consists of final sales and change in business inventories of new autos assembled in theUnited States.

    2. Consists of personal consumption expenditures, producers' durable equipment, and govern-ment purchases.

    1. Includes new trucks only.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 10 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1986

    Table 2.1.Personal Income and Its Disposition[Billions of dollars]

    Table 2.2.Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type ofProduct

    Personal incomeWage and salary

    Commodity-producingindustriesManufacturing

    Distributive industries

    Government andgovernment enterprises

    Other labor incomeProprietors' income with

    inventory valuation andcapital consumptionadjustmentsFarmNonfarm

    Rental income of personswith capital consumptionadjustment

    Personal dividend incomePersonal interest incomeTransfer payments

    Old-age, survivors,disability, and healthinsurance benefits

    Government unemploymentinsurance benefits ..

    Veterans benefits ,Government employees

    retirement benefitsOther transfer payments

    Aid to families withdependent children

    OtherLess: Personal contributions

    for social insuranceLess: Personal tax and nontax

    paymentsEquals: Disposable personal

    Less: Personal outlaysPersonal consumption

    expendituresInterest paid by consumers to

    businessPersonal transfer payments to

    Equals: Personal savingAddenda:

    Disposable personal income:Total, billions of 1982

    dollarsPer capita:

    1982 dollarsPopulation (mid-period,

    Personal saving aspercentage of disposablepersonal income

    1984

    3,110.2

    1,836,8

    577.8439.1442.2470.6

    346.2184.5

    236.931.5

    205.3

    8.374.7

    446.9455.6

    235.7

    15.816.4

    60.8126.9

    14.9112.0

    133.5

    439.6

    2,670.62,501.9

    2,428.2

    72.3

    1.5168.7

    2,470.6

    11,26510,421

    237.1

    6.3

    1985

    3,314.5

    1,966.1

    607.7460.1469.8516.4

    372.2196.9

    254.429.2

    225.2

    7.676.4

    476.2487.1

    253.4

    15.716.7

    66.6134.6

    15.4119.2

    150.2

    486.5

    2,828.02,684.7

    2,600.5

    82.6

    1.6143.3

    2,528.0

    11,81710,563

    239.3

    5.1

    1985

    I

    3,253.1

    1,922.3

    600.1455.1460.2498.8

    363.2191.7

    250.732.9

    217.8

    6.876.3

    473.8479.4

    249.3

    16.716.8

    65.3131.2

    15.1116.1

    147.8

    497.7

    2,755.42,611.3

    2,530.9

    78.4

    2.1144.1

    2,495.7

    11,55510,466

    238.5

    5.2

    II

    3,298.7

    1,953.3

    605.0457.3467.7511.0

    369.6195.3

    255.533.0

    222.5

    8.176.4

    475.3484.1

    251.1

    15.816.8

    66.2134.2

    15.3118.9

    149.4

    456.4

    2,842.32,658.7

    2,576.0

    81.2

    1.4183.6

    2,550.8

    11,89310,674

    239.0

    6.5

    III

    3,323.2

    1,976.0

    608.3460.7472.4521.1

    374.2198.8

    249.321.6

    227.7

    7.376.3

    475.2491.1

    256.5

    15.116.7

    67.0135.9

    15.6120.3

    150.7

    491.2

    2,832.02,712.4

    2,627.1

    83.8

    1.5119.6

    2,524.7

    11,81910,537

    239.6

    4.2

    IV

    3,382.9

    2,012.8

    617.7467.5478.9534.6

    381.6201.7

    262.129.4

    232.7

    8.376.7

    480.6493.6

    256.8

    15.316.4

    68.0137.1

    15.7121.3

    152.9

    500.7

    2,882.22,756.4

    2,667.9

    87.0

    1.6125.8

    2,540.7

    11,99910,577

    240.2

    4.4

    1986

    I

    3,432.6

    2,044.1

    622.0470.5485.2549.6

    387.2204.5

    265.324.4

    240.9

    12.879.1

    480.8504.7

    263.2

    15.517.0

    69.1140.0

    16.0124.0

    158.6

    497.5

    2,935.12,789.4

    2,697.9

    89.8

    1.7145.6

    2,581.2

    12,19310,723

    240.7

    5.0

    II r

  • August 1986 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 11

    Table 3.2.Federal Government Receipts and Expenditures[Billions of dollars]

    Table 3.3.-State and Local Government Receipts and Expenditures[Billions of dollars]

    ReceiptsPersonal tax and nontax

    receiptsIncome taxesEstate and gift taxesNontaxes

    Corporate profits tax accrualsFederal Reserve banks .Other

    Indirect business tax andnontax accrualsExcise taxesCustoms dutiesNontaxes

    Contributions for socialinsurance

    ExpendituresPurchases of goods and services-

    National defenseNondefense

    Transfer paymentsTo personsTo foreigners

    Grants-in-aid to State and localgovernments

    Net interest paidInterest paid

    To persons and businessTo foreigners

    Less: Interest received bygovernment

    Subsidies less current surplus ofgovernment enterprisesSubsidies. . .Less: Current surplus of

    government enterprisesLess: Wage accruals less

    disbursementsSurplus or deficit ( ),

    national income andproduct accounts

    Social insurance fundsOther

    1984

    726.5

    309.3302.8

    6.1.5

    75.916.159.9

    55.736.211.97.6

    285.5896.5311.3235.076.2

    355.0344.3

    10.7

    93.6115.6136.4116.619.8

    20.8

    21.322.1

    .8

    .2

    -170.02.2

    -172.2

    1985

    786.8

    345.6338.4

    6.5.7

    73.617.855.8

    56.135.512.28.4

    311.5984.9354.1259.494.7

    380.3367.013.4

    99.0130.5152.1130.821.3

    21.6

    20.722.2

    1.5

    -.2

    -198.011.0

    2091

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    793.3

    360.7353.9

    6.2.6

    70.518.252.3

    55.135.212.47.6

    306.9955.4333.7248.984.8

    374.2363.111.1

    95.7127.6148.6127.421.2

    21.0

    24.426.21.8

    .1

    -162.28.3

    1705

    II

    755.8

    316.6309.2

    6.7.7

    69.918.251.8

    59.335.111.612.5

    310.0970.6340.9255.185.8

    377.2364.7

    12.4

    98.3130.9151.9130.821.1

    21.0

    22.326.23.8

    -1.0

    -214.811.0

    2259

    III

    792.6

    349.6342.1

    6.8.7

    76.817.559.3

    53.935.212.06.8

    312.2990.1360.9265.595.5

    384.1369.6

    14.5

    100.2129.8152.3130.821.5

    22.5

    15.117.12.0

    0

    -197.59.7

    2072

    IV

    805.8

    355.6348.6

    6.3.8

    77.217.359.9

    56.036.612.66.8

    317.01,023.4

    380.9268.0112.9385.9370.4

    15.4

    101.6133.9155.7134.221.5

    21.8

    21.119.5

    -1.6

    0

    -217.615.1

    -232.7

    1986I

    800.0

    350.3343.1

    6.4.8

    71.216.654.5

    52.732.913.16.6

    325.81,001.5

    355.7266.489.3

    389.3378.810.5

    103.5135.0157.8134.922.8

    22.8

    18.019.61.6

    0

    201 618.5

    -220.1

    II r

    805.9

    355.5347.1

    7.6.8

    72.615.856.8

    50.631.013.36.3

    327.21,042.7

    367.1278.089.1

    394.4381.5

    12.9

    106.9137.9160.2137.023.2

    22.3

    36.438.7

    2.3

    0

    -236.919.4

    2563

    ReceiptsPersonal tax and nontax

    receiptsIncome taxesNontaxesOther. .

    Corporate profits tax accrualsIndirect business tax and

    nontax accrualsSales taxesProperty taxesOther

    Contributions for socialinsurance

    Federal grants-in-aidExpenditures

    Purchases of goods and services...Compensation of employeesOther

    Transfer payments to personsNet interest paid

    Interest paidLess: Interest received by

    governmentLess: Dividends received by

    governmentSubsidies less current surplus of

    government enterprisesSubsidiesLess: Current surplus of

    government enterprisesLess: Wage accruals less

    disbursementsSurplus or deficit (-),

    national income andproduct accounts

    Social insurance fundsOther ...

    1984

    540.8

    130.367.551.810.919.5

    256.3120.099.736.6

    41.193.6

    472.4422.2258.9163.393.1

    -28.536.965.4

    3.6

    -10.7.6

    11.3

    0

    68.548.919.6

    1985

    577.5

    140.972.256.811.818.2

    275.4129.0107.239.1

    44.299.0

    515.8461.3280.1181.199.2

    -26.942.669.5

    5.2

    -12.6.7

    13.2

    0

    61.752.79.0

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    561.3

    137.070.854.711.417.3

    268.2125.6104.238.4

    43.195.7

    495.6443.5272.4171.196.3

    -27.740.4

    68.1

    4.6

    -11.9.7

    12.5

    0

    65.651.614.0

    II

    571.9

    139.872.156.111.717.2

    272.7128.0106.138.6

    43.998.3

    512.6458.1277.6180.598.7

    -27.141.969.0

    5.0

    -12.1.7

    12.8

    0

    59.252.46.8

    III

    584.2

    141.672.157.512.119.0

    278.8131.2108.239.4

    44.5100.2524.7468.8282.8186.0100.4

    -26.643.369.9

    5.4

    125.7

    13.2

    0

    59.553.16.5

    IV

    592.7

    145.174.059.012.119.2

    281.8131.4110.439.9

    45.1101.6530.2474.7287.8186.9101.426444.871.2

    5.7

    137.7

    14.5

    0

    62.553.78.8

    1986I

    608.4

    147.274.560.412.418.0

    294.1133.4112.548.1

    45.7103.5538.5480.9292.6188.3103.6

    -26.146.272.2

    6.1

    13 9.8

    14.7

    0

    70.054.315.7

    II r

    611.4

    149.374.961.812.618.6

    290.3135.7114.640.1

    46.3106.9551.6492.9297.8195.1105.0

    -25.747.673.4

    6.4

    14 1.8

    14.9

    0

    59.955.04.9

    Table 3.7B.Government Purchases of Goods and Services by Type[Billions of dollars]

    Table 3.8B.Government Purchases of Goods and Services by Type inConstant Dollars

    [Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Government purchases ofg

    National aeienseJLmraDie gooos

    Compensation ofMilitarvCivilian

    Q. . '

    D hi nniijjuraoie gooas......Commodity Credit

    Corporation inventoryru-u j uiCompensation of

    employeesq, ,

    State and localjJuraDie gooas.....Nonaurauie gooas

    Compensation of employees.. .a* f

    1984

    733.4311.3235.065.512.2

    152.494.863.531.357.65.0

    76.23.93.1

    -3.66.7

    62.037.224.77.3

    422.218.736.2

    320.3258.961.447.0

    1985

    815.4354.1259.474.912.2

    166.1101.167.833.365.06.1

    94.74.1

    17.2

    11.35.9

    66.039.626.47.4

    461.320.838.7

    348.3280.168.253.5

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    777.3333.7248.971.011.5

    161.499.966.933.061.55.1

    84.84.18.9

    2.86.1

    64.539.225.37.3

    443.520.037.6

    337.9272.465.548.0

    II

    799.0340.9255.173.112.7

    163.2100.567.233.262.76.1

    85.84.19.3

    2.36.9

    65.139.525.67.4

    458.120.538.4

    345.0277.667.454.2

    III

    829.7360.9265.578.913.0

    166.6100.867.433.465.87.0

    95.53.9

    17.5

    11.46.1

    66.539.726.87.5

    468.820.938.7

    351.9282.869.157.3

    IV

    855.6380.9268.076.611.8

    173.4103.469.733.770.06.1

    112.94.5

    33.2

    28.74.5

    68.040.028.07.2

    474.721.540.0

    358.6287.870.854.6

    1986

    I

    836.7355.7266.475.711.8

    172.5103.970.033.868.76.3

    89.34.3

    11.1

    5.65.5

    66.740.226.67.2

    480.921.938.7

    365.4292.672.755.0

    II r

    Government purchases of860 o goods and services367.1 Federal2780 National defense84 3 Durable goods10 5 Nondurable goods

    176 3 ServicesCompensation of

    104 4 employees70 3 Military34.1 Civilian720 Other services6 9 Structures

    89 1 Nondefense4 3 Durable goods

    11 1 Nondurable goods ,Commodity Credit

    Corporation inventory5 4 change57 Other nondurables

    663 ServicesCompensation of

    40 3 employees25.9 Other services7 4 Structures ,

    492 9 State and local224 Durable goods36 7 Nondurable goods

    372 0 Services297.8 Compensation of employees..

    74 3 Other services61 7 Structures

    1984

    675.2291.7219.461.213.6

    140.086.958.628.353.04.7

    72.34.14.5

    -2.26.7

    56.733.723.07.0

    383.517.936.6

    283.9229.3

    54.645.1

    1985

    721.2323.6235.770.413.6

    146.388.359.528.958.05.5

    87.84.6

    18.2

    12.35.9

    58.234.323.96.8

    397.619.539.0

    290.9232.958.048.2

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    695.3305.8228.066.812.7

    143.988.259.428.855.74.7

    77.84.49.2

    3.26.0

    57.334.223.06.9

    389.519.038.0

    288.2231.656.644.3

    II

    708.3311.4233.569.214.1

    144.688.359.528.856.35.6

    77.94.59.1

    2.07.0

    57.534.323.26.9

    396.919.338.6

    290.1232.5

    57.648.8

    III

    731.8329.9242.274.614.4

    146.988.559.628.958.46.3

    87.64.5

    17.7

    11.56.2

    58.534.324.27.0

    401.919.739.5

    291.8233.4

    58.451.0

    IV

    749.4347.2239.370.813.1

    150.088.459.528.961.65.4

    107.95.2

    36.6

    32.34.3

    59.534.325.26.6

    402.220.140.1

    293.6234.359.348.5

    1986I

    725.2320.4238.771.313.3

    148.588.659.628.960.05.6

    81.75.2

    11.8

    6.45.4

    58.134.323.86.6

    404.820.440.6

    295.0235.0

    60.048.7

    II r

    742.4329.5250.078.714.0

    151.388.659.529.162.66.1

    79.45.49.8

    4.45.4

    57.534.423.16.8

    413.020.741.2

    296.5235.7

    60.854.6

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 12 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1986

    Table 3.9.National Defense Purchases of Goods and Services[Billions of dollars]

    National defensepurchases

    Durable goodsMilitary equipment

    AircraftMissilesShipsVehiclesElectronic equipmentOther

    Other durable goodsNondurable goods

    Petroleum productsAmmunitionOther nondurable goods

    ServicesCompensation of employees

    MilitaryCivilian

    Other servicesContractual research and

    developmentInstallation support 1Weapons support 2Personnel support 3 .Transportation of materiel ....Travel of personsOther

    Structures. Military facilitiesOther

    1984

    235.065.555.521.88.57.75.04.08.59.9

    12.26.83.12.3

    152.494.863.531.357.6

    23.515.86.74.93.43.0

    .35.03.02.0

    1985

    259.474.964.025.99.78.54.74.9

    10.410.912.26.63.22.4

    166.1101.167.833.365.0

    27.316.97.55.73.83.5.2

    6.13.52.6

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    248.971.060.624.19.77.84.74.69.6

    10.411.56.03.22.3

    161.499.966.933.061.5

    25.516.87.04.63.73.3.6

    5.12.82.3

    II

    255.173.162.326.58.38.34.34.8

    10.110.912.77.13.22.3

    163.2100.567.233.262.7

    26.216.67.35.23.73.4.3

    6.13.52.6

    III

    265.578.967.525.010.29.05.25.4

    12.711.413.07.23.32.5

    166.6100.867.433.465.8

    27.717.17.76.33.63.6

    .17.04.03.0

    IV

    268.076.665.628.110.48.84.44.99.0

    11.011.86.23.22.4

    173.4103.469.733.770.0

    29.717.28.26.84.33.7

    .26.13.72.4

    1986

    I

    266.475.764.228.110.78.04.54.68.3

    11.611.86.33.22.3

    172.5103.970.033.868.7

    28.717.47.76.94.13.4.5

    6.33.62.8

    II r

    278.084.372.330.413.59.04.75.19.5

    12.010.54.13.92.4

    176.3104.470.334.172.0

    31.617.77.87.14.13.5

    .26.93.83.1

    Table 3.10.National Defense Purchases of Goods and Services inConstant Dollars

    [Billions of 1982 dollars]

    1. Includes utilities, communications, rental payments, maintenance and repair, and paymentsto contractors to operate installations.

    2. Includes depot maintenance and contractual services for weapons systems, other thanresearch and development.

    3. Includes compensation of foreign personnel, consulting, training, and education.

    Table 4.1.Foreign Transactions in the National Income and ProductAccounts

    [Billions of dollars]

    Receipts from foreigners ...Exports of goods and services

    MerchandiseDurable goodsNondurable goods

    ServicesFactor income 1Other

    Capital grants received by theUnited States (net)

    Payments to foreignersImports of goods and services

    MerchandiseDurable goodsNondurable goods

    ServicesFactor income lOther

    Transfer payments (net)From persons (net)From government (net)

    Interest paid by government toforeigners

    Net foreign investment

    1984

    382.7382.7224.1125.698.5

    158.6100.658.0

    0382.7441.4334.4191.1143.3107.053.153.912.21.5

    10.7

    19.8907

    1985

    369.8369.8219.6128.291.4

    150.291.258.9

    0369.8448.6341.7202.6139.1106.950.156.915.01.6

    13.4

    21.3-115.2

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    378.4378.4226.0128.797.3

    152.491.960.5

    0378.4427.9323.1194.7128.4104.849.455.313.22.1

    11.1

    21.2-83.8

    II

    370.0370.0221.1129.791.4

    148.991.257.7

    0370.0447.1340.7199.3141.4106.450.056.413.91.4

    12.4

    21.1-112.0

    III

    362.3362.3215.0128.087.0

    147.489.457.9

    0362.3446.0339.2202.3136.9106.850.356.416.01.5

    14.5

    21.5-121.2

    IV

    368.2368.2216.2126.389.9

    152.092.359.7

    0368.2473.6363.8213.9149.9109.850.559.317.01.6

    15.4

    21.5-143.8

    1986

    I

    374.8374.8219.7133.386.3

    155.294.760.5

    0374.8468.5358.9224.4134.5109.651.558.112.21.7

    10.5

    22.8-128.6

    II'

    367.9367.9212.9131.781.2

    155.092.462.6

    0367.9468.1358.5232.0126.5109.652.057.614.31.4

    12.9

    23.2-137.7

    National defensepurchases

    Durable goodsMilitary equipment

    AircraftMissiles ...ShipsVehiclesElectronic equipmentOther

    Other durable goodsNondurable goods

    Petroleum products..AmmunitionOther nondurable goods

    ServicesCompensation of employees

    MilitaryCivilian

    Other servicesContractual research and

    developmentInstallation support 1Weapons support 2Personnel support 3Transportation of materiel ....Travel of personsOther

    StructuresMilitary facilitiesOther

    1984

    219.461.251.218.58.17.05.53.88.3

    10.013.68.33.02.3

    140.086.958.628.353.0

    21.414.06.14.73.53.1.3

    4.72.81.9

    1985

    235.770.458.822.69.27.55.34.69.7

    11.613.68.42.92.2

    146.388.359.528.958.0

    24.114.46.75.23.93.4

    .25.53.22.4

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    228.066.856.121.68.77.05.54.39.0

    10.612.77.52.92.2

    143.988.259.428.855.7

    22.614.66.34.53.83.3

    .64.72.62.1

    II

    233.569.257.923.48.27.35,24.59.4

    11.314.19.02.92.2

    144.688.359.528.856.3

    23.314.26.54.83.83.3

    .35.63.22.4

    III

    242.274.662.522.09.97.95.85.1

    11.812.114.49.13.02.3

    146.988.559.628.958.4

    24.414.56.85.63.63.5

    1

    6.33.52.8

    IV

    239.370.858.623.39.97.74.64.68.5

    12.213.17.92.92.2

    150.088.459.528.961.6

    26.014.57.25.84.43.6.1

    5.43.32.2

    1986

    I

    238.771.358.023.410.56.95.04.37.8

    13.213.38.13.02.1

    148.588.659.628.960.0

    24.914.56.85.74.13.4

    .45.63.12.5

    II r

    250.078.764.824.813.37.85.24.88.9

    13.914.08.03.72.2

    151.388.659.529.162.6

    27.514.76.95.84.13.4

    .26.13.32.8

    1. Includes utilities, communications, rental payments, maintenance and repair, and paymentsto contractors to operate installations.

    2. Includes depot maintenance and contractual services for weapons systems.3. Includes compensation of foreign personnel, consulting, training, and education.

    Table 4.2.Exports and Imports of Goods and Services in ConstantDollars

    [Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Exports of goods and servicesMerchandise . . . .

    Durable goodsNondurable goods

    ServicesFactor income 1Other

    Imports of goods and servicesMerchandise

    Durable goodsNondurable goods

    ServicesFactor income 1Other

    1984

    369.7222.7127.395.4

    147.092.654.4

    453.2350.0199.3150.7103.348.754.6

    1985

    362.3227.4133.593.9

    135.080.954.0

    470.5368.7216.6152.1101.844.057.8

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    369.4230.8132.698.2

    138.682.656.0

    448.2347.5209.2138.3100.744.156.6

    II

    361.2227.0134.392.7

    134.281.253.0

    469.3367.7213.8153.9101.744.157.5

    III

    355.8223.9133.690.3

    132.079.152.9

    469.6368.4216.9151.4101.344.057.2

    IV

    362.9227.8133.494.4

    135.180.954.3

    494.8391.3226.7164.6103.643.759.8

    1986

    I

    369.2232.0142.189.9

    137.282.454.8

    495.1392.6237.4155.2102.544.358.2

    II r

    363.9227.5141.685.9

    136.479.956.6

    514.4412.5240.6171.8102.044.457.5

    1. Line 6 less line 13 equals rest-of-the-world product as shown in table 1.8.

    1. Line 7 less line 16 equals rest-of-the-world product as shown in table 1.7.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • August 1986 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 13

    Table 4.3.-Merchandise Exports and Imports by Type of Product andby End-Use Category

    [Billions of dollars]

    Table 4.4.Merchandise Exports and Imports by Type of Product andby End-Use Category in Constant Dollars

    [Billions of 1982 dollars]

    Merchandise exportsFoods, feeds, and beveragesIndustrial supplies and

    materialsDurable goodsNondurable goods

    Capital goods, except autosAutos . . . . .Consumer goods

    Durable goodsNondurable goods

    OtherDurable goodsNondurable goods

    Merchandise importsFoods feeds and beveragesIndustrial supplies and

    materials, excludingpetroleumDurable goodsNondurable goods

    Petroleum and products . . .Capital goods, except autosAutosConsumer goods

    Durable goodsNondurable goods

    OtherDurable goodsNondurable goods

    Addenda:Exports of agricultural

    products lExports of nonagricultural

    productsImports of nonpetroleum

    products

    1984

    224.131.6

    61.216.944.274.122.513.85.68.1

    21.06.4

    14.5334.421.3

    63.?33.429.857.361.156.661.334.626.613.75.48.3

    38.4

    185.7

    277.1

    1985

    219.624.0

    58.316.042.375.624.513.05.17.9

    24.16.9

    17.2341.721.3

    59.730.629.150.564.065.165.236.728.415.96.19.8

    29.6

    190.0

    291.2

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1985

    I

    226.027.1

    60.816.244.676.823.813.45.38.2

    24.16.6

    17.5323.1

    21.7

    59.630.728.941.663.358.963.136.127.014.95.89.1

    33.4

    192.7

    281.5

    II

    221.124.4

    57.716.441.376.524.912.95.17.7

    24.86.8

    18.0340.7

    20.9

    60.731.729.154.562.962.962.935.827.115.86.09.8

    29.8

    191.3

    286.1

    III

    215.021.6

    57.216.141.175.025.012.64.87.7

    23.67.0

    16.6339.2

    20.7

    58.930.228.749.562.366.965.036.728.315.96.29.7

    26.7

    188.3

    289.8

    IV

    216.223.1

    57.715.342.474.324.412.95.17.9

    23.87.2

    16.6363.8

    22.0

    59.529.929.656.567.571.869.638.331.316.96.4

    10.5

    28.5

    187.7

    307.3

    1986

    I

    219.724.4

    58.116.741.475.723.713.65.18.4

    24.212.112.1

    358.923.8

    62.332.429.940.171.871.373.240.832.516.58.28.2

    28.4

    191.2

    318.8

    II r

    212.920.8

    56.016.040.075.523.213.65.18.5

    23.811.911.9

    358.524.5

    60.432.028.432.473.276.874.841.833.016.48.28.2

    24.6

    188.3

    326.1

    1. Includes parts of line 2 and line 5.

    Table 5.1.Gross Saving and Investment[Billions of dollars]

    Gross savingGross private saving

    Personal savingUndistributed corporate

    profits with inventoryvaluation and capitalconsumption adjustmentsUndistributed profitsInventory valuation

    adjustment .Capital consumption

    adjustmentCorporate capital

    consumption allowanceswith capital consumptionadjustment

    Noncorporate capitalconsumption allowanceswith capital consumptionadj ustment

    Wage accruals lessdisbursements

    Government surplus or deficit( ), national income andproduct accountsFederalState and local

    Capital grants received by theUnited States (net)

    Gross investmentGross private domestic

    investmentNet foreign investment

    Statistical discrepancy

    1984

    573.3674.8168.7

    91.062.0

    -5.5

    34.5

    2