Satellite Monitor Year End 2012 London, 19 March 2013
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Satellite Monitor
Year End 2012
London, 19 March 2013
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Agenda
1) Update on the UK market
2) SES worldwide reach
3) The European TV market
4) ASTRA reach in Europe
5) The next big thing: Ultra HD
2
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Satellite continues to lead in the UK
10.4 m subscribers1.7 m homes
Satellite46%
Cable13%
Terrestrial37%
IPTV4%
Sources: Satellite Monitor, Kantar Media ; operator figures
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28th September 2012:
ASTRA 2F was launched (28.2 E)
4
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28.2 E fleet renewal
ASTRA has a constellation of 4 satelli tes at 28.2 E today serving the UK and Irish
markets with 72 transponders.
ASTRA has planned a refresh of the entire constellation to provide
• Growth for new HD services
• Higher power coverage for extended
Sky minidish coverage• Improved resilience / back up
5
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Timeline
The existing constellation will be fully replaced by 2 new satellites
c ASTRA 2E and ASTRA 2G
c ASTRA 2F operational since Nov. 2012
In November 2009 a contract was concluded with EADS Astrium to construct the entire
replacement fleet
6
Satellite ASTRIUM schedule for launch Expected start date
ASTRA 2F Launched 28th Sept 21st November 2012
ASTRA 2E July 2013 Sept 2013 ASTRA 2G Q2 2014 Q3 2014
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Efficiency Improvements
7
Transponders Survival ratio CoverageNumber of
Satellites
New fleet 104 ~ 90%
Extended Sky
minidishdeployment 3
Existing fleet 72 77% As today 3
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ASTRA’s Replacement Fleet at 28.2°E
Increased power coverage
Superior coverage
c The improved coverage available on the replacement satellites will allow the Sky
minidish region to be extended northwards, and to fully include Ireland
8
Current Sky I and Sky II
Dish deployment Zones
Enhanced Sky I and Sky II
Dish deployment Zones
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ASTRA 2 E / F / G
UK & Ireland Pan Euro beam
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ASTRA 2 E / F / G
UK & Ireland spot beam
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Agenda
1) Update on the UK market
2) SES worldwide reach
3) The European TV market
4) ASTRA reach in Europe
5) The next big thing: Ultra HD
11
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TV homes around the globe
+ 17 Mil lion compared to year end 2011
m
We reach over
Sources: SES, European Satellite Monitor, Year End 2012; B2B surveys among cable head-ends in North and Latin America,
Pay-TV operators, SES extrapolations and estimates
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SES is growing on all continents
Europe143 mill ionNorth America
73 million
Latin America
21 million
India, ME, Africa26 million Asia-Pacific
12 million
Sources: SES, European Satellite Monitor, Year End 2012; B2B surveys among cable head-ends in North and Latin America,
Pay-TV operators, SES extrapolations and estimates
70 million
9 million
18 million
19 million
142 million
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India is the growth driver:
Home to most successful DTH platforms
14
500+ SD channels 16 HD channels 25 mil lion TV homes
Largest DTH operator
in India and Asia
Fastest growing DTH operator
in India
Capacity provided to DishTV and Airtel is contracted through the Indian Space Research Organisation
17.5 million
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SES in India:
growing household reach since 2004
15
1.72.5
4.66
9.4
12.5
15
5
10
0.20.8 1.7
2.5
4.6
6
9.4
17.5
25
2004* 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012
Dish TV Bharti Airtel
Capacity provided to DishTV and Airtel is contracted through the Indian Space Research Organisation
Sources: Dataxis, SES estimates
* Migration from Insat to SES
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▲ Indian DTH television market is rapidly growing
╸ 6 pay-TV platforms + 1 free-to-air platform
╸52 million gross subscribers
╸ Growing by an average of more than 800,000 subscribers per month in 2012
▲ Digitalisation of cable networks is creating a new driver for growth
▲ DTH market forecast to touch 100 million by 2018
DTH phenomena in India
By 2016, India will account for over 70% of Asia’s DTH subs
and be the biggest DTH market in the world
Sources: Media Partners Asia, Frost & Sullivan, IMF Worldbank, PWC16
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Reasons for DTH phenomena in India
Reasons for exponential growth:
c Young demographics: key consumers of 350 million Indians aged 18-34
▲ Growing GDP of 6% per annum
▲ 154 million TV households, of which 131 million receive multi-channel Pay TV.
▲ Demand for regional and localised content growing despite current 660 TV channels
▲ Number of licensed channels to double to 1,200-1,500 channels within the next 5
years
▲ Demand for HD content growing
17Sources: Media Partners Asia, Frost & Sullivan, IMF Worldbank, PWC
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Agenda
1) Update on the UK market
2) SES worldwide reach
3) The European TV market
4) ASTRA reach in Europe
5) The next big thing: Ultra HD
18
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And the winner is… again...
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…SATELLITE!
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The trend continues
Satellite leading over terrestrial
and cable
85 million households receive satellite TV
21
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72.14
77.41 79.13
83.60 84.56
91.79
86.4683.71
79.40 78.14
72.27 71.34 70.9969.25 68.42
6.838.98 12.06
15.9917.48
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
YE08 YE09 YE10 YE11 YE12*
I n M i l l . T
V H o u s e h o l d s
Satellite Terrestrial Cable IPTV
Modes of TV Reception
*18 out of 35 countries updated at YE2012Source: Satellite Monitor 22
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72.1
Year-end
2008
Satellite: Steady growth
*18 out of 35 countries updated at YE2012Source: Satellite Monitor
77.4
Year-end
2009
79.1
Year-end
2010
83.6
Year-end
2011
84.6Year-end
2012*
Satellite reach
in million households
+17% in 4 Years
23
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Satellite84.56 Mill .
(34%)
Cable68.42 Mill .
(28%)
Terrestrialonly
78.14 Mill .(31%)
IPTV
17.48 Mill .(7%)
Satellite is leading the market
Base: 248.6 mill. TV homes • 18 out of 35 countries updated at YE2012Source: Satellite Monitor
24
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DSTV84.56 Mill. (43%)
Digital Cable35.57 Mill. (18%)
DTT59.39 Mill. (30%)
IPTV17.48 Mill. (9%)
Satellite also stays the digital leader
Base: 196.99 Mill. Digital TV HouseholdsSource: Satellite Monitor
18 out of 35 countries updated at YE2012
25
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Germany: a success storyc In the year of the analogue switch-off, satellite reach increased by
over 500,000 homes
c Now more than 18 mil lion satellite homes
16.20 16.2016.65
17.5418.07
2.752.00 2.00 1.83 2.05
18.45 18.5818.15
17.2716.70
0.270.65 0.92 1.25 1.26
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
YE08 YE09 YE10 YE11 YE12
I n M i l l . T V H o u s e h o l d s
Satellite Terrestrial Cable IPTV
26
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63.8971.04
75.1981.43
84.56
8.24
6.383.95
2.17
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
YE08 YE09 YE10 YE11 YE12*
i n M i l l . S a t e l l i t e H o u s e h o l d s
Digital Analogue only
*18 out of 35 countries updated at YE2012
Source: Satellite Monitor
Satellite is now completely digital
27
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Digitalisation ranking
Source: SES, Satellite Monitor
16%
26%
31%
39%
45%
49%
50%
54%57%
59%
60%
63%
64%
65%
66%
72%
80%
80%
80%
83%
83%
83%
84%
85%
86%
86%
91%
96%
96%98%
99%
99%
100%
100%
100%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
BelarusUkraine
SerbiaLithuania
BosniaGreece
RomaniaPortugalHungary
SwitzerlandBulgaria
LatviaPoland
DenmarkEstonia
SwedenNetherlands
NorwayGermany
Czech RepublicBelgium AustriaIreland
SloveniaLuxembourg
Slovak RepublicMorocco
CroatiaTunisiaFrance
AlgeriaSpain
United KingdomFinland
Italy
Digital TV homes in % of all TV homes
Europe: 79%
18 out of 35 countries updated at YE2012
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20.04
29.3934.65
55.15
52.04
49.91
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
YE10 YE11 YE12
i n M i l l . D i g i t a l S a t e l l i t e H o u s e h o l d s
HD in DSTV SD in DSTV
Source: SES, Satellite Monitor
41%
Satellite HD reception continues to grow
59%
29
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Agenda
1) Update on the UK market
2) SES worldwide reach
3) The European TV market
4) ASTRA reach in Europe
5) The next big thing: Ultra HD
30
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ASTRA reach increases further
m
TV households in Europeserved by ASTRA
+ 1 mil lion in 2012
+ 26 million within f ive years
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Leading satellite system in Europe
%of all satellite homes
are ASTRA
32
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ASTRA is leader in HD
%of all satellite HD homes
are ASTRA
33
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Agenda
1) Update on the UK market
2) SES worldwide reach
3) The European TV market
4) ASTRA reach in Europe
5) The next big thing: Ultra HD
34
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The difference in the spatial resolution
(number of pixels)
2 K
( 2 0
4 8 x 1 0 8 0 )
FHD (1920x1080)
4 K
( 4 0 9 6 x 2 1 6 0 )
SD (720x576)
HD (1366x768)
UHD (3840x2160)
35Source: IHS Electronics & Media, February 2013
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The Ultra HD ecosystem
Blu-rayplayer
Set-top box
Gamesconsole
TV
Consumer Equipment
H o m
e N e t w o r k
Public /Private
Broadcaster
Camera
ProductionWorkflow
ContentCreation
Pay TVoperator
Third party OTTprovider
Content
Aggregation
Encoding
Modulation
Distribution
Satellit e / IP / DTT /
Cable
Still to come
In development
Developed
36Source: IHS Electronics & Media, February 2013
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Major events from 2014 look set to be
captured in Ultra HD
Content CreationContent CreationContent
AggregationContent
AggregationTransmissionTransmission
Consumer EquipmentConsumer Equipment
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
37Source: IHS Electronics & Media, February 2013
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The development of H.265/HEVC will
signif icantly reduce bit rates
38
H.265/HEVC is a new codec developed, which was ratified in January 2013
This will be the next generation of the H.264/AVC/MPEG-4 codec, which is currently used for HD video transmission
HEVC is still in its early stages, and it is not yet certain how vast the improvement on H.264 will be. However at least a 35-
40% bit rate reduct ion compared to H.264 has been confirmed
Content CreationContent CreationContent
AggregationContent
AggregationTransmissionTransmission
Consumer EquipmentConsumer Equipment
OutcomeResolut ion: Full HD
Codec: H.264
Resolut ion: Ultra HD
Codec: H.264
Resolut ion: Ultra HD
Codec: H.265
Pessimistic 12 Mb/s ~44 – 48 Mb/s ~26 – 29 Mb/s
Most Probable 10 Mb/s ~36 – 40 Mb/s ~18 – 20 Mb/s
Optimistic 8 Mb/s ~28 – 32 Mb/s ~13 – 16 Mb/s
Source: IHS Electronics & Media, February 2013
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Ultra HD forecast
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Ultra HD Uptake 2012-2023
UHD TV shipments (M) UHD STB shipments (M) UHD Channels on Sat
Technology ecosystem
ready:
Approx imately equivalent
to 2002 for HD
Commercial mass market:
Approx imately equivalent
to 2006 for HD
39Source: IHS Electronics & Media, February 2013
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Thank you!