S S imulating imulating SARS … SARS … Small-World Epidemiological Small-World Epidemiological Modeling and Modeling and Public Health Policy Public Health Policy Assessments Assessments Ji-Lung Hsieh ( Ji-Lung Hsieh ( 謝謝謝 謝謝謝 ) ) Department of Computer Science, National Chiao Department of Computer Science, National Chiao Tung University Tung University Chung-Yuan Huang ( Chung-Yuan Huang ( 謝謝謝 謝謝謝 ) ) Department of Computer Science and Information Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Chang Gung University Engineering, Chang Gung University Chuen-Tsai Sun ( Chuen-Tsai Sun ( 謝謝謝 謝謝謝 ) ) Department of Computer Science, National Chiao Tung Department of Computer Science, National Chiao Tung University University
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S imulating SARS … Small-World Epidemiological Modeling and Public Health Policy Assessments Ji-Lung Hsieh ( 謝吉隆 ) Department of Computer Science, National.
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SSimulatingimulating SARS …SARS …Small-World Epidemiological Modeling andSmall-World Epidemiological Modeling and
Public Health Policy AssessmentsPublic Health Policy Assessments
Ji-Lung Hsieh (Ji-Lung Hsieh ( 謝吉隆謝吉隆 ))Department of Computer Science, National Chiao Tung UniversityDepartment of Computer Science, National Chiao Tung University
Chung-Yuan Huang (Chung-Yuan Huang ( 黃崇源黃崇源 ))Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Chang Gung UniversityDepartment of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Chang Gung University
Chuen-Tsai Sun (Chuen-Tsai Sun ( 孫春在孫春在 ))Department of Computer Science, National Chiao Tung UniversityDepartment of Computer Science, National Chiao Tung University
Yi-Ming Arthur Chen (Yi-Ming Arthur Chen ( 陳宜民陳宜民 ))Institute of Public Health, National Yang-Ming UniversityInstitute of Public Health, National Yang-Ming University
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When 2002-2003 SARS outbreak beganWhen 2002-2003 SARS outbreak began
Confirm viral structure.Confirm viral structure.
Develop vaccines and antidotes.Develop vaccines and antidotes.
Revise public health policies and prevention Revise public health policies and prevention strategies.strategies.
Taking Body Temperature Mask Wearing for General Public
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Public Health PoliciesPublic Health Policies
Balancing the social costs and resource expenditures required Balancing the social costs and resource expenditures required for controlling epidemic outbreaksfor controlling epidemic outbreaks
Mask Policy—General Public vs. Healthcare WorkersTaking Body TemperatureA/B Class Home QuarantinesReducing Public Contact, Controlling Hospital AccessVaccines, Antidotes, …
Improper implementation & inappropriate timing Improper implementation & inappropriate timing Secondary impacts as disease concealmentSocial discrimination against SARS patients and health care workersPanic buying of masks (ex. N95 mask).
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A Suitable Epidemic Simulation PlatformA Suitable Epidemic Simulation Platform
Simulating epidemic transmission dynamics and Simulating epidemic transmission dynamics and associated associated public health policiespublic health policies;;Assisting with understanding the Assisting with understanding the propertiesproperties and and efficaciesefficacies of various public health policies; of various public health policies;Constructing an Constructing an effectiveeffective, , low-costlow-cost, and , and executableexecutable suite of epidemic prevention strategies;suite of epidemic prevention strategies;Reducing the Reducing the difficultiesdifficulties and and costscosts associated with associated with learning epidemiological issues.learning epidemiological issues.
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Epidemic SimulationsEpidemic Simulations
Factors that influence the epidemic transmission dynamicsFactors that influence the epidemic transmission dynamicsEpidemiological Progress
• Incubation, Infectious, Recovered, and Immune Days, …
Wearing Masks for General PublicWearing Masks for General Public
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Wearing Masks for Health WorkersWearing Masks for Health Workers
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Assessing Public Health SuitesAssessing Public Health Suites
3/24 Executing public health suites
Conclusions (cont.)Conclusions (cont.)
A novel and complete small-world epidemic modelA novel and complete small-world epidemic modelSimulating epidemic transmission dynamics and associated public health policies;Assisting with understanding the properties and efficacies of various public health policies;Constructing an effective, low-cost, and executable suite of epidemic prevention strategies.Reducing the difficulties and costs associated with learning epidemiological concepts.