Saturday Night Fever, Murder On the - 国立環境研究所 · Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology School of Environment and Development Saturday Night Fever, Murder On the Dance

Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology

School of Environment and Development

Saturday Night Fever,Murder On theMurder On the Dance floor,

Cli ChClimate Change, Cities and

CollaborationDr Sebastian Carney

Are ongoing trends in city climate change mitiga



Are ongoing trends in city climate change mitigation actions scientifically robust?

• It is easy to be critical.

• The solutions appear simple• The solutions appear simple.• Reduce energy we consume

Ch th• Change the energy we consume

• Change the way we generate energy

f h h• A mixture of the three.

• Clumsy solutions, Complex Worlds.

EU CO2 Emissions 1990‐2006..2050



EU CO2 Emissions 1990 2006..2050

83BnTonnes CO

65BnTonnes CO2

83BnTonnes CO2

EU CO2 Emissions upto 2152



EU CO2 Emissions upto 2152

65BnTonnes CO22

65BnTonnes CO2

A safe level of release?A safe level of release?

EU CO2 Emissions beyond



EU CO2 Emissions beyond

65BnTonnes CO22

65B T CO 83BnTonnes CO

83BnTonnes CO2

65BnTonnes CO283BnTonnes CO2

A safe level of release?A safe level of release?





• Image projects• Timeframe for actionTimeframe for action

• Is climate change the over‐riding purpose?

G d b d h li k• Grand statements – but do they link to national and international policy?• How do we allocate the emissions reduction targets?

T l S ?• Totals, or Sectors?





Which aspects are not addressed or weakly



Which aspects are not addressed or weaklyaddressed?

• Creative accounting, double accounting and obsessive accounting (where we were or are?)

• Avoiding difficult/controversial tasks.• The UK is responsible for 1/3 of Europe’s International Aviation Emissions.

• Competing Silos

• A fear of large emissions sources.

• The baseline year, importance? Meeting targets.

Whi h t t dd d kl dd



Which aspects are not addressed or weakly addressed?

• Difficulties with understanding.• The GRIP Scenario Process A quantitative energyThe GRIP Scenario Process A quantitative energy scenario process – 300+ Stakeholders participating less than 10 have every quantified their future.y q

• Competing Silos – lack of integration.

• Focus between city boundary and outside• Focus between city boundary and outside.

• Totals rather than sectors.



Communicating the Issue

Does staying below 2degrees C mean 1.99 or 2.99?



Communicating the Issue

The atmosphere is only 0.038% CO2



What is the state of linkages between the scienceand the policies action and how such

li k b h d?linkages can be enhanced?

• “Scientific knowledge is a public good but it is not a free d” (C ll )good” (Callon)

• Academics, Boundary organisations, Consultants, NGO’s – the media and others – Collaborate.

• Communication ‐ Time Consuming, but vital.

• (over what?)

• Is climate change the focal issue for policy makers?

• Mitigation, a focus on past trends, or new, future pathways (a li t ti li ti )climate perspective or an energy policy perspective)



What is the state of linkages between the scienceand the policies action and how such

li k b h d?linkages can be enhanced?

• Building networks.– EUCO2 Project

– NARC

– CUPN

• Being clear on our audienceP li k Ci il S– Policy makers, Civil Servants,

– Top Down, Bottom Up.

• Being clear on our abilities and responsibiities• Being clear on our abilities and responsibiities

• Policy Time Frames

i b l



Overcoming our obstacles

NIMBYNIMBYsBANANAsBANANAs NIMTOOsandNOPEs

Participating Regions (EUCO )



Participating Regions (EUCO2)

• Attica (Athens) Bologna Province Brussels‐Attica (Athens), Bologna Province, BrusselsCapital Region, Frankfurt/Rhein‐Main, Glasgow and the Clyde Valley Hamburg MRGlasgow and the Clyde Valley, Hamburg MR, Comunidad de Madrid, Napoli, Oslo, Osrednjeslovenska regija (Ljubljana) Ile deOsrednjeslovenska regija (Ljubljana), Ile de France (Paris), Porto, Rotterdam, Stockholm, Stuttgart MR Torino VenetoStuttgart MR, Torino, Veneto…

• Sacramento, CA; Washington, DC; Shanghai, CN; South AmericaCN; South America

h j



The EUCO2 Project

1) Inventory

2) Scenarios

3) Plans





Emissions with GRIP level



Emissions, with GRIP level60,000.00

50,000.00

30,000.00

40,000.00

Level 3

Level 2

10,000.00

20,000.00Level 1

0.00

Emissions by Sector & Sub Sector



Emissions by Sector & Sub‐Sector60,000.00

50,000.00

Agriculture

30,000.00

40,000.00Agriculture

Waste

Industrial Processes

Fugitive

Transport

10,000.00

20,000.00

p

Services

Industry

Residential

Energy Industry

0.00

Saturday Night Fever, Murder On the - 国立環境研究所 · Centre for Urban and Regional Ecology School of Environment and Development Saturday Night Fever, Murder On the Dance

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