RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - # RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu Enhancing and implementing Knowledge based ICT solutions within high Risk and Uncertain Conditions for Agriculture Production Systems (RUC-APS) May 12 th to May 29 th , 2020 www.ruc-aps.eu # RUCAPS2020 RUC-APS ONLINE WORKSHOP
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RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Enhancing and implementing Knowledge based ICT solutions within high Risk and Uncertain
Conditions for Agriculture Production Systems (RUC-APS)
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
THE RUC-APS AGRI-FOOD VALUE CHAIN MODEL
Seed
ProducersSeed
merchants
Agrochemica
lproviders
(Fertilizer,Pesticide)
Resources
(Labour,
water,Energy,
Equiptment,Machiinery,
Seedling,
seed)
Distribution
Centre
Technology
Providers
Agronomist
advisors
(public,private)
Logistics
(transport)
Farmers
(canalso
producetheir own
seeds)
Logistics
(storage,
Distribution,Packaging,
Processing)
WasteManagement
DIstribution
Centre
Eco-Service
Providers
Marketing
Certifyassociation
Wholesaler
(Local&
Global)
Logistician
(e-retail)
Retailer
(Local&
Global)
End-products
waste
management
Directsales
(hotels,
restaurants,consumers,
local&Gloabal)
Energy
Customer
Procesor
Quality(Marks)
Technology
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
The proposed RUC-APS Framework (Integrated view)
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
THE RUC-APS CONSORTIUMCountry Acronym Participant
ULIV University of Liverpool
UoP University of Plymouth
RP Riviera Produce
IFA Innovation for Agriculture
CNR- ISPACNR - Istituto di Scienze delle Produzioni
Alimentari
ALSIAAgenzia Lucana di Sviluppo e di Innovazione
in Agricoltura
AINIA Food Innovation Technology Center
BDI Bretagne Développement Innovation
INIANational Agriculture Institute of Chile –
Ministry of Agriculture
BBLOOCK BBlock SmarThinking
Country Acronym Participant
ISBPANIntelligent Systems Laboratory - Systems
Research Institute Polish Academy of Science
FEDACOVA Valencian Agri-Food Business Federation
UPV Universitat Politècnica de València
UNLP-FIFaculty of informatics - Universidad de La
Plata
UNLP-FASFFaculty of Agronomy and Natural Sciences -
Universidad de La Plata
UT1 Université Toulouse 1 Capitole
UL TELECOM Nancy - University of Lorraine
SV ServiVerde
SENSING Digital Stream (DS)
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Knowing agri-Food Challenges in real and global interconnected world
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
The modelling & Simulation applications
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
What is Operations Management?
What is Supply Chain Management
What is Management?
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Multi-Criteria Decision-Making
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Producers(sellers)
Market (Buyers)
payment
Information/ communication
Action/ decision
THE KEY CHALLENGE IS TO BE AS LEAN AS POSSIBLE, TO REDUCE WASTE, BUT ALSO TO INCREASE PROFIT AND DEAL WITH UNCERTAINTY (Climate, Market, Regulations, Prices…)
traders processorsWholesalers/
retailers
value
A simple supply Chain view
Goods / services
UNDERSTANDING AGRICULTURAL CHAINS TOWARDS ENHANCED MARKET ACCESS Nerlita M. Manalili VREDESEILANDEN, 2015
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Shifting Trend
16
Produce first
Then sellKnow market
Then Produce
to
Specifications
Requires farmers’ awareness of :
• who their end consumers are
• in what agricultural chain they are in
UNDERSTANDING AGRICULTURAL CHAINS TOWARDS ENHANCED MARKET ACCESS Nerlita M. ManaliliVREDESEILANDEN, 2015
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Challenges and motivations
17
• Understanding Agri-Food Supply Chains requires a detailed view ofupstream and downstream relationships amongst suppliers andcustomers and consider the current regulation.
• Agri-Food decision-makers are facing several market challenges,specially in adapting to the externalities they cannot control(technological innovation, new nutritional market demands,economy, political markets, food security and climate change).
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
THIS RESEARCH IS ORIENTED TO
Provide a better understanding and visualisation for Agriculture stakeholders considering
• Current climate and market challenges (internal and external).
• The need to support a decision-making process timely and efficiently.
• The up-to-date inputs from real industry life agriculture stakeholders from an international point view
• PROVIDE AN CLEAR VISUALISATION ON PRIORITIES TO SUPPORT OPERATIONS MANEGEMENT ORIENTED SOLUTIONS
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Methodology• AHP developed by Saati
• Method for ranking decision alternatives and selecting the best one when the decision maker has multiple objectives, or criteria
Pairwise Comparisons
• Used to score each alternative on a criterion
• Compare two alternatives according to a criterion and indicate the preference using a preference scale
• Standard scale used in AHP
Preference Level Numeric
al Value
Equally preferred 1
Equally to moderately
preferred
2
Moderately preferred 3
Moderately to strongly
preferred
4
Strongly preferred 5
Strongly to very strongly
preferred
6
Very strongly preferred 7
Very strongly to
extremely preferred
8
Extremely preferred 9
NOT NEW, BUT USEFUL
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Consistency Ratio
• The AHP provides a measure of the consistency of pairwise comparison judgments by computing a consistency ratio.• The ratio is designed in such a way that values of the ratio exceeding 0.10 are
indicative of inconsistent judgments.
• Although the exact mathematical computation of the consistency ratio is beyond the scope of this text, an approximation of the ratio can be obtained.
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Procedure: Estimating Consistency Ratio - 1
Step 1: Multiply each value in the first column of the pairwise comparison matrix by the relative priority of the first item considered. Same procedures for other items. Sum the values across the rows to obtain a vector of values labeled “weighted sum.”
Step 2: Divide the elements of the vector of weighted sums obtained in Step 1 by the corresponding priority value.
Step 3: Compute the average of the values computed in step 2. This average is denoted as lmax.
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Procedure: Estimating Consistency Ratio - 2
Step 4: Compute the consistency index (CI):
Where n is the number of items being compared
Step 5: Compute the consistency ratio (CR):
Where RI is the random index, which is the consistency index of a randomly generated pairwise comparison matrix. It can be shown that RI depends on the number of elements being compared and takes on the following values.
1n
nλCI max
−
−=
RI
CICR =
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Random Index
• Random index (RI) is the consistency index of a randomly generated pairwise comparison matrix.• RI depends on the number of elements being
compared (i.e., size of pairwise comparison matrix) and takes on the following values:
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
QUESTION MARK?
FROM AN OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT POINT OF VIEW, IT IS POSSIBLE LINK THEORY AND PRACTICE?
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
RUC-APS AIM
Support agriculture supply chain stakeholders decision-making once they face high uncertainty and risk
THE QUESTION TO AGRICULTURE STAKEHOLDERS (RUC-APS validated)
Considering any uncertain situation you normally face, what are the most relevant aspects you consider in order to make decision over which a good or bad decision will affect positively or negatively the sector?
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Method
• Primary data collected from survey to agriculture stakehodlersexperts during 2016-2017 in order establish the key set of criteria.
Introduce the production to more stable markets
Increase the profit
Have a good life by doing farming
Mechanise and reduce the costs
Establish a formal selling point
Have quick and reliable access to information
Increase access to market information
Planning the Production
Increase the homogeneity of production (quality and volume)
Mechanize production
Have a contract
Provide and produce what is required by the market
Cropping planning regarding to the market
Get High quality support
Add value to production
Sustainable access to knowledge exchange
Count to with high quality vegetable varieties
Reduce wastes
Provide ICT’s to rural sectors
Provide logistics/transport access
Reduce seasonality of production
Automated irrigation system
That the profitability of the vegetable business generates income for the family's luxury
That the rural roads are of good quality
Mechanise specialisation
Technology implementation
Get technical assistance
Verbal or written business relationship
Planting programming
Programming pre-known planting
Anticipate harvest period
Have good source information, safe and reliable
Short-term analysis
Activities such as field days, agricultural fairs and exploitation
Introduce the production to more stable markets
Increase the profit
Have a good life by doing farming
Mechanise and reduce the costs
Establish a formal selling point
Have quick and reliable access to information
Increase access to market information
Planning the Production
Increase the homogeneity of production (quality and volume)
Mechanize production
Have a contract
Provide and produce what is required by the market
Cropping planning regarding to the market
Get High quality support
Add value to production
Sustainable access to knowledge exchange
Count to with high quality vegetable varieties
Reduce wastes
Provide ICT’s to rural sectors
Provide logistics/transport access
Reduce seasonality of production
Automated irrigation system
That the profitability of the vegetable business generates income for the family's luxury
That the rural roads are of good quality
Mechanise specialisation
Technology implementation
Get technical assistance
Verbal or written business relationship
Planting programming
Programming pre-known planting
Anticipate harvest period
Have good source information, safe and reliable
Short-term analysis
Activities such as field days, agricultural fairs and exploitation
Introduce the production to more stable markets
Increase the profit
Have a good life by doing farming
Mechanise and reduce the costs
Establish a formal selling point
Have quick and reliable access to information
Increase access to market information
Planning the Production
Increase the homogeneity of production (quality and volume)
Mechanize production
Have a contract
Provide and produce what is required by the market
Cropping planning regarding to the market
Get High quality support
Add value to production
Sustainable access to knowledge exchange
Count to with high quality vegetable varieties
Reduce wastes
Provide ICT’s to rural sectors
Provide logistics/transport access
Reduce seasonality of production
Automated irrigation system
That the profitability of the vegetable business generates income for the family's luxury
That the rural roads are of good quality
Mechanise specialisation
Technology implementation
Get technical assistance
Verbal or written business relationship
Planting programming
Programming pre-known planting
Anticipate harvest period
Have good source information, safe and reliable
Short-term analysis
Activities such as field days, agricultural fairs and exploitation
Many Criteria required to be classified an prioritised
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Method
• Primary data collected from survey to agriculture stakeholders experts during 2016-2018 to select Key criteria and Alternatives.
C1Introduce the production
to more stable markets
C2 Increase the profit
C3Have a good life by doing
farming
C4Mechanise and reduce
the costs
C5Establish a formal selling
point
C6Have quick and reliable
access to information
ALT1: Offer flexible decision support system tools for different sectors
ALT2: Mentoring Farmers for business and entrepreneurship
ALT3: enhance the use of digital information systems for farmers training
ALT4: Provide assessment services to farmers to improve food safety and
implement a quality control system
ALT5: Create a collaborative group dealing with regulations rules and law aspects
in collaboration with agri-food stakeholders and public administration.
International Top 6 ranked criteria's
International Top 5 ranked alternatives
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Method• Primary data collected from focus groups meetings with stakeholders
during 2017-2018 to evaluate the selected criteria – within a view on uncertainties in regulations
Valencia, Spain20 stakeholders
Metaponto, Italy30 stakeholders
La Plata, Argentina25 stakeholders
Liskeard, UK15 stakeholders
Santiago, Chile21 stakeholders
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Results – two iterationsReach theoretical consistency wasDifficult, so 0.2 was accepted.
C1Introduce the production
to more stable markets
C2 Increase the profit
C3Have a good life by doing
farming
C4Mechanise and reduce
the costs
C5Establish a formal selling
point
C6Have quick and reliable
access to information
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Results – two iterationsReach theoretical consistency wasDifficult, so 0.2 was accepted.
SIMILAR BEHAVIOUR SIMILAR BEHAVIOURC1
Introduce the production
to more stable markets
C2 Increase the profit
C3Have a good life by doing
farming
C4Mechanise and reduce
the costs
C5Establish a formal selling
point
C6Have quick and reliable
access to information
Very consistent
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Results – two iterations – International view
ALL EU SA
C1 16% 12% 29%
C2 24% 24% 14%
C3 18% 9% 23%
C4 15% 21% 11%
C5 8% 15% 7%
C6 19% 20% 16%
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Results – two iterations – International view
ALL EU SA
C1 16% 12% 29%
C2 24% 24% 14%
C3 18% 9% 23%
C4 15% 21% 11%
C5 8% 15% 7%
C6 19% 20% 16%
C1Introduce the production
to more stable markets
C2 Increase the profit
C3Have a good life by doing
farming
C4Mechanise and reduce
the costs
C5Establish a formal selling
point
C6Have quick and reliable
access to information
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Considering the evaluation of each alternative for each criteria
Altarnatives Chile Argentina Italy UK Spain
ALT1 20.170% 17.166% 23.029% 9.760% 6.217%
ALT2 19.965% 24.469% 19.704% 27.808% 20.663%
ALT3 24.040% 32.441% 23.883% 17.774% 21.875%
ALT4 17.398% 11.581% 12.852% 24.763% 27.023%
ALT5 29.429% 18.128% 19.566% 25.600% 28.305%
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Considering the evaluation of each alternative for each criteria