Satellite Markets And Technology Trends - ITU: … Trends Word of Introduction A 10-year forecast of satellite and launcher markets has good news and bad news for hardware manufacturers:

Felix DamibaIndependent Consultant

Satellite MarketsAnd

Technology Trends

Word of Introduction

A 10-year forecast of satellite andlauncher markets has good news and badnews for hardware manufacturers: Therewill be many more satellites to build andlaunch, but the average manufacturingand launch price will increase onlymarginally, if at all, and may even dropafter accounting for inflation

Source Euroconsult

3 Basic Orbits

• Circular Polar Orbit• Elliptical Inclined Orbit• Circular Equatorial orbit

(geostationary)

Geo Satellites

MEO Satellite (O3B)

2 Types Propulsion System

Unified Propulsion (UPS)

• Light Weight Low Cost to launch• Slow orbit raising, 25 year life time

All Electric Propulsion

Launch Vehicles

• Expendable vehicles – Ariane (Europe), Delta etc..

• Reusable Orbital Launch Vehicle• Space-X, Blue Origin Etc..

Estimated CostExpandable Vehicles Reusable Vehicle

≥ $2,000 per pound ≤$1,000 per pound

Game Changer

Global Demand for Bandwidth

0.01,000.02,000.03,000.04,000.05,000.06,000.07,000.0

2014 2015

Global Satellite Transponder Demand

C Ku Ka

4.3% gain in leased

transponders

0

50

100

150

200

250

2014 2015

Global HTS Capacity Demand

HTS

85% Gain in leased HTSCapacity

Traditional Satellite

Global Satellite Market Drivers

• Media Market • Fixed and Wireless Broadband• Mobility and Government

Source NSR

Transponder Demand by ApplicationIn Asia-Pacific 20013-2021

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Gov/Mil

Commercial Mobility

Broadband Access

Enterprise Data

Telephony & Carrier

Contribution & OUTV

DTH

Distribution

ForecastsCompleted Est.

Source APSCC

Satellite Capacity & DemandAsia-Pacific

• The demand for bandwidth is insatiable

• Asia-Pacific is the 2nd largest market for satellite capacity usage

• Telecommunications-related applications utilize >50% of satellite capacity

Source ASCC

Approach on efficient beam power

Standard Beam Coverage Beam hopping in multi-beam

Game Changer?

Ground Segment

• Now• C-Band 18m-1.8m• Ku-Band 13m-1.2m• Ka-band under 1m

Revenue per Site

Best-EffortService Level(Broadband

Access)

Premium Service Level

# of

Site

s on

Net

wor

k

Revenue per Site

Effective BW per Site vs.Revenue per Site

Effe

ctiv

e B

W p

er S

ite

Revenue per Site

Satcom Infrastructure Technologies that extend bandwidth & Reduce Expenses

Service Level MF TDMA DAMA SCPCBest Offer 

Medium Grade

Premium

TrendsMx‐DMA Dynamic SCPC

DVB‐S2 Extension           Bandwidth CancellationHighResCoding

Conclusion

• There will be many more satellites to build and launch. New satellites will be lighter with a longer life time on orbit.

• Ground Equipment Segment manufacturers are adopting more and more new techniques to make satellite capacity cost more and more affordable.

THANK YOU!